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The Talk Show

409: ‘The Dynamic Paradox’, With Nilay Patel

 

00:00:00   I don't know how many years in a row now you've been graciously appearing on this show,

00:00:03   sometime shortly after the iPhone event, and there are reviews and everything. And this year,

00:00:11   you kindly reached out, but we had the dilemma, like, what do we do about the Apple Intelligence

00:00:17   stuff, which I went ahead and reviewed and per Verge, totally reasonable guidelines, you reviewed

00:00:24   what's in the box. Yeah. And then after I published my review, and gave my full thoughts

00:00:33   on Apple Intelligence as it exists today, then a week ago in the developer beta, now it's in public

00:00:39   beta, but in 18.1, I was like, Oh, to hell with it. Just come on the show. Right? Yeah, I mean,

00:00:47   I read I read what you wrote. And your take seems to be, there's nothing here worth talking about

00:00:52   yet. And I well, I have played with this stuff. It's not Voldemort, like we can go look at it.

00:00:58   That's the rule isn't so hard and fast. It's just, we won't tell people whether to buy something

00:01:04   based on unshipping software, which I think is reasonable. And I agree with you, I think right

00:01:08   now the features that are coming are on the whole, like not a lot, right? It's like summaries and

00:01:15   some writing tool. It's stuff people have played with in apps, basically, but now in the operating

00:01:20   system. And for me, it often, sometimes I come up with ideas, and the idea sticks. And I'm like,

00:01:26   Oh, that's pretty good. And then all the way through writing the review, I get it.

00:01:30   I came up with my lead angle to compare adding a dedicated hardware button for the camera to the

00:01:38   old green, yellow hardware buttons for phones that the iPhone never had. And just strong idea loosely

00:01:45   held. I was like, Who knows, maybe I'll come up with a better lead. And no, I didn't. But I really

00:01:49   like it. And it was there. I kind of started thinking about it even before the event, because

00:01:55   the rumor that this hardware button would be there was there. But the Apple intelligence

00:02:00   thing was a perfect example of the sort of thing where I didn't really know what I thought until

00:02:09   I wrote it. I really did. It was the writing. That was the thinking. Like I was like, Okay,

00:02:14   Apple intelligence, what do I think? And I was like, it's funny, they're not nothing.

00:02:21   That's how I feel about the the photographic styles. Honestly, I, I wrote through it. And

00:02:25   then I thought, Oh, wait, I am convincing myself that I really like this. In a way that way,

00:02:30   which feature the tone control and the photographic? Ah, it was the same process for

00:02:34   me. I was writing and yeah, here's the stuff that I'm describing it. And then about halfway through,

00:02:39   I'm like, Oh, I really like this. I need to actually just come right out and say,

00:02:43   I really quite like this. I don't think you can say that about Apple intelligence yet.

00:02:49   There. It's almost there's not enough to react to.

00:02:52   Yeah, I really don't think it makes that big a difference that your review was like, look,

00:03:00   we're going to review 18.0. And my review was I'm just going to fully include the 18.1 experience.

00:03:06   It's just not that different. And I liked I never know what's going to resonate with the people who

00:03:11   read my review and which part they're going to quote or whatever. And doesn't seem like other

00:03:16   people really picked up on it. But maybe they did. And they just didn't retweet it in social

00:03:21   or whatever. But for me personally, I just really, really feel strongly about the observation that if

00:03:27   they had just Apple had just added these exact same features exactly as they are. But without

00:03:34   making this major marketing deal, both at WWDC and especially at the event last week, which is

00:03:44   different. I mean, it's really unusual for Craig Federighi to appear in an iPhone event, just

00:03:48   because the way Apple does their keynote. It's whoever's responsible for a thing who gets to be

00:03:55   in the event speaking about it. And the software stuff comes out at WWDC. And it's the hardware

00:04:00   stuff here. But because they wanted to talk about Apple intelligence, well, there's Craig Federighi

00:04:04   for 15 minutes. Yeah. And what do they make of that? If they hadn't done that, these features

00:04:11   would just be like, Oh, yeah, there's a bunch of little bullet point features on the Bento slide,

00:04:15   Bento box slide at the end of the iPhone segment. Yeah, those sound cool. Yeah.

00:04:19   Remember last year, they said that the keyboard autocorrect now had an LLM in it or something,

00:04:26   Transformers. And it really was just like a little bullet point. Like autocorrect is a little bit

00:04:30   better. Yeah. What I can't actually figure out, and maybe the answer is just Wall Street, but I

00:04:36   can't figure out why they are leaning so heavily into marketing features that don't exist on the

00:04:41   phone people is buying today. But do you say they lit up the cube in New York with the new Siri

00:04:47   lights and the people that the staff is outside, cheering Apple intelligence? And you say, Hey,

00:04:53   I say I truly what are we doing? Like, it's not there. Like, in the most direct way possible,

00:05:00   you are selling people a thing that is not there. And there's just something about I can't tell if

00:05:08   it's Apple, I can't tell if it's Wall Street, I can't tell if it there's nothing else to say.

00:05:12   If Apple itself can't come up with an angle on its own phone, aside from the software that isn't

00:05:19   shipping, like maybe we are just at the end of the phones, like that, like that was like, in the

00:05:25   middle of reviewing this phone, or how many of these phones have you read now 1516? Like, you

00:05:31   count all the this is the 18th generation, right? They've kind of they've kind of caught up numbering

00:05:37   wise by skipping there with all those years with the s generation where they lost incrementing the

00:05:44   integer. But I think it's more than that, because you get the you had the pros, and there's like a

00:05:48   five C, like, yeah, but I'd review a lot of iPhones along the way. And I was just like holding this

00:05:54   one. And I was like, I have, I could feed all of my old reviews in the chat. GPT like Joe has to

00:06:01   just spit out another review. And that is like, I think was one it was existential crisis. And but

00:06:09   then two is very freeing. Because I my response was fine. I'm just gonna write 4500 words on

00:06:15   photos, and call it a day. Like, here's the thing I care about the most. And I don't think anyone

00:06:20   else is going to do that. So here we go. Like, I'm just gonna, I'm just gonna be as indulgent as

00:06:24   possible. And that will be fun. But I wouldn't have been if the Apple intelligence features had

00:06:30   been there, I found myself asking the same question as you would, would it have radically

00:06:34   changed my experience with the phone, right? So all of my time, doing what other reviewers did,

00:06:39   and like, printing the responses, the writing tools gave in an attempt to value, I don't know

00:06:46   that I would have. Yeah, no, I actually think it made your review better. I mean, I it's not just

00:06:52   because you're my friend, and you're here on the show. But I always do enjoy your reviews, even

00:06:56   especially when we disagree about something, which is typically at the edges. I don't know that we've

00:07:02   ever fundamentally disagreed about a new iPhone. But I think it made your review better because

00:07:09   you got to focus on the actual stuff that really does differentiate the 16 pros from the regular

00:07:15   16s and previous generations of the pros, which is the new photographic styles, which are truly

00:07:22   interesting if you're a photo enthusiast to any degree and other camera related stuff,

00:07:30   like your absolutely excellent walkthrough of like Italian festival or some kind of festival

00:07:37   San Genaro festival in New York. It was great. It was so much fun. And we ate so much food.

00:07:41   It was a great but it was, but it was great and and made for a great share on social media.

00:07:50   Although our friends at thread still haven't figured out how to let video rotate.

00:07:54   No, I'm sure they're the technology is coming.

00:07:58   They can use their own open source AI model to rotate the pixels 90 degrees.

00:08:05   Yeah, I mean, that was fun. And like, it's, it's fun to put those things through their paces,

00:08:09   especially when I have a video team that is like excited to shoot and log and mess around

00:08:14   with this stuff. I feel like it saved you from wasting time, not on useless features,

00:08:18   but on focusing on the main features that that truly differentiate this year's 16 pro product.

00:08:25   Yeah, I mean, to be clear, one of the weirdness is of this generation. And I think you caught

00:08:31   none of this as well, which is the 16 on the spec sheet looks a lot like the 16 pro.

00:08:37   Yeah, it's actually figuring out what is different. What maybe the most common

00:08:41   question we got was this is you're going to buy a regular 16 because I like the colors.

00:08:45   And on the spec sheet, it seems the same. And maybe I'm not going to zoom my photos

00:08:48   so much. And what is really the difference? And then you look and you actually evaluate it. Oh,

00:08:53   there's there's actually quite a few differences here that the spec sheet is not showing you

00:08:58   like the sensor on the main camera is substantially better on the pro than a regular 16. If you care

00:09:05   about these video features, they are here on the pro. If the pro has the, the different focal

00:09:11   lengths, the fusion camera, so it has 24 and 35 and 28, I think in the middle, and then that's up

00:09:16   to two x zoom. Maybe you care about these things. Maybe you don't, but they are substantially

00:09:21   different on the pro than on the other phone. And then I think what's really interesting

00:09:27   is the pro max, if you like the big phone is like, it's starting to get too big. So the plus is

00:09:33   actually a much more manageable size in its way. And so you're, you're just like, you're thinking

00:09:38   about all these trade offs that are on the fine edge of like, what kind of iPhone do I want? Not

00:09:42   is this the next greatest iPhone? It's more like here's Apple suite of features. They are expressed

00:09:49   in these phones. And now we can evaluate the sort of cultural object they are instead of

00:09:54   is this the reason to buy a new one? Cause I can't, especially at 15, there's no reason to

00:10:00   buy a new one, like none. And if you have an older one, it's the argument is still quite hard. And

00:10:06   like, really it's your carrier will probably upgrade you for you or you're in the iPhone

00:10:10   upgrade program or something. But I don't know. A lot of our readers are just like paying cash for

00:10:15   a new phone every two years. They're just sort of on the ride. And that, that, I think that really

00:10:20   changes the calculus, how you review the phones. Yeah. The, the trade in value and Apple's official

00:10:26   trade in program, which I know probably doesn't give anybody the most money that they could

00:10:32   possibly get, but certainly gives them the easiest trade in experience. But it, it does keep the,

00:10:41   well, maybe I won't upgrade every year, but every other year impulse going longer than it would

00:10:48   without it, because it significantly reduces what you have to trade in your, the amount of money out

00:10:55   of pocket. Oh yeah. But like AT&T is sending me like flyers every day being like, do it,

00:11:00   and I think most people are, they're just paying a fee anyway. It's like leasing a car at this

00:11:06   point. And it's like every, I got a new Corolla, like here, here's the next one. Like it's just

00:11:10   going to, yeah, I noted. And I noticed that in all of the, cause the other weird thing about our,

00:11:16   you're in my September, September schedule, at least for me, I don't know, but like I definitely

00:11:23   missed the first week of NFL football. Cause that that Sunday was the day before the event. And I

00:11:28   was flying out to California and I was thinking maybe I'd try to watch some games on the flight,

00:11:34   but I just sort of slept instead. And then the next weekend I was too busy working, trying to

00:11:39   test the phone. So I didn't re so lat yesterday was as we recorded is Monday, September 23,

00:11:46   yesterday was the first week. Three of the NFL season was the first week I

00:11:50   sat there and watched football all day. Heartbreaker for a Cowboys fan.

00:11:54   Well, I, if you're going to lose a heartbreaker though, I guess the best way to lose it is to

00:12:01   be getting absolutely embarrassed for three plus quarters and then come raging back. And the funny

00:12:08   part as an aside is Brady was announcing the game on Fox. And at some point in the third quarter,

00:12:15   while it was, I think 28 to six with the Cowboys behind, they've showed a picture. And I don't know

00:12:20   why this guy wore the t-shirt, but there's a guy in AT&T stadium outside Dallas wearing a t-shirt

00:12:28   that says Atlanta 28, New England three. And it's a reference to that Superbowl comeback. And Brady

00:12:39   spoke about it a little in his mindset, leading a comeback, but why would I don't even know who

00:12:44   this guy was rooting for in the game, whether he was rooting for Dallas or rooting for Baltimore,

00:12:49   what made him wear that t-shirt, but he got more time on Fox.

00:12:54   I it's the tag at the end of our video, I've watched a Packers game in our video studio every

00:13:02   year for however many years, like shooting the iPhone review. I'm just like, I'm going to be here

00:13:07   watching some football. And it's like the video team is like, are you watching the game?

00:13:12   Like they were used to it. You have that early September schedule. And then for me,

00:13:16   it's always CS comes and I end up watching a playoff game in Las Vegas. And that is always,

00:13:22   that has always been sort of the arc of the NFL season for me.

00:13:25   But the thing that deja vu, they came back to me yesterday. And my reason for this whole aside

00:13:29   is I had also, I was thinking was, oh, it'll be nice to have like a regular Sunday and just watch

00:13:35   football and hopefully my Cowboys win. Well, that didn't work out, but the rest of the day was fun.

00:13:41   Well, I forgot how much these mid September football games are just dominated by iPhone

00:13:48   commercials. Just cause I, I don't watch many commercials in general. Cause most of the TV I

00:13:52   watch is on Apple TV and doesn't have commercials and sports are the one thing where I'm watching

00:13:57   live. And so I see the commercials like traditional and it's just iPhone, iPhone, iPhone, iPhone from

00:14:04   T-Mobile, iPhone from AT&T, iPhone from Apple. It's iPhone, iPhone, iPhone. Have you heard about

00:14:11   the iPhone 16? I think one of the reasons that the phone is out ahead of the software is because if

00:14:19   you just like ruin the GDP of America, if you knock the iPhone off its cadence, like if, if

00:14:27   Apple doesn't hit its Q4 and AT&T doesn't hit its Q4 and T-Mobile and Verizon and everybody

00:14:32   else doesn't hit their Q4 and then like all the case makers of America don't get to sell all their

00:14:36   cases. Like you're just like, okay, like we we've scooted the GDP of America off by a couple of

00:14:42   weeks and that's not good for anybody. Like we can't actually do this. And I think that there's,

00:14:49   you know, it's, I try very hard not to think of Wall Street or the fact that Apple is a company

00:14:56   that often acts more like a state than the company. There's a famous Walt Mossberg quote

00:15:01   from profile fit in Wired magazine from ages ago where the CEO of like Sirius XM is like screaming

00:15:07   at him that he ruined his stock price. And while at CES and Walt's like, I don't give a fuck about

00:15:12   your stock price. And I, that's it. That's if I learned one lesson from Walt, it's I don't give a

00:15:16   fuck about your stock price. I learned a lot of lessons from Walt, but that's at the top of my

00:15:19   list. And sometimes you're like, oh, this actually explains why the phone is out many weeks before

00:15:27   it's software. Because they probably wanted it all to happen at the same time. And the software

00:15:32   isn't ready. But if you don't ship the iPhone on time, a lot of there's just the firefighters

00:15:39   pension fund doesn't do as well for the year. And you have to keep that in mind.

00:15:43   Yeah. And there's always certain years there are hardware hiccups. I mean, in putting 2020 in a

00:15:49   category of its own, it's it's small miracle that the iPhones shipped as close to on regular

00:15:55   schedule in 2020 as they did. But every once in a while, there's something like a certain model

00:16:01   that the I don't I don't remember the exact years, but you know, the iPhone eight plus is going to

00:16:09   ship in October. And the other one came out in the end of September. But for the most part, yeah,

00:16:16   this is like, and I've talked about it on this show, Apple, their culture is that that's partly

00:16:23   what puts the emphasis on Apple intelligence in their marketing. What makes it even more

00:16:28   just curious, is it's a company that famously does not like to talk about the future.

00:16:35   Yeah. Right. And like I've say, like, if you asked JAWS on the record, at like, in my on stage

00:16:44   interview after WWDC, is there going to be a September iPhone event? He would not answer?

00:16:50   I know he wouldn't. There's no point asking the question. I don't know what JAWS ism,

00:16:55   he would come up with, he'd make an instant joke, but he's absolutely would not commit to it that

00:17:00   and that's Apple's way. But yet, here they are talking about these features that definitely,

00:17:05   definitely aren't coming until October. And even the ones they are shipping.

00:17:09   I again, it's in it's in your write up. And we'll certainly when they do ship,

00:17:14   we'll write about them. They're just not reasons to upgrade to a new iPhone.

00:17:18   No, like at all. And then the ones that would be like the agentic Siri that can go take actions in

00:17:25   the apps on your phone. I don't think that stuff is going to ship until well into next year.

00:17:30   Yeah. And Gherman is saying something like that. But I don't even think you need Gherman's

00:17:34   two cents with whatever info he's getting from his sources. I think just sort of being used to

00:17:42   the cadence of Apple's beta operating systems, those features feel like they're way out like 18.4,

00:17:51   which just the usual schedule for this year's integer point four is like March or April.

00:17:57   But I think it's even farther than that, like that the the promise of all these AI features

00:18:02   is not we're going to do a bunch of summaries or generate images for you. It's you're going to speak

00:18:09   to your phone in natural language, and it's going to do stuff for you. And then it will talk to you

00:18:13   in natural language. So I just yell like, I need to order a sandwich. And then the phone will go

00:18:18   and do it. And then let me know when the sandwich will arrive. And that is not just a technical

00:18:25   problem, even though it is one of the most challenging technical problems to exist.

00:18:30   It is also just a set of interlocking business and regulatory problems like sometime between now and

00:18:38   whenever that ships, California might pass an AI safety bill that Apple will have to like prove

00:18:45   that it's not going to break everything. It's not going to destroy the world by letting me tell Siri

00:18:49   to order me a sandwich. Apple's got to get outdoor dash or seamless or grubhub or any of those apps to

00:18:56   plug into the Siri system, which those companies don't really want to do, because all the other

00:19:01   companies are trying to do that. It's got to get all of the app makers on the iPhone to plug into

00:19:06   a Siri that can then control their apps for them. That's not March. That might be next September,

00:19:14   where we're demoing the full promise of Apple intelligence, which is you just talk to the phone

00:19:20   and does stuff for you. Yeah. And my take coming out of, I don't know how many days out of WWD,

00:19:26   but I wrote it in June, so shortly out of WWDC. And I stand by it now in the middle of September

00:19:32   is this whole thing feels like if there weren't this industry wide hype cycle, both on the tech

00:19:41   side and the Wall Street side of the industry, this whole thing feels like it ought to be next

00:19:47   year's WWDC tent pole. Okay, now we're going to talk about this. And that would be more like the

00:19:55   normal pace of Apple. For as much griping Apple's behind on AI, Apple has no story about modern AI,

00:20:05   there was. When those things start happening, they typically last longer than eight months.

