458: Weaving on a Thoughtful Basis
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From Relay FM, this is Upgrade, episode 458. Today's show is brought to you by ExpressVPN
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and Uni Pizza Ovens. My name is Mike Curley and I'm joined by Jason Snell. Hi Jason.
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We're like less than a month away now from WWDC.
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I feel like it's all slotting into place. I don't know, there's something,
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it's been all kind of amorphous up to now, but now suddenly I feel like, you know, it's, it's
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next week we do this and next week we do that, yeah, week after we do this, and like it's,
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it's all kind of forming now. It's more real now, I think. It's coming. Yeah. But,
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tradition remains and I have a Snell Talk question for you. It comes from Ramona who wants to know,
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"Jason, which are your favorite pizza toppings and do you like to eat pizza crust?"
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Did we, have we not covered this?
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Oh, of course we have, but like, what, you think everyone that's listening now has been listening
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for the last five years? That's not how this works. People dip back into the archive for
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the pizza supercut that we should make now about all of our conversations about pizza.
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You could have changed, your topping choices could have changed.
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People do change, but my pizza preferences remain the same.
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Pepperoni's always been my favorite pizza topping.
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Always. Always been. Which is funny because like my kids, especially my son, is like,
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"Cheese pizza." He doesn't want any toppings on it at all, which I don't understand at all.
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But as a kid, you know, really I think you're offered two kinds of pizza. It's a little more
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sophisticated today, but back when I was a kid, there were two kinds of pizza. Cheese pizza and
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pepperoni pizza. And you could order special of stuff, but like if you're getting something for
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kids or you're just getting a slice, your choices are cheese or pepperoni. Those are the choices.
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And I always liked the pepperoni. I thought that was great. So in college, you experiment as you
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do, right? In college, it's a time in your young life when you're like, "Let's try new things. Let's
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try different things. Put different things inside our bodies and see how it makes us feel."
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And for whatever reason, while working at the, just let it go, Mike, working at the college
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newspaper, we would end up ordering pizza late because we were hungry and working all evening
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on the newspaper until like the early hours of the morning. And it was out of there that,
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and I don't know who ordered it or if I ordered it and thought it was a funny thing. I think somebody
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must have ordered it and I just had it. Somebody had a pepperoni with pineapple on it. And again,
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formative moments in my young life. I had the pepperoni with the pineapple. You got the salty,
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slightly spicy pepperoni, and you got that sweet pineapple flavor.
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The good texture of cooked pineapple too, I feel like.
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Yes. I was a changed man, Mike. That was the end of it. So since then, pepperoni and pineapple,
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which is funny because I did not, it wasn't like I had a Hawaiian pizza and said, "You know, this
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Canadian bacon on here, this ham would be better if it was pineapple or if it was pepperoni."
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That's not how I came to it. Maybe the person who ordered it came to it that way,
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or maybe the Domino's pizza we ordered from did not have Canadian bacon. Regardless,
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it became my favorite. So now that's what I get. I like other kinds of pizza though, I will say.
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Barbecue chicken pizza is really good. I know that there's some people out there, John Siracusa, who
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scoff at barbecue chicken pizza. I kind of love it. We were visiting Salt Lake City on our way to
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the eclipse a few years ago. We did a road trip to Idaho to see the eclipse. And we ate at a,
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it was like a underground pizza bar place that I think it was the summer, so there was not very
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many people there, but I think University of Utah people go to there. So it's like a college pizza
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place. And they had a barbecue chicken pizza with Gouda, with smoked Gouda on it, was maybe the best
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pizza I've ever had. Like it was amazing. So runner up barbecue chicken pizza, and if you're in Salt
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Lake City, find that college pizza dive, because oh my god, it was great. Do you eat the crust?
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Crust strategy. Yeah, I like the crust. Depends on how much I'm eating.
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If I'm ordering- It also depends on the quality of the pizza.
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And yeah, sure, right. I mean, lousy crust is lousy. There are times when I will, like, we will
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order a pizza and it's nice and hot now and we're probably not going to take it home, or it's like,
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it's personal sized enough that whatever is left you're not going to take home, and I will then,
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I will often prioritize the non-crust parts because it'll be like, well, I'm going to fill
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up on crust and I'd rather have more of the cheese and sauce, please. So it varies. At home, Lauren
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frequently doesn't eat the crust, and occasionally if it's a particularly good dough that I have made,
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I will eat her crust because that's real good crust and I'm not going for another piece.
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That's husband's prerogative, man. That's what you get.
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Yeah, exactly. It's, I made that crust and now I take it back and I'm going to eat it.
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So yeah, yeah, sure. Sometimes, sometimes not. If you're not, if I'm not hungry enough and I like
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the cheese, the pizza itself is filling enough, then the crust is the first to go. I'll put it
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that way. It's optional, but I do like it. Long time listeners will know that I have always been
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a fan of pepperoni too, and you turn me on to the ways of pineapple pepperoni, which I think is the
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perfect combo for a pizza. I will say the thing that has changed in my life is if, you know,
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something like pineapple is not available to you, you want to try something different. Spicy honey
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serves a lot of the like, the flavor balancing for pepperoni. So like pepperoni with like a spicy
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honey, it's very good because it adds a bit of sweet and also adds a bit of spice. So I'll add
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that in there too. Hot honey. A little hot honey. Yeah. The hot honey trend. It's very trendy,
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the hot honey, but I get it. I get it. I love honey also. So that might be an interesting way
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to do it. I'll, I'll keep that in mind. I don't know if I've seen a pizza place here that offers
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hot honey as a, as an, I should say, I, I, I eat other kinds of pizzas. Like, I mean, I don't mind
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mushrooms and I don't mind onions and I don't mind peppers and like, I don't mind other toppings,
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but I'm never going to prioritize them. I'll have them, right? If like, well, we, we just got this
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pizza that's mushroom and onion. I'll be like, okay, like fine. But I, I, I would not choose
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that. If you are, you know, you're the pizza holder, you're gonna, you're gonna make the
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decision. Plan a pepperoni. Right. Well, I mean, it depends. Yeah. Right. Do you get,
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one of the beautiful things about pizza is in most settings, you choose what your pizza is,
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right? It's only if you're like ordering a slice from a limited supply, or if you're like at an
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event or something where they have pizza and it's already been pre-selected for you, for you, like
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to choose the kinds and it's similar to having a slice where it's like, sorry, buddy, these are the
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kinds of pizza we've got. Then, you know, you compromise. I would like to thank Roman for
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sending in this question. It's a good question. I think it's Ramon according to the, uh,
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our show document. I think you've said Ramona and Roman. No, I said, I said Ramon the first time and
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it sounded like I, or Ramon, and it sounded like I added an A, but that was an unintentional sound
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that my mouth made. Just to be clear, thank you Ramon. And also real time follow up from Dan
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Morin reporting that the pepper, that he has a pizza place near him that has pepperoni and hot
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honey. So it has penetrated into the United States. If it, you know, if it's not here already,
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it will reach me soon. The first place I ever tried this combo was in Portland. Oh,
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of course it was. Well, all right, then I'll just, I'll look for it. I'll keep an eye on it,
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but if there's pineapple, I'm going to choose that instead. So thank you to Ramon for sending in.
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I'm just covering all bases at this point, Jason. Okay. Uh, so sending in that question,
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you can send it in a question of your own by going to upgradefeedback.com and send us a
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Snell Talk question to open a future episode of the show. I have quite a bit of follow up today.
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I have a lot of interesting things that people have written to us via the same feedback form.
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Upgradefeedback.com. We love, we love it. We love it. I actually have some Snell Talk feedback.
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David writes in and says 160 degrees? Four question marks. Four question marks. Does Jason
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have heat shielding in his mouth? My Ember mug has a maximum temperature of 145 degrees.
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Has Jason jailbroken his mug to allow hotter temperatures? What is happening here? So last
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week's Snell Talk question, I asked Jason what his preferred temperature was for his tea,
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and Jason said 160 degrees. Yes. I don't know about heat shielding. Is that what the,
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is that what the inside of your mouth is not meant to be? Is heat shielding? 160 degrees for me is
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fine. Um, it's a little bit on the hot side, but the thing is, uh, it doesn't stay there very long.
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And I think David is right here. I didn't check, but I now have a memory of finding my ideal
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temperature because the Ember mug prompted me to find it. And I found it. And then I found out that
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the Ember mug doesn't go that high. So I set it to as high as the Ember mug goes. Right. So when I
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serve myself at 160, what I'm basically getting is I can drink it then and it's really nice and
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piping hot, but then the Ember mug won't let it go too far away from that. Whatever that high,
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high point is, if it's 145 and it's not as good at 145 than it is at 160, but the Ember mug,
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I mean, like I've got half a cup right now. And if I were not using the Ember mug,
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it would probably be unpleasantly cool. And instead it's pretty warm. Yeah.
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Joe wrote in and said, Jason asked if watchOS 10 widgets will update without the paired iPhone
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in range. So the idea of if the widgets get added to the watch, uh, would we have to keep them
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together to get that information? Right. Because that's an issue with some current watch stuff.
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Joe said probably this will be the case because since watchOS 9 widget kit complications can make
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network calls and update without an iPhone. So that was one of the things that changed when they
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went from watch kit to widget kit. He says, and regarding stale complication data. So the
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information being out of date widget kit complications vastly improve this because
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they can make updates themselves. Clock kit complications relied on the app,
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waking in the background to refresh, which would lead to stale data when it failed.
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Widget kit has been a big improvement to watchOS and I look forward to see what's next.
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Uh, I'm I just, uh, swipe to my watch and I, uh, am looking at the weather, which is coming from
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carrot weather and what it is telling me, uh, there it did. Okay. It did update. I swiped over
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from a different face and it did update. It was telling me the weather the last time that face
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was on. And then after about 20 seconds it updated. So that's good. That's, that's not bad. That's,
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that's what I want, right? Is I just wanted to make an effort to stay updated. So this is great news.
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Um, that widget kit's already kind of doing this. And the idea, I mean, Apple has been trying very
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hard to get the watch to stand alone and do things itself because that's what you want, right? You
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want to be able to set up your watch using your iPhone if need be. And then if you've got the
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cellular model walk away and still have everything work, that's the goal here. So I hope that, uh,
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I hope it continues because I love having that stuff on there. And my biggest frustration with
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my Apple watch is when stuff doesn't update, especially when those complications don't update.
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It's very frustrating. Yeah. So I guess the hope would be that widget kit made a bunch of things
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better, uh, just kind of a fundamental layer. And you would hope that if they're continuing to push
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in that direction where it's like it's actual widgets now, maybe it would have gotten even
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better, right? Like this is just like the pathway is towards more and more independent data gathering
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from the watch and a more reliable update. Yeah. In fact, I think what we could probably say is
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watchOS has been on a path in this direction, but it's, it's got, there's a bunch of sort of, uh,
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technical debt or, or, or legacy tech technical stuff where there's stuff that's just kind of like
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from back in the day, if not the original Apple watch from early in the Apple watch,
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we're so dependent on the iPhone and new stuff is pushing the platform in this direction,
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which I think is great. Like, again, this is, this is what I'm sure Apple wants to,
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but the problem is you've got older apps and things kicking around in the system that, uh,
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maybe preclude some of this. So when we look at reports that say watchOS 10 is going to be much
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more widget forward, the encouraging way to look at that is by sweeping away the old stuff, but
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really by bringing the new stuff front and center, you're also motivating every app developer to
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update. And if all of those widgets are self updating and can reach out over the network and
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pull their data and don't have to rely on their app, then the net result is going to be that
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watchOS doesn't have to rely on the apps on the phone either. And the more of that, the better.
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So, you know, I'm just, I'm just a little hesitant only because I've been using an Apple watch since
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the beginning and it has been a painful process some of the time in terms of data, not getting,
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you know, data getting stale on the watch, but I'm hopeful that this is going to, is going to do
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that. I'm really, I mean, it's funny, Mike, you know, we go years where we're like, yeah,
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and watchOS, I guess I'll get an update, whatever. And we spent the last few weeks really kind of
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like nerding out on watchOS, but I think for good reason that this is really encouraging news of
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a rethink of parts of watchOS and I can't wait to see it.
