315: The 2020 September Event Draft
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From relay FM, this is Upgrade, episode 315, and it is the 2020
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September event draft. My name is Myke Hurley.
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I say goodbye to you Summer, until next year.
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You'll be back Summer, we love you. Goodbye Summer. Hello Jason Snell.
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I miss the marching bands, Myke. I miss the real marching bands.
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I only have the virtual marching bands now. It's college football season. I would
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normally be like in a football stadium with marching
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bands and they'd be playing, you know, something that sounds a little
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bit like the Upgrade draft music and it's just not there. But we're here and
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the draft continues. See, because again, 2020 can't stop us. We continue to draft
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things. People wonder when is the Summer of Fun going away? Will the Summer of Fun?
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It's gone away. It just did it right then. That was it. That's it.
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Summer's over. Fun continues. Kind of unexpectedly, I think. So actually I have a hashtag SnellTalk
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question for you, which is were you expecting
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Apple to have their event this week? We said this last time, I thought it was
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more likely that they would have the event on the 22nd and not the 15th.
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A week's notice is a little awkward. It is awkward for us
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especially, which is why we're doing something a little bit different this
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week, which we'll get to in a minute. But I
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think what happened, and this was already kind of in the water when we
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talked last week and then it got stronger and stronger and then
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they made their announcement, is this idea that
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it's not an iPhone event and that the iPhone is coming later because of the
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delays that we did talk about months ago. They said it would be delayed by weeks.
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Luca Maestri, the CFO, said that in their conference call with analysts.
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So on that level, not surprising, I think we expected it would be, you know, push
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the event back two or three weeks and do it then. And Apple seems to have
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decided that they're going to do another event for the iPhone.
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And we were kind of guessing about why this would be.
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And I think the answer is probably that they want to get these other products
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out there and they want to ship iOS 14 and iPadOS 14
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and the new version of watchOS as well and just get it out there.
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And then they will be able to continue and launch new phones later because
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you have to have the new version of iOS before the phone ship, but you don't have
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to have the new version of iOS the moment the phone ship. You could have it
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earlier, which seems to be what they're probably going to do. So anyway,
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you know, with iPhone out of the way then it's sort of like,
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it could be anytime and the answer is it is anytime. It's tomorrow
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as we record this. It's the 15th. So I thought it was possible. I was hoping
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we would, you know, be able to do upgrade and know that it was coming. But
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in this era of Apple virtual events we're just going to have to adapt, Myke.
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And if you are wondering why on earth are they recording today
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when the event is tomorrow as we record this, it's because we are going to be
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doing two episodes of upgrade this week. There was no way we were not going
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to have a draft. Neither Jason or myself could record over the weekend.
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So we were like, you know what, let's draft Monday. We'll do a shorter episode
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and then Tuesday we'll come back and do our usual post
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keynote episode. And there's no way we weren't drafting. So
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it's going to be two episodes. So I would expect most people will be listening to
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this maybe in the morning or in the afternoon depending on what time zone
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you're in before the event, which I think is kind
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of fun if you've got that going on. That's right. And if you're listening after the
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event you get to chuckle at all the mistakes we made,
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which is also fun. And also if you do listen
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after the event, more power to you and I love your support.
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If like you will listen to a draft episode after you already know the
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results, you are a very special upgrade. You can
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get the scorecard out and score along with us since you know the future and we
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don't. All right, in September you can join
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supporters around the world during Childhood Cancer Awareness Month to
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raise money for the kids of St Jude Children's Research Hospital
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where families never receive a bill for anything
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and the families and the children that are involved, the children that have been
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diagnosed with cancer get the very best care
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around. Every single year between 180,000 and 240,000 children are diagnosed with
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cancer worldwide and St Jude's mission is to never stop
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until no child dies from cancer. You can donate today at stjude.org/relay
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to join the fight to end childhood cancer. That is stjude.org/relay to
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donate now. I am so so thrilled and honored and
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pleased to announce that we have now passed over
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$500,000 raised for St Jude in the last two years.
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So we had a goal this year that once we passed it was just under $185,000
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which we have, we will have raised as a community over
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half a million dollars for the children of St Jude. As I record
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today this year's fundraiser is over $190,000
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raised. That's right. I cannot thank you all
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enough for your generosity. We still have a ways
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to go and we still have a lot of stuff planned for you. So this Friday, don't
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forget it's Friday the 18th from 2 to 7 p.m. 2 to 8 p.m.
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It starts at 2 p.m. Eastern Time basically is what you need to know.
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2 to 8 p.m. Thank you Jason. 2 to 8 p.m. Eastern Time at twitch.tv/relayfm
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is going to be the second annual relay FM podcast
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athon for St Jude. We have a lot of wonderful
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stuff planned. Jason's been working very hard
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on a special game show. We may touch on this a little bit more tomorrow but
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don't forget to tune in and please go to stjude.org/relay
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So we kind of covered this a little bit but we only
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have this one week notice so which was kind of fun
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and because of the fact that we've seen lots and lots of media reports for
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this event stating that there will be no iPhones
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we have decided after some deliberation to exclude
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the requirement for iPhone picks from this draft because
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we're doing something a little new this time. We're actually going because we
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believe there's going to be multiple drafts for this season
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we're going to actually do the drafting categories of picks
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so we're going to have three Apple Watch picks
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three iPad picks and then four picks that are free
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and then I think you know depending on what gets announced and what doesn't
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in the event we will then for the second draft we will do a similar
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thing I think for this year and see how this works but this is
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this is maybe something that we will continue because it might add something
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new to the draft but just because things were so
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peculiar we wanted to maybe lock this one up a bit tighter because
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otherwise I think it could have gotten a little bit out of hand
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in certain areas so we're doing three picks of Apple Watch three picks of iPad
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four picks that are free and those four picks that are free
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can include iPhone picks I guess at the pickers
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peril maybe? Yes that's right if you want to be bold and say
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they will announce the iPhone despite all reports to the contrary you can
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but we're not going to waste your time making iPhone picks that we think are
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probably not going to happen. Yeah and so I'll go through the rules but
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one of the rules that we have is about obvious picks that picks can't be too
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obvious and one of the picks that has been removed for obvious
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is to say no iPhones and that's still that's but you know that I would say
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that was in our document and maybe four days ago when we started it I don't
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think it was obvious but now there's been so many reports
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over the weekend and today about the fact that there won't be iPhones
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at this event that it seems unlikely. We may touch on
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this during the episode during the draft
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but I am a little bit perplexed as to why Apple just haven't made it
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incredibly clear before the event that it won't be
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an iPhone related event I think that they could have done that and it would
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have been fine but we'll see how that comes back to
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bite them if at all because I could imagine you know a lot of
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the mainstream press being like Apple announced no iPhones today and that's
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kind of like the the story which I don't think is the
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what they want to uh receive so we'll see how it goes but
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that was an interesting thing for me I mean I they very very clearly could have
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just said come and hear us talk about the Apple
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watch and just like left it at that but we'll see. All right so these are the
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draft rules for this here draft today. We're doing
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10 rounds which is 20 overall picks. The winner of the previous draft gets to
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pick first and that is Jason. We've had one draft this year which Jason
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scored the win on which is the WWDC draft.
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For an item to count it must either be clearly announced on
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stage or on the video in the video right video
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uh either by the person or shown or on a slide
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during the presentation so in those word clouds if they have them during this
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presentation that stuff will count too. But post it on the website in some weird
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corner or set in a in a tweet or whatever like if it's not
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in the video stream as we watch it and yes
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that means like if you freeze frame it and there's a word on the screen that
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counts but like there's always that ancillary stuff that's
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on the associated web pages those don't count.
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Yep exactly. Stephen Hackett will provide adjudication in the case of a
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scoring stalemate between Jason and I but I actually don't remember the last
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time we needed Stephen's help where we couldn't decide but it's good to
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have it there. We've been pretty gentlemanly about it. I would say very sportsman-like.
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No half points can be awarded. Four points only.
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Yes. No points awarded for pre-announced or ridiculously obvious items so if Apple
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announces an Apple Watch between now and tomorrow
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doesn't matter. And in the case of a tie we have a tiebreaker question and as the
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loser I get to pick the tiebreaker my
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answer to the tiebreaker. Now you may be saying to yourself boy
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that's a lot of rules. If you think that I recommend you go
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listen to last week's episode of Connected
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in which you guys decided to pick up the excitement of having
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a pre-Apple event challenge from upgrade. I think we
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inspired that and it has become more and more baroque over time. It's mostly just
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rules now. It's it's the show is largely rules and
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the picks are sort of you guys arguing about the rules is the point and then
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the picks are beside the point. Yeah anyway it's basically what I like
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about what we call the Rickies which is the predictions for Connected is they
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are pretty much the opposite of these ones
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which was I think by design from everybody involved right so it's
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mostly rules not very serious and it's full of conspiracies. Indeed not
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like us. Not like us. We know what we're doing here. It's all
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above board. Serious stuff. So I mentioned before
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there's been one draft this year which was funny to me to go through the
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results. It's like oh wow only one draft this year
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which you picked up the win and going back for our history of drafts I have
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never won a September draft. I've only ever won
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drafts in June. I have never won a draft in September.