00:20:11   They're closer to two years before Apple says, "Oh, and now we've reinvented blank by blank,"

00:20:17   which is the thing for two years everybody has been saying they're behind on. That's the way

00:20:21   the company operates. And they just using the features they're already exposing in 18.1,

00:20:29   which are fine, but they're kind of rough. I mean, for example, I plugged my whole 7,000 plus word

00:20:40   review into Apple Notes at the end after I was done copy editing it, put the whole thing in and

00:20:47   told Apple Intelligence to proofread it. It took forever. It was, well, I mean, forever

00:20:53   by my judgment of how long that feature should take, which was like, I think I said like two

00:20:59   minutes or something. But the worst part about taking two minutes was that it didn't show any

00:21:05   kind of progress dialogue. It just sort of showed a little bit of a wavy modern Apple Intelligence

00:21:15   waviness animation to the text as it was applying temporarily its proofreading suggestions.

00:21:22   But there was no sort of progress bar or estimate of how long it would take. And two minutes is just

00:21:28   I know 7,000 words is significantly longer than most works of writing that people are going to

00:21:35   want to proofread. But I don't think it's a ridiculous amount. I think lots and lots of people

00:21:40   have jobs where they write 1520 page reports as part of their work, and they would like to

00:21:45   proofread them. And you know, if that was happening on your phone, or if it was going to Apple's

00:21:49   private cloud? I don't know. I really don't know. And I thought about that question. And then I

00:21:54   thought, it is already 1415 hours behind the embargo. I am not going to even broach that

00:22:00   subject. But and I don't think Apple wants to talk about it ever. I think because they want to always

00:22:06   maintain the flexibility to change what is on device and leaves, but I can't help but think

00:22:12   it was on device, which is why it was so slow. That's my feeling is in this early period,

00:22:17   all this stuff is on device right now. They told me that the servers are ready, and they're ready

00:22:22   to go. And the audits are taking place, and they'll release the stuff when the audits are ready. And

00:22:26   but right now, it feels like everything is local, because it's just the safest move.

00:22:32   And you have to scale up to sending things out. So things like, even like Genmoji is local.

00:22:37   Right? I think so too, like a lot of stuff is local, and we just don't know.

00:22:42   Yeah. And, well, I don't know about the full images that the image what they call image

00:22:49   playground is going to be the name of the app. I don't know about that. Because that seems like

00:22:53   this. But again, I almost admire the way that Apple says you as a user, you don't need to

00:22:58   care which is on device and which is not I mean, but maybe you kind of do if you're going to be

00:23:03   using it all the time you want to know, is it killing my device battery, but I can't imagine

00:23:08   like which of these features is somebody going to be using so much, even if it is on device that

00:23:13   it's going to kill their device battery? How many Genmoji are you going to create in a day?

00:23:17   It's not that to me that question I have, did you have good battery life in your 15 Pro, my 15 Pro,

00:23:22   the battery degraded so fast. To me, the question is, all right, if you're running a bunch of

00:23:27   AI summaries of email and text in the background, and at any moment while I'm texting, I can just

00:23:33   have it fire out a nicer version of what I'm doing. I'm going to end up like using more

00:23:39   processing power, right? Like the just the latent amount of background processing power just to do

00:23:44   the notification summaries is going to go up a little bit. And if is that going to hurt my

00:23:50   already degraded battery? And that to me was okay, maybe this is the reason I should buy a new phone.

00:23:55   And that does not rise at all to a reason to buy a new phone. That's I should get a new battery in

00:24:00   my phone. And I this is what I mean, like, particularly if you have a 15 Pro. Unless you are

00:24:07   like me, so frustrated with HDR photography, there's just no reason to buy the 16 Pro,

00:24:14   even accounting for Apple intelligence. And if you have a regular 15 or 14, that doesn't have enough

00:24:19   Ramder on Apple intelligence. It seems like the only right answer is you ought to wait until this

00:24:25   offer actually ships or enough of it ships that it's worth it. Because then you will. And that

00:24:31   might be into next year. And then you're probably gonna get a better deal. So yeah, that to me felt

00:24:37   very challenging. Yeah. And I also think that if you're going to wait for a signal, at least

00:24:48   even just a majority of the promised features already for Apple intelligence to be available

00:24:55   in some form, even in like public beta sometime next year, say March, April, which I think might

00:25:01   be like you said, might be optimistic for all of that. At that point, you're halfway through the

00:25:07   hardware cycle. And so you might as well wait for the iPhone 17. If that's really if you think that

00:25:15   these AI features are really going to be the deciding yes, this this is now a device that is

00:25:20   worth upgrading to me. Because I also think it is much more likely that the iPhone 17 models will

00:25:28   actually have been hardware engineered with these generative AI needs in mind than these even though

00:25:36   Apple keeps reiterating and almost ad nauseum that this these are the first iPhones built from the

00:25:43   ground up for Apple intelligence, which knowing Apple's hardware cycle really doesn't make sense

00:25:49   to me. Not really. I noticed AI last year, like this phone has been on the drawing board for at

00:25:55   least two if not three years given their cycles. So I truly do not believe that. I think if you're

00:26:01   going to spend the money if you feel like what I need to do now is spend money, which I understand

00:26:05   is an instinct. I feel this all the time. This is how I manage. I feel it all the time. Right.

00:26:09   And I write, I don't have like a my emotional the way I manage my emotions, I just buy technology,

00:26:16   you should spend 20 bucks a month on chat chippy tea or clod, which is by all accounts better or

00:26:21   rotate through them one a month for the next six months. Just like screw around with all of these

00:26:27   tools. Because then when you're like, Okay, do I want Apple intelligence, you'll be able to

00:26:33   evaluate it. And you won't you don't need a new phone for all of those tools around the cloud.

00:26:37   And they've got all kinds of weird privacy problems and all the rest of it. But you don't

00:26:41   have to give up. You're not locking yourself into literally one AI ecosystem with all that cash here.

00:26:47   You're just trying a bunch of things out. I think not enough people, especially in the world of

00:26:53   consumers have tried enough things to know what they prefer. And I think that's what Apple is

00:26:57   really betting on here, right? Everyone trusts Apple to make a good decision. They have a massive

00:27:02   distribution advantage because they have the phone and iOS and all this other stuff. And they'll do a

00:27:06   good job. And then the win. And you can see that that is part of the thinking, at least across the

00:27:12   board. That's part of the thinking. But there's no reason to rush into buying their hardware to run

00:27:17   their software and the software isn't available yet. Yeah. And it just comes back to why they

00:27:22   marketing it so hard. I mean, I wrote about it, it just, it's, I don't know if it's worrisome,

00:27:29   but maybe it is a little I don't know. And if it's really about Wall Street, then that's outside my

00:27:35   expertise. And I don't know, maybe they've determined that without not just announcing

00:27:41   these features at WWDC, but actually promoting them as the, as they say, the design for the ground up

00:27:49   feature that the phone support, that the stock would take a significant hit because investors

00:27:55   would judge that the company is missing out on this new thing. But I just don't see that as,

00:28:04   to me, the strength of Apple's marketing across all of their products has always been that it's

00:28:09   especially at its best. It's fundamentally true. And I know that drives some justifiably skeptical

00:28:17   people out there who just think, ah, corporate marketing and the better some company is at

00:28:21   quote unquote marketing, the more you have to be skeptical of them. I agree, be skeptical.

00:28:26   But if you really look at the track record, the things Apple tends to promote

00:28:31   for decades tend to be true. And here is this whole thing that to me just does not ring true.

00:28:37   It does not ring true that the hardware is designed from the ground up for this

00:28:41   family of software features. And on the other side, the software features as we've seen them

00:28:48   and the ones that are even forthcoming, even if all of them ship as promised by March or April,

00:28:54   I just don't see it as all that groundbreaking. And I don't see any of them as unique to Apple.

00:29:01   The one area that would be unique to Apple would be that highlighted at WWDC by the example of some

00:29:09   woman asking Siri, "Hey, what time does my mom's flight get here?" And it requires Siri to parse

00:29:16   all of that. Who is her mother? Where, you know, oh, look at the context of all of the iMessages

00:29:25   she sent to her mother, the emails between them. Maybe her mom forwarded her flight info so it's

00:29:31   not from her mom. It's from American Airlines or something. And that Siri will just figure it out

00:29:37   and say she gets to SFO at four o'clock on Thursday. Yeah. I mean, but this is a dream,

00:29:43   right? Like the big, big dream. And we've had Satya Nadella in decoder, and I've talked to

00:29:50   Sundar Pichai in decoder, and they will all tell you that AI is a platform shift. And you're like,

00:29:55   what on earth does that mean? Like, what does that mean? And what they mean very specifically

00:30:01   is this is a new input method and new input methods to computers typically result in new

00:30:08   application models. And we all get to build new kinds of computers, right? Like, broadly, this is

00:30:13   what they mean. This is what Microsoft in particular means. Like, you're just going to talk

00:30:17   to the computer, and a bunch of stuff is going to happen on Azure, and we're going to collect our

00:30:20   money. And that's the future of computers. And it doesn't really matter to them if it's open AI or

00:30:25   if it's dang or whatever, because it all going to run on Azure in the end. But if you see that,

00:30:30   if you're Apple, like, okay, the big companies are aligned around the idea that there's a platform

00:30:34   shift. And the platform shift is we went from mice and keyboards to click wheels, to touch screens,

00:30:39   to don't forget the digital crown, the most important input device in Apple's history.

00:30:43   And now it's going to be natural language, which everyone has been chasing forever.

00:30:46   And so you can just say, what time is my mom's plane land? And the computer will figure it out.

00:30:51   You better be on it. Like, you had better be on it. You're going to miss it because they're

00:30:55   all chasing it. But actually, like, look at it. Like, an LLM can just get you the first part.

00:31:00   It can just understand the thing that is being said. All of the rest of it is still fantasy,

00:31:06   right? And this is the problem with humane. And the problem with rabbit companies is they could

00:31:11   very convincingly fake the first part where some little device can just understand what you said

00:31:16   and then talk to a cloud server somewhere. Then what? And maybe Google will figure it out because

00:31:21   Google has a lot of information. Maybe Microsoft figure out because they have Azure and they have

00:31:24   all these resources and they have open AI. Maybe Apple can figure out because it's their computer

00:31:29   at the end of the day. Everyone is talking to all of these services through an iPhone, mostly.

00:31:34   And on desktop, it's all happening through a web browser. So we're not touching anyone's

00:31:36   applications models at all, except the browser. Well, you might be able to win,

00:31:41   but you still have that same problem of, boy, I hope your mom sent you all that information

00:31:46   inside of Apple mail and messages. Right? Right. Boy, I hope American Airlines is not

00:31:52   sending like a plain text JPEGs or JPEGs flow of text that the system can't read. Like you

00:32:00   just have, you just have these like series of complicated problems besides natural language

00:32:05   input. And you talk to more app developers than I do, but like the Apple and developer relationship

00:32:12   is not great lately. And kind of the end of this road is what if we commoditize all of your apps?

00:32:20   Like what if all of your apps are just sort of like service providers to Siri that the

00:32:24   customer never sees? And I, you got, you got to do a lot of work to get all the way there,

00:32:30   but that's like the final turn of the screw. And no one who's ever tried to pull that off has ever

00:32:34   pulled that off. Like windows phone didn't work. And that was like the idea of live title,

00:32:39   windows phone, right? Apple has tried to do app clips for years and it just like doesn't work.

00:32:43   Like everyone's like, I want you to have my whole app and I want to put my monetization in front of

00:32:46   you and I want to own my customer experience. And now you're like, here's, what's going to happen.

00:32:50   So I'm going to talk to Siri and they're never going to see your app. They will never know you

00:32:53   exist. And then we will tell them what you did. And that's a big, that's such a big idea that,

00:32:58   yes, it's a platform shift, but you can't just like light up the cube and be like, it's here.

00:33:03   You have to do it. Well, the only thing I will say in their defense in defense of their marketing of

00:33:11   the Apple intelligence features in advance is that the cube, I wasn't there in person,

00:33:15   but it apparently did look very cool. Yeah, no, it looked awesome. Like every picture I saw of it,

00:33:20   I was like, man, if this, if that, if the promise is being delivered, this would be the sickest

00:33:24   market. Maybe that's the explanation, right? Wouldn't it be funny if Tim Cook was like,

00:33:29   ah, the hell with wall street, we're going to do the right thing. I don't think we should promote

00:33:32   this stuff. And it's like, I don't know, whoever's team put, put behind this lighting plan for the

00:33:36   cube on fifth avenue was like, yeah, but look at these renders. And they're like, oh yeah,

00:33:41   great deal on leds. We got to do this. Yeah. All right, let me take a break here and thank our

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00:34:54   or experienced tip top as a shopper at partners like nothing tech daylight, cradle wise and king

00:35:00   of Christmas. And if you're thinking that tip top rings a bell, you might recall that after leaving

00:35:05   tech crunch last year, friend of the show, Matthew Panzerino joined tip top. And we talked about tip

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00:35:21   learn more or whether you're a merchant looking to possibly integrate it with your checkout

00:35:26   tip top.com. I missed Panzerino at the event. Yeah. It's funny. Do you get the same feeling

00:35:34   that Apple had turned over the invite list and it was a lot of younger and successful YouTubers and

00:35:41   tech talkers? I don't mean to denigrate them. No, there was just a moment where I was like,

00:35:45   Oh, there's a bunch of kids here. You talked to it. I talked about it with a few of our

00:35:50   middle aged peers. Like I think that's the way it goes. And I wouldn't be surprised.

00:35:56   Well, I don't think I think the difference like when I was up and coming, I've told this story

00:36:03   before. I remember, I think it was a WWDC. It might have been a Macworld Expo, but it was

00:36:12   probably WWDC. It was at Moscone West. And it was the first time that I had a, maybe not the first

00:36:21   time I had a press media badge, but it was the first time I was scheduled for a post keynote

00:36:27   briefing. And so I got to the, there's always like a little green room area, but there at Moscone,

00:36:32   it was just like a bunch of tables behind a curtain. And I just felt out of place. I

00:36:39   didn't know who, and I was like, Oh, there's Holy shit. There's Walt Mossberg sitting at a table

00:36:43   and Walt. And I said, hello. And he knew who I was. He had very kind things to say about

00:36:48   Daring Fireball made me feel so welcome. And I'll never forget that. And now I know that I'm sort of

00:36:57   at that position where there might be new people in the media who see me somewhere. And I try to

00:37:03   be as gracious as Walt, half as gracious as Walt was to me at the time. But I totally see that

00:37:11   though, like so many of the people who I consider of my peer group have just dropped out of the

00:37:16   game. Yeah. Well, I mean, and there are the public hate that the spectrum of publications and the

00:37:21   audiences they reach is radically different, right? There just aren't as many type publications as

00:37:28   there were. I, I still pride myself on getting the first great hands-on photo out. I'm always posting

00:37:35   like old man still got it. And Walt made fun of me. He's like, what are you talking about? I was

00:37:37   like, I, I I'm, I got 20 years in some of these, but then I had said, I was like, I now know what

00:37:45   it was like when I was around. He started laughing at me. Cause I was that kid and I appreciate it.

00:37:50   So whatever it's a circle of life, but the thing that gets me about it is they're all kind of solo

00:37:56   YouTubers and TikTokers. And you can just see like, they're, they're kind of on rails, right?

00:38:02   And again, I'm not, that's just the, the sort of media economy that they're in, whatever, but the,

00:38:08   the there's, there's something about it. I see across the whole tech media landscape,

00:38:15   where there's, there's just something happening here. I'll give you my conspiracy theory. All

00:38:20   the there's all the discourse about the camera button and what we'll case makers do. And it's

00:38:26   like, well, all the YouTubers are sponsored by case me, right? There's, there's, there's that

00:38:31   weird sort of like flattening and where I think TikTok and YouTube are kind of insular media

00:38:37   economies. Like there's a lot of people talking themselves inside of one algorithm. And I,

00:38:41   you kind of watched, I watched all of the stuff that came out of the event.

00:38:44   And I was like, a lot of this looks the same. A lot of this feels the same. A lot of this feels

00:38:47   very controlled. And I'm, I'm glad Apple still gives us the access and we have a different set

00:38:52   of review rules than other people. This is a real thing. Like they can't tell us what to do. They

00:38:58   can't tell me what to do. They certainly can't tell you. I know what to do. Good luck because

00:39:03   we are precious and now we're old and now we're arrogant, all of it. And I, there's something

00:39:07   happening at these events that I can feel the change. I mean, I don't think it's just age.

00:39:12   I think there's a different kind of media being made and Apple is reacting to it. All the big

00:39:16   companies are reacting to it. I talked to a bunch of folks about it, but it has definitely changed

00:39:21   the tenor of the event. Yeah, I think that the difference is that when our web generation was

00:39:30   coming up and it was really just that we were, there were so many more of us than there were

00:39:38   figures like Mossberg and Pogue and Ed Beg who I saw he's still writing. He's just not at USA Today

00:39:45   anymore. And Steven Levy, those were the four, the only four people who got the original iPhone to

00:39:52   review in advance. Steven Levy at Wired, Ed Beg at USA Today, Pogue at the Times and Walt, of course,

00:39:59   at the Wall Street Journal at the time. And with the web, there just became more of us,

00:40:04   but we were trying to do what they did at their best, which is write comprehensive, fair, balanced,

00:40:11   informative reviews for our readers. And we could do things they couldn't do because we have

00:40:16   the unlimited space of the web as compared to the very constrained physical space of ink on a

00:40:23   newspaper page. But we were trying to do what they did, I think, fundamentally. And

00:40:29   the YouTube and especially TikTok generation of creators, they're just playing an entirely

00:40:38   different game. It's just so different. It doesn't really, I don't feel threatened. I

00:40:44   feel a little old, but it's like you're not even trying to do what I'm doing. I mean,

00:40:51   and anybody who has, and many of them surely reach literally millions more people than I'm

00:40:58   ever going to reach. But the people who want to read the sort of thing I write aren't watching

00:41:04   TikTok reviews published 20 minutes after the keynote ended on keynote day.

00:41:09   I don't know about that. I think people, that stuff serves a purpose. And again,

00:41:14   They are watching it, but they're not watching it intently. They're just watching.

