454: ‘Getting the Snack Right’, With Chance Miller
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How are you doing, Chance?
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I'm excellent.
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How's the summer treating you?
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It's when you texted me this morning asking if I could do the show,
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I was thinking, like, it's been kind of slow these past few weeks.
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We're in kind of the the doldrums.
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We don't have beta five.
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We're just kind of sitting on our hands, it feels like.
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Yeah, it's funny.
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I was on the that uh TBPN show, the the one that the open
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AI bought, and you know, it's like a YouTube thing.
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And they asked if the summer was busier than usual, and I kind of
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had to put on my well, I'm talking to people in the great in
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the greater tech world, it is a very busy summer because the AI thing
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is a mania that is continuing.
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In the Apple specific world, no, I would say.
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I mean, there is the added drama of the open AI lawsuit, which I
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do want to get to, but you know, that that isn't really a steady
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turn, right?
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I mean, that's the thing that's gonna play out for years and years, barring
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any surprising settlements.
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So you can dissect it for a few months at first, and then you
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have to wait.
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Yeah, it's like the Epic Games thing.
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We spent I think first time I was on the show, maybe we talked
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about Epic Games, and it's like, oh my god.
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I know it's it is a very odd measure of time, but I had
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a lot less gray hair when the epic thing started.
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And it's you know as slow as other things move, you know, and we
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all want everything that we're unhappy with to move faster.
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Nothing moves slower than the legal process.
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We'll get to that.
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But you did mention it's a good opening topic that uh even iOS 27
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And my friend Will Haynes, who I sort of, it's not like a commercial
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project, but if he he's he hit me, him and Craig Hockenberry from uh
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the icon factory are do Kotoba, which is a dictionary app for iOS.
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You could just KOTO, I'll put it in the show notes.
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But it's not in the App Store because it uses APIs that you're not
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allowed to use in an App Store app.
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So you if you want to use it, you have to like get it
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for it's open source, you get it from GitHub.
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Anyway, he's a friend.
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But for years and years and years, Will has at Will, I'll put and
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I'll put a link to this in the show notes too.
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His iOS version history, where he tracks the betas for I it I'm looking,
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it goes all the way back to iPhone OS, iPhone OS 2.0 and just
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tracks how many betas there were for each release.
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And it's uh like iOS 20, it it's so it's interesting, like the the
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point zero releases are obviously very different than the point one, point two point
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three releases because this is the big summer beta.
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It looks like Apple's only a little bit behind, but it feels to me
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like a lot behind.
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So right now, as we record, and again, there is no better way to
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guarantee that beta five will come out than me and you recording this.
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As you started talking, as you pointed to Will's website, it came out.
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Beta 5 is now.
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Did it really?
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As we're listening, that's late breaking news.
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Well, that's fantastic that it came out while we're recording.
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I actually made it happen.
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I jinxed it so hard that it came out.
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Well, it it looks to me like beta five came out like third week
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of July last summer, and beta five came out for iOS 18 two summers
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ago, around the same week.
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So it looks like they're maybe like three weeks behind for a beta five.
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You know, I I don't know what the holdup is because overall, uh maybe
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that's the thing is that iOS 27's been pretty stable, but I also think
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iOS, I've been using them on my iPhone.
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I think beta four, the one that we've been stuck with since the very
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beginning of um July has been the worst of all of them.
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Yeah, I think so.
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I'm I don't know if you have it, but the most frustrating bug is
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you search for an app in Spotlight and none of the app icons show
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up, so it's just a bunch of blank.
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So you type like I in, wanting to get into get to Instagram.
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All the icons are blank.
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It's like app roulette.
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You just tap one and hope that the one you're tapping is Instagram, 'cause
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it's blank, you don't know what it is.
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So a lot of little things in beta four, I think.
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But it's impossible to know what the holdup is 'cause there are so many
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like factors at play with these, like maybe s like some of the engineering
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team like these teams are so small.
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If half the engineering teams just out of the office for a few days
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or they're focused on something else, then like yeah, you just push it a
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They're surprisingly flexible, I think, despite the fact that they are usually pretty consistent.
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What's your experience been like with the beta of 27?
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All in all, really good, I think.
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It's the obvious like Siri AI has been twofold.
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I think the new stuff that it can do with personal context, digging into
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everything on your phone, mail mail messages, reminders, wallet, all of that stuff has
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been remarkably reliable.
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But where I've started to have more problems, and it's weird because it started
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in the later betas, is where trying trying to do things that old the
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old version of Siri could do right nine point nine out of 10 times.
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So setting a timer, adding a reminder, adding something to your shopping list, controlling
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a home kit scene.
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At some point between like beta three and beta four, maybe there seemed to
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be a regression in how reliable those things were.
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And we heard about it some at the tech talk that you and I
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and many other members of the press went to at WWDC, where there's like
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that intermediary layer trying to determine which direction a request needs to go.
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And one example I've been using is like I'll say, add something to my
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shopping list, and it'll come back and say, you don't have a shopping list.
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Would you like me to create one?
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I do have a shopping list and it's there.
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And then so one time I said, okay, create the shopping list.
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And it said, I don't have the ability to create lists and reminders.
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It's like that that side of things is really buggy for me.
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I had one the other day where I needed to set a reminder to,
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well, I mean, I it's I'll just username.
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But we have a friend, we we got caught in a rainstorm, and a
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friend named Andrea let us borrow me and my wife's some umbrellas to get
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home in a thunderstorm, walk home.
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And I wanted to set a reminder to return her umbrellas.
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And I said, remind me to return the umbrellas to Andrea.
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And Siri AI on the phone said, was that Andrea?
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Andrea, you know, spelling the name different ways.
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Andre or it was like four different things.
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And I just said Andrea.
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And then it just asked again, was that Andrea, Andrea, Andre, or whatever?
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And I said, and I just took a different one.
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I just said, Andrea.
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It doesn't matter to me.
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Like whatever it said, I would know what it meant, right?
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It could spell, it could say Andrew.
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And I would, I would know exactly what it meant.
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Umbrella to somebody whose name is vaguely start, you know, starts with A and
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And I went through this, it was like obviously caught in an infinite loop.
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And at the last one, I just said, you pick.
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And uh it actually that actually worked.
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And it did pick the wrong name, but it actually it actually worked.
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It made a decision.
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Which I thought was kind of interesting.
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Because I did I thought that you I thought this was stuck in some
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kind of loop.
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And I'm just un I'm unsure even of the ways that it breaks down
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now because it's so clearly ground up a new system, right?
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Like that that to me, that loop I got stuck in was all new.
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I don't remember that ever happening with Syria before.
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I remember it mishearing me.
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I remember saying I can't do that.
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I remember, you know, all sorts of other frustrations, but never repeatedly asking me
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Andrea Andrea Andre or whatever, and me saying one of them and then it
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just repeating the exact same question again.
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And being able to say you pick and having it work, that actually is
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kind of clever.
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I think one of the things they've done, and maybe they've toned it down
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a bit through the betas, but at least in beta one and two, the
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dictation model for Siri interactions seemed to be like hypersensitive.
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It did not ever want to assume what you were saying, and it thought
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if if there was like a 50% chance that it misheard you, it was
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going to ask you to clarify.
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Because my example of a very similar situation is I ask it for years,
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almost every day, what time do the Reds play tonight?
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Because I watched the Cincinnati Reds.
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And usually it's like some games are at seven 7:10, 6:40.
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Like just so I just want to know exactly what time does it start.
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In iOS 27, it started saying, Did you mean the Cincinnati Reds or the
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Boston Red Sox?
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And I would say I meant the Reds.
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And it would say Reds or Red Sox.
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And you have to put the Cincinnati in there for it to be confident
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enough just to tell me the score or tell me the time.
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Tell me the time.
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Yeah, or tell you which team.
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So one step or two steps forward, one step back overall.
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It is, you know, there's some.
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I know some people want to argue about comparing it to the frontier, which
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is, you know, it is a big part of today's tech news, is what
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the very latest fable and uh you know, whatever the chat GPT version numbers
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are capable of, which is so far beyond what we're talking about with Siri.
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Not even that saying that Siri is dumb, it's just that we're talking about
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just getting basic stuff right.
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It's just really is it's not even apples to oranges because they're both fruit.
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It is like comparing a whole meal to a snack, right?
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It's like, let's just get the snack right.
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I don't know.
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It is and it's good overall, but it it and it's definitely progress, but
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it is still sort of uh confusing at times.
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And to me, the baseline isn't like, hey, what ad super advanced stuff can
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Can you have this make an entire app for you?
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Can it look at the source code for an entire Xcode project or a
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website and do stuff?
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Like Siri AI doesn't even try to do stuff like that.
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Put that aside.
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And to me, the baseline for what it should be able to do is
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if you hired a college intern, right?
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And if you have chance hired a college intern and you said, hey, I
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don't, I actually don't know.
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Do you live in the Cincinnati area?
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I live in Michigan.
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I grew up in Louisville, Kentucky, and everybody in Louisville is a Reds fan.
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But that's a very quick thing that a human being would learn about you,
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that your favorite team is the Cincinnati Reds.
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And if you just said to your human assistant, hey, every day tell me,
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you know, if I ask you, you know, just know I I, you know,
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because the times vary, you know, I don't know.
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Maybe they're playing out in California and it's going to be on at 10,
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10:30 at night.
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And you said, what time are the Reds on tonight?
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to a human being.
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They would never in a million years ask you, you mean the Red Sox
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or the Cincinnati Reds?
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Like, that's just baseline.
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And it's still kind of frustrating that Siri isn't getting to that baseline.
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Like the first time, sure.
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But that seems like something that it should be able to remember about you.
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Part of the overall my time with iOS 27, there's is a like a
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psychological element, especially with the personal context stuff, because we've spent the last however
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many years thinking, well, if I ask Siri this, it's gonna bomb.
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It's not gonna like I'm not even gonna bother trying to ask it because
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I know it's gonna get it wrong.
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And throughout iOS 27, it's been like a mental training to be like, maybe
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I could ask it that and it'll get it right.
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And then you start doing that, it accurately responds to enough of your questions
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that you start to learn that it actually is quite a bit better than
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it used to be.
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But it's been bad for so long that at least for me personally, it's
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like I don't trust it yet.
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Or I didn't trust it at first.
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So in beta one and beta two, I wasn't using it as much as
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I could have because that mental model of thinking it was terrible took a
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while to overcome.
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And I think that's going to be a thing when it ships to everybody
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in September.
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Like there's not going to be a resounding response from iPhone users saying, wow,
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Siri is good.
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It's going to be like a trickle as people try things and learn that
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it's finally mostly quite a bit better.
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I talked about that on a recent episode with Quinn Nelson, and we both
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have the same problem where it's the hardest part of testing it is remembering
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In the flow of daily life.
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Like when I'm actually actively thinking about it, you know, and like I'll install
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beta five when we're done recording this today, and I'll be thinking about it
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the rest of the day.
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But like just out and about in daily life, it just does not often
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does not occur to me.
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And I'll search for something the other way.
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And then afterwards I'll think, ah, I should have used Siri AI.
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And then I'll go and do it, not in the flow, you know, and
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just see, ah, and it even would have worked.
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But I I don't think of it.
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There is some learned behavior not to bother trying that is that they need
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to overcome.
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What else have you been using the apps, the actual Siri apps?
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I've used it on iPhone quite a bit.
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I I've kind of tried to replace my use of ChatGPT or Claude, just
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trying the Siri app.
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On Mac, not at all really.
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I don't think it's well enough integrated into Mac OS to really be useful.
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And I think I think overall, because so part of German's reporting up to
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WWDC was like, will they, won't they make a standalone Siri app?
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And up until March or April, he was like, well, they're testing the models
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with a dedicated app, but they're probably not going to release it.
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And then it was like, okay, maybe they will release it then.
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Yes, they're releasing it.
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And I think that kind of shows him the quality of the app across
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iPhone and Mac, especially where it's very basic.
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I heard something, I mean, and you know, this is me dipping my toes
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ever so gently into the rumor game.
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I heard something at while I was out in California at WWDC that I
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don't want to go into detail much, but basically that part of the code
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and the project at Apple changed kind of remarkably close to WWDC.
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You know, that I don't know what I don't even remember exactly what month,
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but something like March or April that like it's like, hey, why don't we
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do it an app and somebody put one together and they're like, yeah, now
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you're in charge of Siri, and because this is a good idea, you know
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that um I'm not trying to make excuses for Mark German, um, but that
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I actually really do think in this case that actually was a a fairly
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significant change internally and I think so.
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And and to the surprise and possible consternation of people at Apple who were
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working on whatever they were going to use as the visual presentation layer at
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Um, and I think it's a good idea, but I agree with you.
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It it just feels very thin, and nowhere does it feel thinner than on
00:15:52
◼
►
You know, it just is like because and I can't use it day to
00:15:56
◼
►
day because I am still on my main work Mac still using Sequoia, so
00:15:59
◼
►
I don't get it.
00:16:02
◼
►
And I think often, but I am using it on my iPhone, and it
00:16:06
◼
►
I am going to it before I go to Chat GPT.
00:16:08
◼
►
And it is it is succeeding for so many of the things I've used
00:16:13
◼
►
Chat GPT for, and I don't miss it.
00:16:16
◼
►
It is slower.
00:16:17
◼
►
I notice when I go back to Chat GPT, like, oh man, chat GPT
00:16:22
◼
►
is a lot faster to respond.
00:16:23
◼
►
This feels like Chat GPT when I first started using Chat GPT two years
00:16:28
◼
►
But I, you know, uh it's it's not too slow, it's just you know,
00:16:33
◼
►
and and if you're not used to if you're currently using chat GPT a
00:16:37
◼
►
lot or or Cloud or whatever else that's fast, you might look at the
00:16:43
◼
►
results of this and be like, I'm I'm not switching to this, it's slow.
00:16:46
◼
►
Whether you think the results are good or not, why why use the slow
00:16:49
◼
►
But for all the people out there who haven't been using one on a
00:16:52
◼
►
regular basis, it's pretty good.
00:16:54
◼
►
And you know, you can trigger it from the side button on the lock
00:16:57
◼
►
You don't have to unlock your phone, it is a huge convenience factor.
00:17:01
◼
►
Um, but when I'm at my Mac, and I often think, ah, I kind
00:17:05
◼
►
of wish I could use Siri AI on my Mac so I could continue
00:17:09
◼
►
testing it this summer.
00:17:10
◼
►
And then I do use Chat GPT classic, and I notice all the ways
00:17:16
◼
►
like the ways that it will attach itself to a BB edit window or
00:17:20
◼
►
to the current note in Apple notes, and I think I do not want
00:17:24
◼
►
to give this up.
00:17:26
◼
►
Same reason I don't want to, I'm not gonna switch to their stupid ass
00:17:29
◼
►
uh Chat GPT's super app that doesn't, you know, the super app that misses
00:17:34
◼
►
the best features of Chat GPT Classic.
00:17:37
◼
►
Uh, I'm gonna hold on to ChatGPT Classic as long as they will continue
00:17:41
◼
►
to let it be used, and it's not even the speed thing, it's the
00:17:44
◼
►
integration thing.
00:17:45
◼
►
It just doesn't.
00:17:44
◼
►
I don't know.
00:17:47
◼
►
But you know, hopefully, I I don't expect a lot between now and the
00:17:51
◼
►
fall when Mac OS 27 Golden Gate actually ships, but hopefully it is a
00:17:58
◼
►
you know major point of development after 27.0, you know.
00:18:04
◼
►
I don't know.