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Maybe the iPhone is the curse for me and if there's no iPhone it will be broken
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today who knows. 2020 anything everything is different
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anything can change and that you could come out on top.
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Not feeling particularly confident going into it though Jason I'm not gonna lie
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maybe that's like giving you blood in the water but
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this one this one's so weird and so different.
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I'm right there with you. I don't feel particularly confident but we do have a
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tiebreaker as I mentioned so in the event of a tie we go to our
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tiebreaker question and we decided on this before the show.
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So we're doing an over under on the duration of the event.
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So the tiebreaker is 90 minute duration is the baseline that we have picked.
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Will we say over or under in runtime and as the loser I am going to pick first
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and I'm going to say that we will see over 90 minutes.
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Do I get the 90 if it's bang on 90? Do I get that? Is it 90 and over?
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You're picking me over so if it's 90 minutes and zero seconds I win.
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If it's 90 minutes and one second you win.
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All right so I'm gonna get over 90 minutes Jason we'll get under 90 minutes.
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I had to really deliberate on this one Jason
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but it seems like everywhere that it's listed
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Apple has given themselves two hours for this.
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So that's that's kind of what's let me go for the 90 but I will tell you
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if they are just doing what we think they're gonna do
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I don't know how they can go for 90 minutes but
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we'll see as we go through this conversation as to whether we believe that.
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This is why we said that at 90 because we the idea of playing over under is you
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need to come to an agreement about a number that
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is that gives you pause that you're like oh
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that's really hard because I feel like that's a good break.
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And I thought 90 was actually a pretty good break because I think the real
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question here is is Apple going to stuff this so full that
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they basically are going to fill their two hours that they always
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fill or is this a different kind of event where there's a lot less stuff and
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even though they've got a two-hour slot they're not really going to fill two
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hours and it's an hour 15. And I think those are both reasonable
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arguments and that's essentially what we're
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saying by placing it at 90. So Myke's going for the as a tie break again it's
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only a tie break for the the stuffed mega stuffed
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event and that leaves me with the the lighter
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lightweight event and we'll see. Don't forget you'll be able to score along at
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home and we encourage scoring along at home
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and we will put a link in the show notes to an interactive scorecard that is
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created by a good friend of the show, Zach Knox. Zach puts together these
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wonderful scorecards for us. Yes and we just stressed him again by
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creating sections of the he doesn't actually have to call out the sections
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if he doesn't want to but we are sectionizing the
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draft this time. I have a pretty bad uh track record of
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informing Zach in advance of any information.
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You've seen you've seen it right here that was the informing in advance.
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Moments before we begin Zach has been informed.
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Sorry Zach. All right let's take a break and we'll get into
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our first round of picks. This episode is brought to you by TextExpander from
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I actually use that for a bunch of stuff. I use looks like camel case type things
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Our thanks to TextExpander from Smile for their support of this show
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and RelayFN. Are you ready Jason?
00:16:21
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One, two, three. Come on we can do this. I feel trepidatious about this one too
00:16:28
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because I don't feel like I was ready. It happened
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before I was expecting and then everything I usually
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am prepared for of a September event I feel like I can't
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pull on any of that knowledge which I know it's very peculiar
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but we are where we are so let's go for we're going to do the first three picks
00:16:50
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►
now which are going to be Apple Watch only picks. Jason what is your first?
00:16:55
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I like forcing us to pick Apple Watch items right
00:16:59
◼
►
like usually it's like I'll throw in an Apple Watch item it's like no we must
00:17:02
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►
pick Apple Watch items we must predict things
00:17:05
◼
►
about the Apple Watch. It changes the strategy this does too. It
00:17:10
◼
►
does because I have things I'm more sure about that aren't Apple Watch picks
00:17:14
◼
►
right so my first pick would have not not even been an Apple Watch pick so it
00:17:20
◼
►
changes the strategy of approaching the draft. Indeed it's like a bunch of little
00:17:23
◼
►
mini drafts. Indeed which is so we may keep it we may not but like this is
00:17:26
◼
►
something fun to try. All right so I'm going to predict
00:17:29
◼
►
the low-priced Apple Watch model that replaces the Series 3.
00:17:33
◼
►
This is my first pick. I think it's a good one I think it is one of the most
00:17:37
◼
►
likely ones because we know Tim Cook likes taking old models and
00:17:41
◼
►
discounting them and by all accounts including like
00:17:44
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►
Apple's own disclosures the Series 3 has sold really well and
00:17:49
◼
►
it's a good it's a good deal like it's a good deal
00:17:52
◼
►
it's not the best but it's a good deal however a little
00:17:55
◼
►
long in the tooth they probably want to upgrade it and the
00:18:00
◼
►
Series 4 is already discontinued right they didn't keep it
00:18:03
◼
►
around so you've got the Series 5 and the Series 3
00:18:06
◼
►
what do you do the rumor is that they're not going to bring back the Series 4
00:18:10
◼
►
although you know they could do that but what I'm predicting here is it's going
00:18:14
◼
►
to not be called the Series 4 and it's probably going to have some tech
00:18:18
◼
►
that's different from the the Series 4 and the Series 3 so a new
00:18:22
◼
►
model an Apple Watch SE if you will that might not be the name but that idea
00:18:27
◼
►
of keeping a low price Apple Watch in the uh in the
00:18:31
◼
►
price list in addition to whatever they introduce
00:18:34
◼
►
that's sort of the cutting edge Apple Watch
00:18:37
◼
►
this this um this thought this rumor is intriguing to me but I can't really put
00:18:43
◼
►
my finger on what I think this product is actually
00:18:46
◼
►
going to look like I think will it look like
00:18:51
◼
►
the Series 4 Apple Watch will it look like an Apple Watch we've never
00:18:55
◼
►
seen before will it have a different form factor like
00:18:58
◼
►
is it just a cheap Apple Watch or is it a different product like I
00:19:04
◼
►
I at the moment I am not a hundred percent
00:19:08
◼
►
sure what I think about this but I do I do
00:19:15
◼
►
go along with the thinking that there will be a new product
00:19:19
◼
►
yeah so my my guess if I had to guess specs which is not part of the draft but
00:19:23
◼
►
if I had to guess specs it would be that it will be um the processor that's
00:19:29
◼
►
in the new the new Apple Watch that same processor
00:19:33
◼
►
remove 3d touch right because we assume 3d touch is going to get removed from
00:19:38
◼
►
the Apple Watch anyway they've already removed it from the operating system
00:19:42
◼
►
um and not always on display
00:19:47
◼
►
and then maybe or maybe not the the kind of edge to edge display that's in the
00:19:51
◼
►
modern models but my guess it's going to be a combination
00:19:54
◼
►
of specs from the three four and five and maybe six
00:19:59
◼
►
right but something that they can make cheaply
00:20:03
◼
►
for them keep their margins up and then let it sit there for another two years
00:20:07
◼
►
because that's their that's what they do right that's what the se model is
00:20:10
◼
►
the se doesn't get the old chip it actually gets the current chip but then
00:20:13
◼
►
it sits there for three four years so I think that's what they're going to do
00:20:16
◼
►
with the Apple Watches they're going to build a new
00:20:19
◼
►
kind of like a new old watch and uh it'll have a little bit from column a
00:20:24
◼
►
and a little bit from column b maybe I'm uh showing my hand a little bit
00:20:29
◼
►
here but we have this as a potential pick in the
00:20:32
◼
►
draft and I'm seeing a lot of people talk
00:20:34
◼
►
about this kind of thing of Apple trying to create like a different form factor
00:20:38
◼
►
product yeah and I I don't think they're going to do
00:20:41
◼
►
that I think the Apple Watch is the Apple Watch um
00:20:45
◼
►
I don't imagine them putting in the effort to create
00:20:50
◼
►
what would essentially be a different product right
00:20:53
◼
►
that that seems like maybe for the future
00:20:57
◼
►
but I don't even think that that would be called an Apple Watch
00:21:01
◼
►
myself like I think that would be a separate fitness product from Apple
00:21:05
◼
►
and yeah it's not to say that Apple might not do a fitness band at some
00:21:08
◼
►
point if you imagine something with little or no display that really is just
00:21:12
◼
►
a low sort of simple looking band that people
00:21:16
◼
►
won't feel like they're wearing a watch they're just wearing a fitness band but
00:21:18
◼
►
it does all of the data syncing and stuff to your iPhone and you have to
00:21:21
◼
►
bring your iPhone with you or start things off on your iPhone I could
00:21:24
◼
►
see them maybe making that product the problem is
00:21:27
◼
►
the Apple Watch exists and Apple has put all this effort into the Apple Watch
00:21:31
◼
►
and they can make a relatively cheap Apple Watch and I think like
00:21:35
◼
►
why why create a product that makes it less likely that you'll buy an
00:21:41
◼
►
Apple Watch when you can make a cheaper Apple Watch
00:21:44
◼
►
and sell that to people and I know that there's probably a market for a 99
00:21:48
◼
►
dollar or whatever fitness band and people who don't want to wear a
00:21:51
◼
►
watch but do want a fitness tracker I know but Apple's put so much
00:21:55
◼
►
investment into what the Apple Watch is and what it represents
00:21:58
◼
►
that I think even though they could make that product I'm not sure it makes sense
00:22:01
◼
►
for them to make that product instead of just making a more affordable Apple
00:22:04
◼
►
Watch and letting it ride because that's where
00:22:06
◼
►
they're that's their greatest asset.