00:41:20   Yeah, it just washes over you in the algorithm. Yeah. And the thing I agree through that no one's

00:41:24   playing the same game and we are, The Verge is very much modeled on traditional magazines. Like

00:41:31   we, our competitor is wired. Like that's what it is. Our ethics policy is actually just boosted

00:41:38   from Walton Kara's ethics policy. I don't know if that's ethical to steal an ethics policy,

00:41:41   but that's what we did in 2011. And then it's grown over time. So we exist in the ecosystem

00:41:47   of like traditional print journalism. And we are very annoying about all of it. And I look at that

00:41:53   media ecosystem and it didn't have those things. It grew up de novo. Like it just,

00:41:58   it's weird to me that as many YouTubers and TikTokers talk openly about the companies that

00:42:03   sponsor them and take the junkets. And even down to, if you look at the number of tech executives

00:42:09   who appear on sort of like YouTube or podcasts, I know for a fact, many of them submit their

00:42:15   questions for approval beforehand, which we would never do. And there's just that back and forth

00:42:19   there where it's just a much more commercial space. And everyone talks about it as content

00:42:25   and not journalism. I'm like, that's fine. Like I truly think it's fine. We make a different product.

00:42:31   I think our product has a place in the ecosystem. I think a lot of people sort of rely on us to make

00:42:36   that product. And I take that very seriously, but you see the tenor of the end is changing

00:42:41   as that ecosystem becomes more ascendant. It obviously has more people and as more people

00:42:47   assume that that is the default. Right. And that sort of flipped to that as the default, as opposed

00:42:51   to fancy print journalism is the default is really interesting across the board in media.

00:42:57   And then you kind of see how the big tech companies, Apple included, are engaging with it.

00:43:02   So Tim Cook is giving pretty tightly controlled interviews to YouTubers with pretty small

00:43:06   audiences. And they won't put him in front of the Times or the Journal or what us or whatever it is.

00:43:13   Mark Zuckerberg is he loves the interviews like MMA stars that like, there's just a whole other

00:43:17   thing happening. It is truly fascinating to look at from the outside, but was actually at his most

00:43:24   revealing, I think, in any interview in the one he just did. So yeah, you can take it all in. It's

00:43:31   just, I think we were the upstarts. We were the ones like the virtual stuff. And gadget, they

00:43:37   would complain about us because we were the bloggers. Right. And so the idea that this is

00:43:40   bloggers versus journalism. I'm like, why was the other I was on the other side of that equation.

00:43:44   And there is one thing here that's very different, which is the media that's been created is

00:43:50   inherently more commercial to begin with. Yeah, right. And yeah, that I think that's a change.

00:43:56   Yeah. And it's almost it was, it's funny, I never really thought about this. But it was

00:44:05   in the early years of daring fireball, the bane of my existence that I had this over,

00:44:12   I mean, compulsive need to figure out a way to turn it into my career.

00:44:17   But it was a medium that was not just not commercial, it was like anti commercial.

00:44:23   And like, when ads on blogs first became a thing, it, people had a knee jerk reaction against it.

00:44:32   And I get it, I got it at the time. And I mean, and I've tried for 20 years now to keep my

00:44:40   advertising to something that I think is palatable to consume, even if it's at the expense of how

00:44:48   much revenue it generates. But it just adds at all, there was sort of a no, no, that's electric

00:44:55   for blogs, right? And it feels Yeah, it feels like you're talking about something a long time

00:44:59   ago there, Gruber. But it was the way that the medium evolved that it was like, I don't know,

00:45:08   when blogging started adding commercial, which was ads, not subscriptions at that time, it was like,

00:45:16   getting into the ocean when the water's too cold. It's like you go an inch further,

00:45:21   an inch further. No, I'm getting back out. It wasn't like dive right in. Whereas this

00:45:26   modern video social media was like dive right in its commercial from the day one. Yeah, right. It

00:45:35   was it was part and parcel of the message and the and it's not even it certainly isn't probably is

00:45:43   actually even less on the tech side of that as opposed to the lifestyle side of social media,

00:45:51   where it's almost indistinguishable. It's it's so partner and junket and free stuff heavy.

00:45:59   Oh, I'm writing a piece. I'm writing a piece for this. So I'll keep it all away. But I'm writing

00:46:02   a piece for this. And I'm going to interview. I shouldn't say it because it's not complete. All

00:46:06   right. But writing piece. And I'm going to I'll just say I'm writing a piece of this. And I'm

00:46:10   interviewing the CEO of one of the big ad agencies on stage for an ad week conference in October. And

00:46:15   so I've been doing all this reporting. And in the advertising world, it's like chaos. Like you think

00:46:22   the media world is chaos because of social media. Sure. But like, traditional media, like basically

00:46:27   sucks at making money. And like mostly complaints. Like the ad agencies are really good at making

00:46:33   money. And they run pretty cutthroat businesses. And they know they have to deliver value and they

00:46:36   have to make money. And they are responding to this as aggressively as any other industry

00:46:41   would ever respond to any sort of perceived external threat. So you look at in lifestyle,

00:46:46   there's the idea that small lifestyle companies or fashion companies like they won't hire ad agencies,

00:46:51   they'll just hire a creator to be their outbound marketing. And that's how they get customers.

00:46:56   And so the ad agencies like that, we can't do that. And they're spending billions of dollars

00:47:02   in total, buying influencer marketing agencies to have these relationships. And then they're

00:47:07   offering things like, you tell us who you want. And our AI system will go out to our network of

00:47:13   300 million influencers, figure out who has the audience you want, generate creative and give it

00:47:19   to them. And that's just crazy. Like, that's just like fully if you just like, take one step back,

00:47:25   you're like, this is getting a little nuts. Right? We're just like programming hundreds of millions

00:47:30   of influencers around the world to talk about whatever car company pays up paid us the money

00:47:35   today. And that's where that whole industry is going. And they're not shy about it. Right? Like

00:47:40   publicist, the one of the biggest ad holding companies world just spent $500 million on an

00:47:46   influencer marketing company, like one of its biggest acquisitions, and all of them are excited

00:47:50   about it. Mark Penn. Remember, he had scruggled. He was like a Clinton advisor. He went Oh, yeah.

00:47:56   Yeah. He has a new mark pen, the mark pen. He's like, in the last 10 months, he's bought like,

00:48:02   four of these companies. Like, it's just, and that's, you know, I don't think anyone wants me

00:48:08   to talk show to talk about the industry. But you, you just kind of look at that world. And you're

00:48:12   like, there's something else going on here. And it's super fascinating. And all of it is built on

00:48:19   the back of the iPhone camera, and like distributing iPhone videos. And so like, Apple invites the

00:48:24   creators to their events, and they are like, super into it. Because this is in many ways, the future

00:48:29   of their own content creation. And like, I was batting around ideas about angles for the review

00:48:34   of Joanna. And she's like, in many ways, this is like the creator phone, like the pro phone has

00:48:39   all these moves for creators. Because this is the market for this phone, because they're the future

00:48:43   of the media in this specific way. I think the other thing that really hit me watching,

00:48:50   you know, and that's part of it is that sometimes I'm just as interested in the people as I am the

00:48:59   technology. And part of part of it's really mainly the privilege of being on somewhere near the top

00:49:06   list of media people after the iPhone event. And I, I already know I have a briefing schedule.

00:49:12   And then they, you know, sometime during the event, you get an email that tells you what they are.

00:49:16   And I could see I am getting a briefing about the watch. I'm getting a briefing about AirPods,

00:49:20   I've got a briefing, obviously about the iPhone. And I know I'm going to get to see the devices in

00:49:28   those briefings. Like if I'm really curious about what the jet black Apple Watch Series 11, I'm going

00:49:33   to get to see it. And I don't have to like elbow my way into the table in there. So I'm just going

00:49:38   to watch the people. It's not that I'm not there. But I'm not going to fight for a spot at the

00:49:43   table, unless one opens up and I have some questions. But watching the creators, the thing

00:49:48   that really struck me too, because I saw that sometimes, sometimes they weren't creating even

00:49:54   though they were on, you know, their own self imposed deadlines to get stuff out right away,

00:49:59   right away, right away. They were also consuming others already. And it hit me that that is partly

00:50:06   what makes the iPhone still the iPhone, like, we can go back to talking about the sort of

00:50:11   diminishing returns on year over year improvements. But the iPhone still is unique in the industry.

00:50:19   And I think a big part of it, in terms of what we're talking about with the media, is it's both

00:50:25   the creation device and the consumption device. Like, that's, that's bananas, when you really

00:50:30   think about it, like, nobody ever would have imagined, when we were growing up, you know,

00:50:36   that you're going to get your television to the future is also going to be a thing that lets you

00:50:40   put yourself on television. Yeah, right, that doesn't make any sense. And that collapse is

00:50:45   really culturally important in like, a lot of ways. If you told me I would forever have to

00:50:50   look at photos in the viewfinder of an icon, like, I would just say no. But it's also, you know,

00:50:56   like Hollywood is like reacting to this. You see this, the picture of 28 days later,

00:51:02   where they're shooting it on the back with a huge rig. Yeah, I do it. I don't get it. Like,

00:51:12   I'm curious what they're going to. But people have pointed out that it's, it is a 75 million

00:51:19   budget movie, pretty big, I think. I think that was the budget. But it's a major Hollywood

00:51:24   production. They don't have to shoot on iPhones. And you think, oh, but the original was shot on

00:51:30   the Canon, I think it was called the X one R, I forget what it was. But it was a breakthrough

00:51:35   Canon camera from the turn of the century, that it's old enough that it shot to like mini DV tapes

00:51:41   or something like that, or some kind of tape, the actual tapes, but gave 28 days later, a sort of

00:51:49   lo fi look that I love the movie. I haven't seen it in quite a few years. But I recall really liking

00:51:55   the way it looked. And that maybe they're doing something like that. Or remember Blair Witch

00:52:00   Project? Of course, I know you do. But yeah, Blair Witch Project was a horror movie, a typical

00:52:06   scenario, kids in the woods, and then some kind of supernatural thing. But the whole movie was shot

00:52:12   as found footage from kids with a consumer camera. And it looked like it. I don't know, you know,

00:52:20   what they did. But if that's what they're doing with 28 years later, why do they need

00:52:25   $5,000 of lenses in front of the camera?

00:52:29   More than that, it is quite a rig in front of it. But you look at that, and you're like,

00:52:33   oh, that's really interesting. Because if you just take one step out of it,

00:52:38   there's Marquez at the iPhone event, shooting the hands on on his red. And you're like, oh,

00:52:43   this is a weird inversion. Like, something else is happening here where the the economics of the

00:52:50   YouTuber are supporting this camera, the economics of supporting the iPhone camera. And like,

00:52:55   I don't quite understand it. And I one day, I'll figure it out. But it is really interesting to

00:53:00   think like, tick tock has a point of view on these cameras that is totally independent of what

00:53:08   everyone else thinks about the cameras. Because they are, they start with the video camera,

00:53:13   they start on a different place. Right. And they start with a different set of assumptions about

00:53:20   how that video will be compressed and distributed. Tiktok's HDR handling is completely horrible.

00:53:26   And if you lived through that period of Tiktok, where they would just ramp up the brightness to

00:53:30   neon levels and completely ruin the display calibration. And you're combining the consumption

00:53:37   with a creation just changes your experience of using the phone and like using the tool.

00:53:43   And that's why I always spend so much time thinking about the camera, because it is even

00:53:48   a camera control button. Apple's point of view, everyone's point of view is eventually the camera

00:53:54   will become the input mechanism of the phone. Eventually, like visual intelligence, we're going

00:53:59   to look around for you. And then eventually, the way you will communicate with everybody is through

00:54:03   video in some way, shape or form. And you're like, oh, these cameras have gone from being a fun,

00:54:09   Phil Schiller loves cameras, sort of side show of like, some Apple executives love this stuff,

00:54:15   and they're just going for it to, oh, well, it already has in many ways completely reshaped all

00:54:20   of society by putting cameras on phones. And then this next turn is going to do it even one more

00:54:26   time. And we ought to take a look at what they're making before we like, completely go a few.

00:54:30   Hmm. I, I remember, I don't know, again, I'm never gonna, it doesn't really matter which one

00:54:37   it was. But it was like in the first few years after Jobs is passing, there was a iPhone keynote

00:54:43   where Schiller was on stage and went deep on, like the size of the pixels of the sensor. And it was

00:54:52   Phil was great at those sort of things. And it didn't take that much time. But then after

00:54:57   the keynote, they're like, Can you believe they spent three minutes talking about pixels on sensor?

00:55:01   And it's like, I could believe it, because I was really interested. But it's like,

00:55:05   oh, that's laughable now compared to how much emphasis the camera gets in these events. I mean,

00:55:10   it was like, there was like a couple of years where it really was just to other people,

00:55:15   I think weird that Apple was putting so much emphasis on the camera, both in this,

00:55:20   even just the size it took, took up on the back of the camera, the fact that the lenses started

00:55:25   sticking out. Now they stick out like a roll of quarters. I mean, I think if you're marketing

00:55:32   this phone, or I think about how, again, there's like the tick tock of it all. You ask a bunch of

00:55:39   young people what they want to do when they grow up, and they want to be influencers.

00:55:41   And then ask the influencers, like, how do you begin to become an influencer? And like,

00:55:46   Mark Marquez will tell you, or Doug DeMuro will tell you, or whoever will tell you just like,

00:55:49   start tomorrow. So you can get good at it. So that then this thing, the camera on the front and

00:55:55   the back of the phone is not just a camera. It's like an economic engine. It's a communications

00:56:02   tool. Apple refers to it as a very social camera. This thing has always been used with other people.

00:56:06   I obviously complained endlessly about HDR processing. And then I,

00:56:10   I got a reply from someone who's like, I just use this thing, take pictures of serial numbers, like

00:56:14   boost the shadows as much as you can. Cause I'm always like sticking my phone under a thing to

00:56:19   take a picture of a serial number. And it's like, Oh, this thing is everything. And it is,

00:56:24   it has become such an important piece of like the input mechanism of the phone that of course,

00:56:31   it's going to take up most of the phone. It's like if in five years, it's not as big as the screen,

00:56:36   like something weird will have happened. Yeah. I guess, what else do you want to talk about with

00:56:41   the iPhone? I mean, the camera control, I really think it's interesting. I don't think camera

00:56:49   control is a reason to upgrade year over year. To me, the photographic styles thing, if you're

00:56:54   really into shooting photos and I, again, am I just describing myself or is there a large coat?

00:57:00   But I, like I wrote in my review, I have never really gotten into shooting raw with any of my

00:57:05   cameras, including expensive Canon DSLRs and my Ricoh GRD, which I love. It's like too much work

00:57:13   for me. It's like, that's my threshold. So I love these photographic styles and I kind of like,

00:57:19   I'm usually pretty slow to update my main Mac to the new year's thing. Cause I'm a little

00:57:24   conservative cause I don't know about you. I use it for work. So yeah. Yeah. This, the Mac that I'm

00:57:30   podcasting on, this is going to stay where it is until, until I'm forced to upgrade that one.

00:57:35   So that it's sort of like a downside of me being in on Apple's photo ecosystem

00:57:42   is that my Mac interface to my photos is therefore rev lock to the OS, right? So now I've got a

00:57:50   version of photos, you know, and if I change the photographic style on my iPhone in iOS 18 to go

00:57:58   from standard to stark black and white, which is a very noticeable difference, it upgrades, or when

00:58:05   it syncs to my Mac, I see it there, but I don't have the interface to actually change those styles

00:58:10   on the Mac until after I upgrade to the new thing. But I feel like that it'll be a couple of weeks,

00:58:15   but but that to me is a bigger reason. I like having this button, but it's,

00:58:21   it's like, if you're on the fence about whether this is your year to upgrade or not, you can wait,

00:58:26   this button's not going anywhere. It's only gonna get better. I don't have any. I don't know why the

00:58:31   button is unfinished on top of everything else. Like the tap and hold the focus isn't there yet.

00:58:35   Yeah, I don't get that. I I'm thinking like I've never had a problem focusing with the iPhone. Like

00:58:42   I have a litany of complaints with iPhone cameras over the years. It doesn't get this has never been

00:58:47   one of the complaints. If anything, it's the singular feature of iPhone photography that

00:58:52   has most ruined my photography with other cameras. Like I really like my Ricoh. I keep talking about

00:58:59   it because it's the only other camera I really use nowadays. But I have this Ricoh GR3X. The

00:59:05   X just means it has a 40 millimeter equivalent lens, fixed lens, instead of the regular GR3

00:59:12   has a 28 millimeter, I think. And I'm just like, so the only reason I got the X to get the 40

00:59:20   millimeter field of view is I'm so bored with shooting 28 millimeter field of view, because

00:59:25   that's what iPhones have shot for years. And it's like, yeah, give me something more like a 50

00:59:31   millimeter normal lens. But I have found I have more out of focus shots with it that are my fault,

00:59:36   my fault, because I'm like, I just because the iPhone just always snaps the faces. And if you

00:59:43   do want to focus on something else, you just tap and it never fails. And it stays on the thing you

00:59:48   tapped on and then you snap. Focusing on the iPhone is not an issue. Yeah, at all. So it's like,

00:59:53   it's weird that it's unfinished. It's also like, do I do I care about this? Yeah, I do. Am I even

00:59:57   going to turn it on? I don't even know. You know, the thing about shooting raw for me,

01:00:00   I don't do it on the iPhone. Really, I do it when I want to play with like, a wide one of those

01:00:05   apps. That's fun. But I shoot my old Nikon, which I've had now for years in my Sony RX 100. I think

01:00:12   I have a five that I bought when my kid was born in 2018. I shoot those in raw because Lightroom's

01:00:18   AI powered denoise is so good. It's like having a new camera. So now I can just run the ISO on

01:00:26   those cameras to whatever. I don't even care anymore. Right? Because Lightroom can fix it.

01:00:31   And that has like changed my relationship to those cameras entirely. And that's like to me

01:00:35   as a whole reason to to play with big cameras and have a lot of fun over there and whatever.

01:00:39   The iPhone raw has always been, I need to get away from their processing. This is the reason

01:00:45   to shoot raw on iPhone. I want to process my own photos. And that's why I think people really,

01:00:49   really like the Halide Process Zero that they've released, like really like it in a way that's

01:00:54   surprising. Right? Like you, you would not expect the response to that to be. It's almost the point

01:01:00   where like, when people complain on iPhone photos, like just shoot with the processor, like, it's

01:01:04   become an answer to a question that no one knew that they were asking. I think that's utterly

01:01:08   fascinating. And so the styles, I think, on the photos are really interesting. But what's way more

01:01:14   interesting to me is that they added the tone control that basically lets you turn off or

01:01:20   radically turn down their HDR tone mapping. I also think it's wild that they decided that the word

01:01:28   tone meant tone mapping, which in the history of imaging is not what it has meant. And they just

01:01:34   sort of decided that's what it meant. And that's fine. But just that alone, like, if you're a photo

01:01:39   nerd being like, I would like some contrast and shadows, I'm willing to accept blown highlights.