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- And like, and I hope that all my expectation might be stuff like this might get better
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because they don't, they're supporting more modern watches now, right? If they've been able to start
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letting go some like the series three, for example, maybe there was some constraints with watchOS just
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because of battery life concerns that like, if you're constantly refreshing information,
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it's going to kill the battery, so. - Also widgetKit is something that should be
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familiar to a lot of developers because they're also using it on iOS. And so that's another one
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of those examples of Apple, again, they have to do it, right? Because they can't invent a new API
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for everything. They really can. They have to like reuse things in different places, but it's also a
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huge advantage because they'll be like, oh, widgets on Apple watch and everybody who's built widgets
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on iOS should go, oh yeah, okay, great. - You already know how to do it.
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- Yeah. - I've got a couple of pieces of anonymous
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feedback, some tips, some tips from tips. - I was listening to Connected last weekend,
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was surprised to discover that the Mike Hurley secret, double secret tip line had been established.
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- And I have two more pieces of anonymous feedback via the Mike Hurley tip line.
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You could just get in contact with me, find a way, you know, that's what these two people did,
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enterprising individuals. - upgradefeedback.com will also work.
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- It will also work and there is also possible to give anonymous feedback, but these people.
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- Do we need to create like a signal account for the show? Can you even do that? I don't know if
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you can. I think it's all good. - Well, the thing about these two
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pieces of feedback is I know who these two people are, but they are submitting.
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- Oh, I see. - You're keeping,
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they're your anonymous sources. - They're my.
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- None to you, but anonymous to us. - They're my informants.
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- Okay, good. - So informant number one wrote in to say,
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in regards to the journal app being closer in kind to Find My rather than, remember we were saying
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about like, oh, it's not a social network, the journaling app, or it's more like in the Find My
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department or something that Mike was talking about and talking about what capabilities it may
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have. Your devices already track which people you have close by to you, regardless of whether you're
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sharing Find My with them. This happens through a system called Rapport, R-A-P-P-O-R-T, Rapport.
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- Yeah, it's French like. - Rapport.
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The underlying protocol used for many things such as continuity, handoff, and airplay.
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Currently, it can detect when a contact's device is nearby, but it doesn't do anything with that
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information unless you activate AirDrop. It's completely local and relies on Bluetooth low
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energy and/or Wi-Fi. And I confirmed with this person that this is how, you know, if you're in
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somebody's home and you wanna get on their Wi-Fi and you get the Wi-Fi network password sharing,
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it works through this rapport system. So the idea, you know, like we were talking about, well,
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would I have to have all of my friends on Find My to see them in the journal app? In theory,
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they could do this. So like, you know, maybe I'm not friends with Bob and Mary and Alex, right?
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Like we're not in Find My together, but if we're hanging out, our phones will know that we were
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together because we share contact information. So maybe that is a way that I would then be able to
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add like, oh, I was with Bob and Mary and Alex today at the park to my journal. - And I would
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assume that would end up being like an opt-in thing of like share your proximity information
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with other people in your contacts list or something like that. - Well, maybe, but it's
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already doing it and we didn't opt into it. - Well, yeah, but it's the logging part of it.
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- Yeah, it's the logging part. - It would really require that, right? Because then it's,
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then you're, I think that that would be how they would build it is like, you would say, yes, sure.
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You know, you can share with Mike that I was near Mike when, you know, when we were near each other
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and have it be okay. You wouldn't want that if you're like spying on somebody from behind a bush
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or something. That would be less good. - This is one of those things where like, when I read,
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I was like, oh, of course, right? This system, of course it works, right? 'Cause like,
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how would airdrop from contacts only work? Like realistically, how does it do that? - Yeah, yeah.
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You have to exchange with nearby devices and find the ones that are in your contacts. - Which is
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fascinating this system exists and that it's all local. - Right, I wonder how that works. It must
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be like that there's a unique, like a hash or something attached to every phone number or Apple
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ID that it saves in your, maybe in your contacts. And then when it sees that it knows that that's a
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recognized device or something like that. I wonder, I mean, it's gotta work that way, right? Because
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you've gotta be able to see the devices around you and know what they are, even if they're not
00:18:35
◼
►
in your, right? They're not known to you. - Yeah, I expect you are broadcasting your Apple ID
00:18:42
◼
►
information and like maybe your phone number, right? Like outwardly. - It wouldn't be that
00:18:47
◼
►
though. It would be like a hash of it or something. - Yeah, that's what I mean. I don't mean like so
00:18:51
◼
►
clearly, but. - So when I add somebody to contacts, in the background, Apple is also downloading their
00:18:57
◼
►
unique kind of like blurb thing that they send out. And then when it sees that it goes, oh,
00:19:02
◼
►
I actually know that one. Interesting, I hadn't really thought about that, but yeah, they've
00:19:06
◼
►
gotta be doing stuff like that. Anyway, that would be, sure. I mean, being able to log when you were
00:19:09
◼
►
with friends and have it be kind of magical. Sorry, I guess that's a word Apple would probably use.
00:19:16
◼
►
But the idea there that at the end of the day, where you spent the day with friends,
00:19:19
◼
►
to have it say you were with Mike for four hours at this location, and then you can choose what
00:19:28
◼
►
you wanna do with that. It's pretty cool. It's like your phone knows that already, but like,
00:19:32
◼
►
do you want to write that down and have it be part of the record or not? That's fun. - 'Cause
00:19:39
◼
►
for me, I feel like if they wanna make this a feature, they have to find a way to do it.
00:19:44
◼
►
That doesn't mean that I have to become, find my friends with all of my friends. 'Cause I don't
00:19:48
◼
►
think that's gonna take off, but this could be the building blocks of that. - And for people who
00:19:53
◼
►
would accuse this of being an invasion of privacy, I would say when you're present around other
00:19:59
◼
►
people, is it an invasion of privacy? You're all present around other people. - You've decided to
00:20:02
◼
►
be together. - Exactly, so that the physical proximity is different. It's a log of your
00:20:08
◼
►
physical proximity where you already were proximate. That's very different than, I'm
00:20:12
◼
►
gonna make you a find my friend, and you're gonna see where I am forever, or until the end of the
00:20:20
◼
►
day, or whatever, right? It's a very different kind of thing. You're opting in. I mean, I know
00:20:25
◼
►
people can do bad behaviors here, but when you're in the same space as somebody, you know you're in
00:20:33
◼
►
the same space as somebody. And so it's basically a public record, I would argue. So I don't think
00:20:38
◼
►
it's that weird. In fact, yeah, the only way that this works is if you don't have to add everybody
00:20:43
◼
►
to your find my roster or something like that. - Mike Hurley, Tip Line Informant number two says
00:20:49
◼
►
about Keynote. So someone wrote in to ask if Apple uses Keynote for Keynotes. They wrote in to say,
00:20:57
◼
►
yes, we do use Keynote for Keynotes, but it is just one stage in the pipeline. Marketing bring
00:21:02
◼
►
their assets into the Keynote app. They arrange them the way that they want and export them as
00:21:07
◼
►
a video. This is then pulled into Final Cut or whatever the video team is using. And occasionally,
00:21:14
◼
►
the marketing team does still request new features that get added to Keynote so they can use them in
00:21:19
◼
►
their presentations. So it is what we expected. - I like that we got this more or less right,
00:21:25
◼
►
which is that they build it in Keynote and then they're doing an export because these final videos
00:21:29
◼
►
are a whole production and the screen isn't there or what's on it isn't there. It has to be part of
00:21:37
◼
►
the movie production workflow essentially for these videos that they do. But it starts life
00:21:43
◼
►
in Keynote, which is cool that it still does that and that they still ask for new features in Keynote.
00:21:47
◼
►
And that's one of the reasons Keynote is so good is because it really gets used by the people who
00:21:52
◼
►
make the product. And that's good stuff. Love it. Thank you, secret informants to the Mike Hurley
00:22:01
◼
►
tip line. Very exciting. - This one is not from my tip line. Ford CEO Jim Farley. Can you imagine?
00:22:08
◼
►
He just hit me up. - Hi Mike. - Ford CEO Jim Farley has told Joanna Stern at the Wall Street Journal
00:22:16
◼
►
that Ford is going to be sticking with car play. Farley says, "70% of our Ford customers in the
00:22:23
◼
►
US are Apple customers. Why would I go to an Apple customer and say, 'Good luck.' In terms of content,
00:22:29
◼
►
we kind of lost that battle 10 years ago. So like get real with it because you're not going to make
00:22:33
◼
►
a ton of money on content inside of the vehicle. It's going to be safety, security, partial autonomy
00:22:39
◼
►
and productivity in our eyes." - This is such a great statement. I mean, really you couldn't craft
00:22:45
◼
►
a better statement from an auto executive who seems to actually be in touch with reality than this.
00:22:52
◼
►
Whereas GM, I think, and we've made all these arguments before, is not in touch with reality.
00:22:58
◼
►
And that's the part, two things I wanted to focus on here. One is why would I go to an Apple customer
00:23:04
◼
►
and say, "Good luck." Right? It's so true, right? Which is you're used to having this thing, but
00:23:11
◼
►
forget it. You don't get it now. We've decided you don't get it now. It is baffling when Apple
00:23:17
◼
►
customers are such an important part of the new auto market in America. Like what? And then
00:23:24
◼
►
the realism of, in terms of content, we lost that battle 10 years ago. To say what we've been saying,
00:23:30
◼
►
which is really like, people love their smartphones and their smartphones are up to date
00:23:35
◼
►
and they've got their stuff on it. And their stuff, it comes from all sorts of different sources. And
00:23:39
◼
►
like, don't get between me and my smartphone, between me and my stuff. And then he says,
00:23:44
◼
►
quite rightly, "Okay, one, you're not going to make a ton of money on content inside the vehicle."
00:23:48
◼
►
I think there's a level of realism there that GM doesn't share. GM with its history, with things
00:23:53
◼
►
like OnStar, it's like, no, no, no, no, no. We offer them services and we charge them and we
00:23:58
◼
►
get them on an annual plan and we make it impossible to cancel it. And we get in with the
00:24:03
◼
►
insurance companies to say, give them a break when they pay for our services, which is a thing they
00:24:08
◼
►
do, by the way, with OnStar is that they have like a deal where if you have OnStar and you're
00:24:14
◼
►
sending all your safety information back to GM, your insurance company will give you a break on
00:24:20
◼
►
your insurance because they're looking at the data coming from your car. It's bananas, right?
00:24:25
◼
►
So like, I think maybe company culture-wise, GM just isn't there. The GM really does think
00:24:32
◼
►
that they've got to be making a ton of money on content inside the vehicle. And I think Ford looks
00:24:38
◼
►
at this and says, nah, it's not going to happen. And I think it's more realistic that it's not
00:24:42
◼
►
going to happen. And yet, second, it's going to be safety, security, partial autonomy, and
00:24:47
◼
►
productivity. The stuff that needs to be on the car will be on the car. And then carplay is for
00:24:51
◼
►
the other stuff. And that is a really reasonable split to me. The idea that your car stuff is in
00:24:58
◼
►
the car and your entertainment stuff is on your phone and the best car interfaces are going to
00:25:06
◼
►
have places for both, right? Which is what carplay already does, where there's a little entertainment
00:25:12
◼
►
spot and then wrapped around it is the car stuff. And I think that's perfectly reasonable. It's
00:25:17
◼
►
refreshing and a little shocking that it's so reasonable from a car industry CEO. It's amazing.