00:22:09
◼
►
All right I'm gonna make my first pick of this draft and say that the Apple
00:22:13
◼
►
Watch will receive a new health focused sensor. Yep that was going to be
00:22:17
◼
►
my pick if I didn't pick the other one. Yeah so you know I think I always think
00:22:22
◼
►
back to last year with the Apple Watch and they really
00:22:26
◼
►
surprised us right I remember kind of around this time
00:22:30
◼
►
last year we were talking about the September
00:22:32
◼
►
event right for uh the the iPhones and the Apple Watch
00:22:38
◼
►
everything that came out and I remember saying that the biggest
00:22:41
◼
►
surprise for the both of us was the always on display
00:22:44
◼
►
in the Apple Watch Series 5 because Apple absolutely
00:22:49
◼
►
surprised us with that one it wasn't rumored nobody thought it was coming
00:22:53
◼
►
I think even before that episode we'd spoken about the fact that we thought it
00:22:57
◼
►
was never going to happen like if it hasn't happened by now and
00:23:01
◼
►
there's no rumors it kind of seems like it's maybe not going to happen
00:23:04
◼
►
and you know I was blown away by it because it it made the product
00:23:08
◼
►
more useful for me and I think was an important thing
00:23:11
◼
►
I don't necessarily think we're going to see something that's going to do
00:23:17
◼
►
that again this year because really that was the first time that the Apple Watch
00:23:21
◼
►
product hardware had ever done that to me right like
00:23:23
◼
►
really surprised me like that and you know it may have been because like
00:23:28
◼
►
from a supply chain perspective you can't see that right like you know if
00:23:33
◼
►
you're putting them together you've got case sizes and molds and stuff you you
00:23:38
◼
►
can't see this feature and that may have been one of the reasons it didn't get
00:23:41
◼
►
out or there just isn't such a market for
00:23:44
◼
►
Apple Watch leaks as there are iPhone links but all of this to say is I don't
00:23:50
◼
►
believe we're going to see the Series 6 doing something
00:23:54
◼
►
so out of the box depending on what we're expecting
00:23:59
◼
►
but what I do always expect Apple to do is wherever they can
00:24:03
◼
►
push the hardware forward for other health features
00:24:07
◼
►
and that the Apple Watch Series 6 will get something some new
00:24:11
◼
►
sensor that will be used for a new health
00:24:14
◼
►
application not necessarily an app but like a
00:24:18
◼
►
an application of a health feature and this is
00:24:21
◼
►
something I would this isn't in my pick but I would expect
00:24:25
◼
►
that the whatever the new watches are will all get this
00:24:28
◼
►
right I think that they will do an almost like iPhone
00:24:33
◼
►
11 kind of idea of like these two watches are effectively the same we've
00:24:38
◼
►
put the same chips in them we've put the same sensors in them the
00:24:42
◼
►
differences are the design and the screen right and maybe you know
00:24:46
◼
►
maybe the the overall shape of the device but that they will want to start
00:24:50
◼
►
off this this new say the Apple Watch SE we'll call it for the sake of
00:24:54
◼
►
conversation they want to start off the Series 6 and
00:24:56
◼
►
the SE at the same baseline and then the SE will maybe go you know
00:25:01
◼
►
for two generations right but like they start it off saying like here we go
00:25:05
◼
►
and move on from there that's just my belief but my pick is that there will be
00:25:08
◼
►
some new health focused sensor that finds its way
00:25:12
◼
►
into the Apple Watch models this year yeah the most likely scenario is oxygen
00:25:17
◼
►
which Apple's already been experimenting with doing some measurements of but
00:25:20
◼
►
I think what they what the dream is and whether they'll be able to get a
00:25:24
◼
►
authorization for this because it gets into medical device territory
00:25:27
◼
►
but the the dream is that instead of having the little thing that you have to
00:25:31
◼
►
put on your finger to to measure your oxygen that they will be
00:25:35
◼
►
able to do an oxygen display and that in this era of of COVID it
00:25:39
◼
►
looking at your oxygen number and being able to see if you're you have enough
00:25:43
◼
►
oxygen is actually a a bigger selling point so whether it's
00:25:47
◼
►
that or something else though if it's a new sensor
00:25:50
◼
►
for health you get it and you get the point
00:25:54
◼
►
what's your second pick oh boy this is hard
00:25:58
◼
►
this is hard yeah this is I I am gonna go
00:26:03
◼
►
with um the low-cost watch omitting always on display
00:26:11
◼
►
and this is a tough one because again the se argument
00:26:15
◼
►
is it does most of what the current one does but it does need to be cheaper
00:26:19
◼
►
and so it's gonna have to find some features somewhere isn't it
00:26:23
◼
►
yeah and that's the always on display there are some special display
00:26:27
◼
►
technologies that they're using now it would give apple
00:26:30
◼
►
it would save apple a lot if they only had to make one display
00:26:34
◼
►
but it would also save apple a lot if they could use the same cheap display
00:26:37
◼
►
that they're using in the existing model and just keep it there instead of making
00:26:40
◼
►
this other display that's more more expensive so i i don't have a huge
00:26:44
◼
►
confidence in this but i'm going to throw it out there that
00:26:46
◼
►
that's a brand new feature that we got last year and that it's more taxing in
00:26:50
◼
►
terms of battery perhaps this um you know this one will
00:26:53
◼
►
have they don't want to tax its battery so much
00:26:55
◼
►
perhaps it even has less battery i don't even know but
00:26:58
◼
►
um i think that that's an easy feature to let go but
00:27:01
◼
►
i also want to acknowledge the risk here which is that apple might just say no
00:27:05
◼
►
we're going to standardize on one display and it's going to be the display
00:27:09
◼
►
that's in the series 5 for this model instead of the display
00:27:13
◼
►
that's in the series uh three or four yeah i can see that like i i see why
00:27:18
◼
►
you've gone for this pick i can also see why you are
00:27:21
◼
►
in two minds about it a little bit right but you know
00:27:25
◼
►
if you're going to make this product cheaper you have to cut a cost somewhere
00:27:29
◼
►
and the always on display has only appeared in one of the five watch models
00:27:35
◼
►
so and you also need to not only just cut costs
00:27:39
◼
►
you have to have re give people reasons to upgrade
00:27:43
◼
►
right they need reasons to get the series 6
00:27:46
◼
►
and an always on display could be part of that
00:27:50
◼
►
right like there has to be some reason why somebody would pay
00:27:55
◼
►
the extra 100 150 dollars 200 whatever that's right to get the the main model
00:28:01
◼
►
and this could be yeah the question is what the differentiators are but there
00:28:04
◼
►
have to be differentiators they can't literally
00:28:06
◼
►
say we've got two new models to introduce you today there's the series
00:28:09
◼
►
six and there's uh the the se which is
00:28:11
◼
►
identical to the series six but cheap probably not going to do that and if
00:28:16
◼
►
we were going back to the iphone argument you know the only differences
00:28:20
◼
►
between the no the sorry the main difference between
00:28:22
◼
►
the 12 and 12 pro is the screen technology so
00:28:27
◼
►
similarly right yeah and that's because i mean again like
00:28:31
◼
►
one of the things that can help is if you use older screens in your devices
00:28:35
◼
►
you know how to make them your yields are higher
00:28:37
◼
►
it is a way to bring the prices down yeah and they do they do want to make it a
00:28:41
◼
►
cheaper to make object that they can sell for a lower
00:28:44
◼
►
price and keep their margins up so i have a one that's a little bit out of the
00:28:48
◼
►
box here but i got some love in behind it
00:28:50
◼
►
my second pick is that somebody will wash their hands during the presentation
00:28:54
◼
►
almost pick this one it's a good one it's a feature
00:28:58
◼
►
of watch os so why would they not demo that
00:29:01
◼
►
and it will give them a little joke to do
00:29:04
◼
►
uh when going between scenes so like i expect at some point they will go to
00:29:09
◼
►
like a bathroom in apple park and like craig's washing his hands
00:29:13
◼
►
you know like but i somebody's going to wash their hands during this
00:29:16
◼
►
presentation because it allows them to demo that
00:29:19
◼
►
feature allows them to add a little joke in
00:29:22
◼
►
and i expect and will also allow them to use the scenery that they have at apple
00:29:27
◼
►
park at their disposal um i mean we hadn't
00:29:31
◼
►
spoken about this but my expectation is that this event will look
00:29:35
◼
►
just like wwdc from a production perspective right like
00:29:38
◼
►
that's my guess because it seems
00:29:42
◼
►
i had also heard that they were shooting on campus again so
00:29:46
◼
►
i'm very confident it will look the same yeah i mean i i don't know why you
00:29:50
◼
►
wouldn't just replicate that because it worked so well and i think it was
00:29:53
◼
►
it didn't just work well it was like critically acclaimed right like
00:29:56
◼
►
everybody loved it so why would you not do that
00:29:59
◼
►
and let me tell you because i have been in one the bathrooms at apple park are
00:30:07
◼
►
exactly what you'd expect from an apple designed like it's the
00:30:12
◼
►
same design look as the apple stores and like
00:30:15
◼
►
it's yeah it would be a fun place and then people would see what a apple park
00:30:20
◼
►
bathroom looks like they've made all that effort to make them
00:30:22
◼
►
look nice you gotta show it off so i think this is a good one the only
