379: They Feed on Memory Bandwidth
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From Relay FM, this is Upgrade, episode 379. Today's show is brought to you by Fitbod, DoorDash, and TextExpander.
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My name is Myke Hurley and I'm joined by Jason Snell. Hi, Jason Snell.
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Hello, Myke Hurley. Congratulations on returning to Greenwich Mean Time.
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Thank you so much. It's my favorite time. It's the-- I'm back in the One True Time Zone.
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It's the most wonderful time of the year, or ever.
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Well, you know, it's the most correct time. I would say. I see.
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Is probably a better way to put it. I have a #SnellTalk question to start off today's episode,
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and it comes from Carsten, and Carsten wants to know, "Do you think Ted Lasso would be equally as good
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if the plot was reversed and English soccer manager traveled to the US to save an NFL football team?"
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No. I don't think the quaintness could exist, and I think the quaintness is part of what makes the show what it is.
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I think that, uh, to say that an NFL team would be like AFC Richmond is a stretch,
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just because of how franchises work in the United States and how much money there is,
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whereas I feel like you could have a team that was rambling around in the lower echelon of the Premier League
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or the upper level of the championship that was kind of as delightfully ramshackle as AFC Richmond is,
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and have it be sort of like, I don't know. I mean, it's not like an NFL team couldn't do, um,
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something as dumb as hiring Ted Lasso was, because they do that all the time.
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I just think that the way the NFL, the NFL is too corporate in some ways,
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and also you don't have the international flavor that you have in international soccer, European soccer,
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where there's players from all over. American football players tend to be almost entirely from North America.
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So, uh, you know, if I was pitching a Ted Lasso version that was set in the US,
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I would probably have it be like minor league baseball or college football, maybe, or college basketball.
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Something where there's a little less of a kind of monolithic corporate thing.
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Like, I just wouldn't buy it, I think, for an NFL team. I mean, I'm sure you could make a pitch that way,
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but I don't know. There are other sports, but I don't think the NFL would be the right fit.
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If you'd like to send in a #snotalk question for us to open the show,
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just send out a tweet with the hashtag #snotalk or use question mark #snotalk in the relay FM members Discord.
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So we have a big show coming up today.
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We are going to be talking about Apple's quarterly earnings report,
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which is an interesting one as it tends to be these days.
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And also coming up pretty soon, we have an interview with a couple of VPs over at Apple.
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We'll talk about that in just a minute.
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But before we do, let's thank everybody, Jason, who bought an upgrade logo tee or hoodie at upgradeyourwardrobe.com.
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I will just say, if you're listening to this show basically immediately when it comes out,
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you've got a couple more hours to buy if you want.
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So you can go to upgradeyourwardrobe.com for that.
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Thank you to everybody that did upgrade merch. We'll be back again next year.
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I got my MacBook Pro.
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Oh, how is it? How are you like?
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I love it so much.
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Oh man, I love this computer.
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So first off, the design. I just love it. I love how boxy it is.
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It's got like a real serious look to it.
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It's like, like, I feel like it's business computer.
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Like, I don't know what it is. It's got like a kind of retro.
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It's that retro vibe, I think, you know, of like the power books and the titanium,
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you know, the titanium power books.
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So it's got that kind of like serious vibe to it, which I, which I really like.
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The screen is fantastic.
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Just overall, I think the computer when you're using it feels more modern,
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just much more modern.
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You know, the bezels being super thin.
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The notch definitely does that as well.
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I think like it just, it just makes it feel like a current modern computer.
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ProMotion, you know, I'm not the first person to say this.
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It is very inconsistent.
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That was the surprise that I had was other than some catalyst apps,
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I found very little that actually supported ProMotion.
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Yeah. I think there has been some reports of like,
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just like a bunch of apps not accurately supporting it yet.
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But I feel like I see it in the operating system, you know?
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Which, which I enjoy.
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And I think this is, I don't know if this is maybe just the thing that's unique to me,
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but I'm very happy to have a lot of RAM in my machine again,
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because I think I mentioned this on the show,
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but I would get quite frequently a pop-up telling me that I had too many apps open
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and the system was demanding I close apps.
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And now I don't need to do that.
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And now like I keep opening an activity monitor,
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I'm like, ooh, 32 gigabytes of RAM being used.
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I, I just, I like having lots of apps open.
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Like when I'm using a Mac, I just like lots of stuff open.
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And I just click around to what I need.
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Like maybe this makes me a weird Mac user.
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I don't know.
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But you know, I did, that's just how I like to run my Macintosh.
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So I'm very happy to have more RAM, like just tons more RAM.
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You know, I'm just doing some tests.
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My tests are the same as everybody else's.
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Like a lot of the audio stuff that I do is kind of around 20% faster
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than I was actually, I was actually doing against my M1 iMac.
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That's why I was just running some tests today.
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Cause it's the machine that I'm using most.
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So like for processing audio, bouncing stuff out of logic,
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it was about 20% faster than that.
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Which means it's kind of around that honestly for my iMac pro as well,
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because the M1 and my iMac pro were shockingly similar at lot of those tasks.
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Yeah, it's true.
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I mean, I'm, I'm really excited just to use this machine more.
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I think it's just a fantastic computer and I, and I'm so happy that Apple have
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gone in this direction again.
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So it's really, really fantastic.
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Mac OS Monterey is out.
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I keep thinking in my mind, Monterey, like it's a person, you know, like it's
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Monterey's operating system.
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Flying circus.
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Monterey's flying circus.
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There's no available.
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I think we're going to come back to Monterey on a future episode.
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That's Spanish for what?
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The King's mountain.
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Great timing.
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The Monterey release was last Monday right after upgrade.
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Of course I've been working all summer on my Monterey review and then I got a Mac
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Pro, which was great, but it meant that I moved that to the side.
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And so like Monday and Tuesday was my, can I please just finish this Monterey review?
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I spent a lot of time with shortcuts.
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So I'm sure we'll talk about it more in the future.
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I wrote a couple of pieces last week on six colors about shortcuts and getting shortcuts
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to work across platform, which you can't do.
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I want to talk about that specifically in the next coming weeks is talking about
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Yeah. I figure we're going to, we're going to have time to talk about stuff the next
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few weeks because the, the fuselage of Apple product releases has slowed down and we can
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pick up the pieces.
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All this stuff that we haven't really talked about.
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Unless we have, I don't know, some real big like meaty HomePod color coverage.
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The colors are coming back to talk about those.
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Like a color episode.
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You have to have to do that.
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A bunch of new ebook readers came out.
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Maybe we should just have Scott McNulty back and do a whole episode about Kindles.
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I have in my, in my Apple note where I keep links.
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I've been collecting links of, of, uh, different, your readers that you've been putting on six
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So I do, I have, I have all the kobos and I'm getting the new paperwhite from Amazon
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and I am going to do a big, uh, e-reader Roundup.
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So maybe we'll just dig in.
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Don't forget, while we're talking about what's come in, I have a, uh, I was looking through
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my to do manager today and I saw very, uh, uh, ominous task, which was prepare for the
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upgrade ease.
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I've been thinking about the upgrade ease the last few weeks.
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Actually, I've been thinking about it.
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I, I, again, amid all the other things going on, I, I had this light finally turn on in
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my brain like three weeks ago that was the upgrade ease.
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And I was like, I'm ready.
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I I'm, I mean, I'm not prepared, but I'm, I'm already working on, thinking about what the
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stuff is for, uh, for the upgrade ease.
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So that's going to be good.
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And we have to work on what our process is going to be and all of that, but we'll, um,
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we'll do that.
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We'll figure that out.
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We'll put our heads together and figure that out.
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This episode is brought to you by our friends over at text expander from smile.
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Our thanks to text expander from smile for their support of this show and relay FM.
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So a few days ago, we got to sit down with our, I will say friends of the show, Tom Boger,
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who is the Apple's VP of Mac and iPad product marketing and Tim Millet, who's Apple's vice
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president of platform architecture to talk about the M1 Pro and M1 Macs chips.
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So we've had Tim and Tom on before to talk about Apple Silicon stuff and so it seemed
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just about right that we would have them on to talk about these new chips.
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So without further ado, here is our conversation that we had with Tim and Tom.
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I would really love to start off by hearing a little bit about how the M1 Pro and M1 Macs
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were developed.
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Like was this an expansion of the existing M1 or did you have to go back to the drawing
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board to basically start again to get to these incredible chips?
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It's a great question and the answers, as you can imagine, it's a little more complicated
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than yes or no or one or the other.
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It's actually an interesting hybrid of the two.
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We absolutely started with the foundational building blocks of M1 because we've invested
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in those building blocks.
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They're tremendous.
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Architecturally, we wanted to make sure that software written for M1 based machines was
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going to translate over, that software developers would see something familiar when they looked
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at the M1 Pro and M1 Macs.
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But of course, familiar only in the sense that their applications ran without a snag.
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The performance, we wanted to blow their minds and our goal was really to just blow the doors
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What we could pack into these beautiful enclosures that the Mac system team builds.
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And so really it was about, okay, how do you do that?
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How do you take those fundamental building blocks that made M1 great and scale them up
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and really that required us to tear it all apart and put it all back together in a way
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that enabled this massive memory system that we're able to deliver with M1 Pro and M1 Macs.
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Getting to 200 gigabytes per second and stitching the CPU complex, the GPU complex together
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to get access to that bandwidth.
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And what's interesting about a unified memory system is the CPU is desperately interested
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always in lowest possible latency to memory.
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The GPU, all it wants is bandwidth.
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Give it to me.
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And it can tolerate a little bit of extra latency.
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Building one memory system that does both has interesting properties.
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One of them is it provides the GPU with an interestingly high capacity memory system
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that actually has a pretty good latency picture.
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And the CPU, all of a sudden, your multi-threaded applications are seeing bandwidth they've
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never seen before.
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And so tackling that, that was our target and doing that really did require us to do
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a lot of invention, not necessarily in some of the fundamental cores that we use
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to build our impressive CPUs and GPUs, but really the fabric, how you stitch it together
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and connect it to the memory system, along with all the other goodies that come along
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The video accelerators, the machine learning accelerators, the display engines, all the
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things that give M1 based systems the amazing battery life.
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Those are all translated over into the M1 Pro and M1 Macs.
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- This is, again, I'm sure one of those questions where the answer is it's a little bit of both,
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but was, is it fair to say, was it more work to get the M1 Pro and Macs to where they are
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than to get the M1 where it was?
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Was there a lot more that had to be put into from your teams to get it to where we are
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- Yeah, and as you predicted, it's a complex answer.
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M1 was standing on the shoulders of a decade of effort, a decade of work that was done
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across starting with the phone, transitioning into the iPad Pro.
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And every step we took in that direction got us closer to M1.
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So you could say it was a decade of work that got us to the point where we could deliver
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But going from the previous step was not as much work as it took us to go from M1 to M1
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Pro and M1 Macs.
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We did that in a much shorter time period.
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It required us to really scale up our engineering team, bring in some amazing players to extend
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Johnny Srugi's amazing team.
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And really, we packed in a couple of years a lot, a lot of amazing engineering work that
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with M1, we had the luxury of time to really progress through the Apple's product lines
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until we finally got to the point where we were ready to deliver M1.
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- As impressive as M1 is and as impressed as we all were last year with it, I think it
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might be fair to say that it was familiar in the sense that it felt like it was trying
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to do some similar things to what iPad chips had done in the past, the X chips.
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These two M1 Pro and Macs chips feel like it's a place that Apple's silicon design had
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not been at all before.
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Like you're really going out into a brand new space in a way that the M1 didn't so much.
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Would that be fair to say?
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- Absolutely.
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I mean, I'll let Tom talk about the goals of the Mac and our focus on the Pro workflows,
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but we absolutely work closely with the Mac team to identify, okay, what are the essential
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If we're going to focus our energy and reconstruct this thing, what are the workflows that matter
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What are we trying to achieve with the Pro?
