153: Three Ficuses
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From Relay FM, this is Upgrade, episode 153. Today's show is brought to you by Squarespace,
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Freshbooks and Encapsula. My name is Myke Hurley, I am joined by Mr. Jason Snell. Hello
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Jason Snell.
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Hello, as always, although behind the scenes peek behind the curtain recording a little
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bit different a time and that is mostly because you are recording in a different place. I'm
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just sitting in my chair in my office at home. Where are you?
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I am in New York City, Jason, but nobody cares about this because it's time for #SnailTalk.
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Joel wrote this this week and Joel said, "What was the most exciting baseball game that Jason
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has ever attended?"
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Boy, I'm gonna say in terms of the excitement of the event, it is definitely game five of the, wow, you know, of the World Series maybe?
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I've been to two World Series games, both of which were very exciting, both of which were game five of 2002 and 2014.
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Both of them won by my team, the San Francisco Giants. I would say the most
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exciting was probably the 2014 World Series, game five. They won, it was a
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shutout, a complete game shutout by Madison Bumgarner. That was very exciting. In terms of the
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most actual, like, excitement during a game ever of a baseball game, I would
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have to say it was game two of the 2000 Divisional Series with the Giants
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against the Mets where the single most exciting baseball moment I've ever seen
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in person happen which is a dramatic bottom of the ninth home run by J.T. Snow
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off of the Mets closer Armando Benitez. There was only one problem it tied the
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game it felt like it won the game like it really felt like morally that was it
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and the game was over, but it actually only tied the game. Giants lost the next inning,
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and that was it. So, but boy, that moment was amazing. The whole stadium shook, and
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it was amazing. So I have a few postseason baseball choices from AT&T Park in San Francisco
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to pick from. Welcome to the talk show. My name is…
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I know, right? Let's talk about keyboards now. Can we talk about keyboards?
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Yeah, okay. Baseball keyboards. Because that's, you know, when I'm on the talk show,
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we try to scare away everybody in the first 30 minutes.
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it's time to talk about publishing Jason Snell.
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- You nailed it.
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- That was a Snell Talk submitted by Joel.
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If you would like to have your question answered
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at the top of the show, you can send in tweets
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with the hashtag SnellTalk and that will open our episodes.
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So I will go back, 'cause my favorite thing,
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it's my new little catchphrase,
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there's nobody cares about that.
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I don't know if anyone's noticed it,
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but I think it's really funny every single time.
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But yeah, I am in New York.
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I'm in New York City, which is part of,
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well, which began last week.
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I'm spending the entire month of August in the US
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in various places.
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And I'm beginning with this show in New York.
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And I'm going to a baseball game myself next week,
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which was why I picked the baseball question.
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I'm going with a couple of friends
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to see the New York Mets versus the Miami Marlins.
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So that's in a week or two, I think.
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So I wanted to know if you had any tips for me
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for enjoying the baseball game?
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It's not gonna probably be like when we went to that baseball game in Memphis.
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You probably won't get a foul ball.
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I would say enjoy the atmosphere and soak in the crowd and if it's a sunny day, you know, enjoy the sun.
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Have a hot dog.
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Will they throw hot dogs at me? Is that a thing that happens?
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That's a shame.
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but I can shout to the guy or the girl and be like "hot dog here" or something?
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Uh, maybe if there's a hot dog person. Okay.
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I would recommend you just go buy a hot dog at a hot dog stand in the stadium rather than
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waiting for a vendor to come by. Yeah, but you see, the thing is though,
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like if I have the ability to say one here please, right? Like it's-
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Oh, you don't- but yeah, but you don't want like a- you don't want a hot dog that some guy is like
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kept in his pocket and is now gonna sell to you. Like you don't want like a hot dog out of a sack
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full of hot dogs that are all... no, don't, no.
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So here's the thing, I agree with you, that's not the type of hot dog that I want to eat.
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But like, this is one of those things that like, I'm not sure if American people get
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this right, about us non-Americans, is we see this stuff on TV and movies right, like
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the person walking down the stairs and they have the hot dog and you just, they send the
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hot dog, you know it's like a whole little thing right, and it seems to happen and every
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time anybody ever goes to a baseball game.
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what I would suggest, get the hot dog yourself at a stand, but yes, when a vendor comes by
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with a lemonade or a soda or a beer or a cotton candy or a Peanuts, Peanuts, that's a classic,
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Peanuts, oh no, it'll kill you. You should buy them anyway and then just give them away.
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Anyway, something like that, because Peanuts is a classic, right? Peanuts, Peanuts, get
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your Peanuts here, and then you'll die, so don't do that.
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so I don't want to get those peanuts there.
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- That's what you should do.
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Get something that's not a hot dog from a vendor.
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That's my advice to you.
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- All right, so we do have some real follow-up.
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We spoke last week in Ask Upgrade
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about having two Dropbox accounts
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potentially signed in on files in iOS 11
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and what the possibilities of that be,
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and we threw about some theories
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of how we thought that it could maybe be hacked together
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to be done, but a couple of people wrote in,
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including Ryan, who said that,
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This is actually a feature.
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Like if you have a business account with Dropbox,
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you can actually use two accounts in the iOS app
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and switch between them.
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So you can switch between a personal account
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and a business account.
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So again, this doesn't really confirm anything,
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but maybe it lends some credence to a possibility
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that this functionality could be maintained
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within the Files app because Dropbox has made a point
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of having it in the iOS app for some time.
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So that is an important information.
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unclear on exactly how the whole files interaction thing works and whether Dropbox can put two
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different, you know, will it in this scenario basically have two mount points and is that
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allowed or do they only have one, you know, file system that they can generate there or
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not. But there's at least some hope if you have a business account. I think we also heard
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from somebody who maybe actually works at Dropbox who basically said beyond that there
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are no, you know, they know of no plans to support this, you know, just having several
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Dropbox accounts. And some of that makes sense because you can get a free amount of space
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from Dropbox and I think that they don't want to make it easy to switch because then you
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could just have a chain of Dropbox accounts each with five gigabytes and move between
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Yeah, it'd be unlimited, right? If you had it all in a root directory inside of an application.
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Exactly. Unlimited but inconvenient, right? But they don't want to do that. So unless
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you're in a situation where you've got a business account and a personal account,
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that might work, although, you know, that's the real question is how does that interact
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with files and will that work.
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So there have been some new emoji proposals and I just wanted to run through some of these
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real quick because emoji seems to be some part of our beat on this show, at least I
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think I forced it in over time at least.
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I saw Jeremy Bird like, what, a little more than a week ago and Jeremy and I were talking
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about from Emojipedia we were talking about. We were on the new screensavers on
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twit and we were talking about emoji. It was nice to see Jeremy. Yeah, me and
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Jeremy have a thing where we cross paths. So he's been in the US for a month, he
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came home and now we've reversed over. Right. I also said his name totally wrong
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because it's Berg, right? Berg? Not Burj? Oh, I always call him Burj.
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I'd like to use his face. Not Berg like iceberg? Ice Burj. I said Burj and then I
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immediately was worried about it. So we'll see. Ice purge, not an emoji. But I think
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breaking news for those who've wondered why is the pile of poo so happy is one of the
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proposals and Jeremy was actually swinging up to Seattle for a meeting about this, for
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an emoji subcommittee meeting. One of the proposals is indeed a frowning pile of poo.
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Yep, so this news has come out because there has been a Unicode Consortium meeting where
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they discuss and look at proposals for new emoji and one of the contenders this time
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is a frowning pile of poo, which I honestly don't want. I don't really like the poop emoji.
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I'm just going to say this. I'm not being squeamish or whatever. I just don't understand
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why people want a poop with a face on it,
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like so now I don't really want more of them?
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- It's weird. - It is weird.
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- It's weird and also the way it's generally drawn,
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it's just soft serve.
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It's like, it's chocolate soft serve.
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It's not even poop.
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- I'm gonna say though, Jason,
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there's no other way I would wanna say it.
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I don't want it represented any other way.
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- No, I think it should be,
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did you know, Jeremy pointed this out to me,
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there used to be flies buzzing around it.
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And those went away.
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It's like, I think like if you're gonna have poop,
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just go have it be real poop.
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Like if you wanna send poop to somebody, do it.
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But don't give me this like an anthropomorphic pile
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of soft serve who might be happy, but might be sad.
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And we don't, and nobody knows why.
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Are we gonna have to have all the smileys have an option
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where they could be poo instead of a yellow circle?
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Is that gonna happen?
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- I hope not.
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- You said that like you're just comprehending
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that maybe that's a serious possibility.
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- I mean, you know.
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- Boy, I hope not, that would be bad.
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- This is like opening the jar.
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There are some, there are 67 new emoji
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that have been listed as draft candidates
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for the 2018 emoji set.
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And I wanted to just mention a couple
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that I think might be kind of cool.
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Bagel and cupcake in food.
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A test tube, I think a test tube could be a good one.
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Redheads, and I feel sorry for redheads
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because there are gonna be, I think in the 2017 set,
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there's gonna be new hair modifiers
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and this would indicate that redheads
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did not make the cut of the original hair modifiers,
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which I feel sad about considering
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that there is a lot of a large redhead population
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in my own family.
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There is a face with smiling eyes
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and a party horn and party hat,
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so basically a party face emoji.
