366: ‘Measure Seven Times, Cut Once’, With Glenn Fleishman
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Glenn, happy holidays. Happy holidays to you.
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Was Philadelphia an ice storm extravaganza like Seattle? No, you know what?
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We, it was cold ice cold. I mean, really. I mean, and again,
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I don't even want to complain cause I know the temperature. Yeah. Uh,
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basically I don't want to complain. It got really cold,
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but we avoided all of the precipitation or, you know,
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other than like a little bit of rain,
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but I didn't even have to salt our sidewalks.
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So given how much terrible precipitation, snow, ice,
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whatever has hit everybody over the last week, I don't want to complain.
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Yeah. We got, we got coded on the Friday before Christmas,
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Seattle turned into a,
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just a solid sheet of unbroken ice across the entire city.
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Like we'd been put under some kind of acrylic layer.
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And if you didn't have to go out, I was talking to,
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I had a medical appointment yesterday and I was talking to all the medical
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staff and I was like, do you have to go out? And they're like, I was,
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I was supposed to come in and I was getting the car ready.
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And then they're like, don't come in. And the doctor I had is like, well,
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I wasn't going to go in, but a patient needed me and he's from the Northeast.
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So we drove very carefully and we met at the hospital. Oh, I'm sorry.
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I saw a thing and again,
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Philadelphia does not get by far and away the worst winter weather,
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but it's, you know, we, we definitely, you know, get icy roads.
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And I saw that with the weather nationwide that like a surging
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Google trend was how to drive on icy roads.
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Don't. Yes, exactly.
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I lived in Maine for two winters, two winters in one summer,
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which is the wrong way to do it.
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And the trick is in climates that get a lot of bad weather, typically, you know,
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you know, you get the snow and it gets packed down and you drive on snow and you
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have snow tires, you have chains in your car if you need them.
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And it's the ice that gets you and people are like, well,
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if I can drive on snow, I can drive on ice. No, you can't drive on ice.
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That's don't know. No, it's like tip number one. Don't tip number two.
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Seriously. Don't tip number three, seriously leave your car where it is.
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You know, if you're worried about the battery,
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start the car up and just leave it in park for five minutes to warm it up and,
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and then just turn it off and go back inside. And number four, if you really,
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really have to go somewhere that the only secret to driving on ice is
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to go like an inch a minute. Oh, there is no,
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you don't the traction. Oh, there's,
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we have a Subaru and I noticed the first time this year it was,
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is a gift from my in-laws when they stopped driving and I was like,
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what is that X button X mode button? I don't know what this does.
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And I look it up and it's like, Oh,
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it engages every kind of mode to improve traction and low gear and all at one
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separate tire function. And I'm like, Oh, I didn't even know we,
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this it's like X mode is really like ice and bad hill mode. I'm like, okay,
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well next time we'll press the button. I guess, I don't know if you want to,
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if you want to treat and no one was hurt every time we have ice in Seattle,
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you just type in like queen and ice or something like that into,
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and that's our tallest Hill in Seattle. And there's one very steep Hill.
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That's the counterbalance Hill where they used to run a cable car and they had a
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counterbalance that's still present underneath,
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even though there's no cable cars and people, you know, we're like, well,
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it's just, it's not that bad. And then you go,
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it's like if you were curling with cars and this was happening all the time,
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all over queen Anne and people were like, Oh, Nope, they're either,
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they'd be shooting it out the window. Oh no, they, Oh,
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now it's going down and the person in the car would just slide sideways and
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bumper car. And Oh anyway, we got through it.
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Well, I hope everybody out there is all right.
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One thing that I feel certain is guaranteed given the quantity of people is
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that there's no doubt in my mind that there are numerous people who will be
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listening to this episode,
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hearing your and my voices who were hit by the Southwest airlines.
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I don't even know what to call it. Collapse fiasco.
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I'm fascinated by it because I'm always interested in the way systems break
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And I'm always interested in companies that are customer focused,
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you know, and, and I am, I am a fan. I, you know,
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I wrote about it briefly yesterday or the day before. I,
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I like Southwest airlines a lot. I don't fly them.
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I used to fly them as my primary airline and in the early days of doing daring
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fireball professionally,
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it was really the difference between me being able to afford to go to all of
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these various Apple events that I went to and not,
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it was like around the mid two thousands, 2006,
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2007 that that era early days of DF,
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me doing it professionally Southwest had super low flight.
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I mean just unbelievably lower cost flights than any other airline from Philly
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to the Bay area, to Austin for South by Southwest.
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Oh yeah. And a couple other places.
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One of the things that they had done was that they had,
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it reminds me of Apple.
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Remember when Apple locked in the flash memory prices?
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It was like in the, in the iPod era. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
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And it was like everywhere they had prices that were ridiculous compared to
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everyone else cause they'd bought up all the capacity, right?
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Or a huge amount of capacity.
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It was like a maybe the move that secured Tim Cook as the future leader of the
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Oh yeah. Right. And then they kind of did it again with the iPad too when it was
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That was I think why that price differential was so huge as they had secured a
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massive amount of expense or not expensive at parts that when you buy them on
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the open market or we're much higher. Yeah. But like 15 ish years ago,
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Southwest did something similar with fuel prices where they had locked in like a
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longterm contract on jet fuel and,
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and the prices skyrocketed.
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But Southwest uniquely had locked in these low prices and for a couple of years
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it was just like night and day, many,
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many hundreds of dollars to fly coast to coast from Philly to the Bay area
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versus, you know,
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I remember getting like $129 coast to coast flights, you know,
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on Southwest and,
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and flying Southwest is not like flying what you think of as a budget airline.
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Right. It's, you know, it's different.
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They have the weird rule that throws everybody off. I think they still do it.
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It's been a while since I flew Southwest where you don't get a reserved seat and
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you sort of bored like, I don't know,
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like getting on a bus or actually Amtrak has started doing reserved seats,
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which I actually really like, but more or less, you know,
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it's like you get like a boarding group number and first on first choice of
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seats and you just sit wherever it, there's an open seat.
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And they figured out that by doing it that way,
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they actually fill the plane faster than if there are reserved seats.
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And that was the number one reason why they did it that way.
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And it throws everybody who's used to other airlines off,
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but once you get used to it, it's, it works out.
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There's often the single biggest hiccup is like, Oh, you know,
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and then the flight attendants will come on the PA system and say,
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there's like a mother and a young child. And there's only like two middle seats,
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10 rows apart that are open. Would any,
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would anybody be willing to move their seats?
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So this mother and young child can board together. Whereas, you know, and again,
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well, I'm a rotten person, Glenn. I never raised my hand,
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but I gotcha. God'll get you John. Well, but you know, it's, but you're, see,
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this is, this is that I don't think Southwest,
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some other airlines are much worse about this, right?
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In which they sort of pit our personal and are like our generous and selfless
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interests against each other and Southwest from what I've,
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I've never flown Southwest.
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They don't really service the areas that I go to from Seattle or they're not the
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I can always get Alaska is often our kind of airline for lower cost and certain
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routes and Alaska has nonstop to a lot of places really affordably.
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So we're really lucky in our hub,
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but Southwest doesn't seem to put everybody into like a prisoner's dilemma or a
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Hobson's choice or any of the other scenarios they, so when you get that,
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you know, Hey, could somebody move? Because we have, you know, that situation,
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that's like a minority of the time, right? It's not,
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you're not constantly feeling like you can't get your bags. Like, you know,
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I just flew to,
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my kid did a very long European trip bumming around Europe recently and I joined
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him for the last two weeks. I was in central Europe for a couple of weeks in
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November, December, and just flying these long haul, you know,
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the like two segments, they used miles both ways and they're, you know,
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you got on the plane, like it feels like there's like freight car storage above
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you. They're like, we might not have room for all the bags. I'm like, what the deal,
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you, what are you doing?
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It's like you could put several people up there and you're like, well,
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if you don't get on first, if you're not in the boarding,
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this ticket class doesn't include a carry on bag this bigger and you're not
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here. And I'm like, Oh, just, you know, you're trying to make every dollar.
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And all you're doing is making everybody, you know,
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the airlines are determined and maybe Southwest before this excluded to make
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everyone feel about them like the cable companies and telephone companies.
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And I'm like, come on, you could be, you could be better,
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but they're so eager to get it to scrape every dollar out. I don't know.
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Well, Southwest,
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so you've probably read all these great accounts from people who have airline
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system experience and it's like South.
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I thought the best description I read was Southwest. This is,
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I think the a seat you were listening to that seat 31 B it was that Southwest is
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a, is a, you know, it's national airline,
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but it likes to pretend it's kind of a regional point to point airline when it
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suits them because they want to argue that they don't have the same,
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they shouldn't be subject to the same rules as the mainline. Yeah. No airlines,
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like a United or something. And it's like, no, they really are.
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And this is when it breaks down because their system is designed on a knife's
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edge and the knife cut through it.
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Yeah, it's, it's really, I mean, and again,
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they are a customer focused airline, you know,
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and maybe by the standards of overall customer
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focused companies period,
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even the best airline in the United States is actually not that great, but, but,
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but given the state of U S air travel, Southwest,
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in my opinion is an excellent company, but it, it, it's like a,
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I don't know,
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some kind of worst case scenario where everything that could go wrong for
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Southwest went wrong and they had a crew
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at certain airports stranded who couldn't get to where they needed to go
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and get into an airport hotel. Right.
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Cause Southwest doesn't have other arrangements with hotels.
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They couldn't get them rested in time to redeploy them. Right. And you know,
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for, for good reason, you know, there are,
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are rules about how much rest, you know, airline staff, you know,
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pilots and flight attendants need, you know, before they can work.
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And they had planes at other airports, you know, but, but no crew.
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So they had planes at certain airports, crew at other airports,
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and no way to catch up, which is just so strange.
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It doesn't think like something that could happen, but it did. And to me,
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the most telling fact was that yesterday, Wednesday,
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99% of all canceled flights in America were Southwest flights.
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Yup. And they're still at 50% when we record this.
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And they're about, they claim on December 30th,
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there'll be back to essentially full operation, you know,
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unless some of the post-it notes fall off the wall where they've been tracking
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flights. Right. And it's, you know, and it's one of those things where I,
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I always remember this phrase, I forget who I learned it from,
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but better necessarily implies different, right?
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That to be better, you have to be different. And it's,
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it's such a good phrase to keep in mind because human nature is to
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eschew differences, right?
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We tend as humans to
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avoid things that are weird or different. And, you know,
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we could go on and on about how that sort of was the,
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the problem Apple faced with the Mac for decades, right? Was that, ah,
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the Mac is too different and it, it was different and that's what made it better.
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But people are like, ah, I don't want something that I'm not used to.
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And Southwest is sort of like that for an airline where it's like, ah,
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it's weird. You don't get a reserved seat.
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They don't participate in any of these cross airline things where,
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where like worst case scenario,
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you're flying United and something bad happens and they don't have
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It's like United can somehow work something out with American and maybe stick
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you on an American flight. If there's like an empty seat,
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and you don't even have to pay. And because they have some kind of,
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I don't know what they call it, like a partner.
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I learned the term it's called an interline agreement. I just,
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now you learn something new when things belt down.
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There you go. Interline agreement. Southwest has no interline agreements.
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And you know,
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in some ways that served them well over the decades because it's made them
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different. But then something like this happens and they're like,
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and they're telling these poor customers and I'm again,
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again, I'm sure that some of them are out there listening to us talk about it.
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And, and my,
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I am not phobic in the least bit about airplane crashes because I
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truly, I, for whatever reason,
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the way my brain works,
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I've completely internalized the statistical
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truth that the safest way to get from point a to point B is in an
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airplane. Right? Yeah. Yeah. So I'm not worried about that. To me,
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my phobia whenever I travel air travel is exactly what happened
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to people trying to travel on Southwest this week,
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which is you get to the airport, you go through security,
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and now you're on the other end of security and flights start getting canceled.
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And there's a six hour line, literally six,
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six hour line to talk to somebody at the desk. And what,
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what do you do?
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You're waiting. Yeah. You're stuck. You know,
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I'll tell you my worst airplane thing.
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And this happened to me once is although not as bad as some of the incidents you
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heard a few years ago is when they put you on the plane,
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they take you out and then they're like,
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we're delayed and you're on the plane for hours. Then they're like,
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you know, you can't get up and use the bathroom. They're like, all right,
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we're going to let you use the bathroom. They're like, okay,
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all the bathrooms are now closed and you're like, and, and we can't, oh,
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and there's no gate for us to go back to. Right. Like some kind of,
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and then that happened.
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There were a few planes that happened to a few years ago and that that's when
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the department of transportation pushed out a bunch of new, like it was,
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it took that impetus to put out new rules and penalties and, and things. I,
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I also expect what Southwest has been doing, I think along the way, like, you know,
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despite this meltdown, you and I know, and I think all the listeners know,
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unlike some organizations and companies,
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nothing they're doing here is malicious or in the interest of making more money.
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In fact, they would be delighted to not be in this situation.
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There's nothing good about this for them and they didn't do it intentionally.
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Although they put out some nasty note to their workers a few days ago that may
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have had an impact where they're like, people are taking too much,
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too many fake days off or something. And that, you know, soured the pot,
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I think for what's coming on. But, but that said,
00:15:11
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every statement they've made is like, they literally put on their website,
00:15:15
◼
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this is unacceptable or this is, you know, they, in their public statements,
00:15:19
◼
►
they've said, what we're doing is wrong and bad. And I'm like, all right,
00:15:21
◼
►
well that is kind of disarming. And they've told everyone who's asked,
00:15:24
◼
►
we're going to pay you back.
00:15:26
◼
►
And so it doesn't help when you had to spend 48 hours in an airport and miss
00:15:29
◼
►
Christmas. The money doesn't help, but you're not going to be monitored.
00:15:32
◼
►
If you had a book, an airline, like some people are like,
00:15:34
◼
►
I had to spend a thousand dollars to rebook on United.
00:15:36
◼
►
We rented a car and we spent $700 and we drove and we had to put it air,
00:15:40
◼
►
And Southwest so far has been saying we're going to pay you back for all the
00:15:44
◼
►
expense you incurred. I just gonna have to send a lot of receipts.
00:15:47
◼
►
So it's a hassle, but they're not like, well, this isn't our problem.
00:15:50
◼
►
The historic thing and ice, blah, blah. They're not trying to play that game.
00:15:53
◼
►
And if they do this well, I mean, some people are complaining already.
