647: You Get One Exclamation Point
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John, something occurred to me, I was listening to directives earlier today, and it was very funny to me that you two talked about Das Boot, because there is a forthcoming and comparable episode that I was on where we talked about it. I also had never seen Das Boot before.
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But it occurred to me as you were talking about this and talking about your graduation results, that you two are going to be empty nesters real freaking soon, which I think I knew, but I never really thought about it. You are almost there. And how are we feeling about that?
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Does it count as empty nester if your kids are still living at home, they're just at school? I thought it was like when they move out.
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And I think strictly you are correct. I think it's only when they move out permanently that you are officially an empty nester, but you're an effective empty nester in a couple of months, and that's wild. How are we feeling?
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I don't know. I feel like I just haven't looked that far yet, still trying to always get over the next hurdle, and it's just like getting the kids off to school, getting my daughter settled in her first college dorm, getting my son off for his senior year, figuring out what he's going to do.
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Like, it just feels like there's still a lot of stuff to overcome. But once they're settled in, and I've stopped doing the 15 trips back and forth to ferry all the things they inevitably forgot, I don't know, maybe ask me then.
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And see what it's like. But mostly, I think it'll be good for everybody involved, and it'll be a fun change. But we'll see how it goes. Maybe I'll just be bored.
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Let's do some follow-up. Tahoe is apparently dropping Firewire support, and we should pour one out. Did we talk about this already?
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We did. We sure did. Wow, I jogged your memory. I was waiting for the little gears to kick in.
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It was like three days ago.
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It was so long ago when we recorded that episode.
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This is a thing. This is a thing we've done. But we have more information about it. That's why I brought it up. See, I'm a professional, I swear.
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That might be in follow-up, you know, because it's a thing we talked about on the previous show.
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Well, with you, you never know. Everything that's ever been thought about in the last 30 years is somehow follow-up.
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No, no, no. I mean, this was literally two days ago, so I'm going to say this one is pretty valid as follow-up.
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It is. It is. I'm trying to blame you, even though this is 100% on me.
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All right. So anyways, Timo Hetzel writes,
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I was shopping for audio interfaces about 10 years ago.
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I found a box in the store with a sticker on it that read,
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Now with Thunderbolt!
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Turns out they just added a free Firewire to Thunderbolt adapter to the existing Firewire-based model.
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The World of Audio is one that came up when we were discussing Firewire support going away.
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They're very conservative over there, to the point where if they have a device that works,
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you want to make a version of it with Thunderbolt?
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Just put an adapter in the box.
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And it made me wonder, like, if they do that, though,
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does that get around the lack of Firewire support?
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Because as far as the computer is concerned, it's not Firewire, it's Thunderbolt.
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I think it does, right?
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I would assume, but you would be the one to know that.
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The way Thunderbolt works is basically, it's like PCI Express over a cable.
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It's like the simplified version of how it works.
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And so it's almost like you're plugging in a PCI Express card with a Firewire controller on it, I think.
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Like, you know, logically for the computer.
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So if the computer drops support for Firewire as a host protocol,
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I think any way you connect it through Thunderbolt would also not work,
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because all Thunderbolt is doing is exposing the Firewire controller to the computer,
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saying, here, here's a Firewire controller.
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And so if the computer has no idea what to do with that...
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I was thinking that it would just expose the device as if it's connected directly to the PCI bus.
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You know what I mean?
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Yeah, but does Tahoe drop support?
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Like, if you have a Mac Pro with card slots,
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and if you put a Firewire card in one of those PCI slots,
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I bet that'll also stop working.
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Well, I don't know.
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I mean, I guess this is one of those things I feel like,
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well, someone obviously who knows the technical details could just tell us.
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But failing that, when Tahoe does actually ship with no Firewire support,
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I'm sure someone will either accidentally or on purpose get upgraded
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and realize that Firewire stuff doesn't work,
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and then try to find ways to make it work, and then we'll find out.
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We shall see.
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I'm sure someone will be kind enough to do an experiment for us.
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If you wanted to install Tahoe Betas without installing Xcode Beta,
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I feel like we've definitely covered this at least thrice at this point,
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but that's all right.
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Anonymous writes,
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there's a specific device support package you can install
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that doesn't require installing the entire Xcode Beta.
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Device support for macOS 26 Beta 2.
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You can install device support for macOS 26 Beta
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if installing the macOS seed in a virtual machine fails on a host Mac.
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You can get this from developer.apple.com download,
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but we will also put in a direct link,
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although I do believe you get challenged for login
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when you click the direct link.
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Yeah, you need to be logged into a developer account,
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but it's interesting that, like,
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so all these requirements that I didn't know
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because I had never done this before,
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that you need the Xcode Beta,
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but actually you don't need the Xcode Beta
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because you just need the device support,
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and actually they distribute that separately.
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It's one of the things that annoys me
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about Apple's developer website.
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Finding anything on there in terms of downloads
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is just always such a puzzle
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because they don't,
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they have this weird,
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they divide it up into, like,
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three different tabs.
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It's like OSS applications and other,
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or there's, like, a more thing,
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and then sometimes there's an additional download section,
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and what if you want some older stuff?
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Is that still available somewhere?
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That's why all these little websites pop up,
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basically saving the URLs of where things were
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when they were first put up somewhere
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on some CDN that Apple controls,
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and even when it goes off their website,
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as in it's no longer linked from a webpage,
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the download is still there,
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and you can get it if you can,
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and if it's not one of those things
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that Apple needs to sign or something.
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Anyway, yeah, all things that could have benefited me,
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but many different ways to skin this cat,
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and apparently device support for macOS 26 beta 2
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is one of them.
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I wonder if that's going to be updated
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with device support for macOS 26 beta 3,
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or if it's not beta specific.
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We'll find out.
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We shall see.
00:05:35
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A friend of the show, Guy Rambeau,
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with regard to putting older OSs on newer Macs,
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so if you buy a Mac that comes with Tahoe
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in a couple of months,
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and you wanted to put Sequoia on it,
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so Guy writes,
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on the subject of running an older OS
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than the one that a given Apple Silicon Mac
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was originally shipped with,
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the short answer is that it is effectively impossible.
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Even if you patch the restore image
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by copying the missing components
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from a newer release,
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you'd end up with iBoot components
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that don't match the kernel cache,
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or a kernel cache that doesn't match
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the DYLD cache in the root file system.
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It would be a mess.
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Regardless of the above issues,
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you wouldn't be able to get such a restore image
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to be flashed onto a DFU Mac,
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because Apple's online signing service
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would refuse to sign the firmware components
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for a board that's not allow-listed
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for that OS release,
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and that signing is mandatory
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when restoring an Apple Silicon Mac from scratch,
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even with a lower security configuration.
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The only way I could think of
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that could potentially be used
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to achieve such a thing
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would be to hand-assemble
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the entire volume scheme
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that's required by a Mac OS installation
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on Apple Silicon
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using the file system components
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from the older OS
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and the firmware or kernel cache
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from the newer OS.
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Doing that is far from trivial,
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and even then,
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the result would likely be a machine
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that kernel panics very often,
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even if not before it even finishes booting up.
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Yeah, so basically,
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if you're thinking like,
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should I attempt some kind of Mac OS hack
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to get something working,
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if Guy Rambeau says
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that's going to be really difficult,
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It's not going to happen
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for the rest of us.
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Basically, it's impossible.
00:07:07
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All right, and then we talked last episode
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about uninterruptible power supplies,
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I believe this was NASC-ATP,
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and how they deal in volt amps,
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and the two or three of us,
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but particularly John and I
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probably should have known this
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or did know this at some point,
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kind of shrugged.
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Well, Marshall C. writes,
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I have my Bachelor's of Science
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in Electrical Engineering,
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and I'm a licensed professional engineer
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in the EE power discipline.
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EC power is tricky,
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but here's my layman's explanation.
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Real power, or P,
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which is measured in watts,
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this is the electric power
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used to run your computer,
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heat up your toaster,
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and what your utility bill bills you for.
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Reactive power,
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which is represented by Q or V-A-Rs,
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is often called fake power.
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This is the electric power
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used to form the necessary magnetic fields
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for the transmission of AC power.
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Then finally, there's apparent power,
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which is represented by S,
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and that's volt amps,
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a combination of real and reactive power.
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Imagine an X-Y axis
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where the real power is on the X axis
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and the reactive power is on the Y axis.
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Apparent power is the distance
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from the origin to the coordinate.
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Non-utility people will never need
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to think about reactive power
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unless their job involves industrial equipment
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like electric arc furnaces,
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I can get there, I swear,
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large motors, etc.
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and they're responsible
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for the engineering or bills
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to the power company.
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Apparent power is how devices
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that generate power
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have to be rated
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because they're responsible
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for providing the real
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and reactive power for the system.
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For most consumer situations,
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you can assume that the watt rating
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will be roughly the same
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as your V-A rating.
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Look, AC power is insanely complicated.
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Like what I said last,
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DC power, fairly simple to conceptualize.
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AC power, it's so complicated.
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I went to a family member's house once
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and they had plugged into the wall
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these like things
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that claim to be energy savers
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and they like lit up
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and I was curious
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so I looked it up
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and it's basically like
00:09:02
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it's some weird Amazon device
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from God knows where in China
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that bridges the two AC prongs
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with a capacitor.
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I think it was the gist of it
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and at first I was like
