89: Can We Use a Tracking Pixel?
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From Relay FM, this is Upgrade, episode number 89. Today's show is brought to you very kindly by our friends over at FreshBooks and MailRoute.
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My name is Myke Hurley and I am joined over on the other side of the globe by Mr. Jason Snell.
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Hi Myke, I saw a funny thing that was going around, a meme that was something about people
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who believe in the the earth is flat and the the line was something like there
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are there are members of the flat earth society all around the globe you're
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doing it wrong no no you can't no would it be a cross I guess yeah all across
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the flat plain that is the earth riding on the back of a turtle how are you so
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you doing well today except for this crazy meme you found it's Monday it's
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It's Monday morning, you know, it is a pleasure to spend my Monday morning with you and the
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listeners and to get, of course, you're listening whenever, but you're hearing Monday morning
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me when you hear Upgrade, usually.
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And it's good, like I always say, it's a good start to the week.
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I stay up late watching Game of Thrones on Sunday nights, so I gotta, you know, take
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and have a little more tea and try to wake up.
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But having kids in my house makes it easier to wake up because if I was just like you,
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you don't have a lot of people in your house who are on a normal human schedule.
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You've got one.
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For me, having the kids, my daughter has to be up and moving around before seven o'clock
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really and my son not too long after that.
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And so I could be one of those people who has a really weird schedule and sleeps until
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11 a.m. and all of that, but I can't because, you know, not only do I have the kids have
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to get out fairly early and then Lauren has to get out right about now, but, you know,
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also the dog, whenever it's light out, the dog decides now is the time to come and lick
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my face and demand that I feed her.
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I got a trainer out of that.
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But so yeah, so in the end, it's a, you know, I dream of being one of those people who can
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wake up at 11 in the morning and get about their business, but I am never going to be
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one of those people.
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So good morning is what I'm saying.
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We have a big show today.
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So we had an overwhelming amount of feedback that people wanted to hear more about kind
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of the business side of podcasting.
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Yeah, how the sausage is made apparently is the thing that we're talking about now.
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So we've got a lot of that today.
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We have a lot of follow up, but also later in the show,
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we're gonna be joined by Mr. Lex Friedman.
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You may know Lex, he is the host of many podcasts,
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including Turnin' His Car Around, and he's also,
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I wouldn't know how to describe him,
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we'll get him to describe himself,
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but he works for Midroll Media,
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working on their advertising.
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So Midroll is a huge podcast advertising company
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that kind of provides advertising to many, many huge
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podcasts including stuff like the Mark Maron show.
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So he is really in that world
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of leading podcast professionals.
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So we wanna get Lex's thoughts and opinions
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on this whole data and discussion
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that we had from last week.
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So that's coming up a little later on in the show.
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But first off, I wanna kind of go through some thoughts,
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some additional thoughts that I've had
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and to kind of clarify some points from last week
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based on listener feedback.
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So I wanted to kind of go through a few things about data with you, Jason, so we can talk
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So I've got a few questions that we can answer.
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So question number one is, "What is the data that we do not want Apple to give to
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all podcasters, including us and everybody else?"
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And we should say there's no evidence that Apple's going to give this data.
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The New York Times story that set this off was sort of about people complaining that
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Apple isn't doing enough, making enough of an effort to gather data.
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And quite frankly, as the week has gone on and more people are talking about this and
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less people are coming forward to say anything, it really does seem to me that a lot of that
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article maybe isn't exactly how it seems.
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Yeah, I think that's probably true. And I also, something that tends to happen on the
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internet is your arguments get flattened into this, you know, very basic polar opposite
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kind of argument. And I think that's one of the reasons we want to follow up a little
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bit about here is there's I've seen some people suggest that what we are saying and other
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people are saying is that we don't think that there's a place for data in podcasting and
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that's not really true. So what's the data from your perspective Myke, what's the data
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that you don't want Apple to give?
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I really don't want Apple to take Apple IDs, iCloud IDs and use the information that they
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know about the people behind those and attach them to the shows that they listen to.
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Even in an anonymized way, I think there's very basic information that is fine.
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So maybe the stuff that we'd want to give is information about the listening of the
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I can see why some people would want to know that and we'll get into that in a minute.
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But the actual data about the individuals, I don't think that that data should be given
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unless somebody specifically wants to do it, like through surveys or something.
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a listener opts in to give that information. They say like, I am female, I am 25 years
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old, I earn this amount of money, I live in this part of the world. I don't think Apple
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should be providing that information without explicit opt-in from the listener. So really
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Apple shouldn't be involved in this at all. There should be, the podcasters themselves
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should create surveys as many do if they want to get that information. I don't think that
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that stuff should be taken from what would be people's iCloud IDs and given out because
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Because also that frankly doesn't feel like something that fits with Apple's core value.
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So I don't, and I don't think that, you know, we'll get into this later with Lex I'm sure,
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but I personally don't believe that that information is necessary for the type of advertising that
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we have been doing for years and has been in the podcast industry for over 10 years
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It's the, it's that, uh, user tracking and, uh, the ability to, yeah, I mean, it's essentially,
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I think what is suggested in that article is that they want web style tracking where
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they can place—and this is where it breaks down from a technological standpoint—is
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like, what they want to do is place markers on a file somehow and have it be that this
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is where the ad is and please give us information about this and let us have a unique identifier
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for these people and send this back to us as we go. And you kind of would need to build
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an entire infrastructure around tracking to do that. And that's where it breaks down for
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me is I don't think Apple is interested in building an infrastructure around tracking
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based on the contents of your MP3 files. Which is not to say that not just Apple, but podcast
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app makers in general couldn't generate more data for their podcasters, although there
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are still challenges there. Like, if you're Marco Arment, how do you verify that somebody
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is the owner of a podcast in order to give them access to their personal data? Because
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you're not going to give all data to everyone, are you? That seems a little bit far-fetched.
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Apple, because it's got a directory, does have an advantage there that people have signed
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up essentially and submitted their podcast, and so it's tied to an Apple ID. But more
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broadly, there is data that anybody who makes a podcast app could generate if they wanted
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to, and it could be as aggregate or as anonymized as they want it to be. Now, I'm not sure I
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want people measuring all of this data either, and I'm not sure how useful it would be, but
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there are definitely data that you could get around people listening to shows because the
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the... We should mention, ATP talked about this this week in ATP 169, and they recommended
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us, so we should probably recommend their conversation about it. They all...
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- To close the loop.
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- They all snake around together. But Marco talked about this a little bit, and it's the
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idea that right now, the way podcasting works, it's an RSS feed. You see the feed gets updated
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and says, "There's a new episode. Here's the download link," and your RSS or your podcast
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app says "okay" and it goes and it downloads it. And so you get download stats. You get
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download stats that are very much like web file stats. You get an IP address and you
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know what client it was and some very basic stuff. And that's the end of the conversation.
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That's like that's the end of it. And so inside the app you could do something to measure
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does that episode ever get played? How many times did that episode actually have somebody
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press play and begin the playing of audio? You could also have an abandonment point,
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you could measure after, again it gets really complicated and how do you determine this,
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but you could say the average person got to this point, or 50% of people reached this point,
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or whatever. You could do that. So you could get the idea, which might be useful for podcasters
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if you do a three-hour podcast to realize that most people aren't listening past 45
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minutes. It would be interesting. That's possible. That would be good for advertisers to know
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where to put their ads is when people are listening. And you could go even deeper and
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say, do people skip audio in there? And even deeper would be where do they skip audio and
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are they skipping ads and all of that? You could go down the rabbit hole there. But every
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step you take, every, I guess, rung in the ladder down into the rabbit hole, I don't
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know, I've lost the metaphor here, it's more complicated the further you go, and the data's
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more complicated. And I can tell you from having a load of web data from my previous
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job, doing, you know, looking at all the data for PC World and Mac World and TechHive, that
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it's, it's too much data. The data is usually not used particularly well by anybody. So
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people talk a lot about collecting data but I'm skeptical about how useful it would be.
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So Apple already have some data that they could turn into something without needing
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to lock the system down, right? So there are statistics that they are able to gather that
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could make things more useful for people if they were to display them in a good way. Like
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Apple will know if the episode is downloaded or streamed, right? They know if somebody
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subscribes, they have that information, they can get through their apps. They know broad
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geographical information, so do Libsyn, the host that we use, they have that so like we
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know what state people are listening in and sometimes what city depending on how big the
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Yeah, V Press has that too which I use for some some podcasts as well and and it's the
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same you know they're generally using a redirect so when you try to download the episode it
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logs that on the server and then sends you to download the episode and it gathers a little
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bit of data by measuring that request.
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And that broad data is useful.
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So the geographical broad data helps me make decisions of advertisers.
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So I'm able to say to an advertiser, 60 to 70 percent of our listeners are based in the
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United States, which is really useful when we have a product that's U.S. only.
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So that's, you know, but I feel like for me, that's as far as it needs to go in most instances.
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But you know, many people think differently.
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We also can find out through Libsyn which application or device is being used, which
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is just, I don't really think that's very useful, that's just an interesting tidbit.
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I don't really know if there's much you can do with that.
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Apple could also kind of provide information on related shows, so they know what you subscribe
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And they show like, on the store, people that subscribe to this like this, but they could
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maybe generate more graphs for people or maybe charts that kind of show the correlation between
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Yeah, yeah, they could. They could.
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I don't know what you'd use that for, right? I'm just thinking these are the data points
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that they have.
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Yeah, so there's data around. I think that's one of the things that we mentioned briefly
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last week is there's data around. And I'm skeptical enough about the complexity of getting
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more data and then the... I'm skeptical of whether that data really would get used in
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a good way. And I'm not saying in an evil way, I'm like in an effective way because
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it's very hard to parse that data and understand what it all means. And if you've got different
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sources, then you can't really compare them. So that's problematic too. Also, there are
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other sources of data. We've talked about some of them here. Let's also not forget things
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like surveys. And you may think, "Well, surveys aren't data. That's you're asking people to
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tell you who they are and all that and those can be skewed. It's true, that said, radio
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and television have used surveys to determine the life and death of every TV and radio show
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ever since the beginning of those two media because that's how they've had to do it. And
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although now there are technological things involving DVRs and things like that that are
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part of the mix, for years and years the way the TV industry and the radio industry dealt
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with this is they had a panel of viewers or listeners and they would measure them in their
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homes or they would have them fill out surveys telling them what they watched and they would
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use that to determine ratings. So, Midroll does this, Lexus company, they have a demographic
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survey that they use. It's not a listening per episode listenership but it's a demographic
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survey. You know, you basically can say what's your age and race and profession and gender
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and "Have you ever bought things on a podcast?" and stuff like that. And it's optional, not
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everybody has to fill it out, but they've used that to compile demographic data that
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lets them sell better to advertisers and lets advertisers target shows. They know if an
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advertiser is targeting menswear, they want to advertise on a show that skews male, and
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if there's somebody who's advertising a shaving product for women, let's say, that they want
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of thing that's going to be female skewed. And that data is there, age and income and
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all sorts of data like that. You can collect that now, and although it might not be perfect,
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I would argue maybe none of this data is ever going to really be perfect.
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Yeah, my feeling about that stuff is the surveys are fine, because it's opt-in, right? This
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is just where it just starts to get a bit, "What is your personal tastes?" And I just
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don't like the idea of data being taken about our listeners, about them meaning
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for it to be or knowing that it is, when for so long it hasn't been. So like if
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you're listening in Google, you're listening in Spotify, you're listening in
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Stitcher, you're giving that data. These services are created in a way
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that they are able to get more from you because they're locked down and that's
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the idea right? They don't use the RSS feeds, they have their own stores and
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and they're able to learn a little bit more about you.
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But you're opting into that, you know,
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whether you read the terms of service or not.
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But you know, my whole thing is just not liking the idea
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of Apple changing it under people's feet.
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- Yeah, and people don't understand that too.