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And then there is a red face with tongue sticking out
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with bead of sweat and a blue face
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with clenched teeth and icicles.
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I like those two to show hot and cold.
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So there's some good ones in there.
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And as you can imagine, there are also a bunch
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of just like really boring, useless, rubbish ones
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that I don't even know why they're putting in.
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But there are lots of people that want lots of things.
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And this is some of the new emoji that we may see in 2018.
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So like probably like iOS 12.
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- iOS 12, that's exactly right.
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But it's good, you know.
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There's some good ones in there.
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There's some new animals that are nice.
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there's a raccoon and a parrot and a hippo and a llama.
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You know, if you're in the Andes
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and you need to say, check out this llama, got it.
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You're gonna be there, nailed it, yeah.
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So over the last few weeks we have both been discussing the potential of a new Apple Watch
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It started in Ask Upgrade two weeks ago.
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Two weeks ago yeah.
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Then there was I think a Ming-Chi Kuo story where we were talking about it last week.
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Now this week we have a Mark Gurman report from Bloomberg.
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Gurman is saying that Apple is planning to release a new Apple Watch this year which
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will include a cell radio and he's confirmed that it will be an LTE chip.
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Because this isn't something we've discussed but something that I've maybe considered
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is they might just go with 3G first, but it looks like it will be LTE. Intel are said
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to be the supplier of this new radio, which is different for Apple, but it does make sense
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considering Apple's currently going through all this brouhaha with Qualcomm, right?
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So, and I think Intel provides some of the radios on the current iPhones and Qualcomm
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the others, so Intel definitely wants Apple's business here.
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Oh, I'm sure Intel want Apple's business.
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Yeah, and this is like a good thing for everybody in this regard, right?
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Intel get to push in, Apple get to make Qualcomm feel nervous, right?
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And then everybody can try and, well, everybody except Qualcomm can try and
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get some of what they want. So this is a power move as well, I think, from Apple.
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Do I think that Qualcomm chips will be in the next iPhone? Yes, I do. Do I think that Apple
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would maybe try and squeeze them out on the Apple Watch as a sign that things might be
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changing. Yeah. Like, I can't imagine the next iPhone would go all Intel, right? Because
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it feels like, "Mmm, just in case. Just in case these chips aren't as good. Maybe
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don't go that route." But we'll see. I mean, we'll see just how bad their situation
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is come September. And it may, I mean, it may be, it may have
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nothing to do with that. It may be that Intel, it has a radio here that is superior in some
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some way that makes Apple choose it at these volumes for an Apple watch that they like
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what they're getting out of Intel for this. It may not be political at all or it may be.
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Apparently, Apple reportedly in talks with carriers in the US and Europe about getting
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this kind of ready to be set up. I wonder about this, like how this would work.
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Yeah, so there are some carriers in the US that are doing this now because there are
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smart watches, there are Android smart watches that have cellular connections. And of course,
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One of the things they say about them is that their battery life is generally bad.
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So that's a question.
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Is Apple going to be able to do this?
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Presumably Apple wouldn't do this.
00:15:16
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This is a little bit like what we've said about some other Apple features that have
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been rumored.
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Like if they're going to do this, presumably it means they can get through the day, through
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a full day with a cellular radio turned on at least when it needs to be turned on.
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And however, they do energy efficiency there.
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those Android smartwatches, Android Wear watches, it sounds like what has happened is that carriers
00:15:44
◼
►
have set up plans for these devices just like they've got plans for your iPad, where you're
00:15:51
◼
►
paying a fee to put it on your account. But it also sounds like there's a feature that
00:15:55
◼
►
is now enabled that some of the carriers are offering that, last time I checked I looked
00:16:01
◼
►
this up that you can actually set it up so that it rings that device as well as your
00:16:09
◼
►
phone and the idea there is it's not just like adding a sim to an iPad where you are
00:16:16
◼
►
paying you know I'm paying $10 a month to put my iPad on my cellular plan but it's a
00:16:21
◼
►
little more than that where in a world where you had a cellular Apple watch and you went
00:16:27
◼
►
for a run, and somebody sent you a text to your phone or somebody called you on your
00:16:34
◼
►
iPhone, your watch would ring. Because the way this works is that that other device,
00:16:42
◼
►
that watch, is connected to the network and the network knows that's the same number,
00:16:47
◼
►
essentially, as your phone.
00:16:48
◼
►
Yeah, so it's not like call folding, but like call duplication kind of thing, right?
00:16:54
◼
►
No, it's, it's, and it's exactly what you would want.
00:16:56
◼
►
Yeah, exactly.
00:16:57
◼
►
is I want it to ring my watch and my phone.
00:17:00
◼
►
And this is something that can't happen at the Apple level,
00:17:02
◼
►
it has to happen at the carrier level,
00:17:04
◼
►
but it sounds like that's exactly
00:17:06
◼
►
what has already been built in.
00:17:08
◼
►
So, you know, the carriers know, right,
00:17:11
◼
►
that this is an inevitable direction.
00:17:13
◼
►
There are already some smartwatches out there that do it.
00:17:15
◼
►
And it's some, but there's money to be made.
00:17:18
◼
►
So that would be my guess is that it will be that simple,
00:17:21
◼
►
that you will be able to add it to your, you know,
00:17:23
◼
►
in the US, like to your AT&T account
00:17:25
◼
►
or whatever the other carriers are,
00:17:28
◼
►
and it will, you'll add to your bill,
00:17:31
◼
►
but it will just work.
00:17:33
◼
►
- Yes, 'cause when you're at home, right,
00:17:36
◼
►
and you get a phone call or a text message,
00:17:38
◼
►
your Apple Watch gets it,
00:17:40
◼
►
but it's because it's connected to the iPhone.
00:17:44
◼
►
But the point of this is that it won't be always.
00:17:47
◼
►
- Right, the UI is the same,
00:17:48
◼
►
but the difference would be
00:17:50
◼
►
in where the phone is coming from,
00:17:52
◼
►
because if you're running several miles
00:17:54
◼
►
or riding a bike or whatever
00:17:55
◼
►
without your iPhone and you're several miles away. And to me, that's like the number one
00:17:58
◼
►
reason you have a cellular Apple watch is that you can leave the phone at home and not
00:18:02
◼
►
be out of touch, which is great. Then, you know, the cell network would say, you've got
00:18:08
◼
►
a call and your phone is ringing at home and your phone is ringing on your watch. And if
00:18:12
◼
►
you answer on your watch, your watch picks up and that's where you have the phone call.
00:18:16
◼
►
And that's just perfectly like part of the system. It's perfectly normal.
00:18:21
◼
►
When you hear this, what do you think? Do you think that you would want to leave your
00:18:26
◼
►
phone at home and just have a watch? Like, what scenarios in your life can you imagine
00:18:33
◼
►
wanting to do this?
00:18:34
◼
►
Well, yeah. I mean, I think we went over it a few times, but number one for me is running,
00:18:38
◼
►
because when I'm running, I bring my phone with me and, you know, the phone is in my
00:18:42
◼
►
pocket, weighing down my pocket, and it's not... I would love to not have it with me.
00:18:50
◼
►
would love to not have it with me. If I can have, if I can load music on my watch, which
00:18:57
◼
►
I can, and on my AirPods, like I don't need the phone anymore except that the phone is
00:19:01
◼
►
the thing that contains all the data that is pushing out through, you know, into my
00:19:07
◼
►
AirPods basically. So if I could run without that and have a playlist playing, I mean ideally
00:19:13
◼
►
I'd like a podcast, but the Apple Watch has proven so far to be kind of really terrible
00:19:18
◼
►
at podcasting, but even if just a music playlist, that would be a big deal because it would
00:19:22
◼
►
mean that I wouldn't have to take the phone, because the phone's big. I mean, this is like
00:19:25
◼
►
people strap phones to their arms and things like that, right, when they're running. Like,
00:19:31
◼
►
to get that, to make it optional, I think it would be huge.
00:19:36
◼
►
That is definitely a really good use case, but I'm trying to think of more. You know,
00:19:40
◼
►
like, running is the obvious use case, but what other ones could we assume?
00:19:46
◼
►
for a device that's got a lot of fitness uses, if you've got the ability when you're swimming
00:19:51
◼
►
or running or biking or anything like that to leave the phone at home because you literally
00:19:58
◼
►
don't need it. And I was thinking, even when I take walks, when we walk the dog over to
00:20:02
◼
►
the school by my house in the evenings and all that, I don't need to bring my phone with
00:20:08
◼
►
me because I'm really bringing it so that if I get a message or something like that,
00:20:12
◼
►
yeah, if I'm going to do more intense work in apps on my phone, that's one thing, but
00:20:16
◼
►
when I'm walking the dog, I'm not. When I'm walking the dog, I just want to remain in
00:20:20
◼
►
touch. If my mom sends me a text, I can reply to her right on my watch. I can't do that
00:20:25
◼
►
without my phone right now, but I would be able to do that. I even have Apple Pay on
00:20:29
◼
►
my watch, so I don't need the phone to do Apple Pay. So I feel like there is a bunch
00:20:36
◼
►
of stuff that is in the universe of "I need to bring my phone with me," that we just,
00:20:41
◼
►
by default we do that, that maybe if we had a cellular enabled watch on our wrists, some
00:20:48
◼
►
portion of that would fall out as being like, "I don't really need that." We don't think
00:20:52
◼
►
of that today because there's no option. You're chained to our phones, right? Like, you know,
00:20:58
◼
►
that's how we are. Because this is what I'm saying, right? Like, I totally agree, like
00:21:00
◼
►
the fitness stuff makes so much sense, and I think the answer is simply just we can't
00:21:05
◼
►
conceive of it yet because we don't have it, but like I'm trying to think of like, is there
00:21:09
◼
►
like a threshold that would become in my life where I would then take my phone. You know
00:21:14
◼
►
what I mean? Like if it works well enough that it's like, well maybe if I'm out all
00:21:19
◼
►
day I would take it. But like let's say that me and Adina are going to be together somewhere
00:21:23
◼
►
and we're going to be going out shopping or whatever. Like maybe I just don't need my
00:21:26
◼
►
phone at all because I wouldn't use it, right? But I can still get all the contact that I
00:21:31
◼
►
need because my watch is there.