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And it was that effort between the industrial design team, the product design team, the
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system team, our amazing Pro workflow team, and then really getting all of those targets
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working together with silicon engineering, my team, the architecture group, and putting
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together a story that when we put it down on paper, we said, yeah, this looks like it's
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going to be exactly what we want.
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And so then it was execution and driving it through the amazing silicon designers and
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DB and the fabrication process and packaging.
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I mean, the whole thing is just this huge, huge effort to achieve it.
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But yeah, it was really different.
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We clearly were targeting something beyond the phone, beyond the iOS systems that we
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had been targeting in the past.
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And even though M1, like you said, was a breakthrough product for the entry level, our most popular
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Macs, getting to the Pro was different and it required different focus.
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One of the things that we've talked about on this show with you guys in the past is
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the tremendous, I guess luxury would be the right term for Tim and his team to know what
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systems we're designing for in advance, right?
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We're not a merchant chip vendor.
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We design our silicon for our products.
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And so we knew that we wanted to create the world's best Pro notebooks bar none.
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And from the very beginning, his team, along with the system team, product design team,
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industrial design team, software teams, every part of the process were in lockstep designing
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these chips specifically for these systems to deliver what our customers are now experiencing
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I'm not going to ask Tim to comment on how luxurious it was.
00:16:40
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Because I'm sure it was hard work, but I get your point.
00:16:44
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In fact, one of the questions I wanted to ask was about some of the specific designs.
00:16:48
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We focus so much on, you know, how many CPU cores, how many GPU cores, but as an example,
00:16:53
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the ProRes encoder and decoder.
00:16:55
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►
And I know Apple built the whole afterburner card for the Mac Pro that was specifically
00:17:00
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designed for ProRes.
00:17:02
◼
►
Obviously, this seems like a really good example of building things into the chip, into the
00:17:08
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processor that's driving your systems because of professional workflows, you know, that
00:17:13
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the users of your products want.
00:17:16
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And if you could talk a little bit about the thought process that goes into saying, this
00:17:20
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is so important, we're going to put it on the chip.
00:17:22
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You know, it's a great question.
00:17:23
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And you've had a chance to see my boss, Johnny Scruggi, up on the screen a few times now.
00:17:28
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Hopefully, you got the impression that he's a serious individual and he is.
00:17:32
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And he holds us accountable for every transistor we put down there.
00:17:35
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We recommend putting down there.
00:17:37
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And ProRes is absolutely one of those things.
00:17:39
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You know, you can do ProRes on a CPU.
00:17:42
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You can do ProRes probably on the GPU.
00:17:44
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Why do we need to put a dedicated engine down?
00:17:45
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►
Well, when we look at our Pro workflow users and we look at the things that they want to
00:17:50
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do with these machines and we look at these machines and what they're capable of, we realize,
00:17:54
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hey, we can put down a relatively modest investment in silicon to be able to have a dramatic outsized
00:18:01
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►
impact on the performance of the machines.
00:18:02
◼
►
So much so that this is a number Tom shared with me.
00:18:05
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►
The 28 core Mac Pro with the afterburner card is left in the dust by these new systems with
00:18:11
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►
M1 Pro and M1 Macs.
00:18:12
◼
►
And part of that is the integration in the unified memory system, moving that engine,
00:18:18
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►
which was very similar to the engine we put on our afterburner card.
00:18:21
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►
You move it into a unified memory system.
00:18:23
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►
It breaks all the bottlenecks.
00:18:25
◼
►
And when we do that performance modeling, and that's a big piece of how we justify a
00:18:29
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►
lot of these things and we demonstrate what's going to be possible.
00:18:31
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►
Yeah, we say, yeah, this is worth it.
00:18:34
◼
►
It's going to cost us some area, but it's the benefit outweighs the cost.
00:18:39
◼
►
And as Johnny said in the keynote, this is a perfect example of the advantage that we
00:18:44
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►
have in being able to design and build our own silicon is to do things in our silicon
00:18:50
◼
►
to enable things for our customers that you simply can't do on any other notebook.
00:18:55
◼
►
I had a question about memory and I know we've touched on it a little bit, but obviously
00:19:00
◼
►
between the M1 to the M1 Pro to the M1 Macs, the unified system memory, although it's the
00:19:05
◼
►
same in some ways philosophically is really different and that the bandwidth that's going
00:19:11
◼
►
on there is different.
00:19:12
◼
►
I'm wondering if you have thoughts about what, how that comes out in the day to day
00:19:16
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►
experience, what will the users see?
00:19:18
◼
►
And also the difference between sort of like what you see on the Pro and what you see on
00:19:24
◼
►
the Macs in terms of getting that extra.
00:19:27
◼
►
Cause I know you've got, you're going from sort of two pools of memory to four pools
00:19:31
◼
►
So you're getting twice the speed.
00:19:33
◼
►
You know, how does that when I'm using one of these systems day to day, or I'm deciding
00:19:36
◼
►
whether I need a Pro, an M1 Pro or an M1 Macs chip in my MacBook Pro, what goes into that?
00:19:42
◼
►
How does that reflect in the world?
00:19:44
◼
►
So I'll talk a little bit about what we were targeting and I'll let Tom talk about how
00:19:48
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►
that translates to the different kinds of customers and what they might think about
00:19:51
◼
►
with where they're choosing it.
00:19:52
◼
►
But one of the motivators around M1 Macs, let's talk about that one, 400 gigabytes per
00:19:58
◼
►
You know, this seems like a lot of bandwidth, but if you're a customer of a Pro notebook
00:20:02
◼
►
and you're used to integrating some of the highest performance GPUs, discrete GPUs, you
00:20:08
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►
see memory systems that are like this.
00:20:10
◼
►
You see memory systems in that 400 ish gigabytes per second range.
00:20:14
◼
►
And so you're a Pro customer who has expectations that you're going to get a GPU with that kind
00:20:19
◼
►
of memory system so you can get the performance out of it.
00:20:21
◼
►
We know GPUs are large compute engines, but they feed on memory bandwidth.
00:20:26
◼
►
If you keep them fed, you can keep the computers happy.
00:20:30
◼
►
But if you starve them, they will fall over.
00:20:32
◼
►
And they'll just get stuck and get slow.
00:20:33
◼
►
And so if you are a serious Pro user interested in making sure that GPU is unconstrained,
00:20:38
◼
►
you're going to be very happy with M1 Macs.
00:20:41
◼
►
You know, you're going to be someone who says, this is fantastic and I can't believe I have
00:20:45
◼
►
this in a notebook computer.
00:20:47
◼
►
That said, the unified memory system in the M1 Pro is also fantastic and it's scaled
00:20:53
◼
►
appropriately for the GPU.
00:20:55
◼
►
So we're always tracking the GPU and the memory system to try to make sure we have the bandwidth
00:20:59
◼
►
appropriate for the GPU that we've got.
00:21:01
◼
►
And if you go down one click and you look at M1, it's the same story.
00:21:04
◼
►
You can even go back down to the phone chip and you see it again.
00:21:06
◼
►
We're always trying to make sure the GPU that we put down has enough bandwidth to be
00:21:10
◼
►
unconstrained or reach that balance point that makes the most sense.
00:21:13
◼
►
And that's what you said before about the voraciousness of a GPU and just how a GPU
00:21:17
◼
►
behaves at once at all, as fast as it can get it.
00:21:21
◼
►
It's just, you know, you want to get it to the point where it's got so much bandwidth
00:21:24
◼
►
that it can't keep up and you find that balance point.
00:21:26
◼
►
So you design your GPU balanced with your memory system.
00:21:29
◼
►
But this great memory system is also available to the CPU and it will show itself in an interesting
00:21:35
◼
►
If you're someone writing heavily multi-threaded applications, it is not unusual for these
00:21:40
◼
►
applications to stall out on a traditional PC architecture because the memory bandwidth
00:21:45
◼
►
isn't there to keep the CPUs happy.
00:21:47
◼
►
And we see these applications all the time on these M1 Pro, both M1 Pro and M1 Mac systems.
00:21:53
◼
►
There's more than enough bandwidth to keep these amazing CPU cores going.
00:21:57
◼
►
And so you don't see a slowdown.
00:21:59
◼
►
You don't see a slowdown for two reasons.
00:22:01
◼
►
We don't run out of bandwidth and we don't max out the power, which is the other key
00:22:05
◼
►
But from a, how do you choose it?
00:22:07
◼
►
Maybe, I don't know, maybe Tom has thoughts about who are the customers that are going
00:22:10
◼
►
to go one way or the other.
00:22:11
◼
►
Well, first I just want to comment on the impact of the unified memory model, because
00:22:16
◼
►
as customers are finding out now, it is profound, right?
00:22:20
◼
►
It is profound in the way that we've changed the whole architecture for a Pro notebook
00:22:26
◼
►
with these systems, right?
00:22:28
◼
►
And we try to explain that in the keynote of how traditional Pro notebook is architected
00:22:32
◼
►
and how these are so different.
00:22:34
◼
►
And we gave a few examples in the keynote of how they have dramatically changed what
00:22:41
◼
►
these systems can do.
00:22:42
◼
►
One of my favorites was when Shruthi was covering performance and she talked about the fact
00:22:49
◼
►
that, hey, in the competitive space, PC laptops top out at 16 gigs of video memory.
00:22:55
◼
►
But with this unified memory model, our GPU has access to up to 64.
00:22:59
◼
►
And so it allows things you simply couldn't do.
00:23:02
◼
►
And the example that she had on the screen behind her was a real scene created by our
00:23:07
◼
►
Pro workflow team in Octane.
00:23:09
◼
►
It was the scene of a spaceship and it had 137 million triangles.
00:23:16
◼
►
And the amount of memory it takes when you open that in Octane is nearly 35 gigabytes.
00:23:23
◼
►
So you literally cannot even open that project on any other notebook.
00:23:29
◼
►
It simply won't open.
00:23:30
◼
►
And not only can you open it on both the 16-inch and the 14-inch MacBook Pro, but it's buttery
00:23:36
◼
►
smooth, completely interactive, and it's in HDR, by the way.
00:23:39
◼
►
So you're taking advantage of the amazing screen that it's paired with.
00:23:42
◼
►
The other example that Shruthi gave in the keynote was color grading 8K ProRes 4.4.4
00:23:50
◼
►
HDR video while on battery.
00:23:53
◼
►
Which is the amazing thing at 24 frames per second.
00:23:56
◼
►
And unified memory architecture makes that possible.
00:23:59
◼
►
It's simply not possible before, especially on battery.
00:24:03
◼
►
On a competitive system, you unplug that notebook and you're going to drop by two to three X
00:24:09
◼
►
in terms of your performance.
00:24:10
◼
►
So I think the unified memory model is a profound change for our users and our products.
00:24:17
◼
►
And we're just beginning to find all the ways in which it's going to make things possible
00:24:22
◼
►
that weren't possible before or faster and better than they were before.
00:24:28
◼
►
So the M1 Pro and the M1 Max have two efficiency cores rather than the four that are on the
00:24:34
◼
►
I'm interested to know how you settled on this balance and ratio between performance
00:24:39
◼
►
and efficiency, because there's a difference there.
00:24:43
◼
►
And do you find that for most typical workflows of just standard work, that this work is being
00:24:49
◼
►
done just on the efficiency cores?
00:24:51
◼
►
And it's only really when heavy work kicks in, which is when the performance cores kick
00:24:56
◼
►
Yeah, that's a great question.
00:24:57
◼
►
And it's one that, as you can imagine, again, we don't take anything lightly.
00:25:00
◼
►
We don't make decisions without a lot of consideration.
00:25:04
◼
►
And in this case, I think this was really something we thought about really with regard
00:25:09
◼
►
This goes to the what's our focus for these systems.