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I actually heard from people,
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I heard from somebody yesterday who said,
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why aren't there incomparable episodes on Stitcher anymore?
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And the answer was,
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I never submitted a comparable to Stitcher.
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And when somebody complained that there was something wrong
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with our feed on Stitcher,
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I wrote to Stitcher and said, "Take our feet off," because I can't actually measure listenership
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there. I have no access to whatever statistics they do have because I don't have an account
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there, and yet somehow my podcast is in their system. So I asked them to take it out, but
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that person was like, "Well, what about Stitcher?" And the problem is that you risk being in
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a situation where somebody said to me the other day, "I don't want to have an Audible
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app for the Audible podcasts and a Howl app for the mid-roll Howl podcasts and an Apple
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app for these Apple exclusive podcasts and then a podcast app that gives me the free
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standard podcast. I don't want all those things. I want them all in one place. And that's one
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of the risks of doing something like this is... And I guess that's what they're saying
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in a way that people in the New York Times article is basically, "Please, Apple, find
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us, don't make us build our own app and wall this off, just let us monetize this stuff
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and charge for it and things like that inside your podcast app. And I just don't think it's
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going to happen because that's a whole lot of overhead and it totally changes what podcasts
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are to do sort of like paid, gated podcasts in, and even if Apple supports it then, can
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Overcast support it? Can Pocketcast support it? I don't know, it's kind of a mess. So,
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yeah, it's a mess.
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So that's our follow-up for the time being. We'll get back to this conversation a little
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bit later on in the show. But you have some exciting podcast-related news over at The
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Incomparable this week.
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I don't think it's news. It's literally counting. But we've been doing The Incomparable for
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essentially 300 weeks, and that means six years almost have passed. And that means that
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we did episode 300 over the weekend. So people can check that out if they like. It's kind
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of a meta episode. It's sort of really two episodes stuck together. First one, we talk
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about sort of how our consumption of media, you know, books and movies and TV shows and
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comics and stuff has changed over the last six-ish years since we started podcasting
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about it. And then there's a silly segment after that where we do things like draft favorite
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episodes and answer listener questions and talk about topics we wish we would have covered
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or topics we regret how we covered it or episodes we wish we were on but weren't and
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to all of that. So there's a lot of that in there. But I wanted to bring this up because
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I think it's interesting, and again, apologies to people who don't really care about anything
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but us talking about computers, but I think in terms of making things on the internet,
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one of the questions is how do you stop if it's something that is recurring. Anybody
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who's had a blog has had to deal with this, right? Which is, once you start a blog, you're
00:18:27
◼
►
sort of like saying, "I'm going to post on it regularly," and then at some point you're
00:18:30
◼
►
like, "Oh man, how long am I going to keep posting on this thing? Maybe I should stop."
00:18:35
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►
And I was thinking about that because, you know, I had this idea, it's very clear from
00:18:39
◼
►
the early, you know, first 20 episodes of The Incomparable that I was not thinking about
00:18:45
◼
►
the fact that this might go on eternally. And so I made a decision basically like, "Wouldn't
00:18:55
◼
►
it be fun to try this?" And it has resulted in me hosting and editing the vast majority
00:19:02
◼
►
of 300 straight weeks of podcasts. And so my question for you as somebody who does this
00:19:08
◼
►
too, these are serial mediums, they have subscribers, you're sort of supposed to keep feeding them
00:19:14
◼
►
over time. How does that factor into your decision about wanting to commit to start
00:19:22
◼
►
something? Does that hang over your head? And how do you factor in, because you've
00:19:27
◼
►
done this a few times now, how do you factor in when to move on and when to say, "Okay,
00:19:31
◼
►
I know that I said I would do this for a while, but a while is over now and I'm going to
00:19:35
◼
►
go do something else."
00:19:36
◼
►
It's such an airy-fairy answer, but for me, like, it's just about feeling. Like,
00:19:42
◼
►
so I, you know, I always start a show and it's like, well, the show has begun, right?
00:19:46
◼
►
There is, with some exceptions, no end in sight, like, we're just going to start this
00:19:50
◼
►
and off we go. By the way, the Ring post, the wrestling show on the incomparable, still
00:19:55
◼
►
in production, I'm still working on it, I'm sorry for everyone that's waiting, I promise
00:19:59
◼
►
it's gonna be good but, TL;DR starting something before San Francisco WWDC was a crazy idea.
00:20:08
◼
►
Still working on it, I'll have more soon. My feeling on this stuff is I wait until the
00:20:13
◼
►
show just doesn't feel exciting for me anymore and when I'm at that point where I'm not interested
00:20:19
◼
►
in it is probably the time for me to move on from it.
00:20:23
◼
►
Because if I'm not interested in it,
00:20:25
◼
►
then how can I expect everybody else to be interested in it?
00:20:28
◼
►
It kind of feels unfair.
00:20:29
◼
►
If I'm not excited and putting my all in,
00:20:32
◼
►
then I'm not really doing the right thing
00:20:34
◼
►
by the people that are committing their time to listen.
00:20:36
◼
►
I feel like it's kind of unfair to them.
00:20:38
◼
►
So when it gets to that point,
00:20:39
◼
►
I do, and I've always done one of two things.
00:20:41
◼
►
I either end the show or reboot the show.
00:20:45
◼
►
And I've done those things in various different ways
00:20:48
◼
►
over the six years that I've done this stuff.
00:20:50
◼
►
And that's what keeps things going for me.
00:20:51
◼
►
I don't have anything that has reached the heights of 300.
00:20:54
◼
►
Do you know what?
00:20:55
◼
►
I probably never will.
00:20:57
◼
►
Maybe except the pen addict.
00:20:58
◼
►
I think that might get there, right?
00:21:00
◼
►
Just because there's no reason that that show would end
00:21:02
◼
►
and we're over 200 now.
00:21:06
◼
►
- Because it's the only thing that stuck around,
00:21:07
◼
►
but for whatever reason,
00:21:08
◼
►
it's the only thing that stuck around.
00:21:09
◼
►
- Across three networks.
00:21:12
◼
►
- It has remained intact.
00:21:14
◼
►
Maybe it's just because me and Brad
00:21:17
◼
►
just have this fun show where we talk about the thing that we love every week and the
00:21:21
◼
►
thing just keeps on moving.
00:21:22
◼
►
It sounds familiar, right? I mean, The Incomparable is a similar story and one of the reasons
00:21:27
◼
►
that I think, I think you're right, it's about feeling and I would say it's almost
00:21:31
◼
►
like about feel, like this feels like it's probably a good idea to do it and I don't
00:21:36
◼
►
know where it's going to go but let's try it, let's do it. And with The Incomparable,
00:21:40
◼
►
the premise is so flexible and some would argue completely unfocused. It's about anything
00:21:44
◼
►
that it's not about pens, right? It's about, you know, it's not a show about a TV show
00:21:50
◼
►
or all TV shows. It's about TV and books and movies and comics and whatever, right? And
00:21:57
◼
►
that is unfocused. It leads to people saying, you know, I've got to skip episodes, which
00:22:01
◼
►
somehow is, it's fine. People are like, "Oh, I don't know about this podcast. I'm not interested
00:22:07
◼
►
in everything in every episode." And what I always say about the incomparable is, "That's
00:22:10
◼
►
The only person who's interested in everything in every episode is me. You can pick and choose,
00:22:14
◼
►
it's fine. But what that's given me as the person who makes it happen every week
00:22:21
◼
►
is, it's been flexible enough to sort of handle what I'm interested in. And that
00:22:27
◼
►
if my, I didn't think of it at the time in these terms, but looking back 300 weeks,
00:22:34
◼
►
I would say is, I think it would have been a grind if all I could talk about on that
00:22:42
◼
►
podcast was one topic. Like, I mean, even like books, right? I think it would have gotten
00:22:48
◼
►
to be a grind, or movies or whatever. Like, and I would have been looking at comics and
00:22:55
◼
►
TV shows and whatever else, the ones that were not part of it, and being kind of like
00:23:01
◼
►
wishing that I could talk about them. So in some ways, the reason that it's lasted and
00:23:06
◼
►
that it hasn't become a grind for me where I feel like I need to end it is because if
00:23:12
◼
►
I'm not interested in that topic, I just talk about a different topic. And I'm allowed
00:23:16
◼
►
to sort of like follow my interests and follow the interests of the panel, and that's been
00:23:21
◼
►
helpful. So it's, you know, and that's built right into it, which is also why it's not,
00:23:26
◼
►
I think as popular as it probably could be if it was super focused on something, but
00:23:32
◼
►
I'm okay with that because I don't think it would have lasted if it had been super focused
00:23:37
◼
►
on anything.
00:23:38
◼
►
And with the podcast network thing now we've got some stuff that's more super focused.
00:23:41
◼
►
I can do that Sunday night podcast about Game of Thrones for 10 weeks and then stop for
00:23:47
◼
►
a year and then go back to it.
00:23:49
◼
►
But for the main show, I think it's that.
00:23:52
◼
►
It's just the way it's built in.
00:23:54
◼
►
eclectic enough to keep me interested after this time. I should also say I'm very bad
00:23:59
◼
►
at quitting things. I'm a—I'm a—I am. I'm really bad at it. I mean, we've talked
00:24:03
◼
►
about my job, right, and how I had that job for essentially like 17 years and even the
00:24:08
◼
►
last two years when it was terrible and I should have quit and it was obvious I should
00:24:11
◼
►
have quit, I didn't quit. But it's true. I am a person who sticks with things, which
00:24:16
◼
►
I think is an admirable trait in a lot of ways, but I am always questioning myself about
00:24:23
◼
►
am I sticking with this because I want to do it, or am I sticking with it because I'm
00:24:26
◼
►
too stubborn to say that it's over?" And like the blog that we did in the 90s TV, the
00:24:34
◼
►
zine I did, the fiction magazine that I did on the internet, Intertext is the same way,
00:24:38
◼
►
where Intertext especially, where like it was obvious for like about three years that
00:24:41
◼
►
I could manage maybe one issue a year, and it took that long for me to be like, "I
00:24:48
◼
►
need to stop, right? I can stop this. All I have to do is say it's over, but sometimes
00:24:55
◼
►
it's hard to say that. So, you know, that's an issue here too, but I'd like to think that
00:25:01
◼
►
I've learned and gotten better at it. But yeah, anyway.
00:25:05
◼
►
But anyway, congratulations to you and all of your fellow panelists for hitting 300 episodes
00:25:11
◼
►
of The Incomparable. Thanks. It's a big number. We should also
00:25:15
◼
►
mentioned the Mac power users hit it a little while ago and I was very
00:25:17
◼
►
impressed by that because I told David Sparks when I was talking to him that
00:25:22
◼
►
like I know how many episodes that is that's a lot that's you know and on one
00:25:26
◼
►
level all you have to do is just keep putting them out like I said 300 weeks
00:25:30
◼
►
pass and there you are but it's a different thing to to I mean to do it
00:25:37
◼
►
that long is it's it's kind of special and and I appreciate it when I see it
00:25:43
◼
►
And Penavic at over 200. It's amazing.
00:25:46
◼
►
Yeah, MPU's up to 321 now.
00:25:49
◼
►
I know. Well, they do those bonus episodes. We used to be ahead of them, and now we're
00:25:53
◼
►
That's the way they do it. Penavic's moving to daily, just so we can take you down.
00:25:57
◼
►
Oh good. That'll get your numbers way up.
00:26:00
◼
►
We're coming for you.
00:26:03
◼
►
This week's episode is brought to you by FreshBooks. FreshBooks are a company on a mission to help
00:26:09
◼
►
small business owners like me and hopefully like you save time and avoid the stress that
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comes with running those businesses. I have lots of things that take my attention every
00:26:19
◼
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day right? I have lots of people that I work with, I have lots of projects that I need
00:26:22
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to keep up with. One of the things that is least interesting to me in my job is finances.