00:21:33
◼
►
And right now there's no question because right now it's just like, well of course I
00:21:36
◼
►
I bring my phone everywhere.
00:21:37
◼
►
But this would allow you to,
00:21:39
◼
►
in every one of those scenarios,
00:21:40
◼
►
say, do I need to bring this or not?
00:21:42
◼
►
Because just if all I'm doing is the baseline of,
00:21:45
◼
►
I wanna be there if somebody sends me an important message
00:21:49
◼
►
or a call comes in that I need to have,
00:21:53
◼
►
that I might not need the phone for that
00:21:56
◼
►
if that's literally all I'm doing.
00:21:58
◼
►
Obviously, above a certain point,
00:22:01
◼
►
you're like, oh yeah, okay,
00:22:02
◼
►
of course I need my phone for this.
00:22:03
◼
►
But I do think some amount would come out.
00:22:05
◼
►
And in the fitness area, you'd see it a lot.
00:22:08
◼
►
And that's a major focus of the Apple Watch.
00:22:12
◼
►
Obviously, the more independent the watch is,
00:22:15
◼
►
the better the OS also needs to get
00:22:17
◼
►
in terms of the apps being better
00:22:19
◼
►
and being more self-sufficient.
00:22:22
◼
►
And I hope we get there, 'cause that would be great
00:22:27
◼
►
if the apps were more, like,
00:22:30
◼
►
if I wanna check Slack,
00:22:34
◼
►
I can't do it on my Apple Watch because the Slack app for Apple Watch is terrible.
00:22:39
◼
►
But some of the other apps are better than that.
00:22:41
◼
►
So that would be something that would be kind of on Apple as a developer of the App Platform
00:22:45
◼
►
and the third-party app developers as well to say, "Okay, in this next generation of
00:22:50
◼
►
Apple Watch, you now actually really need to think about having a fully featured app
00:22:56
◼
►
that is loading data off the internet."
00:22:58
◼
►
Because while they can do that now with Wi-Fi, so Apple's already laid the groundwork there,
00:23:03
◼
►
going to be a much more common experience once Apple Watch with LTE,
00:23:07
◼
►
you know, series 3 or whatever they call it, ships. Right, because like here's one
00:23:12
◼
►
thing, right, like I would want to have podcasts on my Apple Watch so I
00:23:15
◼
►
could go out for a walk in the neighborhood and listen to my next
00:23:20
◼
►
episode of The Adventure Zone, right? But, I mean, look at, you know, I'll put a link
00:23:25
◼
►
in the show notes to Under the Radar episode 91, which has a nice succinct
00:23:30
◼
►
kind of discussion between Marco and David about Marco's current issues with Overcast
00:23:37
◼
►
on the Apple Watch and how there are changes I think with watchOS 4 maybe where it's just
00:23:43
◼
►
not going to be possible anymore to do what he has been doing. So like well, let's assume
00:23:49
◼
►
that this thing is going to have a cellular radio in it, well currently watchOS 4 doesn't
00:23:53
◼
►
have a good way for people to build these apps. So unless a new Apple Watch comes with
00:23:58
◼
►
some significant changes, just having an LTE in the watch is not going to be able to allow
00:24:04
◼
►
me to uncouple myself from it.
00:24:07
◼
►
I'm baffled that there is no podcast app on the Apple Watch and that they're not
00:24:10
◼
►
allowing podcast syncing, but it is hard, as Marco has discovered, it is hard because
00:24:14
◼
►
you have to basically triage what goes on the watch.
00:24:18
◼
►
Depending on what load it puts on, like loading data is probably going to kill the battery
00:24:24
◼
►
on it, so you're going to want to keep the data load low.
00:24:26
◼
►
what you probably wouldn't want to do is write a client that just streams
00:24:32
◼
►
podcasts on the fly but you could, right? Where you know...
00:24:38
◼
►
Yeah, I guess so.
00:24:39
◼
►
Right? But then it sounds like there are a lot of problems with like
00:24:41
◼
►
background audio and things like that that Marco has found that are
00:24:45
◼
►
fundamental problems that have to be addressed by Apple
00:24:50
◼
►
basically. So I do think that's a real question mark about the Apple
00:24:54
◼
►
watch in general is why is there no podcast story if if independence of
00:24:58
◼
►
device independence is the goal and and yet people who are trying like market
00:25:03
◼
►
who are trying to build device independent apps you know phone
00:25:07
◼
►
independent watch only all acting by itself independent right and they and
00:25:13
◼
►
they're hitting these walls that sounds like you know Apple's got a lot more
00:25:16
◼
►
work to do because they can they can ship this independent device and it's
00:25:20
◼
►
not going to matter if the third-party apps to take advantage of it are not, you
00:25:25
◼
►
know, able to be built. So also in Germin's report he says that to enable this
00:25:31
◼
►
Apple have been working on continued battery life improvements for the watch
00:25:34
◼
►
which makes sense. Gotta be, right? And so my wonder is I assume that the LTE chip
00:25:41
◼
►
would not be constantly connected like it would just switch on when they
00:25:44
◼
►
couldn't detect the iPhone anymore. Yeah that's that's what I was kind of
00:25:48
◼
►
assuming is that this would be something that only activates when it loses touch with either
00:25:55
◼
►
an open Wi-Fi network or its buddy iPhone, right? That if it doesn't have either of those,
00:26:01
◼
►
then the cellular radio would spin up. But otherwise, you know, but that's, I mean, that's
00:26:06
◼
►
not surprising. That's energy-saving features. Like you want to be as efficient as possible.
00:26:12
◼
►
And since it knows it's got a buddy, especially like when it's connected to the phone, it
00:26:17
◼
►
knows it doesn't need it because it's buddy is there. The big brother is there.
00:26:21
◼
►
So uh, John Gerber and Darren Fireball linked to this and in his kind of link post he mentioned
00:26:27
◼
►
that he's been hearing from, from a source that there is an all new form factor coming
00:26:34
◼
►
for the new watches. Yeah, I wonder what that means.
00:26:39
◼
►
Because it doesn't make sense to me, you know, like we were talking about it and I think
00:26:44
◼
►
it was last week and I was saying that if they want to maximize battery life
00:26:47
◼
►
just keep keep it looking the same right because you can probably pack more stuff
00:26:51
◼
►
in there but who knows I mean that could mean a new form factor could literally
00:26:54
◼
►
mean anything really yeah it could just mean new corners do you know what I mean
00:26:58
◼
►
like it could be the same thickness could be thicker right for all we know
00:27:02
◼
►
right could be bigger but it's not impossible it's not an impossible thought
00:27:06
◼
►
that they would change it but unless a change that they made was clearly
00:27:12
◼
►
obvious, you know, like you look at it and you're like "oh yeah they had to do that
00:27:16
◼
►
because of the LTE chip" I don't know, I'm not sure if they need to. A little antenna
00:27:22
◼
►
sticking out of it, you pull the antenna out. Well I'm thinking more something for
00:27:27
◼
►
antenna bands or something like that, right, like there might be, you know, that
00:27:31
◼
►
there might be a visual change in some way that's like "oh okay that makes
00:27:35
◼
►
sense now" right, like there's some kind of change to it that way because it's
00:27:39
◼
►
to need those, you know, and it doesn't seem to have any clear path for the radios. I don't
00:27:48
◼
►
really know enough about how that works, but, you know, it's just like a mini iPhone, and
00:27:52
◼
►
the iPhone still needs the antenna band, so maybe the watch would too, so that might make
00:27:57
◼
►
some kind of change.
00:27:59
◼
►
Yeah, well, we'll see. We'll see if that's this year's. John's not betting the house
00:28:05
◼
►
on it and doesn't think we should either which is probably a good idea but it's
00:28:11
◼
►
funny you know two weeks ago we got asked what about a new Apple watch and
00:28:15
◼
►
we were both like maybe you know it's not like not not the I think you said
00:28:21
◼
►
that you thought they they would and I thought you know they might but they
00:28:24
◼
►
might not and now with this it's it's heating up it's feeling it's feeling
00:28:31
◼
►
stronger now is the thing you know there seems to be more stuff coming and there's
00:28:35
◼
►
in the gift that keeps on giving as people continue to I think kind of
00:28:40
◼
►
amazingly find out more and more tidbits of information from the incredible like
00:28:48
◼
►
just incredible home pod leak story from from a week or two ago it had been
00:28:56
◼
►
corroborated potentially in saying that there's like a string of text which was
00:29:00
◼
►
found by a Twitter user via the name of RealAntonioM that there seems to be some kind of reference
00:29:10
◼
►
to an Apple Watch with a SIM in it. So there's a line that talks about Gizmo and SIM. And
00:29:16
◼
►
apparently Gizmo is an Apple Watch code name. And if we see that reference is SIM, well,
00:29:24
◼
►
that's the cell radio, right? So there's more--it just continues to go, this HomePod stuff.