00:25:13
◼
►
We know that in our phones and our iPads and even, frankly, in the entry level, our most
00:25:19
◼
►
popular Macs, those efficiency cores are workhorses.
00:25:22
◼
►
They're taken care of a lot of background tasks.
00:25:24
◼
►
And it's only when you have the most demanding workload that we fire up those PCores, performance
00:25:30
◼
►
When you look at these more capable machines, when you look at the Pro, and these are sized
00:25:35
◼
►
differently and they're bigger machines aimed at the bigger applications, they're trying
00:25:40
◼
►
to tackle bigger problems.
00:25:42
◼
►
The trade-off is different.
00:25:43
◼
►
The trade-off is different.
00:25:44
◼
►
Now, we know that our performance cores, if you look at them and you look at those curves
00:25:49
◼
►
that you saw in the keynote that Johnny pointed out, they start in the lower left and they
00:25:53
◼
►
go up to the right.
00:25:54
◼
►
Well, at that most efficient point, which is at that lowest voltage point, the lowest
00:25:58
◼
►
power point on those curves, those processors are operating at an amazing efficiency.
00:26:03
◼
►
There actually is overlap.
00:26:04
◼
►
The top of the efficiency core actually overlaps with the bottom of the performance power curve.
00:26:08
◼
►
And so we know that if we really do need in these more capable systems, highly efficient,
00:26:14
◼
►
we don't necessarily have to use efficiency cores to achieve great battery life in these
00:26:19
◼
►
smaller systems.
00:26:20
◼
►
But we know that those performance cores are more than twice as fast as the efficiency
00:26:24
◼
►
And the pros and the Pro users are going to really appreciate that.
00:26:27
◼
►
So this went into our decision to say, you know, we want to maintain some efficiency
00:26:31
◼
►
cores for architectural consistency because they are very, I mean, they really are excellent
00:26:36
◼
►
for a lot of background, a lot of utility work, and you know, somebody who is simply
00:26:41
◼
►
reading their email because pros sometimes read their email.
00:26:43
◼
►
Sometimes they're just consuming content.
00:26:46
◼
►
And so the efficiency cores are there to make sure that they're having a really nice experience
00:26:49
◼
►
in that case.
00:26:50
◼
►
But we wanted to make the trade off for performance.
00:26:53
◼
►
And so that's why we chose to double down on the performance cores.
00:26:56
◼
►
And we recovered a little bit of the area from the efficiency cores to be able to pay
00:27:00
◼
►
So much of your decision making watching these systems is it seems like it goes in multiples.
00:27:05
◼
►
And so that was a choice that jumped out a little bit and that it wasn't sort of double
00:27:10
◼
►
A decision was made there to do a different balance.
00:27:13
◼
►
So thank you for answering that.
00:27:14
◼
►
There's just a nice balance between the M1 Pro and the M1 Max when you look across the
00:27:19
◼
►
spectrum of various workloads and types of work that our Pro customers do.
00:27:24
◼
►
Let's say you're in the music production where, you know, having a monster of a GPU that M1
00:27:31
◼
►
Max has isn't as important to you.
00:27:34
◼
►
And so M1 Pro is an awesome chip for that.
00:27:37
◼
►
But let's say you're into 3D work and having an incredibly capable and powerful GPU is
00:27:44
◼
►
something that is really germane to what you're doing.
00:27:47
◼
►
Then we have M1 Max.
00:27:48
◼
►
And so that's one of the things that we looked at as we were configuring these chips is the
00:27:54
◼
►
spectrum of workloads that our customers are using and making sure we have a great solution
00:28:00
◼
►
for that whole spectrum.
00:28:01
◼
►
I have another question for you, Tom, which is because it's a little more product end
00:28:06
◼
►
product focused, which is I think Apple has over the years been really disciplined in
00:28:11
◼
►
terms of how it communicates battery life and also when making the products and sort
00:28:15
◼
►
of targeting battery life and positioning different products with different levels of
00:28:19
◼
►
battery life.
00:28:20
◼
►
The battery life is great as we would expect on these systems that are running Apple Silicon.
00:28:26
◼
►
I did notice that they're a little bit less than the rated battery life on the 13 inch
00:28:31
◼
►
M1 MacBook Pro that was released last year.
00:28:33
◼
►
I'm curious if there was anything in the decision making of how you balance battery
00:28:37
◼
►
life versus the weight of the device versus the needs of the user of the larger systems
00:28:43
◼
►
and how you kind of work through the math to get a great result at the end but have
00:28:47
◼
►
it be different for the different computers.
00:28:49
◼
►
Well, it's a little different between the 16 inch model and the 14 inch model with the
00:28:55
◼
►
16 inch model as we've done in the previous generation.
00:28:58
◼
►
We're putting in the biggest battery we possibly can.
00:29:02
◼
►
Take it on to a plane.
00:29:03
◼
►
That the law allows.
00:29:04
◼
►
Yeah, exactly.
00:29:05
◼
►
And so the key here was to take advantage of that existing battery as much as possible.
00:29:15
◼
►
Now, one of the things that helps that is promotion.
00:29:17
◼
►
With promotion, it steps down the refresh rate of the display so that in those moments
00:29:24
◼
►
where there's not a lot going on in the display, we can actually save battery life.
00:29:29
◼
►
And so unlike the M1 based systems where it was a lot of things that were in general in
00:29:35
◼
►
terms of typical usage of those systems, very similar.
00:29:39
◼
►
With these systems, the workloads can be dramatically different in terms of how they
00:29:44
◼
►
affect battery life.
00:29:45
◼
►
And so we did a bunch of testing and measurements of various workloads and your mileage is going
00:29:51
◼
►
to vary, to be honest, between the workloads that you're doing on these systems in terms
00:29:56
◼
►
of battery life.
00:29:57
◼
►
It can range all the way from the everyday thing like watching a movie where on the 16
00:30:01
◼
►
inch MacBook Pro, you get the longest battery life we've ever offered.
00:30:05
◼
►
You broke 20 hours.
00:30:06
◼
►
I was predicting that.
00:30:07
◼
►
I'm checking myself for not actually drafting that in our draft.
00:30:10
◼
►
I was like, 20 plus hour battery life claim?
00:30:13
◼
►
Is it going to happen?
00:30:16
◼
►
And then there are other things where you're not going to get 21 hours of battery because
00:30:20
◼
►
you're doing something really performance intensive.
00:30:23
◼
►
But I guarantee you, if you compare the battery life you get with that performance intensive
00:30:28
◼
►
workload compared to the previous generation, you're going to get two to three X the battery
00:30:32
◼
►
So, you know, we gave a couple examples.
00:30:34
◼
►
You know, if you're ingesting, editing and images in Lightroom Classic, you'll get two
00:30:40
◼
►
X the battery life.
00:30:41
◼
►
If you're compiling code, you can compile four times as much code on a single charge.
00:30:46
◼
►
So it does vary via the workload.
00:30:49
◼
►
And it is a range of battery life.
00:30:51
◼
►
And then on the 14 inch, you know, we size that battery.
00:30:54
◼
►
It's a bigger battery than the 13 inch.
00:30:56
◼
►
It's about 20% larger.
00:30:57
◼
►
And we size that battery appropriate for the system.
00:31:00
◼
►
So battery life and power efficiency is the secret sauce of these systems, right?
00:31:06
◼
►
We have been trained for years and years and years.
00:31:09
◼
►
You have to sacrifice one for the other.
00:31:11
◼
►
And with these systems, you get amazing performance, but you're not sacrificing battery life.
00:31:17
◼
►
And not only that, your performance on battery is the same as when you're plugged in, which
00:31:23
◼
►
is unheard of in this space.
00:31:25
◼
►
Which is a very Apple thing.
00:31:26
◼
►
Like that's a very Apple thing to do.
00:31:28
◼
►
You know, like, oh, it's a little bit faster when you're plugged in.
00:31:32
◼
►
I hope you're all okay with that, right?
00:31:34
◼
►
No, that's not going to work.
00:31:35
◼
►
That's not going to work.
00:31:36
◼
►
I remember when we spoke last time about the M1, we asked you about the ports.
00:31:41
◼
►
And I think that we had a similar conversation when talking with Colleen about the M1 iMac,
00:31:47
◼
►
about the M1 having a maximum amount of Thunderbolt ports that it could cope with.
00:31:53
◼
►
Now, obviously with the new machines, with the new laptops, you have more port options
00:31:58
◼
►
than you had available before.
00:32:00
◼
►
So we see SD card and we also now have HDMI as well.
00:32:05
◼
►
Did you have to do specific work to cater for pro customers in this way?
00:32:10
◼
►
Like when you sat down to work on creating these chips again, because you're able to
00:32:14
◼
►
work together on this, was it like for our pro customers, we want to bring more port
00:32:17
◼
►
options back.
00:32:18
◼
►
And so does that have to go into the work at the beginning to make sure that you're
00:32:23
◼
►
able to have this amount of IO on the machines?
00:32:26
◼
►
Yeah, it's an interesting question.
00:32:27
◼
►
And obviously, you know, we've been talking about, like you said, last year, we talked
00:32:30
◼
►
about the ports being a chip limitation.
00:32:32
◼
►
And then just I'll dwell for just a moment back to what we talked about before.
00:32:35
◼
►
The system did not need more ports than the chip actually produced.
00:32:40
◼
►
So putting extra support in the chip, we look at the chip and say, well, the chip didn't
00:32:44
◼
►
have the support, but you actually kind of have to flip it around at Apple from a chip
00:32:47
◼
►
developer's perspective because they decide what they need, what the work of art is going
00:32:51
◼
►
to look like, what electronics are going to, how they're going to fit in there.
00:32:54
◼
►
And then we get the, we sort of get the list and say, hey, give us the stuff.
00:32:57
◼
►
If we were to put extra stuff into the chip that wasn't used by that would like, like
00:33:02
◼
►
I said, we're held accountable.
00:33:04
◼
►
So we want to make sure we're designing it.
00:33:05
◼
►
So absolutely.
00:33:06
◼
►
When we looked at the pros, Tom provided a lot of great guidance on the kinds of port
00:33:11
◼
►
structures we want.
00:33:12
◼
►
What makes sense?
00:33:13
◼
►
How do you want to scale those across the different platforms?
00:33:15
◼
►
How many displays is the right number?
00:33:17
◼
►
And so, yeah, we go back and re-architect and re-engineer and make sure our IO system
00:33:21
◼
►
can scale and we can add in those extra ports and the extra capabilities.
00:33:25
◼
►
If there's acceleration that's needed, we'll go in and look at that.
00:33:27
◼
►
But a lot of the work that was done in M1 to, you know, we talked about iPad Pro.
00:33:32
◼
►
Well, iPad Pro didn't have Thunderbolt 4 ports in them.
00:33:35
◼
►
And so, yeah, there's, there's engineering that had to go into just get M1 to the point
00:33:38
◼
►
where it was the right set of IO features for the Mac.
00:33:42
◼
►
And then with M1 Pro and M1 Macs, we made sure we were hitting those targets that the
00:33:47
◼
►
system team was trying to achieve for IO and extensibility.
00:33:50
◼
►
When we look at these systems, and I know that in the last week, everybody's been pricing
00:33:54
◼
►
on them and buying them and talking about them, clicking around on that configurator
00:33:57
◼
►
on Apple.com.
00:33:59
◼
►
There are a lot of available options on these systems.
00:34:01
◼
►
We've got different CPU core options, different GPU core options as well.
00:34:06
◼
►
And then, of course, there's the Pro and Macs toggle, if you will.
00:34:10
◼
►
What was the thinking behind offering a menu of choices for users?
00:34:16
◼
►
And is this something that you're able to more easily decide and allow for since you're
00:34:21
◼
►
the supplier, you're your own chip supplier now, rather than having to build based on
00:34:26
◼
►
what's on offer from your old chip supplier?