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there's no way that could possibly work
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and I was mostly right
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but not entirely right.
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Like I looked up like you know
00:09:22
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how do these purport to work
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and does it actually achieve
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some kind of power savings
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somehow magically
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and the answer basically is like
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it plays a trick
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with the way those AC like phases
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and pulls and induction motor loads
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like it pulls some kind of trick with that
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that like if it did a really big version of it
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it might slightly save you some
00:09:45
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of your billing of your power
00:09:47
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but of course these little tiny things
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and didn't actually do anything
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like notable
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but like the principle
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upon which they claim to work
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was not entirely BS
00:09:57
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it was just mostly BS
00:09:58
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but yeah they are regardless scams
00:10:01
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but I thought that was interesting
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it's like oh
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there's other weird complexity
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it's sort of
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might enable weird tricks
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on a much larger scale
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tampering with your electrical meter
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will also save you money
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probably counts as fraud
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modifying the electrical system
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at your house in some way
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to make the electrical meter
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or read incorrectly
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Jared Nichols writes
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with regard to smoke alarm
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remote notifications
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I believe you were talking
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last episode
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you've got your
00:10:35
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you know temperature sensors
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and we were talking about
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leak sensors
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but then what about
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smoke detecting
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and so Jared writes
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listen to Overtime
00:10:44
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and Marco mentioned
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smart smoke alarms
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if you've got HomePods
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in the house
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you've effectively now
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got smart smoke alarms
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I've got regular
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residential smoke alarms
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and when my son
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home from college
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while my partner
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and I are not home
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we get a home app alert
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about the smoke alarms
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burn the bacon again
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and then back to normal business
00:11:04
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I thought this was interesting
00:11:05
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so I actually
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I have gotten one of these alerts before
00:11:07
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because I do have HomePods
00:11:08
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and one time
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the smoke alarms
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I was not home
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but my wife and son were
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and it comes in
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as one of those
00:11:17
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like high priority alerts
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that breaks through
00:11:19
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do not disturb
00:11:20
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it will sound
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no matter what
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like it's one of those
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◼
►
kind of you know
00:11:23
◼
►
urgent alerts
00:11:24
◼
►
on the iPhone
00:11:25
◼
►
and it sounds
00:11:26
◼
►
you know like
00:11:27
◼
►
it sounds like
00:11:27
◼
►
an urgent alert
00:11:28
◼
►
you know it's like
00:11:28
◼
►
a very alarming sign
00:11:30
◼
►
and you look
00:11:30
◼
►
and it's like
00:11:31
◼
►
it gives you a notification
00:11:32
◼
►
saying like oh yeah
00:11:33
◼
►
it sounds like a smoke alarm
00:11:34
◼
►
is going off in your house
00:11:35
◼
►
and like oh my god
00:11:36
◼
►
and in that case
00:11:39
◼
►
it turned out
00:11:39
◼
►
they had burned something
00:11:40
◼
►
but I have seen
00:11:42
◼
►
these notifications
00:11:42
◼
►
and so it is better
00:11:44
◼
►
than nothing
00:11:44
◼
►
in the sense that like
00:11:45
◼
►
if you want to be
00:11:46
◼
►
remotely notified
00:11:47
◼
►
of your smoke alarm
00:11:49
◼
►
that's one way to do it
00:11:51
◼
►
is to just get a smoke alarm
00:11:54
◼
►
or these Yolink ones
00:11:55
◼
►
or there's a bunch
00:11:55
◼
►
of weird Amazon brand ones now
00:11:56
◼
►
and the reason why
00:11:59
◼
►
I kind of smiled
00:12:00
◼
►
when I got this
00:12:01
◼
►
when we got this feedback email
00:12:03
◼
►
the HomePod can do it
00:12:05
◼
►
but do you trust
00:12:08
◼
►
your HomePod
00:12:08
◼
►
to do anything important
00:12:11
◼
►
like I like as much
00:12:14
◼
►
I'm glad I had it
00:12:15
◼
►
and it did indeed
00:12:16
◼
►
work for me once
00:12:16
◼
►
but my HomePod
00:12:18
◼
►
does not reliably do
00:12:21
◼
►
literally any of the things
00:12:22
◼
►
that it is marketed
00:12:23
◼
►
like it doesn't do
00:12:24
◼
►
a single one reliably
00:12:29
◼
►
success rate
00:12:30
◼
►
with the things
00:12:30
◼
►
I try to have happen
00:12:32
◼
►
on my HomePod
00:12:32
◼
►
so it kind of points out
00:12:35
◼
►
like if Apple wants
00:12:36
◼
►
these features
00:12:37
◼
►
to be taken more seriously
00:12:38
◼
►
there's so much work
00:12:40
◼
►
to do with the reputation
00:12:41
◼
►
and the reliability
00:12:43
◼
►
of these products
00:12:44
◼
►
of their backing services
00:12:45
◼
►
it has to be
00:12:47
◼
►
way better than this
00:12:48
◼
►
like right now
00:12:49
◼
►
that I would rely
00:12:50
◼
►
solely on this
00:12:51
◼
►
it literally made me
00:12:53
◼
►
laugh out loud
00:12:54
◼
►
earlier today
00:12:54
◼
►
when I saw this email
00:12:55
◼
►
so it's nice to have it
00:12:58
◼
►
like oh that's
00:12:58
◼
►
that's cute Apple
00:13:00
◼
►
you know that's nice
00:13:00
◼
►
but I'm not going
00:13:02
◼
►
to rely on this
00:13:02
◼
►
I would rather
00:13:03
◼
►
also have smart smoke
00:13:04
◼
►
alarms that notify me
00:13:06
◼
►
literally any other means
00:13:07
◼
►
besides hoping a HomePod
00:13:09
◼
►
will do one of its
00:13:10
◼
►
many accessory jobs
00:13:12
◼
►
I had the same thought
00:13:13
◼
►
when I saw this email
00:13:14
◼
►
I got the original HomePod
00:13:17
◼
►
when it was first released
00:13:18
◼
►
and had it for a long time
00:13:20
◼
►
recently Marco sent me
00:13:22
◼
►
two of his original HomePods
00:13:24
◼
►
like the big ones
00:13:25
◼
►
the original big HomePods
00:13:26
◼
►
because he just didn't
00:13:27
◼
►
want them anymore
00:13:28
◼
►
and around that time
00:13:30
◼
►
my original HomePod
00:13:31
◼
►
started being a little bit wonky
00:13:32
◼
►
like it wouldn't do OS updates
00:13:35
◼
►
if you saw the
00:13:36
◼
►
in the Home app on the phone
00:13:37
◼
►
it would show the little spinner
00:13:38
◼
►
for an OS update
00:13:38
◼
►
but then it would just disappear
00:13:39
◼
►
and it kept saying
00:13:40
◼
►
we're having trouble
00:13:41
◼
►
signing into your Apple ID
00:13:42
◼
►
bring your phone close
00:13:43
◼
►
to the HomePod
00:13:44
◼
►
and do blah blah blah
00:13:45
◼
►
and I refactory reset it
00:13:47
◼
►
and reset it up
00:13:48
◼
►
a million times
00:13:49
◼
►
did all sorts of stuff
00:13:50
◼
►
and it was just
00:13:50
◼
►
it just wasn't working
00:13:51
◼
►
and eventually
00:13:53
◼
►
it stopped showing up
00:13:54
◼
►
as an airplay target
00:13:56
◼
►
well whatever
00:13:57
◼
►
I'll swap it down
00:13:58
◼
►
for as the other two
00:13:59
◼
►
were in the basement
00:13:59
◼
►
I'll swap it down
00:14:00
◼
►
for one of the
00:14:00
◼
►
Marco's ones in the basement
00:14:02
◼
►
so I put mine down
00:14:03
◼
►
into the basement
00:14:04
◼
►
it was in like
00:14:05
◼
►
a stereo pair
00:14:07
◼
►
but mine was like
00:14:07
◼
►
so I just put it there
00:14:08
◼
►
brought one up
00:14:09
◼
►
from the basement
00:14:10
◼
►
put it upstairs
00:14:10
◼
►
it started doing
00:14:12
◼
►
the same thing
00:14:12
◼
►
swapped it again
00:14:13
◼
►
for the third one
00:14:15
◼
►
the situation I'm in
00:14:16
◼
►
is the third
00:14:17
◼
►
and last one
00:14:18
◼
►
somewhat functions
00:14:20
◼
►
and somewhat does
00:14:20
◼
►
something like
00:14:21
◼
►
you can talk to it
00:14:22
◼
►
and turn the lights off
00:14:22
◼
►
still tells me
00:14:24
◼
►
that I was having
00:14:25
◼
►
trouble shining
00:14:25
◼
►
to my Apple ID
00:14:26
◼
►
still won't do
00:14:27
◼
►
an OS update
00:14:30
◼
►
sometimes it appears
00:14:31
◼
►
as an airplay target
00:14:32
◼
►
sometimes doesn't
00:14:34
◼
►
original HomePod
00:14:35
◼
►
now when you plug it in
00:14:37
◼
►
doesn't do anything
00:14:39
◼
►
doesn't turn on
00:14:40
◼
►
nothing lights up
00:14:41
◼
►
like you know
00:14:41
◼
►
that's all you can do
00:14:42
◼
►
with these HomePods
00:14:42
◼
►
is plug them in
00:14:43
◼
►
there's no on and off
00:14:44
◼
►
so my original HomePod
00:14:45
◼
►
is dead dead
00:14:47
◼
►
because there's that
00:14:47
◼
►
whole issue that
00:14:48
◼
►
you can find YouTube's
00:14:49
◼
►
videos about
00:14:49
◼
►
where there's some
00:14:50
◼
►
component on the board
00:14:51
◼
►
that burns out
00:14:52
◼
►
because they have these
00:14:52
◼
►
people who just repair
00:14:53
◼
►
so what I'm saying is
00:14:55
◼
►
I have three first
00:14:56
◼
►
generation HomePods
00:14:57
◼
►
and they're all sort of
00:14:59
◼
►
on their way out
00:14:59
◼
►
I feel like that was
00:15:00
◼
►
just a flawed hardware
00:15:02
◼
►
and I considered
00:15:04
◼
►
you know like maybe
00:15:04
◼
►
I should just get a
00:15:05
◼
►
HomePod mini
00:15:05
◼
►
if I just want to use
00:15:06
◼
►
it to turn the lights
00:15:07
◼
►
and use it for my
00:15:09
◼
►
testing against other
00:15:10
◼
►
things or whatever
00:15:10
◼
►
but reading this
00:15:12
◼
►
thing of like using
00:15:12
◼
►
it as a smoke alarm
00:15:13
◼
►
like I have that
00:15:14
◼
►
feature enabled
00:15:14
◼
►
on all these things
00:15:16
◼
►
just because why not
00:15:17
◼
►
but absolutely would
00:15:18
◼
►
not use it as my
00:15:19
◼
►
primary means of
00:15:21
◼
►
I don't even use it
00:15:22
◼
►
as my primary means
00:15:22
◼
►
of turning the lights
00:15:23
◼
►
because there's a
00:15:24
◼
►
Google device in the
00:15:25
◼
►
same room and most
00:15:25
◼
►
of the family uses that
00:15:26
◼
►
one because it works
00:15:27
◼
►
all right so Dion
00:15:30
◼
►
Garrett writes with
00:15:30
◼
►
regard to the limits
00:15:31
◼
►
of LLMs and LRMs
00:15:33
◼
►
the app paper
00:15:34
◼
►
discussed in the
00:15:35
◼
►
overtime segment of
00:15:36
◼
►
ATP 643 mentioned
00:15:37
◼
►
LRMs complete collapse
00:15:39
◼
►
on out of distribution
00:15:41
◼
►
problems this is not
00:15:43
◼
►
the same as outside
00:15:44
◼
►
of the training data
00:15:45
◼
►
which is what we had
00:15:46
◼
►
said a few times
00:15:47
◼
►
neural nets generalize
00:15:49
◼
►
really well on inputs
00:15:50
◼
►
that are not in the
00:15:51
◼
►
training data but are
00:15:52
◼
►
drawn from the same
00:15:52
◼
►
distribution as the
00:15:54
◼
►
training data I think
00:15:55
◼
►
you know this already
00:15:56
◼
►
but there's a huge body
00:15:57
◼
►
of people who believe
00:15:58
◼
►
that LLMs cannot
00:15:59
◼
►
reproduce anything that
00:15:59
◼
►
wasn't literally in the
00:16:00
◼
►
training data that's
00:16:02
◼
►
certainly not true
00:16:03
◼
►
yeah so that is a
00:16:04
◼
►
fine distinction it's
00:16:05
◼
►
worth making although
00:16:06
◼
►
the fact that LLMs can
00:16:08
◼
►
reproduce things that
00:16:09
◼
►
were not in the
00:16:10
◼
►
training data but just
00:16:11
◼
►
are in the distribution
00:16:11
◼
►
of the training data
00:16:12
◼
►
that's where hallucinations
00:16:14
◼
►
so-called hallucinations
00:16:15
◼
►
come from like all of
00:16:16
◼
►
it is just statistical
00:16:17
◼
►
stuff based on the
00:16:18
◼
►
training data so there's
00:16:19
◼
►
the distribution of
00:16:20
◼
►
the stuff in the
00:16:21
◼
►
training data and
00:16:22
◼
►
there's the things that
00:16:22
◼
►
can be reproduced and
00:16:24
◼
►
yeah it'll it'll put
00:16:26
◼
►
so if it looks like
00:16:27
◼
►
something would fall
00:16:27
◼
►
naturally within the
00:16:28
◼
►
distribution it will
00:16:29
◼
►
produce that is that
00:16:30
◼
►
valid or true or
00:16:32
◼
►
or you know or
00:16:33
◼
►
are the things in the
00:16:34
◼
►
training data true or
00:16:35
◼
►
are the things that like
00:16:36
◼
►
it synthesizes because
00:16:37
◼
►
they're within the realm
00:16:38
◼
►
of the stuff that's in
00:16:39
◼
►
the training data that
00:16:40
◼
►
may not necessarily be
00:16:41
◼
►
true either and that's
00:16:41
◼
►
you know that's why you
00:16:42
◼
►
will get LLMs to say
00:16:43
◼
►
things that you said
00:16:44
◼
►
this information this
00:16:45
◼
►
fact this answer was
00:16:47
◼
►
not in the training data
00:16:48
◼
►
no it wasn't in the
00:16:49
◼
►
training data but it
00:16:50
◼
►
was apparently in the
00:16:50
◼
►
quote-unquote
00:16:51
◼
►
distribution of the
00:16:52
◼
►
training data and
00:16:52
◼
►
that's why it got
00:16:53
◼
►
spat out of the
00:16:54
◼
►
machine but anyway
00:16:55
◼
►
important important
00:16:56
◼
►
distinction this is from
00:16:57
◼
►
a follow-up from many
00:16:58
◼
►
episodes ago so we're
00:16:59
◼
►
sorry for the delay but
00:17:00
◼
►
WWD kind of sidetracked
00:17:02
◼
►
it and speaking of
00:17:02
◼
►
that right so we
00:17:04
◼
►
talked about that paper
00:17:05
◼
►
that Apple had put up
00:17:06
◼
►
the illusion of
00:17:07
◼
►
thinking understanding
00:17:08
◼
►
the strengths and
00:17:08
◼
►
limitations of reasoning
00:17:09
◼
►
models via the lens of
00:17:10
◼
►
problem complexity and
00:17:12
◼
►
there was a rebuttal
00:17:13
◼
►
about it that made a
00:17:15
◼
►
bunch of waves and we
00:17:16
◼
►
again we just didn't
00:17:17
◼
►
have the chance to talk
00:17:18
◼
►
about it the rebuttal
00:17:19
◼
►
was called the illusion
00:17:20
◼
►
of the illusion of
00:17:21
◼
►
thinking and it was by
00:17:22
◼
►
Alex Lawson and
00:17:24
◼
►
Anthropic reading from
00:17:26
◼
►
there Apple's paper says
00:17:27
◼
►
that large reasoning
00:17:27
◼
►
models or LRMs
00:17:28
◼
►
exhibit accuracy
00:17:29
◼
►
collapse on planning
00:17:30
◼
►
puzzles beyond certain
00:17:31
◼
►
complexity thresholds we
00:17:33
◼
►
demonstrate that their
00:17:34
◼
►
findings primarily
00:17:34
◼
►
reflect experimental
00:17:35
◼
►
design limitations
00:17:36
◼
►
rather than fundamental
00:17:37
◼
►
reasoning failures
00:17:38
◼
►
then there was a
00:17:39
◼
►
whole bunch of talk
00:17:40
◼
►
about that there was a
00:17:41
◼
►
rebuttal to that
00:17:42
◼
►
rebuttal by Victor
00:17:43
◼
►
Martinez Victor writes
00:17:45
◼
►
putting aside the stunt
00:17:45
◼
►
of having Claude Opus as
00:17:47
◼
►
a co-author yes I'm not
00:17:48
◼
►
kidding the paper is in
00:17:49
◼
►
itself is a poor
00:17:50
◼
►
rebuttal for many
00:17:51
◼
►
reasons we shall which
00:17:52
◼
►
we shall explore but
00:17:53
◼
►
mainly for missing the
00:17:54
◼
►
entire point of the
00:17:55
◼
►
paper in prior research
00:17:56
◼
►
by AI researchers such
00:17:58
◼
►
as professor some K
00:18:00
◼
►
based name I'm not
00:18:00
◼
►
going to try to
00:18:01
◼
►
pronounce because I
00:18:01
◼
►
will butcher
00:18:02
◼
►
oh you gotta attempt
00:18:03
◼
►
it you gotta attempt
00:18:03
◼
►
it come combahampti
00:18:05
◼
►
combahampti I'm gonna
00:18:08
◼
►
say compound potty yeah
00:18:10
◼
►
I think you're yeah I
00:18:11
◼
►
think you're closer then
00:18:13
◼
►
Gary Marcus chimed in
00:18:14
◼
►
again seven replies to
00:18:16
◼
►
the viral Apple
00:18:17
◼
►
reasoning paper and why
00:18:18
◼
►
they fall short and
00:18:19
◼
►
we're gonna link all
00:18:20
◼
►
these in the show notes
00:18:20
◼
►
of course and then
00:18:22
◼
►
finally it turns out
00:18:23
◼
►
that Alex Lawson's
00:18:23
◼
►
rebuttal was a quote
00:18:24
◼
►
unquote joke so
00:18:26
◼
►
reading from Alex
00:18:27
◼
►
people were treating
00:18:28
◼
►
my elaborate poopoo
00:18:29
◼
►
post as real science
00:18:31
◼
►
and while I'd aim to
00:18:33
◼
►
point out some real
00:18:33
◼
►
issues with the post I
00:18:34
◼
►
hadn't really expected
00:18:35
◼
►
anyone to take it
00:18:35
◼
►
seriously look I should
00:18:37
◼
►
have been more careful
00:18:37
◼
►
the original version I
00:18:38
◼
►
uploaded had some
00:18:39
◼
►
genuinely terrible
00:18:40
◼
►
sections stuff Claude
00:18:41
◼
►
had written that I
00:18:41
◼
►
hadn't bothered to
00:18:42
◼
►
check properly I had
00:18:44
◼
►
vibe coded if you will
00:18:45
◼
►
the whole thing and
00:18:46
◼
►
quite frequently asked
00:18:47
◼
►
for an entire rewrite if
00:18:48
◼
►
I wanted a small
00:18:48
◼
►
section to be different
00:18:50
◼
►
computational
00:18:51
◼
►
complexity analysis
00:18:51
◼
►
that was just
00:18:52
◼
►
complete nonsense
00:18:53
◼
►
if I'd been doing my
00:18:54
◼
►
actual job or if I'd
00:18:55
◼
►
been working on an
00:18:56
◼
►
actual paper I'd have
00:18:58
◼
►
been more careful
00:18:59
◼
►
my thinking was that
00:19:00
◼
►
the whole point was to
00:19:01
◼
►
show that even Claude
00:19:02
◼
►
could find problems with
00:19:03
◼
►
the original paper I
00:19:03
◼
►
wasn't trying to write
00:19:04
◼
►
something good I've
00:19:05
◼
►
updated the paper to
00:19:06
◼
►
fix the biggest mistakes
00:19:07
◼
►
from the first version
00:19:07
◼
►
but the lesson's been
00:19:08
◼
►
learned once something's
00:19:09
◼
►
out there it's out of
00:19:11
◼
►
yeah there's kind of
00:19:12
◼
►
reaction of like boy my
00:19:13
◼
►
thing kind of went
00:19:13
◼
►
viral but you know
00:19:14
◼
►
haha it wasn't serious
00:19:16
◼
►
so okay I guess lesson
00:19:18
◼
►
learned but anyway that
00:19:19
◼
►
all that drama
00:19:20
◼
►
essentially happened in
00:19:21
◼
►
the time between when
00:19:21
◼
►
this uh rebuttal of the
00:19:23
◼
►
paper was put into our
00:19:25
◼
►
show notes and then
00:19:25
◼
►
WWC happened so we
00:19:27
◼
►
were looped around to
00:19:28
◼
►
find it and you know
00:19:29
◼
►
there's Apple's paper
00:19:30
◼
►
then there was this
00:19:31
◼
►
thing rebutting it that
00:19:32
◼
►
turned out to just be a
00:19:33
◼
►
I love how we're using
00:19:34
◼
►
vibe coding for things
00:19:35
◼
►
that are not coding
00:19:35
◼
►
a vibe coded quote
00:19:38
◼
►
unquote joke response
00:19:39
◼
►
that was kind of
00:19:40
◼
►
serious because it was
00:19:41
◼
►
like I do think there's
00:19:41
◼
►
problems but I'll have
00:19:42
◼
►
Claude help me write it
00:19:43
◼
►
and won't that be fun
00:19:44
◼
►
turns out not so fun
00:19:45
◼
►
Lister Periato wrote
00:19:48
◼
►
with regard to HDR on
00:19:49
◼
►
the uh 26 OS's I've
00:19:51
◼
►
noticed that Apple is
00:19:52
◼
►
using way brighter HDR
00:19:54
◼
►
effects on interface
00:19:54
◼
►
elements in the betas
00:19:55
◼
►
for iOS 26 but I
00:19:57
◼
►
haven't read or heard
00:19:58
◼
►
anyone discussing that
00:19:59
◼
►
including Apple I think
00:20:01
◼
►
that they started playing
00:20:02
◼
►
with this with the new
00:20:03
◼
►
Siri animations on
00:20:04
◼
►
iOS 18 and now with
00:20:05
◼
►
26 it's sort of
00:20:06
◼
►
everywhere is this
00:20:06
◼
►
available for developers
00:20:07
◼
►
to play around with
00:20:08
◼
►
well it scratches my
00:20:09
◼
►
nerdy itch for novelty
00:20:10
◼
►
more chroma more luma
00:20:11
◼
►
more power I can see
00:20:13
◼
►
it risks getting old
00:20:14
◼
►
and gauche gauche is
00:20:15
◼
►
that gauche thank you
00:20:17
◼
►
at least I knew enough
00:20:18
◼
►
to know it was wrong
00:20:18
◼
►
uh anyway uh old and
00:20:21
◼
►
gauche very fast so I
00:20:22
◼
►
hope Apple's designers
00:20:23
◼
►
thread carefully it
00:20:25
◼
►
could be used the same
00:20:25
◼
►
way that game developers
00:20:26
◼
►
use lights to guide
00:20:27
◼
►
players attention or it
00:20:28
◼
►
could end up blinding
00:20:28
◼
►
them out of their train
00:20:29
◼
►
of thought I will
00:20:30
◼
►
note that we did
00:20:31
◼
►