00:30:26
◼
►
the only thing that gave me hesitation here is that it's a feature that was
00:30:28
◼
►
already announced wwc so they may gloss over it and not spend
00:30:32
◼
►
the time on it but i feel like it's a pretty good pick because this is
00:30:36
◼
►
there's a real really high chance high probability
00:30:39
◼
►
that they're gonna use this uh as you said as a way to sort of punctuate
00:30:44
◼
►
the health features of the apple watch and watch os
00:30:47
◼
►
yeah i mean it's like with the iphone they always spend time going back over
00:30:50
◼
►
ios right and so i expect that they will
00:30:53
◼
►
spend time going back over watch os and frankly there isn't a lot in watch os
00:30:58
◼
►
um it does make me wonder if one of the actually i don't know if this is a pick
00:31:03
◼
►
or not uh there's a pick here that i so i won't
00:31:05
◼
►
talk about it now but we'll get to the end of this and then i'll mention what
00:31:08
◼
►
i was going to say okay what is your third pick your last
00:31:13
◼
►
apple watch pick i am going to pick that the watch body
00:31:18
◼
►
among the color options there's a new color option
00:31:22
◼
►
i don't know what the color option is and what i'm saying is
00:31:25
◼
►
an option that doesn't exist currently so if they brought back an old color
00:31:32
◼
►
option an old material option that we that we had in the past but we don't
00:31:37
◼
►
currently have i want credit for this but i think they're going to change it up
00:31:40
◼
►
i i think that and again i think this is a risky pick
00:31:43
◼
►
because sometimes they don't but i do feel like
00:31:46
◼
►
innately in apple watch is change in look and if they don't change the body
00:31:51
◼
►
massively they still like to rotate in some new
00:31:55
◼
►
looks and that comes in watch band colors it
00:31:58
◼
►
sometimes comes in watch band styles and it can come in the body color and
00:32:04
◼
►
body style as well i don't know what this is i have
00:32:07
◼
►
always been a big proponent of colorful apple products and wishing that they
00:32:13
◼
►
would do more anodize that aluminum make it red make it
00:32:16
◼
►
blue make it green i think that would be fun
00:32:18
◼
►
if you could buy a green apple watch aluminum model i think that would be
00:32:22
◼
►
awesome but just in general a little bit of
00:32:26
◼
►
wish casting here but also feeling like apple likes to play with
00:32:30
◼
►
the look of the apple watch on the surface level so i'll take a shot
00:32:37
◼
►
yeah i would just uh confirm for the sake of people checking the
00:32:42
◼
►
picks so this can even be a new material uh well
00:32:46
◼
►
a material that doesn't exist in the series 5 line so it could have
00:32:50
◼
►
existed before so if they bring down gray ceramic for example that would count
00:32:53
◼
►
sure or it's a new color of an existing
00:32:57
◼
►
material right like like a blue aluminum yeah
00:33:00
◼
►
exactly so which i think like if they brought back
00:33:02
◼
►
rose gold did they ever have rose gold did they always have just that one
00:33:07
◼
►
rose gold in the apple watch i don't remember it
00:33:11
◼
►
i don't know we'll have to we'll have to check on that we'll get our uh our
00:33:14
◼
►
our sources on it but yes and and that means yes mike if they bring back the
00:33:17
◼
►
solid gold apple watch i win i mean sure do you though do you win we
00:33:23
◼
►
all win we all win when the solid gold apple watch is here
00:33:28
◼
►
so before before i make my pick i will make the point that i was gonna make
00:33:31
◼
►
earlier before i forget it talking about like software features what
00:33:36
◼
►
what i was gonna say is like watch over seven
00:33:39
◼
►
doesn't have a lot of new stuff in it and
00:33:42
◼
►
one of the things it does have is sleep tracking so
00:33:46
◼
►
i could imagine them doing uh something around sleep tracking which could relate
00:33:51
◼
►
back to that sensor this is a pick that we have but it's not
00:33:54
◼
►
the pick that i'm making but that was the idea i think i think
00:33:58
◼
►
it's a a dare i say it risky pick because
00:34:01
◼
►
um it may be that the software is all they're doing for sleep tracking but i
00:34:04
◼
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do think it's possible that since they have that software that
00:34:08
◼
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there will also be something in the hardware that enhances the
00:34:13
◼
►
sleep tracking yeah that we haven't seen because they
00:34:16
◼
►
haven't announced the hardware yet but i didn't pick it either
00:34:18
◼
►
so i don't blame you
00:34:21
◼
►
all right so i was gonna pick your pick for my final pick here
00:34:25
◼
►
so we we have been really on point today we've been sniping each other here we
00:34:30
◼
►
are building this is the great thing about the draft it's a competition it's
00:34:32
◼
►
also a collaboration where we build our best list
00:34:36
◼
►
so i'm looking over my picks here all right so i think the thing that i'm
00:34:40
◼
►
going to go with is that the apple watch gets claims of extended battery life
00:34:46
◼
►
right so this is where they say essentially the battery life is longer
00:34:50
◼
►
yeah or they say a number that is larger than
00:34:53
◼
►
the number they say now yeah exactly like you know that it's
00:34:57
◼
►
somehow we can see during the presentation that the battery
00:35:00
◼
►
life would appear to be getting better and it's either they say it's getting
00:35:03
◼
►
better or they say this gets this battery life
00:35:05
◼
►
and that's more than than what the watch is currently getting yeah i think that's
00:35:09
◼
►
good um knowing what we assume at least which
00:35:12
◼
►
is that since as i mentioned earlier the watch os
00:35:15
◼
►
update removes 3d touch from the operating system that
00:35:21
◼
►
it will be removed from the hardware and what we've seen
00:35:25
◼
►
when they removed it from the iphone hardware is you pick up space and space
00:35:31
◼
►
is at such a premium on the apple watch so really there are
00:35:36
◼
►
two options there either it gets thinner or it gets more
00:35:40
◼
►
battery and you throw in also that a new chip
00:35:43
◼
►
probably is better at regulating um battery usage
00:35:48
◼
►
and it's not a bad pick to make because i could also imagine them saying
00:35:52
◼
►
the se is like because if it's got it doesn't have an always on display
00:35:57
◼
►
it's the same size and doesn't have uh force touch 3d touch i could imagine
00:36:03
◼
►
them saying like this is the longest battery life we've
00:36:07
◼
►
ever seen on an apple watch yeah you know i i've amended your pick to
00:36:11
◼
►
be an apple watch its claim of extended battery life it could be either model
00:36:15
◼
►
it could be either model that's that's a good clarification so
00:36:18
◼
►
they are apple watch picks so that's three picks down let's move
00:36:21
◼
►
on to ipad so next picks four to six ipad
00:36:26
◼
►
only picks take it away jason oh boy um i'm gonna go out of the gate
00:36:32
◼
►
with a i think a fairly substantially rumored
00:36:36
◼
►
guess which is that this is going to be a new ipad
00:36:39
◼
►
presumably ipad air although who knows about the marketing name but what
00:36:43
◼
►
they're going to do is they're going to bring the edge to edge
00:36:45
◼
►
screen design right to the ipad they're going to get rid of those huge bezels
00:36:49
◼
►
and the home button on the bottom and all that stuff that we
00:36:53
◼
►
those of us who use who are using the modern ipad pro are like
00:36:57
◼
►
oh that's like an ipad from two years ago but
00:37:00
◼
►
um they it's literally all the other ipads are like that still it's only the
00:37:03
◼
►
ipad pro that changed so um this is part of something that we've
00:37:07
◼
►
talked about here before the idea that the ipad air
00:37:10
◼
►
allows apple to bring ipad pro features down
00:37:14
◼
►
in the in pricing because not everybody wants to buy a 900 iPad
00:37:18
◼
►
and um and apple has been really aggressive at bringing things like
00:37:22
◼
►
apple pencil down to the lower priced ipads
00:37:26
◼
►
pretty quickly which i think says something about their confidence of the
00:37:30
◼
►
value that is still embedded in the ipad pro at the top of
00:37:34
◼
►
the line so i think it's a rumor that makes sense to me i
00:37:38
◼
►
think it's they want to go there with all of these products and it's just a
00:37:41
◼
►
matter of rolling them out over time and ipad air is up next so it gets it
00:37:47
◼
►
and so just to clarify we're just saying new ipad with edge to edge
00:37:52
◼
►
screen design so it could be it could i mean like let's imagine it did nothing
00:37:56
◼
►
to the ipad air but the ipad mini got this
00:37:58
◼
►
right like that would work too yeah it doesn't have to be the ipad air it
00:38:01
◼
►
doesn't have to be called ipad air it's a new ipad
00:38:04
◼
►
that drops that it shrinks down the bezels gets rid of the home button
00:38:08
◼
►
yeah and part of the reason that we're saying new ipad is
00:38:12
◼
►
i'm i don't know what they will call this ipad right i know right this just
00:38:16
◼
►
becomes ipad or it's ipad air or whatever um and
00:38:21
◼
►
frankly like all like that like that if they introduced a new ipad pro like
00:38:25
◼
►
it's not going to change the design it doesn't it's not what it is this is a
00:38:29
◼
►
non-pro ipad as jason is amending the pic now new non-pro ipad
00:38:34
◼
►
with edge to edge screen design so i am going to say
00:38:38
◼
►
new non-pro ipad gets a flat edge design all right so we're we're very on track
00:38:45
◼
►
again with this one i think we've mentioned this in the past