00:18:05
◼
►
I do applaud them for making the chat just a standalone chatbot app because
00:18:10
◼
►
it felt like if they weren't if the reason for not doing it felt
00:18:15
◼
►
like pride more than anything because they said all along they didn't want to
00:18:18
◼
►
make a chatbot app, but people want a chatbot app.
00:18:20
◼
►
I want a chatbot app app because typing to it is honestly the most
00:18:26
◼
►
natural way to interact with it, especially if you're just researching something.
00:18:30
◼
►
And to like silo it all off, however, they were gonna do it without
00:18:33
◼
►
an app, I don't think would have made sense.
00:18:36
◼
►
Yeah, I do think, you know, so I do give them credit for that,
00:18:40
◼
►
Uh turning, you know, doing effectively an about face, you know, and they've definitely
00:18:45
◼
►
managed to do it without saying that they're doing an about face, which I
00:18:51
◼
►
don't blame them for, and I would do if I were them in in
00:18:55
◼
►
charge of the messaging too.
00:18:57
◼
►
But I'm glad they did.
00:18:59
◼
►
And I I just feel it is the common sense of hey, chat is
00:19:05
◼
►
actually just a good interface.
00:19:08
◼
►
You know, it is why human beings spend so much time in text messaging
00:19:15
◼
►
with each other.
00:19:16
◼
►
It is a it is actually and it it's a thing that has stuck.
00:19:22
◼
►
It it's you know, I would say I started using what looks like a
00:19:26
◼
►
modern chat style interface back in the instant, we used to call it instant
00:19:30
◼
►
messaging days of iChat and the apps of that era.
00:19:35
◼
►
And it's effectively unchanged since then.
00:19:38
◼
►
It's just gotten technically better with syncing between devices and being always on instead
00:19:43
◼
►
of having to actually log in and being end-to-end encrypted with services like iMessage
00:19:48
◼
►
and WhatsApp and Signal.
00:19:50
◼
►
Um, but it's it's just a good interface that people get, you know, they
00:19:55
◼
►
understand it and it's simple.
00:19:58
◼
►
And you know, the the time-oriented nature of hey, uh new bubbles are at
00:20:04
◼
►
the bottom and you go keep scrolling up to go old, you know, to
00:20:09
◼
►
go back in time, it people understand it.
00:20:11
◼
►
And you're on this side and the person or thing, if in the case
00:20:16
◼
►
of a chat bot is on the right, it just works.
00:20:19
◼
►
And so I feel like if they had not done it and presented something
00:20:25
◼
►
else as the visual layer of it, it would almost certainly be worse and
00:20:30
◼
►
just for the sake of being different.
00:20:32
◼
►
And putting aside the technical limitations of the old Siri, it was just frustrating
00:20:38
◼
►
up until now that you couldn't go back.
00:20:40
◼
►
Like if you knew that yesterday you had had an interaction with Siri that
00:20:44
◼
►
answered a question and you've already forgotten the answer, not being able to go
00:20:49
◼
►
back and look at it and having to start all over again was super
00:20:52
◼
►
frustrating.
00:20:53
◼
►
And if you look at it from Apple's perspective and sort of not growth
00:20:58
◼
►
hacking, Apple doesn't need to growth hack anything, but if you want people to
00:21:02
◼
►
know that you're trying again and that Siri is different and better now, the
00:21:05
◼
►
best way to do it is to slap a Siri icon on their home
00:21:07
◼
►
screen for the first time.
00:21:09
◼
►
They update iOS 27 and it's there.
00:21:11
◼
►
Yeah, I agree.
00:21:13
◼
►
You know, I think the other thing that maybe they tied themselves in knots
00:21:16
◼
►
wasn't um all these other companies that everybody is saying is ahead of us
00:21:22
◼
►
and that we're hopelessly behind, they're all doing chatbots.
00:21:25
◼
►
So we don't want to say we're doing a chatbot because then it looks
00:21:28
◼
►
like even more like we're catching up.
00:21:30
◼
►
So let's just say we don't think chatbots are a great interface, blah, blah,
00:21:33
◼
►
blah, blah, blah.
00:21:34
◼
►
I think the other thing they got they maybe tied themselves in knots over
00:21:37
◼
►
was the idea that having a chat transcript is a privacy problem.
00:21:44
◼
►
You know, that you might want to say things to Siri and not have
00:21:49
◼
►
a record of them.
00:21:51
◼
►
And I think they overthought that.
00:21:53
◼
►
I I think it is great that Apple thinks of privacy way at a
00:21:58
◼
►
way higher priority than I would say any of its peer companies.
00:22:02
◼
►
But in this case, what is the privacy violation?
00:22:06
◼
►
Like I've been thinking about it, you know, on that privacy front as I've
00:22:09
◼
►
used ChatGPT for years.
00:22:11
◼
►
Like I don't even trust OpenAI nearly as much as I trust Apple, but
00:22:15
◼
►
I do trust that my actual chat transcripts with ChatGPT aren't nobody else is
00:22:20
◼
►
going to read them, and nobody else has access to my devices.
00:22:23
◼
►
So how would they read them?
00:22:25
◼
►
And if somebody does get access to my devices, I've got bigger problems than
00:22:30
◼
►
them reading my Chat GPT transcripts, right?
00:22:34
◼
►
And I guess I haven't even looked.
00:22:36
◼
►
I'm presuming that if you don't want Siri transcripts, I'm sure there's a setting
00:22:40
◼
►
to turn it off.
00:22:41
◼
►
But I think the settings are the same as messages, which is delete after
00:22:46
◼
►
30 days, delete after 60 days, something like that.
00:22:48
◼
►
Yeah, something like that.
00:22:50
◼
►
Which I, you know, it's great.
00:22:51
◼
►
I haven't said to save forever.
00:22:52
◼
►
What do I care?
00:22:53
◼
►
Honestly, you know, I feel like the security layer is that my phone is
00:22:56
◼
►
locked and people don't know my passcode, and I don't tell people my passcode.
00:23:00
◼
►
And you know, it's being too private, right?
00:23:03
◼
►
That's what I think.
00:22:59
◼
►
If you're if they were worried about that.
00:23:05
◼
►
And I think maybe they've just sort of realized, hey, what is the point
00:23:10
◼
►
What what is the point of worrying about the privacy here?
00:23:13
◼
►
We can do this and keep it private, you know.
00:23:14
◼
►
And and I would honestly say uh my personal chats in iMessage are way
00:23:21
◼
►
more have way more stuff that I would not want somebody else to read
00:23:24
◼
►
than my Siri interactions.
00:23:26
◼
►
So if you know, if you're allowed to keep an Apple encourages, I mean,
00:23:31
◼
►
they don't make it as easy as possible to search your old stuff, but
00:23:34
◼
►
it's there, why not?
00:23:36
◼
►
I saw an example on Threads or somewhere of somebody.
00:23:41
◼
►
I think people are gonna realize how much stuff is in their messages history
00:23:44
◼
►
because this person was used to Siri and iOS 27.
00:23:46
◼
►
They said, What's my social security number?
00:23:49
◼
►
And it went and it found it in an old messages thread, like with
00:23:51
◼
►
their partner or something.
00:23:53
◼
►
Because you're exactly right.
00:23:54
◼
►
People will send and save just about anything in messages and they forget that
00:24:00
◼
►
You can surface that for better or for worse for some people.
00:24:04
◼
►
And I guess if it uncovers something, you know, I mean, you'd have to
00:24:08
◼
►
ask for it for it to be uncovered, but if you discover, ooh, I
00:24:11
◼
►
wish that wasn't there, you know, you can delete an old text message, I
00:24:17
◼
►
You know, I think that if you delete if it uncovers it and you
00:24:20
◼
►
tap it and it shows up, you can delete it and it's only deleted
00:24:24
◼
►
Obviously, it's not deleted at the other end on the person you were corresponding
00:24:28
◼
►
with, but I think it deletes to all of your devices.
00:24:30
◼
►
I don't know.
00:24:31
◼
►
I mean, it's always been there.
00:24:32
◼
►
And and it it it is funny to think from a privacy angle that
00:24:36
◼
►
that because iMessage search has is still so bad, yeah.
00:24:40
◼
►
Um that people forget how much is in their archive.
00:24:44
◼
►
Um I've noticed that too.
00:24:47
◼
►
I guess at the last point on that point is that at WWDC, Apple
00:24:51
◼
►
made a big deal out of the fact that they have rewritten the search
00:24:55
◼
►
backend for mail, and say and kind of admitted, hey, mail search just kind
00:25:01
◼
►
of sucked for a long time, and you know, we knew it and we
00:25:05
◼
►
And I think it is better.
00:25:07
◼
►
Um I I really do.
00:25:09
◼
►
I mean, I'm mostly amusing it on my iPhone because my main Mac is
00:25:13
◼
►
still running Sequoia.
00:25:15
◼
►
But it does seem like search is better, faster.
00:25:18
◼
►
And when I know I'm looking for a thing that is in my email,
00:25:22
◼
►
it does seem to find it.
00:25:24
◼
►
Um, the search in the messages app though is not updated.
00:25:29
◼
►
Um, and I asked about that.
00:25:32
◼
►
We had a briefing about the sort of snow leopard.
00:25:36
◼
►
Did you get that briefing?
00:25:37
◼
►
I think sort of yeah, yeah.
00:25:38
◼
►
It was sort of like here's how this is like they even said snow
00:25:42
◼
►
leopard, you know.
00:25:43
◼
►
I think they said iOS 12, which I didn't recall as a bug fix,
00:25:48
◼
►
let's fix underlying stuff year, but it and you know, I don't know.
00:25:52
◼
►
I don't really remember iOS 12 specifically.
00:25:54
◼
►
But I asked, hey, you guys said mail search is better, is messages search
00:25:59
◼
►
better too, and it got one of those Apple great Apple non-answer answers, which
00:26:05
◼
►
was like a smile, which said a lot, and a that would be something
00:26:11
◼
►
for us to look at in the future.
00:26:13
◼
►
Yeah, which is interesting because it seems like Siri AI for the personal context
00:26:18
◼
►
stuff, the hierarchy of where it's going to look for answers to your personal
00:26:22
◼
►
context, like messages is near the top.
00:26:24
◼
►
It might be number two to mail, but somehow they're they're doing it without
00:26:29
◼
►
having actually re-architected the actual search for users in the messages app.
00:26:35
◼
►
Yeah, well, and that is the the thing, and maybe because it is computationally
00:26:39
◼
►
expensive somehow, because it does take a while.
00:26:43
◼
►
But I have personally found this would be my tip for people listening.
00:26:48
◼
►
If you are looking for something in your messages, and the actual traditional search
00:26:54
◼
►
in the search bar in the messages app isn't helping you or is giving
00:26:58
◼
►
you so many results it's not helpful.
00:27:00
◼
►
Ask Siri AI and tell it to search in messages.
00:27:04
◼
►
You know, uh search messages for the time chance told me his social security
00:27:10
◼
►
And you know, which you've never done, or at least have not done yet.
00:27:14
◼
►
But that works way better than searching the old fashioned way in the search
00:27:21
◼
►
And I can't can't really blame them for not making the search field a
00:27:25
◼
►
front end to Siri, because I I think that is it just is more
00:27:29
◼
►
I don't know if it's expensive locally.
00:27:31
◼
►
I don't know if it's going out to private cloud compute, but whatever it's
00:27:35
◼
►
doing, it takes long enough that you can tell it's um, but it it
00:27:38
◼
►
actually works.
00:27:39
◼
►
So it is sort of it is sort of weird that the built-in search
00:27:44
◼
►
is kind of crappy, but you can fix it by doing what seems like
00:27:49
◼
►
a very complicated or or should be an unnecessary workaround of going to Siri,
00:27:54
◼
►
but it actually does work.
00:27:56
◼
►
That's it's which is kind of unusual.
00:27:59
◼
►
All right, let me take a break here and thank our first sponsor.
00:28:03
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►
It is our good friends at Squarespace.
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Squarespace, man, what a long time great sponsor Squarespace has been for the talk
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Uh, it is the all-in-one platform for building your website or your presence on
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And it is truly soup to nuts.
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I I say this every time that I talk about them on the show
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because they sponsored that I can't think of any aspect of having a website
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that Squarespace can't handle.
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Now, if you already have a domain name, that's fine.
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You can pick and choose which parts you do on Squarespace and which parts
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It is both totally visual if you want it to be, or very low-level
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Um it's just about everything.
00:29:41
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And like I always say, even if it's not for you, dear listener of
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the talk show, I just know that you, the nerds who listen to this
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show, are the people that everybody in your life comes to when they need
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things like a website for their business, like a consulting business or a, or
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like I said, like a friend who has a restaurant or something like that,
00:30:01
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or any kind of business.
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Uh they come to you and they're like, I need help.
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I need a website.
00:30:05
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Send them to Squarespace and give them the code for the show and it'll
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Where do you send them?
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Send them to squarespace.com slash talkshow.
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So squarespace.com slash talk show.
00:30:37
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Did you the other breaking news that happened I knew about this because I
00:30:41
◼
►
was embargoed on it, but uh the embargo is apparently up.
00:30:45
◼
►
Live baseball and Vision Pro coming later this month.
00:30:49
◼
►
I was hoping we could talk about this.
00:30:52
◼
►
I'm very excited.
00:30:54
◼
►
They it is uh the first uh Friday night baseball with uh uh what's
00:30:59
◼
►
the word not interactive uh immersive immersive video and it is a game between
00:31:05
◼
►
my beloved New York Yankees and I think I might be an exhibition game
00:31:10
◼
►
with a uh a triple A team uh called the Boston Red Sox yeah
00:31:14
◼
►
excellent yep yeah exactly exactly right lots of Red Sox mentioned so far this
00:31:20
◼
►
episode unfortunately yeah four games total I think it's it's Red Sox Yankees Angels
00:31:25
◼
►
Pirates Padres Giants Giants Dodgers so if you're Jason Snell, you get your Giants
00:31:31
◼
►
in there twice, even though yeah yeah abysmal abysmal baseball team, but you can
00:31:36
◼
►
watch it immersively.
00:31:38
◼
►
I feel like it is not a coincidence that the first one though is
00:31:41
◼
►
Red Sox Yankees.
00:31:42
◼
►
Probably, and again, I am biased at least halfway.
00:31:45
◼
►
I mean, but everybody involved in that rivalry is biased only halfway.
00:31:50
◼
►
I think the best rivalry in baseball, possibly in U.S.
00:31:55
◼
►
professional sports, two teams that truly despise each other.
00:31:59
◼
►
Very, very exciting.
00:32:01
◼
►
And I think like a lot of things, and I don't know, maybe it's
00:32:04
◼
►
just the way, you know, because they're going as fast as they can, and
00:32:08
◼
►
whatever the hiccup has been to getting, you know, doing this in Vision Pro
00:32:14
◼
►
for live sports.
00:32:16
◼
►
Um even though they have Friday night, you know, we all I at least
00:32:20
◼
►
I thought, well, they have Friday night baseball rights.
00:32:22
◼
►
I kind of thought they'd get this going sooner than they did.
00:32:26
◼
►
And here it's you know, only starting at the end of August, so they've
00:32:29
◼
►
only they're only gonna have four games before the end of the season.
00:32:32
◼
►
But that's better than nothing, and maybe, you know, uh, you know, it's as
00:32:37
◼
►
fast as they could do it.
00:32:38
◼
►
And why wait till next year?
00:32:39
◼
►
Let's let's start this year.