00:34:28
◼
►
Now you are both of those things.
00:34:29
◼
►
So how, what's the thought process that goes into what, obviously, too many options might
00:34:34
◼
►
confuse customers.
00:34:35
◼
►
So you've made some very specific decisions in offering them different options for these
00:34:41
◼
►
Yeah, I think you have to strike just the right balance in terms of the number of options
00:34:46
◼
►
that you offer versus, like you said, you could offer too many.
00:34:49
◼
►
And what we try to do is look across the spectrum of workloads and applications that our Pro
00:34:56
◼
►
customers are using and make sure that we're checking all the boxes, so to speak, in terms
00:35:00
◼
►
of if you're depending on this particular workload, we got a configuration that's really
00:35:05
◼
►
great for you.
00:35:06
◼
►
And the customers who purchase these products are very savvy.
00:35:09
◼
►
They compare notes, they talk to each other about their various experiences with the different
00:35:16
◼
►
And usually the way it works out is that you end up with some sweet spots in terms of,
00:35:21
◼
►
hey, if you're a video editor, this is a great system for you.
00:35:24
◼
►
If you're into music production, well, this is a great configuration and so forth and
00:35:29
◼
►
And so we want to make sure that we have just a variety of choice for those customers.
00:35:35
◼
►
Optimize for those workloads that we know our customers run on MacBook Pros.
00:35:39
◼
►
MATT PORTER,
00:36:02
◼
►
On that sense of overwhelm, in the overall PC industry, GPU, CPU, system on a chip branding,
00:36:09
◼
►
it's a little overwhelming.
00:36:11
◼
►
I think it can be a series of numbers.
00:36:13
◼
►
And I think to most people, mostly meaningless names, like here's the same set of letters
00:36:18
◼
►
and this time it's actually better than the last time.
00:36:21
◼
►
And when we were all pontificating what you might be doing, a lot of the names that were
00:36:25
◼
►
being banded around were like M1X, M1Z, that kind of thing.
00:36:29
◼
►
But you went with M1 Pro and M1 Max.
00:36:33
◼
►
What went into this branding decision?
00:36:35
◼
►
Was it to try and make it just easier for customers to understand and be able to tell
00:36:40
◼
►
between what was on offer?
00:36:41
◼
►
DANIEL MCCARTHY, M.P.S., M.P.S.
00:36:42
◼
►
Well, we spend a lot of time thinking about our naming and obviously it has to be scalable
00:36:48
◼
►
and meaningful, but most importantly, easy to understand.
00:36:53
◼
►
And I totally agree with you when you look at the rest of the industry in terms of the
00:37:00
◼
►
branding and the naming.
00:37:01
◼
►
I mean, you need a decoder ring.
00:37:02
◼
►
No, we just wanted names that people were familiar with.
00:37:08
◼
►
Obviously we're building on the tremendous, tremendous success of M1.
00:37:13
◼
►
And I think it's really easy to understand.
00:37:16
◼
►
We have this family of chips now, the M1 family of chips, M1, M1 Pro and M1 Max.
00:37:23
◼
►
And you really understand it very easily and succinctly.
00:37:27
◼
►
And it's just a very simple way to communicate the capabilities of the three chips.
00:37:32
◼
►
MATT PORTER, M.P.S., M.P.S.
00:37:32
◼
►
We also spend a lot of time thinking about product branding at Apple.
00:37:36
◼
►
It's just that we don't make any decisions about it.
00:37:38
◼
►
That's the big difference there.
00:37:40
◼
►
We think about it maybe as much as you do.
00:37:43
◼
►
It's just that, you know, then nothing happens when we think about it.
00:37:47
◼
►
I do want to say that Myke and I have run into this already.
00:37:50
◼
►
That's when you're talking out loud about M1 Max, various computers running M1 processors,
00:37:54
◼
►
and then you talk about M1 Max, a processor, you're making it hard for us, I guess.
00:37:59
◼
►
But I do think that in general, it's better to have it be called something with words
00:38:03
◼
►
than the 3200 CZ or something, right?
00:38:06
◼
►
Where it's like, oh, well, those numbers don't mean anything to me.
00:38:09
◼
►
Yeah, we don't particularly expect you to make decisions for how it might sound on the
00:38:14
◼
►
upgrade podcast with me and Jesse saying it.
00:38:17
◼
►
And at the end of the day, it's all about the MacBook Pro.
00:38:20
◼
►
And that's the ultimate name, if you will, for the product.
00:38:25
◼
►
That's what people are buying.
00:38:26
◼
►
They're buying, the chip is in there, but they're buying a MacBook Pro, and that's
00:38:30
◼
►
a very familiar brand that they understand.
00:38:33
◼
►
Yeah, nobody's talking about it as much as we are.
00:38:35
◼
►
No one says, you know, like, the typical buyers, no saying M1 Max like 16 times in an hour.
00:38:41
◼
►
So I wanted to mention something and talk a little bit about something that doesn't
00:38:47
◼
►
get as much love as maybe it should, which is storage and storage speed.
00:38:50
◼
►
And the storage speed on these systems is so much faster.
00:38:57
◼
►
And I, when we moved from spinning hard drives to SSDs, I thought that was the sort of last
00:39:02
◼
►
time we would ever need to talk about storage speed, but of course not.
00:39:05
◼
►
I have an iMac Pro with a very nice SSD that was fast when I bought it and it hasn't slowed
00:39:11
◼
►
down, but this is two and a half to three times as fast in terms of reads and writes.
00:39:16
◼
►
So I'm curious, sort of what goes into the process of looking at the storage and the
00:39:20
◼
►
storage speeds that you're going to put on these products.
00:39:23
◼
►
And when you're thinking about the users, what kind of enhancements are you thinking
00:39:27
◼
►
of in terms of boosting the storage?
00:39:29
◼
►
Because I know when I tried it out for the first time and I pressed save on a very large
00:39:32
◼
►
audio document and I could not believe my eyes as the progress bar flew across the screen
00:39:37
◼
►
that the SSDs are so much faster on these systems.
00:39:40
◼
►
We started doing our own SSD development, you know, it goes back probably close to eight,
00:39:46
◼
►
Interestingly, the original work was work that we did integrate into one of the early
00:39:51
◼
►
MacBooks that came out.
00:39:53
◼
►
And so this, when I think about the storage system on the Mac, we architecturally try
00:39:57
◼
►
to figure out, okay, what is our fundamental core building block?
00:40:00
◼
►
And then how do we take that core building block and scale it to the appropriate dimension
00:40:05
◼
►
for the target that we're trying to hit?
00:40:06
◼
►
And so for the phone, we have a, we think of fantastic solution and we scale that up
00:40:11
◼
►
for the iPad Pro.
00:40:13
◼
►
For M1, we feel like we really kind of dialed it in and folks were extremely happy with
00:40:18
◼
►
the performance they're getting on their SSDs.
00:40:19
◼
►
Again, it was about going back, looking closely at the workloads.
00:40:24
◼
►
You know, you talk about those big files, our Pro workloads team, it tells us all about
00:40:28
◼
►
the pain that their customers feel when they have to store big files or load large things
00:40:33
◼
►
or, God forbid, paging in and out of the memory system because their workload is too big to
00:40:38
◼
►
fit into the memory.
00:40:39
◼
►
And so, you know, we pay close attention.
00:40:41
◼
►
We try to figure out, okay, how are we going to go and make sure that the storage system
00:40:44
◼
►
is in balance with the rest of the system?
00:40:46
◼
►
Because it'd be a shame to have a really fast computer and a terrible IO system.
00:40:49
◼
►
But it all really, I have to say, it goes back to the fundamentals.
00:40:52
◼
►
We invested in the technology.
00:40:54
◼
►
We brought the experts in-house.
00:40:56
◼
►
We revisit the storage architecture.
00:40:58
◼
►
And there's people on my team who drive that, the architecture for our storage controllers.
00:41:02
◼
►
And we look at it and revisit it whenever we need to, to make sure that we're tracking
00:41:07
◼
►
We work closely with the core technology partners who develop the NAND technology that we use
00:41:13
◼
►
for our SSDs.
00:41:13
◼
►
We make sure that from a competitive perspective, we're watching the new technologies, the new
00:41:17
◼
►
interfaces that people are using.
00:41:19
◼
►
But ultimately, we want to make sure that we can deliver in these platforms the fastest
00:41:23
◼
►
that technology allows.
00:41:24
◼
►
And that's kind of, I'm glad to hear that you're happy with what we've done because
00:41:28
◼
►
we leave no stone unturned, I guess, to make sure that the system is delighting everybody
00:41:33
◼
►
in a balanced way.
00:41:35
◼
►
Well, the last thing you want is to have a really fast computer that you can't use because
00:41:40
◼
►
the storage is too slow.
00:41:41
◼
►
And there was definitely a period back a decade or two ago where I felt like most computers
00:41:47
◼
►
were being held back by really slow spinning drives.
00:41:51
◼
►
And SSD has made that less of an issue, but it definitely, I felt it on the MacBook Pro
00:41:56
◼
►
It wasn't just processing.
00:41:57
◼
►
When you process a file and you can do that and it happens incredibly quickly, and then
00:42:02
◼
►
you choose to write it out to disk, and that's when you need to go get yourself another cup
00:42:07
◼
►
of tea, right?
00:42:09
◼
►
That's the worst.
00:42:09
◼
►
You want it all to be kind of a kind.
00:42:11
◼
►
I definitely sense that balance on these.
00:42:15
◼
►
I also think that with a system on chip architecture, you have to make sure that every single block
00:42:23
◼
►
of that system has to be world class.
00:42:25
◼
►
If you're going to take on that responsibility of designing an entire system, you know,
00:42:32
◼
►
from the display engine to the IO to, you know, in this case, the SSD controller, every single
00:42:39
◼
►
thing about that chip has to be world class because you're designing it all in.
00:42:44
◼
►
And so, you know, that's a tremendous responsibility for Tim and his team to make sure that every
00:42:50
◼
►
component is world-class, industry-leading, and therefore the entire system itself is
00:42:58
◼
►
And because we build these things in a unified way, an architecturally consistent way, when
00:43:03
◼
►
we target a particular platform and we hit that target, every other platform benefits.
00:43:09
◼
►
We don't have to do it for every chip we build.
00:43:11
◼
►
We can do it in a way that we know is going to lift up everybody, all the systems that
00:43:15
◼
►
we build chips for.
00:43:16
◼
►
So to wrap up today, I want to think back again to when we spoke about the M1 chip.
00:43:22
◼
►
And I remember we were having a conversation about how there was some surprise at first
00:43:27
◼
►
about just how powerful it ended up being.
00:43:29
◼
►
And I wanted to know if that's happened again this time around, because looking at these
00:43:35
◼
►
MacBook Pros, to be incredibly impressive, they didn't need to be as fast as they are
00:43:43
◼
►
And so I wonder, was there any of these moments when developing these products where you were
00:43:48
◼
►
like, "Oh boy, look what we've done."
00:43:52
◼
►
You know, I think for these chips, for M1 Pro and M1 Max, I have to say there is less surprise
00:43:59
◼
►
because our effort was so intentional.
00:44:01
◼
►
All the other chips that we had built up to these has been fantastic.
00:44:06
◼
►
But we knew that we had to prove ourselves here with M1 Pro and M1 Max.
00:44:09
◼
►
We're entering into a different arena.
00:44:11
◼
►
This is the pro space.
00:44:12
◼
►
These are the fastest machines out there, not just the fastest machines Apple ever built.
00:44:17
◼
►
And so we wanted to make sure we came out and people weren't chuckling about, "Oh, isn't
00:44:21
◼
►
it cute how they took a phone chip and put it in a computer?"