mention this when we
00:20:31
◼
►
were discussing the uh
00:20:32
◼
►
x86 OS's or I
00:20:34
◼
►
I keep writing it
00:20:35
◼
►
xos 26 the OS 26 is
00:20:38
◼
►
um yeah I think uh
00:20:40
◼
►
Marco noted it and I
00:20:41
◼
►
think maybe I did it
00:20:41
◼
►
when we were talking
00:20:42
◼
►
about in the past but
00:20:42
◼
►
yeah I've been noticing
00:20:43
◼
►
it more and more it's a
00:20:44
◼
►
thing they're doing um
00:20:45
◼
►
you know so they did it
00:20:47
◼
►
with Siri with the if
00:20:49
◼
►
you've noticed on your
00:20:49
◼
►
phone when the new
00:20:50
◼
►
Siri animation came
00:20:51
◼
►
one of the reasons you
00:20:52
◼
►
might have noticed it
00:20:53
◼
►
is that it literally is
00:20:55
◼
►
brighter if you have an
00:20:55
◼
►
HDR screen on your phone
00:20:56
◼
►
which most of us do
00:20:57
◼
►
these days uh and
00:20:59
◼
►
they're using it in all
00:21:00
◼
►
sorts of places like uh
00:21:02
◼
►
I think like in
00:21:02
◼
►
tooltips and popovers
00:21:04
◼
►
on macOS they'll they're
00:21:06
◼
►
briefly in and when we
00:21:08
◼
►
say HDR we just mean
00:21:09
◼
►
brighter than the
00:21:10
◼
►
brightest white uh that
00:21:12
◼
►
your screen is set to
00:21:13
◼
►
display so uh as we
00:21:15
◼
►
discussed before if you
00:21:15
◼
►
have a mac with HDR
00:21:16
◼
►
there is the maximum
00:21:18
◼
►
brightness that macOS
00:21:20
◼
►
will let you set the
00:21:20
◼
►
screen so if you just
00:21:21
◼
►
make like a window like
00:21:22
◼
►
a text edit window how
00:21:24
◼
►
bright will the white in
00:21:25
◼
►
that window get and it
00:21:26
◼
►
used to be like three or
00:21:27
◼
►
four hundred nits and
00:21:28
◼
►
now I think they'll let
00:21:28
◼
►
you go up to 700 or
00:21:29
◼
►
whatever but max with
00:21:31
◼
►
HDR screens often go
00:21:32
◼
►
up to as high as
00:21:32
◼
►
1600 nits but they
00:21:34
◼
►
don't draw the text edit
00:21:35
◼
►
window at 1600 nits
00:21:36
◼
►
because a they would
00:21:37
◼
►
draw a lot of power and
00:21:38
◼
►
b would be blinding in
00:21:39
◼
►
many environments um so
00:21:41
◼
►
that's what we say by
00:21:42
◼
►
HDR brightness something
00:21:43
◼
►
that is brighter than
00:21:44
◼
►
the cap on the
00:21:46
◼
►
brightness of plain
00:21:47
◼
►
white in just like part
00:21:49
◼
►
of the user interface
00:21:50
◼
►
something that's not an
00:21:51
◼
►
HDR photo or whatever
00:21:52
◼
►
and what they're doing
00:21:53
◼
►
in Tahoe and a bunch of
00:21:54
◼
►
places is making things
00:21:55
◼
►
like popovers briefly
00:21:57
◼
►
appear when they first
00:21:59
◼
►
like pop over when they
00:22:00
◼
►
first pop up briefly
00:22:01
◼
►
appear at a much higher
00:22:02
◼
►
brightness and then fade
00:22:04
◼
►
back down to like the
00:22:05
◼
►
full white level
00:22:05
◼
►
brightness and it's an
00:22:07
◼
►
interesting effect but
00:22:08
◼
►
I'm not sure it fits in
00:22:10
◼
►
because it's so it's not
00:22:12
◼
►
it's not ubiquitous it's
00:22:13
◼
►
just a few elements do
00:22:14
◼
►
this and they do it
00:22:15
◼
►
briefly so much so that
00:22:17
◼
►
you might think am I
00:22:18
◼
►
seeing something you're
00:22:19
◼
►
not it's it's a real
00:22:20
◼
►
thing that's happening
00:22:21
◼
►
but you could go hours
00:22:23
◼
►
without seeing this
00:22:24
◼
►
effect and then have it
00:22:25
◼
►
appear on the phone
00:22:26
◼
►
obviously the Siri
00:22:27
◼
►
animation does it every
00:22:28
◼
►
single time so you kind of
00:22:29
◼
►
get used to it there
00:22:30
◼
►
but on the Mac you might
00:22:32
◼
►
think you're seeing things
00:22:33
◼
►
you're not it's not a ghost
00:22:34
◼
►
inhabiting your computer
00:22:35
◼
►
those things really are
00:22:36
◼
►
briefly a little bit
00:22:37
◼
►
brighter than you would
00:22:37
◼
►
expect them to be
00:22:38
◼
►
yeah I'm noticing this all
00:22:40
◼
►
over the iPhone beta as
00:22:41
◼
►
well even even mostly in
00:22:43
◼
►
like edges of things like
00:22:45
◼
►
when you know with with
00:22:46
◼
►
part of the glass effects
00:22:48
◼
►
here and there there's a
00:22:49
◼
►
lot of a lot of controls
00:22:50
◼
►
have like little glints
00:22:51
◼
►
you know on the edges of
00:22:53
◼
►
like oh there's this is
00:22:54
◼
►
reflecting light and it's
00:22:56
◼
►
hard to tell whether it's
00:22:58
◼
►
passing that HDR threshold
00:23:00
◼
►
or not but I'm pretty sure
00:23:01
◼
►
it is and it's it's doing
00:23:03
◼
►
it right now it is doing it
00:23:05
◼
►
kind of you know occasionally
00:23:07
◼
►
and subtly and and in small
00:23:09
◼
►
areas of the of the bit
00:23:11
◼
►
maps and stuff in small areas
00:23:12
◼
►
of the of the screen but it's
00:23:14
◼
►
definitely there like it sure
00:23:16
◼
►
looks like it's there and I
00:23:18
◼
►
think this is you know on one
00:23:20
◼
►
hand it kind of it kind of
00:23:23
◼
►
feels like cheating because
00:23:25
◼
►
apps can't really do their
00:23:28
◼
►
own UI very easily this way
00:23:30
◼
►
like like in in a custom way
00:23:32
◼
►
like for apps to use the the
00:23:35
◼
►
HDR range would require it
00:23:37
◼
►
requires a lot of hacks and
00:23:38
◼
►
has a lot of limits and it's
00:23:39
◼
►
it's not it's not easy for
00:23:41
◼
►
apps to do so basically what
00:23:42
◼
►
this will do is it will make
00:23:44
◼
►
Apple's stock controls and
00:23:47
◼
►
Apple's built-in system apps
00:23:48
◼
►
that use this kind of
00:23:49
◼
►
technique or system features
00:23:51
◼
►
it'll make them look way
00:23:54
◼
►
brighter and bolder and
00:23:55
◼
►
better and easier to notice
00:23:57
◼
►
than what most apps are
00:23:59
◼
►
displaying most of the time
00:24:01
◼
►
so this can be used to a
00:24:03
◼
►
useful effect like I do think
00:24:05
◼
►
the Siri animation being
00:24:07
◼
►
brighter than than 100% you
00:24:09
◼
►
know like that helps it jump
00:24:11
◼
►
out and and show like okay
00:24:12
◼
►
this is a different level of
00:24:13
◼
►
the system that that is above
00:24:15
◼
►
what everything else is going
00:24:17
◼
►
on my screen I also think it
00:24:19
◼
►
it's yet another way though
00:24:21
◼
►
like as they're expanding it
00:24:22
◼
►
now into a lot of these like
00:24:23
◼
►
you know glass effects that
00:24:24
◼
►
we can use but we can't
00:24:25
◼
►
really necessarily you know
00:24:27
◼
►
customize or make our own
00:24:28
◼
►
that what that will do is
00:24:31
◼
►
that will make apps that use
00:24:33
◼
►
the stock controls stand out
00:24:36
◼
►
even more than using custom
00:24:37
◼
►
controls now as talked about
00:24:40
◼
►
with the introduction of this
00:24:41
◼
►
stuff the developer ecosystem
00:24:43
◼
►
around you know custom designs
00:24:45
◼
►
right now Apple is basically
00:24:47
◼
►
like putting out putting a
00:24:49
◼
►
shot out there that says
00:24:50
◼
►
like look we're gonna make
00:24:51
◼
►
some really cool stuff and if
00:24:53
◼
►
you use our stock controls
00:24:54
◼
►
mostly unmodified your stuff
00:24:57
◼
►
will look like our stuff and
00:24:58
◼
►
it'll look cool and it'll look
00:24:59
◼
►
different and now it'll look
00:25:00
◼
►
even you know even better with
00:25:02
◼
►
these like little you know
00:25:02
◼
►
little specular highlights on
00:25:03
◼
►
the edges of glass and stuff
00:25:04
◼
►
that are even brighter than what
00:25:05
◼
►
you can do in your app very
00:25:06
◼
►
easily but that's not what most
00:25:09
◼
►
apps do most apps are made by
00:25:10
◼
►
big companies who want all
00:25:11
◼
►
their apps look the same and
00:25:12
◼
►
they use something like
00:25:13
◼
►
electron or you know some
00:25:14
◼
►
kind of cross-platform toolkits
00:25:16
◼
►
and stuff so that all their
00:25:17
◼
►
apps you know look the same
00:25:18
◼
►
everywhere and the same on the
00:25:19
◼
►
web and everything is flat and
00:25:21
◼
►
everything will look old
00:25:21
◼
►
forever after this that's the
00:25:24
◼
►
ecosystem they're playing into
00:25:25
◼
►
so I think it's really it's it's
00:25:27
◼
►
a bold move and it's it might
00:25:30
◼
►
be a little bit of hubris but I
00:25:31
◼
►
think it's kind of in the best
00:25:32
◼
►
way that like Apple is gonna be
00:25:34
◼
►
like you know what if you want
00:25:35
◼
►
to do your own custom thing good
00:25:37
◼
►
it's gonna look drab and flat
00:25:40
◼
►
compared to what we are doing
00:25:41
◼
►
it's an interesting you know
00:25:44
◼
►
carrot to bring people over to
00:25:45
◼
►
using stock controls I don't
00:25:48
◼
►
think it will work for big
00:25:49
◼
►
companies at all I don't think
00:25:51
◼
►
the big companies care I don't
00:25:52
◼
►
even know how much Apple cares
00:25:53
◼
►
about them caring but I think
00:25:55
◼
►
for for you know for the built-in
00:25:57
◼
►
apps and for developers who use
00:26:00
◼
►
the built-in you know UI widgets in
00:26:03
◼
►
a less customized way I think it'll
00:26:05
◼
►
be a nice little polish and it'll
00:26:06
◼
►
it'll make our apps stand out
00:26:07
◼
►
even more for the for those of
00:26:09
◼
►
us who do you know stick to the
00:26:10
◼
►
stick to the stock stuff I feel
00:26:13
◼
►
like it's kind of like using
00:26:14
◼
►
exclamation point important in a
00:26:15
◼
►
CSS document in style sheets
00:26:18
◼
►
that's a way for you to get a
00:26:20
◼
►
property to take precedence over
00:26:22
◼
►
one that would otherwise override
00:26:23
◼
►
it due to like selector
00:26:24
◼
►
specificity or something but you
00:26:26
◼
►
only get one of those you get
00:26:28
◼
►
one exclamation point important
00:26:29
◼
►
there's no like exclamation point
00:26:31
◼
►
important X2 X3 X4 all those I'm
00:26:34
◼
►
sure there's CSS acts to get that
00:26:35
◼
►
so the analogy may not be
00:26:37
◼
►
perfect but anyway how many
00:26:39
◼
►
chances do you get to say now
00:26:42
◼
►
there's a new layer of the UI and
00:26:44
◼
►
we're going to make that one
00:26:45
◼
►
brighter probably only the one or
00:26:48
◼
►
maybe two because there's only so
00:26:50
◼
►
much of a brightness delta that
00:26:52
◼
►
eyes can comfortably tolerate and
00:26:54
◼
►
it's great that screens are getting
00:26:55
◼
►
brighter but they're still kind of
00:26:57
◼
►
like the regular brightness and
00:26:58
◼
►
then the maximum brightness and
00:27:00
◼
►
may like I said maybe you go with
00:27:01
◼
►
the regular brightness a medium
00:27:02
◼
►
one and then the highest one if we
00:27:04
◼
►
get something and do like 4000 nits
00:27:05
◼
►
on a phone or something but I'm
00:27:07
◼
►
not sure that's the best way to add
00:27:11
◼
►
emphasis to a user interface it is
00:27:14
◼
►
possible to make a visual and
00:27:17
◼
►
functional and conceptual hierarchy
00:27:19
◼
►
without relying on large brightness
00:27:23
◼
►
deltas as a differentiator I'm not
00:27:25
◼
►
saying it's a bad idea to do it but I
00:27:26
◼
►
am saying that Apple should you know
00:27:29
◼
►
think twice about making this a
00:27:32
◼
►
foundation of its visual hierarchy I
00:27:34
◼
►
think it's fine for like we have a
00:27:35
◼
►
new design and this is a flourish that
00:27:37
◼
►
we can add to it but you really don't
00:27:39
◼
►
like they like this is why I keep
00:27:40
◼
►
going back to dollar sign important
00:27:41
◼
►
you really can't only get to do this
00:27:42
◼
►
once and you should maybe for the
00:27:46
◼
►
next big redesign I guess you could
00:27:47
◼
►
keep doing this but maybe it's better
00:27:49
◼
►
to think of another way to show this
00:27:52
◼
►
layering again we've done it in
00:27:54
◼
►
computer interfaces for years and
00:27:56
◼
►
years without HDR so it's you know
00:27:58
◼
►
now that we have HDR this is another
00:27:59
◼
►
tool that we can put in the tool belt
00:28:00
◼
►
but I feel kind of like this is a an
00:28:02
◼
►
exuberant explosion based on like well
00:28:06
◼
►
now we have this new tool in our
00:28:07
◼
►
quiver we've never had this before we
00:28:08
◼
►
can use HDR to differentiate things
00:28:10
◼
►
differentiate things in the
00:28:11
◼
►
interface it's not great for battery
00:28:13
◼
►
life it is sometimes a little bit
00:28:15
◼
►
jarring I think it will be fun in the
00:28:17
◼
►
short term but I hope this does not
00:28:19
◼
►
last more than 10 years this is the
00:28:22
◼
►
mindset I'm like probably only have to
00:28:24
◼
►
worry about this for like 10 years
00:28:25
◼
►
it'll be okay yeah if Apple still
00:28:26
◼
►
around then which it probably will be
00:28:28
◼
►
so I'm not a giant fan of this I think
00:28:30
◼
►
it will be fun for a short period of
00:28:31
◼
►
time but I think there are better ways
00:28:34
◼
►
to do what it's trying to do with
00:28:36
◼
►
regard to iPad OS 26 John Edwards
00:28:39
◼
►
right my hypothesis on the 12 window
00:28:42
◼
►
limit in iPad OS 26 is that it is a
00:28:44
◼
►
safeguard against unresponsiveness on
00:28:46
◼
►
the Mac if the window server stops
00:28:48
◼
►
responding you can still move the mouse
00:28:49
◼
►
cursor itself around even if it's
00:28:51
◼
►
beach balling which is an indicator that
00:28:52
◼
►
the system isn't completely hosed if
00:28:55
◼
►
window drag is slow like John
00:28:56
◼
►
encountered when more than one user
00:28:58
◼
►
was logged in a few months back too
00:29:00
◼
►
soon too soon the cursor stays locked
00:29:02
◼
►
to the drag it just feels like pulling
00:29:04
◼
►
the window through molasses on a
00:29:06
◼
►
touch-first device there's no
00:29:07
◼
►
guaranteed analogous affordance if
00:29:09
◼
►
the windows on screen aren't
00:29:11
◼
►
responsive to touch the system feels
00:29:12
◼
►
broken as Marco pointed out even on
00:29:14
◼
►
the latest and greatest iPhone
00:29:15
◼
►
hardware liquid glass and the overall
00:29:16
◼
►
performance of the current beta feel
00:29:17
◼
►
slow beginning with the last few
00:29:19
◼
►
releases of iOS 18 my iPhone mini
00:29:21
◼
►
locks up in Apple's own apps and
00:29:22
◼
►
becomes unresponsive to touch I can
00:29:24
◼
►
tell you from firsthand experience
00:29:25
◼
►
that this behavior sucks this is an
00:29:27
◼
►
answer that Federighi and others
00:29:28
◼
►
actually gave when asked the same
00:29:30
◼
►
question I forgot the timing on this
00:29:31
◼
►
one know whether John Edwards said
00:29:32
◼
►
this before those interviews were
00:29:33
◼
►
released or after or if he'd seen
00:29:35
◼
►
them or not but either way we're like
00:29:37
◼
►
they weren't talking about the 12
00:29:38
◼
►
window limit which they didn't talk
00:29:39
◼
►
about too much where they were
00:29:39
◼
►
mostly talking about like why is it
00:29:41
◼
►
taking so long to get windowing on
00:29:43
◼
►
iOS and they gave the power as a
00:29:45
◼
►
possible thing and then we talked
00:29:46
◼
►
about the 12 window limit and said
00:29:47
◼
►
well maybe that's why they're doing it
00:29:48
◼
►
because as Federighi said in his
00:29:50
◼
►
interviews like we want it to always be
00:29:51
◼
►
responsive to touch because if it
00:29:53
◼
►
isn't it feels broken and I'm here
00:29:56
◼
►
to say the Mac also feels broken when
00:29:59
◼
►
stuff stops working I know what he's
00:30:00
◼
►
saying about like oh but like if the
00:30:01
◼
►
drag is slow both the cursor that the
00:30:04
◼
►
mouse is controlling and the place
00:30:05
◼
►
where it is on the title bar will stay
00:30:07
◼
►
together so it'll be slow together it
00:30:09
◼
►
still feels awful first of all and
00:30:10
◼
►
second of all there are plenty of
00:30:12
◼
►
ways that the Mac OS can and has
00:30:14
◼
►
locked up such that you can't drag
00:30:17
◼
►
windows or the mouse doesn't move
00:30:19
◼
►
anymore if you look back to the classic
00:30:21
◼
►
Mac OS days and even if that's not
00:30:24
◼
►
true even if like oh I'm as long as
00:30:26
◼
►
the the cursor stays on the thing I'm
00:30:27
◼
►
dragging I'm fine that it's updating
00:30:29
◼
►
at three frames every 10 seconds no
00:30:31
◼
►
you're not fine it feels totally
00:30:32
◼
►
broken like there are just so many
00:30:33
◼
►
ways or like the beach ball the beach
00:30:35
◼
►
ball appears and now you can't click
00:30:37
◼
►
anything you're like well these the
00:30:38
◼
►
beach ball is still spinning I guess
00:30:39
◼
►
the computer is all right no so this
00:30:41
◼
►
notion that like and Federighi was
00:30:42
◼
►
pointing out it's like well these touch
00:30:43
◼
►
devices they always have to feel
00:30:45
◼
►
responsive the Mac should also
00:30:46
◼
►
always be responsive why is the bar
00:30:48
◼
►
lower from the Mac like when terrible
00:30:50
◼
►
things happen to the Mac user
00:30:51
◼
►
interface it also feels terrible it's
00:30:53
◼
►
not like we're fooled by like well
00:30:54
◼
►
it's just a Mac it's fine if this
00:30:55
◼
►
was an iPad I'd be annoyed and so I
00:30:58
◼
►
you know there's I don't think this
00:30:59
◼
►
is a you know I was discussing past
00:31:02
◼
►
episodes about exactly how much power
00:31:04
◼
►
modern iPads have compared to Macs
00:31:06
◼
►
that ran Mac OS 10 with no window
00:31:07
◼
►
limit on them I still feel like the
00:31:09
◼
►
main reason for the limit has to be
00:31:11
◼
►
either RAM limits and their refusal to
00:31:13
◼
►
go to swap without a again I don't
00:31:15
◼
►
know the details of what the
00:31:16
◼
►
situation is like or just the plain
00:31:18
◼
►
fact is it's a small screen and
00:31:20
◼
►
they're trying to keep it simple I do
00:31:21
◼
►
wonder if this limit will increase as
00:31:24
◼
►
as time marches on but you know 10
00:31:26
◼
►
years from now when iPads come with
00:31:28
◼
►
64 gigs of RAM standard to be like
00:31:29
◼
►
well they can't handle more than 12
00:31:30
◼
►
windows and to be like really Mac
00:31:32
◼
►
was 10 ran 128 megabytes but this 32
00:31:34
◼
►
gig RAM iPad Pro can't have more than
00:31:36
◼
►
12 windows on screen at once so that's
00:31:38
◼
►
iPad OS for you it's moved by leaps
00:31:42
◼
►
and bounds this year but it is still
00:31:44
◼
►
holding itself back from being the
00:31:46
◼
►
unlimited bonanza that is Mac OS for
00:31:49
◼
►
some good reasons because again that's
00:31:51
◼
►
the selling proposition it is simpler
00:31:52
◼
►
it has it gives you less ability to get
00:31:55
◼
►
yourself into trouble and making lots
00:31:56
◼
►
of one windows is one way you can do
00:31:58
◼
►
that but 12 feels weird and somewhat
00:32:01
◼
►
arbitrary maybe in iPad OS 27 we'll get
00:32:04
◼
►
a baker's dozen Wow all right then
00:32:08
◼
►
John you had asked for not really asked
00:32:10
◼
►
for but had talked about the idea of a
00:32:12
◼
►
glass iPhone can you recap what that
00:32:14
◼
►
was about please yeah listener actually
00:32:15
◼
►
sent this in we were talking about
00:32:16
◼
►
like the rumors of liquid glass and the
00:32:18
◼
►
rumors of like using the the light
00:32:20
◼
►
sensors or the camera to figure out
00:32:21
◼
►
where the glint should be on the UI this
00:32:23
◼
►
is back when we just had the rumors of
00:32:24
◼
►
what it's supposed to look like we
00:32:25
◼
►
didn't know yet and the listener wrote
00:32:26
◼
►
it and said well you know I'm also
00:32:29
◼
►
talking about it making an OS that
00:32:30
◼
►
would fit for the rumored all glass
00:32:32
◼
►
iPhone and the rumors the patent they
00:32:33
◼
►
had for making a thing literally
00:32:34
◼
►
entirely out of glass including the
00:32:36
◼
►
case the front the back everything
00:32:38
◼
►
just all glass and Alyssa wrote and
00:32:40
◼
►
say well you could have a the
00:32:42
◼
►
equivalent of that today if you just
00:32:44
◼
►
turned on the back camera and had the
00:32:46
◼
►
back camera show what was behind the
00:32:48
◼
►
phone on the phone screen so when you
00:32:50
◼
►
were looking at your phone any area
00:32:52
◼
►
that wasn't content you'd see quote
00:32:54
◼
►
unquote through the phone to
00:32:55
◼
►
whatever's behind it and guess what
00:32:57
◼
►
somebody did it artisanal asparagus
00:33:00
◼
►
water on Mastodon has a cool demo movie
00:33:04
◼
►
they just mocked up an app doing this
00:33:06
◼
►
exact thing which is turn on the back
00:33:09
◼
►
camera and show the image but then put
00:33:10
◼
►
some UI on top of it it's really hard
00:33:12
◼
►
to do this you know this makes you
00:33:14
◼
►
appreciate Vision Pro but also
00:33:15
◼
►
understand why Vision Pro has to
00:33:16
◼
►
strap itself to your face you can't
00:33:19
◼
►
actually do this press in a
00:33:21
◼
►
perspective correct way without
00:33:22
◼
►
knowing where your eyes are all the
00:33:24
◼
►
time so the illusion is broken if you
00:33:26
◼
►
were not lined up it's kind of like
00:33:28
◼
►
the what are called the volume that
00:33:30
◼
►
big LED screen that wraps around
00:33:33
◼
►
actors that they use at IOM to do
00:33:35
◼
►
like the Mandalorian and a bunch of
00:33:36
◼
►
other shows that only looks good from
00:33:38
◼
►
the perspective of the camera if
00:33:40
◼
►
you're standing not where the camera
00:33:41
◼
►
is the background looks all wonky
00:33:43
◼
►
same deal with this like it does it's
00:33:45
◼
►
not perspective correct but anyway if
00:33:46
◼
►
you want to see what that looks like
00:33:47
◼
►
there's a video we will link it in the
00:33:48
◼
►
show notes kudos to artisanal
00:33:50
◼
►
asparagus water for mocking this up
00:33:52
◼
►
also like isn't it weird if you're
00:33:55
◼
►
simulating the idea of the phone being
00:33:57
◼
►
transparent isn't it weird that you
00:33:58
◼
►
don't see your hand yeah I mean well
00:34:01
◼
►
they don't have a camera they can
00:34:02
◼
►
show that but they could they could
00:34:03
◼
►
do a 3d model of the hand like they
00:34:04
◼
►
do like the what are you the
00:34:05
◼
►
personas there you go see you can't
00:34:08
◼
►
see your face but we you just put
00:34:09
◼
►
your hand in front of it'll model your
00:34:10
◼
►
hand and then yeah it'll show your
00:34:12
◼
►
fingers yeah we scanned your hand and
00:34:13
◼
►
now here is a hand that looks almost
00:34:14
◼
►
like your hands nobody will notice
00:34:16
◼
►
probably asterisk and then finally for
00:34:19
◼
►
tonight Joseph Humphrey writes the
00:34:21
◼
►
name of the app you mentioned in an
00:34:23
◼
►
earlier episode that can translate
00:34:24
◼
►
natural language terminal commands is
00:34:26
◼
►
sub stage and it's made by me who
00:34:29
◼
►
Joseph self self proclaims himself as
00:34:31
◼
►
friend of the show Joseph Humphrey to
00:34:34
◼
►
be honest that's not really how that
00:34:35
◼
►
works but I appreciate the hustle to be
00:34:37
◼
►
honest I get where you're coming from
00:34:38
◼
►
when you express doubts about using it
00:34:40
◼
►
as I was saying to my wife the other
00:34:41
◼
►
day if someone else other than myself
00:34:42
◼
►
had made the app I genuinely don't
00:34:44
◼
►
know if I'd trust it and want to
00:34:45
◼
►
install it either the thing that makes
00:34:47
◼
►
the difference for me is that one I
00:34:48
◼
►
made it so I know exactly what it's
00:34:49
◼
►
doing and two I added risk assessment
00:34:51
◼
►
as a feature so it assesses commands
00:34:53
◼
►
instead of blindly running them and