00:38:50
◼
►
this ipad pro design is not just the ipad pro
00:38:55
◼
►
design it is 2020 onwards apple design right of like a more kind of
00:39:01
◼
►
industrial design flat edges sharper corners you know
00:39:05
◼
►
we've seen this coming to the iphone we've seen this coming rumored to be
00:39:09
◼
►
coming to the imac right so like we are seeing like a a
00:39:15
◼
►
flat edge design uh on a new non-pro ipad right and i'm just going to say it
00:39:21
◼
►
now because uh steve ml on the chat room said what if
00:39:25
◼
►
it's the ipad mini pro or something like that
00:39:27
◼
►
look the point is you don't get any points if they just revise an existing
00:39:31
◼
►
ipad pro that's exist got an existing trait yeah this is about a model that we
00:39:36
◼
►
haven't seen before with this trait that it didn't have
00:39:40
◼
►
before that's what we're talking about here i
00:39:43
◼
►
think we know it when we see it i love it when we are more in agreement as the
00:39:46
◼
►
competitors than the audiences about who's writing
00:39:49
◼
►
news wrong yeah i think that's good i think i think
00:39:53
◼
►
these these are the rumors right is that apple wants to push all of the
00:39:56
◼
►
this stuff down into um down into everybody
00:40:00
◼
►
else's uh everybody else's ipad right they just they want to do that
00:40:06
◼
►
all right i'm gonna uh pick up from your pick then
00:40:09
◼
►
and run with it and say that that means since it's got a flat edge design it's
00:40:13
◼
►
going to be pencil 2 compatible because pencil ipad
00:40:18
◼
►
pencil is is fine and all but then you use the ipad
00:40:20
◼
►
pencil 2 and if you've ever gone back to the original ipad pencil you're like
00:40:23
◼
►
what is this like with the with the cap with the lightning nubbin under it and
00:40:30
◼
►
all of that like the new pencil is so good and
00:40:34
◼
►
i i think this apple wants to roll it down and ultimately stop making apple
00:40:38
◼
►
pencil 1 and the problem with apple pencil 2 is
00:40:41
◼
►
it charges inductively and you have to stick it to the side of the ipad which
00:40:44
◼
►
means you have to have a flat sided ipad which this ipad that we're guessing
00:40:49
◼
►
about is going to be so why would it not bring
00:40:52
◼
►
support for pencil 2 now there is a possibility they'll do the flat sides
00:40:56
◼
►
but they'll save money by not acting adding the inductive charging and
00:40:59
◼
►
they'll still use pencil 1 and you'll still have a lightning port on
00:41:03
◼
►
it which is a pic that's out there and uh you'll have to plug it in but i
00:41:07
◼
►
believe that apple really wants to get rid of that
00:41:09
◼
►
old approach and uh move everybody to the new one so it's the time
00:41:13
◼
►
predict pencil 2 yeah it's the time like the the the i think we've seen it right
00:41:18
◼
►
like that the ipad line is like the mac laptop line really
00:41:24
◼
►
where like the the professional models get a certain feature
00:41:27
◼
►
and it will eventually roll its way down through the entire consumer line as well
00:41:31
◼
►
as the professional line yeah and we have seen that happening with
00:41:34
◼
►
the ipad pro since its existence and we're going to continue to see that
00:41:38
◼
►
here so you know we're going to see and so i think like really the reason they
00:41:42
◼
►
go to the flat edge design for this new ipad is so it can be
00:41:46
◼
►
compatible with with apple this was my next pick for that
00:41:50
◼
►
reason like i think that there is a cause and effect here
00:41:53
◼
►
it's not just for design it's also for function and i think they're gonna
00:41:57
◼
►
they're gonna move it down that way yep yep also you don't want the confusion
00:42:01
◼
►
right like yes oh wait wait this one looks like that
00:42:03
◼
►
one but it doesn't use that it uses this like why would that
00:42:06
◼
►
like it doesn't make sense they want to because this is part of a
00:42:09
◼
►
a sweep that will eventually encompass the entire ipad line
00:42:13
◼
►
yeah so like why would you do a half measure when you're gonna want to get
00:42:16
◼
►
the a pencil 2 everywhere eventually i don't think it's happening this time
00:42:20
◼
►
but like i believe that the magic keyboard will come to these to
00:42:24
◼
►
the lower ipads in the future but just not yet
00:42:27
◼
►
and so like you know this is the the march forward right where it's like
00:42:32
◼
►
you can now give the apple pencil 2 to other ipads because the pro ipads
00:42:37
◼
►
have been differentiated by the fact that they have the magic keyboard and
00:42:42
◼
►
with trackpad right right so like you you know i think i think that apple
00:42:47
◼
►
is smart here right like you've got to give some clearly the ipads these days
00:42:52
◼
►
a big part of it for apple is what accessories can we sell right because it
00:42:55
◼
►
it bumps up the numbers it's great for the ipad right the ipad is a
00:42:59
◼
►
really accessory heavy product for apple now and it's good for it and i think
00:43:02
◼
►
they learned that with the ipad pro but they can't give all the accessories
00:43:06
◼
►
to all of the products because it reduces a reason for somebody to spend
00:43:10
◼
►
the extra on the ipad pro like i believe apple sell more i would expect that they
00:43:15
◼
►
sell more ipad pros now because of the magic keyboard like people want that so
00:43:20
◼
►
they bought they maybe spend the extra couple of hundred bucks and get
00:43:24
◼
►
the ipad pro instead but you know we'll see so
00:43:27
◼
►
i'm actually gonna gonna diverge a little from my current thinking
00:43:31
◼
►
to say that i reckon that this new ipad with its edge to edge screen and its
00:43:36
◼
►
flat edge design will still have a touch id sensor
00:43:43
◼
►
interesting very interesting so this is there is a rumor out there
00:43:47
◼
►
that apple is not putting in the face id sensor bank yeah on these things but
00:43:52
◼
►
instead has built touch id into a different part
00:43:56
◼
►
of the device the rumor is it's actually on the sleep wake button
00:44:01
◼
►
and that that's where you will press with your finger and it will unlock
00:44:06
◼
►
um which it would be interesting right that would be interesting to see a new
00:44:09
◼
►
touch id implementation that we haven't seen from apple before
00:44:13
◼
►
versus just putting the face id stuff in there like
00:44:16
◼
►
it's in all the other products i think that
00:44:20
◼
►
again going back to like with the uh apple watch se
00:44:25
◼
►
you've got to save some money somewhere and this could be one of the places that
00:44:31
◼
►
you're able to save some money it's not putting face id in there and i
00:44:35
◼
►
also think that this technology putting touch id
00:44:38
◼
►
in a sleep wake button i believe is going to be a future technology for
00:44:43
◼
►
other apple products anyway so i i or at least having touch id return
00:44:49
◼
►
to face id products i think will be a thing that they do so
00:44:52
◼
►
yeah this is an expectation that i have for this product line
00:44:56
◼
►
and again it's like another differentiator for the pro the pro has
00:44:59
◼
►
face id yeah i think i think you are making an important
00:45:05
◼
►
uh following an important line which is what do you what do you hold back
00:45:09
◼
►
from the ipad air that you have in the ipad pro
00:45:13
◼
►
and there are two ways of looking at this and one is you want to hold back
00:45:17
◼
►
on things in order to drive people to your more expensive
00:45:20
◼
►
ipad the other way to view it is you hold back on things that cost
00:45:25
◼
►
because uh then you can make the product cheaper
00:45:29
◼
►
and sell it at a lower price and still keep your margins high
00:45:33
◼
►
so there are two different ways to approach it and apple has done both
00:45:36
◼
►
and can choose both and i think that what's interesting to us is trying to
00:45:40
◼
►
pick that apart and also we're in this interesting state where we have this
00:45:43
◼
►
kind of not an update to the ipad pro that just happened
00:45:46
◼
►
and i think you and i are both anticipating that there's probably
00:45:49
◼
►
a new wave of ipad pros coming that are going to have features
00:45:53
◼
►
that make them that much more impressive compared to the ipad air
00:45:57
◼
►
but we don't know what they are yet and they're not here yet so this is all
00:46:01
◼
►
kind of floating out there of like what exactly does apple do to
00:46:05
◼
►
make the ipad air different from the ipad pro
00:46:09
◼
►
what is your final pick in the ipad round well i'm going to pick what you
00:46:13
◼
►
said wasn't going to happen which is that it's going to be compatible with the
00:46:15
◼
►
magic keyboard interesting okay yeah the ipad air the
00:46:19
◼
►
current ipad air and the current 11 inch ipad pro are so
00:46:22
◼
►
close in size that i feel like they could build the
00:46:28
◼
►
ipad air's body on the 11 inch ipad pro's body make the
00:46:31
◼
►
dimensions the same add the smart connector to the back
00:46:34
◼
►
just as they're adding the apple pencil connector we're saying to the
00:46:37
◼
►
the little charger to the side and then it would fit all of the existing
00:46:41
◼
►
because this is something that apple has has strived to do lately which is
00:46:44
◼
►
um if you can make a new ipad that fits existing accessories you don't have to
00:46:48
◼
►
make new variations on those accessories and you know what the magic keyboard
00:46:52
◼
►
costs a lot of money and if apple can open up an even wider
00:46:55
◼
►
market to sell more of those expensive keyboards to people who are buying a
00:46:58
◼
►
you know a five hundred dollar ipad air instead of a nine hundred dollar