00:44:24
◼
►
I would talk to my team about this and say, "Hey, we're going to re-architect this and
00:44:28
◼
►
we're going to blow the doors off this."
00:44:30
◼
►
And so I would say less surprise, but it's always a pleasant surprise when Tom and his
00:44:36
◼
►
team go and figure out what the actual ratios and deltas are, because we don't always know
00:44:41
◼
►
where we're going to land relative to where previous systems were, where the competition
00:44:45
◼
►
And definitely, wow, very satisfying to see that we did.
00:44:51
◼
►
And I feel like to some degree, what we have demonstrated is this is what technology allows
00:44:57
◼
►
We feel like we have left nothing on the table.
00:44:59
◼
►
And to some degree, it's not that we did something unnatural.
00:45:03
◼
►
We did something that was possible.
00:45:04
◼
►
We just leaned in on the technology and enabled the performance in our great platforms that
00:45:09
◼
►
should always have been able to achieve this on this date, because the technology was there
00:45:15
◼
►
to enable it.
00:45:15
◼
►
And I would make the comment that we've talked in the past about the pro workflow team.
00:45:21
◼
►
That team consists of people who are award-winning photographers and videographers and 3D artists
00:45:28
◼
►
and music production, et cetera.
00:45:29
◼
►
And for the kind of things that I personally do on a daily basis, I'm not going to push
00:45:35
◼
►
these systems, but the pro workflow team does.
00:45:38
◼
►
And so as these systems got into their hands, they were absolutely blown away and just thrilled
00:45:46
◼
►
and just giddy of taking the most demanding parts of their workflow, throwing them at
00:45:53
◼
►
these machines and just seeing them respond and be able to do things that prior till now,
00:45:58
◼
►
they needed a incredibly high spec Mac Pro to do.
00:46:02
◼
►
And so they, in just putting these systems through their paces were tremendously...
00:46:09
◼
►
Obviously, we knew what we were working on, but to see it actually perform is for them
00:46:15
◼
►
game-changing and really that's what it's all about with these systems.
00:46:19
◼
►
It's being game-changing in this space and game-changing for our pros.
00:46:24
◼
►
Now, customers are getting these systems in their hands.
00:46:28
◼
►
One of the things we love to see is when people are making videos, et cetera, where they're
00:46:33
◼
►
trying parts of their workload and they're just shocked at, "Oh my gosh, I can't believe
00:46:39
◼
►
Did I have the settings right?
00:46:41
◼
►
Let me apply that again, because I'm not sure I had the settings right."
00:46:45
◼
►
And then it happens instantly.
00:46:46
◼
►
And that is the reward for us.
00:46:49
◼
►
That's why we all come to work every day and work so hard on the Mac, because we know
00:46:54
◼
►
that our pro users, their livelihood depends on a Mac.
00:46:59
◼
►
Their life is on that Mac.
00:47:00
◼
►
And so we want to make it the best it can possibly be, in every way it can possibly
00:47:05
◼
►
be, as much as we can.
00:47:07
◼
►
And so that is the reward for us.
00:47:10
◼
►
And that's what we're thrilled to do when we make systems like this.
00:47:14
◼
►
Tim, Tom, thank you so much for joining us again.
00:47:16
◼
►
It's always such a pleasure to talk to you.
00:47:18
◼
►
We love to be able to prick your brains for a little while.
00:47:20
◼
►
So thanks for joining us.
00:47:21
◼
►
Yes, thank you.
00:47:22
◼
►
Yeah, it's been a pleasure.
00:47:23
◼
►
Thanks for having us back.
00:47:24
◼
►
It's fun to be on the show.
00:47:25
◼
►
Okay, that was great.
00:47:27
◼
►
But Myke, my favorite part was when you asked, "Were you surprised at the performance of
00:47:35
◼
►
the MacBook Pro?"
00:47:36
◼
►
And Tim's response was basically like, "No, we did that on purpose."
00:47:43
◼
►
"No, we knew that.
00:47:44
◼
►
We knew it would be like that.
00:47:45
◼
►
That was what we were shooting for."
00:47:47
◼
►
Not a surprise.
00:47:48
◼
►
I was really happy to get to talk to them again.
00:47:50
◼
►
I think it's really exciting.
00:47:52
◼
►
You know, the Pro Max chip stuff is really exciting.
00:47:54
◼
►
And I genuinely love to hear about what is going on inside of Apple and how they approach
00:48:01
◼
►
Because, you know, like we touched on this, I think we are a pretty important time for
00:48:07
◼
►
computers again, which is like such a weird thing to think about.
00:48:10
◼
►
But like desktop computers are a point that they've never been before and are continuing
00:48:15
◼
►
to change and evolve.
00:48:16
◼
►
And I'm just really happy that we get to hear a little bit more about the inside as to what
00:48:21
◼
►
they're thinking about when they're putting the stuff together.
00:48:23
◼
►
Yeah, for sure.
00:48:24
◼
►
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you want to become a better version of who you are.
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If you're working out at home, there's a bunch of body weight only workouts that are great
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Our thanks to Fitbod for the support of this show and Relay FM.
00:50:26
◼
►
So Apple had posted the Q4 results for 2021.
00:50:30
◼
►
This is what is this calendar Q3?
00:50:35
◼
►
Calendar Q3.
00:50:35
◼
►
It's their end of their fiscal year because their fiscal year begins with the holiday
00:50:40
◼
►
quarter because you want to start off with a bang, I guess.
00:50:43
◼
►
And Q4 always includes the iPhone.
00:50:46
◼
►
Well, if they deliver on time.
00:50:48
◼
►
If the iPhone comes out on time, this is the iPhone quarter.
00:50:51
◼
►
So usually a big quarter and this one was a big quarter.
00:50:54
◼
►
Keep in mind it's the end of the quarter where the iPhone comes out.
00:50:58
◼
►
So it's only like that little launch portion of the iPhone revenue and then it rolls into
00:51:03
◼
►
the holiday quarter.
00:51:04
◼
►
But you got to assume that's a big chunk of it.
00:51:06
◼
►
But yeah, and then it goes into the holidays.
00:51:08
◼
►
$83.4 billion in revenue for the quarter, which is a 29%, 29% year-over-year increase,
00:51:17
◼
►
makes it the biggest fourth quarter ever.
00:51:19
◼
►
Yeah, and they've been breaking quarterly records for a while now, every quarter it
00:51:24
◼
►
This was interesting to me also because I looked back at the year-over-year growth the
00:51:29
◼
►
last two fourth quarters and they were like 1% and 2%.
00:51:33
◼
►
So I think that's actually kind of interesting that this wasn't just a record quarter,
00:51:37
◼
►
but it was a lot more than they made the last two fourth quarters.
00:51:42
◼
►
So for what it's worth, Apple's business is kind of seasonal, but there's a lot of
00:51:47
◼
►
pickup here over the last couple of years in terms of this fall, late summer, early
00:51:53
◼
►
fall quarter.
00:51:53
◼
►
The iPhone was up 47% year-over-year.
00:51:56
◼
►
I think this big jump, a big jump like this during this quarter would suggest that the
00:52:01
◼
►
iPhone has done really well and it seems like the 13 has done really well, which is
00:52:07
◼
►
interesting to me because it seems like so much of the general conversation about the
00:52:13
◼
►
13 like you see in videos and articles and you see in like just comments from people
00:52:18
◼
►
online is that it's a boring iPhone, but people were buying them it would seem.
00:52:24
◼
►
Yeah, yeah, that's it.
00:52:26
◼
►
And also that Apple is getting really good at maximizing revenue, although I'll point
00:52:30
◼
►
out that during the conversation with analysts, the analysts like to freak out every quarter
00:52:35
◼
►
they freak out about it, especially this time of year.
00:52:37
◼
►
They freak out about the fact that the product they talk about product, the margins on
00:52:45
◼
►
products going down and they get really concerned.
00:52:48
◼
►
They're like, why are your margins going down?
00:52:49
◼
►
And every year they have to say that this is how Apple does it, which is when new product
00:52:55
◼
►
comes out at first, the margins are a little lower.
00:52:59
◼
►
Because it's more expensive to make them.
00:53:01
◼
►
And then over time, the margins increase because it ends up being cheaper for Apple to make
00:53:07
◼
►
a product nine months into it being on the shelves or a year or a year and a half than
00:53:12
◼
►
it does on day one because they're getting up to speed and they're buying the components
00:53:16
◼
►
and all that.
00:53:16
◼
►
And then it kind of smooths out over time.
00:53:19
◼
►
So this is a case too, where this is a new product and to have the revenue be up that
00:53:24
◼
►
much, assuming it's driven in part by a lot of those initial iPhone 13 sales, keep in
00:53:31
◼
►
mind that the margins might be down a little bit, but they're optimizing the revenue.
00:53:35
◼
►
The revenue is Apple's getting more money out of everybody for these sales and they're
00:53:40
◼
►
selling a lot of them.
00:53:40
◼
►
And that's part of the story here too, right?
00:53:43
◼
►
It's not just that they're growing the iPhone, which is still growing, but it's also that
00:53:47
◼
►
they're growing how much money they make.
00:53:49
◼
►
Because keep in mind, they don't share with us the numbers of unit sales anymore.
00:53:53
◼
►
It's all just about the revenue, but that means that there's more cash coming in for
00:53:58
◼
►
So every time I read a story that talks about the iPhone, it puts Apple's moves in the context
00:54:05
◼
►
of the iPhone running out of steam or something like that, I just sort of shake my head.
00:54:10
◼
►
I'm like, "No, not really.
00:54:13
◼
►
It hasn't really run out of steam."
00:54:14
◼
►
It's not increasing by, like the business isn't doubling or anything every quarter.
00:54:19
◼
►
That doesn't happen, but it's still growing.
00:54:21
◼
►
It's still growing and throwing off just enormous revenue and profits for Apple.
00:54:26
◼
►
So I've just realized that it wouldn't have been hard to be up 47% because the iPhone
00:54:33
◼
►
12 wasn't out at this point.
00:54:35
◼
►
Yeah, well, that's true.
00:54:35
◼
►
I just realized that.
00:54:36
◼
►
What is that?
00:54:37
◼
►
It's a tough compare or it's a good compare?
00:54:38
◼
►
Yeah, I think it's a false compare, right?
00:54:41
◼
►
Right, which means that they have more to do to make up for it in the holiday quarter.
00:54:45
◼
►
The actual key to what I just said about whether people were interested in the phone or not
00:54:49
◼
►
wasn't correct, well, no next quarter.
00:54:51
◼
►
Yeah, and I'm always a little hesitant to ascribe too much iPhone to this quarter because
00:54:57
◼
►
if you think about it, again, we're talking about a quarter that ended at the end of September
00:55:02
◼
►
or near the end of September and the iPhone, you know, the iPhone was just out.
00:55:09
◼
►
And it's always about how many can they make as well, right?
00:55:12
◼
►
Like, that's just a story we're going to get to in a bit.
00:55:16
◼
►
Anyone that they could ship, I believe the revenue is counted for this quarter.
00:55:21
◼
►
Anything that was back ordered into the next quarter goes to the next quarter.
00:55:26
◼
►
So always, I think you got to take it with a grain of salt.
00:55:31
◼
►
And yes, you're right.
00:55:31
◼
►
This is the proverbial tough compare or good compare, whichever one where they, I guess
00:55:37
◼
►
it's the good compare.
00:55:39
◼
►
It's the beneficial compare, they would say.
00:55:41
◼
►
I'm not using that phrase.
00:55:43
◼
►
I think it's ridiculous, but they use it.
00:55:45
◼
►
And it's when the events of last year and this year don't overlap.
00:55:49
◼
►
And so you can't do a one-to-one comparison.
00:55:52
◼
►
And that's, you're absolutely right.