01:01:44   All of my photos are immediately better on the 16 Pro than they were on my 15 Pro.

01:01:49   Yeah, I, I'm not even criticizing their use of the word tone. But I agree that what playing with

01:01:59   tone in the new photographic styles do doesn't feel like it does justice to how powerful the

01:02:05   feature is and how useful the effect is. And they had, they had tone, quote unquote, tone with the

01:02:12   old photo styles, the one for iPhones 13, 14, 15. But it wasn't something you could adjust on the

01:02:20   fly. It was like, Oh, I'm going to set up a new photographic style. And I think it more or less

01:02:24   did the same thing because I wanted there. So I asked, and I know the difference. It's so wonky,

01:02:28   but it's good. This is, it feels so bad for them. Every time I review the phone, I'm like,

01:02:31   get your whole camera, get your old camera team on the phone. We're gonna take an hour. We're

01:02:35   gonna have through every single button here and tell me what it does. Like I said, totally

01:02:38   indulgent best part of my best part of the year. So on the old styles on the, I think they introduced

01:02:43   him on a 13, the old styles was the global tone mapping. So the whole image and they were just

01:02:49   the tone control adjusted the whole image. And if you look at all those styles,

01:02:53   the styles are just presets of the tone control and the what's the other one color. Yeah,

01:02:59   something like that. There were two, there were two. And as you swipe through styles,

01:03:02   you would see those two sliders and move back and forth. So all of the styles are sort of in one

01:03:07   ecosystem of, of tone, like controls. They're one bubble, the new styles, the tone control is local

01:03:15   tone mapping. So it is semantically aware. So it knows that this is a face and that is a sky and

01:03:20   whatever. And so it will preserve, it won't just like turn everything down. It will like

01:03:25   do it at different rates for different parts of the image because it knows. And then if you

01:03:28   switch through the styles, they're all in different color spaces, which is what that

01:03:32   palette control is. So it's just a much more powerful system. And then as you'd noted,

01:03:37   it's non-destructive, which is like a whole conversation about how much do you want to shoot

01:03:42   and like, do you want to live a life of having those photos because they've done some wacky

01:03:48   compression thing where the Delta between a normal image and the image with the style

01:03:54   applied is in it. They've compressed it into the image. You can get it back.

01:03:58   Right. And that may have doubt exposed that to anyone else yet,

01:04:02   which I think is unbalanced mistake. Like if you have the ability to unprocess an image,

01:04:07   you should let every image editing app in the world, unprocess the image and then do it.

01:04:11   I have a, I don't, I have any inside information about this. So this is purely speculative,

01:04:17   but my guess is they will release that information, but that perhaps the reason they haven't already

01:04:25   is that they haven't, they don't feel like it's public API ready. Even if it's not an API,

01:04:30   I think it's probably just going to be a description of what they're stuffing into the file

01:04:37   that, that the HEI, and I never know which one's HEI. This is one of the, the main reason I prefer

01:04:43   JPEG is that a JPEG is JPEG. And here it's HEIF is the file format, but the files have a dot H-E-I-C

01:04:51   extension. And then Apple Brown says it HEIF, which is just, it's just like an up front to

01:04:57   American society. HEIF or I don't know. I wish it's so poorly named just because we don't all

01:05:04   call it the same thing, but I'm pretty sure that the reason I think this is what's going on,

01:05:10   maybe you know more and can confirm it. I just think that the, the actual file format and JPEG

01:05:15   has metadata file that information exif data is in there and you can write custom exif data

01:05:23   to a JPEG. I think it's just sort of stuffed in there. It's not like a sidecar file. I think it's

01:05:29   all in the actual files. Right. And that rather than implement this twice with two entirely

01:05:36   different file formats, they're like, no, screw this. We're only going to do it once. But I do

01:05:41   think this was a sort of small own goal on Apple's part that they did not make clear to anybody users

01:05:48   or the media alike that if you are shooting JPEG instead, which Apple calls more compatible,

01:05:56   right? So the default is to shoot HEIF. HEIF. You got to say it. That's what they say. They're,

01:06:03   they're all in. They all say HEIF, up and down the chain. And that's, they call that better

01:06:07   compression or something like more efficient, more efficient because the file sizes are smaller for

01:06:12   the equivalent image quality. Then you get these features. And if you're shooting more compatible,

01:06:19   which means you're shooting two JPEG files, you just don't get these features, but it never tells

01:06:24   you that. It doesn't say the thing. So you can still shoot, I think in the styles, but you don't,

01:06:30   you lose the ability to non-destructively edit. So you're just, it's kind of like the way the

01:06:35   old styles work. You just burn. But I think they should warn you. I think they should say, Hey,

01:06:38   you're shooting this because maybe you thought this would be better, but maybe you should rethink

01:06:42   if you think it's better. Yeah. I mean, to me, it's, there's a freedom and being able to edit

01:06:47   after the fact, it's like, I'm gonna mess with this. It looks good. I don't have to commit.

01:06:51   That means I'm going to use the tool more because later on I can, I can fix it. And I do agree with

01:06:57   you that someone will either reverse engineer or Apple will publish the spec of like, here's our

01:07:01   little, the files are, I think they told me the files are 25% bigger than the previous generation

01:07:06   files because they have this little Delta. It's a significant amount of metadata that is added in

01:07:12   or whatever you want. And maybe it doesn't, it's not even metadata. It's some kind of exposure

01:07:18   sensor data, which is why it adds 25% to the file size. Yeah. They're just doing what they told me

01:07:24   that they moved the tone mapping step to the end of the HDR pipeline. So they, Apple takes nine

01:07:30   shots at different exposures and they stitched them all together to make one final image at the

01:07:36   very last part of this. They're saying, okay, here's all of the exposure data. And now we're

01:07:41   going to expose the sky and the face and the tree and whatever. And that's the, we're going to lift

01:07:45   the shadows and bring down the highlights. And so they put that all the way at the end of the

01:07:48   pipeline. It's like one of the last things they do. And it's that information that's getting stored

01:07:52   somewhere in this thing. So you can, you can re tone map it to your desired outcome.

01:07:57   I think all of that's super fascinating. I, I am very proud of the fact that like the Verge

01:08:03   drove an entire discourse cycle about whether shadows are good. Like, have I accomplished my

01:08:10   goal in starting a tech website 13 years ago? Yeah. Fully accomplished our goal. Like we're

01:08:15   going to, we're all going to talk about shadows for a couple of days. And I think it's interesting

01:08:19   that people not just like camera nerds can see how flat iPhone photos have gotten. Lots of people can

01:08:28   see how flat iPhone photos have gotten, including the aforementioned like TikTokers. They were just

01:08:32   making videos. They're like, why do these photos look bad? And they don't have the vocabulary or

01:08:36   they're just doing engagement baits. So they're not using the vocabulary, who knows what they're

01:08:39   doing. But they're, what they're reacting to is not enough.

01:08:42   It's actually more interesting from their perspective in some ways. Cause rather than,

01:08:46   it's like, I always, I don't know about every engineer, most engineers who I've ever worked

01:08:53   with will always say that the best bug reports just described the problem with as much specificity

01:09:00   and the most accurate steps to reproduce as possible and include the least optimally zero

01:09:07   guesses as to why the bug is happening. Right? Just report the problem and, and steps to

01:09:15   reproduce and the engineer will figure his job is to figure out their job is to figure out who.

01:09:19   And I think that's true from the TikToker critique of the over-processed look of

01:09:24   modern smartphone cameras. It's like, don't even, you don't even have to know

01:09:27   what HDR is. It's it, you just know that this doesn't look right. It doesn't look natural.

01:09:32   And I can't help but wonder, well, and you mentioned process zero from, from Halide,

01:09:40   which I don't know that I, I think they are even taken by surprise by the reaction to this feature,

01:09:48   which produces images, which on their surface, you would say, well, that's not exciting at all. This,

01:09:52   this image has less pop and it just looks real. And that's the whole point. And the enthusiasm

01:10:00   over that feature in one third party camera app, I think is almost the proof that something's going

01:10:10   on with our collective. It's society-wide thoughts on the look of over-processed images from phones.

01:10:22   Or, or if you take the filters that are really popular on the various apps on snap, on TikTok,

01:10:28   on Instagram, and the number of times that the vintage or nostalgic filters are popular

01:10:33   to make your thousand dollar state of the art HDR pipeline camera look like an old film camera,

01:10:40   there's a reason for that, right? Like there's a whole set of emotional connections to that.

01:10:45   Those looks that don't go away just cause we're all shooting ultra flat HDR. And I, I styles kind

01:10:52   of hinted this, but former verge reporter, Sam Byford, who lives in Japan, he has a blog called

01:10:57   multi-core. Now he's actually gonna write a piece for us. He's like, look, the American market is

01:11:00   totally confused because you only have three smartphone vendors, really, but Jaumi and Oppo

01:11:06   have been doing less tone mapped, less aggressive photos for a long time.

01:11:11   Like I think it's Jaumi has the, has Leica modes. Like one is called authentic and one is called

01:11:17   dumb. It's like the normal HDR one. And he's like, authentic is just a top level control.

01:11:23   And it just looks like a Leica camera and like forever, whatever branding is going on there,

01:11:29   whatever deals, wherever that's real like or not. The point is in other markets, because there's so

01:11:34   much competition photos that look natural, naturalistic, or they're starting to become

01:11:41   top level camera controls. And I'm kind of hoping that's the next term here.

01:11:44   Trenton Larkin Yeah. And I, I think part of me has just

01:11:48   always sort of had an affinity for film looks and I did, I will admit, I think it was a huge part of

01:11:55   what made Instagram explosive on day one, in terms of becoming sort of an instant little social

01:12:02   network that was a hit, were those filters, which were silly in hindsight, today, in today, and

01:12:10   over the top in terms of how strong they were, the original Instagram 1.0 filters. But the cameras on

01:12:19   the phones, circa 2010, were really bad. And so applying these over the top retro film filters

01:12:28   that were pretty effective and worked instantaneously, as opposed to like Hipstamatic

01:12:32   at the time, which took like 30 seconds, which I'd never understood was actually processing,

01:12:37   or if it was part of the kitsch that, oh, we're gonna make you wait 30 seconds to see what your

01:12:42   image looked like. It's like you're waving a Polaroid in the air. It was a huge part about

01:12:48   what made it take off. And I think that they, within a few years, they're like, yeah, we're

01:12:52   dialing back all that, that stuff's all gimmicky. It was gimmicky, but it was a fun gimmick for a

01:12:56   couple of years. But I think it's more than just nostalgia for my youth or for old media. It's the

01:13:04   fact that when technology settles in and is no longer novelty and seeing breakthroughs on a

01:13:13   regular basis, which shooting on film, whether it was still film or movie film, became at some point,

01:13:22   I don't know, color, the world kind of shifted from black and white photography and filmmaking

01:13:27   to color in the 60s. And by the 70s, black and white was considered old, like by the time I was

01:13:34   born. If you knew it was the first season at Gilligan's Island, if the rerun was in black

01:13:39   and white, then the other ones were in color. And then in the 70s and 80s, it kind of shook out and

01:13:45   it just was incremental returns. But everything just sort of went towards making it look better.

01:13:53   It's like incremental improvements to lens technology, an arms race between Kodak and

01:13:59   Fuji to get their film stocks to just be as useful for as many people as possible and produce

01:14:07   pleasing, very pleasing results under as many circumstances as possible. It all was just more

01:14:15   attractive. It really is. It's hard to deny it. And I think that the current over-processed look

01:14:22   is going to look very dated, even just 10 years from now. I think you'll be able to say, "Oh,

01:14:27   yeah, that was like the early 2020s." Remember when all our phone pictures looked like this?

01:14:31   JS I think there's some real challenges here,

01:14:35   given all the things we want these cameras to do. So I'm just thinking about the amount of times I

01:14:40   use my camera just to capture a serial number or like zoom in on something to just like look at

01:14:47   something. Yeah, I do just blow out the shadows. Like I need every ounce of detail from that as I

01:14:52   can get. That's fine. If this AI, multimodal AI visual intelligence becomes a thing, I assume

01:15:00   those systems will not care about the aesthetics of an image. They're going to just want as much

01:15:07   detail out of the images they can get, so they can read it. So now you have this like very

01:15:11   conflicting like, "I need it to be a utility, and I need it to be beautiful." And I don't think we've

01:15:20   had cameras that have really... I think this is just a real point where those needs are going to

01:15:25   diverge. And I think I've seen a lot of people testing out the 16 Pro camera in the past week

01:15:32   or so, and they're modifying the photos and editing the photos to make them look like

01:15:37   extremely vintage, nostalgic pictures of skyscrapers and cars and neon signs and all

01:15:42   this other stuff. And you can get it to look like that. And I think the question for Apple is,

01:15:46   do you want your camera to look like this? Does Apple have a point of view on what this camera

01:15:52   should look like? Or is it, we're going to give you all of the information and then some tools

01:15:57   to get it to look like whatever you want? And I think the biggest example of this is in the skin

01:16:01   tones. They call them undertones, and you can adjust how you want skin tone to look. And I think

01:16:08   Apple has basically absolved itself of responsibility for producing accurate skin tones.

01:16:14   They're like, "This isn't just a physics problem for us. This is very much a... People around the

01:16:20   world and different countries have very different views on what a good skin tone is. And we're just

01:16:24   going to let people do whatever they want." And you contrast that to Google, which is much more

01:16:28   open to AI image editing and all this other stuff. And Google's point of view is like, "We have an

01:16:32   entire... We have a warehouse full of contractors. We take pictures of people with skin tones,

01:16:36   and then we figure out how to make really, really accurate skin tones. And we call that real tone.

01:16:39   And here's an entire article in Wired about it." And those are just radically different philosophies.

01:16:45   And Google obviously sells five phones a year. So I think you can afford

01:16:49   to have that kind of strong point of view and go market it. But it's interesting to see how much

01:16:53   Apple is letting go versus what they're holding on to. Yeah. I think it's always been... And again,

01:17:01   my personal opinion here skews my perspective because I've never... At times, I like film grain.

01:17:09   And 20 years ago, my first Ricoh camera, the original Ricoh GRD, before I bought it,

01:17:16   the claim to... And this is at a time when little point-and-shoots shooting higher ISOs. I would say

01:17:22   for that original GRD, ISO 800 was really pushing it. It was really... Which was very much equivalent

01:17:30   to film shooting 35-millimeter film. 400 was a very consumery. 800 ISO film, you could really

01:17:37   see the grain. But the Ricoh claim was that their sensor was designed to make the... Which isn't...

01:17:44   It's not grain, it's noise on a digital sensor, but that their noise was supposed to be more

01:17:48   flattering and appealing. And I thought it was true. And I shot tons, thousands of photos with

01:17:54   that camera. And all the indoor ones had what anybody today would say, "Oh, there's a lot of

01:17:59   noise." But I think the noise looks good. Apple's allergic reaction to image noise is... It's

01:18:10   characteristic for the company because noise is an imperfection and the company is obsessed with

01:18:15   perfection. But it's inevitable in low light with a small sensor. And I get that noise reduction has

01:18:25   to happen. And you talked about what it looks like when you look at raw images, even from

01:18:29   really expensive cameras with world-class sensors. You see the noise. And Adobe's leading... I think

01:18:37   Adobe's algorithm, the one in Lightroom is clearly the best. You can use... Now, AI is helping to

01:18:44   reduce noise in photos. But trying to bleed all the noise out of iPhone photography has, to me,

01:18:53   contributed to this sort of over-computational look. And the HDR thing really sticks out to more

01:19:01   people, especially when they're looking at a white background on their phone and parts of the image

01:19:06   make the white background on their phone look like 50% gray because it's so crazy bright.

01:19:10   The noise doesn't jump out like that, but the lack of noise is a big part of the problem,

01:19:19   in my opinion. The other thing, and you mentioned shadows, the sharpening and the noise reduction,

01:19:26   that's like the next frontier. It's like this year we got a tone control to put some shadows back.

01:19:32   Next year, we might be able to get some grain and texture back. Maybe. We'll see.

01:19:36   I think Apple just doesn't want you to take a bad photo. They're very... I think they are

01:19:44   protective of... People go to restaurants and they will shoot a backlit photo in front of a window

01:19:50   of the birthday party, and the iPhone had better get that photo. And we're gonna do everything in

01:19:56   our power to make sure that that photo is... It won't be great, but it'll be there, as opposed

01:20:02   to an old camera will just blow out. Something horrible would happen. Everyone's faces would be

01:20:06   in shadow or you would expose the background or something like... You would not get a photo in

01:20:11   that situation like nine times. No, you'd get like a white background and a silhouette in the

01:20:15   foreground. Yeah, it would look horrible. And an iPhone just is like, "Here's your photo." As

01:20:21   promised, here's everyone's faces. And through Hocus Pocus, we have exposed the background

01:20:27   through that window perfectly. And that's incredible. But I think it just has led them

01:20:33   astray in a handful of other places. Right. But it looks like all of a sudden the way that like

01:20:38   in an old movie or in a movie that's trying to call back to old movies like Pulp Fiction when

01:20:44   Bruce Willis is in the taxi cab and they're doing rear projection behind the car. It's like, well,

01:20:50   you know that that wasn't filmed in a car on a real street. You can kind of tell. It's like,

01:20:55   you look out the window and you're like, "Well, that's not real." Even though it was real,

01:20:58   it was there. It just looks that phony through the window. Yeah. But to get that backlit shot,

01:21:05   you have to do a lot of noise reduction. At the end of the day, you're over, you're gonna crank

01:21:10   the ISO in the shot. You just have to do a lot of work to get that shot. And then you end up with a

01:21:15   ton of processing, a ton of sharpening, a ton of noise reduction. And you're like, "Is this good?

01:21:19   Would it have been better to tell everyone to get away from the window? Like, should Apple

01:21:23   Intelligence pop up the thing and be like, "Everyone should turn around." Like, would

01:21:27   that be a better solution to this photo? One of the things I picked up in your review,

01:21:33   because I just did not, I mean, I shot as many photos as I could, but just didn't pixel peep

01:21:38   because I just didn't have time. But you mentioned, and it was a gut feeling I had, but it was so

01:21:43   unbacked up by any evidence that I could point to that I was like, "I can't mention this in a

01:21:48   review." I'm curious to see if others pick up on it. And it seems like you did, that Apple's

01:21:54   standard processing, the photographic style that you get out of the box, it's in the middle,

01:22:00   it's the one that if you don't change anything, you get, looks more processed than ever in the

01:22:05   iPhone 16 Pro. That's what I thought. And when you wrote it, I was like, "Yeah, I think so too."