00:34:55
◼
►
three you can inspect and edit the
00:34:56
◼
►
commands before running them too I'm
00:34:58
◼
►
also always finding new use cases
00:35:00
◼
►
daily that let me do things that I'm
00:35:01
◼
►
not sure I'd even think to do with
00:35:03
◼
►
chat GPT just because sub stage is
00:35:05
◼
►
right there for example my most
00:35:07
◼
►
recently quote trim the sides of this
00:35:09
◼
►
video to make it 16 by 10 instead of
00:35:12
◼
►
16 by 9 quote something like that
00:35:14
◼
►
would be a huge faff I guess this is a
00:35:16
◼
►
Brit in after effects and I'm not sure
00:35:18
◼
►
how how long I'd have to poke around
00:35:20
◼
►
and handbrake to figure out whether
00:35:22
◼
►
it's even possible or not there I did
00:35:24
◼
►
actually I have like I said I have
00:35:25
◼
►
this app and saw I couldn't remember
00:35:26
◼
►
the name of it at the time so I wanted
00:35:28
◼
►
to put this in here so to tell people
00:35:29
◼
►
what it was called and I have actually
00:35:31
◼
►
used it recently I don't use it much
00:35:32
◼
►
because like I said on the show I'm a
00:35:33
◼
►
little nervous about even assessing the
00:35:36
◼
►
commands myself by looking at them
00:35:37
◼
►
like it's just I don't know it's but
00:35:39
◼
►
anyway I had occasion I forget what I
00:35:41
◼
►
was using it for but it was something
00:35:42
◼
►
very straightforward that I trusted it
00:35:44
◼
►
to do and I you know it was it was
00:35:47
◼
►
faster than going to my web browser
00:35:49
◼
►
window that or it was already open to
00:35:51
◼
►
Gemini or chat GPT or something and
00:35:53
◼
►
asking it the ffmpeg command and then
00:35:54
◼
►
copying and pasting it sub stage does
00:35:57
◼
►
what you wanted to do which is let me
00:36:00
◼
►
just do all that for you right here
00:36:01
◼
►
you know in the finder right click the
00:36:04
◼
►
thing or you know invoke the command or
00:36:05
◼
►
whatever and then just tell me what
00:36:08
◼
►
you want I'll do it right here so it's
00:36:09
◼
►
it's cutting out steps and in the same
00:36:11
◼
►
way that a lot of these LMs save you
00:36:14
◼
►
time by doing something that you would
00:36:16
◼
►
have to do a bunch of web searches for
00:36:18
◼
►
first they'll just do it right in the
00:36:19
◼
►
window you can get even faster by
00:36:21
◼
►
having it integrated directly and the
00:36:22
◼
►
chat GPT app for mac os does very
00:36:25
◼
►
similar things but it unfortunately
00:36:27
◼
►
does not run an Intel Mac so I'm not
00:36:29
◼
►
running it on my main machine so I don't
00:36:31
◼
►
get a chance to use it we are sponsored
00:36:34
◼
►
this episode by Squarespace the all-in-one
00:36:37
◼
►
website platform for entrepreneurs to
00:36:39
◼
►
stand out and succeed online whether
00:36:41
◼
►
you're just starting out or managing a
00:36:42
◼
►
growing brand Squarespace makes it easy
00:36:44
◼
►
to create a beautiful website engage
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◼
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before the design intelligence the
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all right there was a rumor that broke a
00:38:37
◼
►
few days ago Apple is planning this
00:38:39
◼
►
reading from Mac rumors Apple is planning
00:38:41
◼
►
to launch a low-cost MacBook powered by
00:38:43
◼
►
an iPhone chip according to Apple
00:38:44
◼
►
analyst Ming-Chi Kuo in an article
00:38:47
◼
►
published on X quote complain explain not
00:38:49
◼
►
complain explain that the device will
00:38:51
◼
►
feature a 13-inch display and the a18
00:38:54
◼
►
pro chip making it the first Mac powered
00:38:56
◼
►
by an iPhone chip the a18 pro chip
00:38:58
◼
►
debuted in the iPhone 16 pro last year
00:39:00
◼
►
the more affordable MacBook could come
00:39:02
◼
►
in silver blue pink and yellow finishes
00:39:04
◼
►
the new MacBook is expected to hear
00:39:07
◼
►
Eric to enter mass production late in
00:39:09
◼
►
the fourth quarter of 2025 or early in
00:39:11
◼
►
the first quarter of 2026 Apple's
00:39:13
◼
►
hoping that it will drive MacBook
00:39:14
◼
►
purchases and account for 20 to 28% of
00:39:16
◼
►
sales next year additionally a different
00:39:19
◼
►
post on Mac rumors Mac rumors has
00:39:20
◼
►
spotted evidence of such a device in
00:39:22
◼
►
back-end code related to Apple
00:39:24
◼
►
intelligence last summer and
00:39:25
◼
►
subsequently confirmed its use of the
00:39:26
◼
►
a18 pro chip the machine features the
00:39:29
◼
►
identifier Mac 17 comma 1 so I will talk
00:39:33
◼
►
about this rumor for in more detail in a
00:39:35
◼
►
second but the headline here I believe
00:39:38
◼
►
this is straight from Mac rumors also from
00:39:39
◼
►
the story yes straight from Ming-Chi Kuo
00:39:41
◼
►
low-cost is the adjective modifier on
00:39:45
◼
►
this MacBook Apple is planning to launch a
00:39:47
◼
►
low-cost MacBook and the only thing we
00:39:50
◼
►
know about this other than the size of
00:39:51
◼
►
the screen which is the same as the
00:39:52
◼
►
current 13 inch MacBook Air and some
00:39:55
◼
►
colors is that it comes with a phone
00:39:57
◼
►
chip how much cheaper do you think the
00:40:01
◼
►
a18 pro is than the m4 hmm not that
00:40:07
◼
►
much I can't imagine I mean I think it's
00:40:09
◼
►
cheap I agree that it's probably
00:40:10
◼
►
cheaper not the least of which is
00:40:11
◼
►
because they make a bazillion of them
00:40:12
◼
►
because it's a phone chip and it is
00:40:14
◼
►
physically smaller so just by going by
00:40:16
◼
►
the math of like die area like the
00:40:18
◼
►
bigger you make the chip the more
00:40:19
◼
►
expensive it is it makes sense to me
00:40:21
◼
►
that it would be cheaper but I don't
00:40:24
◼
►
especially on low-end devices I don't
00:40:28
◼
►
think the SoC is usually the most
00:40:30
◼
►
expensive component in the machine and
00:40:34
◼
►
the prices involved here especially since
00:40:36
◼
►
Apple isn't paying somebody else's
00:40:37
◼
►
profit margins other than TSMC's on these
00:40:40
◼
►
chips like I'm thinking like maybe like
00:40:45
◼
►
50 bucks 30 bucks less expensive like do
00:40:50
◼
►
you think that's the ballpark yeah I'm
00:40:52
◼
►
guessing it is I'm guessing the price
00:40:54
◼
►
difference is less than a hundred
00:40:55
◼
►
dollars yeah and so this rumor is that
00:40:58
◼
►
it's a low-cost MacBook now you you know
00:41:01
◼
►
we'll get to what Marco has here in a
00:41:03
◼
►
second you save money lots of different
00:41:04
◼
►
places but I haven't seen anyone really
00:41:06
◼
►
mention this is like wow a low-cost you
00:41:09
◼
►
know a cheaper computer would be a great
00:41:11
◼
►
idea and you could use a phone chip in
00:41:13
◼
►
it and that would make it cheaper and
00:41:15
◼
►
this is great I'm like okay but if that
00:41:16
◼
►
was the only difference if it's the M4
00:41:18
◼
►
MacBook Air with the M4 swapped out for
00:41:21
◼
►
the A18 Pro I'm thinking best case
00:41:25
◼
►
scenario this is a hundred dollar cheaper
00:41:27
◼
►
computer which is not nothing because
00:41:28
◼
►
the thing is a thousand dollars so if you
00:41:29
◼
►
have one for nine hundred dollars like
00:41:30
◼
►
that's good but is that enough to
00:41:34
◼
►
justify this thing's existence or does
00:41:35
◼
►
this replace the M4 MacBook Air well I
00:41:37
◼
►
think the the even if it is only 50 or
00:41:40
◼
►
hundred dollars different cost to Apple
00:41:43
◼
►
when you multiply that a million times
00:41:46
◼
►
two million times five million times
00:41:47
◼
►
that adds up real quick and so I don't
00:41:49
◼
►
think you're wrong but it wouldn't
00:41:50
◼
►
surprise me if they wanted to go after
00:41:52
◼
►
what seems to be a not very large Delta
00:41:54
◼
►
just because on the scale in which they
00:41:57
◼
►
operate that can make a huge difference
00:41:58
◼
►
yeah so that leads to to Marco's idea
00:42:01
◼
►
for a game here what could be removed or
00:42:04
◼
►
limited to make this cheaper than a
00:42:06
◼
►
MacBook Air other than obviously the
00:42:08
◼
►
A18 Pro versus the M4 so let's just
00:42:11
◼
►
that just take that as a given because
00:42:12
◼
►
all the rumors seem to agree that
00:42:13
◼
►
that's that's the deal with this
00:42:15
◼
►
including Mac rumors finding a thing
00:42:17
◼
►
that seemed to identify that chip
00:42:19
◼
►
number so we've swapped out the M4 for
00:42:21
◼
►
the A18 Pro how else do you get money
00:42:23
◼
►
out of this machine let's let's do a
00:42:26
◼
►
round robin and everyone and you got to
00:42:28
◼
►
pick you know like a giraffe like until
00:42:30
◼
►
we don't we run out of things that we
00:42:31
◼
►
can think of yeah because I have a list
00:42:33
◼
►
here of like remote the keyboard some
00:42:34
◼
►
of them are pretty crazy and and you
00:42:36
◼
►
know and just for context all right the
00:42:38
◼
►
MacBook Air currently starts at a
00:42:39
◼
►
thousand dollars isn't like a 900 for
00:42:42
◼
►
education or something yes something like
00:42:43
◼
►
that and then there's the Walmart M1
00:42:46
◼
►
MacBook Air still for sale for 650 yeah
00:42:49
◼
►
also for reference the cheapest iPad
00:42:52
◼
►
they sell is 350 and it has a 250
00:42:57
◼
►
keyboard option so a combined if you want
00:42:59
◼
►
the cheapest iPad with their keyboard and
00:43:02
◼
►
trackpad that go with it it's six
00:43:04
◼
►
hundred dollars and what what chip does
00:43:06
◼
►
that one come with that's the a 17 I
00:43:08
◼
►
believe so that so the base model iPad
00:43:11
◼
►
currently for sale does not run Apple
00:43:13
◼
►
intelligence the iPad mini has the 17
00:43:16
◼
►
pro so it can but that's more expensive
00:43:19
◼
►
but so just the cheapest iPad they make
00:43:21
◼
►
and I think you can look at some of the
00:43:24
◼
►
things they do with that cheap iPad to
00:43:26
◼
►
get that iPad down to 350 without the
00:43:27
◼
►
keyboard and I think we're looking at a
00:43:30
◼
►
similar likely product here now obviously a
00:43:35
◼
►
laptop requires a keyboard and a trackpad
00:43:37
◼
►
so I'm guessing I'm guessing this laptop
00:43:41
◼
►
includes you know it the rumor already
00:43:44
◼
►
says a 13 inch screen so a 13 inch screen
00:43:46
◼
►
keyboard and trackpad now the details on
00:43:49
◼
►
those can matter so who'd like to go
00:43:50
◼
►
first I'll go first and this is the thing
00:43:53
◼
►
that I hope they don't do I seriously
00:43:55
◼
►
hope they don't do but you can't rule it
00:43:58
◼
►
out remove RAM
00:43:59
◼
►
at the Apple 8 gigs Apple just bumped all
00:44:03
◼
►
of its max 16 gigs and we celebrated how
00:44:06
◼
►
can Apple screw that up you know how oh our
00:44:08
◼
►
new low-cost model and of course because
00:44:09
◼
►
it's the lowest cost model only comes to
00:44:11
◼
►
the 8 gigs I really hope they don't do
00:44:12
◼
►
that but that would save them at least
00:44:14
◼
►
five dollars yeah and look when you're
00:44:17
◼
►
trying to hit a low probably because you
00:44:19
◼
►
know like you know you look at the maybe
00:44:21
◼
►
they're trying to replace the Walmart
00:44:22
◼
►
MacBook Air like and to with like a newer
00:44:25
◼
►
product that can actually run Apple
00:44:26
◼
►
intelligence and that they can you know
00:44:27
◼
►
keep making new models of over time but
00:44:31
◼
►
still so like if they're trying to come in
00:44:33
◼
►
around you know 650 600 700 range they're
00:44:38
◼
►
gonna have to cut a decent amount of stuff
00:44:40
◼
►
because here's the one thing they will
00:44:42
◼
►
never cut is margin you know that Apple
00:44:44
◼
►
will never cut margin so they're gonna
00:44:47
◼
►
make the same margins they're making on
00:44:49
◼
►
that $1,000 MacBook Air so how how do
00:44:53
◼
►
they get there how do they shave off like
00:44:55
◼
►
a third of the price well one of you go
00:44:57
◼
►
so I did Ram what's the next one Casey
00:44:59
◼
►
what about the the fidelity and of the
00:45:03
◼
►
display and I don't just mean going
00:45:05
◼
►
non-retina worse well no I'm serious
00:45:08
◼
►
like not even just non-retina but what
00:45:10
◼
►
if the backlight gets worse and weaker
00:45:12
◼
►
what it only does RNG not be hey that's
00:45:15
◼
►
it you got it save savings of one-third
00:45:18
◼
►
no like a like a crummier backlight or
00:45:20
◼
►
again maybe non-retina I would be stunned
00:45:23
◼
►
if they went non-retina but it is a
00:45:24
◼
►
possibility you have to pick you have to
00:45:26
◼
►
pick one I wouldn't go with non-retina
00:45:28
◼
►
but a cheaper screen yeah like and I'm
00:45:30
◼
►
specifically thinking about like you know
00:45:31
◼
►
one of the things they tout in the
00:45:33
◼
►
MacBook Pros is oh it's 11 billion nits
00:45:36
◼
►
well what if this is three nits right to
00:45:39
◼
►
speak you know well the current MacBook
00:45:41
◼
►
Air screen and the M1 MacBook Air
00:45:43
◼
►
screen are also already worse this could be
00:45:46
◼
►
you know one thing to consider is that
00:45:47
◼
►
that cheap iPad lacks P3 wide color and an
00:45:53
◼
►
AR coating anti-reflective coating yeah when
00:45:55
◼
►
you get down to these low-end screens it's
00:45:57
◼
►
difficult to like but yeah cheaper screen
00:45:59
◼
►
is yeah is reasonable but I think I think
00:46:01
◼
►
the way they would do that would not be
00:46:02
◼
►
resolution because resolution is not that
00:46:04
◼
►
expensive these days like I think it would
00:46:06
◼
►
be no display P3 but should probably save
00:46:08
◼
►
them on some you know calibration also and
00:46:11
◼
►
you know some certain like you know chip
00:46:12
◼
►
support good call so no P3 and then you know
00:46:15
◼
►
different coatings or enclosure so maybe it
00:46:17
◼
►
doesn't have the AR coating because again
00:46:18
◼
►
like that's what they did to make that
00:46:20
◼
►
cheap iPad screen well the thing about
00:46:22
◼
►
screens and a cheaper screen is that given
00:46:25
◼
►
the age of like let's just say again the
00:46:27
◼
►
M1 MacBook Air given the age of that
00:46:29
◼
►
machine at a certain point or even just
00:46:32
◼
►
the M4 one like the cost of the the screen
00:46:35
◼
►
that's in the M4 MacBook Air is going down
00:46:38
◼
►
all the time because it is so old and just
00:46:40
◼
►
like so far away from the cutting edge it's
00:46:43
◼
►
kind of like I don't know this shows a name
00:46:44
◼
►
for this parts curve but like we've joked
00:46:46
◼
►
about it many times in the past but it's a
00:46:47
◼
►
real thing something that's like older
00:46:49
◼
►
technology gets cheaper and cheaper as
00:46:51
◼
►
it's supplanted by newer technologies but
00:46:53
◼
►
then all of a sudden it starts getting more
00:46:54
◼
►
expensive again because it's so old that
00:46:55
◼
►
nobody wants it and people stop making it
00:46:57
◼
►
and I do wonder if Apple walks that line
00:46:59
◼
►
with their screens but like yeah they get
00:47:01
◼
►
cheap because the the the machine they sell
00:47:04
◼
►
doesn't get cheaper and cheaper over time
00:47:06
◼
►
but the parts that go into it do and so I do
00:47:08
◼
►
wonder if when the a18 pro MacBook whatever
00:47:12
◼
►
comes out it might have a better screen
00:47:14
◼
►
than the M1 MacBook Air simply because you
00:47:16
◼
►
can't buy screens that are as bad as the
00:47:18
◼
►
MacBook Air anymore and it will still be
00:47:20
◼
►
cheaper just like Casey saying it will
00:47:22
◼
►
actually be a cheaper screen than the M1
00:47:24
◼
►
MacBook Air screen was when that machine
00:47:26
◼
►
was introduced but now a cheaper screen
00:47:28
◼
►
actually ends up better so that I could
00:47:30
◼
►
see them saving costs there Marco what's
00:47:32
◼
►
your what's your pick all right my my I have
00:47:35
◼
►
a lot of others but my first pick is you
00:47:37
◼
►
got to think like in addition to using
00:47:40
◼
►
the low-end iPad as inspiration for some
00:47:42
◼
►
of these changes you also got to think
00:47:44
◼
►
how do they keep people who just want the
00:47:47
◼
►
cheapest MacBook who from buying this
00:47:50
◼
►
instead of like they want to preserve
00:47:52
◼
►
MacBook Air sales to no SSD so how do
00:47:56
◼
►
they most importantly how do they keep
00:47:59
◼
►
businesses from buying this one they want
00:48:02
◼
►
businesses to keep buying the Airs and
00:48:03
◼
►
the pros so my number one pick is no
00:48:07
◼
►
external monitor support and also think
00:48:11
◼
►
about it the a18 Pro probably doesn't
00:48:14
◼
►
support external monitors it might but
00:48:16
◼
►
yeah that's that's a good call that you
00:48:17
◼
►
know I'd just be part of the if it's just
00:48:19
◼
►
part of the SoC then they kind of get that
00:48:21
◼
►
for free and it's not really a cost
00:48:22
◼
►
savings but yeah I don't I'm not not
00:48:24
◼
►
sure that would save them that much
00:48:26
◼
►
money I don't know if it would save the
00:48:27
◼
►
money but I could see them doing it on in
00:48:29
◼
►
software because the 18 Pro absolutely
00:48:31
◼
►
does support an external monitor because
00:48:33
◼
►
you can do that with your phone right I
00:48:34
◼
►
mean I'm sure I've done this yeah I think
00:48:36
◼
►
so oh I'm pretty darn sure you can and
00:48:39
◼
►
so I don't think that that would be a
00:48:40
◼
►
savings but I do agree with you they
00:48:42
◼
►
would absolutely I could see them doing
00:48:44
◼
►
this as a feature gate just to get people
00:48:46
◼
►
to upgrade like you had said yeah because
00:48:48
◼
►
they they want no businesses to buy this
00:48:50
◼
►
computer they want businesses to keep
00:48:51
◼
►
buying the Airs and the pros all right
00:48:54
◼
►
John I mean I don't this is kind of in
00:48:56
◼
►
the same spirit as what you were saying
00:48:58
◼
►
with your thing but use an existing like
00:49:01
◼
►
use the M1 case design like I'm assuming
00:49:04
◼
►
the M1 case design is cheaper than the
00:49:05
◼
►
M4 one but like use a case design they've
00:49:07
◼
►
been doing for so long that it's just
00:49:09
◼
►
incredibly cheap for them to do that they
00:49:10
◼
►
have all the machines to do it you know
00:49:12
◼
►
so no new case design and it would also
00:49:14
◼
►
differentiate it from the M5 MacBook Air
00:49:17
◼
►
because it would literally still be the
00:49:18
◼
►
wedge shape like that older thing so yeah
00:49:20
◼
►
use use the M1 case design and you think
00:49:23
◼
►
they would do that instead of making a
00:49:24
◼
►
new cheap case oh yeah because like
00:49:26
◼
►
mate there's no such there's no such
00:49:28
◼
►
thing as that when it comes to cheap like
00:49:29
◼
►
a new cheaper to make case yeah maybe
00:49:31
◼
►
cheaper to make but the cost of of
00:49:34
◼
►
developing that new thing it would take
00:49:36
◼
►
a while to recoup that I've the Tim
00:49:38
◼
►
Cook way is take some existing thing
00:49:40
◼
►
that we've already been making for I
00:49:41
◼
►
mean that's part of the reason the
00:49:42
◼
►
Walmart one still uses the wedge it's
00:49:44
◼
►
like look we already we already know how
00:49:45
◼
►
to make that case we've mastered it we
00:49:47
◼
►
have the machines for it and
00:49:49
◼
►
presumably it is cheaper to make them
00:49:50
◼
►
the newest and latest and greatest
00:49:52
◼
►
case so yeah I think they would just
00:49:53
◼
►
keep using that one well what if like
00:49:55
◼
►
you know there there are cases of all
00:49:57
◼
►
in in you know the last for a decade or
00:49:59
◼
►
more they've all been unibody case
00:50:00
◼
►
designs where you basically have like
00:50:02
◼
►
you know big blocks of aluminum and
00:50:04
◼
►
you have these machines that like carve
00:50:06
◼
►
out sections of it a cheaper way to
00:50:09
◼
►
make metal cases is to have them be in
00:50:11
◼
►
different like flat sheets that are
00:50:13
◼
►
like screwed together or something what
00:50:15
◼
►
if like if they're actually designing a
00:50:16
◼
►
case from scratch to be inexpensive I
00:50:19
◼
►
would think that maybe that might
00:50:21
◼
►
have some significant savings of going
00:50:22
◼
►
like a multi-part case I think I know
00:50:25
◼
►
what you're talking about because they
00:50:25
◼
►
used to make that before the original
00:50:27
◼
►
MacBook Air came out yeah I think
00:50:28
◼
►
that's actually more expensive to
00:50:30
◼
►
manufacture due to the fastening issue
00:50:33
◼
►
like I really do feel like the M1
00:50:34
◼
►
MacBook Air case given how slim it is
00:50:37
◼
►
and how long they've been making it may
00:50:39
◼
►
actually be the cheaper option cheaper
00:50:41
◼
►
in terms of repairs even cheaper in
00:50:42
◼
►
terms of manufacturability for all the
00:50:44
◼
►
parts don't have to be aligned and
00:50:45
◼
►
connected and precision made it's just
00:50:47
◼
►
one top and one but you know what I
00:50:49
◼
►
mean like you know there's there's
00:50:50
◼
►
there are pieces but there's so there's
00:50:52
◼
►
far fewer pieces and far fewer
00:50:53
◼
►
fasteners so I I do wonder if that
00:50:55
◼
►
would actually be a cost savings and I
00:50:57
◼
►
think honestly I think they would
00:50:58
◼
►
never do that they've been they've had
00:50:59
◼
►
unibody again since the original
00:51:01
◼
►
MacBook Air I don't think they're ever
00:51:02
◼
►
going back until there's a new
00:51:03
◼
►
materials breakthrough and they start
00:51:04
◼
►
making them out of like transparent
00:51:06
◼
►
aluminum or graphite or something
00:51:08
◼
►
all right Casey what's next back on the
00:51:11
◼
►
chopping block here we go
00:51:12
◼
►
uh may this might be silly but it's
00:51:15
◼
►
one of the first things that jumps to
00:51:17
◼
►
mind is what about crappier radios
00:51:19
◼
►
crappier bluetooth radios older
00:51:21
◼
►
bluetooth radios older wi-fi radios
00:51:23
◼
►
they already do that for all their
00:51:23
◼
►
computers yeah yeah you know what I
00:51:26
◼
►
mean but you know where where the
00:51:28
◼
►
MacBook Pro the newest MacBook Pro
00:51:30
◼
►
maybe has wi-fi seven I don't even
00:51:31
◼
►
know if that's true anymore I can't
00:51:32
◼
►
keep up but it doesn't yeah I think
00:51:34
◼
►
we're still on 6e although funny you
00:51:37
◼
►
mentioned this Casey the base model
00:51:38
◼
►
iPad does not have wi-fi 6e it has
00:51:41
◼
►
wi-fi 6 there you go and so you know
00:51:44
◼
►
could you go even older would that be
00:51:46
◼
►
an advantage I don't know but you know
00:51:48
◼
►
some sort of crippled bluetooth radio
00:51:51
◼
►
wi-fi radio something along those lines
00:51:54
◼
►
where it's just not a modern chip it's
00:51:57
◼
►
sufficient but not stellar all right my
00:52:01
◼
►
next pick the ports one USB-C port and a
00:52:06
◼
►
headphone jack and that's it Casey will
00:52:09
◼
►
love it oh stop it so no thunderbolt
00:52:12
◼
►
support no mag safe no HDMI because
00:52:15
◼
►
again we have no external monitor
00:52:16
◼
►
support in my theory here so one USB-C
00:52:19
◼
►
port and a headphone jack just like the
00:52:21
◼
►
old MacBook yeah actually the jumping
00:52:24
◼
►
slightly ahead here Stephen Hackett
00:52:25
◼
►