00:29:30
◼
►
and it's just continuing to find more and more and more information.
00:29:34
◼
►
Yeah, it's uh...
00:29:38
◼
►
Yeah, I, so last week on download, um, I had Michael Gartenberg on who used to work at Apple
00:29:44
◼
►
and his, I mean, he said what I figured is the case, which is, in the end, is this going to affect Apple sales?
00:29:50
◼
►
No. It's going to make a bunch of people sad and angry and embarrassed and all of those things.
00:29:54
◼
►
all of those things. But he did say, "Boy, whoever did this, I feel really bad for them
00:30:00
◼
►
because this is the kind of thing where..." I think he even said, "This is the kind of
00:30:04
◼
►
thing where you get taken out behind the shed and shot." It's just this is an executable
00:30:10
◼
►
offense. It was almost certainly a mistake, but it's also probably a mistake that was,
00:30:16
◼
►
"Put this in here before you do this," and they didn't do that. So then all this data
00:30:22
◼
►
gets leaked because it's not just that the firmware got posted, it's also that all the
00:30:26
◼
►
stuff that's supposed to be hidden was not hidden in the firmware build. So yeah, yeah,
00:30:34
◼
►
it's tough with all the security and secrecy stuff that Apple's been doing that in the
00:30:38
◼
►
end they, you know, they released this firmware blob that gives away just huge amounts of
00:30:45
◼
►
information and the more you look at it, the more you glean from it apparently.
00:30:48
◼
►
Yeah, I wanted to just call reference to a couple of, like just a trio of things that
00:30:54
◼
►
have come out since that I thought were kind of interesting.
00:30:57
◼
►
So these are all in reference to the next iPhone, so some stuff that will come to iOS
00:31:02
◼
►
11 post the next iPhone release.
00:31:05
◼
►
There are references made to something called attention detection, which could potentially,
00:31:12
◼
►
what people are theorizing that by looking at some of this code, that the phone could
00:31:16
◼
►
know if you're looking at it and make changes based upon that. One of them being something
00:31:20
◼
►
like silencing notifications. So not making notification noises if you're looking at your
00:31:25
◼
►
phone because it knows you can see the banners. So that's really interesting. There are references
00:31:31
◼
►
to many references to many many many facial expressions that the system should be able
00:31:37
◼
►
to detect. I have no idea what that could mean but right like if you think about it
00:31:42
◼
►
the photo stuff should be helping them understand if I'm smiling and if I'm sad and that kind
00:31:48
◼
►
of stuff and there is code that references all of these facial expressions. I don't know
00:31:53
◼
►
what they would do with that honestly, I have no idea but that's there, that's the thing.
00:31:59
◼
►
And also the ability to double tap on the home screen to wake the screen. Now this is
00:32:05
◼
►
interesting to me because I can't work out why they would add this. Now my thinking would
00:32:10
◼
►
be that maybe because there's no button to press to wake the screen, like you know if
00:32:15
◼
►
your phone's on the desk right now, you can just press the button and wake the screen
00:32:19
◼
►
up, you know, if you just want to wake the screen up. But you can't do that if there's
00:32:24
◼
►
no button, right? So just double tapping anywhere on the screen will wake the phone, which I
00:32:29
◼
►
would quite like actually.
00:32:30
◼
►
Yeah, if it knows that you're there and it recognizes you, you just tap and it opens,
00:32:35
◼
►
or double tap and it opens. That's very interesting. The faces I have a couple dumb
00:32:40
◼
►
dumb theories which is if it knows what your expression is that it might first off it might
00:32:45
◼
►
actually change like an icon which is a silly thing but it's like if you're smiling it's
00:32:51
◼
►
the icon smiles and if you're not smiling it doesn't smile i also thought about some
00:32:55
◼
►
messages feature where like you can send an emoji and it's whatever your current facial
00:33:00
◼
►
expression is if they could find that somehow to work that would be beautifully stupid right
00:33:06
◼
►
Like it would just be so brilliant and so dumb, but like a great thing to show someone.
00:33:11
◼
►
It would be a great demo.
00:33:13
◼
►
Yeah, exactly.
00:33:15
◼
►
And that sounds like something Apple would do.
00:33:18
◼
►
That's a real-- I actually like the Emoji One a lot.
00:33:22
◼
►
I can see that being an iMessage app, you know, that they make.
00:33:26
◼
►
I actually think that-- I don't think anyone really use it, but it's-- or at least any
00:33:31
◼
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more than-- what is that called?
00:33:34
◼
►
the digital touch.
00:33:39
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But it would at least be funny.
00:33:40
◼
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And as Joe says, what is the facial expression for a frowning pile of poo?
00:33:44
◼
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Nobody knows.
00:33:45
◼
►
We'll find out, maybe, come September.
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Today's show is also brought to you by our friends over at FreshBooks.
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00:35:29
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Q3 results time, Jason.
00:35:31
◼
►
It's results time.
00:35:32
◼
►
- Oh boy, get out your charts.
00:35:34
◼
►
- Everybody get your charts ready.
00:35:35
◼
►
Okay, I'm gonna give a quick,
00:35:37
◼
►
I'm gonna give some numbers
00:35:38
◼
►
and some statistics breakdowns now,
00:35:40
◼
►
in case anybody wasn't following along last week.
00:35:43
◼
►
So Apple reported in Q3 2017,
00:35:47
◼
►
$45.4 billion in revenue,
00:35:50
◼
►
which is up from $42.4 billion year on year.
00:35:54
◼
►
So an increase from Q3 2016 to Q3 2017
00:35:58
◼
►
for $3 billion. They're forecasting their Q4 revenue guidance between $49 billion to
00:36:05
◼
►
$52 billion. So it's somewhere between $49 and $52. There's a lot of money, Q4 2016,
00:36:13
◼
►
Apple brought in $46.9. So they're probably around going to, I mean looking at where they're
00:36:19
◼
►
forecasting they're probably going to be around the $50 mark, which is a lot of money. I expect
00:36:24
◼
►
that they're thinking the next iPhone's gonna get off
00:36:26
◼
►
to a real strong start.
00:36:28
◼
►
Now, Q4 obviously does not include the holiday season.
00:36:33
◼
►
That's all the Q1 stuff, right?
00:36:34
◼
►
That, am I following that correctly?
00:36:36
◼
►
So Q1 is the holiday season results.
00:36:39
◼
►
But Q4 would include the next iPhone release.
00:36:43
◼
►
So it looks like Apple's thinking
00:36:46
◼
►
that they've got a hit on their hands.
00:36:48
◼
►
I guess that's what we would assume
00:36:49
◼
►
from looking at this forecasting guidance, right?
00:36:52
◼
►
Yeah, I think it implies that the first, you know, week or weekend or week and a half,
00:37:04
◼
►
it really depends on where the new iPhones come out, but that there's some burst of iPhone
00:37:09
◼
►
sales that will happen in this quarter.
00:37:12
◼
►
I think this quarter ends like, I think this quarter ends maybe the 24th of September,
00:37:21
◼
►
something like that. I'm trying to do some quick calculations here. So I think that's
00:37:28
◼
►
right. Maybe it ends the 30th of September. Maybe it is straight up July, August, September.
00:37:36
◼
►
It depends on when the--because the quarter isn't clear month by month, it's a set of
00:37:42
◼
►
weeks. But yeah, if this is a 12-week quarter for these months, that's--yeah, that's about
00:37:50
◼
►
right. So yeah, Apple's basically saying in that first week or two, they're going to see enough
00:37:56
◼
►
iPhone sales to book that they have to roll those into their guidance. And so their guidance is up
00:38:01
◼
►
from what they said their guidance was. And as we've talked about before, when you're confused
00:38:05
◼
►
about what Apple stock is doing, it's because anticipation of the future is already built into
00:38:10
◼
►
the current price of the Apple stock. So when Apple posts guidance for next quarter, that's
00:38:16
◼
►
higher than Wall Street expected, then the stock goes up because Apple's basically said,
00:38:24
◼
►
"You undervalued us. We're actually worth more than you even thought next quarter."
00:38:28
◼
►
And so then everything rises with that. And Apple tends to be fairly conservative on that,
00:38:31
◼
►
although lately they've been more kind of just accurate about it. And so they're definitely
00:38:37
◼
►
saying they're going to be up quarter over quarter from year on year from last year as
00:38:42
◼
►
well as quarter over quarter, and that they're going to be probably, you know, probably above
00:38:47
◼
►
or at 50 billion.
00:38:50
◼
►
So as you would probably expect, iPhone, Mac, and services sales were all up, but most notably,
00:38:59
◼
►
I think, iPad sales were up as well. It's finally happened. iPad sales are up year on
00:39:07
◼
►
Yeah, I had that thought when that came out, like, "What are we seeing here?"