01:22:11   And I kind of think, "Oh, maybe, I don't know if because whoever's pushing for that more

01:22:19   processed look, because they were going to win and it was going to ship with a more processed

01:22:25   look by default that it inspired the team to get the photographic styles feature in,

01:22:31   to counterbalance that for people who don't like it, or was it the other way around where they,

01:22:35   I think it's probably the other way around, where they were building out and building towards this

01:22:40   non-destructive photographic styles feature, but then that in turn gave the, "Well, we want this

01:22:47   to look more processed team, the go ahead to do it." It doesn't feel like a coincidence to me that

01:22:53   it looks more processed year over year at the same time that you've got some controls to undo it and

01:22:59   to shoot differently out of the box, or shoot differently by default personally.

01:23:04   JS Yeah, I mean, I am of the opinion that every tech company knows in its heart that people like

01:23:12   brighter things and louder things. And so if you can just make it things brighter, people will like

01:23:19   them. Like every TV in a Best Buy is cranked up to maximum brightness.

01:23:22   JS That's one of those things that everybody says. And I also think it is one of those

01:23:26   things that everybody says that is 100% true. JS Yeah, it's just true. It's like

01:23:30   doing speaker comparisons. If one speaker is louder than the other, that's the one everyone prefers.

01:23:35   Every year Marquez does the smartphone shootout, and the brightest camera wins.

01:23:39   And it doesn't matter how good that camera is. So at some point, I think Apple is just like,

01:23:44   "Screw it, it's brighter. We're just going to win the comparison this year. You're going to take a

01:23:48   picture on this phone in the Apple store with your old phone, and this phone is going to look brighter

01:23:52   and that's going to win." The fascinating part about this is I spent some time with them just

01:23:57   being like, "What is the difference between...?" Because there's lots of styles. One of them is

01:24:01   standard, and then two clicks over is natural. What on earth is the difference between standard

01:24:08   and natural? Those are big words to put right next to each other and say, "These are different."

01:24:15   And as far as I can tell, and as far as they told me, one is just slightly warmer than the other.

01:24:20   So the iPhone in standard, just in a way that photo processors have done for years. They know

01:24:26   people like slightly warmer photos. They just warm everyone up a little bit. And that is standard,

01:24:31   and the natural is flat. I think natural is more different than that. I've been shooting natural

01:24:37   by... I'm pretty sure if I took the phone out of my pocket right now, it's in natural.

01:24:42   And it doesn't matter because I could change it afterwards. But I think natural is a little bit

01:24:47   more than just cooler. Although there is some... There's definitely a color temperature part.

01:24:54   I think it's less processed. I do. I think it's a very accurate name for the style. To me,

01:25:02   the pictures just do look more natural. They do. They also look more like older pictures from

01:25:09   pre-phone cameras, which I think is good because I think those cameras were

01:25:14   shooting for natural, that you get your film back from development and you want the pictures to look

01:25:21   like you remembered the scene when you shot them. I think it's a little more... It's not

01:25:26   super dramatically less processed, but I think it's just less processed in general. I just do.

01:25:32   But I also think the names, it's like, well, why isn't standard as natural as possible?

01:25:39   That's to me the difference. You can go nuts doing this, right? What is a standard photo?

01:25:44   Yeah. And if you duplicate the photo and it's because they're non-destructive, shoot one,

01:25:50   duplicate it and set one to standard, one to natural, and then just go right toggle back

01:25:56   and forth between them. In almost all lighting conditions, you'll see that there is a difference.

01:26:01   And at times when I'm pixel peeping and I've set to other styles, I'm like, "Ah, maybe I don't like

01:26:08   natural so much. I don't know." Because I'm looking too closely. And that's where the Best Buy scenario

01:26:14   comes in, where you're like, "I don't know. This one really pops." Because you're in a weird mode.

01:26:18   You're looking at six different TVs at once, playing different things. And that's not really

01:26:25   simulating the real life experience of watching TV. And what I have noticed is when I'm sitting

01:26:33   there switching between styles on the same photo and just going through all the other ones that

01:26:39   they have in addition to standard and natural, I start thinking, "Ah, maybe natural is kind of

01:26:46   not that great. It does look natural, but it's kind of boring. Maybe it's too flat."

01:26:50   But then when I just leave it there and come back to it and I'm looking through my photos, I'm like,

01:26:55   "Oh, look at that photo I took yesterday. That looks really good. Oh, natural."

01:26:58   JS Yeah, it's the one. This comes up a lot. I had some of the most fun I've ever had being

01:27:03   a tech journalist a couple months ago. I was a judge in a TV review shootout at a store in

01:27:08   Scarsdale, New York. It's a super high-end store. And all the TV manufacturers come and they bring

01:27:13   their highest end TVs and a bunch of professional TV calibrators and colorists from Hollywood

01:27:22   studios and me judge the TVs. I was like, "Very fun." And I was completely outgunned and outclassed

01:27:27   and I had the time of my life. And what you notice is like the professionally calibrated,

01:27:31   beautiful OLED TVs at the highest end, they're relaxed. They're not trying to prove it to you.

01:27:37   And then you get really used to it. And then you see a TV that's trying to show off. And you're

01:27:42   like, "It's nuclear bright." And it's actually rather fatiguing to look at for a while. It's the

01:27:47   same with a lot of stereos. People are listening and you've got a stereo and you've got a loudness

01:27:52   control on it. All that does is it boosts the lows and the mids at low volume to preserve the

01:27:57   sensational loudness. But if you don't always listen quietly, turn that off. And it will seem

01:28:02   quieter. But after a while, you're like, "Oh, I'm hearing vastly more of this. I'm getting much more

01:28:09   out of this speaker." Because when everything is loud or you're artificially making everything as

01:28:16   big as it can be, you actually lose your dynamic range. And so it's a weird... We need a name for

01:28:23   this. We'll be famous, John. What is the name for the paradox of dynamic range? So when you have

01:28:31   everything, you actually lose the impact of the dynamics. That's the thing that's happening.

01:28:38   It's certainly happening in music and it's been happening for a long time. It's called

01:28:40   the loudness wars. There's ancient, butch vague blog posts being like, "Fuck this. It's great. I

01:28:46   love it." I think it's happening with cameras right now in a big way. And that's what I mean

01:28:49   by it's more processed than ever. Because it's more than ever it's happening and it's making

01:28:54   everything look very flat. Yeah, I agree. But we've got control to turn it back. So the dynamic

01:29:01   paradox. Yeah. All right. I like that. Ooh, that's good. Yeah, I like that dynamic paradox.

01:29:08   I guess that kind of goes up against the dynamic island, which I feel like our name is more useful.

01:29:12   Yeah. It describes a more useful concept than... I do think too, there might be a side effect here

01:29:19   of too little competition in the US. Who is the iPhone really competing against? Well, Samsung,

01:29:27   obviously. But Samsung has, if anything, a more opinionated in favor of processed look

01:29:34   in their photos. The Pixel in our universe obviously has been renowned as a leading,

01:29:42   if not the leading at any given year phone camera ever since they switched from calling them Nexus

01:29:51   to Pixels. But like you said, they sell like five a year. It's just not a factor in the real world,

01:29:57   which is its own side note of, is it because Google doesn't want to step on their partner's

01:30:06   toes? And Microsoft has to dance the same dance with the Surface kit that they make,

01:30:12   which is all super highly regarded, but yet they're still trying to keep every other high-end

01:30:18   PC maker on Windows side. I don't know, but in the real world, the Pixel cameras don't

01:30:26   really factor in. And who else are they competing against? So we've written a lot of pieces about

01:30:32   sort of the dangers of AI image editing recently, because it's just sort of like everyone's just

01:30:36   going for it. You can go on X and use Grok and it'll just make new faces of celebrities all day

01:30:42   long. Reimagine on the Pixel, you can just like add drugs to photos. It's like, yeah, yeah, not

01:30:49   great. We have, the examples are all over our site. And one of the arguments, sort of back channel

01:30:53   arguments from Google is like, well, we don't sell any phones anyway. This isn't really a problem.

01:30:58   Like you guys are overreacting. This comes all the way back around to Apple intelligence.

01:31:02   It was hard to review the, like I can review the cameras because cameras all just like doing

01:31:06   whatever they do. There's an aspect of using an S24 Ultra right now and using a Pixel right now,

01:31:13   that's a little more fun than using an iPhone. Cause they have all these like chaotic AI ideas,

01:31:18   like particularly the Pixel. You cannot glance at a Pixel phone without it being like, do you

01:31:23   want Gemini to do some crazy shit for you? And it'll just like start. It's like off to the races.

01:31:27   Like here's another idea we have for Gemini, like, especially in the camera. Maybe if you

01:31:32   take a photo of people with a camera, if you take a photo of like four people with the Pixel camera,

01:31:37   it'll be like, do you want to add yourself to this photo? Like it's prompting you,

01:31:40   it's very clippy, like, and maybe overbearing, but there's an, there's an entertainment factor to it.

01:31:45   Like the phone has all of these new capabilities and it's kind of fun. And Google's a little

01:31:49   feeling itself. Like I think the Pixel 9s have had some battery issues, but like overall,

01:31:54   they are great pieces of hardware. The Pixel Fold in particular is like the foldable phones reached

01:32:00   one kind of end state with the Pixel Fold. I think the Samsung is sort of the same in much more

01:32:07   Samsung fashion and that there's like two of every idea, but it's just like tons of new ideas because

01:32:13   they just have access to Gemini. And they're just like going for it across the board with assistant,

01:32:17   with Gemini, with the camera features. And because Apple intelligence is not yet, I haven't,

01:32:23   I thought it was unfair to point this out, right? Like the features are coming right now today.

01:32:29   It is sort of more fun to mess around with the Pixel phone because Google has just loaded it

01:32:33   full of AI ideas and off you go. And I think that is the competition. That's like all the

01:32:39   way back around to what is the platform change really mean? If you say AI is a platform change,

01:32:42   what does it really mean? It means you're going to address a new set of capabilities with computers

01:32:48   in a new way. And it's probably voice and natural language and camera. The Pixel is like already

01:32:53   there. And I think Apple does feel some of that competition. I think you go to other countries

01:32:56   and I super feel that competition and China in particular, it's a massive, like constant,

01:33:02   endless competition. But here, I think it's going to come from, hey, do we think Google is a better

01:33:08   competitor on this phone? And I think what Google is going to ultimately decide is that they don't

01:33:13   care and they're going to ship the app on iPhones and they will, they will knife the Pixels they've

01:33:18   always done, but it is really fascinating. I think you have a Pixel 9. I think I've seen you tweet.

01:33:23   No, I don't have. You don't know. You should get one. I'm thinking about it.

01:33:27   So I'm five years out. Oh yeah. You should get one. The camera's great. The zoom is better.

01:33:33   There's, there's AI stuff happening, but the operating system is in particular just infused

01:33:39   with a bunch of like, Hey, do you want to do some stuff you couldn't do before? And I think that's,

01:33:42   there's an excitement to that that I think is, is palpable. No, you got a really interesting quote

01:33:48   from John McCormack, whose title is VP of Camera Software Engineering at Apple. And I first met him

01:33:56   a couple of years ago, but he comes from a real photographic background. I think they recruited

01:34:02   him from like DP review or I don't know if he was at Amazon, or he was Amazon devices, I think.

01:34:09   But he, he has, I don't know, the quote, I was just going to read the quote. It was it and it

01:34:15   comes to your oft repeated, what is a photo? Here's our view. This is from Apple's perspective of what

01:34:22   a photograph is. The way we like to think of it is that it's a personal celebration of something that

01:34:26   really actually happened. Whether that's a simple thing, like a fancy cup of coffee that's got some

01:34:32   cool design on it all the way to my kids first steps or my parents last breath. It's something

01:34:37   that really happened. It's something that is a marker in my life. And it's something that

01:34:40   deserves to be celebrated. And then that's why when we think about evolving in the camera,

01:34:44   we also rooted it very heavily in tradition. Photography is not a new thing. It's been around

01:34:49   for 198 years, people seem to like it. There's a lot to learn from that. There's a lot to rely on

01:34:54   from that. Think about stylization. The first example of stylization that we can find is Roger

01:35:00   Fenton in 1854. That's 170 years ago. It's adorable long term lasting thing. We stand

01:35:07   proudly on the shoulders of photographic history. You ran that quote in an entirety in your review,

01:35:13   and I can see it's beautiful. And I'm like reading it and I'm like, yeah, yeah, this is I like this.

01:35:20   And then I'm thinking, but wait a minute, is Apple screwing itself by thinking about what happened

01:35:25   170 years ago in film photography while the world is saying what if I had a bunch of penguins here

01:35:31   in my living room with me? Can I read you two other quotes? Sure. These three companies are

01:35:36   on a spectrum. So that's the Apple quote. In August, I ran a piece today, putting all these

01:35:41   quotes together because I think it's fascinating. So in in August, Google's Isaac Reynolds,

01:35:47   who I've interviewed before he runs pixel camera, he said to wired, they make memories,

01:35:52   not photos. So here's his quote. It's about what you're remembering. When you define a memory is

01:35:57   that there's fallibility to it, you can have a true and perfect representation of a moment

01:36:01   that felt completely fake and completely wrong. What some of these edits help you do is create

01:36:05   the moment the way you remember it that's authentic to your memory in the greater context,

01:36:08   but maybe isn't authentic to a particular millisecond. So the little move, right. And

01:36:15   it's really interesting is with Apple intelligence, Apple is going to ship what's a cleanup where you

01:36:20   can delete things in the background. So there it's not necessary. They're already moving.

01:36:26   The drift is real. And Isaac has actually been talking about memories for a long time in 2019.

01:36:30   He was talking about memories back then. So that's Google. Here is Samsung. In January,

01:36:38   Samsung's, Patrick show may, I think is how you pronounce his last name in January. He said this

01:36:43   to tech radar. Actually, there is no such thing as a real picture. As soon as you have sensors

01:36:51   to capture something, you reproduce what you're seeing. And it doesn't mean anything. There is no

01:36:55   real picture. You can try to define a real picture by saying I took that picture. But if you used AI

01:37:00   to optimize the zoom, the autofocus and the scene, is it real or is it all filters? There is no real

01:37:05   picture. Full stop. So like, there's the spectrum, like, all right. And you're like, Oh, are they

01:37:13   going to converge in the middle? Are they going to say different? Is the EU going to pass a law

01:37:19   defining what a phone like, I have no idea what happens next. That is a huge amount of diversions.

01:37:24   Trenton Larkin That is a huge amount of divergence. But I also

01:37:27   think it's pretty interesting that one of the companies at the one extreme, I mean, Samsung's

01:37:33   extreme of that spectrum is pretty far out there. There is no such thing as a picture.

01:37:39   Apple's position, if you're saying, well, that's the traditional perspective, and it's a real moment,

01:37:45   and it's a real moment capture in time, and that they're thinking not about the capabilities of

01:37:50   2024 generative AI, although they are, but thinking about like, filtering effects and

01:37:58   sepia tone and stuff like that from 170 years ago, that even their perspective is that, Oh,

01:38:04   yeah, we're shipping a cleanup tool where if you just tap on somebody in the background,

01:38:07   they disappear and get generatively filled. That's the conservative company's viewpoint is,

01:38:14   Oh, yeah, we're shipping this cleanup feature, which again, I've used already. I already used

01:38:18   the feature. And it's not just to see how it works. But like on a photo I took, I was like,

01:38:24   Oh, that's annoying. Let me take that out. I was like, Oh, that looks pretty good. Is it work?

01:38:28   Because it took Google several runs of this to make it work. I didn't pixel peep it super big.

01:38:34   I just blew it up on the phone. I mean, at least in some of the images. And it's it's a lot reminds

01:38:41   me a lot of the first generation of Apple portrait mode, where like the first generation really

01:38:47   couldn't deal with hair, really couldn't do deal with off angle eyeglasses. It reminds me of that

01:38:54   there was a picture where it was a picture of Amy and my son together. And there was somebody off

01:39:00   on the side that I took out and it took them out, I think very well. I think if you zoom in, maybe

01:39:05   you can see that the generative fill, it's like, something's a little fishy there. But you'd never

01:39:10   notice it. Like if I showed you the image, you wouldn't think, Oh, you took something out over

01:39:14   there. No, it's pretty good. But there was also something in between them. They were, you know,

01:39:20   very close in the frame. And in between her and him, there was something between them. And trying

01:39:24   to take that out didn't give it a realistic fill. It sort of had a Photoshop II, somebody who's not

01:39:32   very talented at Photoshop II removed something there. So it's, you know, it's not magic that it

01:39:38   can take anything you see in any picture out. But it takes a lot of things out and fills it in very

01:39:44   well. But just the fact that they're exposing that and prominently promoting it shows you just how

01:39:51   there's already drift, right? Yeah, something that really acts as the conservative is already drift.

01:39:57   Yeah. And it's like, you can look, everyone's gonna say it's just like Photoshop. And like,

01:40:00   there's a million reasons to say yes or no. No, you guys had a great article about that.

01:40:04   Was it an article or just a podcast? It was an article. We signed it and we had

01:40:08   because scale matters. I mean, scales, you can't take scale out of the equation. It's like saying,

01:40:14   that a 2400 bob modem is the same as a modern one gigabit down. It's just faster. It's like, no.

01:40:20   Yeah, it's what if we gave one person a pistol or everyone a machine gun is kind of the way

01:40:26   I think about it. It's the same. It's just got an arm population. It's like, it's a little different.

01:40:32   But I think Apple is being conservative. I think cleanup is one of those things where it's like,

01:40:35   yeah, sometimes you take a picture of the beach and you just want to get the background out of it.

01:40:40   Like it happens and so goes. I think the slide to we are making memories is really notable. Right.

01:40:47   And the idea that you're, you want to create a thing that never actually happened is and that's

01:40:53   appropriate because that's what you remember. That's a PhD thesis. Just go write one right now.