wrote about this and he was musing about
00:52:28
◼
►
the possibility of an 18 pro and a Mac and
00:52:30
◼
►
he says the immediate downside to the
00:52:32
◼
►
18 pro is that only supports USB 3 at
00:52:34
◼
►
10 gigabits per second yep not
00:52:35
◼
►
thunderbolt that would make any Mac
00:52:37
◼
►
with an 18 at its heart only capable of
00:52:38
◼
►
USB-C and that's fine that's just that's
00:52:41
◼
►
what they used to do with their long
00:52:42
◼
►
computers all the time anyway I think
00:52:43
◼
►
then there yeah I think I mean yeah
00:52:46
◼
►
having one port is crappy but having
00:52:48
◼
►
no thunderbolt I think is a given and so
00:52:50
◼
►
the 18 is not a limiting factor there
00:52:52
◼
►
mine I expected I thought you're gonna
00:52:53
◼
►
steal this from me is a pretty easy
00:52:56
◼
►
one smaller battery mmm smaller
00:52:58
◼
►
batteries cost less money yeah I was
00:52:59
◼
►
about to say the same thing you're
00:53:00
◼
►
stealing all mine y'all think of the
00:53:01
◼
►
iPad the iPad has a smaller battery
00:53:04
◼
►
and the phone certainly has a smaller
00:53:06
◼
►
battery like can't how small a battery
00:53:09
◼
►
can you get away with and still have
00:53:10
◼
►
accessible battery life because for
00:53:12
◼
►
every amount that you make that
00:53:13
◼
►
battery smaller first of all makes the
00:53:14
◼
►
laptop lighter but second of all makes
00:53:15
◼
►
it cheaper because smaller batteries
00:53:17
◼
►
cost less money yeah that's pretty
00:53:18
◼
►
good all right Casey I'm out of any of
00:53:22
◼
►
the ones that I brainstormed when we
00:53:23
◼
►
started the game but I think did we
00:53:25
◼
►
already talk about a teeny tiny SSD did
00:53:27
◼
►
somebody no we did not we did I said
00:53:28
◼
►
remove the SSD I think a teeny tiny
00:53:32
◼
►
SSD to find that as you will I think
00:53:33
◼
►
you know 128 gigs or something like
00:53:35
◼
►
that I don't even know what the we're
00:53:36
◼
►
just making the world's most terrible
00:53:38
◼
►
computer here because I mean this is
00:53:39
◼
►
what happens if your job is to remove
00:53:41
◼
►
costs you can remove costs when it's
00:53:43
◼
►
like we're rapidly getting to the
00:53:44
◼
►
point now where we would not
00:53:45
◼
►
recommend this computer I think we
00:53:47
◼
►
may have passed the point where we
00:53:48
◼
►
would not recommend it oh and
00:53:49
◼
►
actually come to think of it a
00:53:50
◼
►
corollary to what I just said is
00:53:52
◼
►
whether or not the SSD is is smaller
00:53:55
◼
►
in terms of capacity what about
00:53:57
◼
►
making it considerably slower you know
00:54:00
◼
►
where SSDs are still lightning fast
00:54:02
◼
►
even crappy SSDs by and large are
00:54:03
◼
►
lightning fast it might cost them more
00:54:05
◼
►
money to get a slower SSDs it's fair but
00:54:09
◼
►
I mean again I'm just brainstorming
00:54:10
◼
►
what if what if it's either smaller or
00:54:12
◼
►
slower and that that low-end iPad does
00:54:15
◼
►
start with a 128 gig model and so yeah
00:54:18
◼
►
like and I did I looked for for instance
00:54:21
◼
►
though like as a point of comparison
00:54:23
◼
►
like what are the cheapest PC laptops
00:54:25
◼
►
like in this price range like you know
00:54:27
◼
►
in like the 600 ish dollar price range
00:54:29
◼
►
what do you get on a PC laptop these
00:54:30
◼
►
days and you get 16 and 512 like
00:54:33
◼
►
that's that's a pretty pretty
00:54:35
◼
►
universal across the board yeah I know
00:54:37
◼
►
yes Apple lives in a different
00:54:38
◼
►
universe that's the other thing about
00:54:39
◼
►
this cheap laptop I know we're like
00:54:41
◼
►
talking about in the context of the
00:54:42
◼
►
Walmart one which I think has no
00:54:43
◼
►
configuration options but like can you
00:54:45
◼
►
imagine them making a low-cost
00:54:47
◼
►
MacBook like it's like you said with
00:54:48
◼
►
the minis the lower cost of Apple makes
00:54:50
◼
►
a Mac you'll double the price when you
00:54:53
◼
►
try to add RAM to it if that's even an
00:54:54
◼
►
option like if there are any options to
00:54:56
◼
►
configure the RAM or the SSD and this
00:54:58
◼
►
thing is cheaper than any existing Mac
00:55:01
◼
►
you will literally double you almost
00:55:02
◼
►
double it on the Mac mini you said it's
00:55:04
◼
►
like a $600 computer add RAM it adds
00:55:06
◼
►
$400 to a $600 thing so if there was a
00:55:10
◼
►
$400 Mac mini adding any amount of
00:55:12
◼
►
additional RAM that Apple offers you
00:55:13
◼
►
would double the price of this so it's
00:55:15
◼
►
they're they're getting real close
00:55:16
◼
►
there with their obsession with you
00:55:18
◼
►
know ridiculous margins I mean so one
00:55:21
◼
►
idea I had is what if they don't offer
00:55:24
◼
►
any options except color I was you to
00:55:27
◼
►
keep stealing all my ideas that's the
00:55:30
◼
►
nature of the nature of a draft yeah
00:55:31
◼
►
that's that was what I was gonna say
00:55:33
◼
►
no options but like the colors are in
00:55:34
◼
►
the rumor but you're saying no options
00:55:36
◼
►
except for color yeah like no no
00:55:38
◼
►
storage no RAM option just like here
00:55:40
◼
►
here's the MacBook that's what it is
00:55:42
◼
►
that and you know that's it's you can
00:55:44
◼
►
pick you know yellow or blue or
00:55:46
◼
►
whatever on that that's it yeah I mean
00:55:48
◼
►
again I think maybe the M1 Walmart one
00:55:50
◼
►
is already like that is that the case
00:55:51
◼
►
I believe yeah you can't pick storage I
00:55:55
◼
►
don't think on it it's just like there's
00:55:56
◼
►
one configuration and you pick color
00:55:57
◼
►
that's it all right well I'm glad you
00:55:59
◼
►
didn't pick my one exists last
00:56:01
◼
►
legitimate one that I could think of no
00:56:03
◼
►
charger in the box oh that's a good one
00:56:06
◼
►
that's a real good one thinking like
00:56:08
◼
►
tim cook now what can we remove no box
00:56:11
◼
►
some assembly required it just comes
00:56:14
◼
►
shrink wrapped loose here it's just
00:56:17
◼
►
wrapped in a piece of paper it's
00:56:18
◼
►
biodegradable that's amazing yeah but
00:56:20
◼
►
no no charger they've been ripping that
00:56:21
◼
►
out of our products like everyone's got
00:56:22
◼
►
like it'll charge with any phone
00:56:24
◼
►
charger like no charger in the box all
00:56:26
◼
►
right one I got a couple of the
00:56:28
◼
►
miscellaneous ones and then a big one
00:56:29
◼
►
so my miscellaneous ones are if you
00:56:32
◼
►
look at the keyboard and trackpad the
00:56:36
◼
►
base iPad that that $250 keyboard folio
00:56:40
◼
►
that it has it advertises is first of
00:56:43
◼
►
all non-backlit keyboard I think that's
00:56:45
◼
►
a given this thing will not have a
00:56:47
◼
►
backlit keyboard I also it says there in
00:56:50
◼
►
the in the in the you know the keyboard
00:56:52
◼
►
folio thing for the iPad they call the
00:56:54
◼
►
trackpad a quote click anywhere trackpad
00:56:57
◼
►
but if you do the tech compare with other
00:57:00
◼
►
iPad stuff it it does not list it as
00:57:03
◼
►
saying haptic feedback so like I'm
00:57:06
◼
►
thinking it's actually not a taptic
00:57:09
◼
►
engine trackpad but they have somehow
00:57:11
◼
►
engineered the mechanics that you can
00:57:12
◼
►
push anywhere and the whole thing does
00:57:14
◼
►
indeed click down I don't know I've
00:57:16
◼
►
never used this keyboard folio so I don't
00:57:17
◼
►
know that but that's how that's how it
00:57:18
◼
►
reads in the tech specs so I'm guessing
00:57:20
◼
►
non-backlit keyboard and a non-force
00:57:22
◼
►
touch trackpad yeah I think that makes
00:57:24
◼
►
sense sounds terrible it does sound kind
00:57:27
◼
►
of terrible but it makes sense all right
00:57:28
◼
►
what are your other ones only two
00:57:29
◼
►
speakers the MacBook Air has four with
00:57:32
◼
►
no spatial audio support I think
00:57:33
◼
►
that's probably somewhat of a given and
00:57:37
◼
►
now the here the big resistance I said
00:57:42
◼
►
they didn't they probably really don't
00:57:43
◼
►
want businesses to buy these what if it
00:57:47
◼
►
only runs app store apps I don't think
00:57:51
◼
►
they'll do that I don't think so either
00:57:52
◼
►
and I don't think that honestly I don't
00:57:54
◼
►
think that would actually make it any
00:57:55
◼
►
cheaper and honestly businesses might
00:57:57
◼
►
like that more they'll only run apps
00:58:00
◼
►
their apps and that they love distributing
00:58:01
◼
►
stuff from their own enterprise app
00:58:02
◼
►
stores you know what I mean like that
00:58:03
◼
►
solves problems for businesses maybe
00:58:05
◼
►
all right so if they did all this first
00:58:08
◼
►
of all I think iBook has got to be the
00:58:10
◼
►
name like that would be such a great
00:58:12
◼
►
name right now whenever you try to think
00:58:14
◼
►
of something obvious and good regarding
00:58:15
◼
►
naming it's probably not what Apple do so
00:58:17
◼
►
yes iBook has come up a lot people have
00:58:19
◼
►
fondness for the name it would make
00:58:22
◼
►
sense lots of things make sense yeah
00:58:24
◼
►
especially when it comes to naming I
00:58:25
◼
►
mean I remember maybe Apple made the iBook
00:58:27
◼
►
store that was not a store that sold
00:58:29
◼
►
laptop computers no so yeah we'll see
00:58:33
◼
►
what they do with that I mean I think
00:58:36
◼
►
you know they one of their past not so
00:58:39
◼
►
great naming things required us to give
00:58:41
◼
►
a name to the MacBook adorable because
00:58:43
◼
►
what was his actual name MacBook that
00:58:46
◼
►
didn't catch on the computer didn't catch
00:58:48
◼
►
on and the name didn't catch on so all
00:58:50
◼
►
right slow down no the computer did sort
00:58:51
◼
►
of catch on that's the problem well so
00:58:53
◼
►
that that's part of the dream of this
00:58:54
◼
►
one is like oh it could be really thin
00:58:55
◼
►
like that one but like if if they're
00:58:57
◼
►
going to reuse the m1 case so much for
00:58:59
◼
►
that dream you know what I mean I don't
00:59:00
◼
►
know we'll see if they I guess they can
00:59:02
◼
►
reuse that really thin case of that if
00:59:04
◼
►
they still have the like the machining
00:59:05
◼
►
tools and everything for making that but
00:59:08
◼
►
yeah it just like people are attaching
00:59:13
◼
►
their hopes and dreams this they're like
00:59:14
◼
►
oh thinner lighter cheaper lower power
00:59:18
◼
►
like that's great and they just start
00:59:20
◼
►
envisioning the MacBook one or the
00:59:21
◼
►
MacBook adorable as we used to call it
00:59:23
◼
►
because the thing we described is
00:59:25
◼
►
actually kind of like that like that
00:59:26
◼
►
was so old that the screen probably is
00:59:28
◼
►
worse right and I did have a backlit
00:59:31
◼
►
keyboard I think Casey yes I'm pretty
00:59:34
◼
►
I'm pretty darn sure but that wasn't
00:59:36
◼
►
like that wasn't a Walmart special
00:59:38
◼
►
machine it was actually you know it was
00:59:40
◼
►
priced about what you would think it
00:59:42
◼
►
would be priced at it wasn't like the
00:59:43
◼
►
cheapest no it was priced quite a bit
00:59:45
◼
►
more than what you would think it would
00:59:46
◼
►
well you would think because it was so
00:59:48
◼
►
slim and you know it's like this the
00:59:49
◼
►
thinnest computer ever made like it was
00:59:51
◼
►
a breakthrough at the time from Apple it
00:59:53
◼
►
was it was outside the realm of
00:59:54
◼
►
normalcy and Apple's product lines
00:59:55
◼
►
whereas I feel like this one will be
00:59:56
◼
►
well within the realm of normalcy and
00:59:59
◼
►
Apple's product line to hit a cheaper
01:00:01
◼
►
price point so the final question what
01:00:04
◼
►
do we think that if they if they do this
01:00:06
◼
►
like you know this like really
01:00:07
◼
►
decontented laptop what do we think
01:00:09
◼
►
that price point is I think they'll just
01:00:11
◼
►
sell it for exactly the same price as
01:00:13
◼
►
they're selling the M1 MacBook Air so
01:00:15
◼
►
650 ish yeah I think that's I mean
01:00:17
◼
►
regardless of how much it costs to make
01:00:18
◼
►
I think that's what they'll sell it
01:00:20
◼
►
for like it will slot into that and
01:00:22
◼
►
honestly as the years go on 650 is worth
01:00:24
◼
►
less now than it was when the M1
01:00:26
◼
►
MacBook Air was first introduced so
01:00:28
◼
►
yeah I think they'll hold the line
01:00:30
◼
►
maybe maybe 599 you know if we're lucky
01:00:33
◼
►
but I feel like that it's going to
01:00:34
◼
►
replace that computer yeah I think I
01:00:37
◼
►
would go again like the the base iPad
01:00:40
◼
►
plus its keyboard and trackpad case is
01:00:42
◼
►
600 the Walmart MacBook Air is 650 the
01:00:45
◼
►
real MacBook Air is a thousand I think
01:00:47
◼
►
it should be around 600 but it will be
01:00:51
◼
►
like 750 like I think they're not I
01:00:53
◼
►
think they're not going to go as far
01:00:54
◼
►
down as the as we all want them to
01:00:57
◼
►
because they never do and I think it's
01:00:58
◼
►
going to be closer to the MacBook Air's
01:01:02
◼
►
price than we feel that it should be
01:01:04
◼
►
I think I think that what they end up
01:01:07
◼
►
doing is they basically replace the
01:01:10
◼
►
Walmart one and say sorry Walmart you're
01:01:13
◼
►
cut off and this is the new quote
01:01:15
◼
►
unquote Walmart you know MacBook or
01:01:18
◼
►
MacBook iBook MacBook Air whatever they
01:01:20
◼
►
call it and then they're getting all of
01:01:23
◼
►
the proceeds from it rather than
01:01:24
◼
►
Walmart taking a little cut and I think
01:01:26
◼
►
650 bucks or very very close to so
01:01:30
◼
►
here's here's my other angle on this
01:01:31
◼
►
the rumor of this computer and the idea
01:01:33
◼
►
of this computer so we'll link to
01:01:35
◼
►
Jason Snell's graphs and six colors
01:01:37
◼
►
about the speed of the 18 Pro and how
01:01:40
◼
►
compare compares to the M1 a summary is
01:01:42
◼
►
that the 18 Pro is 46% faster than the
01:01:47
◼
►
M1 in single core tasks and pretty much
01:01:50
◼
►
the same in multi-core but single core is
01:01:51
◼
►
all that really matters for just like
01:01:52
◼
►
sort of day-to-day tasks or whatever and
01:01:55
◼
►
this highlights the interesting fact and
01:01:57
◼
►
this is one of my hobby horses that I'm
01:02:00
◼
►
always bouncing on on the show usually I'm
01:02:03
◼
►
talking about it in the realm of media
01:02:05
◼
►
catching up to the limits of human
01:02:07
◼
►
perception which audio has and video is
01:02:11
◼
►
always racing towards as computational
01:02:15
◼
►
power becomes cheaper and as it increases
01:02:17
◼
►
the maximum computational power available
01:02:19
◼
►
for a given you know a number of watts
01:02:21
◼
►
increases over time it starts to race
01:02:26
◼
►
past the needs for doing some basic stuff
01:02:29
◼
►
long ago computing power raced past the
01:02:32
◼
►
point where if you want to type words
01:02:34
◼
►
into a document it can be handled it used
01:02:36
◼
►
to be that you needed a good computer to
01:02:38
◼
►
do that to like one word star or whatever
01:02:40
◼
►
on DOS like you need a you need you
01:02:42
◼
►
couldn't buy a bargain basement one you
01:02:45
◼
►
needed a computer that could keep your
01:02:46
◼
►
whole document in memory and maybe one
01:02:48
◼
►
that could have proportional fonts so
01:02:49
◼
►
you need even a bigger fancier computer
01:02:51
◼
►
like a Mac which costs so much money
01:02:53
◼
►
but now you know a little kids toy that
01:02:57
◼
►
comes in a cereal box could has more
01:02:59
◼
►
computing power than the early PCs like
01:03:00
◼
►
typing we have passed by web browsing is
01:03:04
◼
►
a surprisingly complex and computationally
01:03:06
◼
►
intensive thing and seemingly only getting
01:03:08
◼
►
more so as web apps become more complex
01:03:11
◼
►
but I think an a18 pro has no problem
01:03:16
◼
►
browsing the web or doing spreadsheet stuff
01:03:20
◼
►
or anything like you're doing word processing
01:03:21
◼
►
like that level of computation is now
01:03:25
◼
►
satisfied by essentially phone chips we do
01:03:28
◼
►
it on our phone people use their phones
01:03:29
◼
►
as their main computers they do incredibly
01:03:31
◼
►
complicated things on their phone you
01:03:32
◼
►
basically run Photoshop on your phone your
01:03:34
◼
►
phone has so much more computing power
01:03:35
◼
►
than whole swaths of computers that we
01:03:38
◼
►
use as the highest of the high-end thing
01:03:39
◼
►
so as this continues to happen like the
01:03:43
◼
►
things people regular people need to use
01:03:45
◼
►
their computer for like going to a web
01:03:48
◼
►
using a couple of simple apps and doing
01:03:50
◼
►
word processing only become easier and
01:03:53
◼
►
easier to accomplish so it makes perfect
01:03:55
◼
►
sense to me for phone chips to make their
01:03:57
◼
►
ways to the Mac because I don't know the
01:04:01
◼
►
right word for this but like the available
01:04:03
◼
►
computing power is now more than sufficient
01:04:06
◼
►
to do the things that most people need to
01:04:08
◼
►
do with their computers not saying it
01:04:10
◼
►
couldn't be faster people do occasionally
01:04:11
◼
►
have to wait for their computers in
01:04:13
◼
►
particular storage speed and stuff like
01:04:14
◼
►
that so that it will continue to get
01:04:16
◼
►
better over time but this machine makes
01:04:18
◼
►
so much sense to me not just as a way to
01:04:22
◼
►
save money but recognizing that most people
01:04:27
◼
►
don't need this much power out of their
01:04:29
◼
►
Macs that the baseline power especially
01:04:31
◼
►
with the advent of Apple silicon is so
01:04:32
◼
►
massive that it's like an M1 is actually
01:04:34
◼
►
overkill for a lot of people and this is
01:04:36
◼
►
actually faster that 46% faster than an M1
01:04:39
◼
►
in the ways that counts which brings me to
01:04:41
◼
►
my other idea about this computer which the
01:04:44
◼
►
rumors don't support but I think would be
01:04:45
◼
►
valid is what if this wasn't a low-cost
01:04:47
◼
►
machine what if instead this was just the
01:04:50
◼
►
bottom of the MacBook Air range but they
01:04:52
◼
►
didn't take every ounce of cost out of it
01:04:54
◼
►
and instead just added it as essentially
01:04:57
◼
►
the get way more battery life option it
01:05:01
◼
►
would have the same size battery as like
01:05:03
◼
►
the M5 and M6 MacBook Air in the same
01:05:05
◼
►
case with all the same features the same
01:05:07
◼
►
screen like everything the MacBook Air gets
01:05:08
◼
►
this gets the only difference is hey do you
01:05:11
◼
►
not need an M5 for what you do with your
01:05:14
◼
►
MacBook Air get the one with the A20
01:05:18
◼
►
whatever processor or A18 Pro in it same
01:05:21
◼
►
size battery but boy you'll get even more
01:05:23
◼
►
battery life and no it's not that much
01:05:25
◼
►
cheaper but like instead of thinking this
01:05:27
◼
►
is like oh this is the way we're gonna get
01:05:29
◼
►
cost out of it think of it as just a
01:05:30
◼
►
different trade-off between computational
01:05:32
◼
►
power and battery life essentially I could
01:05:36
◼
►
see that being a perfectly valid product it's
01:05:38
◼
►
not what's rumored here to be clear but I
01:05:40
◼
►
think the day may come when we see that as
01:05:43
◼
►
an option because if the if Apple keeps
01:05:46
◼
►
doing the whole thing where it's like M
01:05:47
◼
►
something and then M something Pro M
01:05:49
◼
►
something Max and something else or
01:05:50
◼
►
whatever the M something I feel like
01:05:52
◼
►
already with the M4 is more power than
01:05:56
◼
►
like a student needs to use web apps and
01:05:58
◼
►
word processing and spreadsheets for their
01:06:00
◼
►
college stuff like it's overkill if you
01:06:04
◼
►
you could get something that is less
01:06:05
◼
►
powerful but also uses less battery power
01:06:09
◼
►
yeah that would be great and so I hope
01:06:12
◼
►
that either either they they stop doing
01:06:16
◼
►
the M M4 M4 like that they add something
01:06:18
◼
►
below that and I don't think honestly the
01:06:20
◼
►
answer isn't just do M4 and then M5 M5 Pro
01:06:22
◼
►
M5 Max or whatever something like you know
01:06:25
◼
►
using a phone chip maybe they've got the
01:06:27
◼
►
unified design maybe they unify the naming
01:06:29
◼
►
between the A chips and the M chips and
01:06:31
◼
►
just have a line of chips that they use
01:06:34
◼
►
throughout their products and somehow name
01:06:37
◼
►
them in a sensible way where it's a scale
01:06:38
◼
►
up from the smallest and least powerful to
01:06:40
◼
►
the biggest and most expensive and they
01:06:42
◼
►
just are and most powerful and just
01:06:44
◼
►
distribute that across their line of
01:06:46
◼
►
products without this artificial
01:06:48
◼
►
bifurcation between both the A series are
01:06:50
◼
►
for iPads and phones and the M series are
01:06:51
◼
►
for Max unless it's for Vision Pro but
01:06:53
◼
►
also some iPads of M's you see what I'm
01:06:55
◼
►
getting out there so that's not today but
01:06:57
◼
►
that's just something I'm thinking about
01:06:58
◼
►
that a time may come when the M5 M6 or
01:07:02
◼
►
M7 is too powerful has it's what the
01:07:05
◼
►
power of it is wasted on a MacBook Air and
01:07:08
◼
►
you can make that a better computer for
01:07:09
◼
►
people by putting in a quote-unquote phone
01:07:12
◼
►
chip and giving it way more battery life
01:07:13
◼
►
hmm this has got me thinking of a of a
01:07:17
◼
►
dark possibility here what if this is not
01:07:20
◼
►
really that much cheaper like you were
01:07:23
◼
►
saying what if this is basically the new
01:07:25
◼
►
MacBook Air maybe it goes from a thousand
01:07:28
◼
►
to nine hundred dollars and they just
01:07:31
◼
►
push the price of the Air up because
01:07:34
◼
►
here's the thing if you look right now
01:07:35
◼
►
you know in the current lineup they sell
01:07:37
◼
►
the Air M4 for a thousand dollars you
01:07:40
◼
►
know there's like you know disabled
01:07:41
◼
►
cores probably but like there's a thousand
01:07:42
◼
►
dollars then they sell the Pro the 14
01:07:46
◼
►
inch Pro with the same chip the M4 but
01:07:49
◼
►
with some MacBook Pro niceties you know
01:07:50
◼
►
the screen the speakers everything
01:07:52
◼
►
sixteen hundred dollars that's the
01:07:55
◼
►
cheapest Pro with the same chip the
01:07:57
◼
►
screen is so much more expensive than
01:07:59
◼
►
the computer though it is true but it's
01:08:01
◼
►
not six hundred dollars more expensive
01:08:02
◼
►
like and there's other changes too but
01:08:04
◼
►
like so the MacBook Air to the MacBook
01:08:06
◼
►
Pro with the same M4 chip is a six
01:08:09
◼
►
hundred dollar difference although
01:08:11
◼
►
again there's probably a binning thing
01:08:12
◼
►
yeah there's a binning thing going on
01:08:13
◼
►
with without binning it's a four hundred
01:08:16
◼
►
dollar difference so I wonder if this
01:08:19
◼
►
is really just a way for them to close
01:08:20
◼
►
that gap and Apple never closes gaps in
01:08:22
◼
►
making things cheaper I'm guessing
01:08:24
◼
►
maybe maybe the the cheap laptop is
01:08:27
◼
►
really only nine hundred dollars and
01:08:30
◼
►
then they push the Air up to like twelve