00:15:57
◼
►
They're having trouble with refunds cause the airport plane airlines still
00:15:59
◼
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melted down. But if they do this well,
00:16:01
◼
►
they come out of it and they put it cause they're going to have to push out like
00:16:05
◼
►
all their flyers. They're gonna have to push out vouchers to everybody.
00:16:07
◼
►
They're going to have to pay them back. They're going to have to have fair sales.
00:16:11
◼
►
It's going to take them years to reestablish and they're all gonna have to
00:16:14
◼
►
promise like we're going to rebuild our system, you know,
00:16:16
◼
►
and rebuild relationships with all of their employees who have been all abused
00:16:20
◼
►
in different ways.
00:16:21
◼
►
And all the gate agents who've been screamed at by people have been stuck in
00:16:25
◼
►
airports for 48 hours. There's no excuse for doing it.
00:16:27
◼
►
Cause not the gate agents problem,
00:16:28
◼
►
but people are going to do it cause they lost it there. They haven't slept.
00:16:32
◼
►
So anyway, there's years of rebuilding, but so far I'm like,
00:16:35
◼
►
I can't think of another company that has been as objectively like, yeah,
00:16:39
◼
►
this is our fault at Southwest when something during the meltdown part,
00:16:43
◼
►
not during the face saving part later.
00:16:45
◼
►
Yeah. Yeah. I think they're doing an okay job with the crisis management,
00:16:49
◼
►
you know, and, and you know,
00:16:51
◼
►
thankfully nobody has actually gotten hurt because of this. So,
00:16:54
◼
►
so maybe it's not the best analogy,
00:16:56
◼
►
but of course the gold standard is the Tylenol recall back in the
00:17:01
◼
►
eighties where there was what, what was the, as I recall the, the basic,
00:17:05
◼
►
it really was true. What it was like some, some lunatic never caught,
00:17:10
◼
►
right? Never, never. I forgot that part. I was looking it up recently. Yep.
00:17:13
◼
►
They like injected cyanide into some tablets or replaced some tablets with
00:17:18
◼
►
cyanide, but it was like a handful at a handful of stores, right?
00:17:22
◼
►
It was very limited. They absolutely knew the serial numbers or whatever,
00:17:27
◼
►
you know, whatever the numbers were.
00:17:29
◼
►
And it was a certain tablet from a certain factory and then they,
00:17:32
◼
►
they could have just recalled just, just the laced packages.
00:17:37
◼
►
And instead their CEO at the time was like, Nope,
00:17:40
◼
►
let's every single thing with the name Tylenol in it,
00:17:44
◼
►
whether it's cough syrup or, or tablets or whatever, if it says Tylenol,
00:17:49
◼
►
everything comes off the shelves, everything gets destroyed.
00:17:51
◼
►
And we'll start over from scratch and guarantee that this will never happen
00:17:56
◼
►
again. And that's when they rolled out the tamper proof caps too,
00:17:59
◼
►
or the flute seal. That was part of that operation. I think as they retooled,
00:18:03
◼
►
they took months, I think there was no Tylenol.
00:18:06
◼
►
You can only get generic or whatever on the market. And then they, right.
00:18:09
◼
►
But there was, there was, there was speculation when it first happened. And,
00:18:14
◼
►
you know, and that, you know, it really wasn't, it wasn't like an urban legend.
00:18:17
◼
►
There really were a limited small number of Tylenol packages that had cyanide
00:18:22
◼
►
from a lunatic.
00:18:23
◼
►
And there was a lot of speculation that this would be the end of the brand,
00:18:26
◼
►
that they would have to shut down. Nobody's ever going to buy it again.
00:18:29
◼
►
And instead because they reacted so strongly and so
00:18:34
◼
►
everything to put everybody's mind at ease by, by literally taking everything,
00:18:39
◼
►
whether they knew that it couldn't possibly have been involved with the same guy
00:18:43
◼
►
or not everything off the shelves, like within six months,
00:18:46
◼
►
their brand trust numbers were actually higher than before the incident,
00:18:51
◼
►
which is crazy. I don't know that that's going to happen with Southwest.
00:18:54
◼
►
Honestly, I, I, this is going to take to me,
00:18:57
◼
►
this is going to take some time because if you do the math and I did the math and
00:19:02
◼
►
I was like, just the back of the envelope math, I was like, wait,
00:19:04
◼
►
that's too many people that can't be right. But Southwest,
00:19:08
◼
►
part of their gimmick or,
00:19:10
◼
►
or their operational excellence is that they only fly one type of airplane
00:19:15
◼
►
Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. It makes it much simpler for, right.
00:19:18
◼
►
That's one of their things. If you don't like that plane, don't.
00:19:20
◼
►
Yeah. Yeah. If you don't like a Boeing. Yeah.
00:19:23
◼
►
And they have slightly different seating arrangements where there's like always
00:19:27
◼
►
the it's, they, they don't have first class or business class,
00:19:31
◼
►
but what they have are very generously spaced exit rows,
00:19:35
◼
►
which is, you know, if you fly Southwest, that's like,
00:19:37
◼
►
that's like the in demand seats,
00:19:40
◼
►
including one on every plane that doesn't have a front,
00:19:44
◼
►
a seat in front of it. So you can really stretch your legs out.
00:19:46
◼
►
There's like one seat with no, no seat in front of it in the exit row.
00:19:50
◼
►
Sometimes it's on the left, sometimes it's on the right,
00:19:53
◼
►
but it has all of their planes are Boeing 737.
00:19:56
◼
►
So like the engine parts are all interchangeable and
00:20:01
◼
►
the, the number of seats is identical.
00:20:04
◼
►
So any Southwest flight can fly any, any,
00:20:08
◼
►
any Southwest plane can stop, can fly any Southwest flight.
00:20:12
◼
►
And it's part of their general operational excellence where they,
00:20:17
◼
►
tend to lead the industry and on-time departures and arrivals and stuff like
00:20:21
◼
►
that. I forget where I was going with it.
00:20:23
◼
►
It's the homogenization of the right, right.
00:20:26
◼
►
There's where I was going with it is that I,
00:20:31
◼
►
I think that people are going to be a little bit slower to forgive
00:20:36
◼
►
the people who were affected. Cause if you do the back,
00:20:39
◼
►
the back of the envelope math,
00:20:40
◼
►
which is where I was going is there's 143 seats on a Southwest flight. Oh,
00:20:44
◼
►
I see. Okay. And they tend to fly.
00:20:47
◼
►
They also tend to lead the industry in how full their planes are,
00:20:51
◼
►
which is how they're so efficient. So 2000 and they, this week,
00:20:56
◼
►
they've averaged more than 2000 canceled flights a day. Cancel not. Oh,
00:21:00
◼
►
I see. Yeah. Yeah. So you were talking,
00:21:02
◼
►
do the math 2000 times 140 is like 330,000.
00:21:07
◼
►
So 330,000 passengers a day with canceled flights for like,
00:21:12
◼
►
I really thought about the numbers.
00:21:13
◼
►
So a million plus people this week or a million passengers easily. It's easily,
00:21:17
◼
►
it's easy to, yeah.
00:21:19
◼
►
Easy to figure out that there's a million people and there just isn't that much
00:21:24
◼
►
Even if you can squeeze people onto United and American and Alaska and whatever
00:21:29
◼
►
other airlines, there's just no way to,
00:21:30
◼
►
there's no way to put a million people on onto otherwise booked planes. So I,
00:21:35
◼
►
I think it's going to be a while before Southwest recovers, but you know,
00:21:39
◼
►
I wouldn't bet against them because I do think that fundamentally it's a company
00:21:43
◼
►
that is customer focused. So we shall see.
00:21:46
◼
►
It's it's fun to fly different airlines because you get to see,
00:21:50
◼
►
get to see how they perform. And I flew Lufthansa. This is again, under my,
00:21:54
◼
►
you know, United partners. So I used to use miles and I got the, you know,
00:21:57
◼
►
the coach Lufthansa experience is honestly better than most, you know,
00:22:02
◼
►
it's, it's not quite business class, but it's, it ain't too shabby for their
00:22:06
◼
►
long haul flights. So it was kind of funny. I was like, Oh yeah, that's right.
00:22:10
◼
►
You can run a really profitable airline that, that is,
00:22:13
◼
►
it's really sharp in the air too. So I don't know. It's, I think, you know,
00:22:17
◼
►
actually there's,
00:22:18
◼
►
I think there's the biggest change that I think in airlines is that the new
00:22:22
◼
►
seats are so thin compared to those old bulky ones.
00:22:25
◼
►
And I think they're generally more comfortable too.
00:22:27
◼
►
And they didn't give us all the room back in, you know, in knee space.
00:22:31
◼
►
But I think I feel like the newest planes,
00:22:34
◼
►
even in the worst coast sections are more comfortable than some of the better
00:22:38
◼
►
planes in the, you know, 20, 30 years ago. I don't know. I don't,
00:22:41
◼
►
maybe it's just me. I really,
00:22:42
◼
►
my behind falls asleep and my back goes wonky on longer flights.
00:22:47
◼
►
And I managed to get through, you know,
00:22:48
◼
►
like 14 hours in one direction and 12 and the other pretty with two segments.
00:22:52
◼
►
So, yeah, I, I know I agree with that. I think when you,
00:22:55
◼
►
when you first board a plane and you, you sort of look around and,
00:22:59
◼
►
and you can quickly discern, was this plane recently renovated?
00:23:03
◼
►
Or is it, are these seats like 30 years old?
00:23:06
◼
►
A new plane definitely is more comfortable. No, there's something,
00:23:09
◼
►
there's something to the, the seat technology that they've, you know, they've,
00:23:13
◼
►
they, you know, they, they, they squeeze every inch out of the leg space,
00:23:18
◼
►
but by making the seat a little thinner,
00:23:21
◼
►
they kind of gain back an inch or two and an inch.
00:23:24
◼
►
Cause you gotta be a certain depth, right?
00:23:26
◼
►
You're always going to have to be back in the seat a little bit.
00:23:28
◼
►
So I can like cross my legs and coach and I flew my first 737 Max's on a
00:23:33
◼
►
trip to Ohio in October. And I was like, huh, it's like 737 Max. Like, well,
00:23:38
◼
►
they've been flying enough of them long enough. I'm not going to worry about it.
00:23:40
◼
►
It was still like, all right, first time out on one of these is the planes are fine.
00:23:44
◼
►
It didn't, I didn't have any, any worries,
00:23:46
◼
►
but it was just kind of funny to suddenly be like, Oh yeah,
00:23:48
◼
►
that was that thing, wasn't it? Before the pandemic. Yeah.
00:23:52
◼
►
That was the thing everybody was talking about. Oh, geez. All right. Anyway,
00:23:55
◼
►
let me take a break here.
00:23:56
◼
►
Thank our first sponsors are good friends at Linode go to L I N O D E.com/the
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talk show linode.com/the talk show and see why Linode has been voted the top
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This is where I host during fireball. I've been there for years. I would do it.
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Linode.com/the talk show a little bit of news.
00:26:18
◼
►
It's surprising to me a little bit how news Apple newsy December has been.
00:26:23
◼
►
Usually it's pretty quiet, but two pieces that sort of seem related to me,
00:26:28
◼
►
related to Apple Silicon, for lack of a better catch all term.
00:26:33
◼
►
Mark Gurman had an excellent report in the,
00:26:37
◼
►
at Bloomberg on the Mac Pro, which is the obvious,
00:26:42
◼
►
we all know this, this isn't speculation or rumor.
00:26:45
◼
►
When Apple announced the move to Apple Silicon at WWDC
00:26:51
◼
►
Tim Cook said that this transition will be complete by the end of 2022.
00:26:56
◼
►
And it turns out it's not because of one, one Mac,
00:27:02
◼
►
the Mac Pro, which is the only one that is still only on Intel.
00:27:05
◼
►
It's part of the backstory is this spring
00:27:10
◼
►
when Apple unveiled the Mac studio, which is a new form factor.
00:27:15
◼
►
I think one of the big stories of 2022,
00:27:17
◼
►
cause it's a form factor that Mac Pro Mac users
00:27:22
◼
►
have been dreaming about for, I think literally decades,
00:27:27
◼
►
you know, certainly since the G4 Cube,
00:27:29
◼
►
which was the last sort of attempt at a sort of
00:27:34
◼
►
small form factor, bigger than a mini,
00:27:38
◼
►
but pro spec features Mac when they unveiled it,
00:27:43
◼
►
John Ternus in their pre filmed event said this, you know, you know,
00:27:47
◼
►
we've got one more Mac to go, the Mac Pro, he even mentioned it,
00:27:51
◼
►
that, you know, the Mac Pro is still coming this, you know,
00:27:55
◼
►
more or less, I think to emphasize that
00:27:58
◼
►
however well spec the Mac studio is, and it is very well specced.
00:28:05
◼
►
It is not the Mac Pro on Apple Silicon.
00:28:08
◼
►
And I think that if Ternus hadn't said that in their event,
00:28:12
◼
►
a reasonable conclusion for everybody outside Apple would be, Oh,
00:28:17
◼
►
maybe the Mac Pro brand is dead. And in the Apple Silicon era,
00:28:21
◼
►
the Mac studio is the Mac Pro.
00:28:23
◼
►
This is the beefiest Mac desktop you're going to be able to buy.
00:28:28
◼
►
So deal with it. Let's, you know, let's treat it that way. But they didn't,
00:28:33
◼
►
they came out and said the Mac Pro is still coming. And the Gurman report,
00:28:37
◼
►
I don't know how best to summarize it,
00:28:39
◼
►
but basically is that they ran into that.
00:28:44
◼
►
They had planned to have an M one based something, something, you know,
00:28:48
◼
►
like something like a double M one ultra,
00:28:52
◼
►
like two ultras attached together.
00:28:55
◼
►
And that would be the foundation of the Mac Pro and it didn't happen.
00:28:59
◼
►
And now who knows?
00:29:01
◼
►
Although it makes, I mean, it made sense. I would have been shocked.
00:29:05
◼
►
It would have, well,
00:29:06
◼
►
it would have been interesting cause I would have been shocked if they'd release
00:29:09
◼
►
an M one based Mac Pro because we all knew an M, you know,
00:29:12
◼
►
we all knew there's another number coming right.
00:29:15
◼
►
And we know that another number is going to represent an evolution of, you know,
00:29:18
◼
►
what they learned in the first one. And it's well as you know,
00:29:22
◼
►
as you've discussed many times,
00:29:23
◼
►
I think you were one of the best people writing about technology who talks about
00:29:28
◼
►
lead time because everybody who reports in the space is always like, well,
00:29:32
◼
►
Apple made a sudden change. And you're like, look,
00:29:33
◼
►
let's back that out to eight months ago when they had a design it, test it and,
00:29:38
◼
►
or whatever, or sometimes 14 months or two years.