00:32:41
◼
►
I mean, I remember the original Vision Pro demo at WWDC in what that
00:32:48
◼
►
have been 2024, I guess.
00:32:50
◼
►
One of the things in like that sizzle reel was I think it was
00:32:53
◼
►
a Red Sox game.
00:32:55
◼
►
You were sitting, I think, behind the dugout or in the dugout, or the
00:32:58
◼
►
Yeah, and that's on the first baseline, right?
00:33:01
◼
►
Yeah, I remember it.
00:33:02
◼
►
That is cool.
00:33:03
◼
►
And they did the NBA thing earlier this year with like the four or
00:33:07
◼
►
five Lakers games.
00:33:09
◼
►
But that was it was really cool once you got to watch it, but
00:33:12
◼
►
that one had like the blackouts and the rights restrictions.
00:33:15
◼
►
Like you couldn't actually watch it live unless you lived in Los Angeles.
00:33:19
◼
►
So this is better from that perspective because if you have Friday night baseball,
00:33:23
◼
►
you can just watch it and you can watch it live, which is gonna
00:33:26
◼
►
be really cool.
00:33:28
◼
►
They've got a Friday night uh game with the Reds at the Brewers on
00:33:29
◼
►
September 11, but alas, no uh no goggle icon next to that one.
00:33:38
◼
►
Um but this is very cool.
00:33:41
◼
►
I I I do I suspect that it's going to be like I I
00:33:48
◼
►
I'm reading the description here that it's sort of uh like I think it's
00:33:52
◼
►
gonna be like the the basketball games where they jump you around with your
00:33:56
◼
►
viewpoint, you know, that you don't get to you don't get to like pick
00:33:59
◼
►
a seat, you know, from the like let's say they put three seats and
00:34:03
◼
►
camera up three locations and you get to control it.
00:34:07
◼
►
I think they're gonna move you around.
00:34:09
◼
►
But uh I know my my dithering colleague Ben Thompson is particularly uh uh
00:34:14
◼
►
adamant that you should be able to stay in the same seat and you
00:34:18
◼
►
know control it yourself.
00:34:20
◼
►
But I'm just excited.
00:34:21
◼
►
I I don't want to complain of this that feels like uh looking at
00:34:23
◼
►
gift horse in the mouth.
00:34:25
◼
►
Yeah, I mean, this is this should be super cool.
00:34:27
◼
►
Um I mean, I would I really would watch triple A teams play immersively
00:34:31
◼
►
just to see it.
00:34:32
◼
►
The fact that it is Yankees, Red Sox, and uh if the season ended
00:34:36
◼
►
today, both teams would be wild card teams, I believe.
00:34:40
◼
►
Um, you know, it it's it should be, you know, what 18 days from
00:34:44
◼
►
now should be high both a high stakes game and a in a rivalry
00:34:48
◼
►
that's always feels high stakes.
00:34:50
◼
►
So awesome, awesome news.
00:34:52
◼
►
Yankees fans have it nice because they also did the stadium tour, the Yankee
00:34:57
◼
►
Stadium tour in immersive video.
00:34:59
◼
►
And that I mean, I don't like the Yankees, but that was a that
00:35:01
◼
►
was a fantastic immersive video kind of example.
00:35:04
◼
►
So yeah, it was.
00:35:06
◼
►
Uh, you know, I don't like the Dodgers, but I would love the same.
00:35:08
◼
►
I would love the same thing at the Dodgers at Dodgers Stadium.
00:35:11
◼
►
Yeah, I I would even take it at uh that rat infested shithole Fenway
00:35:16
◼
►
I mean, honestly, you know, especially if they showed all the rats and stuff
00:35:14
◼
►
That'd be great.
00:35:21
◼
►
Uh uh Vision Pro still alive.
00:35:27
◼
►
It still makes me laugh.
00:35:28
◼
►
It really does.
00:35:29
◼
►
Uh I guess we could parlay this into the next subject uh as a
00:35:33
◼
►
bit or segue.
00:35:34
◼
►
Um it still when I think about it, makes me laugh that they raised
00:35:40
◼
►
the price of Vision Pro by like the most token amount possible.
00:35:46
◼
►
Like it can't possibly be commensurate to the RAM in the device compared to
00:35:53
◼
►
It really to me was like somebody, you know, and I don't blame them.
00:35:58
◼
►
And again, I think I would have done the same thing where they were
00:36:00
◼
►
like, hey, we don't need to raise the prices, we're hardly selling any units.
00:36:04
◼
►
The RAM is just a it actually is a drop in the bucket compared
00:36:08
◼
►
to the overall four thousand dollar price tag of this thing.
00:36:11
◼
►
We don't need to raise the price.
00:36:13
◼
►
But I think they were like, yeah, but if we don't raise the price,
00:36:16
◼
►
people are gonna think that the product is dead, right?
00:36:19
◼
►
There's so many rumors that this is a dud that we're walking away.
00:36:22
◼
►
We want to make let people know we're you know, this is still a
00:36:26
◼
►
uh active product with a future ahead of it.
00:36:29
◼
►
If we don't raise the prices, you know, it looks bad.
00:36:33
◼
►
And so they raise the price like I don't know, five dollars or something.
00:36:37
◼
►
And the other thing I was thinking, like, are they still do you think
00:36:40
◼
►
they're still actively they can't still be actively making that many Vision Pros, like
00:36:45
◼
►
presumably they've made enough to satisfy demand right now.
00:36:49
◼
►
I would think so.
00:36:50
◼
►
I remember, and it it with the home with the original home pod, there
00:36:55
◼
►
was some uh sleuthing based on like the copyright dates on the boxes and
00:36:59
◼
►
the serial numbers.
00:37:03
◼
►
But you know, and again, Apple never confirmed it, but that there was some
00:37:06
◼
►
sleuthing that strongly suggested that there was only ever one production run of the
00:37:12
◼
►
original home pod.
00:37:13
◼
►
And you know, then when they stopped, it was and it's a kind of
00:37:18
◼
►
an unusual product line because they it wasn't dead, obviously, right?
00:37:23
◼
►
You can go to an Apple store now and buy a second generation home
00:37:26
◼
►
But they had that in the works, but it wasn't ready to go and
00:37:30
◼
►
it wasn't out yet.
00:37:31
◼
►
But they I guess they ran out of original home pods, didn't want to
00:37:35
◼
►
make more of them, and so they had this uncomfortable we're not going, we
00:37:39
◼
►
you know, the home pod is no longer for sale, but it is not
00:37:43
◼
►
And lo and behold, the new one did come out later.
00:37:47
◼
►
Um, and I can't help but think that Vision Pro is kind of like
00:37:50
◼
►
that, right?
00:37:50
◼
►
That yeah, they they made a bunch of them with the M5 or whatever
00:37:54
◼
►
the hell chip they updated it to, and it's you know, I I don't
00:37:58
◼
►
think they had to make many.
00:37:59
◼
►
So I whatever they you know again, the new prices of RAM probably you're
00:38:04
◼
►
right, chance probably aren't raising the price.
00:38:06
◼
►
I think it's really just a sign of life.
00:38:09
◼
►
And that same thing applies to the Apple TV, probably too.
00:38:11
◼
►
Like they're not I don't think they're still making new Apple TVs, like that
00:38:16
◼
►
they probably have what they need to satisfy that, and it's still got a
00:38:19
◼
►
$70 or something absurd, like $70 price increase, which oh yeah, it was crazy
00:38:25
◼
►
as a percentage, it was you know, and people aren't talking about it.
00:38:29
◼
►
I you know, we can get to the rumors, it's one of the other
00:38:32
◼
►
topics we can get to um, you know, on the show.
00:38:36
◼
►
But uh I I'm not hearing a lot of rumors about uh new Apple
00:38:41
◼
►
TV, but it feels like man, like if this isn't a price increase for
00:38:46
◼
►
new ones that are coming in September or October, boy, it makes no sense
00:38:51
◼
►
at all why they raised the price this much.
00:38:53
◼
►
Like Gurman's latest reporting on the Apple TV is I think he it's the
00:39:00
◼
►
same hedging that it's been for a while now, but ready to ship as
00:39:03
◼
►
early as September or October, I think he said.
00:39:06
◼
►
So maybe but all that's gonna be new is it's gonna have a faster
00:39:09
◼
►
It's not anything dramatically different.
00:39:13
◼
►
Uh which uh, you know, what could be different?
00:39:16
◼
►
I don't know.
00:39:16
◼
►
I mean, I the only thing I can think of that could be dramatically
00:39:19
◼
►
different is it wouldn't you wouldn't know it by looking at the hardware, but
00:39:23
◼
►
if they have a significant home uh, you know, this is your what do
00:39:28
◼
►
they call it, your home hub base station hub, your home hub.
00:39:33
◼
►
If it can suddenly do more interesting and useful things in the home hub,
00:39:39
◼
►
Uh, but any, you know.
00:39:43
◼
►
The segue would be to the ram crisis and the what the hell is
00:39:51
◼
►
Great way to put it.
00:39:52
◼
►
Um and I do feel like we just had last week, the week before,
00:39:59
◼
►
I forget, you know, I guess maybe it was eight days ago, but whenever
00:40:02
◼
►
Apple released their earnings, it's Tim Cook's last earnings.
00:40:06
◼
►
Was Tim Koch's last earnings as CEO.
00:40:10
◼
►
We are recording this on August 10th.
00:40:12
◼
►
I think it's gonna come out tonight.
00:40:13
◼
►
So, you know, August 10th.
00:40:14
◼
►
Um, we're 21 days out from uh John Turnus taking over as CEO on
00:40:21
◼
►
the first of September.
00:40:22
◼
►
Uh it is the very end of Tim Cook's tenure as CEO.
00:40:27
◼
►
He very obviously, both both just observing and taking his public statements at their
00:40:35
◼
►
at his word, wanted to hand things make this the best and easiest and
00:40:42
◼
►
most seamless transition ever.
00:40:44
◼
►
No drama, right?
00:40:45
◼
►
And there it really hasn't been, right?
00:40:47
◼
►
There's no German doesn't have any reports of any, you know, kind of upset
00:40:51
◼
►
within the executive ranks or anything like that.
00:40:54
◼
►
It seems like there was no drama, or if there was drama internally, it
00:40:58
◼
►
was entirely self-contained, you know.
00:41:00
◼
►
No drama internally, broad public support.
00:41:05
◼
►
I haven't seen anybody on the technical side, people who are just fans of
00:41:09
◼
►
the company or the investor side who is like, hey, what the fuck is
00:41:13
◼
►
up with this John Turnus, you know.
00:41:15
◼
►
You know, and he's left the Turnus with record, uh, record another record quarter.
00:41:22
◼
►
Everything is good except for the Ram thing.
00:41:26
◼
►
And there's nothing Tim Cook can do about it, right?
00:41:28
◼
►
And if there's nothing Tim Cook can do about it, there's nothing anybody can
00:41:31
◼
►
do about it because if anybody could navigate the situation, it would be him.
00:41:38
◼
►
The latest I'd link to a thing today that both the New York Times,
00:41:41
◼
►
it seems and it seems to me like can't be a coincidence that the
00:41:44
◼
►
New York Times and the Wall Street Journal both had fairly similar reports about
00:41:50
◼
►
Apple sort of uh lobbying the the federal government here in the US to
00:41:57
◼
►
get permission or a blessing.
00:41:59
◼
►
It's it's unclear whether they would need a legal exception or just like a
00:42:05
◼
►
blessing, like, hey, this is okay because it's technically legal, but we don't want
00:42:11
◼
►
to cross a political line to use Chinese-made RAM, even if only for devices
00:42:14
◼
►
that are sold within mainland China itself.
00:42:21
◼
►
But Apple tried that back in 2022 for other reasons before this crisis, I
00:42:25
◼
►
guess for cost savings or just to, you know, they like to have as
00:42:29
◼
►
many suppliers as possible.
00:42:30
◼
►
And the this is for multiple reasons, sort of a political red line, and
00:42:36
◼
►
one of the ever more increasingly rare things that is bipartisan here in the
00:42:43
◼
►
That both Democrats and Republicans alike are sort of like, hey, Chinese-made RAM is
00:42:49
◼
►
And it's not for a security, as far as I know, it's not a
00:42:52
◼
►
security thing that, hey, if you put Chinese RAM in a device, somehow the
00:42:57
◼
►
Chinese have a backdoor to devices.
00:43:00
◼
►
Because RAM doesn't have communication ability.
00:43:03
◼
►
That does not have RAM works.
00:43:05
◼
►
It's really, I as I understand it, just a hey, we don't RAM is
00:43:10
◼
►
such a crucial component.
00:43:12
◼
►
We don't want to give China any kind of leg up in the long-term
00:43:18
◼
►
supply chain for RAM in the world.
00:43:21
◼
►
This it's a bad idea.
00:43:23
◼
►
And in other areas of computing and components where China does have this position,
00:43:31
◼
►
it has played out poorly for the West geopolitically.
00:43:36
◼
►
And so let's not give them RAM too, basically.
00:43:39
◼
►
And Apple apparently the reports today are that Apple is still, because of this
00:43:43
◼
►
crisis, trying to take a second crack at getting permission slash blessing to use
00:43:48
◼
►
Chinese-made RAM and even in China.
00:43:51
◼
►
And both the Times and Wall Street Journal reports, they didn't have any names,
00:43:56
◼
►
but they seem to suggest that politically speaking, uh, the answer is still no.
00:44:02
◼
►
And more interestingly, both suggested that even if they Apple did get the permission,
00:44:07
◼
►
it actually wouldn't help them very much because apparently the Chinese made RAM is
00:44:11
◼
►
all sold out through the end of 2026 anyway.
00:44:14
◼
►
I don't get if if that part of it's true.
00:44:18
◼
►
Apple's original strategy was let's get permission from Trump or the Trump administration.
00:44:24
◼
►
And then they would do it despite the fact that they would get blowback
00:44:27
◼
►
from both parties.
00:44:29
◼
►
Or were they hoping that if Trump said yes, the Republicans would fall in
00:44:33
◼
►
line and they'd support it, but the Democrats would push back against it still,
00:44:37
◼
►
and Apple can live with that.
00:44:39
◼
►
But now if they're gonna go through all of that those hurdles and headwinds
00:44:42
◼
►
and whatever, and it's not solved the problem.
00:44:45
◼
►
I don't like what what's the point?
00:44:48
◼
►
Yeah, I don't know either, right?
00:44:50
◼
►
You know, and again, part of this crisis is it's not just oh, and
00:44:55
◼
►
again, Apple did have to raise or they said they had to, but I
00:44:59
◼
►
you know, I I think in some sense they did have to, and other
00:45:04
◼
►
than by taking a severe hit on their own margins.
00:45:08
◼
►
They needed to raise prices.
00:45:10
◼
►
They raised prices on all products other than what, the iPhone and Apple Watch,
00:45:16
◼
►
AirPods, yeah.
00:45:17
◼
►
And AirPods, which possibly aren't affected, right?
00:45:20
◼
►
I don't know.
00:45:21
◼
►
I mean, they have some kind of memory in them, but maybe actually are
00:45:24
◼
►
not affected by this particular crisis, AirPods.
00:45:27
◼
►
Um, presumably they didn't raise the iPhone and watch prices because they're just waiting
00:45:32
◼
►
till the actual new devices uh in a month.
00:45:36
◼
►
Um and you know, uh, I guess I don't know.
00:45:41
◼
►
It it is kind of curious strategy-wise, because then I would if that's what
00:45:47
◼
►
they're doing, and there was a room.