01:08:32
◼
►
hundred dollars yeah we'll see like it
01:08:34
◼
►
is kind of a shame that these rumors
01:08:35
◼
►
seem so concretely set on the 18 Pro
01:08:37
◼
►
because that chip does not have a
01:08:40
◼
►
unified name like they've unified the
01:08:41
◼
►
name of their OS's but their chips are
01:08:43
◼
►
still weirdly bifurcated between A and
01:08:45
◼
►
M's and one R and a C for a different
01:08:50
◼
►
thing and speaking of don't forget the
01:08:51
◼
►
H's yeah yeah that's right speaking of
01:08:53
◼
►
C Lima Lum asks do you think the new
01:08:55
◼
►
phone app in Tahoe might mean cellular
01:08:58
◼
►
functionality will be coming to max and
01:09:00
◼
►
I would say putting an 18 Pro into a Mac
01:09:03
◼
►
also makes people think that lots of
01:09:05
◼
►
things make people think about perhaps
01:09:06
◼
►
cellular being in max honestly there is
01:09:09
◼
►
so much in common between Mac and phone
01:09:11
◼
►
hardware and has been since the advent of
01:09:13
◼
►
Apple Silicon that there's nothing new
01:09:16
◼
►
that they do including adding the phone
01:09:18
◼
►
app or making their own C1 chip or
01:09:20
◼
►
putting a literal phone chip inside a
01:09:22
◼
►
Mac that to me makes it any more or less
01:09:25
◼
►
likely because it has been so far over
01:09:27
◼
►
the edge of a thing they should
01:09:28
◼
►
obviously obviously do for so long
01:09:30
◼
►
nothing else needs to change nothing
01:09:33
◼
►
else needs to happen it's like well
01:09:34
◼
►
previously I didn't think it would or
01:09:35
◼
►
should happen but now that they put the
01:09:37
◼
►
phone app in Tahoe they're definitely
01:09:38
◼
►
going to do it Apple you need to do it
01:09:40
◼
►
no matter what it's it's like there's
01:09:42
◼
►
there's so much it's like the scales are
01:09:45
◼
►
like a million pounds on one side and a
01:09:47
◼
►
feather on the other and we're all just
01:09:48
◼
►
sitting where their arms are going well
01:09:49
◼
►
where is it yeah I mean and again I will
01:09:52
◼
►
remind everyone every iPad since the very
01:09:56
◼
►
first iPad including all of the cheap
01:09:59
◼
►
models of the lowest end models of iPad
01:10:01
◼
►
every single one has had a cellular
01:10:04
◼
►
option since day one including the ones
01:10:06
◼
►
with an M chip in the Marco surprisingly
01:10:09
◼
►
yes including the ones I didn't think
01:10:11
◼
►
anything with an M chip could do
01:10:12
◼
►
cellular that's impossible all this Mac
01:10:14
◼
►
hardware is in all the iPad pros now and
01:10:17
◼
►
yet or maybe it's the way around but
01:10:19
◼
►
still like all this all this iPad it's
01:10:21
◼
►
all in Macs now and yet we still don't
01:10:24
◼
►
know like that yeah it is not a hardware
01:10:26
◼
►
consideration and it I'm guessing
01:10:28
◼
►
realistically it never has been like
01:10:30
◼
►
the reason we don't have cellular Macs
01:10:32
◼
►
you know whatever their reasons are
01:10:34
◼
►
it's not hardware or software yeah or
01:10:37
◼
►
services at this point because yeah so
01:10:39
◼
►
I don't think the phone app makes it
01:10:41
◼
►
any more likely I think that is just a
01:10:42
◼
►
continuing thing where they take apps
01:10:44
◼
►
that previously were on the phone and
01:10:45
◼
►
bring them to the Mac and the phone
01:10:47
◼
►
app is just one more of them great I
01:10:48
◼
►
like it it's a good thing it doesn't
01:10:50
◼
►
make me think that cellular on the Mac
01:10:52
◼
►
is any more likely than it should have
01:10:53
◼
►
been before because I feel like the
01:10:54
◼
►
likeliness is already pressing up to 80
01:10:57
◼
►
90 percent and holding steady there
01:10:58
◼
►
that was a fun game I have no idea what
01:11:02
◼
►
the heck is gonna happen but that was a
01:11:03
◼
►
fun game I appreciate it honestly this
01:11:05
◼
►
is I think this is a very fun rumor like
01:11:07
◼
►
I love thinking about the idea of like
01:11:09
◼
►
well why did they take this other
01:11:10
◼
►
combination of hardware and make you
01:11:12
◼
►
know make an even smaller or lower end
01:11:14
◼
►
Mac with it like that's interesting to
01:11:15
◼
►
me or with way more battery power
01:11:17
◼
►
cheaper gets people excited more
01:11:18
◼
►
battery power gets people excited I'm
01:11:20
◼
►
excited about the whole the whole
01:11:22
◼
►
concept of computing power surpassing the
01:11:24
◼
►
needs of very common applications and I
01:11:27
◼
►
think that's just about to happen to
01:11:29
◼
►
web browsing which is a pretty amazing
01:11:30
◼
►
yep I agree a hundred percent a couple
01:11:33
◼
►
other quick thoughts I was on upgrade
01:11:36
◼
►
excuse not upgrade clockwise this week
01:11:39
◼
►
we briefly talked about this and let me
01:11:42
◼
►
tell you if this portends if this is if
01:11:45
◼
►
this is leading to a reincarnation of the
01:11:48
◼
►
MacBook adorable holy mother I'm so in
01:11:52
◼
►
because if you remember the MacBook
01:11:53
◼
►
adorable leaving aside the fact that it
01:11:54
◼
►
only had one port which kind of sucked
01:11:56
◼
►
one of the worst parts about it was that
01:11:59
◼
►
the processor was just dog slow even on a
01:12:02
◼
►
good day that process processor was dog
01:12:05
◼
►
slow and the idea of having something
01:12:07
◼
►
that was that thin and that light but
01:12:10
◼
►
not utterly crippled by a crappy Intel
01:12:13
◼
►
CPU oh man does that sound good oh and
01:12:17
◼
►
also no no butterfly keyboard sorry trigger
01:12:20
◼
►
warning Marco but I know butterfly keyboard
01:12:22
◼
►
that sounds incredible so I mean I don't
01:12:27
◼
►
expect that's what's gonna happen but
01:12:29
◼
►
man that would get me really really
01:12:30
◼
►
interested so proud of your
01:12:32
◼
►
pronunciation of dog Casey yeah I would I
01:12:35
◼
►
would love to see that because like
01:12:37
◼
►
ever since Apple Silicon like we've been
01:12:39
◼
►
saying like wow we can't wait for them
01:12:41
◼
►
to make you know a good version of the
01:12:43
◼
►
12 inch MacBook with this with these this
01:12:45
◼
►
news you know tech that they have and they
01:12:47
◼
►
haven't like you know the the the M2 and
01:12:50
◼
►
forward MacBook Air is great and you know
01:12:54
◼
►
like with its with its newer case design
01:12:55
◼
►
and everything it is super slim super
01:12:57
◼
►
light but it's still not the same
01:12:59
◼
►
portability class as the ancient 11 inch
01:13:02
◼
►
MacBook Air or the 12 inch MacBook like
01:13:04
◼
►
it's still significantly larger and heavier
01:13:07
◼
►
you know for the modern day they like the
01:13:10
◼
►
12 inch MacBook was I believe two pounds
01:13:13
◼
►
right like 2.0 or like close to 2.0 uh what
01:13:16
◼
►
was it I think it was yeah around two
01:13:18
◼
►
pounds something like that yeah I think
01:13:19
◼
►
and I think we're currently at 2.4
01:13:21
◼
►
something for the 13 inch Air yeah so
01:13:22
◼
►
like you know we're we're we're still
01:13:25
◼
►
bigger and heavier we still don't have
01:13:27
◼
►
that magical like you know airplane
01:13:29
◼
►
tray table computer that we used to have
01:13:31
◼
►
I know the rumor says a 13 inch screen
01:13:32
◼
►
so it sounds like if that kind of
01:13:35
◼
►
computer is coming this probably isn't
01:13:36
◼
►
it but this does show maybe a path they
01:13:39
◼
►
can get there like if they if they decided
01:13:42
◼
►
for whatever reason that like that they
01:13:44
◼
►
can't do it with the full suite of M you
01:13:47
◼
►
know M chip series features although they
01:13:49
◼
►
do it in the 11 inch iPad Pro and the 11
01:13:53
◼
►
inch iPad Air so I I don't know why they
01:13:56
◼
►
couldn't do it but like a proper you know
01:13:59
◼
►
11 or 12 inch laptop that's actually you
01:14:02
◼
►
know Mac OS not just an 11 inch iPad I
01:14:05
◼
►
think would be so cool and you know in
01:14:08
◼
►
that two pound range I really hope they
01:14:10
◼
►
make that and I'm not I haven't given up
01:14:12
◼
►
hope yet same I don't know if this is it
01:14:14
◼
►
as I said but I haven't given up given
01:14:16
◼
►
just to be clear based on the game
01:14:17
◼
►
before the price I was giving it was for
01:14:20
◼
►
the price of the a team based laptop
01:14:22
◼
►
computer that Apple would put out if it's
01:14:24
◼
►
going to be a low-cost model it is not
01:14:26
◼
►
the price of what I think after we
01:14:28
◼
►
removed everything in our game the
01:14:29
◼
►
thing would cost because I don't think
01:14:30
◼
►
Apple would remove all the things to be
01:14:31
◼
►
listed we really gutted this thing to
01:14:33
◼
►
the point where it's a bad product
01:14:34
◼
►
real-time follow-up the weight of the
01:14:38
◼
►
MacBook adorable 2.03 pounds or
01:14:40
◼
►
insensible units just a shade less than
01:14:42
◼
►
a kilogram oh no Jason wants us to
01:14:44
◼
►
point out the tariffs may throw a
01:14:45
◼
►
monkey wrench into this whole thing
01:14:46
◼
►
what else is new oh and by the way the
01:14:48
◼
►
and the 13 inch MacBook Air is 2.7
01:14:50
◼
►
pounds oh wow 2.7 versus 2.0 is a
01:14:53
◼
►
big difference yeah it really really
01:14:54
◼
►
so like we are not in that same class
01:14:57
◼
►
with the new MacBook Air it the new
01:14:59
◼
►
MacBook Air is a wonderful machine in
01:15:00
◼
►
lots of ways but we are not in that
01:15:02
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breaches and stuff there's a recent
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all right let's do some ask ATP and neil
01:16:35
◼
►
writes with machines like the mac mini
01:16:36
◼
►
having such expensive storage many people
01:16:38
◼
►
look at adding external storage with an
01:16:40
◼
►
external NVMe drive via USB 4 or a
01:16:44
◼
►
thunderbolt enclosure are there reliability
01:16:46
◼
►
issues with having something permanently
01:16:48
◼
►
attached like this for example do you
01:16:49
◼
►
regularly regularly run into it randomly
01:16:52
◼
►
being unmounted is there more risk to file
01:16:55
◼
►
corruption if you're using it for a
01:16:57
◼
►
backup is Thunderbolt more reliable than
01:17:00
◼
►
USB 4 I don't have any strong answers
01:17:03
◼
►
for this with a Mac mini or something
01:17:05
◼
►
stationary I suppose there's no reason you
01:17:07
◼
►
couldn't do something like this but I
01:17:10
◼
►
don't know if it were me I would try my
01:17:11
◼
►
darndest to find a storage solution
01:17:15
◼
►
that's internal that works both from a
01:17:16
◼
►
cost and space perspective but yeah I'd
01:17:19
◼
►
get why you wouldn't want to do that for
01:17:20
◼
►
sure as I think the one of us who is
01:17:22
◼
►
probably using has used and probably still
01:17:25
◼
►
is using the most external storage because
01:17:26
◼
►
I'm only using desktops and it's convenient
01:17:28
◼
►
to use for desktops I will give a Casey
01:17:30
◼
►
style intervention here and say if you are
01:17:34
◼
►
using external storage connected to your
01:17:36
◼
►
Mac and it's randomly unmounting itself
01:17:40
◼
►
that is not a way to live you need to stop
01:17:45
◼
►
and either figure out how to fix it or get
01:17:49
◼
►
rid of that hardware I know too many
01:17:51
◼
►
people who say like oh this happens all
01:17:53
◼
►
the time it's not a big deal it just you'll
01:17:55
◼
►
plug it in and remount it or it'll come
01:17:56
◼
►
back in a second that's not acceptable for
01:17:59
◼
►
storage that you plan on using like it just
01:18:02
◼
►
you can't have that and the reason people
01:18:04
◼
►
live with that is because the problem that
01:18:06
◼
►
Neil was getting at here is it's not
01:18:08
◼
►
actually that easy to find reliable
01:18:12
◼
►
inexpensive external storage like it's it
01:18:16
◼
►
used to be easier when it was much more
01:18:17
◼
►
common for people to do that but most of
01:18:19
◼
►
these days most people get by with what's
01:18:20
◼
►
inside their computers so it becomes this
01:18:22
◼
►
narrower and narrower market and if you go
01:18:25
◼
►
on like Amazon or Newegg or whatever you
01:18:27
◼
►
can find tons of really really cheap
01:18:28
◼
►
external storage from name brands that is
01:18:30
◼
►
nevertheless incredibly unreliable and
01:18:32
◼
►
flaky and so everyone always wants to
01:18:34
◼
►
know what's the good one what's the one
01:18:36
◼
►
that I should buy and then you point out
01:18:37
◼
►
some Thunderbolt enclosure like yeah no
01:18:39
◼
►
seriously I'm not paying that much for
01:18:40
◼
►
that thing and it's like so to answer
01:18:42
◼
►
the other question is Thunderbolt more
01:18:44
◼
►
reliable than used before usually but that
01:18:47
◼
►
may be because the Thunderbolt stuff
01:18:48
◼
►
costs seven times as much and just just
01:18:51
◼
►
the cost difference means that using more
01:18:52
◼
►
reliable components all around and the
01:18:54
◼
►
companies that make them cater to
01:18:56
◼
►
customers who demand more reliability like
01:18:58
◼
►
it's not just that you get what you pay
01:19:00
◼
►
for it's like it's if you don't need
01:19:02
◼
►
Thunderbolt you would you would like to
01:19:03
◼
►
not pay for it but every time I try to
01:19:06
◼
►
and I have so many external enclosures
01:19:08
◼
►
here I try to find like an enclosure to
01:19:10
◼
►
fit like an SSD or back in the day a
01:19:11
◼
►
spinning drive or whatever I always felt
01:19:13
◼
►
like I was rolling the dice and if any of
01:19:15
◼
►
these external you know devices whether
01:19:18
◼
►
they come with a mechanism inside them
01:19:19
◼
►
or whether it's a shell that I plug
01:19:21
◼
►
something into if they have any kind of
01:19:23
◼
►
reliability things or it's like
01:19:24
◼
►
randomly unmounting that's the end of
01:19:26
◼
►
that thing in my life like I stop you
01:19:28
◼
►
but you can't you can't have it you
01:19:30
◼
►
will corrupt your data best case you'll
01:19:32
◼
►
just lose some data worst case you'll
01:19:33
◼
►
corrupt the thing and you know I
01:19:35
◼
►
need to loosen data like oh something
01:19:36
◼
►
didn't get written completely worst case
01:19:38
◼
►
you'll corrupt the entire thing so if
01:19:40
◼
►
you're ever in that situation and the
01:19:42
◼
►
drive keeps unmounting you need to fix
01:19:44
◼
►
that ASAP treated as a five alarm fire
01:19:46
◼
►
and I wish I had better advice on how to
01:19:49
◼
►
find something reliable but
01:19:50
◼
►
the only I mean the best you can do is
01:19:53
◼
►
more expensive ones tend to be more
01:19:55
◼
►
reliable in my experience Thunderbolt
01:19:57
◼
►
things both enclosures and drives tend
01:20:00
◼
►
to be more reliable they cost so much
01:20:01
◼
►
more money but I you know it's painful
01:20:03
◼
►
but I do it like for example my my one
01:20:05
◼
►
terabyte external drive that I currently
01:20:07
◼
►
have Tahoe on is a Thunderbolt drive
01:20:11
◼
►
which makes no sense because like I
01:20:13
◼
►
don't even know what the speeds the
01:20:14
◼
►
internal storage can do it's so old but
01:20:16
◼
►
it's just it's just so much more
01:20:18
◼
►
reliable for me than than my other USB
01:20:20
◼
►
based things that I have but yeah don't
01:20:24
◼
►
like and and if it is reliable yeah you
01:20:26
◼
►
can use it for backup it's fine like
01:20:27
◼
►
there's especially if it's on a
01:20:29
◼
►
desktop computer it's always plugged in
01:20:30
◼
►
it's always powered up especially if
01:20:31
◼
►
it's bus powered because then it's
01:20:33
◼
►
meant to run on the bus don't put it
01:20:34
◼
►
through 17 hubs like directly connected
01:20:36
◼
►
if you can or make sure you know like
01:20:38
◼
►
if it is reliable by all means use it
01:20:40
◼
►
as backup it'll be fine if it's not
01:20:42
◼
►
reliable you need to stop using it yeah
01:20:44
◼
►
definitely I have I use a bunch of
01:20:47
◼
►
external drives for things like time
01:20:49
◼
►
machine and occasionally like an
01:20:51
◼
►
archive drive here and there it
01:20:53
◼
►
obviously is harder to make reliable
01:20:57
◼
►
when you are constantly moving the
01:20:59
◼
►
drives you know so like in the in the
01:21:02
◼
►
context of like a laptop it's a lot
01:21:03
◼
►
harder to make that reliable over time
01:21:05
◼
►
like you know the cable will keep
01:21:06
◼
►
bending back and forth maybe you might
01:21:08
◼
►
slowly wiggle it out of the port the
01:21:09
◼
►
port might loosen like you know there's
01:21:11
◼
►
all sorts of stuff like that but in the
01:21:12
◼
►
context of a desktop we're just sitting
01:21:14
◼
►
around I have found for the most part
01:21:16
◼
►
you're you're fine getting any modern
01:21:19
◼
►
USB thing and it's fine now I have
01:21:23
◼
►
found there is basically no correlation
01:21:26
◼
►
between the reliability of USB devices
01:21:30
◼
►
and their price or their brand name for
01:21:33
◼
►
that matter I have some rock-solid USB
01:21:37
◼
►
hubs and cables and driving closures or
01:21:41
◼
►
external drives external SSDs I have some
01:21:43
◼
►
rock-solid ones that are just like no-name
01:21:45
◼
►
brands and I've bought some great ones
01:21:48
◼
►
from like you know like there were like
01:21:50
◼
►
some some high-end brands or like you
01:21:52
◼
►
know well-respected names in the
01:21:53
◼
►
business that were unreliable pieces of
01:21:55
◼
►
crap and the main reason behind a lot of
01:21:57
◼
►
this is like when you're making like a
01:21:59
◼
►
drive enclosure or a USB hub or
01:22:01
◼
►
something there's only so many actual
01:22:03
◼
►
like controller chips that are
01:22:05
◼
►
manufactured that will power something
01:22:07
◼
►
like that so almost any brand that you
01:22:09
◼
►
get is going to be using the same you
01:22:11
◼
►
know one of a very small number of
01:22:13
◼
►
controller chips as every other brand is
01:22:15
◼
►
using so I have found that like the
01:22:18
◼
►
sometimes you just luck out and you get
01:22:20
◼
►
a really good one sometimes you get a
01:22:21
◼
►
bad one like John I think if it starts
01:22:24
◼
►
randomly unmounting it is done like you
01:22:26
◼
►
got to replace it like that that will
01:22:27
◼
►
never get better for that one but again
01:22:28
◼
►
I've had I've had most most of the ones
01:22:30
◼
►
I've had are just fine and they last
01:22:33
◼
►
you know effectively forever and by the
01:22:35
◼
►
way on the chip thing one of the things
01:22:37
◼
►
you can do if you do want to try to
01:22:38
◼
►
research this is certain chip sets get a
01:22:41
◼
►
reputation for reliability or unreliability
01:22:43
◼
►
and if you can just look at the fleet of
01:22:45
◼
►
no-name brands or the fleet of name
01:22:47
◼
►
brands and find someplace that will list
01:22:49
◼
►
oh this one has this chip in it the all
01:22:51
◼
►
these have this chip and all these have
01:22:52
◼
►
that chip like even if there's only three
01:22:54
◼
►
possible chips that are being sold on the
01:22:55
◼
►
market maybe one of those is the chip
01:22:57
◼
►
you don't want and the two other ones are
01:22:58
◼
►
good you can find that information out
01:23:00
◼
►
it's annoying it's hard to find because
01:23:01
◼
►
the manufacturers probably aren't going to
01:23:03
◼
►
tell you but someone on YouTube will have
01:23:04
◼
►
cracked the thing open and said oh this
01:23:06
◼
►
cheap enclosure uses the good chip and
01:23:08
◼
►
this cheap enclosure uses the bad chip
01:23:09
◼
►
they're exactly the same price you
01:23:12
◼
►
wouldn't know this unless you found the
01:23:13
◼
►
review like that's why it just feels
01:23:14
◼
►
like rolling dice sometimes because you
01:23:15
◼
►
don't know like it's not even that cost
01:23:17
◼
►
difference between these cheap
01:23:18
◼
►
controls just sometimes there's good
01:23:19
◼
►
ones and bad ones or sometimes there's
01:23:20
◼
►
controllers that like mac os likes and has
01:23:23
◼
►
a good driver for and ones where mac os
01:23:25
◼
►
has a credit controller like it's not
01:23:26
◼
►
even always the drive's fault so that's
01:23:28
◼
►
one thing you can do if you really want
01:23:29
◼
►
to dig into it yeah one other thing
01:23:32
◼
►
about Thunderbolt though Thunderbolt is a
01:23:36
◼
►
higher-end spec it has more requirements a
01:23:39
◼
►
long time ago at some media briefing I
01:23:42
◼
►
was talking to Greg Jaws back Jaws about I
01:23:45
◼
►
believe I was complaining about USB C back
01:23:47
◼
►
in like you know the bad old days of the
01:23:48
◼
►
MacBook Pros with the touch bars and
01:23:50
◼
►
everything and one thing that Jaws said
01:23:52
◼
►
has stuck with me he said he said like
01:23:55
◼
►
Thunderbolt hubs and Thunderbolt devices
01:23:58
◼
►
are held to a way higher standard than
01:24:01
◼
►
USB devices because every Thunderbolt device
01:24:04
◼
►
has to be certified and it goes through a
01:24:06
◼
►
more rigorous process than most USB devices
01:24:08
◼
►
do now again that was many years ago I
01:24:11
◼
►
don't know you know to what degree that
01:24:13
◼
►
is still true but I have so far like in
01:24:16
◼
►
my computing life I have had so I've had
01:24:19
◼
►
some flaky USB devices I've never had a
01:24:22
◼
►
flaky Thunderbolt device they've all been
01:24:25
◼
►
rock-solid now there are downsides in
01:24:28
◼
►
addition to them costing usually at least
01:24:31
◼
►
three times as much as the USB equivalent
01:24:33
◼
►
they also you know they tend to you know
01:24:36
◼
►
use more power that you know there's
01:24:38
◼
►
there's almost nothing that's Thunderbolt
01:24:40
◼
►
bus powered like it's you know you're
01:24:42
◼
►
looking at external you know external
01:24:43
◼
►
power supplies much of the time usually
01:24:46
◼
►
Thunderbolt chips are bigger and hotter so
01:24:48
◼
►
the Thunderbolt even something as simple
01:24:50
◼
►
as like a drive enclosure that's gonna
01:24:51
◼
►
have a big hot Thunderbolt bridge chip in
01:24:54
◼
►
it probably and so that whole thing is
01:24:55
◼
►
gonna be hotter and maybe it'll need a
01:24:57
◼
►
fan or at least it'll just be sitting
01:24:58
◼
►
there like melting your desk by the way
01:25:00
◼
►
my one terabyte external Thunderbolts
01:25:02
◼
►
drive is bus powered does not have a fan
01:25:06
◼
►
it doesn't get hot yeah because they
01:25:08
◼
►
get hot anyway so Thunder so Thunderbolt
01:25:10
◼
►
stuff it is better but it is also so much
01:25:13
◼
►
more expensive that for most people and
01:25:15
◼
►
most needs it's not worth it I find
01:25:18
◼
►
Thunderbolt is best for hubs like if you
01:25:21
◼
►
want to like have like a port expander
01:25:23
◼
►
that you're plugging your laptop into
01:25:24
◼
►
with one cable and you want a bunch of
01:25:25
◼
►
ports that are gonna be reliable
01:25:26
◼
►
Thunderbolts great for that for just like
01:25:29
◼
►
an external SSD my needs don't need
01:25:34
◼
►
external SSDs to be massively fast I'm
01:25:37
◼
►
mostly using them again in like a time
01:25:38
◼
►
machine or an archive context so I just
01:25:41
◼
►
need my SSDs my external SSDs to be
01:25:43
◼
►
large in capacity you know I need like
01:25:46
◼
►
the four terabyte the eight terabyte and
01:25:48
◼
►