00:29:40
◼
►
So the M two was well underway when the M one shipped,
00:29:44
◼
►
like it was deeply figuring out, you know,
00:29:46
◼
►
from the early stages of M one production. So, you know,
00:29:49
◼
►
you're in that standpoint,
00:29:50
◼
►
you're a product manager or Tim cook or whatever level the company,
00:29:52
◼
►
these kinds of decisions are being talked about to percolate up.
00:29:56
◼
►
And I would imagine you'd be hard pressed to say, well,
00:29:58
◼
►
let's just do an M one version cause we could do it. Be like, we said two years,
00:30:01
◼
►
we got some leeway. The M two is, you know,
00:30:04
◼
►
X percent more efficient on that and this, we figured out this other problem.
00:30:07
◼
►
Let's, we need the double M two ultra or whatever we're going to do.
00:30:10
◼
►
That's going to be the pro chip and everybody like, Oh, okay, we'll get,
00:30:14
◼
►
you know, the studio will ship that's on the horizon.
00:30:17
◼
►
That's going to fill a certain amount of demand and we're going to kind of prime
00:30:20
◼
►
the pump and we're going to, and unlike Apple's usual moves,
00:30:23
◼
►
we're going to tell people at the event. Right. And so it,
00:30:26
◼
►
I think it all makes logical sense except that they could not apparently produce
00:30:29
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the M two they wanted to. Right. That seems like, I mean,
00:30:32
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it seems like fundamentally there was an issue with, with production,
00:30:36
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like actually getting it into manufacturing, into the fab.
00:30:40
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►
The M here's I'm quoting from Gurman's report.
00:30:43
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The M two ultra chip is destined to have some serious specifications for
00:30:46
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professional users, including up to 24 CPU cores,
00:30:49
◼
►
76 graphic cores and the ability to top out the machine with at least 192
00:30:54
◼
►
gigabytes of memory. All right. I'm going to stop there and just say, that's,
00:30:59
◼
►
that's a lot of Ram, but,
00:31:03
◼
►
but with the current Mac pro, the,
00:31:06
◼
►
the last Intel based Mac pro it's a terabyte of memory,
00:31:11
◼
►
I believe. Yeah, it was a huge, right. Cause they were very careful about that.
00:31:14
◼
►
Right. Right. Speaking of that after the lawsuit. So if you,
00:31:18
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but they claim and the M series is supposed to be so much more memory efficient
00:31:23
◼
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though, I mean, I think that's part of the argument, right?
00:31:24
◼
►
Well, I don't know it, but it is a weird downgrade, right? It's, it's, you know,
00:31:30
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►
literally like one fifth of the Ram at the maximum end.
00:31:34
◼
►
And I realize there are very few people who have memory needs like
00:31:39
◼
►
that, but if you really do need that much memory, you need the memory, right?
00:31:43
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►
There are some people in scientific computing and who are doing certain things
00:31:47
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►
who are memory constrained at a terabyte, right? You know,
00:31:51
◼
►
at the extreme end, you're always going to find outliers like that.
00:31:55
◼
►
And if you're already happy to have a terabyte,
00:31:59
◼
►
if you wish you could have more than a terabyte maxing out at 192 gigabytes is
00:32:04
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►
a serious downgrade,
00:32:05
◼
►
no matter how efficient apple silicon is overall versus the Intel platform.
00:32:10
◼
►
All right. Continuing from Gurman's report, which is the,
00:32:14
◼
►
the M two ultra would be the equivalent of the high end chip.
00:32:18
◼
►
That's currently in the the Mac studio, right?
00:32:21
◼
►
What he's calling in again,
00:32:23
◼
►
he's not saying that this would be the marketing name,
00:32:26
◼
►
but maybe it would be the M two extreme would be two M two ultra is put
00:32:30
◼
►
together in the way that the M one ultra is two M one maxes put
00:32:35
◼
►
together. Right? So M one ultra is two M one maxes.
00:32:40
◼
►
Gurman is saying that their original plan was to have an M something extreme,
00:32:45
◼
►
which would be two M whatever ultras,
00:32:48
◼
►
the M two extreme would have doubled that to 48 CPU cores,
00:32:53
◼
►
152 graphics cores. But here's the bad news. The company is likely likely,
00:32:58
◼
►
that's a very key likely scrapped that higher end configuration,
00:33:03
◼
►
which may disappoint apple's most demanding users, blah, blah, blah.
00:33:06
◼
►
There's a thing hidden in here too is all of the M excuse me,
00:33:11
◼
►
all the M one chips to date have only on like a sock like system on
00:33:16
◼
►
a chip memory. Right? Right. So this,
00:33:18
◼
►
to get 192 gigabytes even you would have to,
00:33:21
◼
►
you they can put that on the same die. That's going to be external memory.
00:33:24
◼
►
So conceivably some higher end ones, if those shipped, those would have,
00:33:29
◼
►
you know, so it's, I'm right there, right? Is that that would all have to,
00:33:32
◼
►
there'd have to be some amount of external memory or not. Maybe with 192,
00:33:36
◼
►
maybe not. But it feels like you start to get, are they,
00:33:39
◼
►
they're still in the four nanometer process size. So how big would a die?
00:33:43
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►
I'm already thinking how big the die is with 24 CPU is to 76 graphic cores.
00:33:48
◼
►
You know, you start to get, I don't know. I mean there are limits, right?
00:33:51
◼
►
There's limits and yield issues and manufacturer issues.
00:33:54
◼
►
And I wonder if that's not like I'm an expert in this topic.
00:33:57
◼
►
I've studied it in part, but I'm not a chip maker. But I know there are,
00:34:00
◼
►
that's where they start to get into problem areas if they can achieve the right
00:34:05
◼
►
And we saw a little bit of that with the M one and M two where some of their low
00:34:08
◼
►
end chips that don't achieve the, the,
00:34:10
◼
►
the testing get sold as the seven CPU or, or other GPU and so forth.
00:34:15
◼
►
So they're, they already approached that with some, you know,
00:34:18
◼
►
some end of what they're doing.
00:34:19
◼
►
Yeah. To me, it's one of the most exciting,
00:34:22
◼
►
even though I'm definitely not going to buy one, I have no,
00:34:24
◼
►
no reason to get a Mac pro. I don't even need the Mac studio.
00:34:28
◼
►
I'm very happy with my maxed out,
00:34:30
◼
►
no pun intended and one Mac book pro as my one and only main Mac.
00:34:37
◼
►
But as an observer, I'm super,
00:34:40
◼
►
super excited to see what the Mac pro story is.
00:34:44
◼
►
It's gotta be coming in 2023. And I don't know, maybe I,
00:34:49
◼
►
this, this is not informed speculation at all.
00:34:52
◼
►
No little birdies have told me this,
00:34:54
◼
►
but I've just had it in my head that for the given the Mac studio,
00:34:58
◼
►
once we saw the Mac studio and how beefed up it was,
00:35:01
◼
►
but the Mac studio is still based on the idea
00:35:06
◼
►
that whatever it is you order, it's all soldered onto the board.
00:35:11
◼
►
So if you know, however much Ram you want to get,
00:35:14
◼
►
you have to order it when you order your Mac studio.
00:35:17
◼
►
So my thinking is that, well, what if, is there a way,
00:35:22
◼
►
is that feasible that they could do a Mac pro that has a
00:35:27
◼
►
bigger chassis so that it's expandable and friendly to an
00:35:32
◼
►
enthusiast, you know, like,
00:35:33
◼
►
like Mac pros over the years typically have been where you can open it up.
00:35:37
◼
►
And this would be the one and only Mac that in addition to having
00:35:43
◼
►
X amount of Ram soldered onto the systems on a
00:35:48
◼
►
chip and to get that unified memory performance
00:35:53
◼
►
advantage where the same Ram is used by the graphics system as is used by the
00:35:59
◼
►
But what if there was also another area where you could just put
00:36:04
◼
►
regular Ram chips in?
00:36:07
◼
►
what you really want to do is just max out the Ram and you
00:36:11
◼
►
don't really need massive amounts of parallel CPU or GPU
00:36:17
◼
►
it's really just Ram that you just want to put all this in Ram that they could
00:36:22
◼
►
have the, the main Ram,
00:36:24
◼
►
which is the Ram that's on the unified memory architecture that is soldered onto
00:36:29
◼
►
But then there's another level of Ram that's expandable and it would only be
00:36:33
◼
►
used in cases where you're doing a computational
00:36:38
◼
►
task that literally takes hundreds and hundreds of gigabytes of Ram,
00:36:42
◼
►
if it's available.
00:36:44
◼
►
And that secondary Ram wouldn't perform quite as well as the
00:36:49
◼
►
unified memory,
00:36:50
◼
►
but it's better than not having the Ram at all, right?
00:36:55
◼
►
It's sort of like treating the unified memory that's on
00:37:00
◼
►
the systems on a chip as sort of like a cash, you know,
00:37:04
◼
►
like in CPU terms and the, the rest of the Ram,
00:37:08
◼
►
if you add it is just there. I don't know.
00:37:11
◼
►
I don't know if that's feasible or not, but it sounds to me like,
00:37:15
◼
►
what is the point of still having the Mac pro if it's not expandable? If,
00:37:19
◼
►
if this one product is not expandable in that way,
00:37:23
◼
►
even if no other Mac hardware has user expandable memory.
00:37:28
◼
►
Well, and yeah, and I mean, even from the storage standpoint, you know,
00:37:32
◼
►
Apple became allergic to slots. They like, they like jacks, not slot.
00:37:36
◼
►
And which is an int, which I'm sorry, it sounds obscene way of saying,
00:37:40
◼
►
but the, which is weird because in a,
00:37:43
◼
►
in a Thunderbolt world and a PCI-E world and a got it a word like
00:37:47
◼
►
M2 connectors for SSD world or so running
00:37:52
◼
►
over NVME trying to get all my acronyms in there in that world.
00:37:57
◼
►
The difference between a port and a slot aren't the same as they used to be,
00:38:02
◼
►
but because it used to be slots were faster and ports were slower, more or less,
00:38:06
◼
►
right? Not uniformly, but it's kind of the thing you want to direct memory access.
00:38:09
◼
►
You had to go to a slot inside something that you did a wide, you know,
00:38:13
◼
►
multi pin card that went in for maximum parallel pin access at once for these
00:38:18
◼
►
wide data paths. So that's kind of one area that is sort of funny.
00:38:22
◼
►
And the other is that, you know, Apple's obsession with the sock,
00:38:25
◼
►
I understand it because they brought, you know,
00:38:27
◼
►
it reduces your cost of manufacture enormously, reduces the failure rate.
00:38:31
◼
►
Like there's incredible it's savings.
00:38:34
◼
►
And it's also as a user standpoint thing like this issue keeps coming up.
00:38:37
◼
►
This is a little sidebar,
00:38:38
◼
►
but I think it's relevant to the whole is I get email regularly at the Mac 911
00:38:42
◼
►
email at Mac world about people with questions about like booting off external
00:38:46
◼
►
drives with external volumes with an M1 or M2. And I have to remind people,
00:38:50
◼
►
I'm like, remember if your internal drive dies on an M1 or M2,
00:38:55
◼
►
your machine will not work.
00:38:56
◼
►
There's no way because of policy management issues and it's part of the
00:38:59
◼
►
security features. This is still, I think,
00:39:01
◼
►
relatively less known because SSDs are generally very reliable.
00:39:06
◼
►
Apple, you know,
00:39:07
◼
►
typically buys the most reliable ones and they do burn in and all the rest.
00:39:11
◼
►
So it's very, very unlikely now between the sock and the SSD,
00:39:16
◼
►
the odds of getting a Mac that dies,
00:39:17
◼
►
like I would love to know the hard failure rate in like three months and a year
00:39:21
◼
►
on max now that aren't like a power supply issue. I've got to believe it's very,
00:39:25
◼
►
very low. And it's also Apple doesn't have to source out memory, right?
00:39:29
◼
►
It's got all these advantages. They're doing it in the dye and it's all great,
00:39:33
◼
►
but it does seem to be, you know, that they kind of contracted into that.
00:39:37
◼
►
And I feel like there's this great opportunity though,
00:39:40
◼
►
cause there's still a lot of work being done in slot based products.
00:39:43
◼
►
And there was a big movement at one point, which I think has died about the eGPU,
00:39:47
◼
►
you know, that was a port based thing. But there's, I don't know,
00:39:49
◼
►
I may maybe we're evolved past that.
00:39:52
◼
►
Maybe you don't need external or you know,
00:39:54
◼
►
slot based graphics cards or slot based memory anymore.
00:39:58
◼
►
But I think your argument is good.
00:39:59
◼
►
I don't see how Apple would put a terabyte on a die.
00:40:01
◼
►
I was misspeaking a little bit here though.
00:40:03
◼
►
192 gigabyte Ram on an Apple M whatever chip is not that ridiculous cause they're
00:40:08
◼
►
putting 128 gigs on some on the M one ultra.
00:40:14
◼
►
You can configure it to 128 gigs so they can do that today.
00:40:18
◼
►
So 192 is not, you know, bizarre, but I think you're right. I mean,
00:40:22
◼
►
there is a point which you can't get up to a terabyte or two terabyte for memory
00:40:26
◼
►
bound issues. But, and I also think it's a correct too,
00:40:29
◼
►
is there's going to be memory intent or sorry, yeah,
00:40:31
◼
►
memory intensive applications and drive intensive applications.
00:40:35
◼
►
And some of those will be CPU bound and some won't be the same way.
00:40:39
◼
►
The CPU won't be waiting for memory or it's the delay is,
00:40:43
◼
►
is not as a big a deal as being able to have all the adjustable memory available.
00:40:47
◼
►
So it feels like there's a space for that.
00:40:50
◼
►
How many people do you think need a Mac pro in the world now with them in the
00:40:55
◼
►
Mac studio, you know, in with that out in the market,
00:40:59
◼
►
I felt like that really shaved the edge off a lot of potential Mac pro buyers
00:41:04
◼
►
into fairly high end applications.
00:41:06
◼
►
But these are also going to be incredibly lucrative, you know, high, high dollar,
00:41:11
◼
►
high margin machines. So Apple has a motivation to do it.