00:25:25
◼
►
This isn't really follow-up, but I'm just going to put it in follow-up anyway. Apple have launched
00:25:31
◼
►
20 new games for Apple Arcade, and there are some bangers in here. And I just wanted to let people
00:25:37
◼
►
know about some of these games. So they've done what they've done before, where they've added a
00:25:41
◼
►
bunch of existing hits. Games like Limbo and Temple Run get the plus treatment, right? Limbo Plus,
00:25:48
◼
►
Temple Run Plus. They take old hit games, remove all that purchase from them, make them compatible
00:25:54
◼
►
for all devices that are currently running, and put them on Apple Arcade. I think this is just
00:25:59
◼
►
like a fantastic way to bolster the service and you build a foundation. There's a bunch of just
00:26:04
◼
►
really good games in here. I'm just scoring through the press release now. Just a ton of
00:26:09
◼
►
classics that are in here. They've got, like I said, Limbo already, Hill Climb Racing, Getting
00:26:14
◼
►
Over It, Farming Simulator is in there, if that's your kind of thing. So there's a bunch of stuff
00:26:19
◼
►
there, but there's also new games. They've added a few, but I wanted to recommend two that I've
00:26:24
◼
►
started playing and really enjoying. One is Disney Spellstruck. It's just Disney Scrabble.
00:26:30
◼
►
And it's just good. It's like a good Scrabble game. And as you're playing it, it's like with
00:26:36
◼
►
a lot of these games, you can see where it was supposed to be in an in-app purchase focused game.
00:26:41
◼
►
But then Apple were like, "Hey, why don't you put it on Apple Arcade?"
00:26:46
◼
►
Because you can get these power-ups to help you out and they just randomly give them to you.
00:26:52
◼
►
That's not how it is supposed to go. I was supposed to buy those, but it's great.
00:26:56
◼
►
The other one is What the Car, which comes from the same people who made What the Golf.
00:27:02
◼
►
And it is equally excellent. And I'm going to make a prediction here.
00:27:06
◼
►
This could probably be a draft prediction, but I'm just going to say it now.
00:27:10
◼
►
The game company behind What the Golf and What the Car have made a VR game called What the Bat.
00:27:17
◼
►
And it's available on Oculus and...
00:27:21
◼
►
Like on Quest, sorry. And it's available on PlayStation.
00:27:24
◼
►
100% it's going to come to this device because it doesn't...
00:27:29
◼
►
This is a game that would work perfectly with hand tracking. Your hands are bats and you just
00:27:33
◼
►
have to just do things. You're just smashing things. So this team, this company clearly has
00:27:40
◼
►
a good relationship with Apple, right? Because this is now two games that have come to...
00:27:46
◼
►
It's arcade.
00:27:47
◼
►
Apple Arcade. And their third game is a VR game and Apple doesn't have anywhere for that right
00:27:52
◼
►
now. And I'm convinced it's going to come to Apple Arcade when games get added to the headset.
00:27:58
◼
►
I'm frightened to try Cityscape's Sim Builder.
00:28:01
◼
►
Ask my next one to try too.
00:28:03
◼
►
Because I loved Sim City so much. And I'm concerned that I will be swallowed whole by
00:28:11
◼
►
Cityscape's Sim Builder. But I mean, if this is the last you hear from me, know that I was
00:28:18
◼
►
doing what I love, which is apparently playing Cityscape's Sim Builder.
00:28:22
◼
►
If you try out What the Car and enjoy it, then I recommend you give What the Bat a go to.
00:28:31
◼
►
You haven't been to Quest 2, right?
00:28:32
◼
►
I mean, I love What the Golf. I love What the Golf. It was great. I played the whole thing.
00:28:35
◼
►
What the Car is incredibly absurd. I think it actually might be more absurd than What the Golf.
00:28:40
◼
►
So it's hard to believe.
00:28:43
◼
►
Yeah, it is cool.
00:28:45
◼
►
And there's a lot of the game.
00:28:47
◼
►
So Mike, I'm still wasting all of my spare time playing Marvel Snap because of you.
00:28:53
◼
►
So thanks a lot for ruining my life.
00:28:55
◼
►
Oh really? I fell off Snap.
00:28:57
◼
►
It's it's uh, yeah. Yep. Yep.
00:29:01
◼
►
We also wanted to remind the Upgradients that we do have a selection of on-demand
00:29:07
◼
►
t-shirts always available that you can get at upgradeyourwardrobe.com.
00:29:12
◼
►
This is probably a really good time to pick up your draft shirt.
00:29:15
◼
►
We have the WWDC draft coming up pretty soon.
00:29:18
◼
►
You can get yourself the upgrade draft t-shirt or hoodie.
00:29:21
◼
►
Sorry, t-shirt or sweatshirt or tank top or onesie.
00:29:25
◼
►
If you want to draft your baby, you could do that.
00:29:29
◼
►
So you can go ahead and check those out.
00:29:31
◼
►
We do have sweatshirts and hoodies, sweatshirts and hoodies.
00:29:34
◼
►
You can get both.
00:29:36
◼
►
And that also we have some upgrade logo tees available there and a Rumor Roundup t-shirt,
00:29:43
◼
►
which I am wearing today, which is one of my very favorites.
00:29:45
◼
►
It is just the Lasso Rumor Roundup.
00:29:48
◼
►
So is that upgradeyourwardrobe.com.
00:29:52
◼
►
You can go and check those out and there'll be a link in the show notes.
00:29:55
◼
►
If you want to go and buy yourself a very cool upgrade t-shirt.
00:29:58
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I know this is how you make yours.
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Yeah, well, actually what I was going to say is I am very excited that the weather, well,
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Money, money, money, money, money, money, money, money, money.
00:33:34
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It's money time.
00:33:35
◼
►
It's money time.
00:33:39
◼
►
It's Apple's Q2 2023 results.
00:33:44
◼
►
Let me give you some headlines and we'll dig into it.
00:33:49
◼
►
Revenue, $94.8 billion, down 3% year over year.
00:33:55
◼
►
This is the second largest Q2 in Apple's history.
00:33:58
◼
►
Obviously, you have the clues here to work out which was the largest.
00:34:02
◼
►
Profit was at $24.2 billion.
00:34:06
◼
►
That was down from $25 billion year over year.
00:34:08
◼
►
So my initial read on that is like margins was good though, right?
00:34:13
◼
►
Like the drop in profit is not the same as the drop in revenue.
00:34:18
◼
►
Um, iPhone, $51.3 billion up 2% year over year.
00:34:23
◼
►
This was a Q2 record for the iPhone.
00:34:26
◼
►
My question to you here was, do you think that this is the result of some sales being
00:34:33
◼
►
pushed on from shortages in previous quarters that we had?
00:34:37
◼
►
So like there was, there was some supply chain stuff, right?
00:34:40
◼
►
Do you think this may have been a push through?
00:34:42
◼
►
It's possible.
00:34:43
◼
►
I mean, they were correcting it, but they, they did suffer in the holiday quarter for
00:34:47
◼
►
having problems with the pro phones.
00:34:49
◼
►
So it's possible that that's what it is.
00:34:51
◼
►
It's not, I mean, it's basically flat, but in a quarter where everything else was
00:34:55
◼
►
down, that the iPhone was able to do this, I think it's Apple's most important product.
00:34:59
◼
►
So having them be able to do this, um, I think that you have to look into the past
00:35:05
◼
►
for trying to understand all of these results, but for the iPhone, I'm not sure
00:35:10
◼
►
how much of this is retrieved from out of the past quarter shortages or whether it
00:35:15
◼
►
really is just that they, you know, soldiered on and yeah.
00:35:19
◼
►
So maybe the 2% is just, it's up a little bit for that, but I don't know.
00:35:23
◼
►
I don't think it was a huge thing.
00:35:24
◼
►
Cause I think that they started to get into balance by the end of last quarter.
00:35:28
◼
►
Oh, by the way, I just wanted to note that the change in profit is actually about
00:35:34
◼
►
the same as roughly 3%.
00:35:37
◼
►
So it's, yeah, it is about the same.
00:35:39
◼
►
So I think margins were, were, although they, they report their margins.
00:35:42
◼
►
I don't actually know what the margins are, but they were, they were probably
00:35:44
◼
►
pretty similar.
00:35:45
◼
►
Appreciate the clarification.
00:35:46
◼
►
The Mac was at $7.2 billion down 31% year over year, making it the lowest quarter
00:35:57
◼
►
Uh, very tough compare the iPad $6.7 billion down 13% year over year.
00:36:05
◼
►
So just flip those numbers 31 to 13.
00:36:08
◼
►
Also the lowest quarter since 2020 services is a 20.9 billion, which is up
00:36:13
◼
►
5% year over year.
00:36:15
◼
►
It's also growth in the previous quarter, which.
00:36:18
◼
►
Uh, earlier in the year, late last year that had started to dip, right?
00:36:21
◼
►
Like there was something that I was talking about a lot.
00:36:23
◼
►
Was wondering what was going on there, but it seems like they're growing back
00:36:26
◼
►
Wearables home and accessories is at $8.8 billion down 1% year over year.
00:36:33
◼
►
Yeah, essentially flat.
00:36:35
◼
►
The Mac and iPad being way down.
00:36:37
◼
►
I think the only way like the Mac and the iPad have both been running at the
00:36:42
◼
►
high and I don't look at this and say, ah, now people have turned against the Mac
00:36:48
◼
►
and the iPad.
00:36:49
◼
►
Cause remember it's, it's changes in, in growth compared and sales compared to
00:36:55
◼
►
It is at a high level, but not what it was last year.
00:36:59
◼
►
I feel like, like I have nothing in my heart that says, oh no, people are
00:37:04
◼
►
turning against the Mac and the iPad.
00:37:05
◼
►
I just don't.
00:37:06
◼
►
It's very clear to look at the history here and say, what happened is one, the
00:37:11
◼
►
pandemic, which sold a lot of computers and iPads because people were in
00:37:16
◼
►
lockdown and they're like, and they're and work adapted and they're like, oh
00:37:20
◼
►
geez, we need another computer at home or we need another tablet at home, or we
00:37:24
◼
►
need to update the old thing.
00:37:25
◼
►
And, and that drove sales.
00:37:27
◼
►
And that's one reason that the iPad and the Mac have done so well over the last
00:37:31
◼
►
couple of years.
00:37:32
◼
►
And that that's tailed off.
00:37:33
◼
►
Now I think that there's some truth in that, that the buying cycle was kind of
00:37:36
◼
►
short-circuited and now it needs to reset.
00:37:39
◼
►
And so you're going to have that, that a place where it's, I think the way that
00:37:43
◼
►
they often describe it metaphorically is that the sales were pulled forward
00:37:47
◼
►
essentially, right?
00:37:48
◼
►
That you took your, your three years of sales and it all went in the first year
00:37:52
◼
►
And I think that there's truth in that.
00:37:55
◼
►
And then for the Mac, you also had the arrival of Apple Silicon and there was a
00:37:59
◼
►
lot of pent up demand for Apple Silicon.
00:38:01
◼
►
Plus those M1 Macs, especially the reviews were so spectacularly good because
00:38:08
◼
►
they are spectacularly good.
00:38:09
◼
►
And a lot of people bought them and it drove a lot of sales in addition to the
00:38:12
◼
►
fact that there were pandemic changes in how we all worked.
00:38:15
◼
►
And so the Mac, I think has benefited from that twice, but you know, the M2
00:38:23
◼
►
again, nothing wrong with the M2, but if everybody who was waiting to buy a
00:38:27
◼
►
MacBook Pro waited for the M1 MacBook Pro to come out, then you're going to
00:38:32
◼
►
sell a lot of them.
00:38:33
◼
►
And then the next year they come out with the M2 and it's like, well, but so
00:38:36
◼
►
many people already bought the M1, so they're not going to buy the M2.
00:38:39
◼
►
And that was a high number.
00:38:41
◼
►
You know, you do the math and it's like, well, yeah, this is what you're going
00:38:44
◼
►
It's going to go down because everybody was really excited about it.
00:38:48
◼
►
I think the Mac, like, if you look at the average Mac sale, like the Mac has
00:38:52
◼
►
never been stronger.