00:55:53
◼
►
The two of the iPhone models got delayed a lot last year and two of them got delayed
00:55:59
◼
►
a bit last year, but they all got pushed into October and November, which means they're
00:56:03
◼
►
not in Q4 of 2020.
00:56:04
◼
►
We'll make a financial analyst out of you yet, Myke.
00:56:07
◼
►
We're trying.
00:56:08
◼
►
We're trying hard over here.
00:56:09
◼
►
Then you're going to have to get on the phone and try to trick Tim Cook into telling you
00:56:12
◼
►
what the next iPhone has.
00:56:13
◼
►
You'll say no and it'll be fun.
00:56:17
◼
►
The iPad is up 21%.
00:56:19
◼
►
Yeah, this is a business that seems to have really settled down for Apple.
00:56:23
◼
►
Remember, remember you and me talking about, oh, what's happening with the iPad?
00:56:28
◼
►
One day it will improve.
00:56:29
◼
►
I'm sure one day it will improve.
00:56:33
◼
►
And I was looking, so in terms of revenue, the average, the little four quarter rolling
00:56:39
◼
►
average has just kept going up.
00:56:41
◼
►
And so at this point, Apple is making on average $8 billion a quarter on the iPad, at least
00:56:48
◼
►
for the last year.
00:56:49
◼
►
So $32 billion almost, I think it was $31.8 or something billion dollars on the iPad in
00:56:59
◼
►
four quarters.
00:56:59
◼
►
And so it's a much more stable and growing product line than in that period where it
00:57:09
◼
►
was sort of really trying to find its way.
00:57:11
◼
►
And Apple was kind of redefining what an iPad was and stretching out its product line.
00:57:17
◼
►
But if you look at it now, it's what, six straight quarters of double digit growth for
00:57:22
◼
►
the iPad year over year.
00:57:24
◼
►
It's 10 out of 12 of growth for the iPad and 14 out of, what is that?
00:57:37
◼
►
18 is growth.
00:57:41
◼
►
So the iPad is in a good place right now is I guess what I'm saying.
00:57:47
◼
►
And it wasn't like three years ago, we were like, what is happening with the iPad?
00:57:53
◼
►
And is there a bottom?
00:57:54
◼
►
And it hit bottom and it has since come back up from the bottom.
00:57:59
◼
►
Now keeping in mind, the bottom was sort of like still kind of five, four or $5 billion
00:58:05
◼
►
a quarter, but now it's $8 billion a quarter.
00:58:08
◼
►
And that's happened in the last four years.
00:58:10
◼
►
- Yeah, and I think it's the first it was easy, I think, or possible to try and prescribe
00:58:16
◼
►
this to different things, right?
00:58:18
◼
►
Like all this because of this, that's because of this.
00:58:20
◼
►
- But now I think there's been enough potential reasons that have come and gone.
00:58:26
◼
►
You know, like I think at first it was maybe, oh, this is coronavirus related, which I think
00:58:31
◼
►
definitely contributed.
00:58:33
◼
►
But at this point you would have assumed that most people that wanted one for one of those
00:58:39
◼
►
reasons would have gotten one, but yet they continue to keep selling them.
00:58:42
◼
►
- I will say that, so holiday quarter last year, Apple made $8.4 billion on the iPad.
00:58:47
◼
►
Apple has forecast that they will not make that much.
00:58:51
◼
►
So there will not be a seventh straight quarter of iPad growth.
00:58:56
◼
►
Apple says that's entirely because of what we'll talk about in a little bit, I'm sure,
00:59:01
◼
►
which is supply chain issues.
00:59:03
◼
►
They feel like the supply chain issues for iPad will mean they can't make enough to have
00:59:07
◼
►
it be a growth quarter for iPad.
00:59:10
◼
►
Not that they won't sell probably like $8 billion worth, but it won't be what they think
00:59:16
◼
►
they could sell.
00:59:17
◼
►
- It's going to be as many as they have, but no more.
00:59:20
◼
►
- It's the one category where they say that they're not going to be able to grow next
00:59:24
◼
►
quarter because of supply chain issues.
00:59:26
◼
►
- The Mac is up 2% to $9.2 billion this quarter, which is their all-time record quarter again.
00:59:34
◼
►
- Yeah, this is literally the best Mac quarters of all time are the last five Mac quarters.
00:59:46
◼
►
- The last five, because the holiday Q4 last year was 9 billion.
00:59:51
◼
►
And since then it's been 8.7, 9.1, 8.2, 9.2.
00:59:56
◼
►
So this is not only the best Mac quarter of all time beating the one like two quarters
00:59:59
◼
►
ago, beating the one a year ago, like those in that order.
01:00:04
◼
►
But still it's just the Mac is going really well right now.
01:00:07
◼
►
And they obviously ascribe that to the M1.
01:00:09
◼
►
I think what's going to be interesting is holiday quarter is when all of those Mac Pro
01:00:14
◼
►
sales are going to hit.
01:00:15
◼
►
And I think they're going to be a lot of them.
01:00:17
◼
►
- That's a lot of expensive computers.
01:00:19
◼
►
- Yeah, they'll probably be constrained a bit because that's the world we live in.
01:00:22
◼
►
We're already seeing things getting deferred out by a month or two, but those are expensive
01:00:29
◼
►
computers with a lot of pent up demand.
01:00:31
◼
►
And I think it's going to be another huge Mac quarter next time for them.
01:00:36
◼
►
- Services up 26% year over year.
01:00:42
◼
►
They're just, it's just obscene.
01:00:44
◼
►
It's 18.3 billion.
01:00:46
◼
►
- 18.3 billion.
01:00:48
◼
►
The number just goes up.
01:00:49
◼
►
Even sequentially it almost always goes up.
01:00:53
◼
►
Year over year it always goes up.
01:00:54
◼
►
- Yeah, it was funny.
01:00:56
◼
►
I saw a couple of articles where it was like, "Apple's best quarter ever."
01:01:00
◼
►
I'm like, "This is every quarter."
01:01:02
◼
►
It was weird to me.
01:01:04
◼
►
I think it's only been one.
01:01:07
◼
►
There was one blip.
01:01:08
◼
►
But otherwise, pretty much every single quarter for services is Apple's best quarter ever
01:01:13
◼
►
for services.
01:01:14
◼
►
Because it's just, it doesn't go up and down.
01:01:17
◼
►
They just add new people in and it just continues to increase.
01:01:20
◼
►
- Because it's not seasonal.
01:01:21
◼
►
They keep charging your credit card over and over again.
01:01:23
◼
►
And so all it does is just keep growing.
01:01:25
◼
►
And there's churn where people drop out.
01:01:28
◼
►
But basically they're able to keep that growing in a way that doesn't require individual product
01:01:34
◼
►
And yeah, this entire fiscal year services grew by more than 20% every quarter year over
01:01:42
◼
►
year, which is bananas.
01:01:45
◼
►
And if you look, my chart goes back to '17 and there's not a below double digit growth
01:01:53
◼
►
quarter in that entire span.
01:01:55
◼
►
So it just keeps going up, like up, up, up.
01:01:58
◼
►
They're just, yeah, that's what it's doing.
01:02:01
◼
►
That is a business that in the first quarter of '17 was an $8 billion business and is now
01:02:09
◼
►
an $18 billion quarterly business.
01:02:12
◼
►
That's a lot.
01:02:13
◼
►
- So services accounts for 22% of quarterly revenue now.
01:02:20
◼
►
- Yeah, the iPhone's 47.
01:02:22
◼
►
- And they've doubled it in four years.
01:02:26
◼
►
In four years, that business has doubled from Q4, literally Q4 of '17, it was a $9 billion
01:02:31
◼
►
business and Q4 of '21, it's an $18.3 billion business.
01:02:34
◼
►
So that's how quickly it's doubled, doubled in four years.
01:02:37
◼
►
- So my question is in four to five years, could it be more than the iPhone?
01:02:42
◼
►
Could they do this again?
01:02:45
◼
►
- That's a long reach.
01:02:47
◼
►
- Well, here's another question then.
01:02:49
◼
►
Do you think at some point services will make a larger revenue split than the iPhone in a
01:02:57
◼
►
- I don't because I think that there's, I mean, never say never, it could happen eventually,
01:03:03
◼
►
but there's a huge gap between services and iPhone.
01:03:06
◼
►
And of course, devices also drive services revenue.
01:03:09
◼
►
So at some point, that would be a weird world to be in.
01:03:13
◼
►
It's possible.
01:03:14
◼
►
It's certainly possible, but it's a long way off because of the fact that one,
01:03:19
◼
►
selling products for Apple does drive the people into the services.
01:03:23
◼
►
And two, the iPhone is just so far out there.
01:03:24
◼
►
Because keep in mind, the iPhone is throwing out, I get really excited that the iPad is
01:03:28
◼
►
throwing out a billion a quarter.
01:03:30
◼
►
The iPhone does way more than that.
01:03:35
◼
►
So that's, yeah, it's good.
01:03:39
◼
►
It's really good.
01:03:41
◼
►
But the iPhone is 40 and the iPad is eight.
01:03:48
◼
►
And then services is what did we say?
01:03:51
◼
►
- So it's half, so yeah, your question is basically, well, in four years, will it double
01:03:55
◼
►
again and surpass the iPhone?
01:03:57
◼
►
And I don't, I doubt it, but it's going to be, I think, safe to say an increasing percentage.
01:04:07
◼
►
How about that?
01:04:07
◼
►
- I think at some point it could happen.
01:04:10
◼
►
- It could, it could at some point.
01:04:11
◼
►
- Like even if it could hit one of the lower quarters, right, for the iPhone.
01:04:16
◼
►
- Sure, sure.
01:04:18
◼
►
That's more likely, right?
01:04:20
◼
►
Yeah, because the holiday quarter, the iPhone is usually doing 50 or 60 billion, but in
01:04:24
◼
►
one of these lesser, quote unquote, lesser quarters where it's only like $39 billion.
01:04:28
◼
►
Sure, I mean, that is part of, services is fascinating because I think at its core, Apple
01:04:36
◼
►
is not a services business, although they're trying to be more of a services business.
01:04:40
◼
►
But services, when we talk about financials, services is the thing that makes Wall Street
01:04:46
◼
►
happy because it keeps growing.
01:04:48
◼
►
- It's growth, it's the growth area, right?
01:04:49
◼
►
It's the whole reason it exists.
01:04:51
◼
►
- And it's like 70% profit.
01:04:53
◼
►
So it's just, they like to hear it and they put it in their reports.
01:04:59
◼
►
And I think what Apple views it as is more that this is the ongoing, you make your money
01:05:04
◼
►
of selling the widget, but you also make money ongoing from the person who bought the widget.
01:05:08
◼
►
And that that's how they're kind of viewing it.
01:05:11
◼
►
I think that's a little bit dangerous because if you're a maker of premium hardware, like
01:05:17
◼
►
Apple is, you risk turning your hardware into an empty box that you have to buy in order
01:05:25
◼
►
to pay more money to fill the box.
01:05:27
◼
►
And like, that's not a very good product.
01:05:30
◼
►
So I think that that's the danger that Apple always faces in an era of growing services
01:05:36
◼
►
is if services becomes super important to you, at some point, do you skimp on your hardware
01:05:44
◼
►
or make your hardware product inferior either because you are not worried about it over
01:05:49
◼
►
services or because you wanna get more of them out there to sell more services.
01:05:53
◼
►
And you might end up in a situation where the product is degraded.
01:05:58
◼
►
And I think that's something that if I were inside Apple in a position to look out for
01:06:03
◼
►
that, that would be a thing that I would wanna be really vigilant about is sort of making
01:06:08
◼
►
sure that while we're making money on services, that the product is all good on its own because
01:06:15
◼
►
that I think is a real danger is you lose track of the products because you're so focused
01:06:20
◼
►
on services.