00:41:14
◼
►
I, you know, that's a good question. And I do think, you know,
00:41:16
◼
►
listening to various other podcasts where people talk about it and you know, I,
00:41:20
◼
►
I, it comes up all the time is why does Apple even bother? Right?
00:41:25
◼
►
Maybe, maybe there won't be a Mac pro or maybe the Mac pro will just be the Mac
00:41:29
◼
►
studio in a bigger chassis and you get it just for putting additional
00:41:34
◼
►
internal SSDs inside. You know,
00:41:36
◼
►
I wouldn't be shocked if that's what happens, but I don't think so.
00:41:41
◼
►
And I think the reason why isn't that it makes business sense that there are so
00:41:45
◼
►
many people who need something above and beyond the Mac studio,
00:41:49
◼
►
that it really makes great business sense in and of itself.
00:41:53
◼
►
But I think it's similar. And I, I know I've made this analogy before,
00:41:58
◼
►
but it's sort of like why car car makers get into formula one,
00:42:03
◼
►
right? Why do Mercedes and Porsche and Honda and companies like that fund
00:42:09
◼
►
formula one racing teams and build this technology because it,
00:42:14
◼
►
there's a trickle down effect where pressing being at the
00:42:19
◼
►
forefront of what is
00:42:21
◼
►
theoretically possible today in raw compute power is
00:42:28
◼
►
not a bad advantage to have for
00:42:32
◼
►
what will trickle down to literally to iPhones three, four years from now.
00:42:38
◼
►
Right. And, and I think that's been true for car makers, right? And it's not,
00:42:43
◼
►
and the advantage,
00:42:44
◼
►
the difference is with car makers getting into like making F1
00:42:49
◼
►
race cars, it's just for the sport of it ultimately, right?
00:42:53
◼
►
You're just making it.
00:42:54
◼
►
Whereas making the equivalent of an F1 race car
00:42:59
◼
►
desktop computer is actually practical for the
00:43:04
◼
►
handful of top tier compute users. You know,
00:43:08
◼
►
whether you're doing special effects for major motion pictures at
00:43:13
◼
►
8k resolution or scientific simulations for, you know,
00:43:17
◼
►
to go back to the Southwest thing,
00:43:19
◼
►
you're an airplane engineer Boeing,
00:43:21
◼
►
and you're running complex aerospace engineering simulations on a new
00:43:26
◼
►
wing design for an airplane. And,
00:43:28
◼
►
and you need as much CPU as much parallelism,
00:43:33
◼
►
as much Ram as the fastest IO possible, you can't get enough.
00:43:38
◼
►
You know, you're, you're nowhere near, you're,
00:43:40
◼
►
you're still waiting for the computer for whatever it is that you do.
00:43:44
◼
►
I think that there is an advantage to Apple being in that game
00:43:49
◼
►
and being there that will trickle down a handful of years down
00:43:54
◼
►
the road to the mass market products that truly fund
00:43:59
◼
►
the company. I really do believe that that's true.
00:44:02
◼
►
And I think they believe it.
00:44:03
◼
►
And I also think Apple itself has many,
00:44:07
◼
►
many people who need that sort of computer.
00:44:10
◼
►
Yeah. I think you bring up a superb,
00:44:14
◼
►
like other end of the telescope thing too, is the M1,
00:44:17
◼
►
the initial M1 chip is the most powerful thing Apple made the wrong way up,
00:44:21
◼
►
right? Like they released the lowest end possible chip in this series,
00:44:26
◼
►
but it was such an outperforming chip.
00:44:28
◼
►
And usually Apple is trickling down technology. They've,
00:44:32
◼
►
they've developed for more sophisticated purposes and they have versions that
00:44:35
◼
►
are meant for more consumer level ones. Right? Right. So the M1 is,
00:44:38
◼
►
is was a buildup operation and they're still building up.
00:44:42
◼
►
So I think that's right. As you get a cycle that through and we're seeing,
00:44:45
◼
►
you know, the original M1s are falling off the plate. Eventually they'll move.
00:44:49
◼
►
I would imagine they're going to move entirely to M2s unless there's a cost
00:44:53
◼
►
reason to retain it. But the M1s are such good.
00:44:55
◼
►
The machines that are M1 based are, have such good performance.
00:44:59
◼
►
They're not like they're outdated. They're just a little slower.
00:45:01
◼
►
And that's the amazing thing. So maybe you have to wait,
00:45:03
◼
►
they come up with the M3 and then you lose the M1 generation.
00:45:06
◼
►
But I don't know if that's totally new for Apple,
00:45:09
◼
►
but I don't feel like they would build a new machine around the slowest possible
00:45:13
◼
►
chip in that new architecture. And in this case,
00:45:15
◼
►
the slowest possible chip was so fast,
00:45:18
◼
►
had so many savings that it made sense for them to shift over there and then
00:45:22
◼
►
gradually ratchet all their models up. So, but yeah, I mean if they only sell,
00:45:26
◼
►
I think that argument is also valid to the Formula 1,
00:45:29
◼
►
1 because Apple has to be aspirational. It has to have products that people want
00:45:33
◼
►
to buy and sometimes they're going to go into purchasing and say,
00:45:35
◼
►
I need a $40,000 machine. And they're going to say,
00:45:38
◼
►
you can have a $10,000 one. We all right,
00:45:40
◼
►
we'll get $10,000 and what now and we'll put more money in the budget next year.
00:45:44
◼
►
But the fact that the $40,000 machine exists may give them more leverage to buy
00:45:48
◼
►
a cheaper, cheaper one. And there's,
00:45:50
◼
►
we also see all the time that when you have more computational power available
00:45:54
◼
►
on a kind of in a desktop environment,
00:45:56
◼
►
you start doing more sophisticated things that couldn't be done because they
00:45:59
◼
►
required supercomputers.
00:46:00
◼
►
So part of the AI revolution has been that neural networking could be done on
00:46:06
◼
►
with originally with specialized graphic cards and then less and less requiring
00:46:10
◼
►
that as computers, just the basic computational, you know,
00:46:14
◼
►
central chips or the socks have improved. You can do incredible AI stuff.
00:46:18
◼
►
And Apple devotes parts of its chip to this specific activity without having to
00:46:22
◼
►
have machines that are so tricked out that they're unaffordable.
00:46:25
◼
►
So as you get,
00:46:27
◼
►
if you have a Mac pro that's an M two extreme based or whatever it is,
00:46:31
◼
►
or an M three or whatever the next thing is,
00:46:32
◼
►
that's going to provoke more research that will allow, you know,
00:46:36
◼
►
open up new fields of research or so it'll open up new areas that researchers
00:46:39
◼
►
will buy these machines specifically for because they have the capability on the
00:46:43
◼
►
desktop to perform that kind of computation. Yeah.
00:46:47
◼
►
The other story along the Apple Silicon line,
00:46:50
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and this was published on December 23rd by Wayne Ma
00:46:55
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at the information, which is paywalled excellent publication,
00:46:58
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very expensive though. It's like 400 bucks a year. And every time I think, Hey,
00:47:03
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it's a lot of money. Maybe I'll unsubscribe.
00:47:04
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Then they drop a story like this that is right in my wheelhouse. And I'm like,
00:47:09
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all right, I'll keep my subscription. But this is the messy soap opera back,
00:47:14
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but messy soap opera that affects a multi-trillion dollar company or a trillion
00:47:17
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dollar company. It's so tricky. Quoting from Wayne Ma's story inside Apple's war
00:47:22
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for chip talent. And a lot of this comes down to, and this is a fact, I mean,
00:47:26
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it's not speculation, but,
00:47:28
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and I don't think it's surprising given the success of the Apple Silicon
00:47:34
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entire division that an awful lot of talented people have left Apple,
00:47:39
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either to start their own startups doing chip design,
00:47:43
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or they've been poached by Qualcomm or Intel or other companies, you know,
00:47:47
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but that, you know,
00:47:48
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it's the way it goes when one company has tremendous success in a certain area,
00:47:52
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the talented engineers in that division become the
00:47:57
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target of intense bidding from competitors,
00:48:01
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right? That's, that's the way the market works,
00:48:04
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but Apple has had some level of brain drain from their chip division. Now,
00:48:08
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is it so much that the division is in trouble because
00:48:13
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they've lost so much talent or is it that they have so much talent that they had
00:48:17
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talent to spare and they can still continue to lead the industry? Who knows?
00:48:21
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We'll, you know, we'll find out soon enough,
00:48:23
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but I guess stories like this are sort of, you know,
00:48:26
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certainly the information story to me is written with
00:48:31
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the overall takeaway point that maybe Apple's
00:48:35
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Silicon advantage is regressing to the mean and, you know,
00:48:40
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which is it's what happens, whether it's sports, right? You know,
00:48:44
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the Chicago Bulls are no longer the six time champions they were when Michael
00:48:49
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Jordan and Scottie Pippen were playing 25 years ago. You know, it's,
00:48:52
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things ebb and flow.
00:48:55
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And even when you have a decade long run of tremendous
00:48:59
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success, it tends not to last forever. Nothing,
00:49:04
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you know, nobody, especially in Silicon, you know, even Intel,
00:49:08
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the mighty Intel no longer is,
00:49:10
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it was once unthinkable to think that Intel would be so far behind the state of
00:49:15
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the art in chip performance, but here we are today and they are,
00:49:19
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but maybe they'll come back.
00:49:20
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We used to all be on MySpace also.
00:49:22
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And it's sad to think that the saddest thing that the same pattern happens,
00:49:27
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right? I mean, Intel had so many stubbles,
00:49:29
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they like lost the mobile chip market like four times, three times,
00:49:33
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at least X scale and a bunch of other stuff and a bet on the wrong wireless
00:49:37
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And sold their stake in what do you call it? The arm, right?
00:49:41
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Yeah, exactly. I tell you, here's the passing of a moment.
00:49:43
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I have had a website registered Y max, Y max news,
00:49:48
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dot blog.com or Y max net news.com or something.
00:49:51
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I've actually forgotten the name for 20 years because I had my wifi networking
00:49:56
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news site and then I launched some ancillary blogs with less news,
00:49:59
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like cellular and public safety and so forth.
00:50:01
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And those never got that much traction, but the Y max one did for a bit when,
00:50:05
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and I was like,
00:50:06
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I got a renewal notice and I'm like, why am I still paying for Y max news?
00:50:10
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In 2022, I got to give it up. So I gave it up this year.
00:50:14
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All right, let me read this story. The,
00:50:16
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basically the gist of Wayne Ma's story is that the a 16
00:50:21
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chip that is only available today in the eighth app,
00:50:24
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iPhone 14 pro models, right? Infamously this year,
00:50:28
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the non pro iPhone fourteens are still using
00:50:34
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the a 15 chips from last year's iPhones.
00:50:38
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Although the iPhone 14 non pro have the
00:50:43
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better version of the a 15 that was in the eight,
00:50:46
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the iPhone 13 pro has trickled down to the
00:50:51
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regular non pro iPhone 14.
00:50:53
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And that was a little baffling. I remember at the time everyone was trying to
00:50:55
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assess that out. All right. But for the a 16, here's quoting from Wayne Ma,
00:51:00
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Apple planned a generational leap for the graphics processor in the latest
00:51:04
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version of the tie in smartphones, the iPhone 14 pro,
00:51:07
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but engineers were too ambitious with adding new features and early prototypes
00:51:12
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drew more power than what the company had expected based on software
00:51:16
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simulations that could hurt battery life, make the device too hot,
00:51:20
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according to two people, blah, blah, blah,
00:51:22
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obviously because Apple discovered the mistake late in development,
00:51:27
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it had to base the graphics processor in its iPhone 14 pro line,
00:51:31
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largely on the design of the chip that went into last year's iPhone model.
00:51:36
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According to four people familiar with the matter,
00:51:38
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those people described the snafu,
00:51:41
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which hasn't been previously reported as unprecedented in the group's history.
00:51:46
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The iPhone 14 pro models,
00:51:48
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which went on sale in September showed only small gains, blah, blah, blah.
00:51:51
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One of the features, let me see if I can find it here in his story.
00:51:54
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One of the features that was supposedly set and had
00:51:59
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to be cut from apparently according to his report was hardware based
00:52:04
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ray tracing. One of the, one of the,
00:52:07
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one of the features that Apple had to cut from the iPhone 14 pros graphics
00:52:11
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processor was ray tracing a computer,
00:52:13
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computer lighting a technique that brings an extra level of realism to games.
00:52:17
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A lack of big improvements in chips can make upgrading, blah, blah, blah.
00:52:20
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I have heard this from friends. I have,
00:52:22
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I stay informed in the games world through
00:52:27
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my son who is a legit gaming enthusiast and some friends who
00:52:31
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are have both feet in that industry. And I,
00:52:35
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before this story in the information came out, that was something that I,
00:52:40
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friends and my son had both put onto my radar,
00:52:44
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which is that the state of the art and graphics,
00:52:46
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one of the next things to look for 2023 2024 is built in ray
00:52:51
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tracing support. And I've seen some demos, you know, like,
00:52:56
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here's this certain game with hardware based ray tracing on versus off.
00:53:00
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And it's like, you know, the way all these modern 3d games look is so good.
00:53:05
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It's like, so the, the before, as it were,
00:53:09
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it still looks really good,
00:53:11
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but then you look at the after with hardware based ray tracing and it is like
00:53:16
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a real step towards photo realism. And
00:53:20
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I mean, they've done non real time ray chasing has been a feature of computer
00:53:24
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animation for 30 years, maybe longer than that without question.
00:53:28
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But like, what's the speed, you know, you're running at, I don't know.
00:53:30
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So one time it's probably a hundred or 200 times real time. Right. So,
00:53:34
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Oh, even slower than that.
00:53:36
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Cause I remember being at Drexel in the nineties when I was studying computer
00:53:39
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science and there was, I remember every year the graduate students, you know,
00:53:43
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their thesis projects, you know, would, would be there.
00:53:47
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And you know, a lot of, a lot of stuff that you could do for a thesis in computer
00:53:52
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science is it's just purely mathematical. There's nothing to look at,
00:53:57
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but there in the mid nineties, ray tracing was huge. And there were definitely,
00:54:01
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every year there were a couple of, you know,
00:54:03
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graduate students whose thesis is, were in the ray tracing realm.
00:54:08
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And therefore they had really cool demos or printed output.