00:39:13
◼
►
And it, you know, maybe it's just one quarter, who knows what will happen next quarter?
00:39:18
◼
►
So I don't want to be premature and say, "Alright, it's turned it around."
00:39:22
◼
►
But this is literally the first time sales units have gone up year over year in a quarter for three years.
00:39:33
◼
►
So even if it is, let's just jump ahead for a moment and we'll try and dig into why we
00:39:38
◼
►
think this has happened. But even if this is just a one-time thing, what it's done is
00:39:44
◼
►
prove that it can be done. And that is pretty important, I think. What Apple have done here
00:39:53
◼
►
is prove that year on year, they can make an effect. So I think that this is something
00:40:00
◼
►
that they really need, right? Like these iPad sales going up, that is really important. Like,
00:40:07
◼
►
that is a very important thing. Yeah, I think, maybe. I mean, what it seems to me is that the,
00:40:13
◼
►
um, in this, there's an education cycle going on here where education is selling and they said that
00:40:19
◼
►
Apple education sales in the US were up a lot. Um, the low cost fifth generation iPad seems to
00:40:25
◼
►
have driven a lot of sales. Average selling price of the iPad is down, which
00:40:30
◼
►
means that more of the mix of iPad sold was the fifth-generation iPad, the cheap
00:40:37
◼
►
iPad, and not the new iPad Pros as much that came out. But in the end, you know, in
00:40:44
◼
►
the end it's more iPad sold and if you're wondering whether the iPad is
00:40:49
◼
►
just going to keep declining or whether it's going to flatten out or turn around,
00:40:53
◼
►
And this is the first sign of reversing the downward trend really in three years.
00:41:04
◼
►
So there were 11.4 million iPads sold, which is up from 10 million from the Q3 previous,
00:41:13
◼
►
with revenue up 1.9% at 4.87 billion.
00:41:20
◼
►
This is ending, as we mentioned, the 13 quarter sales decline.
00:41:23
◼
►
So as you pointed out, right, like that even though units were up, the average sales price
00:41:29
◼
►
decreased so it would probably indicate that sales of the $329 iPad have been doing really
00:41:37
◼
►
well and that maybe this is the product that turned the tide, not the pro models.
00:41:44
◼
►
And this jives with feedback that we were getting earlier this year when, remember when
00:41:51
◼
►
I went on my tear about iPad sales numbers for a couple of weeks. Well we were getting
00:41:58
◼
►
lots of people from schools and school districts writing in to say that they were waiting for
00:42:03
◼
►
a revision for the non-pro iPad line because they didn't want an iPad Pro. It was too expensive
00:42:08
◼
►
and they didn't have features they wouldn't need. They wanted a new Air and that's what
00:42:12
◼
►
Apple gave them in this past quarter. So it could be that this is part of that, right?
00:42:17
◼
►
that there's been a lot of people waiting for this product.
00:42:20
◼
►
But again, like, I don't, for me personally,
00:42:24
◼
►
like, I don't think it matters what it was,
00:42:27
◼
►
just the fact that it happened.
00:42:30
◼
►
Because it happening means there are ways to do this,
00:42:35
◼
►
that there are ways to have the growth curve change.
00:42:40
◼
►
So Apple need to focus on what those will be, right?
00:42:43
◼
►
Like, I think about the Mac line,
00:42:46
◼
►
because I think it's closest to compare the Mac and the iPad lines together.
00:42:51
◼
►
And I'm sure, right, you know, again, we've seen this, we've heard the arguments that
00:42:57
◼
►
Apple posed at the roundtable about the Pro thing.
00:43:01
◼
►
The Pro line does not take up the majority of Mac sales.
00:43:07
◼
►
But the Pro line is where a lot of the work is going on.
00:43:09
◼
►
It's where a lot of the advancement is going on.
00:43:11
◼
►
the sales of a cheaper model, the sales of the more regular consumer models, they help
00:43:17
◼
►
prop up the development of the entire product line, allowing the pro line, so the pro desktops
00:43:22
◼
►
and therefore the pro iPads, to continue pushing the product forward and then the advancements
00:43:29
◼
►
can trickle down to the rest of the line. So you see improvement on the top end which
00:43:33
◼
►
can trickle down to the lower end products. If the iPad can work this way, that's fantastic,
00:43:39
◼
►
Like this is what it needs to do.
00:43:42
◼
►
Well, it needs to show signs of life, that's for sure, right?
00:43:47
◼
►
And if this is the way that it works, if this is the ecosystem for it, I think that's
00:43:52
◼
►
fine, right?
00:43:53
◼
►
The idea that the iPad is going to have a volume seller that is down a lot lower and
00:44:00
◼
►
some less volume but really awesome sellers at the high end than the iPad Pro, I agree,
00:44:08
◼
►
fine, that's fine. And it seems like Apple, this has been Apple's strategy all along,
00:44:12
◼
►
is we're going to split the line and we're going to push part of it up and the other
00:44:16
◼
►
part down. And how is that working? And the answer is now the iPad is simultaneously cheaper
00:44:23
◼
►
and more powerful, depending on which one you want. And it worked this time. Let's see
00:44:30
◼
►
how it keeps working, right? Is there going to be an upswing here or is this more about
00:44:35
◼
►
kind of finding a new level that-- keeping in mind that if the iPad were to grow slightly,
00:44:40
◼
►
it would be the size of the Mac in terms of revenue. So, you know, maybe that's fine.
00:44:48
◼
►
Like maybe that's the level, but as long as it was going down, we didn't know. So that's
00:44:53
◼
►
the thing that I take from it that I think you take from it too is this is a sign that
00:44:57
◼
►
we're going to get an answer about what an iPad business looks like that we maybe didn't
00:45:02
◼
►
know before because we were like, are they just going to keep selling fewer of them until
00:45:05
◼
►
they're none? Or where does it stop? What's the size of this market? How do we start to
00:45:11
◼
►
understand what the iPad market is? And now maybe we can.
00:45:15
◼
►
And also, you know, as a part of it for me, which is, I mean, this is obvious, this is
00:45:19
◼
►
clear, this is how it should be, but the fact that they have been able to make this change
00:45:24
◼
►
shows to me that Apple understands how to do it, right? They've worked it out. Like,
00:45:28
◼
►
somebody had a thought that they were like, "Oh, what we should do is also make a cheap
00:45:33
◼
►
9-inch iPad, which is going to take a regression in some ways so we can bring the price down.
00:45:40
◼
►
Why do we do this? Because we think it might help us sell more iPads in general." And they
00:45:43
◼
►
did it and it worked. Right, like somebody had that idea and was able to convince whoever
00:45:49
◼
►
was needed to be convinced that this was the thing that had to happen, which is just another
00:45:54
◼
►
thing as an iPad user which makes me happy because it proves that they're willing to
00:45:59
◼
►
try something rather than just be like "No, we're going to keep doing what we've been
00:46:04
◼
►
doing for the last four years and just hope that it will work." That's what we're going
00:46:09
◼
►
Sure, it'll work out.
00:46:12
◼
►
And that's not what they did and it's changed. And you know, we've also got these fantastic
00:46:16
◼
►
new iPads as well which I'm sure have helped, right? I can't imagine that it didn't help.
00:46:20
◼
►
I'm sure that they helped, but then it's been bolstered by this other stuff.
00:46:24
◼
►
And I'm wondering, Jason, do you think that iOS 11 will help?
00:46:33
◼
►
I think that although we can all, as nerds, get excited about what iOS 11 has in terms
00:46:38
◼
►
of transforming the iPad and making especially the iPad Pro amazing and way better than it's
00:46:43
◼
►
been, you know, regular people, Apple needs to give that message to regular people once
00:46:49
◼
►
it's got it in hand, which means that once iOS 11 ships in the fall, thus kicking off
00:46:55
◼
►
the fall and holiday sales period, they're going to be able to use iOS 11 as part of
00:47:01
◼
►
that message and I think it will be effective.
00:47:03
◼
►
I think that will be helpful because I don't think iPad sales moved this past quarter because
00:47:09
◼
►
of iOS 11 being in the offing, right?
00:47:11
◼
►
I don't think that consumer markets work like that.
00:47:13
◼
►
Wall Street might work like that where they've been on the future, but you know, outside
00:47:17
◼
►
of our circles where there are betas being passed around, right, by, you know,
00:47:22
◼
►
public betas and developer betas and all of that. Outside of this circle, iOS 11 is
00:47:27
◼
►
just kind of a promise. It's an IOU right now. When it's real, it could make a real
00:47:31
◼
►
difference. I mean, in some ways it's still an IOU to us because there are
00:47:36
◼
►
features we can't use yet, features that are probably going to change a lot of the
00:47:39
◼
►
way that we work for a lot of good reasons. Like drag and drop and files,
00:47:43
◼
►
probably the two biggest parts of iOS 11, we can't really use everywhere and...
00:47:49
◼
►
Right, because the apps haven't been updated to support them yet and that'll come this fall.