00:38:53
◼
►
Um, I think it, it will continue to be strong.
00:38:56
◼
►
I think this is an issue where they just have to deal with the fact that they're
00:39:01
◼
►
not going to reach those heights for a little while, and they're going to have
00:39:04
◼
►
to wait for the buying cycle to catch up with them.
00:39:07
◼
►
So David in the live chat, just go, which you can get access to.
00:39:11
◼
►
If you're a member, go to get upgrade plus.com and you can find out more
00:39:14
◼
►
about them has said, the narrative is strange to me.
00:39:17
◼
►
Apple had lots of success.
00:39:19
◼
►
Now that makes them look bad.
00:39:20
◼
►
The problem with Wall Street, which is what a lot of this is, right.
00:39:24
◼
►
They look at whatever you're doing now and they're betting on it being a
00:39:28
◼
►
trend, right?
00:39:29
◼
►
Like, right.
00:39:30
◼
►
Cause you sell loads of Macs.
00:39:31
◼
►
Cause it's all priced into the stock.
00:39:32
◼
►
You sell loads of Macs.
00:39:34
◼
►
If you keep doing this, we will continue to be confident in your business to this
00:39:39
◼
►
But if it changes, it's going to go down.
00:39:41
◼
►
Like, right.
00:39:42
◼
►
They want to see growth.
00:39:44
◼
►
They always want to see growth and we can debate whether that's right or wrong,
00:39:47
◼
►
whether that's corrosive to have businesses are run spoiler alert for my
00:39:52
◼
►
Yes, it is corrosive.
00:39:54
◼
►
Uh, but that's how it works.
00:39:56
◼
►
And um, and it's the same thing I always tell people like when they're like, oh,
00:39:59
◼
►
Apple released results and they made all this money and their stock went down.
00:40:01
◼
►
Why is that?
00:40:02
◼
►
And the answer is because the expectation is priced into the stock.
00:40:06
◼
►
Apple, as we expect it is priced into the stock.
00:40:09
◼
►
The stock price is what it is because of everything we expect for Apple.
00:40:12
◼
►
So then it becomes what happens next.
00:40:14
◼
►
And if you give them, if they get growth, then that increases the future value of
00:40:19
◼
►
That increases everybody's estimation and the stock goes up.
00:40:22
◼
►
And if you say, oh, Apple's going to be flat for a while in the doldrums, then
00:40:26
◼
►
the stock will stay steady or go down, which is bad for investors.
00:40:29
◼
►
Doesn't necessarily mean it's bad for Apple as a business if it's throwing off
00:40:32
◼
►
all this profit and it's generating, uh, it's doing stock buybacks and it's
00:40:36
◼
►
generating dividends for its investors, which it is doing.
00:40:40
◼
►
And that's what, if you're a company that makes enormous profits and you're
00:40:44
◼
►
looking at your growth and saying, our growth is probably going to slow because
00:40:47
◼
►
we've been so successful for so long.
00:40:49
◼
►
This is what you do.
00:40:50
◼
►
And they identified this, like, I don't know, five, six, seven years ago, and
00:40:54
◼
►
just started buying back stock and doing dividends and giving, essentially
00:41:00
◼
►
giving money back to the shareholders because, uh, that's how you kind of
00:41:04
◼
►
counteract some of that fear of flatness is by saying, yes, but we're very
00:41:10
◼
►
profitable and you get to share in the profits.
00:41:12
◼
►
And so they've been doing a lot of that too.
00:41:13
◼
►
Tim Cook introduced a new catchphrase, the parade of horribles as a way to
00:41:21
◼
►
describe our current socioeconomic climate.
00:41:25
◼
►
Yeah, he's used a bunch.
00:41:26
◼
►
This is, this is apparently something that is out there.
00:41:28
◼
►
This is, this is a, a phrasing somebody told me that, that you've seen in other
00:41:32
◼
►
places, but Tim Cook has adopted it, which I find funny just because it was,
00:41:37
◼
►
uh, last year we had the cocktail of headwinds, which I thought had a little
00:41:40
◼
►
panache to it.
00:41:41
◼
►
The cocktail of headwinds served to you by, uh, Luca Maestri, the CFO.
00:41:46
◼
►
And he, he, it's a, probably an Italian cocktail of some sort, um, full of headwinds.
00:41:52
◼
►
Maybe those are bubbles.
00:41:53
◼
►
I don't know.
00:41:53
◼
►
Um, but the parade of horribles, I think it actually sounds kind of Willy Wonka
00:41:57
◼
►
like, right?
00:41:58
◼
►
Like, oh, there's a bunch of horrible, strange monsters that are coming down.
00:42:02
◼
►
But anyway, uh, Cook used it to say, uh, that, uh, yeah, there's bad stuff out
00:42:08
◼
►
there, but we're fine.
00:42:09
◼
►
Essentially.
00:42:10
◼
►
He was like, we have the luxury box at the parade of horribles.
00:42:13
◼
►
So, um, I think that that shows you how Apple has kind of gone from it saying,
00:42:19
◼
►
you know, things are bad out there and we're worried and we're concerned and
00:42:22
◼
►
we're trying to do what we can to being like, things are bad out there, but we've
00:42:27
◼
►
And so we're fine.
00:42:27
◼
►
And that is again, like we see this covering Apple like we do and looking to
00:42:35
◼
►
the wider technology industry, they're in a very different position.
00:42:39
◼
►
And like, you know, we, we have a lot of, you know, many, many times over the
00:42:44
◼
►
years, we've spoken about the idea of like, why do they just sit on this cash?
00:42:48
◼
►
Like, what are they doing with it?
00:42:50
◼
►
Well, it probably helps them in times where all of their, um, colleague
00:42:56
◼
►
companies in the industry are laying people off their front and center and
00:42:59
◼
►
Apple's not doing that because they have so much money.
00:43:03
◼
►
I mean, that's, that's the truth of it.
00:43:04
◼
►
And I said this during the, um, during 2020, let's just say, we'll put it that
00:43:10
◼
►
Uh, I said, Apple actually looks a little embarrassed because they're doing so
00:43:15
◼
►
well when the world is so terrible.
00:43:17
◼
►
I feel like we're coming out of it now where they're like, yep, we we've
00:43:22
◼
►
Um, and we know that bad things have happened, but we, we, we feel like we're
00:43:26
◼
►
in a good, a good place and not gloating about it or anything, but they're able
00:43:29
◼
►
to say now, I think maybe with a little more confidence than they could back
00:43:32
◼
►
then, just cause they, everything was all messed up saying, you know, we're
00:43:37
◼
►
actually in a pretty good place right now.
00:43:39
◼
►
Now, of course, a down quarter is just the time when you need the CEO to say,
00:43:43
◼
►
we feel pretty good, right?
00:43:44
◼
►
Cause you want to make everybody feel good, but I, unless you are literally a
00:43:49
◼
►
Investor who is out to get Apple because you want them to tank.
00:43:53
◼
►
I don't know how you look at Apple's last few years and, and not rationally
00:43:58
◼
►
understand the place that this business is in, especially as we've talked about
00:44:02
◼
►
many times before the mega cycle of the iPhone, because the iPhone more than
00:44:06
◼
►
half the revenue.
00:44:07
◼
►
And we know that the iPhone buying cycle is very visible because they do major
00:44:11
◼
►
revisions to the iPhone and it kicks sales.
00:44:13
◼
►
And that happens every three years ish.
00:44:15
◼
►
We'll see what happens this fall because whatever that iPhone is, this is when
00:44:19
◼
►
we might expect a new iPhone that will drive sales unclear, whether they're
00:44:23
◼
►
going to keep that strategy or whether they're going to kind of split up the
00:44:28
◼
►
new look iPhone into multiple releases over multiple years in multiple iPhone
00:44:32
◼
►
levels, right?
00:44:33
◼
►
Cause they've got more iPhones that they sell now different models, but yeah,
00:44:38
◼
►
hard, hard not to look at Apple's last few years and say, first off, you
00:44:41
◼
►
wouldn't even tell that there was a, you know, just a series of terrible
00:44:45
◼
►
economic conditions as well as a global pandemic.
00:44:49
◼
►
And that their factories got shut down.
00:44:52
◼
►
Like you couldn't even really tell.
00:44:54
◼
►
And that they're in a pretty strong position here, but you know,
00:44:58
◼
►
if I were a wall street investor and I was worried about where Apple was
00:45:00
◼
►
going in the future and where their stock was going, I would obviously be
00:45:03
◼
►
concerned about is the iPhone going to plateau, in which case they're an
00:45:07
◼
►
incredibly profitable company, but they're not growing anymore.
00:45:10
◼
►
Or growing very slowly, or are they going to have another kick?
00:45:14
◼
►
You know, can the Mac be taken up a notch?
00:45:17
◼
►
Can the iPhone still be taken up a notch?
00:45:19
◼
►
Can the iPad still be taken up a notch?
00:45:21
◼
►
And I think that there that's an open question there, which is why they
00:45:25
◼
►
started talking a lot more about emerging markets, I think this time,
00:45:28
◼
►
where they did better, Apple actually did better in emerging markets than
00:45:31
◼
►
they did in their existing established markets.
00:45:34
◼
►
And that's, that's a message that they want to send because they want to
00:45:37
◼
►
say, look, this is where the next growth spurt is going to come from.
00:45:40
◼
►
Especially when one of those emerging markets is as big as India, which is
00:45:44
◼
►
what they're talking about.
00:45:45
◼
►
I spent a lot of time talking about India.
00:45:47
◼
►
They saw some, they saw double digit sales growth in the region.
00:45:52
◼
►
Tim Cook says India is a major focus for the company and said, and I'll
00:45:57
◼
►
read a quote from Tim.
00:45:59
◼
►
There are a lot of people coming into the middle class, and I really feel
00:46:02
◼
►
that India is at a tipping point and it's great to be there.
00:46:06
◼
►
And I will now read a quote from Jason's Macworld article where Jason
00:46:10
◼
►
says, if this sounds familiar, it's because Cook said a lot of very
00:46:13
◼
►
similar things about China a decade ago.
00:46:17
◼
►
But when asked specifically to compare the potential in India to that in
00:46:20
◼
►
China of the past, Cook demurred a politically wise decision and said, I
00:46:25
◼
►
think each country is different and has its own journey.
00:46:27
◼
►
That emerging middle class line, I felt like I have massive flashbacks
00:46:33
◼
►
like to reading that.
00:46:34
◼
►
Cause that was what they said for years about China.
00:46:37
◼
►
No, it's exactly the same words.
00:46:38
◼
►
And then when pressed to sort of like say, can you draw a parallel
00:46:41
◼
►
between China and India?
00:46:42
◼
►
He's like, no, no, no, no, no, no.
00:46:43
◼
►
We'll never do that.
00:46:44
◼
►
Don't ever ask me again.
00:46:46
◼
►
And it's like, well, first off China and India don't really like each other.
00:46:48
◼
►
And they've got this thing where they're trying to diversify outside
00:46:51
◼
►
of China, including into India.
00:46:53
◼
►
And the last thing China wants to hear is Apple say, yeah, India is the
00:46:56
◼
►
next China, right?
00:46:57
◼
►
Like that you know, no, no, no, no, no.
00:46:59
◼
►
So instead he's like, everybody's on their journey together, but it's
00:47:02
◼
►
very hard not to see the parallels there where Apple is saying that in
00:47:07
◼
►
lots of, uh, lots of emerging markets.
00:47:09
◼
►
And they mentioned a bunch of them that Apple did really well, like set
00:47:13
◼
►
records in the last quarter.
00:47:15
◼
►
So that's what their message is.
00:47:18
◼
►
Now, what are the size of those markets?
00:47:20
◼
►
What's the potential of those markets?
00:47:22
◼
►
Is it just trying to get out some happy news for investors?