00:54:12
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Like look at this thing that, you know, the software they wrote wrote,
00:54:16
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but you could watch it run on like what at the time were these,
00:54:20
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we had a bunch of sun workstations in the computer science department that were
00:54:24
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more or less, you had to be a grad student to get access to,
00:54:26
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and you could watch them work. And it was like pixel by pixel by P you know,
00:54:32
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like it was,
00:54:34
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it made like the image writer dot matrix printer seemed like it,
00:54:38
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it output stuff fast, right? Ray tracing a single frame,
00:54:42
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super duper slow toy story. Of course, the first breakthrough feature film.
00:54:48
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It's like when you and you look at the original toy story and how
00:54:53
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low fidelity it is compared to the modern Pixar films and other, you know,
00:54:58
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3d animated movies of that kind,
00:55:00
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but you talk to the Pixar or hear the Pixar people talk about how
00:55:05
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long it took to render a frame.
00:55:10
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It's been a thing in computer science graphics for a while.
00:55:13
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It's the new frontier. It's,
00:55:16
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it makes total sense to me that that would have been,
00:55:19
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it was slated to be an iPhone 14 pro feature this year and got cut.
00:55:24
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Cause it's definitely not, they're very, very interesting to me that, you know,
00:55:29
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just the basic story that the,
00:55:31
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the a 16 graphics were supposed to be a lot better than they were,
00:55:35
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or then they actually turned out to be now they're not bad. I actually like,
00:55:39
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you know, is geek bench metal,
00:55:42
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the best benchmark. I don't know,
00:55:45
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but it's certainly the easiest way to compare.
00:55:49
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It looks like the a 16 is about seven or 8% faster at
00:55:55
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graphics than the a 15 from a year ago. So, you know, nothing to sneeze at.
00:55:59
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It's, you know, not a bad year over year improvement, but not groundbreaking.
00:56:04
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And the other thing, here's the thing,
00:56:06
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and you hinted at this a couple of minutes ago, neither,
00:56:10
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my main frustration with both Wayne Ma story and the information and Gurman story
00:56:15
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in Bloomberg about the Mac pro is that there's no dates of when
00:56:20
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these internal crises were determined.
00:56:23
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When did Apple determine that, Oh,
00:56:27
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this design for the ACE a 14 or a 16 chip
00:56:31
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is going to take up way too much heat and energy.
00:56:36
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When was this a year ago?
00:56:38
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A year ago, two years ago.
00:56:40
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By your math and thinking, I got to believe this was,
00:56:43
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was it like two years before the iPhone 14 pro shipped? I, I would have,
00:56:48
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I mean, I don't know enough about, I don't know enough about the cycles,
00:56:51
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but I would have a hard time believing that they went into production and the
00:56:55
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chip. No, I mean, yeah, it's cause they need the,
00:56:59
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the amount of time for each of those stages is too long.
00:57:01
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So maybe it was 18 months ahead of the iPhone 14 pro shipping,
00:57:06
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but that sounds,
00:57:07
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that sounds really tight in terms of like scaling up the fab to get to the
00:57:13
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yields you need and then integrating. I don't see, I just don't,
00:57:16
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I don't believe it. So it could have been two years, right? I mean,
00:57:18
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let's say outside is 18 months, but it could have been two years,
00:57:21
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maybe more, but, but maybe more.
00:57:23
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But I think the lay person reading these stories would think that these were
00:57:26
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issues that came up like a year ago, January of 2022 or something.
00:57:31
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And it's really frustrating to me and I'm not disputing their reporting.
00:57:35
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I believe, you know,
00:57:37
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but both Gurman and Wayne Ma and the information in Bloomberg are certainly
00:57:40
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reputable. I, all my complaints about Bloomberg's, the big hack story,
00:57:44
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which is why the reason I complain about it is it's,
00:57:47
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it's so exceptional for never been repeated since then that they've done
00:57:51
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something that boneheaded, right? It's, you know, if it were,
00:57:55
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if that sort of fiasco were par for the course for Bloomberg,
00:58:00
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nobody would listen to Bloomberg reports.
00:58:02
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It's the fact that they're overall so credible,
00:58:05
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but with the sources they have to me, they should be able to have dates.
00:58:09
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And I would just love to know when these decisions were made, because to me,
00:58:13
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it's one of the most fascinating things about Apple is how long their hardware
00:58:18
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lead times are and, and how secretive it is for whatever
00:58:23
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reason. One of the holiest of Holy secrets that they have,
00:58:27
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they do not talk about these timelines of how,
00:58:31
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how far in advance and they, they don't want, they don't want to disabuse,
00:58:36
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the notion that they can make last minute decisions, even though I know they can't,
00:58:40
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everybody who's involved knows they can't. Right. I remember,
00:58:44
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I forget his name, but back when it was one of the first,
00:58:49
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truly, wow, I'm, I'm, this is unbelievable.
00:58:52
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I can't believe that I'm one of the media people here for the
00:58:57
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antenna gate.
00:58:58
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I went to the West when you went to the anechoic room and that whole thing,
00:59:01
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right? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. And their lead, you know, it was, I don't know,
00:59:06
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a hundred people from the media were invited on the, you know,
00:59:09
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a day in advance to go to the press conference, you know,
00:59:12
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and Steve jobs was there fresh off, you know,
00:59:15
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curtailed vacation in Hawaii and they played the Jonathan Mann story.
00:59:20
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►
If you don't like it, take it back or something like that. Remember that?
00:59:23
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►
Yeah. It was great. It was one of his great, his viral moments.
00:59:27
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It's the press conference itself was by far and away the most interesting press
00:59:31
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event I've ever attended at Apple. But then I was part of,
00:59:35
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maybe there were like a dozen of us who got like this backstage tour of their
00:59:40
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anechoic chambers and to see some of these places where they've tested their
00:59:44
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antenna designs. And it was about a dozen of us in the media.
00:59:49
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The tour was led by their lead cellular antenna
00:59:54
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►
engineer. I don't remember his name off the top of my head,
00:59:57
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but, but he was doing the talking,
00:59:58
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but with us were Phil Schiller and Katie cotton
01:00:03
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as, as our escort, but nobody else from Apple.
01:00:06
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It was the only three people from Apple, this engineer,
01:00:09
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Phil and Katie. And at one point, you know,
01:00:14
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►
and they were encouraging questions and we'd seen these things.
01:00:17
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►
And after one of the chambers, you know,
01:00:19
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►
there were smaller ones and bigger ones that super freaky. If you've, you know,
01:00:24
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►
a Ruben Caballero or Caballero senior that's about his name. I remember his name.
01:00:29
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►
You'd hear, I mean,
01:00:29
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►
cause those people's names are rarely uttered in public also with their titles.
01:00:34
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►
Yep. Ruben Caballero. That was him. And he was charming and delightful. And,
01:00:38
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and, but you could tell he wasn't practiced at this because,
01:00:42
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►
because up until that point,
01:00:44
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►
his work had been utterly secret and they're like, okay, Ruben, we need,
01:00:48
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►
we're going to invite a dozen people to the media. Can you explain what you do?
01:00:54
◼
►
And you know, if you've never been in one of these anechoic chambers,
01:00:57
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►
it is super freaky. It, it, it, you just can't believe it.
01:01:00
◼
►
And some of them were very big, you know, where, where, you know,
01:01:04
◼
►
five or six of us could go in at the same time, you know,
01:01:06
◼
►
and have plenty of room,
01:01:07
◼
►
but you would open your mouth and talk to one another and you could hardly hear
01:01:11
◼
►
each other. Oh, it's, it's so freaky.
01:01:14
◼
►
You're just in this room with these foam walls in this weird sort of pyramid
01:01:18
◼
►
shape and you're,
01:01:20
◼
►
you're two or three feet away from anybody else and you'd talk at a normal
01:01:24
◼
►
volume and the sound from your voice just disappears.
01:01:28
◼
►
It was super freaky, very interesting, all sorts of interesting information.
01:01:32
◼
►
But one of the people in the press asked something about like, well,
01:01:35
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►
when did you start working on this external antenna design?
01:01:40
◼
►
Cause that was the whole thing with the iPhone four.
01:01:42
◼
►
And Ruben Caballero, he started to answer,
01:01:47
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►
and I think he said something to the effect of like two years.
01:01:49
◼
►
And as soon as he started this, it was something like that.
01:01:52
◼
►
I have it in my notebook somewhere,
01:01:54
◼
►
but Phil Schiller jumped in immediately and was like,
01:01:58
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►
we're not going to talk about timelines. And it wasn't he, you know,
01:02:01
◼
►
and Phil was Phil and it was very smooth, but I noticed it.
01:02:05
◼
►
And he was just like, we're not going to talk about timelines. And,
01:02:08
◼
►
and Ruben immediately, like I could see it on his face. He was like, Oh yeah,
01:02:13
◼
►
I wasn't supposed to talk about timelines. And it wasn't the word, you know,
01:02:16
◼
►
he didn't spill state secrets all, you know, the,
01:02:20
◼
►
the gist of what he gave away was that they'd started working on the iPhone
01:02:24
◼
►
four's external antenna design around when the iPhone three came out, right?
01:02:32
◼
►
Three. And then a year later was three GS and two years later was the iPhone
01:02:37
◼
►
So it was like one year after the original iPhone was when they were like looking
01:02:44
◼
►
at down the road, where do we want to be two years ago?
01:02:47
◼
►
What if we do this flat back flat front flat sides and we'll move the antenna
01:02:52
◼
►
outside the frame. And that way we'll solve this whole,
01:02:57
◼
►
because if you think back to the first three iPhones,
01:03:00
◼
►
the first iPhone had this gorgeous aluminum back,
01:03:03
◼
►
but then to fit the antennas,
01:03:05
◼
►
the bottom inch or so on the back was black plastic.
01:03:08
◼
►
And it was sort of a weird transition, still a beautiful device,
01:03:12
◼
►
but they had this problem where all the antennas had to be behind plastic,
01:03:17
◼
►
not the aluminum. And then to solve that, you know, to, to work around that,
01:03:21
◼
►
the three, the three G and the three GS had all plastic backs,
01:03:26
◼
►
which were more antenna friendly, but not as nice a device.
01:03:31
◼
►
And so, you know, two years,
01:03:34
◼
►
but Phil Schiller did not want people to know that re it was very,
01:03:38
◼
►
very clear again, wasn't uncomfortable. It wasn't like,
01:03:41
◼
►
I'm sure Ruben did not get reprimanded afterwards or was in trouble.
01:03:46
◼
►
Did not want that to come out.
01:03:48
◼
►
I'm so curious about that with these Silicon issues. I am so interested.
01:03:53
◼
►
Yeah, it's, I think, yeah, I mean, that's the looking back thing.
01:03:58
◼
►
And I think, I mean, the article,
01:04:00
◼
►
the information article is notable too because it's trying to tie together.
01:04:04
◼
►
Wayne Ma is trying to tie together. And again, I think the timeline would help,
01:04:07
◼
►
but I, I, maybe he just can't because it would reveal sources too. Right.
01:04:11
◼
►
You know, right. At the time, but he's, he's trying to tie together, you know,
01:04:14
◼
►
the leadership of this division within Apple is being painted with the same kind
01:04:18
◼
►
of it's the same kind of discussion usually here reserved for female company
01:04:23
◼
►
leaders and politicians who are difficult to deal with. Like Amy Klobuchar,
01:04:27
◼
►
she was getting covered.
01:04:28
◼
►
She made her staff wash a comb and yelled at him because he didn't bring a fork
01:04:32
◼
►
on the plane is the famous one. Right. And I'm like,
01:04:34
◼
►
so this fellow Johnny's Ruggie is the Apple exec who's documented here as the
01:04:38
◼
►
head of the that's the semi division.
01:04:40
◼
►
So make an actor division and it's like, well,
01:04:42
◼
►
he's really brusque and this and he won't hire people. And I'm like, yeah, it's,
01:04:46
◼
►
I mean, I would hate to be, I,
01:04:48
◼
►
I'm just trying to imagine how you hire people in one of the most rarefied
01:04:51
◼
►
industries for the best company making Silicon in the world.
01:04:56
◼
►
So how much of this is,
01:04:58
◼
►
this is a really difficult space and the guy's a little prickly and he's hiring,
01:05:03
◼
►
it's just a very difficult place to hire into and to keep people because they're
01:05:07
◼
►
extremely valuable. There's a lot of money flowing around.
01:05:10
◼
►
And they're talking about on this Exodus of Apple employees and it's like, well,
01:05:13
◼
►
maybe he's not the best boss. I don't know. And maybe it could be,
01:05:16
◼
►
that might be one factor.
01:05:18
◼
►
Maybe people aren't given enough opportunities for advancement or whatever,
01:05:21
◼
►
but it's also,
01:05:22
◼
►
you got to think about the salaries that are being offered to people to jump
01:05:25
◼
►
ship to these startups because there's so many, I mean,
01:05:28
◼
►
there's so many billions and billions of dollars,
01:05:30
◼
►
trillions ultimately involved in these spaces. So, and you know,
01:05:34
◼
►
in acquisitions too is the next company, some of these spinoffs that,
01:05:37
◼
►
where everyone's mad that they Apple people went off to join these or start
01:05:41
◼
►
these other companies or join them, they could be the next Apple acquisition for,
01:05:45
◼
►
you know, half a billion dollars or a billion dollars or more.
01:05:47
◼
►
And we don't know that either. So it's kind of a, again,
01:05:50
◼
►
I think the reporting seems solid, but I'm kind of like, well, maybe is it,
01:05:55
◼
►
one former junior Apple employee was told he needed to get Srouji's permission
01:05:58
◼
►
before he could participate in a hackathon.
01:06:00
◼
►
So he abandoned the request given the effort approval would take. And I'm like,
01:06:03
◼
►
well, that okay. But that doesn't seem that unreasonable.
01:06:06
◼
►
You're working in one of the most secretive aspects.
01:06:08
◼
►
So maybe you'd reveal a technique honestly,
01:06:10
◼
►
that you learned that they don't want to know. So I don't know.
01:06:13
◼
►
There's a little bit of that in there where I'm like, this is,
01:06:15
◼
►
this is kind of inside baseball management stuff and,
01:06:19
◼
►
and, and whatever. But if it's harming that division, it's an issue.
01:06:23
◼
►
I suppose shareholders might be interested or, or what have you,
01:06:26
◼
►
and they need to figure out how to retain and encourage talent.
01:06:29
◼
►
I think the other part of the article though,
01:06:31
◼
►
that I think I'm more so than the drama part is the,
01:06:34
◼
►
I mentioned smile inches in passing. It's this thing about, you know,
01:06:37
◼
►
it's kind of like the end of time coming, right?
01:06:39
◼
►
Wait Moore's law has been remarkably accurate.