00:47:04
◼
►
or eight hundred dollar ipad pro like why not do that so i
00:47:08
◼
►
i think they will go down that path and they will make it the same size
00:47:12
◼
►
it's not going to have the big you know camera bank on the back
00:47:17
◼
►
but it that's okay because the new magic keyboard fits the older ipad pro that
00:47:21
◼
►
doesn't have the big camera bank on the back too they they
00:47:24
◼
►
designed it to be backward compatible and i think when you look at that and
00:47:27
◼
►
you think apple actually does want to sell the magic keyboard to as many ipad
00:47:30
◼
►
users as possible so why not make you can use the smart
00:47:34
◼
►
keyboard for the 11 inch pro you can use the
00:47:38
◼
►
magic keyboard for the 11 inch pro in the ipad air and it'll be okay
00:47:42
◼
►
because the you know these ipad pros are going to get more features
00:47:45
◼
►
next year and there'll still be enough differentiation there so yeah i'm not
00:47:49
◼
►
100 confident on this but it feels like the right thing for them to do
00:47:53
◼
►
which is just let anybody who wants to buy our our magic keyboard
00:47:57
◼
►
go to town just more people buying that expensive keyboard that apple makes a
00:48:01
◼
►
lot of money on great let's do it now for my final pick
00:48:07
◼
►
i don't have anything that i'm particularly confident in nor do i want
00:48:14
◼
►
to pick the exact same pick that i made on
00:48:16
◼
►
connected which is that the new ipad will get a lidar sensor because in the
00:48:20
◼
►
past i have doubled down on pics too often
00:48:23
◼
►
and then been sad when they didn't come true
00:48:25
◼
►
yeah so i'm actually going to do something unprecedented for me jason i'm
00:48:29
◼
►
going to play against myself and for my final pick say that the new
00:48:34
◼
►
ipad will get face id
00:48:37
◼
►
this is actually not unprecedented i believe once before you had two picks
00:48:44
◼
►
look i want to guarantee a point in this round so yeah i'm gonna do that
00:48:48
◼
►
all right i'm not confident enough in anything for my third pick
00:48:52
◼
►
right so we have again i just go for it we have it left to pick from this new
00:48:57
◼
►
ipad mini not confident in that new ipad pro i'm not confident in that
00:49:02
◼
►
new ipad to get a lidar sensor i don't want to double down
00:49:06
◼
►
or new ipad to get usb-c and i'm still not sure about that one
00:49:11
◼
►
i don't i maybe i feel like it's i feel like that
00:49:14
◼
►
that is if i had another pick that's what i'd pick because i think that
00:49:18
◼
►
i think that it goes with everything else which is just
00:49:22
◼
►
eventually are all the ipads gonna have usb-c yeah they are they're all gonna
00:49:25
◼
►
have it as soon as they get apple pencil 2 support
00:49:28
◼
►
the that lightning's gonna turn to usb-c and
00:49:31
◼
►
you know i just feel like that's all part of the the hole here but
00:49:34
◼
►
i get you it's it's less certain than some of these other guesses
00:49:38
◼
►
um i believe it could happen uh but i am deciding
00:49:42
◼
►
to guarantee myself a point in this round instead
00:49:45
◼
►
that's that's the decision that i've come to i may come to regret it
00:49:49
◼
►
but for me like i i feel that the lidar on the usb-c kind of like a
00:49:54
◼
►
equal chance of happening or not happening so i'm kind of just gonna
00:49:58
◼
►
just go with giving myself uh and you know what jason maybe in some wild
00:50:04
◼
►
world they put both on the ipad and then i get two points but that seems
00:50:08
◼
►
incredibly unlikely but you never know right and wouldn't
00:50:11
◼
►
that be for me just a wonderful thing to occur
00:50:15
◼
►
that it has both touch id and face id and then i get two points
00:50:20
◼
►
can you imagine that can you imagine the celebration that i would have
00:50:23
◼
►
if that such a thing was to occur that would be fascinating but uh it probably
00:50:27
◼
►
won't happen but you'll be kicking yourself if it's usb-c but um
00:50:30
◼
►
you know it may not be with three mandatory picks about every single one
00:50:34
◼
►
of these products we end up with some really weird picks
00:50:37
◼
►
it's not only so many things you can pick this episode is brought to you
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you can get that from door dash jason can you tell me a little bit about
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the wonders of ordering from door dash yeah we use door dash all the time mike
00:51:33
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to uh have people bring food to us that's great
00:51:37
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we actually did a little uh family getaway uh went to a friend's
00:51:42
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uh house that they usually rent out and uh
00:51:45
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and we had a couple midweek dates there got out of our house for the first time
00:51:48
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in six months and what that meant was ordering from
00:51:51
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new restaurants and having them bring us food which was
00:51:54
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uh really great because you don't have to go outside
00:51:56
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in the in the smoke that we have right now in the hazardous air
00:52:00
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uh instead we have somebody just bring it to our door and they knock and they
00:52:04
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leave and it's contactless and uh and super great super convenient
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right now listeners of this show can get five dollars off and zero delivery fees
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with door dash our thanks to door dash for their support of this show
00:52:38
◼
►
and relay fm all right jason so we are moving into
00:52:42
◼
►
our final round which we are referring to as
00:52:46
◼
►
free picking for this round it's wide open
00:52:50
◼
►
because we have a selection of categories
00:52:53
◼
►
so ranging from audio based pics to mac pics to software pics
00:52:58
◼
►
to iphone or general miscellaneous products or services
00:53:02
◼
►
that apple may be pulling from for this event all stuff that we believe
00:53:09
◼
►
is due to arrive by and large by the end of the year so
00:53:13
◼
►
it's uh quite free and open so jason hit me with your first
00:53:17
◼
►
pick in our final round oh boy this is so
00:53:21
◼
►
it's so hard this is such a weird event there are four picks in this round by
00:53:24
◼
►
the way yeah because we want to we want a nice uh
00:53:27
◼
►
nice ten i'm gonna say that apple will
00:53:33
◼
►
apple will mention that the iphone is coming later this fall
00:53:36
◼
►
oh okay okay yeah i can imagine this so i can very much
00:53:43
◼
►
imagine the end of the presentation being like ten like
00:53:47
◼
►
enjoying us again later this fall when we
00:53:49
◼
►
show you what we're working on with the iphone something like that and
00:53:52
◼
►
and or it might just be as simple as like and we've got some great
00:53:55
◼
►
you know great new iphones in the pipeline that we'll be telling you about
00:53:59
◼
►
later or something like that and the reason i
00:54:01
◼
►
say this because this is apple does not come
00:54:03
◼
►
comment on on speculation about future products but
00:54:06
◼
►
what you said early on in this episode really goes here which is
00:54:10
◼
►
apple really does i think need to make it clear that iphones are coming but that
00:54:15
◼
►
this isn't the iphone event yeah and so i think mentioning it
00:54:19
◼
►
some point forward promoting if you will that there will be iphones but not now
00:54:25
◼
►
is something that they are going to need to do um you know they might not they
00:54:29
◼
►
might just play it cool but i feel like it might what what's the
00:54:32
◼
►
harm in just saying yeah we know you are excited about the iphone we are
00:54:35
◼
►
too stay tuned um but you know i i admit that this is a
00:54:39
◼
►
risk but i do think it's maybe a smart move on their part to
00:54:42
◼
►
to just call it otherwise they do risk people getting kind of
00:54:46
◼
►
angry because we all know that that everybody's been given the high sign
00:54:50
◼
►
that there are no iphones but uh the general public doesn't know so
00:54:54
◼
►
making it clear making a clear statement that
00:54:56
◼
►
they're on the way uh later this fall and you'll hear more from us then
00:55:01
◼
►
would be a way to do that yeah i think that i mean because it's like
00:55:06
◼
►
it's not like they haven't already said that iphones are coming later this year
00:55:10
◼
►
like they've have already said it you know what i mean like they said it on
00:55:13
◼
►
the conference call right like that our iphones will be late so
00:55:18
◼
►
it's it's not like that they are saying they will you know
00:55:21
◼
►
it's not like they're trying to pretend there won't be iphones this year or
00:55:24
◼
►
something right like and this and we there's no argument
00:55:28
◼
►
about the fact that this is the time that it usually happens
00:55:32
◼
►
september right app will keep to that schedule
00:55:36
◼
►
this is them not keeping to that schedule so it may
00:55:40
◼
►
be i think it would behoove them to mention it at least uh and to set that
00:55:46
◼
►
expectation so i i i this was not my first pick it was my
00:55:50
◼
►
second pick but it was one that i was gonna have
00:55:52
◼
►
mine is actually uh i think one of the things that they are going to do