00:26:28
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I hate doing anything related to that. Fresh books take the pain away for me. I sit down
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on a Friday, I open up FreshBooks and I'm able to fire off invoices and sometimes we're
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talking like at the end of the month especially like 30 invoices or something, I'm able to
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get them done so quickly. It takes just 30 seconds to create and send an invoice. All
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of your previous line items are saved in there, right? So if you have, so for example with
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us like I will build per podcast to the sponsor and they're all saved in there all the information
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so it's very easy for me to just in a few taps to get everything out. It's so simple
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this because we use FreshBooks. FreshBooks customers get paid five days faster than the
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average because they make it so simple to integrate all the different ways for somebody
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to pay you. Card payments, PayPal payments, you can put information for bank transfers
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and for checks all on the invoice. You're able to see when someone has seen the invoice
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so you don't need to then spend days and days chasing them down because you're able to actually
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just see if somebody has opened it you can see if somebody's printed it it's so cool.
00:27:36
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You can have automatic late payment reminders set up you can track all of your expenses
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if you want to so you don't have to keep those boxes of receipts they have tons of third
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that isn't FreshBooks trust me give this a try FreshBooks will give you a 30 day free
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trial with no credit card needed because you listen to this show it's super easy to get
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set up and you can claim your 30 days of unrestricted use by going to freshbooks.com/upgrade and
00:28:03
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once you sign up please enter upgrade in the how you heard about us section so FreshBooks
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►
knows that you came to them from us. Trust me on this one, go check them out. Thank you
00:28:10
◼
►
so much to FreshBooks for their support of upgrade and Relay FM.
00:28:16
◼
►
So we had a bit of follow up regarding cellular connectivity in watches from our friend, Anze
00:28:22
◼
►
- Tomić, yes.
00:28:24
◼
►
- Anche is a fantastic podcaster from Slovenia.
00:28:29
◼
►
- He has been--
00:28:29
◼
►
- He'll be so happy that we pronounced his name
00:28:30
◼
►
and set his country right.
00:28:32
◼
►
- I know, well, we try, you know, what can we say?
00:28:34
◼
►
- And we met him in person, so that's nice, he's very tall.
00:28:37
◼
►
- Yeah, he came to the upgrade meetup, was it last year?
00:28:40
◼
►
- Yes, it was.
00:28:42
◼
►
- There you go, so last year, and Anche,
00:28:44
◼
►
he tries out lots of products,
00:28:46
◼
►
like he does lots of product reviews and stuff.
00:28:49
◼
►
- For his shows.
00:28:50
◼
►
- They bring him cell phones in a paper bag.
00:28:52
◼
►
he reviews them tips them out of the bag yeah it's going um and one of the things that he has been
00:28:56
◼
►
reviewing recently is the LG watch urbane second edition and this has a nano sim slot in the watch
00:29:04
◼
►
it has a speaker and a microphone so you can talk into it like on phone calls and this something
00:29:09
◼
►
is quite cool that and she said that the antenna for the for the like all the calls and stuff are
00:29:14
◼
►
in the watch band but this makes the watch band non-removable which is sad for you yeah which is
00:29:19
◼
►
is very sad for everybody. And he says that it's kind of ridiculous to use for phone calls,
00:29:25
◼
►
right, to talk into the watch, but it does work. Like the speaker isn't that loud, it
00:29:29
◼
►
gets a bit crackly, and I like that his overall kind of feeling is the "watch as a phone"
00:29:35
◼
►
concept technically works, right, like you can do it, somebody is doing it, it is working,
00:29:41
◼
►
but it's not really that cool.
00:29:42
◼
►
Yeah, he says it's cool like, it's cool in Knight Rider or something like that. Kit,
00:29:47
◼
►
and get me, right? But not in, that's an old TV show, but not in real life. So it's, yeah,
00:29:53
◼
►
this is why I was saying last week that I feel like, we got some good feedback about
00:29:58
◼
►
this. I actually, I think I was fortunate to have that experience of having the second
00:30:03
◼
►
gen Kindle with a cell stuff built into it because a lot of people were saying, oh, I
00:30:09
◼
►
hadn't even thought of something like that because, you know, it's sort of not something
00:30:13
◼
►
you think about unless you've actually had a device that did this, this sort of like
00:30:16
◼
►
it's paid by the vendor, it's very tightly metered,
00:30:21
◼
►
like how does Amazon get away with it?
00:30:22
◼
►
They control the software that's on it.
00:30:24
◼
►
So even if you had something like that,
00:30:25
◼
►
this included with the device on slow speed networks,
00:30:30
◼
►
you never really even see that it's there.
00:30:35
◼
►
And since Apple in this case would control the software,
00:30:38
◼
►
you wouldn't really need to worry about data usage.
00:30:40
◼
►
The data usage would be pretty limited
00:30:42
◼
►
because Apple would limit it because it's paying for it,
00:30:44
◼
►
or it's got some sort of agreement with a cellular provider to limit how it's used so
00:30:49
◼
►
it doesn't destroy that network. And the more I think about it, I mean, this is why I think
00:30:55
◼
►
this is the right direction for something like Apple Watch because it gives it conductivity
00:30:59
◼
►
without it becoming your phone. Like, and I think like having it only have access to
00:31:04
◼
►
data is a part of that too that, you know, you can talk on your Apple Watch now, but
00:31:10
◼
►
but it's using your phone. Now if they can do it so that even if you're nowhere near
00:31:14
◼
►
your phone, phone calls also ring your watch and you can pick up your phone, you know,
00:31:21
◼
►
a cell phone call to your cell phone on your watch, that's good, but I don't want another
00:31:24
◼
►
phone number for my watch. But that may be doable. It may be similar to the stuff they
00:31:31
◼
►
do in your house with sharing your phone calls and texts and things across devices. It, you
00:31:39
◼
►
know, if they're maybe if they're on the same carrier probably not if they're not.
00:31:43
◼
►
But anyway I think it's an interesting idea and I'm I would rather do that than have it
00:31:48
◼
►
be something where I have to pay $10 a month to add my watch to my AT&T plan.
00:31:52
◼
►
Yeah I'm not keen on the idea of these two things being separate like it's you know as
00:31:58
◼
►
we spoke about last week the idea of it being able to work independently but to understand
00:32:04
◼
►
that it is tied to the phone. That's the key here really.
00:32:10
◼
►
I want to just cover a little piece of news because I really am very interested in what
00:32:14
◼
►
you think about this. Out of the blue last week, there's news that came that Apple has
00:32:19
◼
►
invested $1 billion in a Chinese ride sharing service, like a big Uber competitor in China,
00:32:26
◼
►
called Didi Chuxing.
00:32:29
◼
►
Tim Cook gave a bunch of comments to writers.
00:32:33
◼
►
He's saying that they've invested a billion dollars
00:32:35
◼
►
in this company because it will better help them
00:32:37
◼
►
understand the Chinese market.
00:32:39
◼
►
And they said that this deal reflects our excitement
00:32:43
◼
►
about their growing business, Didi Chuxing,
00:32:45
◼
►
and also our continued confidence in the long term
00:32:48
◼
►
in China's economy.
00:32:49
◼
►
This is as much about sending signals
00:32:52
◼
►
about their seriousness in that country
00:32:54
◼
►
it is about helping Didi build a ride sharing platform," he said. And then Tim, he tweeted
00:33:01
◼
►
a picture of him in Beijing hailing one of the Didi taxis. What's going on? What is this?
00:33:11
◼
►
I don't know, other than I could say it suggests something about Apple's commitment to China,
00:33:18
◼
►
not just to the world, but to China
00:33:22
◼
►
and to the Chinese government.
00:33:23
◼
►
- Yeah, I feel like this is more of a way for them to,
00:33:28
◼
►
they're not necessarily,
00:33:29
◼
►
a lot of people are speculating that,
00:33:31
◼
►
oh, this is them trying to understand cars.
00:33:34
◼
►
I think it's just they found a company
00:33:36
◼
►
that was doing pretty well that they could invest in
00:33:39
◼
►
so it looks good in Chinese business.
00:33:41
◼
►
- Yeah, it could be.
00:33:44
◼
►
Ben Thompson from Stratechery wrote a piece today,
00:33:47
◼
►
I think it's a subscriber piece that I liked.
00:33:50
◼
►
And I liked it for his forthrightness
00:33:53
◼
►
about the fact that he says,
00:33:54
◼
►
"With China, nobody really knows."
00:33:56
◼
►
Because unless you're on the inside,
00:33:59
◼
►
nobody really understands why the Chinese government
00:34:01
◼
►
does what it does, and it does what it wants.
00:34:04
◼
►
So even though Ben is, I would say,
00:34:07
◼
►
from perspective of like people who write about Apple
00:34:10
◼
►
and other technology companies, fairly knowledgeable,
00:34:14
◼
►
even just because he is in Taiwan, that he understands things about Asia and about China
00:34:20
◼
►
that the rest of us don't. But he said, "Look, I have no idea either because unless you're
00:34:25
◼
►
inside the Chinese government, you really don't know what's going on here." It seems
00:34:29
◼
►
to be Apple sending a signal to China about its commitment and being a good citizen and
00:34:34
◼
►
being a part of the Chinese economy. Does it mean something about Apple's position on
00:34:39
◼
►
ride-sharing, specifically, does it mean something about Apple's position on building cars? You
00:34:46
◼
►
know, I'd say maybe, but the overriding thing I would say is that this seems like it's about
00:34:51
◼
►
China. It's about, you know, Tim Cook famously has said that he thinks China will ultimately
00:34:56
◼
►
be Apple's biggest market. It's already the second biggest market, the greater China segment,
00:35:01
◼
►
and I think that's only gonna, you know, that's gonna continue to grow. Apple wants it to
00:35:06
◼
►
Apple sees China as a market of huge potential and it's hard for Western companies in China
00:35:10
◼
►
sometimes and the Chinese government makes it hard because they want to, they have their
00:35:17
◼
►
own interests at heart. They have China's interests and the people in the Chinese government's
00:35:21
◼
►
interests at heart. And there's some suspicion, I think, a lot of times of companies from
00:35:26
◼
►
the West doing, you know, making their investments in China and I think Apple has played that
00:35:34
◼
►
game pretty well of showing their commitment to China. Apple's business model works fairly
00:35:38
◼
►
well in China. And so that, I don't know, that's my gut feeling is that this is about
00:35:44
◼
►
Apple putting down more roots in China and showing to the Chinese government that it
00:35:50
◼
►
is absolutely serious in this. Now whether this is something that was like Apple's idea
00:35:55
◼
►
or was D.G. Chuxing's idea or whether it was the Chinese government's idea to push Apple
00:36:03
◼
►
into this investment, who knows? Who knows? I feel like this is the equivalent of nuclear
00:36:09
◼
►
arms talks. This is high level stuff, but I do feel like that's some of what's going
00:36:17
◼
►
Because whatever Apple is doing in the automotive industry, they're not looking at creating
00:36:21
◼
►
an Uber competitor. I just don't think that's what they're doing. So I don't think this
00:36:26
◼
►
is it. And also knowing Apple's previous trajectory in investments, they wouldn't invest in a
00:36:32
◼
►
a company like this if they were planning their own service. They would either buy it
00:36:36
◼
►
or leave it alone. Right?
00:36:39
◼
►
This is just a fascinating out of kind of character story.
00:36:44
◼
►
They may not be allowed to buy it anyway, right? It's a Chinese company. So this may
00:36:48
◼
►
be the, you know, you want to be in this market but we're not going to let you buy our company.
00:36:52
◼
►
Well, but they could buy Lyft or Uber, right, probably, if they really wanted to do that.
00:36:56
◼
►
Yeah, that's true. I suppose. I don't know. Yuck.
00:37:02
◼
►
This is one of those things that is, and this keeps happening, right?
00:37:06
◼
►
Because it's a different company under Tim, because it's his company, not Steve's company.