00:45:48
◼
►
Do you see that?
00:45:49
◼
►
There was a rumor over the weekend that maybe they were going to raise
00:45:51
◼
►
prices on the iPhone 17 and 17 Pro today, which didn't happen, or at
00:45:56
◼
►
least hasn't happened while we're recording yet.
00:45:58
◼
►
Maybe we can make that happen right now.
00:46:01
◼
►
Because strategically you could think, well, why not raise the prices now?
00:46:05
◼
►
And then we uh when they announce the iPhone 18 Pro and the But
00:46:10
◼
►
maybe everything is so out the door because they're gonna do this iPhone folding
00:46:16
◼
►
ultra that's even before this was going to have supposedly going to have a
00:46:23
◼
►
very high price because these folding screens are so expensive and all the other
00:46:26
◼
►
competing folding phones are like close to $2,000 or more than $2,000.
00:46:33
◼
►
And so whatever they raise the price of the iPhone 18 Pro 2, it'll
00:46:37
◼
►
look good compared to that.
00:46:38
◼
►
Yeah, I don't know.
00:46:39
◼
►
I think that if they're going to raise iPhone prices, they should have and
00:46:43
◼
►
probably would have just done it when they did everything last month.
00:46:46
◼
►
Because if you if you look at it from a public reception point of
00:46:50
◼
►
view, I think lumping it all in together and doing it all at once
00:46:54
◼
►
is better and getting through that one cycle than doing all that, letting the
00:46:58
◼
►
chatter about that die down, and then six weeks later say, actually, we're also
00:47:02
◼
►
gonna make the iPhones.
00:47:03
◼
►
Yeah, the current iPhones, not even the new iPhones, the current iPhones, 100, 200
00:47:08
◼
►
more expensive.
00:47:10
◼
►
Uh so but I guess the other wild card on that iPhone pricing thing
00:47:15
◼
►
So we're expecting iPhone 18 Pro and the iPhone Ultra slash folding, whatever they're
00:47:20
◼
►
gonna call it.
00:47:21
◼
►
But I don't know, I don't know.
00:47:22
◼
►
I'm I it it just makes sense they would call it Ultra.
00:47:25
◼
►
But yeah, I don't want to imply that I've heard anything, and that's just
00:47:28
◼
►
But everybody's sort of centered on the same guess.
00:47:30
◼
►
Um are they going to raise price and the rumor is that the regular
00:47:36
◼
►
no adjective iPhone 18 is not going to come out till next March or
00:47:41
◼
►
so alongside the 18E and possibly a second generation iPhone Air, um, that they're
00:47:51
◼
►
just permanently going to a hey, the E and the regular phones will come
00:47:56
◼
►
out early the next year, and only the high-end pro and ultra phones will
00:48:01
◼
►
come out in September.
00:48:03
◼
►
But will they raise the prices on the iPhone 17 in September a month
00:48:08
◼
►
from now in September?
00:48:11
◼
►
I don't know.
00:48:13
◼
►
Well, historically, if you think about it on the old cycle, so when they
00:48:17
◼
►
when they announced the iPhone 17 lineup last September, they kept selling the 16
00:48:22
◼
►
but knocked it down 100 or 200.
00:48:26
◼
►
So if this cycle alongside the 18 Pro introduction, typically they would introduce the
00:48:33
◼
►
base 18 and then the base 17 would stay around and go down a
00:48:36
◼
►
hundred to two hundred dollars.
00:48:39
◼
►
So if you're looking at it from that schedule, just keeping the prices the
00:48:44
◼
►
same this year is technically better than most years for the for that base
00:48:49
◼
►
But it does create if the 18 Pro and Pro Max are 200, 300
00:48:55
◼
►
more expensive, the gap between the base 17 and the flagship 18 Pro.
00:49:01
◼
►
Like that's gonna be a well, like a $700 gap at that point.
00:49:05
◼
►
So I think they could just raise the prices for the 17 and get
00:49:09
◼
►
away with it.
00:49:10
◼
►
That's what I I sort of think that they'll do, you know, because I
00:49:13
◼
►
don't think they want to make the 17 look more appealing compared to a
00:49:18
◼
►
brand new 18 Pro, right?
00:49:20
◼
►
Like if somebody is out there and just you know, a normal or closer
00:49:24
◼
►
to normal human being who doesn't follow 9 to 5 Mac on a regular
00:49:29
◼
►
basis and is just vaguely waiting until September or October, and then sees that
00:49:34
◼
►
the iPhone 18 Pro has a whoa, that is more expensive.
00:49:38
◼
►
And then hey, the iPhone 17 is like six hundred dollars less or whatever,
00:49:42
◼
►
seven hundred dollars less.
00:49:44
◼
►
I'll just get that.
00:49:45
◼
►
I've been waiting and I'll just get that.
00:49:47
◼
►
I don't think that's what Apple wants.
00:49:49
◼
►
So I think that they would raise the prices then to sort of keep
00:49:52
◼
►
you know, establish the new pricing tiers of these 100 gaps between 100 to
00:50:00
◼
►
200 gaps between phones.
00:50:03
◼
►
But I don't know.
00:50:04
◼
►
I mean, I feel like everything's off the table at this point.
00:50:06
◼
►
You know, it's just it's just all uncharted territory.
00:50:10
◼
►
It I guess the the other weird thing about the RAM crisis is just
00:50:15
◼
►
that it's not just a normal supply-demand thing, like oh, now they're more expensive
00:50:20
◼
►
and you pay the higher price and you could just get as much of
00:50:23
◼
►
it as you want.
00:50:24
◼
►
It's it just feels like no matter what you're willing to pay, there's it's
00:50:28
◼
►
like they're sold out, right?
00:50:29
◼
►
It's yeah, the the rumor, I don't think it's confirmed, but I get the
00:50:33
◼
►
big three non Chinese RAM companies, Micron, Samsung, and I think it's SK Heinex
00:50:40
◼
►
Yes, something like that.
00:50:41
◼
►
Yeah, supposedly they've sold out their future comp they're completely sold out of their
00:50:47
◼
►
production runs for 2027, right?
00:50:52
◼
►
Now, presumably Apple is part of that.
00:50:56
◼
►
That the yeah, I mean, it's almost certain to some degree.
00:50:59
◼
►
Now, are they like, uh, you know, I guess we're good.
00:51:02
◼
►
But I, you know, a big part of the earnings call last week with
00:51:06
◼
►
Tim Cook was that part of the reason they're facing a crunch is that
00:51:12
◼
►
Mac and iPhone sales are significantly up year over year, right?
00:51:16
◼
►
That they do lock in orders to some degree based on their projected sales.
00:51:23
◼
►
And Tim Cook said something more or less, you know, and we we projected
00:51:27
◼
►
strong sales.
00:51:28
◼
►
We weren't thinking sales would be weak, and they are strong, and that's why
00:51:32
◼
►
we're caught flat.
00:51:33
◼
►
It was we thought sales would be good, but they are really, really good.
00:51:37
◼
►
It was like 22% up for the Mac and 29 for the iPhone, or
00:51:40
◼
►
maybe the other way around, but you know, somewhere around 25% up year over
00:51:44
◼
►
year for Mac and iPhone, and they just did not lock in that kind
00:51:49
◼
►
of RAM, and there is no RAM to buy at any price to fill
00:51:54
◼
►
It's unprecedented.
00:51:57
◼
►
He called it a demand forecast issue, I think was his term.
00:52:00
◼
►
And if there was ever a bad year to really mispredict how many phones
00:52:06
◼
►
and Macs you thought you were gonna sell, it's this year.
00:52:09
◼
►
Because any other year, they just go and say, Okay, we need 30% more
00:52:12
◼
►
RAM for the iPhone, 30% more RAM, and they get it.
00:52:14
◼
►
Like they say jump, the suppliers say, Okay, how high?
00:52:17
◼
►
That is not the case this year, and it's really coming back to bite
00:52:21
◼
►
And what was the story?
00:52:22
◼
►
Did you see the story about the um it's it's affecting the TSMC production
00:52:27
◼
►
of the chips?
00:52:30
◼
►
As I recall, it is basically, you know, they have to, because of the
00:52:35
◼
►
system on a chip, everything's integrated.
00:52:38
◼
►
You can't just do can't print the wafers and then stick the RAM on
00:52:46
◼
►
when it's done.
00:52:46
◼
►
It has to be there at a at a production level.
00:52:50
◼
►
And it's it is halting production of the actual chips because they don't have
00:52:54
◼
►
the RAM part to put on the system on that chip.
00:52:56
◼
►
Yeah, it was from Tim Culpen who and he so the A20 Pro, the
00:53:00
◼
►
chip for this year's phones, is going to use TSMC's wafer level multi-chip module
00:53:08
◼
►
And like you said, that's where the RAM is integrated and packaged alongside the
00:53:13
◼
►
chip itself.
00:53:13
◼
►
And what Culpin said was they have $1 billion in A20 Pro chips sitting
00:53:20
◼
►
there that they can't do anything with because they don't have the RAM to
00:53:23
◼
►
go along with those chips yet.
00:53:25
◼
►
And his kind of takeaway was the iPhone 18 Pro could be, probably will
00:53:32
◼
►
be super hard to find when it comes out.
00:53:34
◼
►
It will be announced and released on schedule like we anticipate, but it'll be
00:53:39
◼
►
the hardest iPhone to get at launch in a while.
00:53:43
◼
►
Because again, it goes back to if any other year they had decided to
00:53:46
◼
►
implement this new wafer level multi-chip module technology, it'd be fine because they have
00:53:51
◼
►
plenty of RAM.
00:53:52
◼
►
But they picked this year, and this is the year that the RAM Mageddon
00:53:56
◼
►
is happening.
00:53:57
◼
►
And it's been a couple of years since there was a new iPhone that
00:54:01
◼
►
was literally hard to buy.
00:54:03
◼
►
Um I know with the iPhone 10, it it like didn't even come out
00:54:10
◼
►
till November.
00:54:11
◼
►
So it was like they did the September announcement and announced it alongside the
00:54:15
◼
►
iPhone 8, and we got to see it in the media, but then it
00:54:18
◼
►
didn't come out.
00:54:19
◼
►
And even the review units didn't come out until November because they don't like
00:54:24
◼
►
giving review units more than 10 days before products come out.
00:54:28
◼
►
You know, so that in some sense was a supply issue where there was
00:54:32
◼
►
literally zero supply.
00:54:34
◼
►
But I guess I I can't remember the last time there was like, hey,
00:54:40
◼
►
you know, some people who got their pre-orders in right when the pre-orders opened
00:54:45
◼
►
are gonna get their iPhone 18 Pro on launch day, but an awful lot
00:54:50
◼
►
of people are gonna, you know, and presumably right when the pre-order, if this
00:54:54
◼
►
is true, when the pre-orders open, people, you know, I don't know, half an
00:55:00
◼
►
hour too late, or people who are just later in the day, or people
00:55:03
◼
►
I don't know how how severe this will be, but people who like ordering
00:55:09
◼
►
at a time of day when the pre-orders launch, who in the last handful
00:55:13
◼
►
of years would still get their new iPhone on launch day, are gonna see
00:55:18
◼
►
like two to three weeks or four to six weeks, or who knows, you
00:55:22
◼
►
know, what it's going to say.
00:55:24
◼
►
We don't quite know, but I kind of believe it.
00:55:27
◼
►
You know, it's not just that Tim Culpen is a pretty good reporter, it
00:55:31
◼
►
just feels like this crisis is industry-wide, and there's literally it's just outside Apple's
00:55:37
◼
►
What are they gonna do?
00:55:39
◼
►
Yeah, every year.
00:55:40
◼
►
I think it's it's it's probably you who you say you wake up on
00:55:43
◼
►
well past when pre-orders start every iPhone launch day.
00:55:45
◼
►
Yeah, and you still get one on it, still comes on launch day for
00:55:48
◼
►
you, even though you ordered it at two in the afternoon or whatever.
00:55:50
◼
►
You might have to set an alarm that day to order my time.
00:55:55
◼
►
But the last time I can remember this, anything like this wasn't even at
00:56:00
◼
►
an iPhone launch window.
00:56:02
◼
►
I want to say it was the iPhone 12 Pro going into the holiday
00:56:07
◼
►
season of 2020, where Apple had they like issued an actual state, like an
00:56:13
◼
►
update to investors saying we can't make enough phones because the factories in China
00:56:14
◼
►
are shut down because of COVID.
00:56:22
◼
►
That's the last time I can remember.
00:56:23
◼
►
And that wasn't when the 12 was released.
00:56:26
◼
►
That was two months later because when they released the phones, the factories were
00:56:30
◼
►
up and running, and then COVID got worse.
00:56:34
◼
►
Yeah, I do I vaguely remember that.
00:56:35
◼
►
I'll try to find that and put it in the show notes.
00:56:37
◼
►
Um and again, overall, though, I remember thinking earlier in 2020, like, oh, who
00:56:44
◼
►
Maybe there won't even be a new iPhone this year.
00:56:45
◼
►
Like this is so, you know, 2020 was a bananas year, especially around April,
00:56:50
◼
►
May, into June.
00:56:52
◼
►
Uh, and overall, Apple navigated that uh almost remarkably well.
00:56:58
◼
►
Um it's uh I don't know, but this, you know, and again, if this
00:57:04
◼
►
turns out not to be that big a deal, you know, if it's like,
00:57:07
◼
►
oh, whatever happened to like we, you know, it's come December and it, you
00:57:12
◼
►
know, the iPhone 18 Pro availability is more or less like 17 Pro and
00:57:16
◼
►
16 Pro were the last few years.
00:57:18
◼
►
We'll be like, hey, what about that report over the summer that they were
00:57:21
◼
►
gonna be back ordered?
00:57:21
◼
►
I wouldn't be surprised if any company can pull it off and still manage
00:57:25
◼
►
to keep up with it.
00:57:26
◼
►
It's Apple, but I don't know.
00:57:28
◼
►
I feel like this this could be the year to really set the alarm
00:57:32
◼
►
for for pre order day.
00:57:34
◼
►
It wasn't the 12 Pro, it was the 14 Pro.
00:57:38
◼
►
It's I can't imagine COVID shutting down things in 2022.
00:57:44
◼
►
That's such a no that it affected that many launch cycles for Apple is
00:57:48
◼
►
hard to remember.
00:57:50
◼
►
I don't know.
00:57:51
◼
►
So, well, I'll I'll look for that in the show notes.
00:57:54
◼
►
All right, let me take another break here and thank our next sponsor.
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Do you want to want to put your lawyer hat on?
01:01:22
◼
►
I'll put my tie on.
01:01:23
◼
►
Let's do it.
01:01:25
◼
►
Uh so uh Apple filed the lawsuit against uh OpenAI and I.O.
01:01:35
◼
►
Um, I guess at the beginning of July?
01:01:39
◼
►
Uh and OpenAI's only response was some pretty weird PR statements of we don't
01:01:45
◼
►
have any interest in other people's IP uh or trade secrets.
01:01:50
◼
►
And then Apple filed before OpenAI filed a legal response.
01:01:57
◼
►
OpenAI uh Apple like got a second shot in.
01:02:00
◼
►
They filed their request for a preliminary injunction.
01:02:05
◼
►
Um then in immediate response published, I think, a very ill-considered blog post that
01:02:13
◼
►
was kind of confusing, even.
01:02:16
◼
►
But then their law firm uh filed their request to dismiss the website.