00:55:57
◼
►
to fill this presentation with a little bit of time
00:56:01
◼
►
is to do a bunch of fitness demos because they will be introducing an
00:56:04
◼
►
apple fitness workout service some kind of subscription thing some
00:56:10
◼
►
video thing i think this ties in with uh the apple
00:56:15
◼
►
watch part of the presentation quite quite heavily um it will potentially
00:56:20
◼
►
tie into if they're going to talk about services at all which i think
00:56:23
◼
►
the other part of this will be talking about services
00:56:26
◼
►
um in general in this event uh it gives them a little bit of time
00:56:30
◼
►
to because they they don't have to to squeeze this demo down
00:56:35
◼
►
right to fit in with a bigger product launch um i think
00:56:39
◼
►
and also uh the the apple park setting is the perfect setting with their gym
00:56:46
◼
►
or even just some some more non-descript rooms right to show you kind of like
00:56:49
◼
►
working out in your living room with apple's fitness service
00:56:52
◼
►
i think that this is uh this is the time that will introduce that
00:56:56
◼
►
yeah this is we were really harsh on this rumor when it came out the idea
00:57:00
◼
►
that they would try to get in yet another kind of game
00:57:03
◼
►
using their advantage but i also see the i i can see them doing it the rumors out
00:57:09
◼
►
there i can totally necessarily think they should or nor do i really want them
00:57:13
◼
►
to uh because i think that this is maybe
00:57:16
◼
►
something that can just be left to other companies because apple do not have to
00:57:19
◼
►
do everything even though they feel like they do these days
00:57:21
◼
►
uh but i do think it's something they're going to do uh
00:57:24
◼
►
before i think that they should or shouldn't is a different is a different
00:57:27
◼
►
matter yeah all right uh yeah the choices keep
00:57:32
◼
►
getting harder i am going to go for it and say
00:57:37
◼
►
uh over the ear apple branded headphones are going to make their debut oh boy
00:57:44
◼
►
jason snell yeah this is bold well i'm i'm i'm out of
00:57:49
◼
►
i'm out of easy picks okay okay okay this is a bold one this is a bold one
00:57:56
◼
►
like i think that this is a product that will exist
00:57:58
◼
►
but it definitely feels more like an introduction with the iphone
00:58:03
◼
►
but but i can also see why they would do it now because it's not
00:58:07
◼
►
as tied to the iphone as air pods are i guess right exactly it'll work with
00:58:11
◼
►
existing iphones it'll work with other stuff it gets it out there if they're
00:58:14
◼
►
ready for it and the rumors have been out there that they've been working on
00:58:16
◼
►
this for a while now they're ready for it getting it in the
00:58:19
◼
►
channel with plenty of time for the holiday season to get people to buy
00:58:23
◼
►
uh those those uh headphones i don't i honestly don't think this is any bolder
00:58:27
◼
►
than the apple fitness workout service as a pick
00:58:29
◼
►
because i think they're both a little bit chancy because apple could announce
00:58:32
◼
►
them now or later um and they could exist or not exist
00:58:36
◼
►
because they're based on kind of rumors but
00:58:38
◼
►
of all of the kind of rumored hardware products that might get picked in this
00:58:42
◼
►
free pick round for us i feel like uh i feel like maybe it's time for this one
00:58:47
◼
►
and apple you know i know it seems like it's more
00:58:50
◼
►
tied to the iphone but i will say you could argue that wearables
00:58:55
◼
►
is a key strategy for apple and the other part of wearables other than the
00:58:59
◼
►
apple watch you know and possibly even the more popular part
00:59:03
◼
►
of wearables is air pods in the air pods line and if
00:59:06
◼
►
you think along those lines having this be a part of the
00:59:09
◼
►
presentation kind of fits because it's about apple and wearables
00:59:12
◼
►
instead of about sort of iphone accessories
00:59:16
◼
►
wow i almost convinced myself there i know that this is a product that i
00:59:20
◼
►
personally really want to see now i know but we'll see now you got to be rooting
00:59:24
◼
►
for me haha well it's my consolation if you're right
00:59:30
◼
►
yes that i get the thing that i want excellent
00:59:34
◼
►
i'm going to make my second pick in this round that the watch os 7 release date
00:59:39
◼
►
will be announced
00:59:41
◼
►
makes sense an exciting pick by any stretch of the imagination
00:59:46
◼
►
but uh i think we're going to get some software release dates because
00:59:50
◼
►
i mean personally i think all the software is coming in september with
00:59:52
◼
►
people like my friend frederica want it to happen or not
00:59:55
◼
►
um and considering they will be showing off the apple watch and watch os 7
00:59:59
◼
►
i can imagine saying and you'll get these great features
01:00:03
◼
►
on whatever date yeah i think the uh the only chance that this isn't the case is
01:00:10
◼
►
i want to be clear here if if they say that it runs watch os 7 and they say
01:00:16
◼
►
that it's coming out on a certain date the the the watch is that's not saying
01:00:21
◼
►
watch os 7 is out on that day no they have to say
01:00:23
◼
►
watch os 7 will be available for customers on such and such great
01:00:27
◼
►
features all right yeah i think so i think i had a debate about the software
01:00:31
◼
►
releases because i can see them saying it and i can see them not saying it i i
01:00:36
◼
►
just i can see both sides i think it makes
01:00:38
◼
►
like a lot of our picks i would probably advocate for them saying it but
01:00:43
◼
►
apple does all sorts of stuff that i wouldn't
01:00:46
◼
►
do and i will say like i mean we can maybe debate this i'll see if you agree
01:00:52
◼
►
even them saying like watch os 7 will be available
01:00:56
◼
►
in later this month later this month i would say still counts
01:01:00
◼
►
yeah because it's basically just acknowledging that it's coming
01:01:04
◼
►
right like that's which i don't think is a thing that
01:01:07
◼
►
you can bank on right now but i think is a thing that they
01:01:11
◼
►
that they will do i agree um i i think a little less likely because of
01:01:15
◼
►
the iphone not being a part of this event but there is an ipad as a part of
01:01:18
◼
►
this event we're thinking and if they're going to mention the
01:01:21
◼
►
release of watch os i think that they will then also mention that ios is
01:01:26
◼
►
coming out in the same time frame so i'm going to just throw that on the fire and
01:01:29
◼
►
say my next pick is ios 14 date announced
01:01:32
◼
►
i can actually imagine personally and i think that this is pretty conceivable
01:01:37
◼
►
that the ios 14 rehash will be in this presentation even
01:01:42
◼
►
though the iphone won't be right like i think they spend that time
01:01:46
◼
►
going over the software again i think they'll do it here i think they'll do it
01:01:50
◼
►
alongside the ipad part um and maybe they'll bring
01:01:54
◼
►
out a current gen iphone to show off widgets on the iphone but
01:01:58
◼
►
you know i i personally think that both of these
01:02:01
◼
►
software releases are happening before the end of september
01:02:04
◼
►
and i don't think the next event will be before the end of september
01:02:08
◼
►
so i don't see how they i don't see how they do an original event just for the
01:02:11
◼
►
apple watch and not give it a release date and and
01:02:15
◼
►
not have it run the latest version of watch os which requires the latest
01:02:18
◼
►
latest version of ios yeah i just don't see i think that chain of events which
01:02:23
◼
►
is shipping with watch os 6 i know like people want like what
01:02:26
◼
►
no i don't think that's happening whenever this this is coming it's coming
01:02:29
◼
►
with watch os 7 yeah i think apple know that this is the
01:02:34
◼
►
thing that they maybe should be targeting or they have just made the
01:02:38
◼
►
decision that you know what this is just too difficult
01:02:40
◼
►
and they'll do what you know they they'll release some different times
01:02:44
◼
►
like i i don't think that that they are going to create a version of
01:02:48
◼
►
watch over six that can run on apple watch series 6 i just don't think
01:02:52
◼
►
they're going to spend the energy doing that and if they mentioned an ipad os
01:02:56
◼
►
release date and not an ios release date which seems highly unlikely
01:02:59
◼
►
unlikely to me i'm going to take that too but i don't think i think i think
01:03:02
◼
►
they come in a bundle yeah that's fine uh technically they don't
01:03:07
◼
►
but we'll say it's fine if they announce either ios or ipad os because last year
01:03:10
◼
►
ipad os came out at a different time to ios
01:03:13
◼
►
um but if they mention either ios or ipad os
01:03:17
◼
►
is uh 14's release timeframe that will count for either or for me
01:03:21
◼
►
i think that's fine yep that was going to be
01:03:25
◼
►
uh my next pick so i am going to circle back around to services and say
01:03:30
◼
►
that we were at this event we'll see the introduction of an apple services bundle
01:03:34
◼
►
because what is a draft at this time of year without me making this pick
01:03:38
◼
►
um plus there is a lot more smoke at the moment uh
01:03:41
◼
►
then well well that's for sure yeah it's right outside my house ha
01:03:45
◼
►
oh there's a lot more uh signals than usual about services bundle
01:03:51
◼
►
uh lots of reports and also i saw someone noting that apple was registering a bunch
01:03:57
◼
►
of like apple one which is apparently the name
01:03:59
◼
►
domain names yeah and again they had the android apple
01:04:02
◼
►
music app leak which amazing still the lack of
01:04:07
◼
►