00:37:10
◼
►
So over the last couple of years, I feel like we've all been saying constantly how different
00:37:15
◼
►
it is, this is new Apple.
00:37:17
◼
►
And this is the number one of those things.
00:37:20
◼
►
But they've never really done anything like this before.
00:37:23
◼
►
Making a big public investment in a company that is kind of completely unrelated to what
00:37:27
◼
►
they do in another country and you know making a big song and dance about it
00:37:32
◼
►
like they usually keep these things pretty quiet. Is that unrelated though? I
00:37:36
◼
►
mean these are all app based. It's tangentially related. Sure. Like Apple
00:37:41
◼
►
make computers and software and this is... Unless we know that they've got you know
00:37:46
◼
►
a car initiative going too that makes it a little less tangential but yeah. But
00:37:51
◼
►
it's you know it's just a very it's just very peculiar it's just very peculiar. I
00:37:55
◼
►
I don't disagree. It is a strange thing.
00:37:59
◼
►
But exciting at the same time because it's weird. Right? Like for me and you, this sort
00:38:05
◼
►
of stuff is super exciting because this is new. We're getting to talk about and consider
00:38:11
◼
►
things that we've never considered before when looking at Apple. Like, why are Apple
00:38:15
◼
►
investing a billion dollars of their money into a Chinese ride hailing service that we've
00:38:20
◼
►
never heard of before? I don't know. Let's think about that. And that's what I find to
00:38:24
◼
►
be really interesting, right? Who knows what they're doing here. And I'm interested to
00:38:30
◼
►
see where it goes. It feels like a lot of this, like the timing, you know, is really
00:38:34
◼
►
kind of related to the earnings calls and stuff like that, right? Like, how are you
00:38:38
◼
►
going to grow your business? We're now going to invest in upcoming companies. Okay, great.
00:38:42
◼
►
Here's the stock price increase, you know?
00:38:44
◼
►
I don't know. I guess we'll see. Should we move on to our exciting next segment?
00:38:50
◼
►
We should indeed.
00:38:51
◼
►
All right, well, before we do that, let me tell you about one of our sponsors.
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Thank you Mail Route. So now we are very lucky to be graced by the EVP of Sales
00:41:48
◼
►
and Development at Midroll Media and all-around podcasting nice guy Mr. Lex
00:41:51
◼
►
Freeman. Hi Lex. Hi how are you? Good thank you so much for joining us today. We
00:41:56
◼
►
have to realize from our listeners that they are very interested in hearing more
00:42:01
◼
►
about what happens in podcasting and one of the things that Jason suggested last
00:42:06
◼
►
week is why don't we talk to you about the things that we find interesting and/or concerning and you
00:42:13
◼
►
could tell us why it's all okay right that's kind of the thinking here i'm okay with it i will say
00:42:19
◼
►
you know i i listened to your episode uh from last week and i listened to atp's episode from
00:42:23
◼
►
last week we were talking about it and there's parts of it that were in total agreement on and
00:42:27
◼
►
parts of it there were less agreement on i feel like it's important that i disclose all my biases
00:42:33
◼
►
obviously I work for a podcasting company. I sell some of Jason's shows. I have sold
00:42:40
◼
►
some of your shows and some of Marco's one show, ATP at least, in the past. But I just
00:42:47
◼
►
want to make sure that I disclaim all of those things so that all biases are revealed.
00:42:51
◼
►
Yes, I used to be your boss. You have a podcast, although it's dormant right now that's at
00:42:56
◼
►
the incomparable. There are lots of connections here. That's fine.
00:43:00
◼
►
Which is why you're the perfect person.
00:43:01
◼
►
Yeah, you're one of us and you're one of them.
00:43:04
◼
►
You are also somebody who understands what we do, which is ever so slightly different
00:43:11
◼
►
I think from some of the larger shows and the way that we're approaching.
00:43:14
◼
►
So I have a bunch of questions and points that I would like to discuss with you, Mr.
00:43:22
◼
►
I think fundamentally, one of the things that we're talking about is all the stuff that
00:43:26
◼
►
was in that article but just in general what data do you feel from the
00:43:31
◼
►
conversations that you've had that advertisers would like from podcasters
00:43:37
◼
►
that they don't currently have? What are the things that you hear about the most
00:43:41
◼
►
that companies that are willing to advertise want but can't get? So the thing
00:43:45
◼
►
that we hear from the bigger advertisers who either are in the space or are
00:43:50
◼
►
saying I can only get into the space when the things that they're asking for
00:43:53
◼
►
the most are they want to know how many people have actually heard the ad right
00:43:57
◼
►
they're looking at us as digital and so they're saying hey when we buy what we
00:44:01
◼
►
consider digital ads on YouTube we know who clicked the five-second skip button
00:44:07
◼
►
who watched the whole video who fast-forwarded as soon as they could or
00:44:10
◼
►
who saw the entire ad we want to know that for podcasts now what I tell them
00:44:16
◼
►
is I don't have that number my guess is I'll never have that number the if we
00:44:20
◼
►
were ever gonna really have any version of the number would have to come from
00:44:23
◼
►
Apple and they're never going to give it to us.
00:44:26
◼
►
But the thing that I tell everybody, and I genuinely mean it is, if we had that number,
00:44:31
◼
►
it wouldn't change the price, right?
00:44:33
◼
►
It would change what the metric is that we're using against our CPM.
00:44:36
◼
►
So we'd say, okay, let's say that 40% of the people who listen to a podcast listen to the
00:44:42
◼
►
I hope it's a lot more than that.
00:44:43
◼
►
Let's say it's 40%.
00:44:44
◼
►
I wouldn't suddenly charge only 40% of what we're charging today.
00:44:46
◼
►
It would just say, okay, the number that we're using as our multiplier is now this actual
00:44:49
◼
►
listens number, so it's still the same price.
00:44:52
◼
►
The market has proven that the pricing is fair on these things.
00:44:55
◼
►
And it's really, they're just, you know, I used to and still do deal with all the direct
00:45:00
◼
►
response advertisers that you guys were talking about last week.
00:45:02
◼
►
You know, everybody with their offer codes up to and including mail route.
00:45:07
◼
►
They can track every single thing that's happening.
00:45:09
◼
►
But I would say that mid-roll's business over the past three years has evolved from 90%
00:45:15
◼
►
direct response to about half.
00:45:17
◼
►
And so we're doing campaigns with Wendy's and Dunkin Donuts and Allstate.
00:45:24
◼
►
Where's my Dunkin Donuts ad on the incomparable, Lex?
00:45:27
◼
►
So far they're only buying Bill Simmons.
00:45:30
◼
►
But the brands that we've landed are Head & Shoulders.
00:45:34
◼
►
Head & Shoulders did a campaign and they didn't spend...
00:45:40
◼
►
I think you guys even made references, maybe Marco and company did, to the fact that big
00:45:44
◼
►
brands coming in aren't necessarily going to spend bajillions of dollars, right?
00:45:47
◼
►
They're going to test it out just like everybody else.
00:45:49
◼
►
But the folks who are coming in are cautious because we don't have more measurement.
00:45:54
◼
►
And then the folks who are on the fence keep telling us, "Well, I need to know exactly
00:45:57
◼
►
how many people heard the ad," which you guys made the point last week.
00:46:01
◼
►
Well, do you know how many people saw your ad on the billboard or in the magazine or
00:46:04
◼
►
on television or on the radio?
00:46:05
◼
►
The answer is, of course, no.
00:46:07
◼
►
But they believe all the numbers they get for those things, right?
00:46:09
◼
►
They believe that Nielsen numbers are accurate.
00:46:12
◼
►
Would it be safe to say, given my background and seeing print salespeople as well as digital
00:46:17
◼
►
salespeople, would it be right to say that there's really a disconnect where people who
00:46:21
◼
►
are used to buying digital, like you said, they expect web metrics for everything. And
00:46:26
◼
►
even if podcasting is more like radio, except with better stats, because we do have some
00:46:32
◼
►
statistics, that's not what they're used to. They're used to having rafts of data to use
00:46:38
◼
►
to make their buying decisions.
00:46:40
◼
►
- That's fairly accurate.
00:46:41
◼
►
And you know, when we talk to ad agencies,
00:46:43
◼
►
you know, like the giant ad agencies
00:46:45
◼
►
in Madison Avenue and whatnot,
00:46:48
◼
►
sometimes it's their digital team
00:46:49
◼
►
and sometimes it's the radio team.
00:46:51
◼
►
We're too expensive for the radio team, right?
00:46:53
◼
►
The prices that radio gets typically are very, very low
00:46:56
◼
►
and they're typically selling spot.
00:46:57
◼
►
If you're doing, meaning like a prerecorded 30
00:46:59
◼
►
or 60 second spot that they play on the radio.
00:47:02
◼
►
If you're doing host reads,
00:47:04
◼
►
like most of us are doing in podcasting,
00:47:06
◼
►
that's typically local talk radio
00:47:08
◼
►
who was selling host-read style spots.
00:47:10
◼
►
And so when it's the radio buyers talking to us
00:47:14
◼
►
and we're like, no, we don't have day parts.
00:47:16
◼
►
Like they want to know what hour
00:47:17
◼
►
is the ad going to run all the hours?
00:47:20
◼
►
The ad will always be running.
00:47:21
◼
►
- It's five years from now the ad will run, yeah.
00:47:24
◼
►
- Yeah, so it's most of the buying,
00:47:26
◼
►
I would say probably of the agency buying
00:47:28
◼
►
greater than 95% is coming from digital buyers
00:47:30
◼
►
who like you said, they're accustomed
00:47:31
◼
►
to digital style numbers
00:47:33
◼
►
and that's what they want from us.
00:47:35
◼
►
- Right, so couldn't it be argued then
00:47:37
◼
►
that rather than trying to fight to get the data
00:47:41
◼
►
and trying to educate companies like Apple
00:47:43
◼
►
as to why they should provide the data,
00:47:45
◼
►
that maybe the effort should be focused
00:47:47
◼
►
on the advertising agencies about the way
00:47:50
◼
►
that podcasting works, about the benefits of the medium,
00:47:53
◼
►
and why it should be thought of more like radio
00:47:55
◼
►
but in the digital space.
00:47:56
◼
►
I guess it feels like there's a disconnect
00:47:58
◼
►
that because it's on the internet,
00:48:01
◼
►
it should be like web ads.
00:48:03
◼
►
- It could be argued.
00:48:05
◼
►
And I don't disagree with that mentality,
00:48:07
◼
►
but I have to think carefully because of my job
00:48:12
◼
►
and not wanting to offend people who buy ads from me.
00:48:15
◼
►
The reality here is this, right?
00:48:17
◼
►
Agency ad buyers are just like you and me, right?
00:48:21
◼
►
They wanna be able to do the best work they can,
00:48:23
◼
►
ideally with the path to least resistance.
00:48:27
◼
►
And so they're accustomed to buying
00:48:29
◼
►
what they know how to buy.
00:48:31
◼
►
- And the number one way we get agencies buying
00:48:34
◼
►
the number of Dunkin Donuts of course comes through an ad agency they don't do themselves
00:48:37
◼
►
but the only reason Dunkin Donuts bought was because somebody at Dunkin Donuts told the agency
00:48:42
◼
►
oh my god Bill Simmons has a podcast he talks about Dunkin all the time buy ads on it and that then
00:48:46
◼
►
gave them the push to do it without that happening without the brand having a podcast advocate saying
00:48:51
◼
►
I want to buy ads on that show yep they wouldn't have come and that very frequently is the way that
00:48:55
◼
►
I sell ads for Relay right like we will either have somebody contact us who works in that company
00:49:02
◼
►
to say that they want it to happen or I speak to somebody who asks the question
00:49:06
◼
►
inside of a marketing team and someone puts their hand up and be like I love
00:49:09
◼
►
those shows. Right and so I think yes we can keep
00:49:14
◼
►
working to try to convince advertisers this is what we have.