00:47:54
◼
►
So even then, like, there's gonna be more and more of it and my hope is that there is
00:47:58
◼
►
gonna be a really strong marketing campaign around the iPad Pro at that point because
00:48:04
◼
►
the holiday season's coming and the holiday season could see movement in the Pro market
00:48:09
◼
►
but there could also be movement even further in this $329 iPad
00:48:14
◼
►
because it's going to be able to do a lot of this stuff, right? It'd be able to do basically all of it, I think.
00:48:18
◼
►
It just doesn't have a keyboard, but it's going to be able to do all the multitasking,
00:48:22
◼
►
it's going to have the dock and all that sort of stuff, right? Like it's not being left behind.
00:48:26
◼
►
So I think that there is a strong case
00:48:30
◼
►
to be made for the Q4 results as well. Now I'm trying to let myself get
00:48:36
◼
►
get ahead of myself, right? Like, right now I'm just trying to focus on the fact that
00:48:41
◼
►
finally I don't have to live in fear of the results every time because it's provable
00:48:48
◼
►
that this will end. You know, this is what we always spoke about every single time. This
00:48:52
◼
►
will end at some point and it's ended. And it's actually ended with an increase. It's
00:48:57
◼
►
not ended with a complete stall, right? Like it's just been declined, declined, declined.
00:49:03
◼
►
I always thought it was just going to level out, but it's actually gone up a little
00:49:06
◼
►
bit, which is, I think, is very positive news. So I'm feeling like Tim, I'm feeling
00:49:13
◼
►
bullish right now. They didn't say that this time, did they?
00:49:18
◼
►
Nobody asked him anything about the iPad because the numbers were good, and he didn't feel
00:49:22
◼
►
the need to offer other than, you know, he said it did well here and it did well here.
00:49:26
◼
►
But there was no, basically once your numbers go up, they stop asking, you know, and he
00:49:31
◼
►
stops offering like, "No, no, it's going to be fine," because the numbers were fine.
00:49:34
◼
►
So everybody's like, "All right, good, great, let's move on." And so he didn't have to give
00:49:39
◼
►
the iPad another vote of approval, feeling good about it, think it's going to be great
00:49:43
◼
►
in the end. He didn't have to do that this time.
00:49:46
◼
►
And he did cite that as well, the US education market did play into this, right, which I
00:49:51
◼
►
think lends the idea of the 329, just reaffirms that, but also said that Apple saw iPad growth
00:49:57
◼
►
in China and Japan with more than half of these users being new to iPad. That's always
00:50:03
◼
►
Yeah, that is a sign. One of the challenges is what's the market for this and are new
00:50:09
◼
►
people coming into this market? Is there room for growth, not just selling new models to
00:50:14
◼
►
people who have old models, but actual growth in the market? And they saw that in China
00:50:20
◼
►
So outside of this iPad stuff, was there anything else in the earnings call that interested
00:50:26
◼
►
you, was there any things that Tim was saying or any questions that were being thrown that
00:50:29
◼
►
really kind of piqued your interest?
00:50:31
◼
►
Well, you know, Tim is excited about augmented reality and keeps on talking about it, which
00:50:39
◼
►
is great. He's very excited. He's not downplaying it, right? He's not trying to say, "You know,
00:50:45
◼
►
we'll see how it goes." He's very much like, "It's going to be huge. iOS 11 is going to
00:50:52
◼
►
make Apple the world's biggest augmented reality platform when it ships. He thinks it's big
00:50:58
◼
►
and profound and one of those huge things he said that we'll look back at and marvel
00:51:02
◼
►
at the start of it. So he is all the way in on the AR hype and I think that's interesting.
00:51:09
◼
►
We got an Apple Watch check-in because remember they don't actually reveal results of the
00:51:13
◼
►
Apple Watch but they did say that sales were up 50% presumably over the year ago quarter.
00:51:18
◼
►
That also means it was probably not like the record that they set earlier, but it is, you
00:51:24
◼
►
know, the top selling smartwatch in the world by a very wide margin, and then we make our
00:51:28
◼
►
guesses about what that might actually mean.
00:51:32
◼
►
The other two things that I think he mentioned that were worth at least citing, he's been
00:51:38
◼
►
trying to, he's been asked several times about whether the statement by the President of
00:51:43
◼
►
United States that Apple's making three big beautiful plants in the US was true and he
00:51:49
◼
►
keeps trying to kind of like turn those around and say well let me explain we're investing
00:51:52
◼
►
in in US manufacturing and we have a billion dollar fund and we already spent 200 billion
00:51:57
◼
►
or 200 we have a billion dollar fund and we spent 200 million in Kentucky on Corning their
00:52:02
◼
►
glass factory and we'll make some other investments and basically doesn't want to answer this
00:52:07
◼
►
question about the statement about three big plants because it sounds like that was a misunderstanding
00:52:11
◼
►
but he's not going to say, "President doesn't know what he's talking about." So instead
00:52:15
◼
►
he's like, "Look, I think this is where this is coming from. We are making investments
00:52:19
◼
►
in US manufacturing and that's all we're going to say."
00:52:26
◼
►
It's just three really big trees in Apple Park.
00:52:29
◼
►
It's just in his office. It's three ficuses.
00:52:31
◼
►
Three huge plants.
00:52:32
◼
►
Beautiful in Tim's office. That's totally what it is. And then the last thing I wanted
00:52:36
◼
►
to mention about the about the analyst call because I thought that I could transcribe
00:52:40
◼
►
it again is there was a an analyst who actually there's always one who says should we believe
00:52:51
◼
►
blogs and component suppliers about the possible delays of the new iPhone given that you're
00:52:58
◼
►
forecasting your revenue so strongly for next quarter to which Tim Cook said we have no
00:53:03
◼
►
comment on anything that's not announced and the analyst replied, "Fair enough, I thought
00:53:10
◼
►
it was worth a shot." And then, seriously, when he says that, the entire room in Cupertino
00:53:16
◼
►
just starts laughing for a few, for like five seconds.
00:53:19
◼
►
Oh really? That's amazing.
00:53:20
◼
►
Yeah, oh yeah. "I figured it's worth a shot," he said, and then there was lots of laughter
00:53:24
◼
►
and then they moved on to the next question. It was pretty funny, but like, they, they,
00:53:28
◼
►
there's always one, somebody's gonna give it a shot.
00:53:30
◼
►
Someone has to ask it. At least they're self-aware, right? That they know that they're never gonna get the answer.
00:53:36
◼
►
But you've got to ask.
00:53:38
◼
►
They're never gonna get the answer. I liked how he phrased it.
00:53:41
◼
►
I like how he phrased it as like, "Well, we're looking at your guidance, so what does that say?"
00:53:45
◼
►
And then he's trying to negate it like, "That certainly doesn't seem like you think that there are gonna be delays."
00:53:51
◼
►
And they're like, "Yeah, nice try."
00:53:52
◼
►
Yeah. You got so close. Good work.
00:53:56
◼
►
Wasn't there some kind of reference to the HomePod thing as well? Didn't it make some
00:53:59
◼
►
kind of joke about it?
00:54:00
◼
►
I don't know.
00:54:01
◼
►
I might have just read somebody making a Twitter joke by themselves. You know what these things
00:54:08
◼
►
could be like if you're not following along. Well you don't because you have to listen
00:54:10
◼
►
to everything. But there's lots of jokey-mo-jokes during these types of situations.
00:54:14
◼
►
There are. It's true.
00:54:15
◼
►
So I may have misread something. So I'm really happy about these numbers.
00:54:22
◼
►
It's just a sigh of relief really.
00:54:24
◼
►
It's just, you know, look, me and you
00:54:27
◼
►
and a few other people, many other people,
00:54:29
◼
►
we try and do our best to tell the story of the iPad
00:54:32
◼
►
because we believe in the product, right?
00:54:34
◼
►
But it can be really hard that every time we talk about it,
00:54:37
◼
►
people just like, "Wow, but none of them are selling."
00:54:39
◼
►
It's just a difficult thing to have to deal with, right?
00:54:44
◼
►
Because it's undermining every point that I make
00:54:48
◼
►
because Apple aren't selling them.
00:54:50
◼
►
Well, they are again, and that's good news I think.
00:54:53
◼
►
- Definitely.
00:54:54
◼
►
- All right, today's show is also brought to you
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Alright Jason it is time for a USA version of #AskUpgrade.
00:56:33
◼
►
So this probably would mean fireworks this time, right?
00:56:36
◼
►
Rather than lasers?
00:56:37
◼
►
Yep, that's right.
00:56:38
◼
►
Chomp, chomp, chomp, chomp, chomp.
00:56:41
◼
►
Those fireworks sounded specific, like kind of suspiciously laser-like, but we don't have
00:56:45
◼
►
to worry about that.
00:56:46
◼
►
The lasers ignited the fireworks, you missed that nuance there.
00:56:50
◼
►
To start off with Frank today who asked if we think that iMessage syncing could bring
00:56:54
◼
►
iMessage to iCloud.com.
00:56:56
◼
►
So, couple of things on this.
00:56:58
◼
►
iMessage syncing is where Apple is storing iMessages
00:57:02
◼
►
in the cloud and will be delivering them
00:57:05
◼
►
to all of your devices.
00:57:06
◼
►
It keeps kind of everything in check,
00:57:07
◼
►
stops the reordering and all of the random stuff.
00:57:09
◼
►
I don't know if you ever get this,
00:57:11
◼
►
but like if I open a computer I haven't seen in a while,
00:57:14
◼
►
they all download one by one
00:57:15
◼
►
and they're all in really weird orders and stuff like that.