like so space is more important and then
01:25:50
◼
►
performance so I just go USB on those
01:25:53
◼
►
and it's been fine Thunderbolt would have
01:25:55
◼
►
been even more expensive than they
01:25:56
◼
►
already were and it's just not worth it
01:25:58
◼
►
for me but again for hubs definitely
01:26:00
◼
►
worth it and my my backup drive like my
01:26:02
◼
►
eight terabyte SSD it's connected with
01:26:05
◼
►
SATA oh my god because it's internal
01:26:08
◼
►
but like somewhere in there is some
01:26:10
◼
►
crappy ancient old ship that is
01:26:12
◼
►
translating whatever that SSD is so it
01:26:15
◼
►
can speak SATA to the internal SATA bus
01:26:17
◼
►
on my Mac which is not a thing that
01:26:18
◼
►
most people have to worry about but like
01:26:20
◼
►
it drives home the point that for
01:26:22
◼
►
things like backup drives or like clone
01:26:23
◼
►
drives or time machine drives if you
01:26:26
◼
►
want them to be SSDs don't worry so much
01:26:30
◼
►
about the bus speed because it's just
01:26:31
◼
►
running in the background at low priority
01:26:33
◼
►
tasks and slowly siphoning bits over and
01:26:35
◼
►
the main advantage to it being SSD is the
01:26:37
◼
►
fact that it doesn't make noise
01:26:39
◼
►
yeah the but the actual like protocol
01:26:41
◼
►
maximum speed for drives doesn't really
01:26:46
◼
►
matter to almost anyone almost any of the
01:26:49
◼
►
time so yeah get the USB one it'll be
01:26:52
◼
►
fine you know it's funny you were talking
01:26:55
◼
►
about Thunderbolt hubs just earlier
01:26:57
◼
►
today the Caldigit TS5 plus is in stock
01:27:01
◼
►
enough that they're letting you order
01:27:02
◼
►
them from Caldigit directly and so I've
01:27:06
◼
►
placed my order for my five a hundred
01:27:08
◼
►
dollar oh my god as much as your
01:27:11
◼
►
computer if you have a Mac mini yeah
01:27:13
◼
►
seriously but I'm excited to have it so
01:27:16
◼
►
I have an m3 max so I don't have
01:27:17
◼
►
Thunderbolt 4 5 I don't Thunderbolt 5 but
01:27:20
◼
►
as far as I can tell this should still
01:27:21
◼
►
work it just won't be as quick and I'm
01:27:23
◼
►
very excited to have an on-board 10
01:27:26
◼
►
gigabit ethernet port because the one on
01:27:28
◼
►
the on the TS4 that I have is two and a
01:27:30
◼
►
half gig and honest to goodness maybe
01:27:33
◼
►
this is a not a placebo but maybe I'm
01:27:35
◼
►
convincing myself of something that really
01:27:37
◼
►
isn't true but I feel like when I'm
01:27:39
◼
►
moving video files like onto or off of
01:27:41
◼
►
the Synology it is noticeably quicker I
01:27:44
◼
►
mean it's two and a half times quicker to
01:27:47
◼
►
do that with the existing Thunderbolt 4 now
01:27:49
◼
►
that I have hardware my ubiquity
01:27:51
◼
►
hardware that supports you know faster
01:27:53
◼
►
than gigabit ethernet and so I can only
01:27:55
◼
►
imagine how amazing it's going to be to
01:27:56
◼
►
have 10 gigabit ethernet because I
01:27:58
◼
►
already put a daughter board I think we
01:27:59
◼
►
talked about this put a daughter board in
01:28:01
◼
►
the Synology to have a 10 gigabit
01:28:02
◼
►
ethernet port in that and then now in a
01:28:04
◼
►
few weeks when the ships I'll have 10
01:28:06
◼
►
gigabit ethernet on my desk and I am
01:28:09
◼
►
very very excited all right Patrick
01:28:12
◼
►
Harms writes I remember Marco talking
01:28:15
◼
►
about block storage or iSCSI for
01:28:17
◼
►
something similar he experimented
01:28:20
◼
►
experimented with to increase the
01:28:22
◼
►
internal storage on his Mac what I want
01:28:24
◼
►
to achieve is reliable protective
01:28:25
◼
►
protected storage on a NAS unraid or
01:28:27
◼
►
true NAS that can be used most
01:28:30
◼
►
efficiently by the Mac single user only
01:28:32
◼
►
for storing the photo library or bigger
01:28:34
◼
►
files the connection speaking of is
01:28:36
◼
►
10 gigabit ethernet between both
01:28:37
◼
►
devices I found this post on reddit
01:28:39
◼
►
describing a workaround with a mounted
01:28:40
◼
►
disk image on an SMB share any advice
01:28:43
◼
►
so what I used iSCSI for was to get
01:28:47
◼
►
around a limitation of backblaze or a
01:28:51
◼
►
feature of backblaze so so backblaze you
01:28:53
◼
►
know the online cloud backup that they've
01:28:54
◼
►
been a sponsor before I they're still my
01:28:56
◼
►
preferred cloud backup provider and the
01:28:58
◼
►
end backblaze will back up at no
01:29:00
◼
►
additional charge any external drives that
01:29:03
◼
►
are connected to the Mac I had gotten this
01:29:06
◼
►
huge Synology NAS a million years ago with
01:29:09
◼
►
everybody else on the show and and I was
01:29:12
◼
►
looking for a way to like let me have
01:29:13
◼
►
cloud storage of what I think it was
01:29:16
◼
►
something like you know eight or 12
01:29:18
◼
►
terabytes of archive data without having
01:29:21
◼
►
you know that be directly connected to
01:29:22
◼
►
my computer in the form of an external
01:29:24
◼
►
drive I wanted the you know this the
01:29:25
◼
►
NAS to be doing that and so I did and
01:29:28
◼
►
and I went through two so iSCSI is not
01:29:31
◼
►
natively supported by macOS you have to
01:29:32
◼
►
buy a an iSCSI initiator software I went
01:29:36
◼
►
through two of them I believe the last one
01:29:38
◼
►
was the was the ato extend san family I
01:29:42
◼
►
think that's still the only one that
01:29:43
◼
►
works I could be wrong this is terrible
01:29:46
◼
►
mac software like the the the iSCSI
01:29:48
◼
►
initiating process is horrendous and what
01:29:51
◼
►
you get is what you expect it to be like
01:29:54
◼
►
it behaves like a disk directly connected
01:29:57
◼
►
however the NAS can't see it because
01:30:01
◼
►
what you're doing is you're having the
01:30:04
◼
►
Mac have its own in its own file system
01:30:07
◼
►
its own you know block storage
01:30:08
◼
►
abstraction so all those files that are
01:30:11
◼
►
on that giant that giant share being
01:30:13
◼
►
hosted by the NAS the NAS doesn't see it
01:30:15
◼
►
as files the NAS sees it as a volume of a
01:30:18
◼
►
format it doesn't understand oh I don't
01:30:20
◼
►
think I knew that that's fascinating so
01:30:22
◼
►
this it basically it removes a lot of
01:30:25
◼
►
the reason to have a NAS because you know
01:30:28
◼
►
its applications can't really interact with
01:30:31
◼
►
the contents of that drive so it's it's
01:30:34
◼
►
fairly limiting again the software on the
01:30:36
◼
►
Mac is terrible it did work and backblaze
01:30:40
◼
►
did happily back it up as though it was an
01:30:42
◼
►
external drive but I feel like any pretty
01:30:45
◼
►
much any other solution would be better so
01:30:47
◼
►
in this case like you know having some
01:30:49
◼
►
kind of like you know mounted disk image
01:30:50
◼
►
on other what was otherwise just a
01:30:52
◼
►
regular file share that's probably not
01:30:54
◼
►
going to be as fast for the Mac like
01:30:56
◼
►
there might be more overhead in terms of
01:30:58
◼
►
shuffling those blocks back and forth and
01:30:59
◼
►
like into the disk image but that's
01:31:02
◼
►
probably the better approach I disagree
01:31:04
◼
►
with that I think that would be much
01:31:07
◼
►
worse because I think any Mac application
01:31:10
◼
►
that sees your iSCSI initiated NAS storage
01:31:14
◼
►
thing as just a volume like it's that's
01:31:16
◼
►
going to work the way it expects because
01:31:18
◼
►
you formatted it and at the time probably
01:31:20
◼
►
HFS plus or whatever it was like it's
01:31:22
◼
►
just treating it like a drive and it works
01:31:24
◼
►
like a drive and it you know any any kind
01:31:26
◼
►
of thing that's like oh you need to have
01:31:29
◼
►
you boot it off your internal drive for
01:31:30
◼
►
apple intelligence or photo libraries
01:31:32
◼
►
can only be on a volume of this type
01:31:34
◼
►
or whatever it's straightforward now you
01:31:35
◼
►
can make a disk image format in any
01:31:37
◼
►
format you want but it's not like it's
01:31:40
◼
►
it's a disk image there's all sorts of
01:31:41
◼
►
stuff going on behind the scenes to make
01:31:43
◼
►
that work that especially when it comes
01:31:45
◼
►
to things like file locking and the
01:31:47
◼
►
atomicity atomicness whatever the word is
01:31:51
◼
►
of operations in the file system all of
01:31:53
◼
►
that can potentially change when dealing
01:31:55
◼
►
with disk images so i would absolutely
01:31:59
◼
►
recommend against taking a disk image
01:32:02
◼
►
putting it on a NAS and mounting that
01:32:04
◼
►
disk image on your Mac and then putting
01:32:05
◼
►
your photo library on it like the that
01:32:07
◼
►
stack of things is a not a good idea if
01:32:10
◼
►
you're not putting your photo library on
01:32:11
◼
►
and you just want to have a disk image on
01:32:13
◼
►
your NAS and put files in it that should
01:32:15
◼
►
work but it's an incredibly inefficient use
01:32:17
◼
►
of your NAS you know as you break down the
01:32:21
◼
►
layers it's like look just just mount
01:32:22
◼
►
your NAS and use it as a network attached
01:32:25
◼
►
storage and unless you have some other
01:32:26
◼
►
need like I want backblaze to back this
01:32:28
◼
►
up or I want to put my photo library on
01:32:29
◼
►
it and in either of those cases you really
01:32:32
◼
►
have to look at what you're aiming for if
01:32:33
◼
►
it's just a bunch of archive data and you
01:32:35
◼
►
want to get it backed up as part of your
01:32:37
◼
►
low one price thing backblaze iSCSI is
01:32:40
◼
►
probably the only solution but if you want
01:32:41
◼
►
to put your photo library on it I would
01:32:43
◼
►
absolutely not put a disk image on your
01:32:45
◼
►
NAS and mount it even if it appears to
01:32:47
◼
►
work it's just it's too many layers it's
01:32:50
◼
►
too slow and I don't know if that's even a
01:32:52
◼
►
supported configuration for apple photos
01:32:54
◼
►
and I wonder if apple would even know
01:32:56
◼
►
because they would be asking you well
01:32:57
◼
►
what disk image format did you use did
01:33:00
◼
►
you use a sparse bundle did you use a
01:33:01
◼
►
read write disk image did you use the
01:33:03
◼
►
new as if whatever that format was that
01:33:05
◼
►
we talked about on the past show like and
01:33:07
◼
►
then how is it mounted and what are the
01:33:08
◼
►
samba options on the serving side and on
01:33:11
◼
►
the client side and what version of mac os
01:33:12
◼
►
you were doing too many questions for
01:33:14
◼
►
something as important as a photo
01:33:16
◼
►
then finally for today matt jorgensen
01:33:19
◼
►
writes my son recently graduated with a
01:33:21
◼
►
degree in computer science what do you
01:33:22
◼
►
recommend for new graduates looking for
01:33:24
◼
►
their first job well first of all
01:33:25
◼
►
congratulations
01:33:26
◼
►
second of all I would say and I think
01:33:30
◼
►
we've talked about this several times in
01:33:31
◼
►
the past but it's one of those things we
01:33:32
◼
►
should do periodically like John talks
01:33:34
◼
►
about if you can get them involved in
01:33:37
◼
►
some sort of open source I think that
01:33:39
◼
►
that's very healthy either that could be
01:33:41
◼
►
open sourcing their own thing it could
01:33:44
◼
►
be participating in bug fixes or features
01:33:46
◼
►
in some other open source project that
01:33:48
◼
►
especially I think would be great
01:33:49
◼
►
because that teaches you a lot about
01:33:50
◼
►
working with other people working with
01:33:52
◼
►
other people's code and so on and so
01:33:54
◼
►
forth so I think the the first thing I
01:33:57
◼
►
would look at is getting involved in some
01:33:58
◼
►
sort of open source and trying to make a
01:34:00
◼
►
name for yourself within a project you know
01:34:02
◼
►
be be more than just an anonymous lurker in
01:34:05
◼
►
some project and see if that can help
01:34:07
◼
►
my advice is probably more general and not
01:34:11
◼
►
like as specific as Casey's was if you
01:34:15
◼
►
have if you're just graduated with a
01:34:17
◼
►
computer science degree and you have any
01:34:19
◼
►
interest whatsoever in being involved in
01:34:24
◼
►
any kind of like startup or you know
01:34:28
◼
►
leading-edge technology or like be one of
01:34:31
◼
►
a few number of people in a small company
01:34:34
◼
►
with a lot of responsibility now is the
01:34:36
◼
►
time to do it when you're young if you
01:34:39
◼
►
don't have any interest in that don't do
01:34:40
◼
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it like don't do it just as you think it's
01:34:41
◼
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what people do but if you're like I always
01:34:43
◼
►
wanted to be like one of five programmers
01:34:44
◼
►
working on a project or something I always
01:34:46
◼
►
wanted to be involved in a startup or
01:34:47
◼
►
whatever assuming your son graduated with a
01:34:50
◼
►
degree and is like you know young like in
01:34:54
◼
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the mid-20s or whatever the expected age
01:34:57
◼
►
someone graduates with that degree now is
01:34:59
◼
►
the time to do it because it will only get
01:35:01
◼
►
harder to do that and also having a job like
01:35:06
◼
►
that early in your career where you are one
01:35:08
◼
►
of a small number of people will force you to
01:35:11
◼
►
learn how to do a whole bunch of stuff and
01:35:14
◼
►
that will make you a much more valuable
01:35:16
◼
►
employee when you get tired of the startup
01:35:18
◼
►
world or when you want to go in a company
01:35:20
◼
►
that's not going to go under later you will
01:35:23
◼
►
have you will have so much more real world
01:35:26
◼
►
experience and knowledge than people who
01:35:29
◼
►
went to work for IBM right out of school
01:35:31
◼
►
to throw IBM under the bus but like went to
01:35:33
◼
►
work for some big company so when you go for
01:35:35
◼
►
a big company you do learn things on the job
01:35:36
◼
►
but it's a much more stable environment
01:35:39
◼
►
where what's expected of you you're not you
01:35:41
◼
►
don't go in there and it's like now you have
01:35:42
◼
►
17 jobs and you got to do all these things
01:35:44
◼
►
you got to learn them all now they're gonna
01:35:45
◼
►
it's going to be more sustainably paced
01:35:48
◼
►
let's say but you will learn less it will
01:35:51
◼
►
take you longer or your your your skills
01:35:53
◼
►
will be more narrow because there's 75,000
01:35:55
◼
►
other people who do their own specialized jobs
01:35:57
◼
►
this is not to say that like do startups when
01:35:59
◼
►
you're young because that's the time to burn
01:36:02
◼
►
you out you shouldn't have burnout even
01:36:03
◼
►
when you're young but what I am saying is
01:36:05
◼
►
if you're in a company with a small number
01:36:06
◼
►
of people it can still be a healthy work
01:36:08
◼
►
environment and also you will still be
01:36:10
◼
►
required to learn how to do way more jobs
01:36:12
◼
►
because there's just not enough people so
01:36:13
◼
►
someone's got to figure out how to
01:36:14
◼
►
administer this Linux machine congratulations
01:36:17
◼
►
you're the sysadmin now someone's got to
01:36:19
◼
►
learn this new API or this new language
01:36:20
◼
►
congratulations it's you and one other
01:36:22
◼
►
person like you will learn so much and you
01:36:25
◼
►
will be battle tested and when you your
01:36:28
◼
►
company inevitably goes under because that's
01:36:29
◼
►
what happens to most startups when you apply
01:36:31
◼
►
for that job let's say Apple or Google or
01:36:34
◼
►
whatever you should look a lot better at that
01:36:36
◼
►
than the other candidates because you will
01:36:38
◼
►
actually literally know how to do more stuff
01:36:40
◼
►
also you know just money wise a pretty good
01:36:46
◼
►
career strategy is go work in the startup
01:36:49
◼
►
scene and get as many shares of as many
01:36:52
◼
►
companies as you can because you know over
01:36:55
◼
►
time some of those will end up being worth
01:36:58
◼
►
money not all of them maybe not even most of
01:37:01
◼
►
them or in my case none of them but like the
01:37:04
◼
►
way venture capital works is VCs make a whole
01:37:07
◼
►
bunch of very risky bets and they tend to come
01:37:10
◼
►
out ahead because a few of them pay off big you
01:37:14
◼
►
can do that as an employee getting shares along
01:37:17
◼
►
the way you're playing your own version of that
01:37:19
◼
►
game so if you work for a startup you know the
01:37:23
◼
►
early the smaller and earlier the startup the
01:37:25
◼
►
more shares that you will get and the more they
01:37:27
◼
►
will be worth over time as a percentage of the
01:37:29
◼
►
entire company then secondly once you are in the
01:37:34
◼
►
startup scene in your city or in your part of the
01:37:38
◼
►
industry when one startup dissolves you tend to get
01:37:42
◼
►
picked up by other ones or it tends to be easier
01:37:44
◼
►
for you to stay in that community because startup
01:37:46
◼
►
founders and their investors all talk to each
01:37:49
◼
►
other and so they know like oh hey this this startup
01:37:53
◼
►
just just collapsed over there but oh they had a
01:37:55
◼
►
really good CTO I'm going to try to hire them or
01:37:57
◼
►
whatever like there's this whole network that you
01:37:59
◼
►
get by being in the startup scene that like people in
01:38:03
◼
►
your city will know you and so even if a particular job
01:38:08
◼
►
you know ends up going under or not working out that
01:38:11
◼
►
well usually it's easier for you to get more because
01:38:14
◼
►
you are in that that like social click really and
01:38:17
◼
►
obviously it depends like you know what city you are in
01:38:20
◼
►
like what region what type of what part of the
01:38:22
◼
►
industry are you in that that all matters but it's like
01:38:26
◼
►
like swimming to the professions it's very much based on who you know and what
01:38:30
◼
►
your track record is and the startup scene is small and they talk a lot and
01:38:35
◼
►
their investors talk a lot it worked out well for me but you know a lot of that
01:38:39
◼
►
was luck obviously but like I didn't just have shares in tumblr I had shares in a
01:38:43
◼
►
few different things and not all of them worked some of them I lost money most of
01:38:48
◼
►
them I came out ahead or or at least they at least it was like a push you know so
01:38:52
◼
►
make a lot of bets and I know a lot of it will you know this isn't just me like a
01:38:56
◼
►
lot I know a lot of people who have done this like work for startups see what you
01:38:59
◼
►
can see you know how many how much you know little slices of equity you can get and
01:39:04
◼
►
I'm not saying don't also work for a salary everyone there is getting a salary you
01:39:09
◼
►
know that's what the investors money is for so so get your salary and also get a get as
01:39:14
◼
►
many shares as you can place a lot of bets on that on those tables so to speak and
01:39:19
◼
►
chances are one of them will pay off eventually or more than one and you know
01:39:24
◼
►
that that's a nice way to get you know a lot of you know bonus money and that's
01:39:27
◼
►
very much a a good path when you are young because like John was saying like you
01:39:32
◼
►
know you have you can take more risks when you're young startup founders also tend
01:39:37
◼
►
to be young and there is insane ageism in this industry so by the time you're in
01:39:43
◼
►
your 40s startups won't hire you anyway that's terrible but it's the reality it
01:39:48
◼
►
shouldn't be that way but it is that way so while you're young go play that game
01:39:53
◼
►
collect your shares and see what happens later in life as a result you can always
01:39:57
◼
►
go work for the big tech companies later but the startup startups are very much a
01:40:02
◼
►
young person's game and then finally I would say for you to stand out when
01:40:07
◼
►
looking at employers or when having employers look at you one way to do that is
01:40:12
◼
►
to be in their boys club so you know if you are also like a Stanford graduate or
01:40:17
◼
►
whatever I don't know I was not any of those things so I couldn't play that game
01:40:21
◼
►
the version of the game I played was I cared a lot and I could program now I don't
01:40:29
◼
►
mean I was a great programmer I wasn't and I'm still not I meant I could I can
01:40:34
◼
►
program you'd be surprised if you haven't seen the high the like applicant pool for a programming
01:40:42
◼
►
job out there and if you haven't interviewed programming job candidates you may be surprised
01:40:49
◼
►
how relatively few of them both care and can program now over time this has gotten better there's more
01:40:59
◼
►
qualified programmers now than there used to be and you're entering right now what's probably a pretty
01:41:03
◼
►
crappy job market because there were all these tech layoffs recently and so there's a lot of
01:41:07
◼
►
unemployed programmers right now who do know how to program that's temporary you know that will change
01:41:11
◼
►
when you are applying for jobs if you show that you care and if you can demonstrate even it doesn't
01:41:18
◼
►
have to be anything like massively impressive if you can just point to any code you have written
01:41:23
◼
►
whether it's like here's a here's a github project for a simple app I made you will stand out from that
01:41:30
◼
►
and again it doesn't have to be anything incredibly impressive or complicated just if you can point to a github
01:41:36
◼
►
repo that you made and say I completed an app that does a simple thing I guarantee you almost none of the
01:41:44
◼
►
competing candidates for that job will be able to point to any code they wrote that works that kind of
01:41:51
◼
►
thing makes you stand out more than you think and if you go into the interview and you show that you care
01:41:55
◼
►
that you're into programming and that you you are interested in this company that you know do some
01:42:00
◼
►
research about the company you're going into and and figure out what's important to them and you can
01:42:05
◼
►
you can show them like hey this this problem that it looks like you're working on this sounds really
01:42:09
◼
►
cool and I hear some thoughts I might have on it like show that and and you'll be fine I feel like
01:42:14
◼
►
you're overestimating the expected return on working for lots of companies in terms of equity because I think
01:42:19
◼
►
the answer is it's basically zero like it rounds very quickly to zero because it's just the odds are
01:42:25
◼
►
so low and you'd have to have so many different jobs to try to increase those odds and having a lot
01:42:31
◼
►
of jobs itself exhausting I mean even if only just dealing with the the the 401ks that you have to roll
01:42:37
◼
►
over into each other and dealing with that hassle like I can tell you that all the companies that I had
01:42:41
◼
►
equity in in my startup years netted me their losses or zero dollars the only company that gave me
01:42:47
◼
►
any equity that was ever worth anything was my very last job before I quit to do this podcast
01:42:52
◼
►
and that was a job that I got when I was in my 40s for a very established very big non-startup company