00:49:17
◼
►
I'll tell you what some of the problems are and I think
00:49:21
◼
►
that you guys fairly but still did this I think you maybe
00:49:26
◼
►
mischaracterized the meeting or why people went to the Times last week
00:49:30
◼
►
because I was not at the Apple meeting, I can say that.
00:49:35
◼
►
Whether mid-roll was or wasn't, I couldn't say,
00:49:37
◼
►
because I'm sure that Apple would have anybody
00:49:38
◼
►
who attended sign an NDA.
00:49:40
◼
►
That's just my guess, knowing how Apple works.
00:49:42
◼
►
- The article did say that.
00:49:43
◼
►
- Right, exactly.
00:49:44
◼
►
And so, my guess is, people simply,
00:49:47
◼
►
people at the time said, "Hey, what were you doing
00:49:51
◼
►
"at Cupertino?"
00:49:53
◼
►
Person from various local podcasting companies who I like,
00:49:56
◼
►
and I'm like, "Oh, well, I can't really tell you,
00:49:57
◼
►
"but I'll tell you off the record kind of thing."
00:49:59
◼
►
don't think that people want specifically to complain,
00:50:02
◼
►
But here's what we have today.
00:50:06
◼
►
There are competitors in this space,
00:50:07
◼
►
companies selling podcast ads,
00:50:08
◼
►
who claim to have the numbers that advertisers want.
00:50:11
◼
►
We get asked, I swear to you, every single day,
00:50:15
◼
►
I have 10 salespeople now,
00:50:16
◼
►
every day at least one of them gets asked,
00:50:17
◼
►
can we use a tracking pixel?
00:50:19
◼
►
And we say, no.
00:50:21
◼
►
And then they say, but competitor X,
00:50:23
◼
►
and I'll tell you after we are done recording
00:50:25
◼
►
who the competitor is,
00:50:26
◼
►
but they say competitor X says they can do that.
00:50:29
◼
►
And no, they cannot.
00:50:30
◼
►
Like, you guys know how MP3 players work,
00:50:33
◼
►
how audio files work, you cannot embed a pixel in there
00:50:37
◼
►
that somebody will load at the time the ad shows up,
00:50:39
◼
►
unless it's in some custom app,
00:50:41
◼
►
which is where none of the listening happens, right?
00:50:43
◼
►
Still, 60 to 70% of the listening is happening
00:50:45
◼
►
in iTunes or podcasts.
00:50:47
◼
►
And there's no mechanism by which you can report back,
00:50:49
◼
►
but they're being told that there is.
00:50:51
◼
►
So I think people in part went to Apple
00:50:53
◼
►
because they wanted to say,
00:50:54
◼
►
"Guys, liars are saying that this is how they can stop."
00:50:59
◼
►
And if you can give us some kind of reality to attach you so last week you guys were saying
00:51:04
◼
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Because Apple doesn't stream the files. They can't do this
00:51:06
◼
►
My understanding from anonymous sources is they absolutely could do this like they already can report to you on who's streaming versus downloading
00:51:13
◼
►
I think a large percentage of people are streaming in podcasts and in iTunes without even knowing it, right?
00:51:17
◼
►
They just hit the play button. So it starts streaming right and Apple knows even though they're just kind of passing through the file
00:51:22
◼
►
They know how far you've gotten I have seen a report from Apple on completion rates. They don't actually make it available
00:51:28
◼
►
I don't see one every week. I saw one one time that was anonymized and wasn't about any shows
00:51:32
◼
►
I deal with but they could do it
00:51:33
◼
►
They own they own the app if you've got the player app you can get the you can get the stats
00:51:37
◼
►
That's that's absolutely true. If you it's it's stats from your your player
00:51:41
◼
►
I want to go back to something you said though because I thought having worked as you as you did we you know when you would
00:51:46
◼
►
Visit our office in San Francisco having worked with digital salespeople
00:51:48
◼
►
You know, it's a tough job and they are being how do you measure? How do you measure the effectiveness of a salesperson?
00:51:57
◼
►
Who's selling digital and one of the things is is they've got to have good relationship with clients because they got to make the sales
00:52:03
◼
►
How does the client measure effectiveness with a branding campaign on digital and it's hard right because like you said there's a leap of faith
00:52:10
◼
►
With numbers from radio or TV or something like that
00:52:13
◼
►
And so I understand the impetus here from the salesperson and from the person at the agency
00:52:19
◼
►
Which is like, you know, how do I get I'm so I'm an agency ad buyer and unless Duncan is telling me
00:52:24
◼
►
I want Bill Simmons
00:52:25
◼
►
I need to justify where I'm putting money, and if I have no numbers that will convince
00:52:32
◼
►
my boss that this is a good buy, why would I do that? Why would I go down that route?
00:52:37
◼
►
And so you end up, even if we all feel like, "Oh no, actually, this is a really good
00:52:41
◼
►
medium and you should do it," I can see just from a personal scale of the people in
00:52:46
◼
►
the chain, the person who has to sell the ad, the person who has to buy the ad, that
00:52:51
◼
►
it would be difficult because they need to show proof. And more and more, the only medium
00:52:56
◼
►
that has proof proof that everybody's used to is the web. And so they start to say things
00:53:01
◼
►
like, "Can you give me pixel data?" even though that does not exist.
00:53:05
◼
►
And so what we've started doing is, when it's a big brand, like if it is a Dunkin' Donuts
00:53:11
◼
►
or a Wendy's or that kind of company, we'll try to do a recall study for them. And surveys
00:53:19
◼
►
Advertises are what they are, right?
00:53:20
◼
►
But it's the only thing we can do.
00:53:21
◼
►
And so when brands are advertising on television, in theory they're going to say, "Hey, let's
00:53:24
◼
►
do some kind of brand lift study.
00:53:26
◼
►
Let's do some kind of surveying, some kind of sampling to say, 'What ads were in that
00:53:31
◼
►
Can you remember without us helping you at all?
00:53:33
◼
►
Can you tell us unaided, they call it?
00:53:35
◼
►
Can you recall who the advertisers were in that episode?'"
00:53:37
◼
►
And then once they say it, they're like, "Okay, yeah, you saw an ad for X car company.
00:53:41
◼
►
What car was it?
00:53:42
◼
►
What did they say about the car?
00:53:43
◼
►
What were the features?"
00:53:44
◼
►
So we've been basically doing that on some podcasts that have brand advertisers.
00:53:47
◼
►
in the post roll at the end of the show,
00:53:49
◼
►
they'll say, "Hey, listeners, if you have two minutes,
00:53:50
◼
►
"go fill out this survey."
00:53:51
◼
►
Now, it's a very, it's some kind of survey bias, right?
00:53:55
◼
►
Because it's only people who've listened
00:53:57
◼
►
to the end of the show.
00:53:57
◼
►
It's people who like the show so much
00:53:59
◼
►
that they're willing to go fill out a survey
00:54:00
◼
►
that has no reward for them of any kind.
00:54:02
◼
►
They don't know why they're filling out the survey
00:54:04
◼
►
or what it is, 'cause we don't tell them,
00:54:05
◼
►
"Hey, we wanna ask you about the ads you just heard,"
00:54:06
◼
►
'cause that would already skew your results even further.
00:54:09
◼
►
So people go in and they tell us,
00:54:10
◼
►
but what's amazing is, exactly as you'd expect,
00:54:13
◼
►
the numbers are really good.
00:54:14
◼
►
People listen to the ads.
00:54:15
◼
►
It's not like radio and television where they ignore it,
00:54:17
◼
►
or magazines or the web.
00:54:19
◼
►
They actually pay attention to the ad.
00:54:20
◼
►
So they can tell us, oh yeah, I heard the ad.
00:54:23
◼
►
I can remember who the advertisers are.
00:54:25
◼
►
And more than half the audience says,
00:54:27
◼
►
I'm more likely to eat at that restaurant
00:54:29
◼
►
or shop at that store now that I've heard that ad.
00:54:32
◼
►
So we can get the right data,
00:54:34
◼
►
but now everybody wants a recall study,
00:54:37
◼
►
and there is a finite amount of listener patience
00:54:39
◼
►
to keep hearing recall studies
00:54:40
◼
►
and keep following up on doing them.
00:54:42
◼
►
But that's the only, if it's not a direct response campaign
00:54:45
◼
►
where you can track coupon codes or vanity URLs,
00:54:48
◼
►
that's all you can really do is try to do some brand lift.
00:54:50
◼
►
I will tell you, there was one restaurant chain that said,
00:54:55
◼
►
all we're really looking for is, and I'm quoting here,
00:54:57
◼
►
all we're really looking for is asses and seats
00:54:59
◼
►
at the restaurant.
00:55:00
◼
►
And I said, well, how will you tell
00:55:02
◼
►
if the podcast helped that?
00:55:03
◼
►
And they're like, they said a line that I've heard
00:55:04
◼
►
from numerous advertisers, which is,
00:55:07
◼
►
they think that overall 50% of all their brand advertising
00:55:10
◼
►
is effective and they just don't know which 50% it is.
00:55:12
◼
►
So as long as the numbers are trending
00:55:13
◼
►
in the right direction,
00:55:14
◼
►
they keep doing everything that they're doing.
00:55:16
◼
►
- I used to work at a very large company, a global company,
00:55:19
◼
►
and I worked in the marketing teams
00:55:20
◼
►
and I used to sit in meetings
00:55:21
◼
►
where the digital advertising people would sit
00:55:25
◼
►
and they were basically of that idea too.
00:55:29
◼
►
This seems to be like a prevailing thing.
00:55:31
◼
►
It's just like, we know we're putting all this money in
00:55:34
◼
►
and we know something's happening.
00:55:36
◼
►
We have no idea what is causing it, but we know it's good.
00:55:39
◼
►
it was it was a very interesting thing to see and it's because that sort of
00:55:46
◼
►
brand advertising exists in another medium is why I think that it you know
00:55:51
◼
►
it can and does exist in podcasting but then when you start putting the data in
00:55:56
◼
►
it I think it fundamentally changes what the advertising is because if you're
00:56:00
◼
►
again you know whenever we've gone over this but if you're looking at this is
00:56:04
◼
►
more like radio, but you have to pay digital. I know it gets tricky, but it's asking for
00:56:11
◼
►
data to exist that doesn't exist, right? And then how do you, I don't know how you start
00:56:16
◼
►
to combat against that. Like companies just have to go along with it, right?
00:56:21
◼
►
It doesn't, it also, the web, I feel like it has skewed this because with the web, direct
00:56:25
◼
►
response is so powerful. Everybody wants to measure, I mean, that was my experience of
00:56:29
◼
►
IDG. It's like everybody wants to sell direct response. Everybody wants things, click-throughs,
00:56:33
◼
►
click-throughs, what are the click-throughs? And that misses the most, I would say, powerful
00:56:40
◼
►
and lucrative portion of advertising, which is brand advertising. And for people who don't
00:56:45
◼
►
know about this, it's the difference between an ad that makes you feel good about a company
00:56:49
◼
►
and its services or products, and an ad that wants you to call a phone number or go to
00:56:54
◼
►
a website right now. And on the web, a click-through is like you're picking up the phone and dialing
00:57:00
◼
►
to buy that vegetable slicer. It's direct response. They can measure that click. And
00:57:07
◼
►
the problem is branding advertising doesn't really work like that. An old boss of mine
00:57:14
◼
►
used to say, "You have to be considered to be bought." Your brand's legitimacy is a part
00:57:19
◼
►
of this, the importance of you getting business. And all those Squarespace ads, I think Squarespace
00:57:25
◼
►
Although they have some direct response, Squarespace's campaign on like every podcast was a branding
00:57:31
◼
►
campaign because what they want is if somebody thinks I want to set up a website, that Squarespace
00:57:36
◼
►
is the first thing that comes to mind. And I think it's been very effective at that.