01:02:24
◼
►
And that was a good read, and they have very good lawyers, and that's
01:02:28
◼
►
where we stand.
01:02:29
◼
►
So Apple is saying they need to pre they want an emergency preliminary injunction
01:02:33
◼
►
before the trial date, I think is October 1st, or the first trial.
01:02:37
◼
►
They're saying this is so severe, and we're our trade secrets or will be
01:02:42
◼
►
so hurt forever if they're allowed to proceed that we need an injunction against
01:02:46
◼
►
them right now.
01:02:48
◼
►
And OpenAI is like their lawsuit is such nonsense that it should just be
01:02:52
◼
►
dismissed out of hand.
01:02:54
◼
►
I think that catches us up on the high level.
01:02:58
◼
►
The Apple request for a preliminary injunction, like what they say is the harm
01:03:03
◼
►
is happening now, and every day that passes without an injunction allows OpenAI to
01:03:07
◼
►
embed their knowledge of Apple's stolen information into its hardware development efforts.
01:03:12
◼
►
And then as part of that, in a separate filing, they also filed a
01:03:16
◼
►
motion to expedite discovery.
01:03:19
◼
►
And they want OpenAI to hand over the documents sooner.
01:03:22
◼
►
They want to be able to depose OpenAI employees and executives sooner.
01:03:27
◼
►
So they're not like I know at the start of the show we said
01:03:32
◼
►
legal cases kind of take a while and they drag out, but Apple's trying
01:03:35
◼
►
to hit the ground running on this one.
01:03:38
◼
►
And you know, everything does move slowly in the legal world.
01:03:42
◼
►
And so we're, you know, this happened, you know, at the very end of
01:03:45
◼
►
July, and the trial date is set for October 1st.
01:03:49
◼
►
So really it's just August and September in between what's already the trial date.
01:03:54
◼
►
But, you know, uh at least for the discovery, I could certainly see Apple's
01:03:59
◼
►
desire for that.
01:04:00
◼
►
Like, I do not think I mean, and the way uh lawyering works is
01:04:08
◼
►
you, you know, you say, you know, uh a hundred percent, I say zero
01:04:16
◼
►
percent, you know, and somewhere in the middle, if there's going to be some
01:04:22
◼
►
kind of settlement, it's somewhere in the middle.
01:04:25
◼
►
But the, you know, as the lawyer, you you start with asking for everything,
01:04:30
◼
►
or the other side asking for the other everything, right?
01:04:35
◼
►
So who's clo who's going to get closer to what they're asking for?
01:04:40
◼
►
Uh I I don't see Apple getting the preliminary injunction, and I'm not quite
01:04:46
◼
►
sure what that would mean, even.
01:04:48
◼
►
I honestly don't know what they're looking to to shut down.
01:04:53
◼
►
It's unclear.
01:04:54
◼
►
Like, are they saying that Tang Tan's uh employee badge should stop working and
01:04:58
◼
►
he can't come to work in the meantime until the trial?
01:05:01
◼
►
I I I really don't know.
01:05:03
◼
►
The request for expedited discovery, though, I could see being granted.
01:05:07
◼
►
You know, that okay, let's get the let's get this process started and an
01:05:12
◼
►
agreed upon framework for what each side is going to have to disclose to
01:05:18
◼
►
In the filing for the preliminary injunction, Apple outlined the five things that it
01:05:24
◼
►
at it once, which is stop accessing or using Apple's confidential information, halt ongoing
01:05:29
◼
►
user disclosure, preserve evidence, allow forensic inspections of devices, and allow Apple to search
01:05:35
◼
►
OpenAI system for Apple confidential information.
01:05:39
◼
►
And Apple said that OpenAI agreed to the first three of those.
01:05:43
◼
►
So stop using the information, stop the disclosure and preserve the evidence, but it
01:05:48
◼
►
would not allow the forensic inspection or let Apple search through all of its
01:05:55
◼
►
And translating that into normal talk, it's because they're saying we don't have any
01:05:59
◼
►
of your trade secrets.
01:06:01
◼
►
So yes, we will stop using the things that we don't have.
01:06:05
◼
►
And then the parts that are let us come in and look to see
01:06:08
◼
►
that you really don't have them, they're like, no.
01:06:11
◼
►
If they don't, right?
01:06:13
◼
►
In one scenario where they literally do not think they have any Apple trade
01:06:17
◼
►
system uh secrets on their devices or their networking systems, I still don't blame
01:06:23
◼
►
them in that scenario for saying, no, we're not letting you come in here
01:06:26
◼
►
and inspect this.
01:06:27
◼
►
We didn't do anything, right?
01:06:29
◼
►
You know, it's w if you if if I tell you, chance, uh uh,
01:06:36
◼
►
you know, give me, you know, give me back the wallet you stole from
01:06:39
◼
►
me, and you have not stolen my wallet, you're not gonna let me come
01:06:43
◼
►
into your house and like search for my wallet.
01:06:45
◼
►
Because you didn't you you didn't steal it.
01:06:48
◼
►
So I I you know, there is no, hey, if they have nothing to
01:06:52
◼
►
hide, why don't they do this?
01:06:53
◼
►
I don't blame them.
01:06:54
◼
►
You know, it's like, and if they did, if they're worried, because they do
01:06:58
◼
►
think, hey, maybe we did some sketchy things here, well then obviously they don't
01:07:02
◼
►
they don't either way they don't want to concede those points.
01:07:05
◼
►
And I think Apple knew I uh there's no way that they were gonna
01:07:08
◼
►
get agreement on those last two points.
01:07:12
◼
►
You know, I I guess the three possibilities is open AI really thinks they
01:07:16
◼
►
did there's no there there and they didn't do any of this.
01:07:19
◼
►
Apple AI uh open AI knows that they've got some uh some sketchy stuff
01:07:24
◼
►
that hey that doesn't look good, or somewhere in the middle where they're like,
01:07:27
◼
►
ooh, we don't we're not sure, maybe.
01:07:30
◼
►
Any one of those three, there's no way that they're going to want to
01:07:33
◼
►
to give Apple discovery.
01:07:36
◼
►
Part of it goes back to like I know this got talked about some
01:07:40
◼
►
when the lawsuit was first filed, but part of it goes back to what
01:07:44
◼
►
Apple wants from the lawsuit period and also the multiple people named in the
01:07:48
◼
►
lawsuit, because I think that Tang Tan probably could have kept getting away with
01:07:54
◼
►
what he was doing for a much longer period of time.
01:07:58
◼
►
But on the other side, the Chang Luction, they got they were doing something
01:08:07
◼
►
so obscene and so obtuse and so easy to trace that that's what threw
01:08:12
◼
►
them onto through Apple onto that scent.
01:08:16
◼
►
And that's sort of my high-level takeaway, too, right?
01:08:19
◼
►
There's there's uh what they're they they've named uh three people, Apple.
01:08:24
◼
►
They've named OpenAI as a whole, Tang Tan in particular, and this guy Chang
01:08:29
◼
►
Lu, uh an electrical engineer who left Apple for OpenAI at the beginning of
01:08:37
◼
►
I think with this guy, Chang Lu, they've got uh I think he's got
01:08:43
◼
►
some problems.
01:08:44
◼
►
He's dead to rights.
01:08:46
◼
►
And Apple even got their thing out, like OpenAI is trying to hang their
01:08:51
◼
►
hat on this.
01:08:53
◼
►
It is an unusual uh use of iCloud drive that Apple has.
01:08:59
◼
►
Um I've written about it a bit at Daring Fireball and heard much about
01:09:04
◼
►
it after I started writing about it from people who used to work at
01:09:08
◼
►
So uh, you know, Apple has this unique, I'm sure there's no other company
01:09:13
◼
►
even close to Apple size who uses iCloud Drive like this.
01:09:16
◼
►
And part of it is they are using some magic secret sauce.
01:09:20
◼
►
But long story short, that if you work at Apple, they encourage you but
01:09:25
◼
►
don't require you to use your personal iCloud account, your Apple account ID on
01:09:33
◼
►
your work devices, and then you are still iMessageable with your regular phone number.
01:09:41
◼
►
It's everything is more convenient.
01:09:43
◼
►
If you can imagine all the ways that you're as a non-Apple employee, that
01:09:47
◼
►
your life would be weird if you had to use a second device with
01:09:51
◼
►
an entirely second separate Apple ID.
01:09:54
◼
►
You know, that's what they're trying at one level, that's really what they're trying
01:09:58
◼
►
And that they, I don't know, some number of years ago, they added a
01:10:01
◼
►
feature where if you agree to use your personal iCloud account with Apple with
01:10:07
◼
►
your work, they flag your account and you get a special Apple.
01:10:11
◼
►
I think the folder is literally named Apple Work at the top level of
01:10:14
◼
►
your iCloud drive.
01:10:16
◼
►
And then the contents of that folder are where you might share work-related documents
01:10:22
◼
►
with your colleagues.
01:10:23
◼
►
And you can use features like you know, the way that the iWork apps
01:10:28
◼
►
like numbers have collaboration.
01:10:30
◼
►
Like I one of the readers who emailed me was like, you know, you
01:10:33
◼
►
know, I know it sounds a little silly, but you know, one of the
01:10:36
◼
►
reasons people use Google Docs is you can have a spreadsheet and two people
01:10:39
◼
►
can edit it at the same time.
01:10:41
◼
►
And we added this feature to numbers, you know, and it's really cool and
01:10:46
◼
►
And we couldn't use it at work.
01:10:48
◼
►
And instead, you know, even though we made this cool feature, we've still had
01:10:54
◼
►
to do the old-fashioned thing where we're back and forth emailing or iMessaging each
01:10:58
◼
►
other, saved copies of document name, final revision two date dot numbers, and then
01:11:08
◼
►
somebody else would get it and be like final, final, final revision one.
01:11:12
◼
►
Yeah, uh and you're like, which one is it?
01:11:15
◼
►
Final, final, final or final, final revision four.
01:11:19
◼
►
Which one's the final?
01:11:20
◼
►
And yeah, and you know, at some level, you're like, oh yeah, it would
01:11:24
◼
►
make sense if they could just use iCloud.
01:11:26
◼
►
And then you run into, but yeah, but what happens when you stop working
01:11:30
◼
►
What happens if some of your documents aren't in the um the Apple work
01:11:39
◼
►
But anyway, it's as pertains to this lawsuit, Apple got out ahead of OpenAI's
01:11:45
◼
►
motion to dismiss and said, as pertains to Chang Lu, yes, there was some
01:11:49
◼
►
of that with iCloud Drive, but all the stuff we're talking about had nothing
01:11:54
◼
►
to do with iCloud Drive and everything to do with the third-party cloud storage
01:11:58
◼
►
provider, who nobody neither side has named yet, but I'm almost certain is Box.
01:12:03
◼
►
Yes, absolutely almost 99% sure, yeah.
01:12:07
◼
►
Um and Apple said, you know, pretty I would say as clear as they
01:12:12
◼
►
could state it, that uh the stuff they're talking about has nothing to do
01:12:16
◼
►
with iCloud Drive.
01:12:17
◼
►
So any of the i Apple open AI's lawyers saying, hey, you know, to
01:12:23
◼
►
prove a trade secret, you have to protect it.
01:12:25
◼
►
And the way Apple handles this iCloud Drive stuff with their employees is so
01:12:30
◼
►
sloppy that they're not even protected.
01:12:32
◼
►
And it raises the question of whether these even qualify as trade secrets.
01:12:35
◼
►
It's all out the door or a moot point as far as Apple's concerned,
01:12:38
◼
►
because it was related to Box.
01:12:41
◼
►
And they had, I read the the dep, or not deposition, but the statement
01:12:45
◼
►
that from a hired forensic expert who looked at the logs and showed the
01:12:49
◼
►
dates that Chang Lu had accessed, presumably box, you know, and it was, you
01:12:55
◼
►
know, at least 37 files or something like that, um, or 39 files from
01:13:01
◼
►
and he left the company, left Apple in January, and he accessed them in
01:13:05
◼
►
February and March and all the way until like April 27th.
01:13:09
◼
►
That seems to me to be uh not good.
01:13:14
◼
►
The Tang Tan stuff is like some of it strikes me as kind of
01:13:18
◼
►
word of mouth like game of telephone, some of the things he was doing.
01:13:23
◼
►
And I think if Apple had only known about what Tang Tan was doing,
01:13:28
◼
►
I don't know if any of this actually happens.
01:13:31
◼
►
I don't think that's enough to take on a whole company because they're not
01:13:34
◼
►
just taking on Tang Tan and Chang Lu, which is how they usually approach
01:13:38
◼
►
these trade secrets cases.
01:13:39
◼
►
Like we've seen them go after different people before for taking things with them
01:13:43
◼
►
when they leave, leaking information while they're there.
01:13:46
◼
►
There were a few of them linked to who like left Apple's self-driving car
01:13:51
◼
►
project to go work for a Chinese self-driving car project and they took some
01:13:55
◼
►
files with them.
01:13:56
◼
►
Apple didn't go after the company that those people went to.
01:13:58
◼
►
Apple went after the individual person.
01:14:01
◼
►
Which is what makes this case so different.
01:14:03
◼
►
And why I think it is primarily Chang Lu, but since they're going after
01:14:08
◼
►
OpenAI, they can kind of lump it all together.
01:14:11
◼
►
I think one scenario is that this uh that Chang Lu was doing this
01:14:16
◼
►
on his own, you know, and and if he had asked his supervisor or
01:14:22
◼
►
who I don't know who, you know, who's, you know, if he'd reported directly
01:14:26
◼
►
to Tang Tan or if there was somebody in between them.
01:14:29
◼
►
But if he had asked, you know, should I go go back to my
01:14:33
◼
►
I still have I still have access to my Apple box account?
01:14:36
◼
►
Should I get the documents for Blanc?
01:14:38
◼
►
They would have been like, oh my god, no.
01:14:40
◼
►
You know, no.
01:14:41
◼
►
Let's, you know, let's talk to you know, legal and and figure out the
01:14:46
◼
►
right way to let Apple know that they accidentally still have you access, you
01:14:51
◼
►
know, but whatever you do, don't touch that.
01:14:53
◼
►
You know, they might have said that, or they might have they might have
01:14:57
◼
►
just said, you know, real cutesy style, like, hmm, yeah, I don't know.
01:15:02
◼
►
That's assuming OpenAI has any sort of checks and balances in place internally.
01:15:07
◼
►
And I don't think they're utilized, yeah.
01:15:11
◼
►
We have no idea, you know, and I don't want to imply one way
01:15:14
◼
►
or the other.
01:15:15
◼
►
Um, and is was is Chang Lu the exception?
01:15:19
◼
►
Whether he had any uh uh other people within OpenAI and I.O.
01:15:25
◼
►
who knew what he was doing, uh you know, is he the one person
01:15:28
◼
►
who had access to these documents and did this?
01:15:31
◼
►
Uh or was he one of several and he's just the one that Apple
01:15:37
◼
►
has evidence against.
01:15:38
◼
►
And that's obviously that's what Apple is saying, they need the broad discovery to
01:15:43
◼
►
I don't know, but I would say of the people and things that are
01:15:47
◼
►
in Apple's accusations, he seems like he's in trouble.
01:15:52
◼
►
When it comes to Tang Tan, who is I forget his title at IO,
01:15:57
◼
►
but he's effectively that in head of a head of the hardware initiative, and
01:16:00
◼
►
he was a senior or not a senior vice president, but a vice president
01:16:03
◼
►
of iPhone hardware at Apple until he left a few years ago.