01:42:57
◼
►
that you know and my equity wasn't worth that much but it was worth more than zero or more than negative
01:43:02
◼
►
so I think that's the expected experience not saying you shouldn't do it like by all means do it but like
01:43:07
◼
►
it can be exhausting to try to like I got to put lots of bets down because then you're just having a lot
01:43:11
◼
►
of jobs and on the flip side of this on a non-startup side that's why I preface this by saying if
01:43:15
◼
►
you're interested in this if you're not interested in that world and don't want to be it at all and
01:43:18
◼
►
just want to get a good established job you can do that and it's fine and like I would actually
01:43:23
◼
►
recommend that to a lot of people it's what I hope my children do I hope they don't go into the startup
01:43:27
◼
►
world I hope they get a job with a big established company but if you do that my advice to someone like
01:43:32
◼
►
applying to Apple or Amazon or Google or something is what your goal should be when getting that job
01:43:39
◼
►
especially if you're just out of school is you need to learn how to be a worker essentially learn
01:43:45
◼
►
how to be an employee learn how to be on a team you're going to be learning how to to interact
01:43:51
◼
►
with people and work as a team to accomplish a goal and this sounds dumb and you think you did it all
01:43:55
◼
►
you have we had group projects in school it's exactly the same thing it's not that's the main skill that
01:44:00
◼
►
you should concentrate on learning I know you're thinking about all you know what kind of programming
01:44:04
◼
►
things we need to know to get past the interview and that's all true and everything and like what am I
01:44:07
◼
►
going to do in my job or whatever but the main thing you're going to do in your job I almost
01:44:10
◼
►
guarantee for the first five to ten years is learn how to be an employee learn how to be a co-worker
01:44:16
◼
►
learn how to work in a team learn how to be successful in that environment success defined as learning how
01:44:23
◼
►
to accomplish the goals set before you as a team which sounds so dumb and simple but it is literally
01:44:28
◼
►
the hardest thing and they don't teach you that in college and they don't teach you that in high school
01:44:32
◼
►
really they try to give you good projects they try to have that one course about teaching you that like
01:44:36
◼
►
agile methodology or something that's not what the it's not it right it is a social skill that is
01:44:42
◼
►
integral to being successful in big companies with lots of people working as a team in a startup you
01:44:48
◼
►
can get away with being a you know just a renegade lone wolf and doing your own thing and having 50
01:44:53
◼
►
jobs and everything's all crazy anyway whatever that's the environment where you can get away with
01:44:57
◼
►
that that's the environment where you can you know flourish without those skills but you go work for a big
01:45:03
◼
►
company no one wants that person there they need someone who can work as a team together on you know
01:45:10
◼
►
on goals that are agreed upon like it's a totally different environment and as you get older you're
01:45:15
◼
►
not going to want to work in those chaotic startup type things you're going to want to work for one of
01:45:19
◼
►
those wealthy companies that can afford to give you a good salary and good vacation and good benefits
01:45:23
◼
►
and a stable job and everything and those companies require you to be a good employee and worker
01:45:29
◼
►
and again in all these cases is the main thing i'm gonna hammer home to all my children once they get
01:45:34
◼
►
off into the real job market do not let the job exploit exploit you don't let it burn you out there's
01:45:38
◼
►
all sorts of things you have to be wary of to be because your employer is not there to take care of you
01:45:42
◼
►
or to love you or to make sure your life is great so you have to be on lookout for this all the time
01:45:46
◼
►
but also you have to learn how to be a worker in these big companies and so
01:45:49
◼
►
i mean the ideal thing is if you really really want to do startups do them when you're young
01:45:53
◼
►
and then transition over but when you make that transition to over to the big companies you're still
01:45:57
◼
►
going to have to learn all that stuff about how to work as a team how to work together how to work in a
01:46:01
◼
►
more professional environment um and i've seen a lot of people have very long careers and really struggle
01:46:08
◼
►
with either with that transition to a big company or maybe they start off in big companies and just never
01:46:12
◼
►
learned how to work with people and they don't succeed as much so there you go that's a new computer
01:46:18
◼
►
science graduate employee advice 2025 one more rebuttal of john's you know being down on uh on getting a bunch of
01:46:26
◼
►
um when i say place a bunch of bets i'm not saying change jobs every six months i'm saying change jobs
01:46:31
◼
►
every few years like the way most people in tech do that's not enough bets then well to change the odds
01:46:37
◼
►
from zero well but also it matters obviously what bets you take it you know you can't necessarily know
01:46:44
◼
►
ahead of time what will pay off but you can be in areas that are more or less likely to pay off
01:46:50
◼
►
typically um you know the way it has gone for the last you know 30 years in tech is if you want a
01:46:56
◼
►
higher chance of building you know meaningful wealth from stock shares and stuff in early companies
01:47:03
◼
►
the earlier you're in the company the better the bigger role you have the better obviously but also
01:47:10
◼
►
what area of the industry the company is in and what phase that's in in its maturity matters a lot
01:47:16
◼
►
you want to be in a part of the industry that is young and experiencing a whole bunch of growth and
01:47:22
◼
►
change and flux so you know obviously like you know when i started with tumblr in 2006 that was
01:47:28
◼
►
consumer web apps like that was very much still a big thing then you know later on like you know
01:47:33
◼
►
iphone apps mobile apps have come in now that area is ai if you want to maximize your odds try to get
01:47:40
◼
►
into an ai startup that's where all the action is if you're listening to this for some reason
01:47:44
◼
►
five or ten years from now that answer might be different and you know you got to look around like
01:47:49
◼
►
where is the action in the industry right now what is like new and growing and changing and lots of flux
01:47:54
◼
►
go there and get some bets placed on that table and your odds are not not too bad that like you know
01:48:01
◼
►
but one of those could work out pretty well instead of zero the point zero zero zero zero one i think you'd be
01:48:07
◼
►
surprised and again it's but and you know place a few bets and see what happens and the whole time
01:48:11
◼
►
get salaries anyway and uh and you know they're you know then you aren't you know you aren't out any
01:48:17
◼
►
money you know so to speak but it it's not a bad strategy and again like those people will all then
01:48:23
◼
►
promote you to the other startups in that community so you know if you if you show that you're a great
01:48:28
◼
►
programmer uh or even just a good worker who like does their job and you know and is not like causing
01:48:33
◼
►
problems for for people two or three years from now you're looking for a job and your old boss might
01:48:38
◼
►
be a might be a good referral to tell you know tell some new company that they're friends with like oh
01:48:42
◼
►
yeah i know i know this person they're a really good programmer that works in big companies too by the
01:48:45
◼
►
way that's just the general advice on and when you have any kind of job is your next job will probably
01:48:50
◼
►
come from somebody you knew at your first job or like one or two degrees separated so even if you go
01:48:54
◼
►
work for a big company right out of school it's another reason to learn how to be a good worker is
01:48:58
◼
►
because some person that you work with is going to be at some new company and that's the way to get
01:49:02
◼
►
your foot in the door there you decide you don't like this company you want to go to a different one
01:49:05
◼
►
you get laid off whatever you're looking for another job you need that leg up it's it's it's who you
01:49:10
◼
►
know um and it's and it's what they think of you if they know you but hated your guts probably not
01:49:14
◼
►
going to hire you yeah maybe don't ask them for a reference all right also authority is taken not
01:49:18
◼
►
given all right thank you very much for listening everybody uh our sponsors this episode were
01:49:22
◼
►
squarespace and delete me and you can of course sponsor us directly by becoming a member thank
01:49:28
◼
►
you to our members as well one of the many perks of membership is atp overtime our weekly bonus topic
01:49:34
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this week in overtime we're gonna be talking about apple's newest app store changes for the eu
01:49:39
◼
►
if these are even still the current ones by the time this episode is released in a few days we'll find
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◼
►
out um you can hear us talk about that in overtime and many other member perks by joining us at
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►
atp.fm slash join thanks everybody and we'll talk to you next week
01:49:54
◼
►
now the show is over they didn't even mean to begin because it was accidental
01:50:03
◼
►
oh it was accidental
01:50:06
◼
►
john didn't do any research marco and casey wouldn't let him because it was accidental
01:50:14
◼
►
and you can find the show notes at atp.fm and if you're into mastodon you can follow them at c-a-s-e-y-l-i-s-s so
01:50:32
◼
►
That's Casey Liss, M-A-R-C-O-A-R-M-N-T-M-A-R-C-O-R-M-N-T-M-A-R-C-O-R-M-N-S-I-R-A-C-U-S-A-C-R-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C-U-S-A-C
01:51:02
◼
►
started paying for youtube so that his family won't see ads on youtube which is the thing that
01:51:06
◼
►
both marco and i recommended as a no-brainer thing that you should do because kids watch so much
01:51:11
◼
►
youtube and we don't want our kids to see ads and let's stop that from happening by paying a small
01:51:16
◼
►
amount of money per month it's well worth it to protect your children from ads casey has already
01:51:20
◼
►
exposed his children to too many ads so he's better better now than a better light than never
01:51:24
◼
►
but then during some conversation that you have like a mastodon i heard you say that you were you
01:51:30
◼
►
mentioned on the show you're like oh i started paying for like youtube light or something i
01:51:33
◼
►
don't know what the name of the product so i'm like well whatever he found the whatever thing
01:51:36
◼
►
that he could pay for that was uh gave him what he wanted and nothing else but someone was someone
01:51:41
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saying like how do you get your maybe your kids are still seeing ads maybe that's why declan didn't
01:51:46
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mention to you that he that he thanks you for getting rid of ads because he's still seeing ads
01:51:49
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because the thing you paid for is not a family plan but only allows one person one account to not see
01:51:56
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ads and your answer to this person was oh i just let declan use my account in youtube is this all
01:52:02
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correct so far yeah yeah yeah yeah i'm here to tell you not to do that okay why not i mean lots of
01:52:09
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reasons first of all you're being cheap but let's set that aside yes second of all your son is logged
01:52:16
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into your google account right now well no this is only on the shared apple tv but yes i mean strictly
01:52:22
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speaking that is correct that's not good he can read your gmail he can delete your google account
01:52:27
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he can read everything in your google drive he can't accomplish any of that on the shared apple tv
01:52:32
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can't accomplish kids are very clever second of all setting all of that aside do you want your son's
01:52:41
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videos and your video history mingling with each other i have long since given up on that and the
01:52:47
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recommendations affecting each other oh yeah my recommendations are trash i can tell you that
01:52:51
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pretty soon declan's not going to want you to see what he's looking at well that's also fair and then
01:52:56
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i'll have a different problem and then i'll probably have to spring for the family plan but for now
01:53:00
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i didn't want to pay for it at all but it became unbearable so i wanted to pay for the crappiest
01:53:05
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cheapest thing i could to get away with it and that's youtube premium light which is eight bucks a month
01:53:11
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and it gives you um you know an ad free experience with a couple of asterisks i will say that if you
01:53:17
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read because somebody else that reached out on maston was like or maybe it was email and said hey
01:53:21
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does this actually work because if you read their documentation about youtube premium light it sounds
01:53:27
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as though you're getting one fewer ad as opposed to no ads and uh i think the the real brass tax of it is
01:53:35
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is that for watching music videos or music things i believe i still do get subjected to ads but for
01:53:42
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pretty much anything else i don't or at least that seems to be what's going on so first of all you need
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to pay for the better one second of all you need to not let your son be logged into your google account
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is the keys to everything how long do you think it'll be before he figures out exactly how much power he
01:53:54
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has now that he can get like password reset emails to your account like this is this is just i'm not
01:54:00
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saying he's a bad person i'm saying kids and eventually teenagers this is an irresistible
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amount of power that you have given him and it's a bad idea i guess also he doesn't want all of your
01:54:12
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videos in his browsing history and recommendations yeah he's not going to want that pretty soon either
01:54:16
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i mean yeah that that time will come but it's not here yet and so i'll cross it when i get there
01:54:20
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don't let your kids log into your google account like it's your main account for all like your stuff
01:54:25
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well like it's because logged into youtube means logged into gmail which logs into google drive
01:54:30
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being logged he he could be in our show notes right now deleting everything
01:54:33
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that is true um well that's true asterisk again the only mechanism he has to do this is the apple tv
01:54:41
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and there's only but so much damage he can do on the apple tv you have you seen you you already haven't
01:54:45
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you detailed how kids get past all the things like marco has so kids get past all the thing on the
01:54:49
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chromebooks kids will find a way life will find a way casey they're like the dinosaurs in jurassic park
01:54:54
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you cannot give them this access i i understood the reference god damn it uh no i i i understand
01:54:59
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what you're saying also consider though that you are all in on google stuff and i am pretty much all
01:55:04
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out i do have a gmail account that i don't use isn't that where your casey list stuff is all no no
01:55:09
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remember i'm on fastmail baby oh wow right you have some protection but still it just it's this is not a
01:55:15
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good idea pay the extra seven dollars a month like give your whole family ad free youtube on their own
01:55:20
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accounts but there are no other accounts but mine at the moment there will come a time there will be
01:55:25
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there rapidly will be declan should probably already have one someone asked about this like oh they don't
01:55:29
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let you have a google account unless you're x years old or whatever if you have to lie about their age to
01:55:33
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give them an account you probably should but i think they're a kid account and if you can tell the truth
01:55:37
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about their age do so and then eventually their kid accounts will transition to adult accounts yeah my uh
01:55:42
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my son recently turned 23 according to google because he he uh he has a like because you know
01:55:51
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we had the same idea like when we first i got the youtube premium thing for the family you know years
01:55:55
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ago and i created the account for him with his actual birthday and actual age and then it's like oh
01:56:01
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he can't do anything on youtube because he's below 13 and so now he's actually legally above 13 but
01:56:08
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for for all those intervening years he like you know if i wanted him to have an ad for youtube
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experience i had to create a second child who didn't exist who was above 13 and have him log into
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that account it's it was a mess but i'm sure everybody does that yeah i mean i'm not necessarily
01:56:25
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arguing with anything that you're saying but i think the the priorities that your family have both your
01:56:32
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families have i suspect my family will get there but we aren't there today and when we get there
01:56:37
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i'll reevaluate but for now it's fine so when he's watching youtube on his ipad he's seeing it he doesn't
01:56:42
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have an ipad well he doesn't have any kind of computing device doesn't have a phone doesn't have an ipad
01:56:46
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he has he currently he has i forget which one it is but he has an old hand-me-down iphone for me that
01:56:53
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doesn't have any service so it only works where there's wi-fi which for him basically means it only
01:56:58
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works in the house and he doesn't watch youtube on that it's not installed on that it will come
01:57:02
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very soon oh i'm sure it will i again i'm not trying to say that you're wrong or that that that
01:57:09
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this isn't my future but it's just not something that happens now and honestly our house today again
01:57:15
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i know this will change i absolutely understand this will change but today i have a handful of channels i
01:57:22
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watch on youtube but not many and that's about it i don't ever typically just like let the algorithm
01:57:26
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wash over me i don't watch very much youtube declan will occasionally put on uh preston plays which is
01:57:33
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a minecraft youtuber that he absolutely adores oh yeah we we had a big preston phase over here
01:57:38
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uh but i mean he seems fairly innocuous um yeah it was fine does he shout all the time i mean i don't
01:57:46
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know but suffice to say that he'll you know dual screen playing minecraft on the switch as he's watching
01:57:51
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preston sort of in the background and also sometimes watching whatever uh michaela is
01:57:55
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doing on her um fire tablet thing um but uh right now erin never watches youtube pretty much ever so
01:58:04
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again it's it's not a priority for us today i cannot stress enough because i can hear the feedback emails
01:58:11
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flooding in i understand this is my future i get that but it's not my present well don't make this like
01:58:18
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the glass of water repositioning episode i i understand what you're saying it was a warning
01:58:24
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that was not relevant at the time but became relevant so very very similar
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Beep, beep, beep.