01:06:42
◼
►
And it's the fact that it was so vaguely formulated. It's not perfect line,
01:06:46
◼
►
but it's pretty good. And we're hitting the end, you know,
01:06:48
◼
►
they're going down to three nanometer processes and then two nanometers.
01:06:52
◼
►
And there's this new nano sheet technology to keep current from leaking across
01:06:57
◼
►
transistors and so forth. But it's sort of, there's just a lot of noise and that's,
01:07:00
◼
►
you know, 20, 25, I guess is when we're going to see maybe two nanometer process
01:07:04
◼
►
chips. So we're getting down to the smaller and smaller size with more and more
01:07:07
◼
►
limits that are just, you know,
01:07:09
◼
►
you started getting down to quantum effects and all of this stuff.
01:07:12
◼
►
There's a point at which they won't be able to make smaller chips with the
01:07:15
◼
►
current like approach that has essentially been unbroken with modifications and
01:07:20
◼
►
compensations for the history of the Silicon industry. So what happens then?
01:07:26
◼
►
And that's not that many years away. So there is an issue.
01:07:29
◼
►
You were talking about reversion of the mean, but then there's also like,
01:07:32
◼
►
what is the next thing? It's all in the lab, I'm sure.
01:07:35
◼
►
And research universities and R and D deep within sealed vaults inside Intel and
01:07:40
◼
►
arm and others. But what happens after 2025? What's the next big breakthrough?
01:07:47
◼
►
And I don't, I don't know what that is.
01:07:48
◼
►
I'm not sure there is one that's going to have the same kind of gains that have
01:07:51
◼
►
been happening consistently for this many years.
01:07:54
◼
►
Yeah. I, it's interesting to see where that goes. The one,
01:07:58
◼
►
the one area where I do see it coming,
01:08:00
◼
►
I don't have any guesses as to how high end compute for what we consider personal
01:08:05
◼
►
computers continues going forward and personal computers,
01:08:13
◼
►
meaning Macs, iPads, iPhones,
01:08:16
◼
►
things that have a user interface and run apps. And you,
01:08:20
◼
►
you can kind of think of I'm using this as a computer, right?
01:08:24
◼
►
When you use your iPhone, maybe most people don't think of it as a computer,
01:08:29
◼
►
but you and I know, and the people who listen to the show know it's a computer.
01:08:32
◼
►
How does that keep going forward in the face of these physical limitations at the
01:08:37
◼
►
atomic literally getting close to the atomic level of, of, you know,
01:08:41
◼
►
how the processes can continue improving? I don't know.
01:08:45
◼
►
I don't know enough about it,
01:08:46
◼
►
but the one area where I can see that is continuing to advance the,
01:08:51
◼
►
continuing to advance at a remark at the same remarkable clip that computers
01:08:56
◼
►
have kept getting better and more exciting my entire life, right?
01:09:03
◼
►
Ever ever since I first realized that a computer was a thing and became
01:09:06
◼
►
infatuated by the idea in the seventies as a little kid with video games is the
01:09:12
◼
►
miniaturization and the computerization of everything.
01:09:20
◼
►
AirPods would be my primary example where you literally could not make AirPods
01:09:25
◼
►
10 years ago. There's the,
01:09:28
◼
►
the Silicon did not exist because they run as they're too little computers.
01:09:33
◼
►
There's a computer in your left ear and a computer in your right ear.
01:09:36
◼
►
And the Silicon didn't exist 10 years ago.
01:09:41
◼
►
It really wasn't possible. I mean, maybe in theory, 10 years ago,
01:09:45
◼
►
but certainly 15 years ago,
01:09:47
◼
►
there was no way to make anything like an AirPod because the chips didn't exist.
01:09:51
◼
►
And that's the direction. And again,
01:09:55
◼
►
I'm such a fan of my AirPod pros. I just knew it's one of the rare devices that
01:10:00
◼
►
I continue not to take for granted. And I just keep thinking, my God,
01:10:04
◼
►
these things are astonishingly amazing and I can hardly even feel them in my ear.
01:10:09
◼
►
They're so lightweight. But obviously all this stuff,
01:10:14
◼
►
everybody's thinking about AR glasses and you know, beyond VR goggles,
01:10:19
◼
►
but to get to the point where you could just wear regular eyeglasses that look
01:10:23
◼
►
like normal eyeglasses and you keep them on all day and they're not heavy,
01:10:27
◼
►
they're just as comfortable as regular glasses,
01:10:30
◼
►
but they actually are computers and you know,
01:10:33
◼
►
projecting some kind of heads up display in front of you at all times and
01:10:37
◼
►
listening to you. Obviously having AirPod style,
01:10:42
◼
►
super lightweight chips with very long battery life is part of that.
01:10:47
◼
►
And who knows how many untold,
01:10:51
◼
►
I was going to say dozens, but hundreds of other type areas,
01:10:55
◼
►
tiny little chips like that can come from.
01:10:57
◼
►
And Apple is obviously very interested in that sort of direction for the future
01:11:02
◼
►
for hardware, you know, and their Silicon team is key, right?
01:11:06
◼
►
The Apple's Silicon prowess is so central to the AirPod success.
01:11:12
◼
►
Story and will be central to their hopeful success in areas like AR and VR and
01:11:17
◼
►
who knows, you know, what else? Or Apple watch is another great example, right?
01:11:24
◼
►
Oh yeah. Goodness. Right. Yeah.
01:11:26
◼
►
I'd love you to go back and claim chowder what people said when Apple bought PA
01:11:29
◼
►
semi. I think you've done it before. It is, it is. People were like,
01:11:32
◼
►
why would Apple get into Silicon? How can they compete with that? You know,
01:11:35
◼
►
and you know, that's,
01:11:37
◼
►
that was the beginning of the end for Intel's ability to lead the industry.
01:11:41
◼
►
Although maybe it's,
01:11:42
◼
►
there's some talk about maybe where they're at now is a better place,
01:11:45
◼
►
but it just seemed impossible at a computer manufacturer,
01:11:48
◼
►
especially one at Apple size at that time,
01:11:50
◼
►
despite them already throwing off tens of billions of dollars in cash a year,
01:11:54
◼
►
they were still relatively small.
01:11:56
◼
►
And the fact that they've been able to custom engineer chips that have produced
01:12:01
◼
►
those kinds of gains, but, and I think it's like this, it's to several points,
01:12:06
◼
►
Not only do they have,
01:12:07
◼
►
were they able to make a better mobile chip and then,
01:12:10
◼
►
and then integrate system on a chip design that makes for even better efficiency
01:12:15
◼
►
and not only are they able to create the M one and produce a chip that is that,
01:12:20
◼
►
I mean, it is hilarious.
01:12:21
◼
►
Your site's one of the better places to find these comparisons,
01:12:24
◼
►
but to see the people who are in the non Apple world,
01:12:26
◼
►
try to justify that the M one or two is not as good as it claims by looking at
01:12:31
◼
►
windows, laptops and Linux, whatever. It's just so funny. You're like, no,
01:12:34
◼
►
I'm sorry, you're going to have to change your worldview. I was, I never,
01:12:37
◼
►
when the M one came out, I really didn't believe it.
01:12:40
◼
►
I actually had to own a machine before I truly accepted what a change it was.
01:12:44
◼
►
And I'm like all in an Apple. I've been using Apple products since 1985. I'm not,
01:12:48
◼
►
I'm not even dubious. And I was telling her, okay, this,
01:12:51
◼
►
this is more of a game changer than I thought. But so it's not only that,
01:12:54
◼
►
but it's also that they can produce these micro chips that, you know,
01:12:58
◼
►
these tiny microchips, I should say, that allow them to do these, you know,
01:13:02
◼
►
to do the air pods. And that's what the glasses, if Apple releases glasses,
01:13:06
◼
►
you can imagine it's going to have the I've style thing of like,
01:13:09
◼
►
we've packed in the battery into the stems and like the, you know,
01:13:13
◼
►
all the custom circuitry. So you're going to wear a pair of maybe slightly chunky,
01:13:16
◼
►
but very stylish, a black, you know, black glasses. And then the frame is going to
01:13:21
◼
►
be a hundred percent full of electronics or something, right.
01:13:24
◼
►
With induction charging in the stems or whatever.
01:13:29
◼
►
I'm guessing that they're just going to stuff little tiny thin batteries all
01:13:33
◼
►
throughout the glass.
01:13:34
◼
►
Absolutely. Every, every corner, every edge. And then the,
01:13:38
◼
►
the lenses I assume will be multi-lens or multi-layer LCD panels
01:13:43
◼
►
interlaced with other kinds of probably more exotic stuff that get managed by
01:13:48
◼
►
the microcomputers and the multiple computers probably running it. But you know,
01:13:52
◼
►
then you're like, well, where do you put the processor? It's like, well,
01:13:55
◼
►
they'll have designed some new chip form factor probably to stick the package in
01:13:58
◼
►
the right spot.
01:13:59
◼
►
With like a regular pair of eyeglasses.
01:14:01
◼
►
It's like if you sit on your glasses or something and break the arm off,
01:14:05
◼
►
you know, and it's like, oh,
01:14:07
◼
►
you go back to your eyeglass place and you pay a nominal fee. It's like,
01:14:10
◼
►
I'm sure with the Apple glasses, it might look like a normal pair of glasses,
01:14:13
◼
►
but it'll be like,
01:14:14
◼
►
it's like when you break the back of your iPhone and it's like how many
01:14:18
◼
►
hundred dollars? And it's like, if you just break the side off your Apple
01:14:21
◼
►
glasses, it'll, you know, it'll be like, oh, $250 just for the arm. It's like,
01:14:26
◼
►
oh yeah, well there's all sorts of stuff in there. Apple's been prepping us with
01:14:29
◼
►
the changes to Apple care though, where they're like, oh,
01:14:31
◼
►
well now we're including an incident for this much. Oh, well accidents are
01:14:35
◼
►
included. I'm like, yeah, yeah, you're gonna have to,
01:14:37
◼
►
Apple glasses are going to have to have a very generous Apple care plan,
01:14:40
◼
►
at least the early days to get people to go in on it. Yeah. Anyway,
01:14:44
◼
►
before we leave the subject, that the thing,
01:14:45
◼
►
one of the things I'm looking forward to 2023 is to me,
01:14:50
◼
►
Apple is very clearly a company of annual patterns and we
01:14:55
◼
►
still don't know what their pattern is for Apple Silicon max, right?
01:15:00
◼
►
It's we've only gotten a second generation device.
01:15:04
◼
►
The only ones that we have are the Mac book air and the
01:15:08
◼
►
low end non pro 13 inch Mac book pro,
01:15:13
◼
►
you know, the Mac book air in a, in a thicker chassis.
01:15:16
◼
►
What is the pattern for the rest of Apple Silicon?
01:15:19
◼
►
Because the one device we know is on an annual schedule is the iPhone, right?
01:15:23
◼
►
Every year, every September, there's a new iPhone and a new generation of a,
01:15:27
◼
►
a series chips, but everything else,
01:15:30
◼
►
including the iPad is seemingly more like an 18 month schedule, right?
01:15:35
◼
►
So iPads, all iPads, none of them get update,
01:15:39
◼
►
updated annually, even though they've been on Apple Silicon forever.
01:15:43
◼
►
And it just, it,
01:15:45
◼
►
the thing that makes it seem unusual to me is that they're going
01:15:51
◼
►
with this numbered M one M two integer pattern.
01:15:55
◼
►
But I think that there will be max that skip generations,
01:16:01
◼
►
right? That maybe, you know,
01:16:04
◼
►
there won't be a Mac book pro that gets every single M
01:16:09
◼
►
generation, you know, that at some point it's going to skip a generation.
01:16:13
◼
►
Who knows? And obviously the Mac pro obviously skipped the M one
01:16:18
◼
►
generation and
01:16:20
◼
►
well, think about what you said earlier too, is that you don't need a Mac pro.
01:16:23
◼
►
You've got a Mac book pro, right? This is your, and I,
01:16:26
◼
►
I asked this question to people from time to time is, is what is the end of
01:16:30
◼
►
upgrades, right? It's like my, I have an, uh, M one,
01:16:34
◼
►
like first generation Mac book air with 16 gigs of Ram.
01:16:38
◼
►
And I only have a half a gigabyte, sorry, half a terabyte rather.
01:16:42
◼
►
I think a terabyte of storage on it. And I wish it just seemed like too much
01:16:47
◼
►
money at the time to get a terabyte, but between iCloud and other things,
01:16:50
◼
►
I make it work. So the only thing I'm short on is storage.
01:16:53
◼
►
The only thing that would probably get me to upgrade,
01:16:55
◼
►
I don't know when I will stop using my M one Mac book air because I don't,
01:17:00
◼
►
I actually, for the first time in the history of owning laptops,
01:17:03
◼
►
I don't need a faster one. Everything I need to do, I can do it the speed.
01:17:07
◼
►
I need to do it more or less.
01:17:08
◼
►
And I've done things like layout or work with giant InDesign files on it where
01:17:13
◼
►
it's been essentially full speed, like real time, very little lag.
01:17:17
◼
►
And that was even before Apple had fully transitioned to native,
01:17:20
◼
►
native Apple Silicon code. So this is my question is like,
01:17:24
◼
►
maybe Apple doesn't have to be on the same kind of cycle for many of the
01:17:28
◼
►
machines because it's got, it's not terminal models, but the models are,
01:17:32
◼
►
you know, what if they don't, if it's good enough for a couple of years,
01:17:36
◼
►
and maybe people, I mean,
01:17:38
◼
►
I don't think Apple wants people to own their computers necessarily for five to
01:17:41
◼
►
seven years.
01:17:42
◼
►
But you look at the history of how of ownership and kind of the support number
01:17:46
◼
►
support years Apple's put it in Mac OS.
01:17:48
◼
►
And it's like maybe we are going to see that lengthening that reduces their
01:17:52
◼
►
revenue from max, except that they're expanding the Mac audience all the time.
01:17:56
◼
►
And they still have, you know,
01:17:58
◼
►
a hundred million people who need to upgrade to M machines who haven't yet.
01:18:02
◼
►
So it feels like they could probably not worry as much about the speed of
01:18:07
◼
►
revision of max and just keep focusing on why you should get the latest one.
01:18:11
◼
►
If you have a machine that's, you know, three to seven years out of cycle.
01:18:15
◼
►
Yeah, I think so too.