01:40:59   Like if you're like a struggling grad student, you're like, I can't figure. It's like, there it

01:41:03   is. You should just write that one. And then the slide all the way to there's no such thing as a

01:41:07   photo. I think that was the same with what Patrick was with the Samsung guy was reacting to you back

01:41:13   then. Was there their moon situation where if I was about Samsung phone at a moon, it'll just like

01:41:18   paste a moon in and like I love talking about it. I'm not going to waste another hour on your show,

01:41:24   but like every photo of the moon is technically the same. So that's fine. You're not lying to

01:41:29   anyone. That's usually what the moon looks like unless we crashed something else into the moon.

01:41:35   That's what it looks like. I felt like that I wrote about that and I forget exactly what my

01:41:41   take was of some degree of snark, but I clearly was laughing at Samsung's feature that if the

01:41:49   moon is in the photo, they detected and it's, it's more than just, is it around circle or around

01:41:55   crescent? It is something to do. It knows it's outside. It knows the angle of the phone. It's not

01:42:01   pointed down. It's pointed up. Oh, that's the moon. And then they, they just generatively fill

01:42:07   it with like a high res photo from a camera with a telescope. I was at a graduation party last year

01:42:13   with a very drunk friend and he was like, you Apple nerds. And he like pulls out his Samsung

01:42:18   phone. He points at the moon. I was like, am I going to ruin this? Like, I can't be Googling

01:42:23   at this party, but I did have some interesting back and forths on social media and with email

01:42:30   from readers, defending it from a reasonable perspective. They're like, but the moon

01:42:35   doesn't change. So why not? And my argument was, but it's so detailed that if I was like,

01:42:43   what if, cause don't put it past him, right? What if Elon Musk spends a couple of, I mean,

01:42:49   he's been known to spend 40 some billion dollars on vanity projects. So what if he spent a couple

01:42:57   of $10 billion to put a giant visible from the planet earth Tesla sign on the moon?

01:43:03   Yeah, just go for it. Uh, there's also a lot of other things that don't change, right? Like

01:43:08   the statue of Liberty mostly looks the same day to day, like other landmarks look the same.

01:43:15   The Lincoln Memorial. All right. And it's like you, once you start being like,

01:43:19   well, it's mostly the same in every picture. Like we'll just, we'll just generate for you.

01:43:22   Like you don't even need a lens and a sensor. Then you might as well just be like,

01:43:26   you have a picture of me, right? Stick it in front of the Lincoln Memorial, call it a day.

01:43:30   And like, I, that's not like there's some amount of nihilism there that I think honestly connects

01:43:36   all the way back down to Apple, which is very conservative saying, we'll let you pick your

01:43:40   own skin tone, right? Like we will, we will let you make a bunch of decisions on how this looks,

01:43:45   because that's your taste. And I'm not sure that a film camera, you can put different kinds of film

01:43:50   in it. You can do different kinds of look in it. But again, I come back to like the default for

01:43:55   Apple. They share a point of view and iPhone picture should have a point of view about like

01:43:59   a style and the aesthetic that then you can change. But right now it's their, their point

01:44:04   of view is kind of like, here's all of it. And then you can do whatever you want. And I think

01:44:08   that means that the default picture is a, like we talked about a lot, like look a little gray,

01:44:13   but also Apple is the only company that has the sort of aesthetic credibility to be like,

01:44:17   this is what the photo should look like. And it's kind of weird that they're not using it.

01:44:20   Trenton Larkin Yeah. Well, and the other thing too, and I look at them because I see the billboards,

01:44:25   they're not up again. Now it's just the one I see that's in my neighborhood. It just says

01:44:29   iPhone 15 Pro, but there's like a billboard that Apple's had the their ads on nonstop for,

01:44:35   I don't know, probably over a decade. But their shot on iPhone ads don't look like over processed

01:44:43   iPhone photos. No, not even a little bit. They're obviously shooting in raw, right? They're doing

01:44:48   it. And like I said, the camera's great. But I think this next turn that we have across the board

01:44:54   with smartphone photos, where we can just make them look good, or we can make them look like

01:45:00   whatever we want, or we can add a few views of the Google Ad Me feature. It's not great,

01:45:03   but it's convincing. I haven't used it, but I've seen the results right where you take a picture,

01:45:08   and then it like captures a volumetric scan of the thing. And you can go stand in your own picture.

01:45:12   That's cool. I think people are gonna like it. It's a little gimmicky. It's same as

01:45:16   any first generation photo gimmick on a smartphone. You can tell this is gonna get better, right?

01:45:21   We're just entering this really wacky place where the industry is way ahead of the systems we have

01:45:28   to evaluate the photos. Like whether that's labels that say this is AI generated, or this is real, or

01:45:34   whether it's just like all of society wakes up tomorrow and takes a half hour course about what

01:45:39   a photo is. It's like, whatever you think needs to happen there. We're just like not ready for it.

01:45:44   And even when Instagram tries to do some basic stuff like, "Hey, we detected some AI edits in

01:45:50   the metadata of the photo. We're gonna put it here." The photographers get mad. And it's like,

01:45:55   "Well, that's the price. You did something." And now we're gonna do full dropdowns of exif,

01:46:01   be like, "Here are all of the edits." There's something has to get resolved here.

01:46:06   Yeah. My wife has pointed out, because she's not following AI closely, and she's also hearing these

01:46:12   descriptions. And I mean, this might be a whole tangent, but she's like, "Why would I want this?

01:46:18   Why would I want this notification summary thing? I want to read the text. And if I don't want to

01:46:22   read the text, I'm leaving the group." And I'm like, "Well, actually, I kind of agree with you.

01:46:29   I don't think AI summaries that absolve me of actually reading the emails or the messages

01:46:38   interest me at all." But she's seeing so many more images people are posting, like, "Oh, look at

01:46:46   these hippies from 1967. They were at Woodstock, but the one guy had an iPhone." And it's like,

01:46:52   "Isn't that weird? How does that pop? Was he a time traveler?" And everyone's like, "It's AI

01:46:56   generated," which it is. And the image is like, she's like, "Look at this stupid... Who posted

01:47:01   this? Who thought that this was interesting?" And I'm like, "Eh, it's a new toy." I don't know.

01:47:07   It's going to wear eyes. I think it's going to get old, but it's here to stay and people

01:47:13   are going to do it. But why? Why would people do this? And it's like, "Eh, I don't know."

01:47:19   Oh, I think you have a very optimistic view of what these social platforms are up to.

01:47:24   The next turn is going to be dynamically generated video advertising with influencers in it.

01:47:30   They are already building that stuff. YouTube just announced in the last week

01:47:36   a bunch of features to let YouTube creators have AI chat with their audiences

01:47:40   so they can manage the influx of communication that they get, which is a really important tool

01:47:46   because creator burnout is real and you want to spend all your time making videos and not talking

01:47:49   to your audience. So maybe you should let the AI chat with, but it's like the next turn is the AI

01:47:53   just makes the video for you. And it's coming so fast. And whether or not the smartphone camera is

01:48:00   the harbinger of doom or meta letting Instagram reels creators make AI avatars of themselves to

01:48:08   hawk vacuum cleaners or whatever they do, it's somewhere in the middle is like, "Hey, I just want

01:48:13   to open an app on my phone and see real photos that real people took." And that would be a good

01:48:18   outcome, I think, for a lot of folks. It's a total tangent, but it does make me wonder.

01:48:26   And like I said, scale makes for a difference, right? Anybody with Photoshop and who's really

01:48:34   good at Photoshop could have made any fake image that it takes you 15 seconds to type into

01:48:41   whatever your generative AI image platform of choice is and get an image. Anybody with

01:48:46   Photoshop who's good at it could have done it before for a still. It's not so easy to do it

01:48:52   for video, right? So video generation is like you're talking about pre-AI that would have taken

01:49:00   a very talented person significant amount of time and equipment and software and stuff like that.

01:49:07   So that's different video. But even with the still photos, it's just different at how easy it is,

01:49:16   right? Even the talented Photoshop person who could have done it before, it would have taken

01:49:20   that talented person some amount of time, and now it's like, "Ah, lol." Seven seconds. However

01:49:26   long it takes you to type the prompt is how long it takes you, and that makes it different. And

01:49:31   the whole internet is now inundated with shit because the shit is so easy to generate.

01:49:37   I'm excited. I mean, the new frontiers that are opening in insurance fraud, I think, will bring us

01:49:42   all many great stories to tell for years to come. Like, "Here's a car accident that just didn't

01:49:48   happen." We're just going to enter into, I think, a period of chaos that will resolve because if it

01:49:55   doesn't resolve, I think we can argue about AI safety bills and training frontier models and

01:50:02   whether or not they can scam their way into meeting alignment data, which is a real kind

01:50:06   of danger. Or you can be like, "No one will ever trust a photograph again, and society will collapse

01:50:12   because everyone is on guard that nothing that they don't see with their own eyes has happened."

01:50:17   I think that will resolve. I don't think we're all going to charge into that future without

01:50:21   at least giving it a shot to come back to something. But the tools we have right now,

01:50:27   like the C2PA standard, content authenticity initiative, the stuff we have is a lot of big

01:50:35   companies being like, "Bluetooth is going to be amazing. We're going to ship it five years from

01:50:39   now." Something else has to happen first. I think it's one of those situations where

01:50:46   something has to break in a particularly depressing way before there's real action.

01:50:50   And I'm just hoping that the thing that gets broken isn't totally horrifying.

01:50:54   Yeah, it's sort of a digression. But I do wonder, I think you've spoken about this. I'm not sure who disagrees that Google search results have gotten worse in recent years. And I think part of it is that the company is just less focused on it. It used to be the crown jewel of the company. It still is financially, but I just don't think the interest is there. But then I wonder how much of it is

01:51:22   just the avalanche of AI-generated bullshit that's out there. And it's even if the top minds at

01:51:28   Google had no priority other than making Google search web results as good as they could possibly

01:51:35   be, that dealing with AI-generated content is just, it's a losing battle. I don't know.

01:51:42   I think every company that has an algorithm, like every algorithmic media company, so it's Google or

01:51:49   Meta or TikTok or Snapchat or whatever, that is also invested in AI is sort of inherently at war with itself.

01:51:55   Yeah.

01:51:56   Right. You've got one part of the company that's making the AI slop, and then you've got the

01:51:59   recommendation algorithm team that's like, "We need to keep the slop out of here." And they are

01:52:03   not really allowed to say it's slop. And so you're just kind of stuck.

01:52:08   There's some kind of cartoon, single panel cartoon, where it's like Google is a building,

01:52:15   and there's slop coming out of one end, and it's going into Google search at the other end.

01:52:19   Yeah. And then there's this guy trying to filter out the real stuff. So that's a real problem for

01:52:23   Google. I think the other problem is there's not a lot of other great sources of referral traffic

01:52:31   on the web. So that if you and I still run websites, we're very committed to this thing.

01:52:38   And I want our website to have a user experience and be a good place to come visit directly. And

01:52:44   Darren, I know you've cared about that for a long time. Other publishers, they're just suppliers to

01:52:51   Google search. And they couldn't be more transparent about it when you click through.

01:52:55   Yeah. They're just like, "You're here. You came from a search engine. Here's all the ads we can

01:52:59   show you. And maybe you'll sign up for a newsletter. Here's a full page interstitial."

01:53:02   Yeah. "You're leaving. Goodbye. We'll hopefully come back later."

01:53:04   The guy who bought the domain name for Tua a couple months ago and a couple other sites like

01:53:11   iLounge or something like that. There's a monumental amount of content being generated

01:53:19   on this new zombie site that's called the unofficial Apple web blog. But none of it

01:53:24   has any intention of building up a regular readership of human beings. It's not even

01:53:29   a little bit, right? No, not even a little bit, as opposed to the old days of content farms where

01:53:34   there was some kind of, "If you want to come every day, that'd be great too." It's not really our

01:53:39   primary goal, but it's there. Whereas now it's just, "No, no, we're just trying to get search

01:53:43   traffic." And it's all, we don't have any real people. So our marginal costs are nothing to just

01:53:48   generate tons of slop instead of a little slop. But what's interesting about Google search in

01:53:53   particular is they don't control any of the other inputs to that system. They're just the thing,

01:54:00   they're just the incentive structure for everyone. So everyone's constantly trying to gain Google

01:54:04   search. And then Google has this army of people who are constantly explaining that you shouldn't

01:54:09   really, and here's this thing. Whereas Instagram, it's just a closed ecosystem. So Adam and Sarah

01:54:14   can just show up on Instagram and be like, "Do this." And everyone does it for a while

01:54:18   until he changes his mind. And they're just more in control of this integrated algorithmic media

01:54:25   ecosystem. And I don't think that means the slop will stay away. There's already slop all over

01:54:30   these platforms. But Google just has this fire hose problem that it is just not in control of.

01:54:36   They can't just be like, "We're going to punish all of you." Because it wants to remain this

01:54:41   neutral, it wants to search the web. And the web is just so radically optimized for one referrer.

01:54:48   Honestly, the best thing Google to do to fix Google search is set up another company that

01:54:55   has another algorithm for providing referral traffic. So some people try to

01:55:00   game that algorithm and you get more diversity on the web.

01:55:02   Fake their own... Or not even fake, but create their own diversity.

01:55:07   When you lose diversity in the ecosystem, it collapses. That's what's happening to the web

01:55:13   right now. Yeah. It's almost like the web has become inbred.

01:55:17   Yeah. It's just going to fall. And the web pages look like it. We're going to get canceled for

01:55:24   saying this. But this over optimization is the symptom of only having one major referrer.

01:55:31   Yeah, I think so. And it's almost like Google's going to shrug its shoulders and be like, "Well,

01:55:38   what are we supposed to do?" But I think you're right that they almost need a second input.

01:55:42   I don't know. But then Google also runs YouTube, which is a closed ecosystem. And they can run the

01:55:48   made on YouTube creator event and Neil Mo on the CEO of YouTube can be like, "Make this." And then

01:55:53   look, people make it. And YouTube is fine because it's a closed ecosystem.

01:55:57   So I just look at all this stuff and it's like, "Yep, all these algorithmic companies are going

01:56:01   to be at war with each other because they're making their own slop." But Google search in

01:56:06   particular, because it doesn't control the other side, it doesn't control the money,

01:56:10   and it's in constant antitrust battles, basically, it just doesn't have... It can't fix it the way

01:56:16   that TikTok can just fix it. I think for me and you, I don't know about you,

01:56:22   I don't track my referrals more than once or twice a month. I look at them and Google's still there,

01:56:29   but it's lower than ever. But the number of people who come to my homepage, I think it's ticked back

01:56:35   up recently. And surely it has for the verge. Your homepage is designed to be a destination.

01:56:41   And the few things we can see is direct traffic is up and our comments are up. I think both of

01:56:46   those are very much related to Twitter going away. People are coming to us, the tech Twitter is all

01:56:52   but gone. And then people want to have a conversation. And we have Quarrel, which is

01:56:57   great. And that's our common system. And so you can just do it. And those two things, those numbers

01:57:02   are just going up. And I think it's healthier overall. I really do. And it's not that Twitter's

01:57:08   gone away or that Twitter like social networking has gone away, but the centrality of Twitter has

01:57:12   gone away. And I don't think it's ever going to come back. I mean, who knows long run, but maybe

01:57:19   threads is the only one with patience. But I also don't think Instagram has, or meta has a history of

01:57:25   patience. Like I don't know that they're going to care. But I think though, even if the aggregate

01:57:31   number of tweet like posts that the world is sending is higher than ever because of threads

01:57:36   and the remnants of Twitter at X and the rise of Mastodon and however much blue sky has taken. And

01:57:43   they shot up in Brazil when X got shut down down there. The fact that there's no more one place

01:57:50   where Twitter like tweets go, which used to be Twitter means that in people's minds in its media

01:57:57   influence, none of them do. Collectively, they don't have the influence that Twitter used to

01:58:02   have, even if Twitter at its peak was smaller than the aggregate of all the ones people are using

01:58:08   today. I think that's right. I think it's pretty good that there's not centrality. I do too. I

01:58:12   think it's good. I think it's great that verge verge readers are spending more time on verge

01:58:17   comments. I think it's absolutely a win. I really did. In the line I've long stolen from my friend

01:58:23   Casey Newton is anybody can get traffic, but it's really hard to build an audience. We have an

01:58:27   audience. So true. We're just gonna we're just gonna try to serve that audience as much as we

01:58:31   can. We're betting really hard and Federation like, I think activity pub is it. We have to

01:58:38   there's a lot there. Like it is. It is a very it's a standard right now that supports mastodon

01:58:43   and like a little bit of threads. And then some other companies like Ghost are starting to figure

01:58:48   it out. And there's some really interesting ideas and flipboard and other like, but it's all a bunch

01:58:53   of nascent ideas. You remember you used to describe Twitter as a playground for app design. And I

01:58:58   really want activity pub to get to that state. It's just there isn't enough yet. And so we and

01:59:05   and then we are like, OK, so we're going to post a quick post to our site that will get federated.

01:59:09   It'll show up on threads and then millions of follow up questions. What happens when someone

01:59:15   likes that post? Am I going to start showing likes on our home page? That's a big decision for a

01:59:20   publisher. What if someone replies to it and it's not a comment we want to expose because it's

01:59:24   outside of our community guidelines on our site, like how will we handle that moderation? And you

01:59:28   just have to solve a bunch of problems. And the thing I keep saying is like, at least they're new

01:59:33   problems. Like I've solved the old problems a lot. I'd like to solve some new ones. So that's really

01:59:40   interesting to me, but it's going to take us some time. But I think that is actually that the way

01:59:44   forward is to say, actually, you can you can take a bunch of content, a lot of places and remix it

01:59:48   into new kinds of experiences. And we can all participate in like a network, an ecosystem,

01:59:53   without this notion that Jack Dorsey is in charge. Right. And I, I get being turning your

02:00:02   cynicism dial all the way to 10 for anything related to meta, I get it. I mean, mine's pretty

02:00:09   close to 10. But I actually think it makes total sense that they're actually pretty invested in

02:00:16   getting threads to embrace activity pub as best they can, and as best fits their model. Because

02:00:23   the whole thing with threads is just sort of, they're just sort of punking on Elon, they really

02:00:28   are. There's no other point. They know that there's no real money from from their scale,

02:00:34   from their perspective, in text based bursts of social media. They just know, I mean, there's

02:00:41   some money and they will turn on the ad spigot eventually on threads. But overall, it's just

02:00:48   there to fuck with Elon Musk. And I'm here for it. And it's not bad. But that therefore, like,

02:00:54   there's a reason why they're not talking about bringing Instagram to activity pub. Right?