00:57:40
◼
►
But like Coke, Coke doesn't want you to click on a box in order to get a Coke in your house.
00:57:46
◼
►
Right? Coke wants you to think, "Oh yeah, Coke, I like Coke. I should buy Coke the next
00:57:50
◼
►
time I go to the store or the next time I need soda, I should get a Coke."
00:57:54
◼
►
Or Vizio is the example I give.
00:57:57
◼
►
Vizio did a lot of advertising because they wanted to be seen as a television brand and
00:58:01
◼
►
not the cheap TV that is at Costco.
00:58:05
◼
►
And the benefit there was not direct response.
00:58:07
◼
►
It was the brand got better.
00:58:09
◼
►
But you get branding without clicking on things and without direct response, so it's very
00:58:12
◼
►
hard to measure it and you don't know if it's working or not.
00:58:15
◼
►
I think that's all exactly right.
00:58:17
◼
►
I don't disagree with any of it.
00:58:19
◼
►
And the one thing that you mentioned last week, Jason, on this show was ideally there'd
00:58:25
◼
►
be some way to sample it, right?
00:58:26
◼
►
Because advertisers are asking for data that they don't have from anything else except
00:58:31
◼
►
And we even know that the data they have from the web is bogus, right?
00:58:32
◼
►
Just because the impression was served doesn't mean anybody saw it.
00:58:34
◼
►
Could have been an ad blocker, could have been off the page, whatever.
00:58:37
◼
►
A lot of people have the ads turned off, a lot of things messing with it.
00:58:41
◼
►
But if there was some way to give them sampled data the way they have for television and
00:58:46
◼
►
radio, I think advertisers would accept it in a heartbeat.
00:58:48
◼
►
But the problem is, to get sample data, you need Apple and Google and Overcast.
00:58:55
◼
►
Every app with an endpoint there has to participate.
00:58:58
◼
►
Let's say that Marco came to me and said, years ago when he first launched it, I asked
00:59:02
◼
►
and he passed.
00:59:03
◼
►
He said, "No way."
00:59:05
◼
►
If Marco said, "Hey, Lex, pay me this fee and you can have access to my listener behavior
00:59:10
◼
►
It's not useful, right?
00:59:11
◼
►
Because I think, Myke, you said last week that 60% or something of your listeners come
00:59:15
◼
►
from Overcast, which is obviously atypical for the industry overall.
00:59:22
◼
►
If I were only sampling Overcast, which is, I don't know, I don't have any percentage
00:59:25
◼
►
in front of me, but it's a single digit percentage of say WTF with Marc Maron.
00:59:29
◼
►
It's a very different audience potentially from people who are listening to it on SoundCloud
00:59:33
◼
►
or in Howl, like whatever it is.
00:59:36
◼
►
So getting data from any one app is not useful.
00:59:38
◼
►
It has to be true sample data across everything to be at all relevant.
00:59:43
◼
►
You mentioned it as a good idea, which it is.
00:59:45
◼
►
I don't think it's possible to get.
00:59:46
◼
►
Well, I mean, you would have to get it from a survey.
00:59:49
◼
►
I mean, you'd essentially have to build a Nielsen survey style thing of podcast listeners.
00:59:54
◼
►
You'd have to recruit a panel on, I guess, websites and maybe by putting advertising
00:59:59
◼
►
and podcasts saying, would you like to join our panel?
01:00:01
◼
►
And you'd, I mean, it would be a huge effort to try and create something that you would
01:00:05
◼
►
have to feel at least somewhat confident is a statistically significant percentage.
01:00:11
◼
►
How does it work on radio?
01:00:12
◼
►
I mean, I did it once where they sent me a booklet
01:00:14
◼
►
in the mail.
01:00:15
◼
►
- So today on radio, they give you a thing
01:00:17
◼
►
that's always listening to what you're listening to.
01:00:20
◼
►
- Oh yeah, and it's like Shazam, Access.
01:00:23
◼
►
I think they do that for some TV ratings now too.
01:00:25
◼
►
- They do that for some TV ratings too.
01:00:26
◼
►
TV, I mean, basically what podcasters,
01:00:29
◼
►
what podcast companies are saying to Apple is,
01:00:31
◼
►
be like TiVo, give us the DVR data that you have,
01:00:33
◼
►
tell us what people are watching and listening,
01:00:35
◼
►
tell us how far they get.
01:00:36
◼
►
'Cause TiVo is able to make that data available,
01:00:37
◼
►
and does, they do it all anonymized,
01:00:39
◼
►
and as a soul-sucking advertising salesperson,
01:00:42
◼
►
That's the data I want.
01:00:43
◼
►
Like I would love to have anonymized bulk data
01:00:44
◼
►
of who got where.
01:00:46
◼
►
But with radio, it's like listening over your shoulder.
01:00:50
◼
►
Hey, did you hear that ad?
01:00:51
◼
►
Are you hearing that ad?
01:00:52
◼
►
And they know, because when you're in the car, right?
01:00:54
◼
►
If you aren't listening to a podcast for some sick reason
01:00:56
◼
►
and an ad comes on the radio,
01:00:58
◼
►
most people who are driving jab at the preset buttons,
01:01:00
◼
►
they go to the next station.
01:01:01
◼
►
So they have these little listening devices
01:01:03
◼
►
so they can know which ads did you hear.
01:01:05
◼
►
And then, you know, the radio companies
01:01:07
◼
►
add some giant number to it and say,
01:01:08
◼
►
okay, that's the number of people we have
01:01:10
◼
►
listening to our station when the ads are on.
01:01:11
◼
►
And it's all bogus, but it's bogus that's accepted by advertising buyers.
01:01:16
◼
►
So I have a feeling about this and this is kind of, I guess it's kind of selfish,
01:01:19
◼
►
but I'm just thinking about my own business here.
01:01:21
◼
►
So like you mentioned a moment ago, Lex, about the fact that we skew so much on
01:01:25
◼
►
our shows towards third parties and all of this discussion is around what Apple
01:01:29
◼
►
can do, what Apple can do, because in more mainstream shows, Apple is the 60, 70%,
01:01:34
◼
►
where for us, we have third parties in that.
01:01:37
◼
►
Even incomparable.
01:01:38
◼
►
It's like 60 or 70% Apple, right?
01:01:40
◼
►
because again, it touches more on mainstream topics.
01:01:43
◼
►
So making these kinds of changes,
01:01:45
◼
►
asking a company like Apple to provide this data,
01:01:48
◼
►
is this not a scenario where the needs of the many
01:01:53
◼
►
could affect the needs of the few, right?
01:01:55
◼
►
So it's gonna make massive changes potentially
01:01:57
◼
►
to the business where I,
01:01:59
◼
►
and many other niche kind of podcasters
01:02:02
◼
►
can't give that data, and then that then affects
01:02:06
◼
►
the way that we can do business, right?
01:02:08
◼
►
- I think it's a reasonable concern.
01:02:10
◼
►
I think it's partially a marketplace concern,
01:02:12
◼
►
if you know what I mean.
01:02:13
◼
►
Like it's the same way that if,
01:02:16
◼
►
that when there were 100 blogs using AdSense,
01:02:19
◼
►
they could make more money than when there's a billion blogs
01:02:22
◼
►
using AdSense, 'cause there's just,
01:02:23
◼
►
there's less of that to go around.
01:02:25
◼
►
I don't think though that it,
01:02:27
◼
►
I don't think it negatively impacts your business
01:02:29
◼
►
in a measurable way, is my guess.
01:02:31
◼
►
Because if it means that more advertisers
01:02:32
◼
►
can trust podcasting, and they can get in and say,
01:02:36
◼
►
So if they're saying that Marc Maron gets,
01:02:38
◼
►
I'm making these numbers up, 650,000 downloads,
01:02:40
◼
►
and 580,000 people get all the way to the end of each episode on average,
01:02:44
◼
►
now I know people is in a podcast.
01:02:45
◼
►
So I think to me, and I am trying very hard to be as unbiased here as I can,
01:02:49
◼
►
although I can't escape what I am and what I do,
01:02:52
◼
►
I think it probably ends up lifting all boats.
01:02:54
◼
►
Because today, I wish I had more tech shows, right?
01:02:57
◼
►
I wish I still sold all the relay shows,
01:02:58
◼
►
because the niche, the audience there is so strong,
01:03:02
◼
►
and so, and Sir Cuse was talking about this on ATP,
01:03:04
◼
►
like the audience is so pre-identified as these are, you know,
01:03:08
◼
►
tech-centric people with affluent incomes
01:03:12
◼
►
and eagerness to spend on well-recommended products
01:03:15
◼
►
that make sense for them.
01:03:16
◼
►
They do really well, right?
01:03:18
◼
►
It's a relatively easy sell, all things considered.
01:03:21
◼
►
So I would be surprised if, let's say that,
01:03:24
◼
►
because the WTF size shows of the world
01:03:26
◼
►
had more listener behavior data,
01:03:28
◼
►
that advertisers said, "Well, I'm never gonna buy
01:03:31
◼
►
"from ATP or from upgrade again,"
01:03:33
◼
►
because they still, once they've proven to themselves
01:03:36
◼
►
that the industry works, I feel like when they want
01:03:39
◼
►
to reach the tech audience, they're gonna know to come here.
01:03:41
◼
►
And I'll add this, if you listen today
01:03:45
◼
►
to a show like The Talk Show or ATP,
01:03:49
◼
►
you hear on those two shows in particular,
01:03:53
◼
►
shows that I really love and like shows that I have sold
01:03:55
◼
►
in the past, you hear today the same six to 10 advertisers
01:04:00
◼
►
most of the time, I would say 90% of the spots
01:04:02
◼
►
are maybe six to eight advertisers across those shows.
01:04:05
◼
►
And that, to everyone's point, that's a really good sign.
01:04:09
◼
►
That means the show really works for advertisers.
01:04:11
◼
►
If you hear different advertisers,
01:04:12
◼
►
every episode of the show,
01:04:13
◼
►
is a show that doesn't work that well for advertisers
01:04:14
◼
►
'cause they don't renew.
01:04:16
◼
►
So the fact that they have the same advertisers
01:04:17
◼
►
again and again is very reassuring for them.
01:04:20
◼
►
But when I look at it, it's like grrr,
01:04:23
◼
►
because I'm seeing all these brands who wanna get in
01:04:25
◼
►
who are coming to me and saying,
01:04:26
◼
►
"Hey, do you have any giant tech shows?"
01:04:27
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I'm like, "No, not anymore."
01:04:29
◼
►
But the advertisers are there, right?
01:04:31
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Maybe neither Marco nor John would wanna run ads
01:04:34
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for the Aaron Sorkin Steve Jobs movie.
01:04:36
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►
But we ran a big campaign for the Steve Jobs movie, right?
01:04:39
◼
►
And I literally just had somebody come to me last week
01:04:41
◼
►
about a new book about Steve Jobs that's coming out
01:04:44
◼
►
and wanted to know, and I'm like,
01:04:44
◼
►
"Well, I can put you on these shows,
01:04:46
◼
►
"but if you want these other ones,
01:04:47
◼
►
"here are the people to contact."
01:04:48
◼
►
But I think that they're probably,
01:04:51
◼
►
all those shows are doing very well,
01:04:52
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►
which I don't think is telling tales at its turn,
01:04:55
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►
but they're doing very well financially, I mean.
01:04:57
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►
I think they're probably even leaving money
01:04:59
◼
►
on the table though,
01:05:00
◼
►
because they're so direct response focused,
01:05:02
◼
►
because there are brand advertisers
01:05:03
◼
►
who want that audience so badly,
01:05:05
◼
►
and the same way that people would pay a premium
01:05:06
◼
►
to be on, to have their ads run on the West Wing,
01:05:09
◼
►
speaking of Aaron's work,
01:05:10
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and even though its audience was smaller than friends,
01:05:13
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►
it was a different kind of listener,
01:05:14
◼
►
or a different kind of watcher in that case,
01:05:16
◼
►
and I think that's the same situation
01:05:17
◼
►
that ATP and the talk show have,
01:05:19
◼
►
and because they can't give the brands
01:05:22
◼
►
what they want necessarily,
01:05:23
◼
►
the brands aren't coming to them.