01:18:16
◼
►
And I think they're very comfortable with the idea that PCs,
01:18:19
◼
►
when the Mac is their PC as a, as a, uh,
01:18:25
◼
►
literally 40 year old category that that a four or five year
01:18:29
◼
►
upgrade cycle is fine, especially since they've,
01:18:32
◼
►
they've held the line on prices, right? Where the,
01:18:36
◼
►
the low end Mac book air is still nine 99,
01:18:40
◼
►
even as the rest of the industry is sort of
01:18:44
◼
►
filtered down to these three and $400 low end laptops,
01:18:49
◼
►
Apple holding the line at a thousand dollars and selling most of these, you know,
01:18:53
◼
►
the, the 14 and 16 inch Mac book pros start at $2,000
01:18:58
◼
►
effectively. And really the, the configurations most people are buying,
01:19:02
◼
►
I think are closer to $3,000,
01:19:03
◼
►
which in today's PC world is very expensive, you know? And, and I think that
01:19:09
◼
►
they're just fine selling.
01:19:10
◼
►
They're very happy to sell you a $2,800 Mac book pro that you won't,
01:19:14
◼
►
that you won't even think about upgrading for four years, you know,
01:19:17
◼
►
with a 30 something percent margin. So they're like, that's fine.
01:19:20
◼
►
We paid our money off you. And then, and this is the growth of this.
01:19:23
◼
►
This is what I get. You got to bring this up, right?
01:19:25
◼
►
We forget to do this sometimes that Apple is a services company now.
01:19:28
◼
►
And of course they care less.
01:19:30
◼
►
They have shifted enough people over to buying from the Mac app store. And,
01:19:34
◼
►
you know, I'm ponying out that whatever the Apple one subscription is, I don't,
01:19:37
◼
►
I don't know what it costs because it's less than it costs before for me to
01:19:40
◼
►
buy all those things separately. And my family gets everything.
01:19:43
◼
►
Some on family sharing. So they they're getting, I don't know,
01:19:46
◼
►
$400 a year for me for Apple one. And I'm super happy about it.
01:19:51
◼
►
I don't have any complaint about the price for the services provided. Yeah,
01:19:55
◼
►
I agree. I do. I do agree. All right,
01:19:57
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let me take a break here and thank our next sponsor.
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01:21:37
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What else do we got? We've got, uh, I want to talk,
01:21:43
◼
►
speaking of password security. Oh man.
01:21:45
◼
►
Last pass has had,
01:21:48
◼
►
I would say a week that would make Southwest airlines seem like they've had a
01:21:53
◼
►
good, a good week.
01:21:54
◼
►
Yeah. Holy cow. You know, it's funny.
01:21:58
◼
►
There's one of these things of like where you list off, well,
01:22:00
◼
►
what password managers do people use? And it's like, well,
01:22:02
◼
►
you'll be like, I always one password, you know,
01:22:04
◼
►
there's a built in one in iCloud key chain.
01:22:07
◼
►
You can use that and all of Apple products, but it's not, you know,
01:22:09
◼
►
it's not good outside the ecosystem. Like, well there's, you know, last pass,
01:22:12
◼
►
there's dash lane, there's, you start listing off others, right?
01:22:14
◼
►
But last pass has always been kind of in that list and I don't know that it's
01:22:18
◼
►
going to be in that list anymore. Like I don't think,
01:22:20
◼
►
I don't think it should be. And I think there's a lot of reasons why it,
01:22:23
◼
►
it's not because they were hacked. That's bad.
01:22:26
◼
►
They made a number of operational mistakes that they've admitted some of clearly.
01:22:30
◼
►
But the problem is I think, I think it is embarrassing to have master password
01:22:35
◼
►
based security as your only line of defense in 2022 or maybe in 2015.
01:22:41
◼
►
Right. And this is what's come out.
01:22:44
◼
►
And I didn't realize this cause I haven't used last pass and I haven't looked at
01:22:47
◼
►
their security for a while when I was,
01:22:49
◼
►
since I was doing kind of more technical encryption looks and last pass,
01:22:54
◼
►
you know, so every other, so I shouldn't say every other,
01:22:57
◼
►
all the major password and secret management services out there you're likely to
01:23:02
◼
►
use. And I will cite again, Apple's iCloud,
01:23:04
◼
►
key chain operation and one password in particular because I know those more,
01:23:08
◼
►
more in depth. I know there are others like this that are more specialized.
01:23:11
◼
►
People call it bit warden,
01:23:13
◼
►
which is an open source project that has not needs more apparently outside
01:23:17
◼
►
auditing. They need to raise money to do certain things for more assurance.
01:23:20
◼
►
But again, it's an option that's designed around this.
01:23:22
◼
►
You need to have device based key material mix into anything so that if you're
01:23:27
◼
►
archive is in a cloud storage environment and it's compromised that without
01:23:31
◼
►
access to the devices and the ability to unlock a device.
01:23:35
◼
►
So it's a physical proximity attack typically unless you're a sophisticated
01:23:39
◼
►
nation state actor who could remotely install expensive one time use zero days
01:23:44
◼
►
to crack your phone and extract device keys,
01:23:48
◼
►
which isn't even possible in a secure enclave environment in most circumstances.
01:23:53
◼
►
Right. Blah, blah, blah.
01:23:54
◼
►
It's long list of things that you're still secure, right?
01:23:56
◼
►
So if you're one password vault, if one password had a massive,
01:23:59
◼
►
massive attack,
01:24:00
◼
►
some horrible thing happened and all of their cloud stored vaults that they sync
01:24:04
◼
►
for users and give access to through web apps were stolen.
01:24:07
◼
►
There is zero risk that anyone's material would ever be decrypted because you
01:24:11
◼
►
must have the secret keys that are device stored. Right. And that's that.
01:24:15
◼
►
If all of your,
01:24:16
◼
►
if Apple had an iCloud breach and all of its end to end security information,
01:24:20
◼
►
including iCloud key chains were stolen and somebody had a billion years to work
01:24:25
◼
►
they're not going to decrypt it because you need the keys stored only in secure
01:24:28
◼
►
enclave and all of your Apple devices. It's absolutely, you know,
01:24:31
◼
►
unless there was some exploit we don't know about and the design would be very
01:24:35
◼
►
difficult to deal with with last pass. If somebody steals your last pass vault,
01:24:39
◼
►
which bazillion were just lost and can guess through brute force,
01:24:43
◼
►
your your master password, it's totally decrypted and that's it. Boom.
01:24:45
◼
►
That's the story.
01:24:47
◼
►
Yeah. That's a great summary.
01:24:48
◼
►
And the problem with that is that the,
01:24:54
◼
►
I think, and I read a lot about this this week,
01:24:57
◼
►
but I think the problem is that with, with all of these vaults, I mean,
01:25:02
◼
►
I guess millions, I don't, I'm not quite sure how many customers they have,
01:25:05
◼
►
but you know, all of them, you know, the vaults are lost or,
01:25:09
◼
►
or have been taken,
01:25:10
◼
►
but they are secured by the user's own master password.
01:25:15
◼
►
Right. So it is computationally unfeasible for anybody in possession of all of
01:25:24
◼
►
those vaults to decrypt, certainly all of them,
01:25:27
◼
►
but even to mass attack all of these stored vaults.
01:25:32
◼
►
But if they wanted to target specific users,
01:25:36
◼
►
it's computationally feasible to,
01:25:40
◼
►
and especially, you know,
01:25:43
◼
►
if some of these users don't have super long, super secure master passwords,
01:25:48
◼
►
you know, it doesn't,
01:25:49
◼
►
or if the master password was secured by the previous, this whole thing, you know,
01:25:53
◼
►
some listeners will get this and some won't, and it's a deep cryptographic thing,
01:25:57
◼
►
but it's like the number of rounds of hashing you do on a, on a password.
01:26:00
◼
►
So you type in your password, you type in John Gruber rocks, right? And it gets,
01:26:05
◼
►
that's not a good password. Don't use it. Folks has to be longer,
01:26:07
◼
►
has to be longer and random.
01:26:08
◼
►
But I do appreciate the sentiment. So if that was your password, I do.
01:26:12
◼
►
I think I thank you for selecting it, but go change it.
01:26:15
◼
►
So you type that in and then the hashing algorithm, the way hash works,
01:26:21
◼
►
it's a one way cryptographic function.
01:26:23
◼
►
So you put in one thing and the thing that comes up the other end is essentially
01:26:27
◼
►
deterministically manipulated,
01:26:29
◼
►
but you can't reverse it without an enormous asymmetrical amount of computational
01:26:33
◼
►
power. So you do that once. That can be really strong.
01:26:35
◼
►
That's how Shaw two and these other things use for certain kinds of pastures
01:26:39
◼
►
storage work. But you could also, if you want to increase the difficulty,
01:26:42
◼
►
you can use something, use an iterative routine.
01:26:44
◼
►
So instead of just hashing it once you hash it, you know,
01:26:47
◼
►
5,000 times, a hundred thousand times, 200,000 times, and each iterative,
01:26:51
◼
►
I should say the shot to algorithm includes that as part of it.
01:26:54
◼
►
The number of hashing operations that occur, but it's part of an algorithm,
01:26:57
◼
►
right? So one password has this approach. Last pass,
01:27:00
◼
►
others have their approaches and you can wind up if you haven't updated,
01:27:05
◼
►
people have been finding as they look through their settings at last pass that
01:27:09
◼
►
they are set to, you know, 5,000 iterations where last pass now,
01:27:13
◼
►
I think the current setting is like a hundred thousand and 100 iterations and
01:27:19
◼
►
5,000 is much easier to crack than the a hundred thousand.
01:27:23
◼
►
And you can set it higher even. So there's,
01:27:24
◼
►
there's the master password length and complexity. There's the,
01:27:28
◼
►
so the amount of entropy in it, right? So how hard is it to crack?
01:27:31
◼
►
There's the sort of social engineering guessability. And then there's the,
01:27:35
◼
►
the, the, even if you have a really good password, your master password,
01:27:39
◼
►
if it hasn't been iterated a sufficient number of times,
01:27:42
◼
►
it can also be trivial. And John, you saw this, I didn't know this.
01:27:47
◼
►
They don't encrypt the URLs in your password storage.
01:27:51
◼
►
Yeah, that's that is going to leak. So if you're asking, so you say that,
01:27:56
◼
►
what you said is valid. It's, they have some information,
01:27:59
◼
►
an account information leaked.
01:28:01
◼
►
So it's possible that a cracker would be able to match up a user with a vault
01:28:05
◼
►
either through some leaked metadata about the account or failing that through
01:28:10
◼
►
looking at URLs because some of those URLs are going to contain encoded
01:28:13
◼
►
information about your user ID at an account because the URL is improperly
01:28:18
◼
►
anonymized in the way that any given site,
01:28:21
◼
►
you have a thousand passwords and some sites will encode your username into it
01:28:25
◼
►
conceivably or maybe your email address. So in a different circumstance,
01:28:29
◼
►
if everything in the vault were encrypted and no metadata were available in an
01:28:33
◼
►
unencrypted form, then the vaults might still be fairly useless to other people,
01:28:38
◼
►
even the ones that are weakly protected because it might be impossible for a
01:28:41
◼
►
cracker to know which ones were weakly protected.
01:28:45
◼
►
So they'd have to go through a lot of work even to figure out which ones they
01:28:48
◼
►
could start to crack. But that's not the case.
01:28:51
◼
►
Anyway, bad news for LastPass. I, I,
01:28:56
◼
►
I don't know about you. I, you know, in terms of what I use,
01:29:00
◼
►
I honestly have mostly overwhelmingly,
01:29:04
◼
►
I would say rely on iCloud key chain and I,
01:29:09
◼
►
I've trusted it for numerous years and it over one of the things I did last year
01:29:14
◼
►
in 2022 was I moved most,
01:29:19
◼
►
almost all of my two factor authentication codes. Like when you get those, Oh,
01:29:24
◼
►
as a second factor,
01:29:26
◼
►
go to Google authenticator or authy or any number of,
01:29:30
◼
►
you know, there's an open protocol for generating these things.
01:29:33
◼
►
And then once a minute you get a new six digit code and you,
01:29:39
◼
►
you need to enter the current minutes,
01:29:42
◼
►
six digit code for this account as your second factor to get in.
01:29:46
◼
►
I moved most of those to iCloud key chain,
01:29:49
◼
►
which started supporting those over a year ago. And
01:29:53
◼
►
I couldn't be happier.
01:29:55
◼
►
And I know that there's a lot of people out there who don't,
01:29:58
◼
►
a one reason not to go all in with I call key chain is if you have cross
01:30:04
◼
►
platform work needs.
01:30:05
◼
►
If you use windows regularly or you want to use Android regularly or need to,
01:30:10
◼
►
or just want to maintain your ability to,
01:30:18
◼
►
to do that in the future. And you know,
01:30:20
◼
►
you obviously can back out of iCloud key chain and switch from iCloud key chain
01:30:25
◼
►
to one password or something else that's cross platform in the future.
01:30:29
◼
►
But if you've already,
01:30:32
◼
►
if you're already have all your two factor codes in authy or Google authenticator
01:30:37
◼
►
and want to keep them there,
01:30:39
◼
►
not because you think it's the best interface for them or the most convenient,
01:30:42
◼
►
but because you like the idea that that's a cross platform way to do it.
01:30:46
◼
►
I totally get that. But me personally,
01:30:50
◼
►
I'm so all in on the Apple ecosystem,
01:30:53
◼
►
including Safari as my main browser,
01:30:57
◼
►
that the integration with iCloud key chain is just phenomenal.
01:31:02
◼
►
And I know that there's a lot of people who hear Apple and cloud based syncing
01:31:07
◼
►
and think it's always a disaster. And you know, I, I, I've been,
01:31:14
◼
►
this is not my first rodeo. You know, I've,
01:31:17
◼
►
I've seen Apple's struggles with cloud based syncing firsthand over a long
01:31:22
◼
►
number of years.
01:31:23
◼
►
I will say as somebody who's been at pretty much all in on iCloud key chain for
01:31:29
◼
►
years, the syncing with iCloud key chain is as good as any syncing.
01:31:33
◼
►
I've seen for any product anywhere. And I, you know, I,
01:31:38
◼
►
I'm not personally vouching that they're never going to have a sync problem,
01:31:41
◼
►
you know, that would be catastrophic for people.
01:31:44
◼
►
And for my very most important accounts,
01:31:47
◼
►
I've got saved codes printed out and stored in a safe location.
01:31:53
◼
►
And you know, uh, uh,
01:31:57
◼
►
and iCloud key chain catastrophe would be very, very annoying to me.
01:32:01
◼
►
And there I might have a problem.