00:57:17
◼
►
- Yep, terrible.
00:57:18
◼
►
- This tool, this feature is being made
00:57:22
◼
►
to stop some of this and to help some of this.
00:57:24
◼
►
However, I will also mention that iOS 11 Beta 5 came out today and in the release notes
00:57:30
◼
►
they mentioned that this feature is going to, has been removed and will be added later.
00:57:35
◼
►
This isn't the first time I've done this.
00:57:37
◼
►
This happens.
00:57:38
◼
►
It might come in 1.1, sorry 11.1 or something like that.
00:57:44
◼
►
They just, I assume feel like they haven't got this right.
00:57:46
◼
►
This does seem like an incredibly tricky thing to do correctly and to do safely and securely.
00:57:50
◼
►
So I guess they're just holding until they get all the bugs worked out.
00:57:53
◼
►
Right, I mean imagine iOS 11 launching and every single iPhone user and iPad user basically
00:57:59
◼
►
at that moment is suddenly using a brand new cloud service which means they're hitting
00:58:03
◼
►
Apple servers and if they don't have that down cold, right, everybody's going to complain
00:58:11
◼
►
and the whole story of the iOS 11 update is going to be that all of their message histories
00:58:15
◼
►
got messed up.
00:58:17
◼
►
So I'm going to give them some credit here.
00:58:19
◼
►
At some point, somebody said, "Nope, we're not going to ship it.
00:58:23
◼
►
We'll ship it with 11.1, 11.0.1," whatever it is.
00:58:27
◼
►
We'll ship it in October, November, December, whatever, but not at launch because we need
00:58:34
◼
►
to get it right.
00:58:36
◼
►
Good for them.
00:58:37
◼
►
Yeah, I was thinking about this.
00:58:39
◼
►
I wonder if they did anything to try and test under the conditions of what happens when
00:58:44
◼
►
new iPhones are sold, right, and what happens to Apple servers.
00:58:48
◼
►
were like, "Oh, well if this happens, iMessage is really dead, like super dead, so why don't
00:58:53
◼
►
we just try and stagger all this out a little bit, you know, like let's just chill everything
00:58:56
◼
►
down." But back to Frank's question, do we think that this iMessage syncing could bring
00:59:01
◼
►
iMessage to the web, iCloud.com? I don't think they're going to do that. I don't think that's
00:59:06
◼
►
what they will want to do.
00:59:08
◼
►
It looks like Frank said could, and I will say, "Yeah, sure, it could." Like, I'm unclear
00:59:13
◼
►
on what Apple is prioritizing in terms of what goes on iCloud.com, but once it's up
00:59:21
◼
►
there and you put in your password so that you can decrypt your data, which is what happens
00:59:26
◼
►
when you're on iCloud.com, it could, but I'm not sure whether I can see the use case that
00:59:34
◼
►
would make them prioritize that.
00:59:37
◼
►
Do you think that in that scenario could the same question be made for like an Android
00:59:42
◼
►
app? Would that become more possible with this?
00:59:48
◼
►
I don't know. I guess. I mean, I think it makes bringing iMessage anywhere now that
00:59:55
◼
►
there's a canonical cloud record of the entire library. I think it could. But I think the
01:00:05
◼
►
goal here is to free up space on devices, right? I think the goal here is to get things
01:00:11
◼
►
into order so that you don't have weird things where your devices are out of sync and to
01:00:16
◼
►
have the ability to mark that stuff as purgeable because it's stored in the cloud so that you
01:00:21
◼
►
don't have, because what happens is people have years of iMessage history sitting on
01:00:25
◼
►
their devices and if you can sync that to the cloud that means that once it's in the
01:00:29
◼
►
cloud you can delete it from the devices which is helpful. So I think those are the reasons.
01:00:33
◼
►
Yeah I haven't done this yet but I was digging around the storage settings before the trip
01:00:38
◼
►
on beta 4 and there's this the the you know where you go into about you go into
01:00:43
◼
►
storage and usage
01:00:44
◼
►
um that whole screen is really fantastically designed
01:00:47
◼
►
now it's it's really nicely broken out one of them was just like hey you can
01:00:52
◼
►
bytes of data back if you let us delete these messages from your device but it was
01:00:56
◼
►
saved in the cloud
01:00:57
◼
►
I was like that's really good as soon as this becomes an official
01:01:00
◼
►
supported feature like as soon as it's released I'm gonna do that because
01:01:04
◼
►
they'll be there I'll trust that they'll be there and I'll get them if I need them
01:01:07
◼
►
you know, it's all like the attachments and stuff of years and years and years and years
01:01:11
◼
►
of messages. But that screen is good now, like it says like, "Hey, why don't you delete
01:01:15
◼
►
some of these iTunes movies you've watched?" And it's really nicely designed screen now,
01:01:19
◼
►
rather than just being a list of apps. And then it has all the app offloading and all
01:01:23
◼
►
that sort of stuff as opposed to deleting. There's a lot of really interesting stuff
01:01:26
◼
►
in there now, which I think is kind of cool. Okay, Panagiotis asked, "Is the need to run
01:01:33
◼
►
Windows in Parallels on a Mac a reason enough to stay away from the 12-inch
01:01:38
◼
►
MacBook that seems pretty demanding is that demanding I feel like that would be
01:01:42
◼
►
a pretty demanding thing well you know it's running on the Intel processor so
01:01:49
◼
►
it could do it I feel like the bigger issues with running Parallels or any VM
01:01:55
◼
►
on a device on a Mac is RAM and storage because you got to have enough memory to
01:02:03
◼
►
hold the PC memory in memory which is a lot and you've got to have storage for a
01:02:10
◼
►
PC hard drive image and have you done you know have you maxed out your MacBook
01:02:17
◼
►
at that point the process is going to be a little bit slower but yeah I don't
01:02:22
◼
►
know um parallels and VMware stuff work okay on slower processors I was able to
01:02:28
◼
►
use them with, you know, my MacBook Air, in fact. So it's pushing it, but I think the
01:02:35
◼
►
bigger issue is not going to be the processor being pokey. I think you got RAM and storage
01:02:39
◼
►
issues you have to deal with too. So that's the thing is if you undervalue any of those
01:02:45
◼
►
things or especially if you undervalue all of those things, you will run out of speed
01:02:49
◼
►
and it will get slower. Or you won't have space to install Windows on your drive, which
01:02:54
◼
►
can also happen.
01:02:56
◼
►
Andrew asked, "What is the over-under on an iTunes overhaul this fall?"
01:03:04
◼
►
Well we haven't seen it in any of the discussion of High Sierra, so I have to say I don't
01:03:11
◼
►
see how they would do it if not.
01:03:13
◼
►
Like, I'm starting to think, I don't think this is going to happen.
01:03:18
◼
►
Because at least I don't think it's happening any sooner.
01:03:22
◼
►
I don't think and because people are pointing to like the the iPod going away
01:03:26
◼
►
It's like oh and it's gonna happen quicker now
01:03:28
◼
►
but I don't think that that is really meaning that like the iPod touch still needs iTunes like and
01:03:34
◼
►
Apple would still want to give people the way to do this stuff of older iPods
01:03:38
◼
►
I don't think that this is something that is imminent
01:03:41
◼
►
I feel like iTunes has still got a lot of life left in it yet
01:03:45
◼
►
And we won't see an iTunes overhaul in my opinion until there's already an Apple music app
01:03:50
◼
►
I don't think that this is like a one and done like pulling the tablecloth out from underneath the table like I
01:03:57
◼
►
Feel like the Apple music will appear on the Mac and iTunes will still live for a while and then they'll slowly
01:04:03
◼
►
Kind of put some more component pieces in but I don't but definitely not seeing it in 2017. I would say
01:04:10
◼
►
Maybe 2018 we see like Apple music on the Mac or something and then starts to move on from there, but I
01:04:16
◼
►
Really don't think that this is an imminent thing
01:04:19
◼
►
anymore. I just I feel like they would have announced it if they were doing it
01:04:24
◼
►
this fall. Yeah I agree with you. Yeah. Hi Sierra because this is a this is this
01:04:28
◼
►
strikes me as being an OS feature. Hi Sierra. This strikes me as being an OS
01:04:33
◼
►
feature so the fact that they didn't announcement didn't announce it at WWDC
01:04:38
◼
►
that was the moment where I thought oh okay not gonna happen this year moving
01:04:42
◼
►
on doesn't mean they couldn't do it along the way they did photos right in
01:04:46
◼
►
the spring and had that be in an OS update that came out in the spring, photos appeared.
01:04:53
◼
►
But, I don't know. I think we've seen their story for the Mac, and I would be surprised
01:05:01
◼
►
if they kept something like that hidden and then dropped it in the fall. It could happen,
01:05:06
◼
►
but it goes against everything in their playbook about the Mac.