01:16:08
◼
►
Obviously, still had had always had and clearly still has a good relationship with
01:16:13
◼
►
Johnny Ive, given that he worked with him when Johnny Ive was at Apple,
01:16:17
◼
►
and Johnny Ive hired him amongst other people in Johnny's inner circle at Apple
01:16:25
◼
►
He's named in the lawsuit, but as I read it, nothing that Apple has
01:16:30
◼
►
revealed as evidence is unlawful from Tang Tan.
01:16:34
◼
►
You can say that it looks bad, and if it goes to a jury,
01:16:39
◼
►
you know, it this is not a criminal suit, it's a civil suit.
01:16:44
◼
►
And so it's not you know, is Tang Tan going to jail?
01:16:48
◼
►
Nobody's accusing him of that.
01:16:50
◼
►
And so you go to a civil suit and it's sort of what does
01:16:53
◼
►
the jury think?
01:16:54
◼
►
And does some of this stuff look bad?
01:16:57
◼
►
Yeah, but is it unlawful?
01:16:59
◼
►
I don't think anything that they've alleged is unlawful.
01:17:02
◼
►
Even the part if you really read what Apple puts in quotes in their
01:17:07
◼
►
um their motions, um, like the part about asking people coming in for job
01:17:12
◼
►
interviews to bring parts, the parts that are in quotes, nothing says bring prototypes
01:17:18
◼
►
or individual in development secret parts.
01:17:23
◼
►
It could just be it could be you know, bring parts in released devices
01:17:27
◼
►
that you have worked on.
01:17:28
◼
►
And I'm sure company policy at Apple is you can't bring that, right?
01:17:32
◼
►
Like if you worked on the volume buttons for the iPhone 17 Pro, I
01:17:39
◼
►
don't know, you know, that's a simplistic example.
01:17:42
◼
►
But if you did the volume buttons for the iPhone 17 Pro, you could,
01:17:46
◼
►
you know, it's obviously not illegal to show Tang Tan the volume buttons from
01:17:50
◼
►
the iPhone 17 Pro, because you could stop by an Apple store and buy
01:17:55
◼
►
an iPhone and show them to them, or or you know, if it's a
01:17:59
◼
►
an internal part like a uh logic board or something, you could use a
01:18:03
◼
►
screwdriver and take the iPhone apart and show it to them, right?
01:18:06
◼
►
And I'm so sure if they just have extra parts laying around so you
01:18:09
◼
►
don't have to dissemble a phone that it's against company policy, and that you
01:18:14
◼
►
know, if you just use a part that was laying around the office, you
01:18:19
◼
►
might get fired for taking it off campus to show at a job interview
01:18:24
◼
►
at any company, let alone open AI.
01:18:26
◼
►
But again, is it un is it unlawful?
01:18:29
◼
►
No, there's all sorts of things you get fired for at Apple that are
01:18:32
◼
►
not unlawful.
01:18:33
◼
►
Uh you know, if if it comes out that you're Joe Apple employee and
01:18:38
◼
►
you've been telling Mark German anything that Mark Garmin reports, you're going to get
01:18:44
◼
►
That's a hundred percent certainty.
01:18:46
◼
►
Did you break the law?
01:18:48
◼
►
No, yeah, you're not, you know.
01:18:50
◼
►
I mean, I now can you are you if you told him things that
01:18:55
◼
►
you had signed uh uh non-disclosure agreement, I guess you're on the hook for
01:19:00
◼
►
a civil judgment, but you're not gonna go to jail, right?
01:19:04
◼
►
Tang tan doesn't work for Apple anymore, right?
01:19:07
◼
►
So I don't think it's unlawful.
01:19:08
◼
►
It just looks bad, right?
01:19:10
◼
►
And and like the whole thing, Apple is making a big deal out of
01:19:12
◼
►
like Tang Tan held on to a checklist of what Apple managers do when
01:19:18
◼
►
you say, Hey, I'm giving my notice.
01:19:22
◼
►
Uh I'm gonna go work at OpenAI, and they're like, Oh, you don't need
01:19:26
◼
►
We're gonna call security and you're gonna be you're gonna be marched out now,
01:19:30
◼
►
and we're gonna ask you for this, that, the other thing, and we're gonna
01:19:33
◼
►
have an interview with you.
01:19:35
◼
►
Again, that's not illegal.
01:19:36
◼
►
Apple might wish that people who don't work at Apple didn't have that checklist,
01:19:41
◼
►
but it's not illegal to have it, you know.
01:19:43
◼
►
So I don't think there's anything Apple has alleged to date that is unlawful
01:19:48
◼
►
that Tang Tan has done.
01:19:50
◼
►
It's a harder case to prove than it is for Chang Lu, anyway.
01:19:54
◼
►
Yeah the burden is on Apple to do to do that and convince a
01:19:57
◼
►
jury of that.
01:20:00
◼
►
Possibility A is they just, you know, and again, it's multiple people, and I've
01:20:04
◼
►
even heard this from people at Apple that per at a personal level, John
01:20:08
◼
►
Turnus and Tang Tan never liked each other.
01:20:10
◼
►
And not just not just that they were rivals coming up through the hardware
01:20:14
◼
►
ranks for what was eventually uh Turnus' pro promotion to senior vice president of
01:20:22
◼
►
hardware, and now promotion from SVP of hardware all the way to the you
01:20:27
◼
►
know the CEO office.
01:20:29
◼
►
Um, but that they didn't like each other even even at beyond the way
01:20:33
◼
►
that maybe two up and comers in a company are just not going to
01:20:37
◼
►
like each other for competitive reasons, that they just didn't like each other, period.
01:20:40
◼
►
Um I've heard that.
01:20:42
◼
►
That could factor into this, obviously, you know.
01:20:44
◼
►
And maybe too, if they did like each other, you know, that maybe Tang
01:20:49
◼
►
Tan isn't mentioned in the lawsuit, right?
01:20:51
◼
►
I don't know, who knows?
01:20:53
◼
►
The example that would prove that point would be the Johnny Ive element of
01:20:56
◼
►
He's not named in the lawsuit, and presumably that's because Apple still has respect
01:20:59
◼
►
for five in a way that they don't for Tang Tan.
01:21:04
◼
►
Or that they literally don't have any evidence at all.
01:21:07
◼
►
You know, that that Johnny Ives, you know, is not involved in these job
01:21:11
◼
►
interviews that Apple has obviously gotten some details about.
01:21:14
◼
►
And and if they do find evidence that he is, maybe they name him.
01:21:18
◼
►
Maybe they're, you know, we don't know.
01:21:20
◼
►
I mean, this is it's it's it could be one or the other.
01:21:23
◼
►
It could be that they like him and have respect for him and definitely
01:21:26
◼
►
were trying to keep are tr are trying to keep him out of it
01:21:30
◼
►
Or it could be that they just don't have any evidence, and so therefore
01:21:34
◼
►
they didn't name him.
01:21:35
◼
►
But if they do find evidence, they would.
01:21:37
◼
►
I don't we don't know.
01:21:38
◼
►
That's uh to be determined.
01:21:41
◼
►
The the third thing, so there's Chang Lu, and I think that they've got
01:21:44
◼
►
him on some stuff.
01:21:45
◼
►
And I suspect that uh it uh Mr.
01:21:48
◼
►
Liu is just going to be cut loose by open AI.
01:21:51
◼
►
And if he's the only person involved, then that's maybe the end of the
01:21:55
◼
►
matter, you know, like, oh well, he did some bad stuff and we're gonna
01:21:59
◼
►
part ways with him.
01:22:00
◼
►
And but we've made sure that everything he brought in and everything he's touched
01:22:05
◼
►
at open AI, you know, is expunged from our systems.
01:22:09
◼
►
Tang tan, I'd to date, again, there might be evidence against him.
01:22:13
◼
►
Maybe Apple has evidence and they put it didn't put it into motion and
01:22:16
◼
►
they're waiting to see what uh open AI does comes up, you know, comes
01:22:20
◼
►
back within disclosure.
01:22:22
◼
►
And then Apple can say, hey, but we already know about these text messages
01:22:26
◼
►
from Tang 10, and they're not in what you've not disclosed.
01:22:29
◼
►
What's it called?
01:22:30
◼
►
Uh discovery.
01:22:31
◼
►
That hey, your discovery is obviously incomplete because we know about this.
01:22:29
◼
►
Like Apple's under no obligation to have already put in their current motions everything
01:22:41
◼
►
I sort of suspect they have, because if they really are looking to get
01:22:45
◼
►
a preliminary injunction, they've put everything they've got into it, but who knows.
01:22:49
◼
►
The other factor that's in the Apples thing is this bit, which they don't
01:22:54
◼
►
they don't name the company, the supplier, but they claim that there is a
01:22:59
◼
►
supplier that knows that Apple has worked with for a proprietary finish to I
01:23:05
◼
►
think and I think they say it's a metal.
01:23:08
◼
►
So presumably either steel or aluminum or titanium.
01:23:12
◼
►
Um it doesn't really matter, but there's some proprietary finish to a metal with
01:23:18
◼
►
a supplier that Apple considers a trade secret that they've spent money to develop
01:23:23
◼
►
and that that they have a proprietary agreement with this supplier.
01:23:27
◼
►
And that open AI went to this supplier and said, Hey, you can tell
01:23:30
◼
►
us and how to do this, and we can use this finish too.
01:23:33
◼
►
And we have Apple's permission to do it.
01:23:36
◼
►
Apple doesn't reveal the name of the supplier, and without even the name of
01:23:40
◼
►
the supplier, they don't reveal like here's text messages we know that they exchanged.
01:23:44
◼
►
We Apple hasn't said how they know that this happened.
01:23:47
◼
►
Presumably they've talked to the supplier, and the supplier was like, Hey, somebody this
01:23:51
◼
►
guy who I thought this guy left Apple and whoever it is, and he
01:23:55
◼
►
came and said, you know, was talking about this finishing thing, and Apple was
01:23:59
◼
►
like, Yeah, he left, you know, last year.
01:24:01
◼
►
Uh tell us more.
01:24:02
◼
►
I don't know.
01:24:03
◼
►
But to me, that is the wild card in this whole thing.
01:24:07
◼
►
Because that that's a pretty I I think prima facie.
01:24:12
◼
►
I forget, I don't know if that's how you pronounce it, but on the
01:24:14
◼
►
face of it, that's a theft of a trade secret.
01:24:17
◼
►
And you know, uh it's it's pretty much the definition of what Apple is
01:24:21
◼
►
accusing them of.
01:24:22
◼
►
But Apple hasn't revealed the details of it.
01:24:24
◼
►
And obviously, for this to come when this comes to trial, they will have
01:24:28
◼
►
That's to me the wild card in this whole thing.
01:24:31
◼
►
I think it's interesting that going back to the John Turnus bit a little
01:24:37
◼
►
If John Turnus wasn't behind this lawsuit, would Apple have chosen right now to
01:24:43
◼
►
start slinging mud at OpenAI?
01:24:45
◼
►
Like the whole that whole the timing of it is so weird for a
01:24:50
◼
►
company that's been so meticulously planning this transition that you wouldn't just start this
01:24:55
◼
►
without not just buy-in from Turnus, but Turnus being emphatically behind it and thinking
01:25:02
◼
►
there was more to it than just dragging people's names through the mud.
01:25:05
◼
►
That's why with Tang Tan, like I'm a bit more inclined to think Apple
01:25:11
◼
►
has maybe more than they've talked about.
01:25:13
◼
►
And I think Apple's lawyers probably have a reason for particularly emphasizing this need
01:25:18
◼
►
to know document so much, like for just a single document, they're really the
01:25:23
◼
►
filings make a real big and put a real big emphasis on it.
01:25:27
◼
►
I think we're entirely right that Cheng Lu is number one.
01:25:30
◼
►
This material supplier thing is clear as day, probably.
01:25:33
◼
►
And I think Apple even says Cheng Lu was mostly behind that too.
01:25:39
◼
►
And then the Tang Tan thing is the weakest argument, but I think there's
01:25:46
◼
►
enough to it that Apple that they wouldn't do it, yeah, if they didn't
01:25:50
◼
►
think there was a there.
01:25:51
◼
►
I don't know.
01:25:52
◼
►
Maybe maybe they're more spiteful than we're than we think.
01:25:56
◼
►
I do think it's got to be the case that Turnus, not that he's
01:25:59
◼
►
single-handedly behind it, but that he endorses this lawsuit.
01:26:03
◼
►
Because if he didn't, I don't again, Cook's desire to leave Turnus the neatest
01:26:11
◼
►
plate possible coming into the job.
01:26:14
◼
►
Even if Cook was like, John, I really think we should do this.
01:26:18
◼
►
And Turnus was like, ah, I don't want to.
01:26:20
◼
►
I I just don't want to, I don't want to, I don't want to
01:26:22
◼
►
start my tenure with this ugliness.
01:26:25
◼
►
I think Cook would say, Okay, you know, you've heard my piece, but we'll
01:26:29
◼
►
do it your way, and you know, but you know, keep your eye on
01:26:33
◼
►
this, you know.
01:26:33
◼
►
I but I think Cook would actually defer to Turnus because obviously all but
01:26:39
◼
►
these I I don't think we'll hear anything more from Apple until September when
01:26:43
◼
►
Turnis is CEO.
01:26:44
◼
►
So the only the very opening salvos happened under Cook's tenure.
01:26:49
◼
►
And it's clearly such a this transition is exactly, you know, it is Cook's
01:26:55
◼
►
baby, the transition.
01:26:57
◼
►
It is not like the Cook said, Hey, maybe I'll stay on, and the
01:27:01
◼
►
board is like, no, you're out, and we've picked this guy, Turnus, you know,
01:27:05
◼
►
and Cook is like, well, let me quick hurry and file this lawsuit.
01:27:09
◼
►
You know, that's that is clearly not the situation.
01:27:12
◼
►
So either Cook and Turnus are both fully on board with it, or Turnus
01:27:18
◼
►
is fully on board and Cook is like, sure, I'll go, we'll go your
01:27:21
◼
►
Yeah, but I suspect it's both of them.
01:27:23
◼
►
But it's one way or the other, it's got to be Turnus.
01:27:25
◼
►
There's no scenario where Cook is on board with it and Turnus is not,
01:27:29
◼
►
and Cook is like, well, screw you, we're going ahead with it.
01:27:32
◼
►
The other factor, though, I have to say it before we move on, is
01:27:35
◼
►
the other factor that could be the whole point of this is that Apple
01:27:39
◼
►
has no real intention of getting an injunction.
01:27:41
◼
►
They know there's not much more.
01:27:42
◼
►
They've got this Chang Lu guy.
01:27:44
◼
►
I mean, the poor guy might get fired and whatever.
01:27:47
◼
►
Um, but it's not going to really have any long-term effect on whatever open
01:27:52
◼
►
AI is already working on with the people who were already there.
01:27:56
◼
►
But that the entire point of this is to stop employees from Apple from
01:28:01
◼
►
leaving Apple for Open AI.
01:28:03
◼
►
Because if there are others, and I don't know, you know, obviously that's the
01:28:07
◼
►
sort of thing where you'd have to be insane to be a little birdie,
01:28:10
◼
►
even if you trust me to say, yeah, I'm still at Apple, and I
01:28:13
◼
►
was thinking about leaving for open AI, but now I'm thinking, I don't know.
01:28:17
◼
►
You know, but if there are other employees who at Apple who were on
01:28:22
◼
►
the fence and thinking, ah, some of the best people I used to work
01:28:25
◼
►
with here are there, and they seem pretty happy.