02:01:00   Yeah. I don't know if they can at this point. I don't even know if they can, but they're not

02:01:05   going to because they don't want to open that up because it generates so much money because

02:01:09   it's a video. And even still, even the still photography remnants of Instagram that are still

02:01:15   there, it's visual and people, more people are more engaged with visual media and visual media

02:01:21   pay better ad rates than text ones. Overall, they will definitely do AI influencer ads

02:01:27   before. I mean, if you just think about like ads, it's funny how much I brought up ads in this.

02:01:32   I'm very worried about the AI supported advertising future. I think it's going to be

02:01:37   pure chaos. But if you're an advertiser and you want to do programmatic advertising on the web,

02:01:41   which is what they all want to do, you know, like I want to target 18 to 35 year old men in New York

02:01:46   and 18 to 35 year old women in California. Right. And all of them have bought shoes,

02:01:52   like basic programmatic advertising stuff. Well, that's one big target. And you can send some ads

02:01:57   to those things. Or you could say, here are my assets. Here's my face to sell these assets.

02:02:02   Find every single person with a propensity to buy my shoes and make them an ad based on what

02:02:08   meta knows about them. And we're like two turns away from this. Right. Like it's way closer than

02:02:15   you think. They're all investing in it. They're all talking about it. TikTok is already selling

02:02:19   the capabilities at the conferences that the advertisers are going to. It's so close. And

02:02:25   I actually think what that will open up is some desire, some demand in the market for. I would

02:02:30   like to talk to some real people in some sane environments. And I'm just hopeful that we can

02:02:35   somehow make a business for journalism out of that demand, as opposed to the pure entertainment

02:02:41   of various feeds. I agree. All right, let me take a break here and thank our final sponsor of the

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02:04:48   All right. One last topic on the phone. Yeah. Is is camera control too finicky?

02:04:56   Oh, it's a good one. Yes. It's overloaded. Yeah. I wish actually I saw a video of someone today

02:05:03   doing, I think the most interesting thing you can do with it. They were shooting in portrait

02:05:08   and they like squeezed it with their thumb and then they use their finger on the screen to

02:05:13   move the camera control. And I was like, oh, that's pretty good. Like actually it's pretty

02:05:18   good to have a quick access button to bring up these controls that you just use with your finger.

02:05:22   But I have found it almost impossible to dial in doing the horizontal slip in landscape.

02:05:26   I love the idea of it and I have used it and there are times like carefully constructing

02:05:34   a frame where I do think it's useful not to be obscuring the screen and to just be going back

02:05:42   and forth between two things. But also it's good that photographic styles are not destructive

02:05:54   because I have shot a bunch of photos that are in like, why am I shooting luminous? Why is everything

02:05:59   purple? All right. Luminous is this like sort of purple pink color cast to an image. And it's

02:06:06   because it's like right next to natural, which I have been shooting. And apparently my fingers

02:06:11   slid over. I really wish another click would make those controls go away. I actually said that to

02:06:16   Apple. I was like, it's hard to make them go away because once you're done setting it, you want to

02:06:21   like dismiss the control. So you'd actually change it. And they were like, oh yeah, it's good note.

02:06:26   You can tap on the screen to make it go. And I was like that this destroys the purpose of this,

02:06:31   but it's for now until we figure out a way to dismiss it. That's been my solution is used to

02:06:36   a quick tap on the screen and control goes away. I think they're very serious about it. I think

02:06:40   it's here to stay. I don't think they did this on a whim and they're going to be like, oh,

02:06:43   nobody really used it. And next year's phones aren't going to have camera control. I think

02:06:47   this was definitely a, they say measure twice, cut once. I think this was think about it for years

02:06:54   and then, okay, we're going to add a control just for the camera to the iPhone. But I,

02:07:00   and as much as it exposes so many different things, two layers, it's it for a first version

02:07:08   of this product in the first OS that supports it. There's a lot there, but the main thing I

02:07:13   want from it that's not there is the ability to take stuff out. Right? Like I wrote in my review,

02:07:19   I never want the zoom feature. I do not want to zoom to 1.7 or 2.4 or 5.3. I want to snap

02:07:29   between the lenses. I want to snap between 0.5125 and that's it. And you could do that with the

02:07:37   camera one. That's not zoom, but camera, it just switches between those things, those hard stops.

02:07:44   But I want to take zoom out so I never get over there. I don't want it. And if I do want to zoom,

02:07:49   it doesn't, you know, if I take it out of camera control, like you said, I could just go back to

02:07:52   the screen, pinch and zoom or use the zoom dial. There's no reason it has to be up there. So,

02:07:58   and I would love to take out all the photographic styles that I don't want in there. And if I ever

02:08:03   do want them, I can get back to them the other way, you know, the on-screen interface.

02:08:08   So, I'm playing with the control while you're talking. I can see you doing it.

02:08:11   I can't, I can't help but agree with you. I just want the tone control. I just want the one control

02:08:16   that I'm going to use all the time. Right. Yeah. And it, it's kind of weird that they've exposed

02:08:22   so much, but not the ability to specify what you want at your fingertips. It's all there all the

02:08:29   time in their hard-coded coded order. Like I want standard and natural right next to each other with

02:08:35   stark black and white next, because those are the three I'm imagining shooting with the most. But in

02:08:42   the meantime, I've got to skip over all of these other styles that I definitely don't want.

02:08:47   Have you looked at the preserve settings screen for the camera and the settings yet?

02:08:52   It is a lot. Like we're, we're very close to needing a full rethink of,

02:08:59   there should be like a simple mode for the camera and then like a pro mode.

02:09:04   Because if you look at preserve settings, a lot of it is kind of what you're getting at. Like,

02:09:09   how do I want this thing to work every time I open it? I have a point of view on how I want it

02:09:14   to work every time I open it. So here's the style I want it to be set in. Here's the tone. Like,

02:09:18   here's this stuff versus just jump back to the fault every time I open the camera. And it's,

02:09:23   it, it makes sense. Like it's logical. There's nothing irrational about it, but it's also just

02:09:30   not how my brain works. That setting the camera requires me to go to a screen called preserve

02:09:35   settings. Like it, it's, it's like a, it's like like a weird evolutionary path to a name that

02:09:43   doesn't mean anything in this context. And I think there's just a point where like, just do it how

02:09:49   Canon or Nikon or Sony does it. Like all those pro cameras have tons of configurable buttons and

02:09:54   everyone, those people who use those cameras, figure them out. And that's fine. And I think

02:09:58   this is kind of the same place. Yeah. It's like, they've exposed so much and you're right.

02:10:03   There's a, there's a long list. It's a lot of scrolling, just settings, camera preserve

02:10:08   settings, just that alone. But it's, it's like, they're not breaking down to just let me

02:10:14   configure this button to do the three things I want to do with the button.

02:10:17   Yeah. Yeah. You could, I was like, I basically asked the question, like, how do I make this

02:10:22   student? They're like preserve settings. I'm like, that doesn't, that's, it's a weird sort

02:10:25   of like sideways turn into like, let me program the button. I mean, it's fine. It does the job,

02:10:31   but it's, it's not quite what you're saying, which is get rid of the extraneous stuff I don't need.

02:10:36   Because at least let me reorder them. Even if I could just reorder them, it would help me just

02:10:42   group the ones I want at one end. I mean, but if you're going to let me reorder them,

02:10:47   why not just let me disable the ones I don't want?

02:10:50   How do you feel? So the flip side of this is the new control center in iOS 18,

02:10:55   which is just like a paradise of configurability in the least Apple way I can think of.

02:11:00   Like shit's just moving around and resizing and flying off another screen. It's so much so that I

02:11:07   think the beta, the newest beta of 18.1 has a button in it to reset control center because you

02:11:14   can get so sideways and control center. They realized they needed a reset to default.

02:11:19   I have hardly played with that feature because I find it so fiddly and annoying. And it's like

02:11:28   they've after all these years, 18 years, they finally made it so your home screen

02:11:32   doesn't just automatically fill all icons and widgets from the top left over.

02:11:37   You can make a design based around your wallpaper or whatever, snapping them to a grid rather than

02:11:45   filling. But then control center is like, oh, you miss the frustration of trying to get an icon in

02:11:50   the right place on your home screen? Here's a new game for you. It's like playing a really bad iPhone

02:11:57   game, or at least bad to me trying to get the controls in place. And I'm sure it's just thinking

02:12:05   about it for a few seconds. I'm sure it's a hard problem to solve. What should be the touchscreen

02:12:11   interface for rearranging a grid of irregular shapes that some of them are one by one, some

02:12:18   are one by two, they could be two by one, they could be two by two. It's tricky, but solving

02:12:25   those problems used to be Apple's bread and butter. And it's like I often think about the fact

02:12:33   that it's hard and annoying. And really, it's really annoying because I do it every year like

02:12:40   before I set up a new iPhone. So I'm like, let me start deleting some of these apps I never use. Let

02:12:44   me simplify my home screen a little. It's so hard to select multiple apps at one time. And it's like,

02:12:51   "Oh, it's possible." And somebody's gonna say, "Oh, it's possible you hold your one finger down on one

02:12:55   and you start tapping other ones with another finger." And everything's sliding all over the

02:13:00   place. Whereas the original Macintosh in 1984 invented that dancing ants rectangle. So if you

02:13:08   wanted to select three files on your desktop, you just drag a rectangle where the rectangle includes

02:13:13   all three. As soon as you let go, all three of those icons are selected and none of the other

02:13:18   ones are. And you've got a selection of three. That's a really tricky problem. How do you select

02:13:26   these three icons, but not those three icons that are next to them? Oh, you just drag a box around

02:13:31   them. Well, that's a really simple, elegant, fast solution that people will remember to do a

02:13:37   complicated thing. And I feel like— I'm at the point where I think they need an editor on the Mac

02:13:42   to let me design my home screen and my control center. And I opened phone mirroring on Sequoia,

02:13:49   and I was like, "Oh, man. What if I could just drag some boxes with my mouse? What if I could

02:13:55   edit these screens?" What if I can use these Mac paradigms? You absolutely cannot do it,

02:14:01   and it's the thing I want the most, actually. What I want phone mirroring the most is to edit

02:14:06   control center. Have a big window with all the icons over here. I have more or less left my

02:14:13   control. I'm patient zero for that reset to default because mine is mostly default. I've

02:14:19   got one or two customizations that I've changed over the last few months, but that's it.

02:14:25   Yeah. Mine is just we have so many smart home gadgets that some of them need to be there and

02:14:31   some of them don't. You want to move some up there. And then I really like the new flashlight

02:14:35   with the ring that gets wider and narrower. I think that's really cool, so I want that right

02:14:39   away. There's a lot of that stuff going on here. Yeah, and that's such a little feature. But to me,

02:14:46   and again, I'm not trying to be cynical, but to me, that flashlight feature is almost as cool

02:14:56   and worthy of attention as some of the AI features, right? It's at least as interesting

02:15:02   to me. It's more interesting to me than the whole image playground thing because I can do

02:15:07   what image playground does on other services right now. I don't have to wait for Apple,

02:15:12   whereas I did need to wait for Apple to give me a flashlight beam that can change and,

02:15:17   thankfully, a very beautiful Apple-like interface to control it, right? It's both functional and

02:15:24   fun and original and clever, and nobody else was ever going to be able to do that to the flashlight

02:15:29   on the back of my phone, whereas I have at least a dozen choices for image generation from a text

02:15:35   prompt already. I don't have to wait for it from Apple. So why not talk about that? Like, people

02:15:41   use the flashlight. They really do. I know that sounds silly for me to say they should make a

02:15:46   commercial telling people the flashlight's better than ever, but I'm telling you that actually would

02:15:50   get an awful lot of people watching football on Sunday to say, "Oh, I use the flashlight every

02:15:54   night." I know you had a lot of feelings about the video keynote versus the live keynote. You can't

02:16:01   show off the flashlight if you're doing a video keynote. Do you know what I mean? A live keynote,

02:16:06   you can have the presenter do the aside. It's like, "I want to show you one more thing."

02:16:10   Look at this and just make it even seem like an accident or an improv bit. Video keynote,

02:16:18   no spontaneity, right? And I think that's missing from a lot of this because you end up

02:16:23   trying to only talk about things that can hit in basically a flashy infomercial style instead of

02:16:30   just being enthusiastic about the product and these little flourishes. And I don't think they're

02:16:37   ever going to go back to live. I think they love how much video chat's travel. But I really think

02:16:41   they should. I think it's writ large what I was talking about an hour ago about Apple's

02:16:51   institutional cultural values leading them to overemphasize noise reduction in the photos.

02:16:59   It's that same sensibility that leads them internally to a fallen head over heels in love

02:17:07   with the prerecorded keynote film style because it looks so much more polished. It is. They are

02:17:14   more polished and they are more visually impressive. And they do feel like movies,

02:17:19   not stage shows, right? And that's really what they were, right? It's like the old in-person

02:17:25   keynotes were stage shows. They were on a physical stage and the primary audience was the people like

02:17:31   us who were in them, which at times like at WWDC was 5,000 people, lots of developers. It wasn't

02:17:37   just for the media. And watching them afterwards or the millions of people instead of thousands

02:17:45   of people who were in the theater or the keynote hall or Moscone or the San Jose Convention Center,

02:17:51   yes, millions of people watched at home and they were watching a recording of a stage show.

02:17:59   And old TV shows when TV was new looked like stage shows in the 1950s. So you could just sort of see

02:18:05   like, oh, they knew how to make a play. And now they put a camera in front of the play and that's

02:18:10   what you get. But there are times where you want to go see a play, not a movie, right? There's times

02:18:17   that there's a reason why theater, live theater is still a thing, right? And my wife and I like

02:18:24   to go see stand-up comedy and we've observed it is so sort of mid-level. But that was a pretty good

02:18:31   set. If you're in the room watching them live, you will think and laugh. You will think it funnier and

02:18:37   laugh harder than you would if you watched a recording of the exact same performance on YouTube

02:18:44   later. You would. It's better. But it's also, I could see though the Apple impulses, my God,

02:18:52   look at how much higher the production values are on these prerecorded videos. And we don't have to

02:18:57   worry. No demo is ever going to fail again, right? And from Apple's perspective, that's a win. But I

02:19:04   don't know that it really is a win. There's, I wrote about it last week that, I don't know,

02:19:09   there's a certain drama to the potential for a live demo to fail, right? And I read your piece

02:19:16   last week and I, you were talking about how they're less quirky, right? They're more polished.

02:19:20   I mean, this is again, like the GDP of the country depends on Apple shipping the iPhone on time. Like

02:19:26   there's that. I also wonder if they don't have someone who can hold the room, like jobs could

02:19:33   hold the room, right? Like if you want to put on the stage show, you got to put on a great stage

02:19:37   show. You can make any group of presenters pull off an infomercial, like you got music, you got,

02:19:43   you can swoop through Apple Park, you can do transitions. Craig can jump out of a plane,

02:19:48   all that stuff. And they can show and they get to put way more employees in the keynotes than

02:19:54   they would otherwise, which and from what I understand, those are the other companies and

02:19:59   like fake it. Like those are Apple's actual product marketing folks, like by and large.

02:20:04   So that's very impressive that they do that. But I do wonder if one of the reasons they haven't,

02:20:08   if they had a Steve Jobs like figure who could just command that room, then being in that room

02:20:15   when he was doing that demo would be a whole thing, right? They would be able to meter that

02:20:21   access, that would be an asset for them in a way that like I'm in the room watching the video.

02:20:27   I'm just here for the hands on you guys. Like I don't, whatever. Like I can live blog this from

02:20:32   home. And I did for two years in the pandemic. That's the I think that's the thing they're

02:20:37   missing, right? Is this this should be exclusive for a whole set of reasons. Or this should feel

02:20:42   special for a whole set of reasons, not just while this is happening, there are guys behind you

02:20:47   putting the phones on stands. I do think that that's also part of the reason that you don't get

02:20:53   as much emphasis on the flourish or the attention to detail. Because you can't,

02:20:58   I think in a production that big, you just can't do it.

02:21:00   Yeah. And like you said, the quirkiness, or I wrote about quirkiness and you saying like,

02:21:07   what if back in the day, if it had been Scott Forstall, who just loved, or maybe it was Jobs

02:21:12   himself, or Schiller or anybody who just really friggin like the time that Schiller really,

02:21:17   really wanted to spend a couple minutes talking about the subpixel, the size of the sensor or

02:21:23   whatever. What if somebody just really wants to show off how cool the new flashlight UI is?

02:21:29   Right? Like Jobs used to do that all the time. Like he would just say like, look at this,

02:21:33   and he'd just go boom. And then and then he'd go back and do it again. Boom. If there was like an

02:21:39   animation or like a button or something that he just thought really look cool, he would do it

02:21:44   like two or three times, which when they when he first demoed Aqua OS, yes, it was OS 10 Aqua back

02:21:51   then. It was not Mac OS yet. Right. It was probably still public beta when they and he was like,

02:21:54   here's the minimize. And he would, yes, motion like five times in a row. Yeah, it was just

02:21:58   minimizing windows. Yeah. What do you do? No, and even showed off. And it the shortcut is still

02:22:06   there to this day. If you hold down the shift button, really sure. Yeah, if you hold down the

02:22:10   shift, now, john and I are just minimizing windows, hit the yellow button. Yeah, it goes

02:22:13   in slow motion in slow motioning you into the dock right now. This hold down shift, hit the yellow

02:22:19   button on any Mac window. And it's slow mose into this is not happening for me. I think you're I

02:22:25   think they took it out. Oh, no. Well, I'm running Sonoma. What are you running? Sonoma? Are you

02:22:31   sure? I know it's still there. It's there in Chrome, at least but but yeah, he had them build

02:22:36   the feature. They left it in just to show. And again, it still works. I was watching you were

02:22:42   doing were you and I see video of each other as we talk here. As it's closing windows, as it's

02:22:48   zooming into the dock it in slow mo, the video is still playing even as it's squished. And yeah,

02:22:53   he showed it multiple times. You take take the windows back out of the dock. Let me show you

02:22:58   again. And that would never happen in the pre recorded version. They they might show it once,

02:23:03   but then they'd be moving on to the next thing. It's next next next. And the just I just want to

02:23:09   take a moment here and connect with you in the audience. And I know some of you are going to

02:23:13   share my emotional response to this cool little thing the same way I do like look at how the

02:23:19   flashlight beam actually changes on screen as the real flashlight actually changes its beam.

02:23:25   Isn't that cool? I kind of miss that. And I do feel like it works live in a way that it doesn't

02:23:32   work at all in these pre recorded keynotes. So they don't even try. So they skip all that stuff.