01:05:13
◼
►
James wanted to know how many apps can be placed in the dock on iOS 11 and I looked
01:05:19
◼
►
into this. It is 13 apps plus the three recent apps on the 10.5 and 9.7 and it is 15 apps
01:05:29
◼
►
plus the three recent apps on the 12.9. So the three recent apps is like three apps on
01:05:34
◼
►
the right hand side, like three apps you've recently used so you can just quickly access
01:05:38
◼
►
them again. So it's slightly different between the two sizes but it's still quite a lot in
01:05:43
◼
►
in there. And of course you can put folders in there too. So you can have everything if
01:05:49
◼
►
you want, but you can put folders in there. Do you have any folders in your doc as it
01:05:54
◼
►
is right now? I have one where it just has like Google Docs stuff and things like that.
01:05:58
◼
►
No, no. I tried it and I hated it. Honestly, I hated having the folder there and I hated
01:06:04
◼
►
the extra step of having to open it up in order to get the apps in there. And I'm also,
01:06:09
◼
►
I've heard Fraser and Federico talk about the issues with, you know, multitasking and
01:06:14
◼
►
how things have to be in the dock.
01:06:15
◼
►
I don't have apps, I don't have so many apps that I use occasionally in split-screen multitasking
01:06:24
◼
►
that I can't put them in the dock, which I know they do, but like I don't, I have on
01:06:29
◼
►
the 12.9, I've got 15 apps there, I don't have 15 apps in my dock because I just don't.
01:06:35
◼
►
And I don't want to put a folder in there, even for organizational purposes, because
01:06:39
◼
►
it's an extra tap then every single time I want to bring up that
01:06:42
◼
►
that app so I don't. Josh asked should Apple consider an iPad upgrade program
01:06:49
◼
►
mimicking what Microsoft is now doing with Surface?
01:06:52
◼
►
So a week or two ago Microsoft announced that there is a
01:06:57
◼
►
a new Surface program in which you can sign up and you'll get a new Surface
01:07:03
◼
►
every year like it's called Surface Plus and Surface Plus for business
01:07:08
◼
►
and you're effectively on a 24 month contract, but after the 18 month point has passed you can
01:07:16
◼
►
return the previous contracts and sign up again and get a new Surface device. So I was thinking
01:07:22
◼
►
about this, like this is another way to move iPads right? Like if that's a thing that you want to
01:07:27
◼
►
do, I don't know but I feel like this is maybe a little bit more of a last ditch attempt.
01:07:37
◼
►
I don't know, it's financing is what it is.
01:07:40
◼
►
It's financing.
01:07:42
◼
►
- It's financing and also trying to create a scenario of
01:07:46
◼
►
sort of forced upgrade.
01:07:51
◼
►
It's not quite forced, but like creating an upgrade cycle
01:07:54
◼
►
where there isn't one.
01:07:55
◼
►
Saying you like the latest and greatest
01:07:57
◼
►
so you can just pay us monthly
01:07:58
◼
►
and every 18 months you can get the latest and greatest.
01:08:01
◼
►
I would think that, I don't know,
01:08:04
◼
►
the people who want the latest and greatest
01:08:05
◼
►
are just gonna go out and buy it
01:08:06
◼
►
day that it's available. So we come back to what is this and it's sort of like, well,
01:08:12
◼
►
somebody who wants to pay a flat amount every month not have these occasional large purchases.
01:08:19
◼
►
I can see some value in that. Apple has offered sort of financing programs in the past. Maybe
01:08:25
◼
►
this is the future. Maybe the future is subscription services for our technology. But I don't know.
01:08:31
◼
►
The fact that Apple hasn't done it so far suggests that Apple's not super motivated
01:08:35
◼
►
to do this. I will say cellular carriers do this with iPads now. They will do this with
01:08:44
◼
►
a cellular iPad. They will do this. And I have a friend who is still, who is impatiently
01:08:49
◼
►
waiting for his, I think, T-Mobile iPad payment period to end so that he can get a new iPad.
01:09:00
◼
►
So they are out there.
01:09:03
◼
►
Those are more traditional, like cellular-based reimbursement kind of things.
01:09:10
◼
►
But it's all sort of similar.
01:09:11
◼
►
It's all just a matter of what...
01:09:15
◼
►
As a company, you just want to say, "What can I do to make people give me money?"
01:09:19
◼
►
And if it's offer them a monthly plan where they get to turn in their thing and get a
01:09:24
◼
►
new one every 18 months, great.
01:09:26
◼
►
Let's do that.
01:09:27
◼
►
And if they think that that'll make a big difference, but there's overhead there.
01:09:30
◼
►
I think Apple is so focused on the iPhone, I think maybe the iPad will just take care
01:09:37
◼
►
And finally today, Jeff asked whether the iPad iOS 11 keyboard is coming to the iPhone
01:09:45
◼
►
So I assume that what Jeff is referencing here is the new iPad keyboard, which you can
01:09:52
◼
►
swipe on the keys to access punctuation and additional characters and numbers and stuff
01:09:59
◼
►
So I wanted to just kind of, my thinking on this, I don't think that this is going to
01:10:04
◼
►
come to the iPhone because it's currently different on each iPad.
01:10:08
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So the smaller size gets the swiping keys for all punctuation, so the entire keyboard
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has these little glyphs on it which is every key has another function that you can do if
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you swipe down on it.
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But the 12.9 will only allow you to do this for the number row, you still have to click
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in to a button to bring up these additional keys.
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So my thinking is on the account that they've already decided that this isn't something
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that they need to mimic for both iPads, I don't think that we're going to see it for
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the iPhone either.
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Plus it would really be an iOS 11, so.
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Yeah exactly right.
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I mean technically the iOS 11 keyboard is coming to the iPhone because iPhones run iOS
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11 and the keyboard that's on the iPhone and iOS 11 is the iOS 11 keyboard for the iPhone,
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but yes you're right I think he means the little swipe downy thing and that is, yeah
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Yeah, just on the 9 7 and the 10 5 iPad Pros, they're not even on the, or, and iPads, they're
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not even on the 12 9, sadly. I guess, sadly, I don't know. It's a full screen on the 12
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9, so, full-size keyboard, we're doing good on the 12 9. We don't need it. I don't even
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It is nice to not have to hit the other button, though, right? Like, so you hit a button and
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then you have to hit another button.
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It is, it's really nice. I like it a lot. I think there are a lot, I think there's a
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lot to be said for it. Yeah, it's a pretty cool thing. I think, I don't know, I think
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the ergonomics of the phone and the iPad are so different that going that direction where
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you've got a lot of things that kind of get triggered on pull down, where would you, you
01:11:38
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can't label them, right? Because there's no room on an iPhone keyboard.
01:11:41
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Yeah, yeah, that's a really good point. For that secondary character labeling, so
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then they would be kind of a secret and then if you're just moving fast and you swipe your
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finger a little bit and then you get a weird character and I bet you they mocked something
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up and we're like, "No, forget it. This is not something that will work on the iPhone,
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but we could do it on the iPad."
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I mean, even if you could fit the labels, right, the labels would be so... They'd be
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too small, I think. I think it would end up being pretty small, especially on the smaller
01:12:06
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phones, right? Like, yeah, maybe you could do it on the Plus, right? But like, you can't
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continue to have this weird monster keyboard thing, right? Like on some... It just gets
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too messy. And it really works great on the 105 and the 97 iPads. The only thing I'll
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say on is whilst I really like it I feel like I'm hunting for the punctuation too
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much right like I because obviously the well don't but they don't seem to be in
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cases where I would specifically expect them to be because that's not actually
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how a keyboard works right like the the semicolon is not actually behind the K
01:12:45
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key right on my keyboard so it's like there isn't like a muscle memory that
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I've built up yet. Eventually maybe, but I will say the numbers, I've gotten really used
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to doing it with the numbers and I like that a lot. So that one's pretty sweet. So yeah,
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that's it. I think that it is a good feature, but it requires a little bit more work before
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maybe moving it to other devices if they ever would. I think it would be a bit tricky.
01:13:13
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Alright, so that wraps it up for this week's episode. If you want to find our show notes,
01:13:16
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you can head on over to relay.fm/upgrades/153.
01:13:20
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If you want to find Jason online,
01:13:21
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he's over at sixcolors.com.
01:13:23
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He is at the incomparable.com,
01:13:25
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he's @jsnell on Twitter, J-S-N-E-L-L.
01:13:28
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And I am @imike, I-M-Y-K-E.
01:13:32
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I want to take one moment to thank our sponsors again,
01:13:34
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The Fine Folk at Encapsula, FreshBooks, and Squarespace.
01:13:39
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Will we both be back next time?
01:13:42
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- So I think the way we should put it is,
01:13:44
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now enters a series of special episodes of Upgrade. So we'll have a special episode next
01:13:51
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week that Myke won't be on, a special episode the week after that that Myke will be on with
01:13:56
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special guests, and then there will be, I think the week after that there's another
01:14:00
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episode with a guest star, although that'll be a more normal episode, and then finally
01:14:04
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Myke will be back. So I think you're only on one of the next three.
01:14:09
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So I hope that you'll miss me. But we have some great stuff.
01:14:12
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How could they not?
01:14:13
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some great stuff planned. I'm very excited for the episode that will be coming out on the 21st,
01:14:19
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which is our special with guests. So yeah, look out for that. We've had an idea and the idea
01:14:28
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spiraled out of control into new and amazing things. So there you go, look out for that one.
01:14:35
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Thanks so much for listening. Until next time, say goodbye, Jesus.
01:14:39
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Bye everybody.
01:14:40
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[MUSIC PLAYING]