01:28:27
◼
►
Maybe I should go too, and they're still hiring.
01:28:30
◼
►
This might make, I think that the intention, the not that as a side
01:28:34
◼
►
effect, but maybe the primary intention of this whole thing is to give those
01:28:38
◼
►
people second thoughts of, oh, do I want to get involved in this and
01:28:42
◼
►
have Apple, you know, if you leave Apple to go work at Google or
01:28:47
◼
►
or whatever, you know, they're like, okay, you know, it's been nice working with
01:28:50
◼
►
you, have a good time, you know.
01:28:52
◼
►
You know, Sayanara.
01:28:54
◼
►
Uh I think when you say I'm leaving and I'm going to IO and
01:28:57
◼
►
open AI, you're looking for a forensic exam of your digital life on the
01:29:03
◼
►
way out the door.
01:29:05
◼
►
And a sort of hey, the old open door of sometimes people leave Apple,
01:29:12
◼
►
they go somewhere else to a startup for a couple years, and then after
01:29:15
◼
►
a couple years they come back to Apple.
01:29:17
◼
►
Like that door closes if you're going to open AI.
01:29:21
◼
►
And I think that that might give people pause, and that might be the
01:29:25
◼
►
entire intent.
01:29:27
◼
►
I mean, in the filing, I I was surprised they revealed this number, but
01:29:30
◼
►
they said I think it's more than 400 former Apple employees are at Open
01:29:35
◼
►
Which I expected that number to be high.
01:29:37
◼
►
I don't know if I expected it to be that high.
01:29:41
◼
►
I I agree, because that is an aw, that's just a very, very large
01:29:45
◼
►
And I I'm trying to think off the top of my head how many
01:29:49
◼
►
I don't know.
01:29:50
◼
►
I I could probably count them on one hand.
01:29:52
◼
►
But definitely on two hands.
01:29:54
◼
►
Um and I thought that was unusual, but now it makes if it is,
01:29:59
◼
►
you know, I mean, there's no nobody's disputing the 400 number.
01:30:02
◼
►
And it's like, oh, well, if it is 400, well then no wonder I
01:30:06
◼
►
Or I've heard of 567 because it's 400 people.
01:30:09
◼
►
And I can't even think of who is in second place in terms of
01:30:14
◼
►
having the most highest number of ex-Apple employees currently employed.
01:30:19
◼
►
Probably Qualcomm with the chip team that left Apple Silicon some number of years
01:30:26
◼
►
And there was, you know, some uh legal uh elbow throwing over the legality
01:30:32
◼
►
of what they what knowledge those people were leaving with, right?
01:30:35
◼
►
That there were some of the people from Johnny Sarugi's team involved in the
01:30:38
◼
►
creation of Apple Silicon, not just Apple Silicon, like the M series chips, yeah,
01:30:42
◼
►
but like the whole lowercase Apple Silicon from the chips that they've been making
01:30:47
◼
►
under Johnny Surugi's division ever since the PA semi acquisition in 2010 or whatever
01:30:53
◼
►
year that was, or 2007.
01:30:55
◼
►
Um, that they left for Qualcomm, but it's not 400.
01:30:58
◼
►
I think it's more like 40, right?
01:31:00
◼
►
I think it's I think it's a team that could kind of fit on
01:31:03
◼
►
a bus, not 400.
01:31:04
◼
►
And I would guess that that's second place.
01:31:07
◼
►
I I I'd I've just never heard of anything like this.
01:31:10
◼
►
And I think that could just be the explanation that there isn't anything ever
01:31:14
◼
►
there's never been anything like this.
01:31:16
◼
►
And Apple is some combination of angry and concerned about it.
01:31:23
◼
►
And the combination of anger and worry is let's just file this lawsuit and
01:31:28
◼
►
see if that helps put a stop to it.
01:31:32
◼
►
I think Apple employees leave for Google all the time, but Google employees also
01:31:35
◼
►
leave for Apple all the time.
01:31:37
◼
►
That's kind of an open door both ways.
01:31:39
◼
►
I haven't I haven't heard of anybody leaving open AI for Apple.
01:31:42
◼
►
I can't imagine that's a very common pathway.
01:31:46
◼
►
No, and at this point, and again, I don't know, at a personal level,
01:31:50
◼
►
maybe there's some people who are still, you know, it's it's like, hey, no
01:31:53
◼
►
hard feelings, even if you went to, I'm sure for some people, and it
01:31:56
◼
►
a measure of their actual friendships and the technical acumen, you know, like hey,
01:32:01
◼
►
you're so good, we'll take you back, you know, because we'd love to have
01:32:04
◼
►
Um, you know, but I can't help but think that for the average employee
01:32:09
◼
►
who's made this switch, the door might be closed at least for a number
01:32:13
◼
►
Yeah, just because this is been escalated to a level that it hasn't before.
01:32:18
◼
►
And again, there's no I I can't think of any precedent for it, really.
01:32:22
◼
►
So we shall see.
01:32:23
◼
►
All right, let me take a break here and thank our third and final
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One last topic.
01:34:47
◼
►
And it's I think it was the last time I saw you in person,
01:34:50
◼
►
chance was uh the Siri AI in the EU situation.
01:34:59
◼
►
So the only thing that's happened, there's two things that have happened over the
01:35:03
◼
►
There was a thing, I don't think I wrote about it where Tim Cook
01:35:06
◼
►
met with somebody, somebody I have some woman whose name I don't remember from
01:35:09
◼
►
the EU in a private meeting.
01:35:12
◼
►
And uh, you know, there it's what they said, I don't know.
01:35:15
◼
►
We don't know that they were like, well, we you know, it was a
01:35:19
◼
►
it was a it was a nice discussion or something.
01:35:22
◼
►
But nothing came out of it.
01:35:24
◼
►
And I haven't heard anything like, oh, you know, we straightened that out, and
01:35:28
◼
►
you know, now we we have a path forward.
01:35:31
◼
►
Um as Apple left it at WWDC, they said they were pretty clear, almost
01:35:37
◼
►
almost using words as strong as this, that they did not see a path
01:35:41
◼
►
forward to launch Siri AI in in the EU under the current interpretation of
01:35:46
◼
►
the DMA from them.
01:35:48
◼
►
Um you know, and that they have this idea of the the what do
01:35:53
◼
►
they call it?
01:35:54
◼
►
The uh trusted systems agent.
01:35:57
◼
►
Yeah, the TSA.
01:35:59
◼
►
They should have thought of a better name, you know.
01:36:01
◼
►
But anyway, the trusted systems agent.
01:36:04
◼
►
Uh, but that it would be an enormous engineering effort.
01:36:07
◼
►
I think they said something to the effect of that it would be the
01:36:10
◼
►
biggest, as they as they envision it, it would be the biggest engineering effort
01:36:14
◼
►
for compliance with the DMA that they've undertaken to date, you know, more than
01:36:19
◼
►
the alternate app stores, more than the system for alternative web rendering engines, uh,
01:36:26
◼
►
more than the whatever stuff is in the system for taking payments from other
01:36:29
◼
►
processes, you know.
01:36:32
◼
►
Um it would be a bigger engineering effort to build this trusted system agent.
01:36:38
◼
►
And the EU that was pretty clear that they would have to build it
01:36:43
◼
►
first before the EU would say whether that makes it compliant.
01:36:47
◼
►
That they could spend a year and a half and a lot of engineering
01:36:50
◼
►
talent and resources and time building it, and then have the EU pass it
01:36:55
◼
►
around to the competitors and say, What do you guys think of this?
01:36:57
◼
►
And then come back to Apple and say, nope, that that's not compliant.
01:37:01
◼
►
And Apple's stance is we're not going to do it unless we know that
01:37:05
◼
►
the plan we've shown them is uh, you know, that we have a framework
01:37:09
◼
►
for what would be compliant.
01:37:11
◼
►
That was the biggest sticking point for Apple, I think.
01:37:13
◼
►
It's not just that they wouldn't say no, they or not just that they
01:37:15
◼
►
wouldn't say yes, that they wouldn't say no either.
01:37:18
◼
►
Like if the EU had come back and say, we like this trusted system
01:37:22
◼
►
agent thing, but you also need to do X, Y, and Z.
01:37:27
◼
►
They didn't even do that.
01:37:28
◼
►
It was build it and find out.
01:37:30
◼
►
Yeah, we and we don't talk about plans, we only talk about actual proposals.
01:37:35
◼
►
Um yeah, that they they really, you know, according to Apple.
01:37:39
◼
►
And I think, again, there's some dispute over how detailed the trusted system agent
01:37:43
◼
►
proposal is, but I think both sides, this is one of those things where
01:37:46
◼
►
at the the the Venn diagram does overlap that both sides agree that they
01:37:51
◼
►
did not, they did not give them any kind of well, you at least
01:37:54
◼
►
knew need X, Y, and Z.
01:37:57
◼
►
Apple said they didn't show it to us, so we don't know what to
01:38:00
◼
►
And the EU basically said, we don't do that.
01:38:02
◼
►
We don't tell them, you know, what to do.
01:38:05
◼
►
Now, the other news though, over the summer that I wrote about was that
01:38:09
◼
►
they did give guidance, quote unquote guidance to Google for AI interoperability on Android.
01:38:18
◼
►
And it is, I described it as breathtaking in terms of the scope of
01:38:24
◼
►
what they're saying Google needs to offer to third parties to comply.
01:38:30
◼
►
Um, you know, down to the fact that they need to allow third party
01:38:34
◼
►
agents to provide code that would run on the digital signal processor of the
01:38:40
◼
►
device to process the the wake words.
01:38:43
◼
►
Hey Dingus, you know, like if me and you do a startup with Dingus
01:38:48
◼
►
AI and you say to your Android phone, hey Dingus, you know, what what
01:38:52
◼
►
time am I recording the talk show with chance?
01:38:56
◼
►
They they don't want, you know, the the EU.
01:38:59
◼
►
I mean, it's this is what they're saying they have to do is the
01:39:02
◼
►
third party has to have code that runs on the digital signal processor.
01:39:06
◼
►
Um and they say it would be done securely, and it's not just any
01:39:10
◼
►
Joe app in the Play Store could do this, it would be some kind
01:39:13
◼
►
of vetting system.
01:39:15
◼
►
But it's just uh breathtaking in terms of the level that it's effectively being
01:39:20
◼
►
able to write low-level system software for Android and that they have to allow
01:39:25
◼
►
others to do it.
01:39:26
◼
►
Google did took the opposite standpoint.
01:39:29
◼
►
I'll just say this.
01:39:30
◼
►
Google did the, well, we're gonna ship our thing first and see if it's
01:39:33
◼
►
compliant later.
01:39:34
◼
►
And Apple has taken the we're gonna find out if it's compliant before we
01:39:38
◼
►
ship it in the EU first.
01:39:40
◼
►
And I think Google is now finding that uh perhaps would think maybe we
01:39:44
◼
►
should have done it the way Apple did it.
01:39:47
◼
►
I mean, the bullet point in your story about the Google stuff that you
01:39:49
◼
►
describe as madness, but that Google must allow concurrent access to always-on hot word
01:39:56
◼
►
So if you have Claude, ChatGPT, Grok, and Meta AI installed, all of them,
01:39:59
◼
►
in addition to Gemini must be permitted to have always on audio detection concurrently.
01:40:09
◼
►
I don't know.
01:40:10
◼
►
And you know, it's and how many different words are they allowed to use?
01:40:15
◼
►
You know, and again, that's part of the argument of innovation is well, what
01:40:18
◼
►
if you have a very broad idea of the ways that you could wake
01:40:22
◼
►
up the device and you know, uh who knows?
01:40:26
◼
►
The other thing in the guidance, you know, as a requirement in addition to
01:40:30
◼
►
this digital signal processing code, um, even if we concede, like, oh, I don't
01:40:37
◼
►
understand what they mean by digital signal processing code.
01:40:40
◼
►
Yes, it's very low level, but it's completely isolated.
01:40:43
◼
►
This could be done safely, blah, blah, blah.
01:40:45
◼
►
In the guidance is also that these third-party agents have to be allowed to
01:40:48
◼
►
run as just regular apps in the background, unfettered by Google in terms of
01:40:54
◼
►
like, hey, you get 30 seconds an hour or something, you know, that there's
01:40:58
◼
►
some kind of limit on what they can do in the background.
01:41:01
◼
►
It's it more or less comes out and says that the that these agents
01:41:05
◼
►
have to be able to do whatever they want in the background whenever they
01:41:08
◼
►
want, because Google is the one who's allowed to set the limits on what
01:41:13
◼
►
Gemini does in the background.
01:41:15
◼
►
Um, and you know, I I've never heard I haven't heard anybody say, hey,
01:41:19
◼
►
I upgraded my Android phone to one that has Gemini built in and now
01:41:23
◼
►
the battery life is trash.
01:41:24
◼
►
I have there's no reports of that whatsoever.
01:41:27
◼
►
Google obviously is balancing whatever Gemini does in the background with the battery life
01:41:32
◼
►
concerns of you know, actual users.
01:41:37
◼
►
But if you know, if they're if they actually comply with this in the
01:41:41
◼
►
EU, every single third party who does participate in this, it would be up
01:41:46
◼
►
to them whether they take battery life and RAM into consideration with what they
01:41:52
◼
►
do in the background.
01:41:54
◼
►
I mean, it's effectively PC rules on an on a phone.
01:41:59
◼
►
And I know that there are people out there, every time this comes up,
01:42:02
◼
►
you can see, you know, some of them and some people feel very strongly
01:42:05
◼
►
that they wish all phones worked like Macs and Windows, where third parties could
01:42:10
◼
►
run code that runs in the background.
01:42:11
◼
►
And they, you know, when I defend the the or argue that this is
01:42:15
◼
►
madness, they'll say, but yeah, don't you but don't you say the Mac is
01:42:18
◼
►
your favorite platform and don't you run third-party things that run in the background?
01:42:22
◼
►
And yes, I do.
01:42:23
◼
►
That's not my phone, and they're different things, you know.
01:42:27
◼
►
And there's a reason why phones are so much more popular than PCs ever
01:42:32
◼
►
Um and anyway, if this guidance to Google is any indication of what guidance
01:42:38
◼
►
to Apple would be if Apple were to just ship Siri AI in the
01:42:43
◼
►
EU and then find out from the guidance what they need to add to
01:42:47
◼
►
comply, I can't see how Apple would ever agree to this.
01:42:53
◼
►
No, I mean, the way Apple described the trusted system agent thing was like
01:42:57
◼
►
it was an intermediary that would allow assistants to access the same features as
01:43:02
◼
►
Siri AI and Apple Intelligence.
01:43:06
◼
►
What the EU is telling Google to do here, we don't know a lot
01:43:09
◼
►
about trusted system agent, but based on that description from Apple, there's no way
01:43:14
◼
►
half three quarters of this stuff would work if that's Apple's only as far
01:43:19
◼
►
as they're willing to go.
01:43:22
◼
►
And so for example, like I I I know that I we don't know
01:43:28
◼
►
what they would want.
01:43:28
◼
►
I don't think they know what they want.
01:43:29
◼
►
I don't think they're technically competent enough to really uh form opinions.
01:43:34
◼
►
I think they take their advice from competitors.