00:47:25
◼
►
Uh, when the truth is that those markets are relatively small, but it
00:47:28
◼
►
seems like India and I would say Tim Cook's visit to India right before
00:47:32
◼
►
this cannot have been a coincidence, right?
00:47:35
◼
►
Like this is all about making the narrative about Apple right now about
00:47:39
◼
►
potential future growth.
00:47:40
◼
►
It's kind of brilliant, assuming that this is all sort of part of a bigger
00:47:43
◼
►
plan that Apple going to India.
00:47:46
◼
►
It's about future growth and diversification.
00:47:49
◼
►
Um, I wonder what message it does send to China, but, um, Apple and
00:47:54
◼
►
China are pretty tight.
00:47:55
◼
►
So it's probably, you know, they, they, China knows what Apple's doing,
00:47:59
◼
►
but I think Apple's not abandoning China.
00:48:01
◼
►
It's just diversifying.
00:48:02
◼
►
And that's the message they're sending is we want to be in China, but we're
00:48:05
◼
►
going to be in other places too.
00:48:06
◼
►
And yeah, for, if you're an investor and you look at India and you say,
00:48:10
◼
►
wow, if India's middle-class can skyrocket like China's can, all those
00:48:14
◼
►
people are Apple buyers.
00:48:16
◼
►
And, uh, imagine another market like China's market, uh, where Apple can
00:48:22
◼
►
come in and has very little market share.
00:48:25
◼
►
And so there's enormous growth opportunity just by definition.
00:48:28
◼
►
So we were talking about, you know, looking at the overall product lines
00:48:33
◼
►
and you've got the Mac and the iPad are down, but the level, like, you know,
00:48:38
◼
►
when we're talking about like the iPhone as a, as a thing, if the iPhone
00:48:41
◼
►
starts to decline, like this quarter was saved by the fact that the iPhone
00:48:45
◼
►
was up a little bit and services were up a little bit, but it was mostly
00:48:49
◼
►
because the iPhone was up a little bit.
00:48:51
◼
►
So this idea of if the iPhone did start to significantly decline, like we
00:48:55
◼
►
started to see consistent decline, then the company's overall revenue
00:49:00
◼
►
declines just because, right?
00:49:02
◼
►
Again, what was it?
00:49:03
◼
►
54% of the revenue in the quarter was the iPhone.
00:49:07
◼
►
Like that's what people were looking for.
00:49:09
◼
►
So what, you know, Apple one is to sell iPhones in India and whatever
00:49:14
◼
►
it's going to take to do that.
00:49:15
◼
►
So Savra in the discord is a listener who's in India and they're like, well,
00:49:19
◼
►
the prices are going to change.
00:49:21
◼
►
And I can, we've heard of this before of like, and it's one of the reasons
00:49:24
◼
►
Apple's continued to push on the SE and had devices that were more price
00:49:30
◼
►
And so my expectation is if Apple really does consider India to be this
00:49:35
◼
►
growth market, the overall pricing strategy of the iPhone may have to
00:49:40
◼
►
change to accommodate that.
00:49:42
◼
►
But we'll see.
00:49:45
◼
►
Whether it's the iPhone SE or whether it's bringing down the price.
00:49:49
◼
►
I mean, they do have this freedom now, which they have not exercised, but
00:49:53
◼
►
this freedom with the iPhone and the iPhone pro split to make that iPhone
00:50:00
◼
►
more affordable than it's been.
00:50:01
◼
►
And what they've really done is sort of make it not really more affordable
00:50:05
◼
►
than it's been, but that the pro one is really expensive, but it does give
00:50:09
◼
►
them the ability to say, look, iPhone, whatever number and sell that into
00:50:13
◼
►
markets that are not seriously going to consider the iPhone pro, but the
00:50:16
◼
►
SE is the other way in there.
00:50:18
◼
►
And again, I I've been hearing for, you know, more than a decade now from
00:50:23
◼
►
people in India who are like Apple is kidding itself because the prices
00:50:26
◼
►
are just bananas and it doesn't make sense and they're hard to get and all
00:50:29
◼
►
that and like, sounds, sounds like Apple is, is focused on India now to a
00:50:34
◼
►
certain extent.
00:50:35
◼
►
So they're going to have to find a way to figure it out.
00:50:37
◼
►
I doubt that they're delusional about what they're going to do, but what,
00:50:42
◼
►
what is that strategy going to be?
00:50:44
◼
►
And I don't know.
00:50:45
◼
►
I mean, I will also say though, there was, there was a time when Apple
00:50:48
◼
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trying to sell iPhones in China or computers in China was seen as a
00:50:52
◼
►
bananas kind of decision where it's like, you're not gonna, you're not
00:50:56
◼
►
going to do that, like you're, you're, you're so expensive and this market
00:51:02
◼
►
can't handle it.
00:51:03
◼
►
And what happened in China is that the market changed and grew and it
00:51:09
◼
►
embraced Apple.
00:51:10
◼
►
And a lot of those people who now had way more money than they used to have
00:51:14
◼
►
spent some of it on Apple products.
00:51:16
◼
►
So I don't, that's where I think maybe the parallel is going to break down
00:51:22
◼
►
But again, I'm sure Apple is paying more attention to it and some of the
00:51:26
◼
►
clueless decisions they've made in the past about India are probably going
00:51:30
◼
►
to change because it's got, you know, more senior.
00:51:35
◼
►
I mean, I've heard this before, like there's some people who are involved
00:51:38
◼
►
in Apple in certain countries where like nobody cares.
00:51:41
◼
►
And so they just sort of drift off and do their own thing.
00:51:43
◼
►
And then if Apple execs suddenly are like, no, this is a key market for
00:51:48
◼
►
Everything changes.
00:51:49
◼
►
And so I would imagine that that's going on with India now.
00:51:52
◼
►
If pricing has to change, they'll change the pricing.
00:51:55
◼
►
If that's what they think will grow the iPhone.
00:51:57
◼
►
Like we are where we are now with the iPhone being what it is partly almost
00:52:04
◼
►
because of the China market.
00:52:09
◼
►
And so if they can add another one of those, be very happy.
00:52:12
◼
►
I'm reading again from your article Macworld.
00:52:15
◼
►
It's become clear that the Mac and iPad are victims of their own recent
00:52:19
◼
►
success, at least when it comes to sales trends.
00:52:21
◼
►
Both products sold well during the early days of the pandemic and the Mac
00:52:25
◼
►
also got a huge sales boost due to the arrival of Apple Silicon.
00:52:29
◼
►
I think we already covered this.
00:52:31
◼
►
But it's just like, I think it's just a nice way of summing it up of like,
00:52:35
◼
►
well, thank you.
00:52:36
◼
►
They are, it's hard to, it's that tough compare that we would talk about.
00:52:41
◼
►
There was a big boost and now we're back down to a more settled level, but
00:52:45
◼
►
that settled level was higher than they were before.
00:52:47
◼
►
It's higher.
00:52:48
◼
►
I mean, that's the, that's the story with Apple in the last decade is they
00:52:52
◼
►
get these huge growth spurts followed by a year or two where there's not a
00:52:56
◼
►
lot of growth and everybody rings their hands about it.
00:52:59
◼
►
But if you look at the numbers, you can see huge growth spurt followed by
00:53:04
◼
►
flat is establishing a whole new level for the product.
00:53:08
◼
►
And Apple has been really good at doing that.
00:53:10
◼
►
What you don't want to see is the huge growth spurt, and then it goes back
00:53:13
◼
►
to where it was, but Apple has never, well, has recent times Apple has not
00:53:19
◼
►
Every time that these growth surges have happened, they've, they've reset
00:53:24
◼
►
There's been a new level they stay at, which means I think that suggests
00:53:28
◼
►
long-term growth opportunity continues to exist, but that people who are
00:53:33
◼
►
expecting it every quarter are kind of short-sighted.
00:53:37
◼
►
Last thing, this is a long quote, but there was some conversations about Tim
00:53:43
◼
►
Cook in regards to AI.
00:53:45
◼
►
So this is Tim.
00:53:47
◼
►
This is Tim.
00:53:48
◼
►
I do think it's very important to be deliberate and thoughtful in how you
00:53:52
◼
►
approach these things.
00:53:53
◼
►
And there's a number of issues that need to be sorted as is being talked
00:53:56
◼
►
about in a number of different places.
00:53:58
◼
►
But the potential is clearly very interesting.
00:54:00
◼
►
And we've obviously made enormous progress integrating AI and machine
00:54:03
◼
►
learning throughout our ecosystem.
00:54:05
◼
►
And we've weaved it into products and features for many years.
00:54:08
◼
►
You can see that in things like fall detection and crash detection and ECG.
00:54:12
◼
►
These things are not only great features, but they're also saving people's
00:54:15
◼
►
lives and it's absolutely remarkable.
00:54:18
◼
►
And so we view AI as huge and we'll continue weaving it into our products
00:54:22
◼
►
on a very thoughtful basis.
00:54:24
◼
►
This to me felt really similar about the ways that Tim would start talking
00:54:32
◼
►
Of like, yeah, we think this is really important and we're going to keep
00:54:36
◼
►
working on this.
00:54:36
◼
►
Like, I feel like this is, as you would naturally assume, would be a front
00:54:41
◼
►
that Apple's going to continue to try and do more on.
00:54:43
◼
►
And at the moment, I think they are in, you know, with how much he went into
00:54:48
◼
►
detail here is clearly a prepared idea.
00:54:51
◼
►
They want to, I think, maybe try and turn the tide on the impression that
00:54:56
◼
►
they don't know what they're doing in this field.
00:54:58
◼
►
Where they can talk about, look at all these things that are shipping with
00:55:02
◼
►
what this AI actually is, which is just advanced machine learning.
00:55:06
◼
►
It's not artificial intelligence.
00:55:08
◼
►
I really wish that we, that that wasn't what we decided to call it, right?
00:55:12
◼
►
It's all just machine learning.
00:55:14
◼
►
And Apple has been doing machine learning for a long time and they're good at
00:55:18
◼
►
it with the things that they're doing.
00:55:20
◼
►
But the problem is what we consider to be conversational machine learning,
00:55:24
◼
►
which is now what we think of the chat bots.
00:55:26
◼
►
They're not so good.
00:55:28
◼
►
They're not doing a chat bot, which right.
00:55:30
◼
►
Like, well, Siri, I mean, like Siri, you have a conversation with, right?
00:55:33
◼
►
Well, you don't.
00:55:35
◼
►
The problem, but yes.
00:55:36
◼
►
Well, you do it with 20 people, 20 people you talk to.
00:55:38
◼
►
We know this now.
00:55:40
◼
►
So I think this is the perfect answer to give if you're Tim Cook, because
00:55:46
◼
►
what it says is, yes, there's a lot of potential we're being deliberate and
00:55:52
◼
►
thoughtful, right?
00:55:53
◼
►
He says, I think it's very important to be deliberate and thoughtful translation.
00:55:57
◼
►
We're being deliberate and thoughtful.
00:55:58
◼
►
There are issues that need to be sorted out and we're, you know, it's being
00:56:03
◼
►
talked about like, it's controversial.
00:56:04
◼
►
We know that too.
00:56:05
◼
►
Then it shifts gears and he says, he says, yes, it's very interesting, but
00:56:10
◼
►
we are already doing this.
00:56:11
◼
►
So now it's, he's sending the message.
00:56:13
◼
►
Like we have made enormous progress already in our ecosystem throughout.
00:56:20
◼
►
And he uses the phrase that I kind of appreciated.
00:56:23
◼
►
We weaved it into products and features for many years.
00:56:27
◼
►
The point here is like, we're already doing this.
00:56:30
◼
►
And I, in conversations about this, I keep bringing this up too.
00:56:33
◼
►
People are like, Oh, Apple's behind.
00:56:34
◼
►
They haven't done any AI.
00:56:35
◼
►
And it's like all the object detection and photos is AI.
00:56:39
◼
►
It's ML, right?
00:56:41
◼
►
All the sensor processing and fall detection and crash detection in
00:56:45
◼
►
activity monitoring on the Apple watch.