02:23:38   Yeah. To your point about quirkiness, I think that they are just very corporate now,

02:23:44   like to the point where like when they reintroduce the Apple Watch Ultra 2 in black,

02:23:48   they they just pretended they hadn't already shipped this product. And like,

02:23:54   that's just weird. Like a normal person would never just be like, I'm gonna just bluster my

02:24:00   way through this. Like the richest company in the world, they bluster through it. I think there's

02:24:05   just an element of kind of all this with Apple intelligence. Kind of all this with here's what

02:24:10   the photos are gonna look like. All this we're going to do infomercials now instead of live

02:24:15   events, where I think they're very confident in the things that they have. And they don't quite

02:24:22   know how to talk about the things that they're really, really good at. Because at the end of

02:24:26   the day, like smartphones are, they are very similar, like the photos from the Pixel and the

02:24:31   Samsung and the Apple, like, they're, they're so cool. You'd have to, I could argue about them. I

02:24:36   love arguing with them. But they all run apps, they all have web browsers, like, they're all

02:24:40   very good. And what makes Apple's phone better in lots of people's estimation is the level of polish

02:24:47   and attention to detail, and the tight integration between the hardware and software and everything.

02:24:51   And it's like, they've kind of lost that ability to be like, we're very proud of this very small

02:24:56   thing. And that thing is the thing that everybody emotionally connects with. They're off into,

02:25:01   we're summarizing your notifications, just like everyone else's. And that there's like,

02:25:06   I don't know if doing them live again would solve it. But there's like an emphasis on how human

02:25:13   Apple is that would that would definitely bring back to, to how they talk about themselves.

02:25:18   Yeah. Yeah, I feel like some of that still there. It's just that they don't talk about it. I feel

02:25:24   like a lot of the emphasis on the little like this flashlight thing is a is such a great example.

02:25:29   It's not that important. But I do think I wouldn't be surprised at all. If that feature in the live

02:25:36   keynote days would have gotten a little parenthetical side note on stage. And I don't

02:25:42   even think it was even considered for this. It wasn't like, well, let's shoot a little bit about

02:25:46   the cool new flashlight thing. But maybe we'll have to cut it. I don't even think they put it in.

02:25:50   Right. It's, it's so the, the fact that they built the feature is still there. But the fact that they

02:25:58   might promote it in its announcement was like, Oh, no, we're not gonna do that. We got it. We

02:26:03   have 20 minutes budgeted for Apple intelligence. Yeah. And we which we've already, which we've

02:26:09   already announced. Yeah. I have to say the chances of me buying a black Apple watch ultra two are

02:26:14   very high. But it's like that product is well announced. The AirPods Max were like super

02:26:21   announced in shipping for years. They've only made but one change like there's something here that is

02:26:29   a little lost in my opinion. Yeah. It's like I don't I don't think it's wrong to say that there's

02:26:37   no new Apple there's no new ultra three this year. And yet in the meantime to say but there is a cool

02:26:43   new color. Yeah, that's fine. But then you just have to say in some ways and just make it super

02:26:50   clear. There's no new ultra three this year. That's not quite how Apple would say it but we have a cool

02:26:55   new color of the ultra two people love their Apple watch ultras. And the Apple watch ultra two is now

02:27:01   available in this excellent diamond like coating they would have done in a previous iteration of

02:27:07   Apple they would have done like five minutes on anodizing aluminum. Johnny I would have been like,

02:27:13   here's what I do. I take the black color and then I vapor blast it onto this thing and that

02:27:17   turns upside down. There's five lasers and then everything gets very cold and now it's black.

02:27:21   And like that would have been captivating. You know what's funny? I didn't think about that. But

02:27:25   that's one of the most telltale signs of Johnny Ives absence from Apple is their complete lack

02:27:33   of any promotional interest in their materials engineering chops. Right. They just ship the new

02:27:41   colors. And it's like, yes, desert titanium. Everybody I've spoken to as who has an opinion on

02:27:47   colors as fashion thinks it's a very hot color. Yes, this is going to sell very well. This is

02:27:54   an in color palette this year. But there was nothing in the keynote showing the fancy

02:28:00   machinery that creates this thing. It's just like, nope, here's a new color where there's

02:28:04   10 minutes of CNC aluminum machining to make MacBook bodies. Right. The most the most Johnny

02:28:11   Ive moment of any keynote ever, I think was when they spent time talking about how they learned

02:28:17   to, they learned advanced for, I forget the verb, but how to make really, really premium 24 karat

02:28:26   gold for the Apple Watch. Like, it's not the fact that they made $20,000 Apple Watches and sold them

02:28:33   for a year, which was unusual. But I actually kind of get the thinking there to get the intro to get

02:28:42   covers on Vogue or something and just sort of say this isn't a nerd watch to watch watch. But the

02:28:49   fact that they spent time in the keynote bragging about how they learned to make the gold and it was

02:28:54   a long part of the keynote. That's the crazy part. Because it's like you just know that Johnny Ive

02:29:00   actually spent a lot of time learning how gold is made and he wanted to share that with everybody,

02:29:05   like Mr. Rogers. It's almost like it didn't look like an episode of Mr. Rogers, but it's like Johnny

02:29:11   Ive teaching us something about how gold is made. Did you see that there's a long profile of Ive

02:29:16   and Love From and The Times? Did you check that? I just linked to it a couple an hour or two before

02:29:21   we started recording. Yes, by Trip Mickle of all people. Yeah, you can really tell. I mean,

02:29:27   Trip wrote the big book about Johnny versus Tim. I leave those dots stubbornly unconnected.

02:29:33   It makes you wonder if maybe they've ever spoken before. I don't know. Trip was on this show a while

02:29:41   ago and I tried to after his book came out and yeah, he obviously wasn't going to spill about

02:29:47   who unnamed sources are for certain things. He's held his tongue on who's who, but kind of obvious.

02:29:57   Anyway, there's a he designed a jacket and he's yeah, I researched the history of all buttons.

02:30:03   Yeah, and they made a book. And I made a book about it's perfect. You ever read that profile?

02:30:07   It's good. They made a new book. They made a book. They make books for their clients at Love From,

02:30:12   which and Johnny apparently started this at Apple too. And that's like the the coffee table book

02:30:18   that Apple released upon Johnny's I forget if it was when he left the company or just

02:30:25   took the chief design officer role for a couple years. But the made by Apple in California super

02:30:32   expensive coffee table book is a type of book that Johnny's design team had been making for

02:30:36   themselves internally for years. And Love From continues to do this. They make hardcover books

02:30:42   for their like if The Verge hired Love From to design a new comment form or something. Part of

02:30:49   the deliverables would be a delightful I'm sure hardcover book showing the design process. Yeah.

02:30:55   And in addition to those books for clients, they made their own book showing the history of

02:31:00   fasteners for jackets. It's very good. It's very good. And the button looks cool. Although people

02:31:05   have made those kinds of buttons before, it must be said. But I think there's there's something

02:31:10   there where the delight in the like, nitty gritty of the process, particularly when you go all the

02:31:17   way to the video format. You just you just lose the ability to shift into it. Because remember,

02:31:23   Johnny never was on stage. Now be like, and here's a video from Johnny. And he would be like,

02:31:27   here's how I vapor deposit aluminium. And that would be cool. And then we would come back to like,

02:31:32   and now I'm holding the thing. And that shift was actually important. That made it work in a way

02:31:38   that I think if you just did material science in the middle of it, right? You would not be able to

02:31:42   pull it off. Yeah, they totally made it work. Yeah, I think Johnny's appearances he just

02:31:50   apparently just I don't think he's got stage fright per se. And he does on stage interviews.

02:31:55   It's not like he won't appear on say he just didn't want to do it in the context of a keynote.

02:32:00   And I can understand it. And I kind of feel like to he he knew that jobs is literally the best

02:32:08   there ever was and probably will be at that. And so why would he want to be on stage? But he I think

02:32:17   he was he took like a phone call from Steve Jobs, like with the iPhone. And I don't know, he'd appear

02:32:24   like on FaceTime or something if they were demoing a new FaceTime feature or something, but no, not

02:32:28   live. What else did you what else did you make of the sort of love from because the other thing I

02:32:36   thought was the thing I called out was the timing of the profile coming out the day after the iPhones

02:32:41   were released. I don't know that the interview took place in June. It was it said multiple

02:32:48   times that Michael was there at love from office in San Francisco or burgeoning offices in San

02:32:54   Francisco. So I don't think it's a coincidence that it came out the day after the iPhones released,

02:32:59   but it might have entirely been the New York Times his own editorial decision to save this and put it

02:33:05   out the day after iPhone day not loving my my instinct is that the Times made that call. There's

02:33:12   no Yeah. And because the other thing I know is a feature. There's no like scoop in here. Yeah. And

02:33:18   I don't really I don't see how anybody including Johnny I've can boss the times around on Okay,

02:33:25   we'll give you this access. But we want this to come out on September 21. Because we kind of want

02:33:32   to take a little steal a little thunder from the iPhone. I don't see that happening. I really don't

02:33:37   not unless there's like product use in here, which would be a pretty normal embargo. And there's just

02:33:41   none of it. I sincere I think this is just the Times found an opportune moment to publish the

02:33:45   story when there's interest is high. The thing that really caught me. There's a picture in here

02:33:50   of I've dinner. And it's like the birthday the five year anniversary of love from and he's taking

02:33:56   a photo with his iPhone. And he's just got like, a light blue silicon case on the phone. And I,

02:34:04   I don't even knew I like had this thought. But I was like, Oh, the most famous designer in the

02:34:12   world has an iPhone. Right? Like, it's just a iPhone in a boring Apple case. Like,

02:34:19   it's not a fancy case. It's just no. And obviously, because he designed it.

02:34:24   Yeah, it's just the light blue silicon case. Yeah, it's like nothing, right? I always say

02:34:29   silicone silicone. It's the silver. I wish they just call it rubber. Like,

02:34:32   it's like rubber. No, it's, it's just a very boring thing for him to have. Yeah. And it's

02:34:37   obviously is like complicated beast. And it's maybe the most important consumer electronic

02:34:42   product all time. But you just look at this photo. And you're like, Oh, you just got like,

02:34:46   and there's just something about that, that I, in reading this whole thing, and there's that whole,

02:34:53   that picture is right before a big scoop about how he's working on a AI device with Sam Altman.

02:34:58   And there's all this stuff in there that's layers upon layers, how it works.

02:35:01   But I mean, that the other scoop in there is that he has, in fact, hired Evans Hankey,

02:35:07   who Yeah, and a lot of ex Apple designers are coming to work with him, which

02:35:10   maybe interpret that as a warning sign. But even inside of all that, I'm like looking in this

02:35:16   photo. And I'm like, he doesn't have a cooler iPhone. No. Right. And like, a lot of the things

02:35:21   he has are cooler. He has a cooler car than I do. Yeah, definitely. He has he wears more expensive

02:35:26   t shirts, and he has cooler shoes. And, and I know a book about buttons just to make a jacket.

02:35:31   But his phone is the same dumb phone. And there's just something about that,

02:35:36   that one photo that it just, I look, I just sat there looking at it for quite a while.

02:35:40   It reminds me there's the I often cited I love it, the Andy Warhol quote about

02:35:47   coke, that every coke is the one thing that's great. America popularized this notion that some

02:35:52   of our best and most beloved products are the same ones available to everybody. The President

02:35:58   drinks a regular coke, Liz Taylor drinks a coke, and the bum on the corner gets the same coke that

02:36:03   they get to drink. And I remember thinking it at South by Southwest. I haven't been there forever.

02:36:09   So it was a long, long time ago, but it was after the iPhone. So it's probably like,

02:36:14   2008 2009. And I'm coming out of dinner with a couple of friends and I saw Michael Dell waiting

02:36:21   in the lobby. I guess he was all by himself. So I don't know if his people were in the bathroom or

02:36:27   the other people he was eating with weren't there yet. And he had some kind of phone from Microsoft

02:36:32   or something. I forget what it was at the time, but it wasn't an iPhone. And I just remember

02:36:35   thinking that dude's a billionaire and I have a better phone. How is that possible? And I thought,

02:36:41   oh, that is kind of possible. If he's going to refuse to use an iPhone on principle as Michael

02:36:47   Dell, the guy who put the Dell in Dell, then, and there's no phone that's as good as the iPhone.

02:36:53   And there's no way for a billionaire like James Bond style to commission their own or Tony Stark,

02:37:00   right? Like you can't just commission your own Tony Stark phone. That's not how it works. Then,

02:37:06   yeah, I have a better phone than a billionaire. Yeah, I mean, there's just something again,

02:37:10   that's a harp on this photo too much. It was just the thing that I think I spent the most,

02:37:13   like the rest of it. You're like, oh, he's like doing some stuff. He made, made a Ferrari. Like

02:37:16   he wrote a book on steering wheels before he made a Ferrari steering. Great stuff, $2,000 jackets,

02:37:22   Ferrari, electronic time of his life. And then you're like, he made this one extraordinarily

02:37:28   complicated world-changing device. So common that when he's holding, I'm like, huh, shouldn't he

02:37:34   have one? And it's like, no, actually that's the thing that he made the most. And there, I don't,

02:37:39   I was just very struck by it. John Syracuse pointed that to me over the weekend. He texted

02:37:43   me just because I always rib him a little. John Syracuse always keeps his iPhone in a case and I

02:37:49   keep my phones out of the case most of the year. And his comment was even Johnny I've used as a

02:37:55   case. I thought that was interesting that he uses a case at all, but, but the fact that it is just a

02:38:02   basic Apple silicone case. Interesting too. Yeah. My belief is that these phones are not made to

02:38:07   be put in cases. I do too. Do you think the camera control changes that? I do.

02:38:12   I actually, maybe it's just, you get used to it. I've had this phone in a case. This phone

02:38:18   has Apple's review in it, so I can't break it. So it's been in a case since the second I got it.

02:38:23   And I think I just, because it's how I got used to it, I think I prefer the camera control in

02:38:29   the case than out of the case. Ah, interesting. It works really well with Apple's cases. And

02:38:35   did they send you the Beats one too? I have that. Chris Walsh has the Beats one. It's pretty good.

02:38:40   Yeah, it is pretty good. It's interesting. I actually think I like it better than Apple's.

02:38:43   Maybe not the bright Beats logo on the side, but I like the feel of it. And

02:38:48   do you know why Beats is making iPhone cases? Not really. I, and it was, you know,

02:38:55   like the emails were coming from someone with an Apple address. It's like, there seemed to be

02:39:00   blurring, whatever pretend lines they had between Beats and Apple, or if these cases seemed to be

02:39:06   blurring the line a little bit. Yeah. I mean, I don't, I'm surprised Beats still exists to

02:39:11   be perfectly honest with you. I, well, I don't know though. Maybe they sell a lot more Beats

02:39:16   headphones than, than I think. And, and they obviously have a very, putting aside the colors

02:39:22   for the Max, they have some very strong opinions on the color options available for the Bud style

02:39:27   AirPods. Yeah. And some people don't want that look. I don't know. But I don't, I guess the

02:39:33   first party case thing is weird too, with the lack of fine woven, which I'm not surprised by.

02:39:38   And it's not that fine woven has been abandoned. They make the watch straps in it. They make the

02:39:42   key chain fobs for the air, air tags still are in fine woven. There's something else. Oh, the

02:39:48   wallets, the magnetic wallets you can snap on the back are still made of fine woven. It's just the

02:39:53   cases that they've stopped making this year because they did not last. It was not a good

02:39:58   material for something that your dirty hands and pockets are constantly in contact with,

02:40:04   but now they don't have a premium phone material because it's like, well, we tried to replace

02:40:08   leather and we bad mouth the environmental impact of leather. So they're not, they can't go back to

02:40:14   leather PR wise, but now there's nothing. And it's still just rubber cases with no nice metal buttons

02:40:22   or anything, which is kind of weird because this is the year when a premium phone case would have

02:40:27   the most likely appeal because they have the camera cutout or a camera control. That's not

02:40:34   a cutout. That actually is a pass through button. I think the case makers are going to figure out

02:40:39   how to make it capacitive. Oh yeah, I think so. And Apple told me that they, now that it's out

02:40:44   and it's public, they are going to share specs so that they'll have as much info. It's just that,

02:40:51   how long will it take them to get them on the market? What a business that I would not want

02:40:56   anything to do with. One of my favorite stories, actually Carmen wrote this first, ages ago,

02:41:01   profiled the two people who run the case inventory for AT&T and Verizon stores.

02:41:08   Yeah, I remember that. They're like rival and they make markets. They can make or break these

02:41:12   case companies by stocking their cases in the AT&T store. I remember, and I remember after I

02:41:18   read that story, there's a Verizon and AT&T store. I mean, it's not a coincidence. They're like

02:41:23   Catacorra from each other in Center City, Philadelphia. And so I popped into them just to

02:41:27   see. And it's AT&T does carry more, or at least as of like a year or two ago, more cases and Verizon

02:41:34   has fewer, even though it's a huge store in Philadelphia. But from the story I gathered,

02:41:41   it's sort of a strategic difference that it's like they're optimized, but the case makers that

02:41:45   are on Verizon's list, they must be selling boatloads of them to people who buy their phones

02:41:50   in the store. It's crazy. What a business. It's 100% attached, right? If you buy a phone that you

02:41:55   buy a case like absolutely no, no one's no one's not doing it. So I think they had it's like pure

02:42:00   margin at this. Yeah. Yeah. And the third party ones, I'm sure they get a much bigger cut of than

02:42:06   apples. All right. I think that's enough. I love how you start and end your show. Mine is like,

02:42:12   very formal. We have this like script. You're like, "Oh, we're good."

02:42:15   I'm getting tired. Yeah. It's like, "I'm out. Old man's got to go to bed."

02:42:23   And of all the people who are on the show, I think Nilay, you'd probably need the less direction

02:42:28   to people where to find you. Obviously, your writing is at theverge.com. You're on Threads.

02:42:35   You're on, are you on Mastodon or is it Threads mostly? It's Threads federated. I have a Mastodon

02:42:40   account. I have a Blue Sky account. I check them. I try not to give my work away for free.

02:42:45   So I'm not using all of those as much, but I'm on them. You can find me there.

02:42:50   So it's Reckless or Reckless 1280 on all the platforms.

02:42:54   Well, I thank you. I will thank our sponsors of the day, Squarespace,

02:42:57   where you can build your own website and Tip Top, where you can find it at checkout

02:43:04   and trade in some of your stuff to get a discount when you buy new stuff.