01:06:20
◼
►
- The last category is like wearables and home.
01:06:23
◼
►
It was up 12% year over year, which is the smallest year over year increase since Q2
01:06:34
◼
►
- Yeah, yeah, since Q1 of 2017.
01:06:37
◼
►
- Sorry, yes, Q1 of 2017.
01:06:39
◼
►
- It's four plus years then since they...
01:06:42
◼
►
That was the last time that this category back when it was probably called other was
01:06:47
◼
►
down year over year.
01:06:48
◼
►
It had a lot of quarters of 30 plus percent growth.
01:06:53
◼
►
And then this was only 12.
01:06:57
◼
►
- I think I know why.
01:06:59
◼
►
- I mean, I believe this segment now is like the AirPods segment by and large or the Apple
01:07:07
◼
►
Watch segment.
01:07:07
◼
►
- It's AirPods and Apple Watch primarily.
01:07:09
◼
►
- I would expect that people were awaiting the new products in this category, especially
01:07:17
◼
►
the AirPods.
01:07:17
◼
►
- I'm not gonna sound an alarm about 12%.
01:07:22
◼
►
I saw somebody refer to this as decelerating growth, which is you gotta describe it that
01:07:26
◼
►
Because the sales weren't down.
01:07:28
◼
►
It was up 12%.
01:07:29
◼
►
- 12% is great.
01:07:30
◼
►
- It was just up by less than it's been up every quarter for the last four years.
01:07:36
◼
►
And so what I would do is say, put this on the watch list of let's see how they do next
01:07:41
◼
►
quarter 'cause it's a holiday quarter and they could...
01:07:43
◼
►
AirPods, the new AirPods 3, the new Apple Watch, they could blow out the holiday quarter.
01:07:49
◼
►
This is a more seasonal business.
01:07:51
◼
►
Wearables, the holiday quarter does the best by far for this category.
01:07:57
◼
►
So let's watch it and see if it matches the 13 billion or how much it exceeds the 13 billion
01:08:04
◼
►
that they did in the holiday quarter last year.
01:08:06
◼
►
But I'm mostly tagging this and saying, I wonder if wearables after four years of just
01:08:13
◼
►
enormous growth, I wonder if it's entering a period where the growth is more modest.
01:08:19
◼
►
That's sort of it.
01:08:20
◼
►
'Cause it sort of surpassed services for a while there in terms of the rocket ship inside
01:08:25
◼
►
Apple that was growing the most.
01:08:27
◼
►
But this last year it's settled down a bit.
01:08:30
◼
►
And then this number at 12% being the lowest in this whole four plus year span.
01:08:36
◼
►
Again, still growing, but is it calming down?
01:08:41
◼
►
And I think I'm not ready to say that yet because I think that the holiday quarter will
01:08:47
◼
►
- So let's talk about next quarter.
01:08:49
◼
►
- Yeah, so quite a thing.
01:08:52
◼
►
So Apple continues to refuse to forecast and then gives a forecast, which I love.
01:08:57
◼
►
They forecast that it's gonna be a record quarter.
01:08:58
◼
►
It's gonna be an all time record, the biggest quarter Apple's ever had, which is not that
01:09:02
◼
►
shocking a forecast because it's a holiday quarter and almost every holiday quarter that
01:09:07
◼
►
Apple has had over the last decade has been the best holiday quarter ever in Apple history
01:09:12
◼
►
and the best quarter in Apple history.
01:09:13
◼
►
- Just to state how obscene it's gonna be, the current record is $111 billion.
01:09:18
◼
►
So they're saying they're going to make more than $111 billion in a few month period.
01:09:23
◼
►
- Yeah, exactly.
01:09:25
◼
►
So it's gonna be a record and they said that even though they wouldn't specify exactly
01:09:30
◼
►
what it was 'cause they're unsure because of COVID, but they said really it's the supply
01:09:35
◼
►
chain issues and everybody, you've seen those stories about containers stacking up at ports
01:09:40
◼
►
and you go to the store and your favorite cereal isn't there and like all of these things
01:09:45
◼
►
that happen with supply chain issues.
01:09:47
◼
►
And we've talked about it here about Tim Cook blaming the legacy nodes.
01:09:51
◼
►
- Don, you legacy nodes.
01:09:52
◼
►
- The legacy nodes, they're the worst.
01:09:54
◼
►
- Now it's one of those things that's interesting, right?
01:09:56
◼
►
'Cause we've been talking about it for most of the last year and ultimately to this point,
01:10:02
◼
►
Apple has kind of gotten around it, whatever it was, right?
01:10:06
◼
►
Like they've gotten around it.
01:10:08
◼
►
- They said they had some cash, right?
01:10:13
◼
►
They had some inventory on hand to protect against, 'cause we talk about just in time
01:10:20
◼
►
and like literally every component comes in and then it goes right back out.
01:10:23
◼
►
But the truth is that's an ideal and what all tech companies, especially Apple have tried
01:10:29
◼
►
to do is just reduce the amount of time you've got parts sitting in a bucket somewhere.
01:10:33
◼
►
You want them put into the process, but they do because there's like, well, what if the
01:10:38
◼
►
truck doesn't come one week?
01:10:40
◼
►
What if that factory that we rely on for this part has a blip and they, on average, they
01:10:46
◼
►
ship us the right number, but one week it's down and the next week it's way up.
01:10:50
◼
►
What do we do for the down week?
01:10:51
◼
►
Do we shut down and not make?
01:10:53
◼
►
So they build in an amount of cash.
01:10:57
◼
►
But what they warned three months ago when they did their report is that the reason that
01:11:00
◼
►
they were able to not have a drop-off in terms of availability of a lot of their products
01:11:07
◼
►
is that they burned through the cash.
01:11:08
◼
►
They used it all.
01:11:09
◼
►
And that meant that now they were on the razor's edge in terms of manufacturing.
01:11:14
◼
►
And what we saw with this quarter is that the shortages continue for Tim Cook's favorite
01:11:21
◼
►
phrase, legacy nodes, which is basically a COO speak, which he he's a former COO for
01:11:28
◼
►
old stuff, old stuff that everybody buys because everybody's just buying a cheap Bluetooth
01:11:33
◼
►
chip or a cheap, you know, whatever, some little part to put in their car or their washing
01:11:37
◼
►
machine or their computer.
01:11:39
◼
►
And those Apple sort of treated as totally available and fungible and just like, we'll
01:11:46
◼
►
get the legacy nodes.
01:11:49
◼
►
And in fact, we have a new bit of Tim Cook speak to put in to the jargon file, which
01:11:55
◼
►
is leading edge nodes.
01:11:56
◼
►
Normally, Tim Cook says, primarily, we buy leading edge nodes and we're not having issues
01:12:03
◼
►
on leading edge nodes.
01:12:05
◼
►
But on legacy nodes, we compete with many different companies and it's difficult to
01:12:09
◼
►
forecast when those things will balance.
01:12:11
◼
►
So the end result is Apple is having supply issues.
01:12:15
◼
►
And while they said they think that all their products other than the iPad are going to
01:12:18
◼
►
be growing next quarter year over year, and that's again, year over year from the holiday
01:12:23
◼
►
quarter last year, which was the biggest Apple quarter ever.
01:12:25
◼
►
Two pieces of information that I think set a chill through the Wall Street analysts.
01:12:33
◼
►
One is, even though this was the best quarter ever for Apple, or best fourth quarter ever
01:12:38
◼
►
for Apple, this last one that they're reporting on, they say there's about $6 billion of sales
01:12:45
◼
►
that they didn't make because of the supply chain.
01:12:50
◼
►
So they say, I know it's great that we made 83.4 million in revenue last quarter, but
01:12:57
◼
►
it should have been more like 89.4.
01:12:59
◼
►
And it wasn't because we couldn't sell those products, but we just didn't have them on
01:13:05
◼
►
And the Wall Street analysts are like, that's not good, right?
01:13:08
◼
►
Because they're also looking at the broader tech sector.
01:13:10
◼
►
And this is a story from all over.
01:13:12
◼
►
It's not just Apple.
01:13:14
◼
►
Phase two though, is then they said in the call, and I thought this was the moment where
01:13:17
◼
►
everybody leaned forward.
01:13:19
◼
►
They said they expect it to be more next quarter.
01:13:22
◼
►
And there was a question that was like, what do you mean more?
01:13:25
◼
►
Do you mean more than subtracting this from this?
01:13:27
◼
►
Do you mean more proportionally or do you mean more than $6 billion?
01:13:31
◼
►
And Tim Cook was like, yeah, we mean more than $6 billion.
01:13:34
◼
►
Next year, we're going to leave more than $6 billion, or next quarter, we're going to
01:13:37
◼
►
leave more than $6 billion on the table because we can't fulfill those orders because of the
01:13:42
◼
►
supply chain.
01:13:43
◼
►
And that's pretty wild.
01:13:45
◼
►
That's a very large number.
01:13:46
◼
►
- Yeah, so if you're wondering why was Apple stock down, this is why.
01:13:50
◼
►
- Yeah, and it's not limited to Apple.
01:13:54
◼
►
This is happening everywhere, but Apple came out and said, we're going to have our best
01:13:57
◼
►
quarter ever next quarter, but it's not going to be as good as it could be because we're
01:14:01
◼
►
going to have demand that is unfulfilled.
01:14:04
◼
►
And they said also, and I think this is a good peek into Apple's thinking, but also
01:14:09
◼
►
if you understand the holiday quarter and how huge it is, what Tim Cook said was, it's
01:14:16
◼
►
not that our supply isn't going to grow.
01:14:20
◼
►
Our supply over the next quarter is going to grow a lot, but demand's going to grow
01:14:25
◼
►
more, right?
01:14:27
◼
►
Because it's the holiday quarter and the demand for our products is going to be greater than
01:14:31
◼
►
the growth in supply that we're going to bring in.
01:14:34
◼
►
And as a result, by the end of December, we're going to have more than $6 billion in sales
01:14:40
◼
►
that we're not going to be able to make.
01:14:42
◼
►
Now, I think philosophically, the question is, are those sales that just get deferred
01:14:50
◼
►
or are those sales that go away?
01:14:52
◼
►
And for this past quarter, I would say it's probably deferred, right?
01:14:56
◼
►
A lot of that is probably like, I want my iPhone and it's like, we can't ship it to
01:14:59
◼
►
you into October.
01:15:00
◼
►
And so they look at the books and there are all these pre-orders for things that they
01:15:04
◼
►
can't fulfill in time.
01:15:05
◼
►
And they do some math and they say, that's about $6 billion that we left on the books.
01:15:09
◼
►
And then it probably has already come off the books.
01:15:12
◼
►
Those sales probably were made, but of course now they're backed up and they're going to
01:15:15
◼
►
have new set of things rolling into January where they're not going to fulfill.
01:15:19
◼
►
My only hesitation there is at the holidays, there is stuff that only gets bought if it's
01:15:28
◼
►
available for the holidays, right?
01:15:32
◼
►
It's something you want, it's the proverbial present under the tree.
01:15:35
◼
►
I know there are lots of different holidays, but just to use that, it's like, if I can't
01:15:40
◼
►
buy you an Apple watch for Christmas, let's say, well, I'll get you something else.
01:15:44
◼
►
And then that Apple watch sale may never happen.
01:15:47
◼
►
So I do think that there is more of a risk for Apple in the holiday quarter to lose sales,
01:15:53
◼
►
some percentage of that sale than it was in the existing quarter.
01:15:57
◼
►
But just to step back, this is the kind of weird stuff that's going on in the supply
01:16:01
◼
►
chain right now.
01:16:02
◼
►
And Apple, even with all its preparation and all the stuff it buys in advance and all of
01:16:06
◼
►
that stuff that it puts on the nodes that are less legacy, the nodes that are more leading
01:16:12
◼
►
edge, the legacy nodes still are biting them.