00:56:48
◼
►
There's machine learning models there.
00:56:49
◼
►
The ECG apparently is using machine learning models as well.
00:56:52
◼
►
Like Apple has built a lot of machine learning models in, in a lot of places.
00:56:56
◼
►
What they haven't done is built it into Siri and they haven't released
00:57:00
◼
►
a beta chat bot on the web.
00:57:01
◼
►
And so then they're accused of being behind.
00:57:03
◼
►
It's like, maybe they're behind, but I'm not sure we've got enough
00:57:07
◼
►
evidence to suggest that.
00:57:08
◼
►
And that's what Tim Cook is saying here.
00:57:10
◼
►
It's like, we've been on this for a long time, but we're being careful and
00:57:13
◼
►
we're putting in places where it makes sense.
00:57:14
◼
►
Now, is he throwing shade a little bit?
00:57:17
◼
►
Is he doing that because it's an area of weakness for him?
00:57:21
◼
►
I mean, maybe, or maybe there's some amazing thing behind the scenes
00:57:25
◼
►
that we don't know about, but we don't have the evidence for that.
00:57:28
◼
►
So, so we'll say maybe, maybe he's, he's running down the stuff that's
00:57:32
◼
►
out there that where Apple's behind.
00:57:33
◼
►
But pointing out all the other places where Apple has is using this and is
00:57:37
◼
►
weaving it into their ecosystem, which is one step away from the only Apple
00:57:42
◼
►
can do this, right?
00:57:43
◼
►
Which is we have hardware, we have software, we have our own processors
00:57:47
◼
►
that we design and we weave AI and machine learning throughout our ecosystem.
00:57:52
◼
►
Instead of just, you know, releasing a chat bot.
00:57:55
◼
►
That's sort of what he's saying here.
00:57:57
◼
►
And then he pivots from that back to, we think it's huge.
00:58:02
◼
►
We'll continue weaving on a thoughtful basis, which is his last little poke
00:58:07
◼
►
of like, we know this is controversial.
00:58:10
◼
►
We are also skeptical about the issues here.
00:58:12
◼
►
You know, look at us.
00:58:14
◼
►
We, we do it carefully, but we are doing it.
00:58:17
◼
►
Don't get upset.
00:58:18
◼
►
Don't get afraid.
00:58:20
◼
►
It's masterful.
00:58:21
◼
►
Like whether you believe it or not, like whether you believe that, I mean,
00:58:24
◼
►
I think that what he says is factual, but there's that whole underlying
00:58:28
◼
►
question, which is yeah, but like Siri is a good example, like, but you
00:58:31
◼
►
haven't woven it into Siri really.
00:58:34
◼
►
And we've seen what happens when you start, start having something
00:58:38
◼
►
that's sort of Siri-esque, but uses this tech and you haven't done it yet.
00:58:41
◼
►
So where is that?
00:58:42
◼
►
And maybe the answer is they're still working on it, but it's close.
00:58:45
◼
►
And maybe the answer is they've tried it and failed and it's a disaster.
00:58:48
◼
►
He's not going to say that, but like that's what's on people's minds.
00:58:51
◼
►
But I think he did as well with this question as you could possibly do,
00:58:55
◼
►
from the perspective of being the CEO of Apple.
00:58:59
◼
►
>> Because I feel like from my layman's view, they have done a good job of
00:59:07
◼
►
what is the fundamentals here, which is very large data sets and being able
00:59:12
◼
►
to draw information from them, right?
00:59:13
◼
►
Because that's what a large language model is, right?
00:59:16
◼
►
But they just don't have a shipping machine learning large language model
00:59:23
◼
►
>> But they are, I mean, you know, they're doing tons of stuff that their
00:59:28
◼
►
competitors are doing.
00:59:29
◼
►
They're doing a very good job in some cases, and they're doing it all on
00:59:32
◼
►
device, right?
00:59:33
◼
►
So like photo recognition stuff, being able to search for things in photos.
00:59:39
◼
►
I'm sure that live text is another example of this, right?
00:59:42
◼
►
So like all of these little pieces of information that come from their
00:59:47
◼
►
abilities in machine learning, plus the fact that they create their own
00:59:51
◼
►
silicon, which has machine learning processes on it.
00:59:53
◼
►
Like if they're able to line the pieces up, I can imagine that they can
00:59:58
◼
►
have that point on a presentation sometime that you just said of like,
01:00:01
◼
►
only Apple can do this.
01:00:02
◼
►
But they've got to do it.
01:00:05
◼
►
But I think what is telling to me here is they were willing to answer the
01:00:09
◼
►
question meaningfully.
01:00:11
◼
►
And to me, this feels very prepared.
01:00:15
◼
►
Like to mention fall detection, crash detection, and ECG, like those three
01:00:20
◼
►
specific features out of everything you could have mentioned, like they're
01:00:24
◼
►
really good ones.
01:00:25
◼
►
And I think it shows that they're considering it.
01:00:30
◼
►
And like if they're considering it and they're willing to engage with it and
01:00:33
◼
►
talk about like, it's huge.
01:00:35
◼
►
And you know, there's a lot of promise here.
01:00:36
◼
►
It feels like that they've got their eye turned towards it at least.
01:00:40
◼
►
- I don't know if Shannon Cross, who asked this question, who used to be
01:00:46
◼
►
out on her own and now works for Credit Suisse.
01:00:48
◼
►
She's been doing this a long time.
01:00:50
◼
►
She's been on Apple calls as long as I can remember.
01:00:52
◼
►
I don't know whether Apple said somebody from Apple nudged her and was like,
01:00:57
◼
►
you should ask them about AI or not.
01:00:59
◼
►
But I wouldn't be surprised if that was the case.
01:01:01
◼
►
- Certainly Apple was ready with this response.
01:01:03
◼
►
- They wanted someone to ask.
01:01:04
◼
►
- Figuring somebody would ask about AI, right?
01:01:07
◼
►
Because this is, again, this is a setup.
01:01:09
◼
►
It's a perfect setup.
01:01:11
◼
►
I think Tim Cook's answer is very much put together and exactly what needs to
01:01:16
◼
►
be said here.
01:01:17
◼
►
And then we all can judge whether it's entirely.
01:01:19
◼
►
I mean, everything they do on this call is a self-serving statement.
01:01:22
◼
►
That's the whole point of it.
01:01:23
◼
►
- One of it.
01:01:24
◼
►
- But I think this was handled very well, portrays things really.
01:01:28
◼
►
The goal here is to say, we recognize that this is controversial.
01:01:31
◼
►
We also agree with everybody who thinks this could change the world.
01:01:34
◼
►
We have shipped lots of stuff that uses this and have for a long time.
01:01:39
◼
►
So don't portray us as being behind.
01:01:41
◼
►
And we're still on it.
01:01:43
◼
►
Next, right?
01:01:45
◼
►
Like that's exactly what Apple wants to say here.
01:01:49
◼
►
And then the question is just, is he saying that while he's hiding a decaying
01:01:53
◼
►
Siri team behind him?
01:01:56
◼
►
Or is he saying that knowing that they've actually got more stuff that people don't
01:01:59
◼
►
know about that is going to be great?
01:02:02
◼
►
And I don't know.
01:02:03
◼
►
I don't know which one of those it is.
01:02:04
◼
►
- But also I like tying a different thread through what you said of like,
01:02:08
◼
►
oh, we know it's controversial.
01:02:11
◼
►
We think, and people believe it could change the world.
01:02:14
◼
►
But the things he decided to speak about were the things that save people's lives.
01:02:18
◼
►
- Yep, that's true.
01:02:19
◼
►
- So like, we believe it can be helpful.
01:02:23
◼
►
Like what he's saying to me there is like, we believe that the ways that we will use
01:02:29
◼
►
this technology is the way we have been and will continue to, will have meaningful effect
01:02:32
◼
►
on the world as opposed to just like doing a Google search.
01:02:37
◼
►
- The headline is very important to be deliberate and thoughtful.
01:02:42
◼
►
- That's the message, right? Which is we are deliberate and thoughtful.
01:02:47
◼
►
Here are some examples.
01:02:48
◼
►
They didn't, he doesn't mention photos by the way, right?
01:02:51
◼
►
Because he really is leaning into things that'll save your life.
01:02:54
◼
►
Because AI can save your life.
01:02:56
◼
►
And then thoughtful, he's not only saying, this is why you don't see us out there with
01:03:02
◼
►
stuff right now.
01:03:02
◼
►
We do stuff, but like when you're saying where's Apple's chat bot?
01:03:06
◼
►
This is why we're deliberate and thoughtful.
01:03:08
◼
►
We agree with all the people who are critics who are like, oh no, what's this going to
01:03:11
◼
►
It's like, yes, it's valuable, but you got to think about it.
01:03:14
◼
►
And then it's also taking a shot at the people and at competitors who are like just throwing
01:03:19
◼
►
stuff out there and saying, is this what we want?
01:03:21
◼
►
You know, is this the right way to do it?
01:03:23
◼
►
And again, if you're in a position where you don't have that, that is the right thing to
01:03:27
◼
►
do is to throw shade at that stuff.
01:03:30
◼
►
But it's also the right thing to do if you've got something in the works that you think
01:03:34
◼
►
Like, I don't think we can really detect from this where the state of other machine learning
01:03:41
◼
►
projects are at Apple, but it's the right answer to give to say we're there, but also we're
01:03:47
◼
►
better than you because we're being more careful and thoughtful.
01:03:50
◼
►
It's a great answer.
01:03:53
◼
►
I know this is what I want, right?
01:03:55
◼
►
Like I am intrigued and concerned in equal measures, sometimes more concerned about some
01:04:01
◼
►
of these AI tools.
01:04:02
◼
►
I would like the largest companies that are involved in this stuff to actually be really
01:04:10
◼
►
thoughtful and not just fast.
01:04:12
◼
►
Right, which I think is some of the problems we're falling into right now.
01:04:17
◼
►
I think Microsoft and Google are just trying to be quick in some cases to be the best rather
01:04:23
◼
►
than necessarily thinking about what is best for their users and for people at large.
01:04:28
◼
►
And so I hope that Apple will continue down that train, especially because they're the
01:04:31
◼
►
products that I use the most.
01:04:33
◼
►
Like when it comes to me, that's what I want to see.
01:04:39
◼
►
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I just tap it and I can connect or I can even change where I want the location to be routed
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through or from the menu bar app.
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The fact is, once you connect to ExpressVPN, you don't even realize you have it on.
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I know many times I've been home for multiple days from my travels and I'm still connected
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to ExpressVPN because I wouldn't have otherwise known.
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This is one of the reasons why ExpressVPN has been called the best VPN by outlets like
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Our thanks to ExpressVPN for the support of this show and all of Relay FM.
01:06:47
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It is time for some Ask Upgrade Questions to finish out today's show.
01:06:54
◼
►
The first one comes from Ramon.
01:06:58
◼
►
Ramon again!
01:07:00
◼
►
Ramon is back!
01:07:03
◼
►
And says "Or is it a different one?
01:07:05
◼
►
Maybe one was Ramon and one was Ramon?
01:07:07
◼
►
Who could tell?"
01:07:08
◼
►
You know what I'm- I don't know.
01:07:10
◼
►
Anyway, last week's discussion of the rumors of changes to the upcoming health app made
01:07:16
◼
►
So this is like the idea of more data, more processing, all that kind of stuff.
01:07:21
◼
►
Should we be concerned about Apple gathering so much of our data to grow their services
01:07:26
◼
►
business as we've been with Google in the past?
01:07:29
◼
►
Is the on-device argument enough to give them a pass?
01:07:32
◼
►
It's complicated.
01:07:35
◼
►
This is complicated.
01:07:36
◼
►
I would say I don't think Apple gathering data- I think that there is a functional difference
01:07:47
◼
►
between Apple building a profile of us on our device that is with us at all times.
01:07:54
◼
►
And it is complicated, right?