01:05:26
◼
►
- But it's also-- - The brands.
01:05:27
◼
►
- The brands.
01:05:29
◼
►
- Brands, Marco will love this part.
01:05:30
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- The thing is though, like,
01:05:32
◼
►
I keep going back to it, then when we can't hand over that data, like so someone says
01:05:36
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►
to us like, oh, there this big brand advertiser comes, this movie comes and they're like,
01:05:41
◼
►
okay, and we've advertised here and there. And we want that data, we want those listener
01:05:45
◼
►
number data from you. And we say, well, we can't give it to you. Doesn't that then affect
01:05:49
◼
►
it though, because we don't have the information that they know has told them that it works
01:05:54
◼
►
in other places. And if NFA podcasts, which doesn't use one of the big platforms as its
01:05:59
◼
►
primary way of distribution cannot give that data to a new advertiser.
01:06:04
◼
►
Does that not put them on a bad foot with them?
01:06:07
◼
►
I still don't think so.
01:06:08
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►
Because I think that if they're able to prove to themselves that in general people listen
01:06:14
◼
►
to podcasts pretty far through.
01:06:16
◼
►
And if they're able to prove to themselves that yes, this medium is going to work because
01:06:19
◼
►
they can get over whatever hurdles they have today, then you're able to tell them, "Look,
01:06:25
◼
►
more than half of our audience is so opted into this medium that they went and got a
01:06:28
◼
►
different app like they took it a step further because they they felt you know
01:06:31
◼
►
we're a pro level listener we need more access and we need better features and
01:06:35
◼
►
be able to get through more shows and subscribe in more ways like I I think
01:06:40
◼
►
that you know if you got first of all if you got to the point it was an overcast
01:06:43
◼
►
specifically and suddenly companies like yours were hurting I know the guy who
01:06:47
◼
►
makes overcast you could maybe convince him to change his mind a little bit on
01:06:51
◼
►
how he approaches it but I doubt it you'll still have 10 to 20 percent of
01:06:55
◼
►
of your audience at least using iTunes, right?
01:06:57
◼
►
Or using Apple.
01:06:58
◼
►
And you'll be able to have a sample just from that.
01:07:01
◼
►
You can tell them, look, you've seen that the medium works
01:07:03
◼
►
from these other things, from these other shows,
01:07:05
◼
►
and a portion of our audience that's doing this
01:07:07
◼
►
has these great or even better numbers, let's say,
01:07:09
◼
►
comparable numbers, and we assume that the overcast piece
01:07:14
◼
►
is even more engaged based on the fact that they've opted
01:07:16
◼
►
into using a different app and have gone out of their way
01:07:18
◼
►
to make it easier for them to listen to the show.
01:07:20
◼
►
- We also, we are very focused on niche advertising, right?
01:07:26
◼
►
- And I agree that there are quite a lot of advertisers
01:07:28
◼
►
that they frequently sponsor all these shows.
01:07:33
◼
►
And one of our big goals here is to bring new people in.
01:07:35
◼
►
And we have a couple of companies that we've brought on now
01:07:37
◼
►
which are different.
01:07:38
◼
►
Also have lots of buy, right?
01:07:41
◼
►
They're buying lots of shows over many weeks
01:07:43
◼
►
and I think our listeners are starting to hear those.
01:07:45
◼
►
So we are focused on trying to broaden that net,
01:07:48
◼
►
but it's still within our niche.
01:07:50
◼
►
And one of the things that I think about
01:07:51
◼
►
is the reason that our CPMs,
01:07:53
◼
►
which is the cost per thousand listeners are so high
01:07:57
◼
►
is because the advertisers and the content
01:08:00
◼
►
and the listeners match up so nicely.
01:08:02
◼
►
If the net, if overall everyone starts to go broader, right?
01:08:07
◼
►
So we're all going broader with bigger brand campaigns,
01:08:10
◼
►
wouldn't that drive the CPMs down
01:08:12
◼
►
because the fit is not so tight?
01:08:15
◼
►
- It's an interesting question.
01:08:16
◼
►
Not so far in practice, I don't think it's impossible.
01:08:19
◼
►
You know, the broader an audience,
01:08:22
◼
►
the less valuable it is to an advertiser.
01:08:23
◼
►
I think that's true.
01:08:25
◼
►
But if the brand specifically wants to reach
01:08:28
◼
►
that kind of audience, then it's very valuable to it.
01:08:30
◼
►
It's like real estate and everything else.
01:08:32
◼
►
It's worth what people pay for it.
01:08:33
◼
►
And Dunkin' Donuts, in its case,
01:08:36
◼
►
didn't even care so much who Bill Simmons' audience was.
01:08:38
◼
►
I mean, they did, but they were more interested
01:08:39
◼
►
in the fact that Bill Simmons grew up with Dunkin' Donuts.
01:08:42
◼
►
He's a sportscaster, he grew up in Boston,
01:08:44
◼
►
where Dunkin' Donuts is, and he talked about it organically
01:08:47
◼
►
in his columns that he wrote all the time,
01:08:49
◼
►
so they said, "We want him to talk about us for pay."
01:08:51
◼
►
And his very first ad was like four minutes long
01:08:54
◼
►
talking about his childhood where every day
01:08:56
◼
►
he would take his allowance money
01:08:58
◼
►
and go to Dunkin Donuts after school.
01:09:00
◼
►
But so, I think that advertisers are gonna say,
01:09:05
◼
►
look, we're trying to reach,
01:09:06
◼
►
like honestly, podcasts are helping them reach people
01:09:08
◼
►
they can't reach anywhere else, right?
01:09:10
◼
►
Men 18 to 30 something aren't watching TV
01:09:15
◼
►
nearly as much as they used to.
01:09:16
◼
►
And if they are, they're watching stuff that's streaming,
01:09:17
◼
►
doesn't have ads.
01:09:19
◼
►
but they're listening to podcasts in big numbers.
01:09:22
◼
►
The kind of, the people who listen to your shows, right?
01:09:26
◼
►
This well-educated, high-earning listener,
01:09:29
◼
►
tech-centric listener, is again, not watching television.
01:09:32
◼
►
They're listening to podcasts.
01:09:33
◼
►
This is the place to go to reach them.
01:09:35
◼
►
And advertisers definitely want to reach,
01:09:37
◼
►
that's why CBS might have the top-rated shows,
01:09:40
◼
►
but maybe doesn't get as much ad dollars,
01:09:42
◼
►
because they don't have the top-rated shows
01:09:43
◼
►
amongst 18 to 34-year-olds,
01:09:44
◼
►
the people who spend all the money.
01:09:46
◼
►
I used to be an 18 to 34-year-old, those were the days.
01:09:48
◼
►
And, but so it's like, overall my gut is that if,
01:09:53
◼
►
to be honest, it's mostly an intellectual discussion
01:09:58
◼
►
because well, except for my part,
01:09:59
◼
►
because I don't think Apple will ever do it.
01:10:01
◼
►
But if Apple were to say,
01:10:02
◼
►
"Hey, we're gonna provide some anonymized data."
01:10:04
◼
►
Even if it wasn't show specific,
01:10:05
◼
►
but just industry specific saying,
01:10:06
◼
►
"This is the percentage of people who listen
01:10:08
◼
►
in these categories of shows all the way through
01:10:09
◼
►
or whatever."
01:10:10
◼
►
If we had, I don't think they'll ever provide that data.
01:10:15
◼
►
- So what are you gonna do then, right?
01:10:16
◼
►
Because I mean, this whole conversation is focused around how good this data would be
01:10:20
◼
►
and how much it's going to help the industry.
01:10:23
◼
►
But I think we're all in agreement here that pigs will fly, I think, before you get any
01:10:28
◼
►
So what happens?
01:10:30
◼
►
So one of the points that ATP was making was, what you should really be focused on, advertising
01:10:36
◼
►
industry and podcasting industry in general, is how do we get more listeners?
01:10:39
◼
►
How do we get more people into the space?
01:10:42
◼
►
For me, it's a chicken and egg problem, right?
01:10:44
◼
►
Howard Stern renewed his I'm not saying Howard Stern's an ideal podcaster
01:10:47
◼
►
But if you take if we take as truth that he is hugely popular and that Sirius XM is built on Howard Stern
01:10:54
◼
►
He's too big for podcasting
01:10:57
◼
►
No podcasting company can give him the money that he wants because the advertising dollars aren't there yet
01:11:01
◼
►
Now Wall Street Journal ran an article a couple months ago saying that the entire advertising industry for podcasting was 35 million
01:11:07
◼
►
Which is like laughably wrong
01:11:09
◼
►
So there's there's real money in podcasting
01:11:14
◼
►
But there's not Howard Stern money podcasting
01:11:16
◼
►
So part of the reason that people like me are so eager or wish that Apple would
01:11:20
◼
►
Succumb and give us more data so that we could woo these advertisers because those advertisers have the bigger budgets right like even
01:11:26
◼
►
Unlocking the fortune 100 of podcast advertisers of which we've cracked here at mid-roll. I don't know 10
01:11:32
◼
►
There's a lot of incremental money into the space because it's not like it's gonna stop working for the Casper's and
01:11:38
◼
►
Square spaces and mail routes of the world. It's gonna keep working for them, too
01:11:42
◼
►
So my feeling is the more people we can the more money that the industry can make
01:11:47
◼
►
The more big talent will come in there the more big talent that's there the more listeners will get because today
01:11:53
◼
►
I don't think there's a vast untapped market of tech podcast listeners who aren't yet listening to tech podcasts
01:12:00
◼
►
I think for the comedy space that ear wolf sits in which is part of my day job
01:12:04
◼
►
I think we've hit you know
01:12:06
◼
►
90% of the people who want to hear that kind of content are listening to it right now
01:12:11
◼
►
Then there's a big untapped market of all kinds of other people who don't know what podcasts are don't know how it works for
01:12:16
◼
►
For them podcast app iTunes and overcast are all too difficult right now
01:12:21
◼
►
Figuring out how to connect their phone in the car is too hard all those pieces getting like if my car could download the episodes for
01:12:27
◼
►
Me automatically and be synced with whatever app I'm using so that I could just get in the car and push the podcast button and start
01:12:32
◼
►
Listening to the latest episode of upgrade that's that's where the industry has to go
01:12:36
◼
►
But to make all those things happen to make it get that mainstream
01:12:39
◼
►
It's gonna have to be all the things happening once bigger talent coming into the space
01:12:43
◼
►
So that you can get bigger shows and making it all easier so that more and more people are getting in there as listeners
01:12:48
◼
►
So what are we gonna do? We're gonna keep doing we do it, right?