attention to detail if they're trying to keep secrecy
01:04:09
◼
►
but yeah a bundle might might be the challenge with this pick is
01:04:13
◼
►
is it now is it next time exactly but it could happen
01:04:17
◼
►
so my my rationale on this is there's still a ton of hardware that we are not
01:04:23
◼
►
talking about right now right all of which will be four iphones
01:04:27
◼
►
and as of right now during this draft new exciting macintoshes and
01:04:33
◼
►
there's a lot to cover in those you may as well give
01:04:38
◼
►
everything more time to breathe by having two basically two hour events
01:04:42
◼
►
instead of one two hour event right so spread it out and and one
01:04:46
◼
►
two hour event and one 89 minute long event let's yeah yes of course sorry
01:04:50
◼
►
sorry how could i forget how could i forget
01:04:54
◼
►
fine i picked jason snow boy uh it's getting down to it
01:04:58
◼
►
i i so want to pick mac not mentioned but i think they will mention the mac in
01:05:02
◼
►
passing right i think they will mention it in passing
01:05:05
◼
►
and say you know we've got great max coming with apple silicon
01:05:09
◼
►
and or you know mac os high sierra is great and that's coming out later this
01:05:12
◼
►
year or something like that i think that there's a real chance that
01:05:15
◼
►
they will mention the mac in passing not give it the complete cold shoulder
01:05:19
◼
►
which makes me not want to choose that um so
01:05:24
◼
►
oh boy um i'm gonna i'm gonna say apple tv content trailers on it okay
01:05:31
◼
►
uh that that they will show some video of
01:05:35
◼
►
of stuff from apple tv plus that you know they will they will take a moment
01:05:40
◼
►
to preview something that's coming on apple tv
01:05:43
◼
►
plus uh for all mankind has a trailer that they
01:05:47
◼
►
that's out there that they might show they might debut a a different show
01:05:50
◼
►
there's a question of what they've got that's coming that they can actually
01:05:53
◼
►
show but they've got some stuff and they're going into their second year
01:05:56
◼
►
of apple tv plus so they got to mention at some point it could be at the iphone
01:06:00
◼
►
event or it could be here um you know there's some rumors about new
01:06:04
◼
►
apple tv hardware update as well that could happen now or it could happen
01:06:07
◼
►
later but regardless uh i don't know
01:06:12
◼
►
i i'm running out of things to pick and this like
01:06:15
◼
►
never bet against apple promoting apple tv plus with some trailers
01:06:20
◼
►
i am uh i'm really scraping the bottom of the barrel here
01:06:25
◼
►
did i i snipe that one from you i was considering it
01:06:28
◼
►
okay yeah yeah it's tough and i'm gonna go with mac not mentioned it's it's uh
01:06:34
◼
►
thought about that but but i think that that one at this point
01:06:38
◼
►
might be a little tricky yeah the same same as me i think they're proud
01:06:42
◼
►
proud enough to mention it because i've also personally i know
01:06:47
◼
►
i have not personally ruled out the possibility of of the first apple
01:06:51
◼
►
silicon mac occurring this event like i think that the percentages are
01:06:56
◼
►
slim but i don't think the percentages are
01:06:58
◼
►
none i agree i think that there is a
01:07:01
◼
►
possibility of this sure but i'm gonna go with oh god
01:07:06
◼
►
new version of the home pod okay
01:07:11
◼
►
i don't really have much to say on it like either there will be a cheaper one
01:07:15
◼
►
or there's something to it but so like you know
01:07:19
◼
►
one of the one of the things for this is is you know i've heard this a bunch of
01:07:22
◼
►
like the home pod is running old chips and
01:07:24
◼
►
eventually they're going to want to start getting rid of those it's the same
01:07:27
◼
►
as the apple tv i was tossing up personally between new
01:07:30
◼
►
version of the home pod a new version of the apple tv
01:07:33
◼
►
i think i think those in the headphones are all in the same percentage chance of
01:07:36
◼
►
happening right which is they're out there air tags too right
01:07:39
◼
►
they're out there when will apple announce them whenever it feels like it
01:07:42
◼
►
who knows when that is right maybe this time maybe not maybe this year maybe not
01:07:46
◼
►
we just don't know but they're out there so i think new version of home pod is
01:07:51
◼
►
just as likely as some of these other choices including
01:07:54
◼
►
mine that you said was a bold choice so yeah i feel like uh you know that that's
01:07:58
◼
►
the this is the true gambling part of the draft right which is the
01:08:02
◼
►
things that we have a pretty good idea from reports are
01:08:05
◼
►
going to happen but we don't know when and that's the trick here is you have to
01:08:09
◼
►
pick now is the time for this product and we
01:08:12
◼
►
just don't know so that's fun it's exciting it means
01:08:15
◼
►
that uh we'll have a little extra when we're uh when we're watching the
01:08:18
◼
►
event on tuesday so that's it for the draft you want to
01:08:24
◼
►
we're going to be back tomorrow yes tuesday tuesday tuesday bonus
01:08:29
◼
►
upgrade tuesday tomorrow splitting upgrade this is like a
01:08:33
◼
►
little mini upgrade and then you get a little like bonus maxi upgrade tomorrow
01:08:37
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it's just we're all over the place this is the small
01:08:41
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uh iphone and tomorrow is the big iphone this is this is upgrade mini and we're
01:08:47
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gonna get upgrade max pro yes pro max oh max tomorrow yeah sure
01:08:52
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so thank you so much for tuning in to this very special draft
01:08:55
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event and we'll be back with more from uh recording as soon as we can after
01:09:02
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the event tomorrow uh the event today maybe depending on
01:09:04
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when you're listening to this but you can expect as usual that we will
01:09:08
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have all of our reactions and opinions and hot takes as soon as we
01:09:13
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can get them out after the event as always you can get an
01:09:17
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ad-free version of upgrade of additional content if you go to get upgrade plus
01:09:21
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dot com it's a great way to get that and you'll
01:09:23
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get i think in today's we're gonna we're gonna do a bit of draft debrief
01:09:27
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um i have some thoughts that i want to share jason with this new uh
01:09:31
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this new model that we've had here of the of the categories so we can
01:09:35
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we can maybe talk about that um thank you so much to smile and door dash for
01:09:40
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their support of this episode if you want to find jason online is at jason
01:09:43
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l j s n e double l six colors dot com where you'll find
01:09:47
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lots of great content about the apple event are you going to be live tweeting
01:09:51
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jason oh probably i feel like i feel like
01:09:56
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i am the person who reminds you about this
01:09:59
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before i ever know i mean dan and i go back and forth about i mean i will i will
01:10:02
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tweet some things right i i don't the volume everybody can
01:10:06
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watch live the volume of uh of play by play is
01:10:11
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not doesn't need to be large but sure um six colors event
01:10:15
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is the twitter account that that uh will feature all of those
01:10:18
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kind of blow by blow wonderful mentions and you can find uh information about
01:10:23
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this episode of relay.fm upgrade slash 315
01:10:27
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uh there and also in your show notes uh in the podcast app of choice
01:10:31
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you will find a link to zach knox's wonderful interactive scorecard
01:10:35
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so you can score along with us um and i love to see people tweeting at us their
01:10:40
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their results mostly because the numbers are always
01:10:42
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different and i find that so interesting to see what people score and what they
01:10:48
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so that's it for this episode we'll be back don't forget
01:10:52
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st jude dot org slash relay go and donate thank you so much if you do so
01:10:58
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until tomorrow jason snow say goodbye see you tomorrow mike
01:11:23
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[BLANK_AUDIO]