01:07:58
◼
►
Because I feel like, first off, the on-device argument is mostly about we don't need to
01:08:05
◼
►
pass all of your data up into our servers in order for us to know stuff about you.
01:08:09
◼
►
And I think that that's good.
01:08:11
◼
►
And I think that that's a separate thing.
01:08:13
◼
►
There's the commitment to privacy.
01:08:15
◼
►
The idea that we don't need to upload all your photos onto iCloud in order for us to
01:08:23
◼
►
analyze them and tell you whether there are dogs in them or whatever, right?
01:08:27
◼
►
Which is, I think, the right thing to do.
01:08:29
◼
►
So I'm less concerned about like, "Ah, yes, but now you're looking at that data on device.
01:08:34
◼
►
And also you've got on-device algorithms that are going to drive me into on-device
01:08:39
◼
►
purchases of services."
01:08:41
◼
►
I'm concerned about Apple pushing services on me that are really things that are just
01:08:49
◼
►
software features.
01:08:50
◼
►
And I went into a whole rant about this last week.
01:08:53
◼
►
The personal data that is being analyzed on devices is not part of my concern about it,
01:08:59
◼
►
I guess would be my answer.
01:09:00
◼
►
I feel like maybe it's interesting, but I think this is a conflation of things that
01:09:04
◼
►
I don't think need to be conflated.
01:09:06
◼
►
Mike, what do you think?
01:09:07
◼
►
I think it's complicated.
01:09:10
◼
►
I think it becomes more complicated because of the phrasing of Ramon's question to include
01:09:16
◼
►
Google in the discussion.
01:09:18
◼
►
Because as soon as you invoke Google or Amazon when talking about this stuff, people's brains
01:09:24
◼
►
go into a route, which is like, "They are going to take my information and sell it to
01:09:31
◼
►
advertisers."
01:09:32
◼
►
If you brought Meta into this conversation, right?
01:09:35
◼
►
And a lot of people, I think, have a fundamental misunderstanding of the way that some of this
01:09:39
◼
►
stuff works.
01:09:40
◼
►
Some people believe, and I think most of our listeners would know this, but some people
01:09:44
◼
►
believe that Meta and Google just give your phone number out to companies, right?
01:09:48
◼
►
But it's not like that.
01:09:49
◼
►
That's not what they do because they want to build a business where you have to come
01:09:52
◼
►
to them to buy access to demographics.
01:09:56
◼
►
And so they don't share that information.
01:09:58
◼
►
They keep it within Google or wherever.
01:10:01
◼
►
Well, within Meta.
01:10:01
◼
►
The only people that know that information are in theory the companies you're giving
01:10:05
◼
►
your information to.
01:10:07
◼
►
They're not spreading it out past that.
01:10:10
◼
►
But they're using it to sell ads that other people buy, but they're keeping a company
01:10:17
◼
►
confidential.
01:10:18
◼
►
So access to you is being sold.
01:10:21
◼
►
Your data...
01:10:22
◼
►
I mean, there are places where there are data brokers and there are apps that are leaking
01:10:25
◼
►
information and all that.
01:10:26
◼
►
But generally with these companies like Google and Meta, it is the crown jewels, right?
01:10:32
◼
►
It's that data.
01:10:33
◼
►
They don't want to give it away.
01:10:35
◼
►
They want to set a premium price for you to have access to the knowledge that they've
01:10:38
◼
►
got about you.
01:10:39
◼
►
So they're selling...
01:10:40
◼
►
In the end, it can still make you feel just as gross.
01:10:44
◼
►
But just let's be clear, they're not selling your data.
01:10:47
◼
►
They're selling access to you.
01:10:49
◼
►
Isn't that better?
01:10:51
◼
►
I think it's not.
01:10:52
◼
►
It's a little better, but it's still different.
01:10:55
◼
►
Yeah, right.
01:10:56
◼
►
It still should probably give you pause, but it's not the same as saying, would you like
01:11:00
◼
►
to know everything?
01:11:00
◼
►
Google is not, I believe, saying, hey, I've got all this information I built about Jason.
01:11:05
◼
►
I've got a dossier.
01:11:06
◼
►
Would you like to buy it?
01:11:08
◼
►
Instead, it's like, would you like to reach people who are like Jason?
01:11:11
◼
►
Because I know who they are.
01:11:13
◼
►
And then you have to pay to get access to them.
01:11:15
◼
►
Personally, I am fine with that.
01:11:17
◼
►
Like me, like I'm fine with that.
01:11:19
◼
►
But like, I know, I know that different people have different feelings about it, but I feel
01:11:22
◼
►
like if you really don't like that, don't use those services.
01:11:24
◼
►
Like, it seems pretty simple to me.
01:11:25
◼
►
Like if you really hate the meta do that, just don't use Facebook.
01:11:28
◼
►
Like it's...
01:11:29
◼
►
But anyway, that is not the conversation we're having.
01:11:31
◼
►
But my point is like, it's not that different, really.
01:11:37
◼
►
Like fundamentally, what's going on here?
01:11:39
◼
►
Because what Apple is doing is saying, give us all of your information and we'll do what
01:11:46
◼
►
we do with it.
01:11:48
◼
►
And while we may not be selling it to other companies, we're still using the fact that
01:11:52
◼
►
we have your information to sell you things, whether it's the next Apple Watch, like Fitness
01:11:57
◼
►
Plus or like whatever.
01:11:58
◼
►
So like realistically, it's just because Apple doesn't have the business model that meta
01:12:05
◼
►
and Google do.
01:12:06
◼
►
Let me see if I can draw a line here.
01:12:08
◼
►
If Apple were, and I don't think Apple will do this, but if Apple were to say, we've analyzed
01:12:15
◼
►
your health data on your device and oh boy, you really need to get healthier.
01:12:24
◼
►
Sign up for our service where we let you get healthier.
01:12:26
◼
►
Sign up for Fitness Plus or whatever.
01:12:28
◼
►
- How far away are we from something like that happening realistically?
01:12:31
◼
►
- Well, here's the thing.
01:12:32
◼
►
I don't think Apple will cross that line.
01:12:34
◼
►
So contrast that with Apple just says, hey, we've got a new service where we look at your
01:12:39
◼
►
health data and it's wrapped into Fitness Plus or it's a different service.
01:12:43
◼
►
'Cause we don't know, this is just a rumor that we are talking about.
01:12:47
◼
►
But this question of like, is it a service?
01:12:49
◼
►
Is it part of Fitness Plus?
01:12:50
◼
►
Is it something different?
01:12:51
◼
►
I think that that is actually a pretty strong dividing line, which is, is Apple looking
01:12:56
◼
►
at our data on our device and then using it to sell us things?
01:13:01
◼
►
Or is Apple just selling us things because we are who we are?
01:13:04
◼
►
And does it matter?
01:13:05
◼
►
'Cause then the next question is, does it matter that Apple's analyzing our personal
01:13:09
◼
►
data for marketing purposes for its own products on our device?
01:13:11
◼
►
It doesn't matter that it's on our device at that point if they're doing that analysis?
01:13:16
◼
►
And what I would say is, I think this is the lesson learned by the CSAM scanning that was
01:13:24
◼
►
gonna go on and that got canned, that was gonna go on when your device was about to
01:13:30
◼
►
upload something to iCloud, where it was using its algorithm to scan your photo to see if
01:13:36
◼
►
it was child sex abuse material before it got uploaded to iCloud.
01:13:41
◼
►
And everybody was like, what do you mean there's a cop on my phone now?
01:13:44
◼
►
And Apple's like, oh, yeah, backing off, right?
01:13:50
◼
►
So that's what I would say here is, if Apple's just doing what it does, which annoys people
01:13:55
◼
►
to no end, right?
01:13:56
◼
►
Which is marketing its services to you.
01:13:58
◼
►
Hey, we added some features to Fitness Plus, isn't that awesome?
01:14:01
◼
►
You should sign up.
01:14:01
◼
►
Or if you're already a Fitness Plus member, you should opt into this and we'll analyze
01:14:05
◼
►
your data and give you tips.
01:14:07
◼
►
And you say, yes, what they can't do, I think, is look at your data and then market it to
01:14:15
◼
►
Like, I think that's where I would draw the line is, I don't want you saying, hey, you
01:14:23
◼
►
got a problem and we're the solution and we know it because we've seen your data on
01:14:28
◼
►
this iPhone.
01:14:29
◼
►
But like, they do this with App Store ads, though, right?
01:14:31
◼
►
Yeah, the App Store is not your health data that's on your device.
01:14:34
◼
►
The App Store is in the cloud.
01:14:36
◼
►
Right, but it's still only a step.
01:14:38
◼
►
Well, my point is, like, if Apple continue pushing into advertising, which it seems like
01:14:42
◼
►
they are, right?
01:14:43
◼
►
There has been like, they are just trend they're going into advertising further and further.
01:14:47
◼
►
Where does it stop?
01:14:49
◼
►
Like, my point is that I agree with you that these things will be bad.
01:14:53
◼
►
I'm just not confident that they won't do them because they're a company we've just
01:14:59
◼
►
spoken about their earnings report and the services push like, enough is sent as a line
01:15:05
◼
►
and they'll be like, well, we're going to start recommending to customers.
01:15:10
◼
►
We don't know who they are because it's all on device, but we're going to start making
01:15:14
◼
►
these recommendations to people like, hey, why don't you check out this activity in
01:15:18
◼
►
Fitness Plus?
01:15:18
◼
►
So that's that's the question is what if App Store I mean, this is not the question that
01:15:23
◼
►
Ramon asked, but let's go down that path, which is what if Apple's App Store ads stopped
01:15:29
◼
►
being based on your cloud and iCloud and Apple ID data stuff that Apple has on its servers
01:15:37
◼
►
that it knows about?
01:15:38
◼
►
And what if it started being that all your ads in the App Store were based on on device
01:15:44
◼
►
behavior, right?
01:15:45
◼
►
Let's just walk down that path.
01:15:47
◼
►
So it doesn't on your device, your device could theoretically know what's on a home
01:15:54
◼
►
screen versus an app library.
01:15:55
◼
►
How often do apps get launched?
01:15:58
◼
►
What are those apps?
01:15:59
◼
►
How often are you using particular kinds of apps?
01:16:02
◼
►
And then all on device, it goes, oh, wow, Jason is playing Marvel Snap a lot on his
01:16:08
◼
►
What are other apps we could push at him that are like Marvel Snap?
01:16:11
◼
►
Because he's playing that one a lot, which is probably more than Apple has off device,
01:16:17
◼
►
I mean, maybe not.
01:16:18
◼
►
It depends on device metrics and all that, but they don't seem to be using that level
01:16:22
◼
►
of data to sell me things up in the App Store.
01:16:24
◼
►
So let's just go with it for a moment.
01:16:26
◼
►
Like, does that cross the line where it's like, well, wait a second.
01:16:30
◼
►
I feel like this about TikTok.
01:16:31
◼
►
Honestly, it's one of the things that repels me about TikTok is that if you pause and don't
01:16:37
◼
►
do anything to indicate I like this video, but you watch a lot of it or watch some of
01:16:44
◼
►
it, TikTok will be like, gotcha and log it.
01:16:48
◼
►
And that's what it does.
01:16:49
◼
►
It's watching your behavior, not your chosen.
01:16:53
◼
►
I am going to say I like this, but literally like, yeah, you said you didn't like it, but
01:16:57
◼
►
you watched it for 40 seconds.
01:16:58
◼
►
So we know you liked it, right?
01:17:00
◼
►
This is that kind of thing, which is my iPhone is now watching all of my behavior and you
01:17:07
◼
►
are using it to build a profile all on device, all on device, but it's using that and they
01:17:12
◼
►
build an algorithm so that now they can advertise to me more effectively.
01:17:16
◼
►
I doubt they would do that.