01:16:15
◼
►
That's just the bottom line of what's happening right now.
01:16:17
◼
►
And Tim Cook, I will bet you Tim Cook is waking up in the middle of the night and going, "Legacy
01:16:24
◼
►
And that's just where they are right now.
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Oh no, flour tortilla, please.
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A thanks to door dash for the continued support of this show and relay FM.
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Let's do some hashtag ask upgrade questions.
01:20:06
◼
►
First comes from Adrian who asks someone who prefers dark terminals and code editors.
01:20:12
◼
►
What does white text on a dark background look like on the new Mac book pro screens
01:20:16
◼
►
how visible is a glow around the text if at all?
01:20:19
◼
►
What do you think?
01:20:20
◼
►
Have you tried this?
01:20:21
◼
►
Yeah, cause I am a, I mean, I have everything in dark mode all the time.
01:20:25
◼
►
I haven't noticed any glow at all.
01:20:27
◼
►
I think this is the bloom, right?
01:20:30
◼
►
The people were talking about of a mini led.
01:20:32
◼
►
I saw, but you know, in a bunch of reviews that I've been watching, people were saying
01:20:36
◼
►
that there was, you know, you could see bloom in certain circumstances, usually for movement,
01:20:41
◼
►
but there's seems to be less than there was on the iPad pros is what I've is, is kind of
01:20:47
◼
►
the overall consensus that I've seen.
01:20:49
◼
►
So it seems like maybe Apple have tweaked that technology for the mini led for these
01:20:54
◼
►
And I, uh, I see it on my iPad pro, but it doesn't really bother me because it's bright
01:21:02
◼
►
text in the middle of a field of black.
01:21:03
◼
►
And so a little bit of a glow I'm like, oh yeah, it's glowing, right?
01:21:07
◼
►
Like that's sort of a, almost like a natural kind of feeling, but yeah, I haven't noticed
01:21:11
◼
►
it on the Mac book pro either.
01:21:12
◼
►
And I am a green.
01:21:15
◼
►
This is a thing we haven't talked about.
01:21:17
◼
►
Have we, I, I, my terminal is green on a black background.
01:21:20
◼
►
Cause I want that old school monochrome terminal vibe, not the white text.
01:21:25
◼
►
I want the green text in there.
01:21:26
◼
►
I mean, I'm not in the terminal.
01:21:28
◼
►
I'm just like in the notes app.
01:21:31
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No, it looks, it looks pretty good.
01:21:33
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There's a photo in my Mac book pro review of the notch that was taken on the, uh, taken
01:21:39
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with my camera, my iPhone camera, because you can't see the notch in screenshots.
01:21:44
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And, uh, you know, there's no bloom in there either.
01:21:47
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So I don't know.
01:21:48
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It's it's, uh, I think it's fine, but if you're super sensitive to it, maybe it'll bother
01:21:53
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I don't know, but it certainly doesn't feel like that to us.
01:21:55
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I haven't seen any of this.
01:21:57
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I mean, I would recommend, I guess, if this is something you're particularly worried about,
01:22:00
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they have them in stores now and go look.
01:22:02
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Also, I would imagine the bloom is like the, the screen is so bright, way brighter than
01:22:08
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if you're working in a darker environment and in dark mode, you're not gonna, if you've
01:22:13
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turned the screen up all the way, I bet you, there would be a lot more visible bloom, but
01:22:16
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also the each individual pixel that's lit up would sear itself into your retina.
01:22:21
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Cause you're probably not going to run it at a hundred nits while you're in the dark
01:22:25
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or whatever, a thousand nits, thousand nits full, full brightness, a hundred percent brightness.
01:22:29
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Not going to happen because like, I think I run it at like 20% brightness most of the
01:22:34
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It's such a bright display.
01:22:35
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And I bet you that that's part of the, uh, part of the issue too.
01:22:38
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Brilliant asks, you mentioned that you use Jason, a USB-C magnetic, like MagSafe alternative
01:22:45
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for your Mac book.
01:22:46
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Some of the early ones that this person used did not work very well.
01:22:48
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Which brand do you recommend?
01:22:50
◼
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So yeah, I used one that was a first initially, uh, that was like this little block that plugged
01:22:56
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into your USB-C and then it got, uh, it had a little, uh, magnetic-y thing that came off
01:23:01
◼
►
of it that you plugged on to a USB-C cable.
01:23:05
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And that was okay, but it was a little bit chunky and it came apart after three months
01:23:10
◼
►
of using it, the pieces, it kind of felt the pieces.
01:23:13
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►
And then I bought what John Syracuse recommended, which is basically, it's a very nice, uh,
01:23:19
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fabric wrapped cable with magnet on the end.
01:23:25
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And then it comes with a little tiny metal USB-C thing that you plug in to your USB-C
01:23:33
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►
port and it sticks out a very tiny amount with the magnetic connector.
01:23:37
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Um, and that's great.
01:23:40
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We bought two of them.
01:23:41
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So Lauren's got one.
01:23:42
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I've got one.
01:23:43
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Um, it works really well.
01:23:45
◼
►
It is unfortunately, and we'll put the link in the show notes, but it's out of stock on
01:23:51
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►
Amazon right now.
01:23:51
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I think, cause I mentioned this last week and I don't know if they're making them anymore
01:23:55
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►
and I can't recommend another one because I couldn't find one that's similar to it.
01:23:59
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►
I found some that are, that do what it does, but the cables look kind of crappy and this
01:24:03
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►
cable is really good.
01:24:04
◼
►
So, uh, we'll put the link in the show notes.
01:24:07
◼
►
It's from a no name company, but, uh, John Syracuse, I liked it.
01:24:12
◼
►
I hope they make more of them because a lot of us don't have new fancy MagSafe laptops
01:24:18
◼
►
and having MagSafe is, uh, it's nice.
01:24:21
◼
►
It's nice to have it on the old laptops too.
01:24:23
◼
►
Kevin asks, do the new Mac Pro spell the end of dongle town?
01:24:28
◼
►
It's a good, it's a good question.
01:24:30
◼
►
I've been thinking about this a lot, Kevin and Myke and I have been thinking about what
01:24:33
◼
►
the future of our dongle town merch is, right?
01:24:35
◼
►
Like, I mean, it's still USB-C and people still have issues with it, but the USB-C anger
01:24:42
◼
►
is abating because USB-C is taking over and USB-A was terrible.
01:24:46
◼
►
And even though we had a lot of USB-A cables, USB-C connector is way better.
01:24:50
◼
►
Every time I have to plug in a USB-A connector and I still always get it wrong the first
01:24:56
◼
►
I have to flip it over and I'm reminded that USB-C doesn't do that.
01:24:59
◼
►
But Kevin dongle town abides.
01:25:02
◼
►
Dongle town is always with us.
01:25:03
◼
►
Anywhere someone has a USB-A cable dongle town is there.
01:25:09
◼
►
Anywhere someone needs to convert like VGA or some other monitor standard to HDMI dongle
01:25:15
◼
►
town is there.
01:25:15
◼
►
Anytime you need to plug in a hub in order to get more ports and connect to a monitor
01:25:21
◼
►
and all of those things that you're doing, you're in dongle town.
01:25:26
◼
►
Anytime you need to connect wired headphones to an iPhone or iPad dongle town is there.
01:25:33
◼
►
Dongle town will never really ever leave us, but it is receding into the distance a little
01:25:43
◼
►
bit for now on at least the MacBook pro.
01:25:46
◼
►
And bronze asks, do you think Apple will ever release AirPods or AirPods pro in a color
01:25:53
◼
►
other than white?
01:25:55
◼
►
I don't know about this one, right?
01:25:56
◼
►
Because the AirPods max, they come in a bunch of colors.
01:25:59
◼
►
And I think one of the reasons this is because it's mostly aluminum and Apple's really
01:26:03
◼
►
good at aluminum color, right?
01:26:05
◼
►
And I thought maybe they would release different color AirPods, but they never did with the
01:26:12
◼
►
iPhone and iPod earbuds.
01:26:15
◼
►
They were always white.
01:26:16
◼
►
I think I could imagine them saying always white.
01:26:19
◼
►
They just like that statement of the always white.
01:26:22
◼
►
Yeah, I'm of two minds on this.
01:26:24
◼
►
This is a very much a color, hashtag colors are a question.
01:26:27
◼
►
The white earbuds thing has just been a thing for a very long time.
01:26:34
◼
►
And I think Apple likes it.
01:26:37
◼
►
And these are, I don't know.
01:26:41
◼
►
So, so I think, wow, ever is a long, long time.
01:26:45
◼
►
And I keep thinking it would be Apple is experimenting with all of this color and all of the other
01:26:51
◼
►
places that its identity for consumer products has changed to have more color in it.
01:26:58
◼
►
The HomePod now is coming in orange and blue and yellow.
01:27:03
◼
►
So I'm going to hold out hope, France.
01:27:09
◼
►
I'm going to hold out hope that Apple is moving in a direction where offering color options
01:27:17
◼
►
of AirPods will one day be a thing.
01:27:20
◼
►
But it's going to be, I wouldn't give it a huge amount of a chance of happening just
01:27:26
◼
►
because they seem so committed to the white earbud thing when I think it would be so easy
01:27:31
◼
►
for them to say, you know, what about, what about blue?
01:27:35
◼
►
What about red?
01:27:37
◼
►
But even when they made the iPod nano in a million colors, the earbuds were still white.
01:27:42
◼
►
So maybe that's the fate of the AirPods too.
01:27:47
◼
►
If you would like to send in a question for us to answer in a future episode of Upgrade,
01:27:51
◼
►
just send out a tweet with the hashtag #AskUpgrade or use question mark #AskUpgrade in the RelayFM
01:27:55
◼
►
members Discord, which you can get access to if you sign up for Upgrade Plus.
01:28:00
◼
►
Go to GetUpgradePlus.com and you'll be getting yourself longer ad-free episodes of Upgrade
01:28:05
◼
►
every single week.
01:28:08
◼
►
Thank you so much to everybody who supports the show this way.
01:28:11
◼
►
I want to tell you about another show here at Relay FM before we wrap up today.
01:28:15
◼
►
And that is the wonderful Roboism hosted by Alex Cox and Kathy Campbell, serious friends
01:28:20
◼
►
of the show.
01:28:21
◼
►
And on Roboism, they explore how artificial intelligence, machine learning and digital
01:28:25
◼
►
assistance are affecting our culture.
01:28:28
◼
►
You can explore the humanity behind the bots that are becoming a part of our everyday lives
01:28:37
◼
►
or search for Roboism wherever you get your podcasts.
01:28:39
◼
►
They are wonderful people and you should go and check out their show.
01:28:42
◼
►
Thanks so much to our sponsors of this week's episode.
01:28:45
◼
►
That is the fine folk over at DoorDash, TextExpander and Fitbot.
01:28:49
◼
►
If you want to find, I don't usually say this, but if you want to find show notes for this
01:28:53
◼
►
week's episode, they should be in your podcast app of choice or at Relay.fm/upgrade/379.
01:28:59
◼
►
I say that on some of my other shows, Jason.
01:29:01
◼
►
Mostly the pan addict against that one.
01:29:03
◼
►
Click on that MagSafe thing and I'll get all that sweet, sweet affiliate revenue from a
01:29:07
◼
►
product that is out of stock and may never work.
01:29:12
◼
►
You're going to be rolling in it.
01:29:13
◼
►
It's going to be wonderful.
01:29:15
◼
►
If you want to find Jason online, you can go to SixColors.com and he is @jsnell, J-S-N-E-L-L.
01:29:21
◼
►
I am @mike_yke and we'll be back next time.
01:29:26
◼
►
Until then, say goodbye Jason Snell.
01:29:27
◼
►
Goodbye Myke Early.