01:12:50
◼
►
We're gonna keep having these same conversations advertisers explaining why they can't have the data that they want
01:12:54
◼
►
And trying to reassure them that doesn't matter
01:12:57
◼
►
And we're gonna miss out on some advertisers. There's gonna be some folks who we I
01:13:02
◼
►
Have a trip to Detroit next Monday a week from today
01:13:06
◼
►
To talk to the kinds of companies kind of companies there you can you can guess what kind of companies
01:13:10
◼
►
Some of them have tried podcast some of them are looking to do bigger and better things
01:13:15
◼
►
But it's an open question as to whether all of them
01:13:18
◼
►
Well, I used to think I used to tell everybody you look if we get one movie studio advertising as movies of us all the
01:13:23
◼
►
movie studios
01:13:24
◼
►
it actually did happen with TV stations right a lot of TV networks do tune in with us where they're saying hey tune into this
01:13:29
◼
►
Show at this time and I'll tell you just as a quick aside
01:13:33
◼
►
sometimes they'll say, "Hey, we only want the ads to run up until the time the show premieres. After
01:13:37
◼
►
that, can we pull the ads out?" It's like, no, we're not going to do that. You are very old school
01:13:41
◼
►
and you're thinking you are a crazy, but that's what we're dealing with. I was going to ask you
01:13:44
◼
►
about that. Does that hurt podcasting, the fact that you cannot guarantee a listen and that the
01:13:48
◼
►
ads, the ads are kind of baked in and then stay forever? Oh, hell yeah. That's why some people in
01:13:54
◼
►
the industry are moving to inserted ads, right? Even if it's effectively a host-read spot, they're
01:13:58
◼
►
trying to pre-record the spots and inject them at the time of download so that you might hear the
01:14:03
◼
►
the host reading an ad for you know Squarespace this week but if you listen
01:14:07
◼
►
next week you'll hear an ad for a TV show that comes out that week. Yeah that's
01:14:11
◼
►
one thing I noticed I downloaded cereal recently the first season and the MailChimp
01:14:16
◼
►
ads were gone. Yeah and that's very common, it's gonna get increasingly common.
01:14:20
◼
►
Everything that just about everything we sell today is still baked in right the
01:14:23
◼
►
ads are there and until and unless we strip them out by hand which just
01:14:27
◼
►
doesn't happen but the industry in some places is really trying to move to
01:14:32
◼
►
inserted spots like that where it's inserted on demand as you download it because they
01:14:36
◼
►
know your geo when you're downloading it and they know the date when you're downloading
01:14:40
◼
►
The risk to me is if you go down that route, it gets really easy to say, "You know what?
01:14:46
◼
►
We could take a prerecorded Geico ad for a $3 or $4 CPM and just put that in if we didn't
01:14:53
◼
►
sell the spot."
01:14:55
◼
►
That's when podcasts really start sounding like radio and it's when listeners really
01:14:58
◼
►
get alienated.
01:14:59
◼
►
ads are so cheap because they don't work that well.
01:15:00
◼
►
It's not the host reading it and listeners start tuning it out.
01:15:03
◼
►
And it's like, think of how good you are at ignoring every commercial around you.
01:15:07
◼
►
As soon as it's a prerecorded spot, doesn't do anything other
01:15:09
◼
►
than take you out of the podcast.
01:15:11
◼
►
Uh, so I've been holding that off as far as I can.
01:15:13
◼
►
Yeah, I agree with you.
01:15:15
◼
►
I, I I'm kind of intrigued by the idea of having my, you know, host
01:15:19
◼
►
red spots, uh, dynamically inserted.
01:15:21
◼
►
We, we actually hear a lot from people in Europe about how so many of the ads on
01:15:26
◼
►
the relay shows are obviously, and most podcasts, right, are, they're often very US-centric.
01:15:32
◼
►
And the reason is exactly this, which is everything's just baked in right now. This is, I mean, it
01:15:37
◼
►
is very primitive in that way. And yes, if CBS wants to have that ad for CSI Cyber stop
01:15:43
◼
►
running because they canceled it, you can't. You just, you can't right now.
01:15:49
◼
►
Do, I have one follow-up before we wrap this up, which was standardized data. Like one
01:15:55
◼
►
of the things that I know that your podcasters that you were selling for have to do, because
01:15:59
◼
►
I'm one of them, is supply you with data. And the challenge is that the data right now
01:16:03
◼
►
is not just limited to downloads, let's say, and streams, but it's also not standardized.
01:16:09
◼
►
And I know that NPR had a white paper about this a while ago, this idea of trying to create
01:16:15
◼
►
some standards, because right now a number, and I can say this from personal experience,
01:16:20
◼
►
a number on SoundCloud and Libsyn and Feedpress, it's not the same number. Like the numbers,
01:16:29
◼
►
and it's hard to tell what the real number is, but they're not measuring the same thing
01:16:33
◼
►
so far as we can tell. And so therefore, even when you say this is a show with this many
01:16:38
◼
►
downloads, what downloads means is unclear.
01:16:42
◼
►
Yeah, it's a problem. And there are the same companies that claim they can put in pixels
01:16:48
◼
►
will say, "Hey, this show's doing one and a half million downloads an episode where
01:16:51
◼
►
it doesn't rank in the iTunes top 500."
01:16:53
◼
►
Because they're saying, "If we tweet it and Twitter uses the SoundCloud embedded player,
01:16:59
◼
►
then every one of this person's followers counts as a potential listen, so we're going
01:17:02
◼
►
to count those as listens."
01:17:03
◼
►
That's literally the math they've been using.
01:17:06
◼
►
We've seen shows move from Libsyn to SoundCloud and have their numbers go up.
01:17:09
◼
►
We've seen shows move from SoundCloud to Libsyn and have their numbers go up.
01:17:11
◼
►
We've seen them both go down when they make those switches too.
01:17:13
◼
►
It's a problem.
01:17:16
◼
►
Everybody's trying to use some amalgamated algorithm, which is also the name of my cover
01:17:20
◼
►
band that looks at bandwidth usage by file and session length if you're streaming it
01:17:28
◼
►
on the site and other variables to try to come up with what the right download number
01:17:32
◼
►
But it's impossible to really measure peer downloads.
01:17:35
◼
►
We get a surprising amount of shows who come to us and tell us, "Hey, we do 200,000 downloads
01:17:39
◼
►
an episode," when they're measuring it just by server stats, not really since their server
01:17:43
◼
►
is chunking the file and they're getting a quarter or a fifth of what they think they're
01:17:47
◼
►
And so we get to be the bearers of delightfully bad news for disappointed podcasters around
01:17:52
◼
►
But it's a problem.
01:17:55
◼
►
I like SoundCloud's numbers and I like Libsyn's numbers because I appreciate what they're
01:17:58
◼
►
trying to do and how they're trying to do it.
01:18:00
◼
►
And I think it's more exact than anybody can get on radio or TV, even though it's still
01:18:04
◼
►
clearly vague and inexact overall.
01:18:08
◼
►
I actually had one more thing before we go, which is Lex did leave that tantalizing point
01:18:11
◼
►
out there that there were things that we said that he disagreed with last week.
01:18:17
◼
►
Have we failed to cover some of those now?
01:18:19
◼
►
Because this would be a good time for you to say, what else did we, do you think that
01:18:22
◼
►
we got wrong?
01:18:23
◼
►
I only have one minute, but we covered the one which I think that you can use, that Apple
01:18:28
◼
►
could give us access to listener data even without serving the files.
01:18:32
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The only other thing is, and this is, I know this is way more than a one minute conversation,
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But you guys on both shows, this one and ATP, you guys talked about how we don't want this
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to become like the web or like YouTube because those things are ruined.
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At the same time, I spend a lot of time every day on the web and on YouTube and I understand
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what we're saying when we say that the web is ruined or the YouTube is ruined, but it
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also still gives me a lot of joy, a lot of information and a lot of entertainment.
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So I recognize and I like you don't love advertisers trying to follow me around every website I
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visit and everything like that.
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But the fact that YouTube advertisers can get some kind of aggregated data about how
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many people pressed the skip button versus how many people didn't, doesn't bother me
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It certainly doesn't negatively impact my overall YouTube experience.
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So I just wanted to put that out there that I know it's easy for us to say that YouTube
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and the web are ruined, but I still love both YouTube and the web.
01:19:20
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So I, there's-
01:19:21
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Yeah, but loving them for the content is very different to, like when we say ruined, it's
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like the advertising business in those is significantly worse.
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Like YouTube CPMs are horrific.
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The only other piece I'll put out there is, we didn't talk about the idea of advertisers,
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I'm sorry, of podcast companies selling episodes on iTunes and how like, do you really want
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to cut, like that's not something that I'm personally advocating for.
01:19:47
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I'm not super interested in it.
01:19:49
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By the same token, advertisers who are trying to find ways to make more money for podcasts
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so that the, like, we have to, we want these advertisers,
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we want podcast creators to find a way
01:20:01
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to make it profitable, right?
01:20:03
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We can't say just, you know, just make great stuff
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and you'll make money is the same thing.
01:20:07
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Like we can't, we shouldn't yell,
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I'm gonna get a point eventually, I promise.
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We can't yell at developers who are putting out free apps
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or 99 cent apps and saying,
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you're not building a sustainable business.
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Think about how to really make this big.
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And, you know, think that they're thinking about it wrong,
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but then turn to podcasters and say,
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guys, you're trying to think about ways
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monetize this better, just make great content.
01:20:26
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It's the same.
01:20:26
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It's really the same opposite sides of the argument being made in two different
01:20:29
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Cause I think that it's right and important for podcasts companies to figure out, Hey,
01:20:33
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what can we do to make these podcasts and make more money?
01:20:35
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Cause what I love about I'm going way over time, I'm going to get missing my next
01:20:38
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call and you wouldn't believe who it's with.
01:20:39
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But if the, if, if what I love about this job is the podcasters can make the shows
01:20:47
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cause they're getting paid, right?
01:20:48
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Otherwise they couldn't make this art.
01:20:49
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The listeners can hear the show only because the podcasts are getting paid.
01:20:51
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Like most hosts wouldn't be able to keep doing the show if they weren't making
01:20:54
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money from it.
01:20:54
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So the listener gets to buy in and then the advertiser typically sees good results.
01:20:58
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So it's truly in that sense, a win-win-win right?
01:21:00
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The show exists because they're advertisers and the advertisers are happy because
01:21:04
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they can advertise on that show.
01:21:05
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So when we see the podcasters are trying to figure out what can we do to make more
01:21:08
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money, it's the same thing that developers are trying to do, right?
01:21:10
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Let me make this a subscription thing, even though that's not what people are
01:21:13
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interested in necessarily.
01:21:14
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They're like trying those pieces because they're trying to figure out a way to
01:21:17
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make it a sustainable business.
01:21:18
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We're going to do this forever.
01:21:20
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but this fundamentally ties into the misunderstanding
01:21:22
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or the difference in opinion between me and you
01:21:24
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is I agree with everything you just said,
01:21:25
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so I say leave it alone.
01:21:27
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Lex, thank you so much for joining us.
01:21:30
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It has been an absolute pleasure to have you.
01:21:32
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Where can people find you and the work that you do?
01:21:36
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- The easiest place to find me is just go on Twitter
01:21:37
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and look for Lex Fry,
01:21:38
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and then you'll find everything from there
01:21:39
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'cause I'm all over the place,
01:21:40
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but this has been a delight.
01:21:41
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Thank you so much for having me on.
01:21:42
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- Thanks, Lex.
01:21:43
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- Lex, it's always a pleasure.
01:21:44
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You go and take that next call.
01:21:47
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- Say hi to the president for me.
01:21:49
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I don't feel like we've got anywhere Jason I could do that for another hour so I'm sure
01:21:53
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we'll continue to have this discussion. I again hope that everybody who said they liked
01:21:59
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this discussion last week enjoyed it this week as well. We have come to the end of our
01:22:04
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time for this episode if you'd like to find some links for today head on over to relay.fm/upgrades/89
01:22:11
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►
as always you can find Jason's lovely work over at sixcolors.com the incomparable.com
01:22:15
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and he is on Twitter @JSNEL, J S N E double L.
01:22:18
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I host many shows, the lovely Real AFM.
01:22:21
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I also sell the ads at Real AFM.
01:22:23
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You can find me on Twitter, I am @imike, I M Y K E.
01:22:28
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Thanks again to our lovely sponsors
01:22:30
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who we hold so dear, Mail Route and Freshbooks.
01:22:33
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And thank you as always for listening.
01:22:35
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And I look forward to receiving your feedback
01:22:38
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for this week's episode.
01:22:39
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As always, the best way is via Twitter.
01:22:42
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You can use the hashtag #askupgrade
01:22:43
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Or you can just tweet to me or Jason and we will find it. Thanks so much for listening
01:22:47
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We'll be back next time until then say goodbye. Mr. Snow. Bye everybody