01:43:38
◼
►
But like for example, it's not just, hey, Apple would have to open up
01:43:43
◼
►
Siri AI to third, you know, to open AI to Chat GPT or to
01:43:48
◼
►
Claude or to Groc or to uh you know an up and coming AI
01:43:54
◼
►
system agent, and they would have to get the same access to the semantic
01:44:00
◼
►
index in iOS and Mac O, or I guess iOS because Mac OS isn't
01:44:04
◼
►
a gatekeeping platform, but uh the semantic index, they'd have to have the same
01:44:08
◼
►
in uh access to the entire semantic index that Siri AI has.
01:44:13
◼
►
Um, that alone I'd see as a red flag, right?
01:44:18
◼
►
And I I think the trusted system agent, I think you agree too, with
01:44:22
◼
►
something like the way that like, hey, when third-party apps try to access your
01:44:26
◼
►
photo library, they have to go through a system prompt that gives you the
01:44:31
◼
►
user the ability to say, I only want to give this app access to
01:44:35
◼
►
this, this, these four photos, tap, tap, tap, tap, right?
01:44:38
◼
►
Yeah, these four photos uh Instagram now has access to, but not my whole
01:44:44
◼
►
And it yes, if I want to give it my access to my whole
01:44:47
◼
►
library, I can opt into that too, but I have to confirm it and
01:44:51
◼
►
then it can have it.
01:44:52
◼
►
I think that per the EU, you don't have to do that with Siri
01:44:57
◼
►
Like when Siri AI goes to read your Apple notes, it's not, hey, do
01:45:01
◼
►
you want to give Siri AI access to these three Apple notes?
01:45:04
◼
►
You know, or do you want to give it all?
01:45:05
◼
►
It just has access to them because Apple trusts its own Siri in a
01:45:10
◼
►
way that it's never going to trust third parties.
01:45:12
◼
►
But I think to comply, Apple would have to allow the third parties the
01:45:17
◼
►
unfettered no confirmation prompt access to this stuff.
01:45:22
◼
►
And I'm not entirely sure to think why they wouldn't have to permit the
01:45:27
◼
►
third parties to build their own semantic indexes, right?
01:45:31
◼
►
What's to say that that Claude Anthropic wouldn't say, we don't like the way
01:45:36
◼
►
Apple built their semantic index, it doesn't work the way Claude does.
01:45:39
◼
►
We want to have access to all the users' email, all of their iMessage
01:45:44
◼
►
history, all of their Apple notes, all of their calendars, all of their contacts,
01:45:48
◼
►
everything else that is exposed to Apple's semantic index so that we can read
01:45:53
◼
►
all of this stuff and build our own semantic index, which is what we
01:45:56
◼
►
need to do to use this.
01:45:58
◼
►
To me, I honestly reading what they said to Google, I think that they
01:46:02
◼
►
would that that that's what the EU would say to Apple, that they would
01:46:05
◼
►
have to give third-party AI agents access to every single thing on your devices,
01:46:11
◼
►
iOS devices that Siri has access to just to build the semantic index.
01:46:25
◼
►
And you know, it's not just that Apple is being a competitive dick and
01:46:28
◼
►
saying, hey, we've got you know, we are the ones who make this, and
01:46:32
◼
►
you know the users only get to use our system, which is part of
01:46:36
◼
►
it that you know, they are the ones who built the iPhone, and so
01:46:38
◼
►
they get to build the system components of the iPhone.
01:46:41
◼
►
But there is also a brand promise to users, which is that when you
01:46:45
◼
►
buy an iPhone, everything the iPhone is uh capable of doing, even when you
01:46:51
◼
►
install third-party stuff from the App Store, is stuff that Apple says is okay.
01:46:56
◼
►
That is a brand promise that you can, you know, and it goes to
01:47:00
◼
►
the heart of why Apple, you know, the part of Apple's argument for the
01:46:59
◼
►
exclusivity of the App Store is distribution.
01:47:07
◼
►
That people just say, I don't know how to do this.
01:47:10
◼
►
I just trust Apple.
01:47:11
◼
►
That's why I bought an iPhone.
01:47:13
◼
►
And everything I can do on my iPhone, I can't mess up.
01:47:16
◼
►
And it's, you know, whatever I, you know, and if there is anything that
01:47:20
◼
►
I should be careful about, I can feel assured that I will be prompted
01:47:25
◼
►
and have to give permission for.
01:47:27
◼
►
Um so honestly, all of that is to say that I on my honest
01:47:33
◼
►
guess is that unless the EU and the European Commission comes back, has a
01:47:38
◼
►
come to Jesus moment and says, all right, we're we're going to rethink our
01:47:42
◼
►
policies on what the DMA requires.
01:47:45
◼
►
If they stick to what they're currently saying the DMA requires, I don't think
01:47:49
◼
►
Siri AI is ever coming to the EU.
01:47:52
◼
►
I I mean, and I know that sounds that sounds crazy, but there are
01:47:57
◼
►
feet, you know, iPhone mirroring still hasn't come to the EU.
01:48:00
◼
►
And that's now an old feature.
01:48:01
◼
►
It's like two years old, right?
01:48:03
◼
►
And I don't see any future where it is coming.
01:48:06
◼
►
And that's much smaller than Siri AI overall.
01:48:10
◼
►
But I I really don't see it happening.
01:48:13
◼
►
And that creates an incredible, it goes back to again to what we were
01:48:17
◼
►
talking in the first half of the show.
01:48:19
◼
►
I mean, Siri AI is not groundbreaking in terms of its intelligence, but it
01:48:23
◼
►
is totally groundbreaking in the utility of Siri on your device.
01:48:28
◼
►
It is useful, it works.
01:48:30
◼
►
It is it it the hardest part of using it is remembering that it's
01:48:33
◼
►
actually good.
01:48:34
◼
►
And I don't think it's ever coming to the EU.
01:48:37
◼
►
And which makes EU iOS devices a second class experience in the world.
01:48:43
◼
►
At WWDC, me and you were in the same briefing about this with Greg
01:48:48
◼
►
Joswiak and some other Apple people.
01:48:50
◼
►
And leaving that, my impression was one, Apple is unhappy about this whole situation.
01:48:57
◼
►
They're unhappy that they can't ship this feature, and they're unhappy at the lack
01:49:00
◼
►
of cooperation from the European Union on trying to ship it, trying to work
01:49:05
◼
►
together on a plan.
01:49:07
◼
►
Then they kind of went silent.
01:49:09
◼
►
Like there was the report of the talk with the EU digital person that
01:49:13
◼
►
went well, apparently.
01:49:15
◼
►
But now I'm imagining that Apple has seen this list of requests from the
01:49:19
◼
►
EC to Google, and inside they're just like, oh, we dodged a bullet with
01:49:25
◼
►
Thank God we didn't build this system out just for them to come back
01:49:28
◼
►
with all of this crap.
01:49:29
◼
►
It's like, yeah.
01:49:30
◼
►
I left that briefing optimistic that they would probably you could tell the Apple
01:49:36
◼
►
wanted to come together with the EU and figure something out.
01:49:40
◼
►
But now I'm less optimistic.
01:49:42
◼
►
I think you're right that it's probably just not gonna happen.
01:49:45
◼
►
And I do think that some of the initial coverage was too focused on
01:49:50
◼
►
the fact that Apple was like, and again, it goes back to the way
01:49:53
◼
►
that lawyers just ask for everything at the start, and then they find out
01:49:57
◼
►
if they need to dial it back.
01:49:58
◼
►
And Apple was like, and in addition to if you if you'll look at
01:50:03
◼
►
our TSA proposal and give us a thumbs up or tell us to add
01:50:07
◼
►
a couple of items, and maybe we can come to, okay, we said A,
01:50:11
◼
►
B, and C, you say A B C plus D and E, and we'll
01:50:15
◼
►
say, how about just A, B, C and D?
01:50:18
◼
►
And you'll say, okay, that's good.
01:50:20
◼
►
Build that, and then they can go ahead.
01:50:22
◼
►
In addition to that, they were like, and how about you just let us
01:50:25
◼
►
ship Siri AI now while we build this, as it is?
01:50:29
◼
►
And the EU is like, no, that, you know.
01:50:32
◼
►
And too many people focused on that as Apple asking for a complete permanent
01:50:36
◼
►
complete exemption.
01:50:37
◼
►
That was just Apple shooting for the moon.
01:50:40
◼
►
I don't think Apple really had any hopes that the EU is going to
01:50:43
◼
►
say, sure, go ahead and ship that while you build it.
01:50:47
◼
►
Because from the EU's perspective, it doesn't make any sense.
01:50:52
◼
►
I mean to say, sure, you can ship what you have now that's non-compliant
01:50:57
◼
►
while you build the compliant thing.
01:50:59
◼
►
Because if they were to grant that exemption, it wouldn't exactly inspire Apple to
01:51:04
◼
►
build the TSA system speedily.
01:51:08
◼
►
You know what I mean?
01:51:10
◼
►
Well, and in the court of public perception, too.
01:51:12
◼
►
If Apple shipped Serie AI as it exists today, and then in a year,
01:51:16
◼
►
they couldn't come to an agreement with the EU, and the EU's like you
01:51:20
◼
►
gotta take it away.
01:51:21
◼
►
Apple can point to the EU and say, look at what these people are
01:51:24
◼
►
making us do.
01:51:25
◼
►
And they never say that you'll have to take it away.
01:51:28
◼
►
Like the EU's options to Google in their guidance to Google for Android doesn't
01:51:33
◼
►
include or just remove Gemini in the EU.
01:51:36
◼
►
It's entirely predicated on the idea that they're just going to build a system
01:51:40
◼
►
that allows third parties to build equivalent systems.
01:51:44
◼
►
But I and I don't even know at this point if Google can comply
01:51:48
◼
►
by removing Gemini, because what happens to the people who don't update their devices,
01:51:53
◼
►
That they can't guarantee that everybody who's already got Gemini.
01:51:57
◼
►
I mean, I guess because Gemini has a cloud component that they can kind
01:52:01
◼
►
of revoke the functionality remotely, even if you don't update your device.
01:52:06
◼
►
But I think now that, you know, it it's much harder to, and there's
01:52:10
◼
►
the perception of, hey, we s you bought a Samsung phone that did this,
01:52:14
◼
►
and now you've, you know, it updated overnight, and now you've lost all these
01:52:14
◼
►
cool features that you were using.
01:52:21
◼
►
Is generally users don't react well to that sort of update.
01:52:26
◼
►
Um, in a way that you never had it in the first place might
01:52:31
◼
►
frustrate users who pay attention, but the typical users don't even know what they're
01:52:36
◼
►
But I I really do think, I mean, that's why I continue to take
01:52:40
◼
►
uh uh outsized interest in the whole story, because I I really, you know,
01:52:48
◼
►
A, even just for the next two, three years, I think this creates this
01:52:52
◼
►
profound difference in the iOS experiences between people who live in the EU and
01:52:58
◼
►
people who live elsewhere in the world, anywhere else in the world.
01:53:01
◼
►
But then it that divide will keep forking as the years go by, right?
01:53:06
◼
►
Like where things will be 10 years ago, 10 years from now could be
01:53:09
◼
►
profoundly different.
01:53:10
◼
►
And I don't think the European Commission understands it.
01:53:14
◼
►
I really don't.
01:53:15
◼
►
And I do think, again, I might be pro or American biased, you know,
01:53:20
◼
►
but I really do think that the people in the European Commission have an
01:53:24
◼
►
outsized assumption about the influence and importance of the European Union, and that they
01:53:30
◼
►
just assume that oh, they can they can bluff all they want, but they'll
01:53:35
◼
►
come and comply because the EU is so important.
01:53:38
◼
►
And I think the truth is no, that the rather than comply with these
01:53:42
◼
►
ex extraordinary demands, these come, you know, Apple and Google and the others will
01:53:47
◼
►
really just sort of they're not gonna walk away from the EU, but they're
01:53:51
◼
►
going to landlock EU users without new features going forward.
01:53:56
◼
►
It just is unfortunate for the EU users, and that at a certain point,
01:54:02
◼
►
if what you're trying to do isn't working, what you're trying to do to
01:54:05
◼
►
help consumers in your market isn't working, then you need to step back and
01:54:09
◼
►
reassess and say, okay, why isn't why aren't Apple and Google jumping through these
01:54:14
◼
►
hoops like we're asking them to?
01:54:17
◼
►
If your intent is purely to make the experience better for consumers.
01:54:21
◼
►
And I think Jaws, I'm I'm paraphrasing to some degree, but I and Jaws'
01:54:26
◼
►
remarks in that briefing were on the record.
01:54:28
◼
►
Um, but it basically he concluded with, we're asking the EU, who is this
01:54:34
◼
►
You know, and I really do think it comes down to that.
01:54:37
◼
►
And it's that question of who is this for?
01:54:40
◼
►
How in the world is this benefiting the citizenry of the EU?
01:54:43
◼
►
And I don't think it is.
01:54:45
◼
►
It's it's like they're they're too caught up in some kind of ideal that
01:54:49
◼
►
isn't going to come to pass, where the companies like Apple and Google run
01:54:55
◼
►
these platforms like open source public uh utilities when they are not.
01:55:03
◼
►
And they're caught up in the ideal at the expense of every practical actual
01:55:09
◼
►
experience of the people who use these products.
01:55:12
◼
►
And that there are no other products that do comply, right?
01:55:16
◼
►
It's not like, oh, Apple's going to, they may not like it, but they'll
01:55:19
◼
►
eat the shit sandwich and comply because otherwise people are gonna buy the Nokia
01:55:25
◼
►
phone and the the whatever else, you know, the Blackberry or whatever.
01:55:30
◼
►
Well, those companies don't exist anymore.
01:55:31
◼
►
You know, those platforms don't exist.
01:55:33
◼
►
There are no alternatives, you know, and you could say, well, that's the problem,
01:55:37
◼
►
you know, that it's a duopoly, but that the the DMA doesn't change that,
01:55:42
◼
►
You have to deal with the real world, not the ideal one that you
01:55:45
◼
►
wish we had, where there was an open phone that these companies had to
01:55:49
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compete with and that users loved and sold in quantities and that they would
01:55:54
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abandon their iPhones for.
01:55:56
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Those phones don't exist.
01:55:57
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So I don't know.
01:55:59
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Uh, but it's curious to me.
01:56:01
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And I and you know, and it's not curious at all that we haven't
01:56:04
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heard anything in August because everybody in the EU takes off for from like
01:56:07
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the end of July till September.
01:56:10
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So all right.
01:56:12
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That's all I got, uh, Chance.
01:56:14
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Anything else you wanted to talk about?
01:56:15
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Anything else happened while we were recording?
01:56:17
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I don't believe so.
01:56:18
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I think we're in the clear.
01:56:21
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We only broke one piece of news.
01:56:24
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Uh everybody who wants to follow Chance's uh find reporting and writing and your
01:56:30
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whole team of colleagues at nine to five Mac.com.
01:56:34
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Uh anything else you want to promote?
01:56:36
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You got a podcast, the nine to five podcasts?
01:56:38
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Yeah, I got two podcasts if you want to check them out.
01:56:40
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Nine to five Mac Nine to Five Mac daily, which is five days a
01:56:44
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And then nine to five Mac happy hour, which is one time a week.
01:56:48
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Both those on 9 to 5 Mac.com.
01:56:51
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I could I could deal with the happy hour.
01:56:53
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I don't know daily.
01:56:54
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I salute I salute everybody who does the daily podcast.
01:56:57
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Uh my thanks to our sponsors, uh, I think going backwards in time, Notion,
01:57:04
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Factor, and Squarespace.
01:57:06
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So thanks to them.
01:57:06
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Thanks to you, Chance.
01:57:08
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Yes, thank you.