01:17:21
◼
►
I would have a problem with it, but I also see your point, which is, can you imagine
01:17:28
◼
►
a scenario where Apple continues down this path while searching for advertising revenue
01:17:32
◼
►
and services revenue?
01:17:33
◼
►
I would say I can envision it, but I feel like we've already learned some lessons about
01:17:39
◼
►
when people start to push back on what happens on device.
01:17:42
◼
►
When on device goes from being a privacy feature to being a surveillance feature, that's when
01:17:49
◼
►
it all falls apart.
01:17:50
◼
►
And I'm not sure Apple really wants to go down that path because they use on device
01:17:54
◼
►
as a shield to say, we do things on device and that means it's safer for you.
01:17:59
◼
►
And if they muddy the waters by saying, no, no, actually on device is spying, which it
01:18:03
◼
►
was sort of with the CSAM detection thing where, I mean, we talked about it last year.
01:18:08
◼
►
It's a detailed argument.
01:18:08
◼
►
It's very complex.
01:18:09
◼
►
But the idea was people walked away thinking there's a cop on my phone, right?
01:18:13
◼
►
The last thing you want is to say Apple is spying on me.
01:18:17
◼
►
Everything I do on my phone, Apple is watching and turning it into a product all on device,
01:18:22
◼
►
but still turning me into a product.
01:18:23
◼
►
I think people would really resist that and I think Apple would probably not stoop to
01:18:28
◼
►
that, but it's worth considering because the technology is there.
01:18:32
◼
►
You could do it.
01:18:33
◼
►
I agree with you.
01:18:34
◼
►
That situation that you've painted, if they did that, that would be terrible.
01:18:38
◼
►
I just feel like sometimes some of their ad stuff and like the, um,
01:18:43
◼
►
at tracking transparency stuff, like I had kind of a problem with that at the time.
01:18:47
◼
►
I still continue to, because it hasn't really changed anything, like, except like it's,
01:18:53
◼
►
it's made things maybe smaller, harder for smaller companies to try and do tracking.
01:18:59
◼
►
I think it's made things harder for Facebook, but you're right.
01:19:01
◼
►
It's also made things harder for anybody who is trying to use Facebook
01:19:04
◼
►
to reach people with their advertising.
01:19:08
◼
►
But like if Facebook's most recent earnings, they kind of seem to be like,
01:19:11
◼
►
"Oh, it's good now."
01:19:12
◼
►
It's like, oh, they've worked out their own thing, like whatever this is now to try and
01:19:18
◼
►
work out the segmentation again.
01:19:20
◼
►
My point is like Apple does a bunch of segmentation stuff.
01:19:22
◼
►
They do all the same things, right?
01:19:24
◼
►
Like they're not for like purchases and how they recommend ads.
01:19:27
◼
►
And they like, they put you into a bucket and they look at that bucket and they sell
01:19:32
◼
►
these buckets and all that kind of stuff.
01:19:34
◼
►
So my concern is that, as you say, like the on-device stuff is a shield.
01:19:39
◼
►
Hopefully they don't ever try and put ads behind that shield.
01:19:42
◼
►
But I do feel like from a fundamental level, they are still using your data to sell things
01:19:53
◼
►
They just sell different things.
01:19:56
◼
►
That they're not selling your information for necessarily people to advertise to you
01:20:01
◼
►
unless it's apps.
01:20:04
◼
►
They're doing a similar kind of thing there.
01:20:06
◼
►
And a lot of the information that you put that's on device is weirdly used as like a
01:20:11
◼
►
lock-in to sell you more of their own products anyway.
01:20:14
◼
►
So it's all kind of comes down to what companies you feel most comfortable with.
01:20:21
◼
►
I feel most comfortable with Apple and giving them all of my information.
01:20:25
◼
►
Like I am most comfortable with them.
01:20:26
◼
►
But the idea that they are like fundamentally different from anyone else doesn't necessarily
01:20:34
◼
►
pass with me because ultimately it's still the same or it's still just your data.
01:20:39
◼
►
They're just using it to sell to you differently.
01:20:43
◼
►
And then you maybe you're just happy with that different.
01:20:45
◼
►
This is the, yeah, this taking a step back.
01:20:49
◼
►
The point here is that Apple has data that it's using to profile you and sell things
01:21:01
◼
►
like app store ads.
01:21:03
◼
►
And while Apple's business is different, it's not that different.
01:21:08
◼
►
It's the thing you and I have talked about a lot, which is like, there's a lot of reflexive
01:21:12
◼
►
ooga booga scary boogeyman stuff about Google and Facebook and Amazon.
01:21:18
◼
►
And like, and it's true, their business models do require a level of profiling and surveillance
01:21:24
◼
►
that maybe Apple's business model doesn't.
01:21:26
◼
►
But app tracking transparency in a way is just a self, although it's a privacy thing,
01:21:33
◼
►
that's how it's sold.
01:21:34
◼
►
What it really does is say, well, you should only collect data as a first party and Apple
01:21:41
◼
►
is the first party.
01:21:42
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And so Apple, because it runs the app store knows everything about your app store behavior.
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And they use that to sell ads.
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So although it's different than Google and Facebook, not that different.
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It's not that different.
01:21:56
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It's different, but it's not as different as you might think.
01:22:00
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And you need to go in with your eyes open.
01:22:02
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I guess I would just say, I think there's a point at which it goes from being, you know,
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we're using your data that you do on our servers to do ads.
01:22:17
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We're using your app store data to do ads in the app store is different.
01:22:23
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It's way different from the idea that like we're watching all your behavior on your iPhone.
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Let me use that for an array of different products.
01:22:28
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And I don't think they'll get there, but I think it's also important to point out that
01:22:35
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on device isn't necessarily a panacea that on device could potentially go from being
01:22:41
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this shield of we don't want to process all your photos unless you upload them to iCloud.
01:22:47
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You know, we don't want to see them and we're going to do things end to end, which means
01:22:50
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that it's going to be has to be on your device and like, that's all good.
01:22:54
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But you can flip that over and say, we've built stuff to spy on you for our profit and
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put it on your device.
01:23:01
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And that's the danger of that.
01:23:05
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So it's something for all of us to watch.
01:23:07
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Because as you mentioned a minute ago, they got very close to we built something to spy
01:23:13
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on you so we didn't have to worry about it.
01:23:16
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They got super close to that.
01:23:18
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So it wasn't inconvenient for us.
01:23:20
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We made it inconvenient for you.
01:23:21
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And I should point out when we talk about app store, we should say, keep in mind, this
01:23:27
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is literally the only app store you can use, right?
01:23:31
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So they're using their power to say, we know everything about all software buying behavior
01:23:38
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on our platform, everything.
01:23:41
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And if you don't like that, it's not like photos where you can be like, no, I don't
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want to use iCloud photo library.
01:23:46
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And you still get those scanning features and it all still works because it's on device.
01:23:50
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With the app store, you have no choice but to be in their system.
01:23:55
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And it's a system where they're making money on ads.
01:23:58
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So I mean, I think app store ads are offensive.
01:24:02
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And this is one of the reasons I think they're offensive is because you can't really escape
01:24:06
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it and they degrade the user experience and they know everything you've bought so that
01:24:10
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they can customize those ads.
01:24:12
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Including in app purchases.
01:24:13
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So at the point where you as a person have become a customer of another company and are
01:24:19
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buying things within their app, Apple knows that information and uses that information
01:24:25
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to make more ads for you.
01:24:26
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And doesn't consider you a customer of another company.
01:24:28
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They consider that purchase an Apple purchase, right?
01:24:30
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That's part of it too.
01:24:31
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It's like, it's all still first party because an in-app purchase in somebody's app is
01:24:35
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still a purchase through Apple.
01:24:37
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So you're still Apple's customer as far as they're concerned.
01:24:39
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And that's part of the story.
01:24:41
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There's a lot here.
01:24:42
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I don't entirely agree with Ramon's take, but I appreciate him having us explore this
01:24:48
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because I think that there's a lot of really interesting potential here.
01:24:51
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I think Ramon is just concerned, right?
01:24:53
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And I get that concern because I think about it a lot.
01:24:57
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On device, I love the, does the on device argument give them a pass?
01:25:01
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And I think the answer is no, that on device can be used for good or evil, right?
01:25:07
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And that's something that we all need to watch.
01:25:09
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And I think, again, I think maybe Apple learned that lesson in the reaction to the CSAM scanning.
01:25:14
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I think maybe Apple realized there are some things that if you do it on device, it blows
01:25:21
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their whole on device argument and they need to not do that.
01:25:24
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But you never say never, you know, you get a vice president somewhere who's being given
01:25:29
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an incentive to maximize revenue and they have enough pull to get a feature installed
01:25:33
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that does something like never say never.
01:25:36
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But I'm skeptical that they'll go down that path because I feel like maybe they learned
01:25:40
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a valuable lesson from this.
01:25:42
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But it doesn't change their business model in other places.
01:25:46
◼
►
Chris asks, do you think Apple's headset will have a cellular connection or will it just
01:25:54
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►
This one, wifi.
01:25:55
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►
Long term cellular, right?
01:25:57
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►
Because long term you're going to want to do mixed reality and you're going to be out
01:26:00
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►
there, but in this one, it's just going to be wifi, right?
01:26:02
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►
Like this is an inside thing.
01:26:04
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►
And I think Apple considers inside spaces, wifi spaces.
01:26:07
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►
If you're in the hotel, you might have to log in with your browser in VR, put in your
01:26:12
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►
room number, whatever.
01:26:13
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►
But like, I think in the long run, obviously it's going to have to be cellular, but not
01:26:19
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►
in the short run.
01:26:19
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►
Hmm. Now you have one of those, like, you know, I was thinking you're in hotels and
01:26:24
◼
►
you had that like pop-up thing is put your room number in massive 70 foot, right in your
01:26:30
◼
►
You got to climb up onto the field, smash the button, type it in.
01:26:37
◼
►
If you would like to send in a question for us to answer on this show, as you can tell,
01:26:43
◼
►
they could be very different.
01:26:44
◼
►
You can ask us anything.
01:26:47
◼
►
Go to upgradefeedback.com and you can send us in a question there.
01:26:51
◼
►
And of course you can find a link to that in the show notes.
01:26:54
◼
►
If you would like to, you can send us in questions for Ask Upgrade, Snow Talk and anything else.
01:27:00
◼
►
Maybe you have follow-up, maybe you have feedback about the show.
01:27:03
◼
►
Maybe you want to be one of Mike Hurley's tip line informants.
01:27:07
◼
►
You can go to upgradefeedback.com and send that information in.
01:27:10
◼
►
If you want to check out Jason's work and see all of his wonderful charts that he's
01:27:14
◼
►
been generating over the last week.
01:27:15
◼
►
You can go to sixcolors.com.
01:27:17
◼
►
You can also hear Jason's podcasts at the incomparable.com and here on Relay FM, where
01:27:22
◼
►
you'll also find my shows.
01:27:24
◼
►
You can check out my other work at cortexbrand.com.
01:27:27
◼
►
You can find us on Mastodon.
01:27:29
◼
►
Jason is at Jason Elle on zeppelin.flights.
01:27:31
◼
►
You can find me as @imike on mike.social, and you can find this show as @upgrade on
01:27:37
◼
►
relayfm.social, which is one of the three places currently that you can see clips of
01:27:43
◼
►
You can also watch them on TikTok and Instagram.
01:27:46
◼
►
We are @upgraderelay on both.
01:27:48
◼
►
I've got to say, I'm coming around.
01:27:50
◼
►
I've come around on this.
01:27:52
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►
I really like the clips.
01:27:54
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►
Clips are good.
01:27:54
◼
►
I'm enjoying them.
01:27:56
◼
►
Thank you to our members who support us with Upgrade Plus.
01:27:59
◼
►
Thank you to ExpressVPN and Ooni for their support of this episode.
01:28:03
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►
But most of all, thank you for listening and we'll be back next time.
01:28:06
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►
Until then, take good by Jason's now.
01:28:09
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Everybody enjoy your pizza.