01:32:03
◼
►
There might be some accounts that where I'm not really,
01:32:05
◼
►
I haven't thought it through and I might be locked out and need,
01:32:09
◼
►
I don't know what I would, you know,
01:32:10
◼
►
but for the ones that I'm most concerned about, I know that I could recover,
01:32:15
◼
►
even if I lost access to iCloud key chain with recovery codes, et cetera.
01:32:19
◼
►
And I've never needed to.
01:32:21
◼
►
And the integration with Safari and all the things that I've been doing,
01:32:26
◼
►
the things I would want my password manager to do, I couldn't be happier.
01:32:31
◼
►
And I, you know, I know a couple of the people who work on that team at Apple.
01:32:35
◼
►
I think it is for lack of a better term, one of Apple's a teams,
01:32:39
◼
►
I think they take it with the utmost care and it's,
01:32:45
◼
►
you know, it's one of Apple's a teams working on that.
01:32:48
◼
►
And it just keeps getting better. I don't know. What do you, what do you use?
01:32:51
◼
►
I've been moving. I've used offie for, for my, what are they?
01:32:55
◼
►
T O T P S time-based one time passwords, right?
01:32:59
◼
►
And I've used that for years because that was the best Google authenticator was a
01:33:03
◼
►
mess because it would, you know, you'd have a restore your phony,
01:33:05
◼
►
it was all your code that was the worst, whatever. And so I,
01:33:08
◼
►
at some point I found offie and a Twilio owns it now.
01:33:11
◼
►
I don't know if they made it and it's a great, it's free for that purpose.
01:33:15
◼
►
There's other stuff they sell,
01:33:16
◼
►
but they don't market you and it sinks securely and it's available.
01:33:20
◼
►
There's a Mac app that came out. It's not great, but it's fine.
01:33:23
◼
►
So I used offie for years and years and then as soon as the, I guess,
01:33:27
◼
►
Apple calls it, you know, verification codes or something.
01:33:29
◼
►
When that rolled out with Monterey and iOS, iPad,
01:33:32
◼
►
iOS 15 I was documenting it of course,
01:33:34
◼
►
cause I read a book about iPad and iOS security and Mac security for the take
01:33:38
◼
►
control series. And I thought, Oh, this is actually really, really well implemented.
01:33:43
◼
►
It's best when you're using Safari on a Mac and it's best when you're doing kind
01:33:47
◼
►
of anything in an app that's correctly integrated or in Safari on iOS and iPad
01:33:51
◼
►
iOS devices. But you know, the cross platform thing,
01:33:54
◼
►
you can just go on your iPhone, you just go to settings, passwords,
01:33:58
◼
►
search on the thing and it shows you the verification code. So,
01:34:02
◼
►
and I've had that issue. I mean,
01:34:03
◼
►
occasionally there's some Safari integration issues where you can't edit the
01:34:07
◼
►
list of websites to which a verification code applies.
01:34:11
◼
►
So I've had some cases in which a site verifies on one site,
01:34:14
◼
►
but then when you log in it has a different sub domain.
01:34:16
◼
►
So occasionally I've had to go and be like, all right,
01:34:19
◼
►
I've got to go to passwords in Mac OS and bring this up.
01:34:22
◼
►
It doesn't give me the auto-fill touch ID option. I confess,
01:34:26
◼
►
and I know I'm not the only person. I have a Mac mini and I bought a, uh,
01:34:30
◼
►
a magic keyboard with touch ID almost well first to test cause I write about
01:34:36
◼
►
these things. So I needed to own one and now I keep it attached all the time,
01:34:40
◼
►
even though it's not my primary keyboard because I use touch ID on my Mac all
01:34:44
◼
►
the time and it's such a delight compared to passwords or reducing security
01:34:49
◼
►
levels that you know,
01:34:50
◼
►
I'm using touch ID on my non laptop Mac for that purpose. I know Mac,
01:34:55
◼
►
iMac users have had that option all along, but I specifically bought it.
01:34:59
◼
►
But I think the feature works really well. I think it's,
01:35:01
◼
►
I think the way it's presented, especially in like an in browser is good.
01:35:04
◼
►
I have never, I've never had,
01:35:06
◼
►
you said that and I'm thinking of all the iCloud sync problems I've had with
01:35:10
◼
►
things like photos or calendar events,
01:35:12
◼
►
things where I've had to go and do weird, you know,
01:35:14
◼
►
resets and were have had no explanation why things were wrong for weeks.
01:35:18
◼
►
I've never, that I can recall, have an iCloud key chain sync issue.
01:35:23
◼
►
And I think it's got a different pathway.
01:35:25
◼
►
So I'm sure the data is backed up at iCloud in this secured fashion.
01:35:29
◼
►
But my belief is, I remember this is in the security document or not,
01:35:33
◼
►
the iCloud security document.
01:35:34
◼
►
I believe that it's kind of a push to your devices as opposed to like a sync
01:35:39
◼
►
where it kind of accumulates it and then your devices kind of pole and whatever.
01:35:43
◼
►
I think iCloud key chain items are essentially device to device synced with
01:35:48
◼
►
iCloud as the conduit. And maybe describing that wrong,
01:35:51
◼
►
but it does seem like it is more,
01:35:52
◼
►
more rapidly done and more accurately done than any thing else I've ever had
01:35:56
◼
►
trouble with on iCloud.
01:35:57
◼
►
Yeah, I, I, that's, you know, everybody's experience is anecdotal, right?
01:36:02
◼
►
But yeah, but some things to me sync better than others.
01:36:06
◼
►
I also find that Apple notes has been the modern era of Apple notes ever since
01:36:11
◼
►
they moved past I map as the backend sinking,
01:36:16
◼
►
which was terrible to be honest. I mean,
01:36:18
◼
►
I kind of understand why they did it because it was sort of a shortcut to get
01:36:22
◼
►
sinking of some sort. But when,
01:36:25
◼
►
when they switched to a native iCloud set of APIs for sinking your notes,
01:36:30
◼
►
it's been rock solid for me. I mean, really, really good.
01:36:36
◼
►
I kind of get the feeling, you know, in a very obvious way,
01:36:39
◼
►
the way that you would think, Hey,
01:36:40
◼
►
I would kind of hope that the iCloud key chain team is extra careful and is
01:36:45
◼
►
there, you know, puts an even higher priority on not making mistakes,
01:36:52
◼
►
even at the expense of moving slower year over year. Right. So,
01:36:59
◼
►
yeah, you know, it's fewer new features move slower, but instead of,
01:37:05
◼
►
you know, take the old carpenters adage of measure twice, cut once.
01:37:08
◼
►
Maybe with something like iCloud cloud key chain,
01:37:11
◼
►
you measure 10 times and cut once.
01:37:13
◼
►
I learned something amazing about Russia a few decades ago from a Russian friend
01:37:17
◼
►
at the time. I said, measure twice, cut once. He said, Oh, he said, in Russia,
01:37:21
◼
►
we say measure seven times and cut once. And I said, Oh wow.
01:37:24
◼
►
He said everything is sevens. And I was like, that taught me a lot.
01:37:27
◼
►
The other thing is, you know, this is the neat feature, right?
01:37:29
◼
►
Is that because it's integrated and this is probably why you do this.
01:37:32
◼
►
It's why I'm doing it now as well as I trust, I trust what Apple's doing.
01:37:36
◼
►
I believe their security documentation.
01:37:37
◼
►
I haven't had negative experiences and iCloud key chain has worked solidly for
01:37:41
◼
►
me all these years for regular passwords.
01:37:44
◼
►
I've been using one password for many years also, and I still,
01:37:46
◼
►
I use them both in different, slightly different ways, kind of integrated.
01:37:50
◼
►
But it's the,
01:37:51
◼
►
it shows you the QR code when you're doing the two factor enrollment and you
01:37:55
◼
►
hold down, you know,
01:37:57
◼
►
you press and hold on it on a touch device or you right click on it in Safari.
01:38:01
◼
►
And it says, add as verification code. And that's your setup. I mean, come on.
01:38:05
◼
►
That's, that's the kind of frictionless integration you want. And you're like,
01:38:09
◼
►
well, why wouldn't I do that? Because now I'm there. There's issues.
01:38:12
◼
►
People worry about out of band issues as well. Like, is this protected enough?
01:38:16
◼
►
The classic one that comes up that I get contacted by people about regularly and
01:38:21
◼
►
I've documented in my books is that when you do two factor, I mean,
01:38:25
◼
►
it's funny that Apple isn't, hasn't adopted TOTPs for its own site.
01:38:28
◼
►
It's using its own proprietary but very high security system that is kind of a
01:38:33
◼
►
two step authentication in order to get a number. Right.
01:38:36
◼
►
But when you do a login with a regular username and password,
01:38:40
◼
►
and then it gives you the prompt and it's like, Hey, prove who you are here.
01:38:45
◼
►
You need to enter this TOTP. Is this your location? And then what your device,
01:38:48
◼
►
one of your devices, you enter the code, right? All that's good.
01:38:50
◼
►
You want to trust this device. People have said to me, well,
01:38:53
◼
►
why should I trust entering a code into the same browser?
01:38:57
◼
►
Like if I'm on my machine or that the machine is on,
01:38:59
◼
►
so I'm on a browser on my Mac and the Mac produces the code that Apple sent.
01:39:04
◼
►
And it's like, because it's not in the same band path,
01:39:06
◼
►
I'm not on my browser and the browser is presenting me my code.
01:39:10
◼
►
I'm on the browser and a separate Apple system that is device again,
01:39:15
◼
►
device locked like this is your Apple ID account logged into that Mac through a
01:39:19
◼
►
verified connection that you've already done two factor authentication on for
01:39:23
◼
►
iCloud and Apple ID on your system.
01:39:26
◼
►
That pathway is being used exclusively over secure transport to present that
01:39:31
◼
►
code to you. So it's trustworthy because it's not in browser.
01:39:35
◼
►
And that's the same thing for the verification code.
01:39:38
◼
►
You're in Safari and your verification codes in Safari,
01:39:41
◼
►
but there's not a pathway where a website can pull that verification code out as
01:39:45
◼
►
essentially separate sandbox entities that don't talk to each other.
01:39:49
◼
►
Yeah. You're the one who explained this to me a few years ago and I'll always
01:39:53
◼
►
appreciate it. And I'm still not sure I entirely understand it to be honest,
01:39:57
◼
►
but I trust it at this point,
01:39:58
◼
►
but I'll bet everybody listening to the show has had family members say to them,
01:40:03
◼
►
how, how does this make sense when I'm logging in? I'm on my, I'm on this,
01:40:08
◼
►
I'm on, I'm on my Mac book and I'm logging into an Apple website.
01:40:12
◼
►
And to confirm I am who I am,
01:40:15
◼
►
it's the same Mac book saying, is this a login that you want to approve?
01:40:20
◼
►
But it's, it is, I guess the other, the flip side of the coin is that it is the,
01:40:25
◼
►
the sort of counterintuitive way that,
01:40:29
◼
►
that Apple's privacy initiatives are often in conflict with security
01:40:34
◼
►
initiatives. And where I'm going with that is that the browser is so private
01:40:40
◼
►
that the browser doesn't tell the website, this is a known,
01:40:46
◼
►
this is the device I'm on, right? This unique identifier,
01:40:50
◼
►
for this Mac book. No,
01:40:52
◼
►
that you don't want your browser to give a unique identifier for your hardware
01:40:57
◼
►
to any website, whether it's Apple's or Google's. But so like you said,
01:41:01
◼
►
it's out of band of the communication of your browser to apple.com.
01:41:06
◼
►
But when Apple says, okay,
01:41:09
◼
►
we'll send a ping to all of your known devices that we trust and that you've
01:41:13
◼
►
vouched for,
01:41:14
◼
►
which includes the Mac book you're on to verify that this is right,
01:41:18
◼
►
then you can just do it right on your Mac book. And once you understand that,
01:41:21
◼
►
that it's sort of an entirely different communication channel between apple,
01:41:26
◼
►
you know, it's your browser is not your device,
01:41:31
◼
►
but that confirmation is your device saying, yes,
01:41:34
◼
►
this trusted device is saying that this is okay.
01:41:37
◼
►
It's because the browser to, to regular people, right?
01:41:41
◼
►
The browser and your operating system appear to be monolithic.
01:41:44
◼
►
They're all right. Same thing. Apple doesn't trust the browser.
01:41:47
◼
►
But it trusts your device. So it's weird when it's like, well,
01:41:50
◼
►
if you don't trust my browser, why are you trusting this? It's like, ah,
01:41:53
◼
►
they're really, the browser's untrustworthy. So you could be phished.
01:41:56
◼
►
And the thing to remember is it's not the Safari or any other browser,
01:42:01
◼
►
whatever, but it's not Safari prompting you with that map that says,
01:42:06
◼
►
oh, there's a login from somewhere. That's the system doing it,
01:42:10
◼
►
which is out of it.
01:42:11
◼
►
This is with advanced data protection, right? The newest thing,
01:42:15
◼
►
which I think is super cool.
01:42:16
◼
►
I assumed when I saw the first press release about it, oh,
01:42:19
◼
►
you won't be able to access your data on iCloud.com anymore because it's all
01:42:23
◼
►
going to be ended and encrypted. But no, Apple will let you do it. I don't know.
01:42:28
◼
►
I've turned over a test account. I turned ADP on it so I could test it.
01:42:31
◼
►
And you go to the website, iCloud.com and says, Hey, all your data,
01:42:35
◼
►
except your email contacts and calendar entries are protected by ADP.
01:42:39
◼
►
Do you want to access it? And if you say yes,
01:42:42
◼
►
it does push to one of your devices that lets you enter a key that they have
01:42:46
◼
►
then allows it to decrypt temporarily within the browser,
01:42:51
◼
►
the data that sent from iCloud. So the data is still encrypted at iCloud.
01:42:56
◼
►
It's sent to your browser,
01:42:57
◼
►
cached in your browser and decrypting your browser with that temporary key.
01:43:01
◼
►
And that is very clever. That's what one password does. For instance,
01:43:04
◼
►
with when you use one password.com to access your end to end encrypted stuff,
01:43:09
◼
►
it's never receiving the password. All the password access,
01:43:13
◼
►
all the password interaction is local to your browser cache.
01:43:16
◼
►
So it's never transmitted. And so I thought, you know, so that I knew,
01:43:19
◼
►
one password was doing that,
01:43:20
◼
►
but so Apple has found that trustworthy enough apparently that they're willing
01:43:24
◼
►
to let you do that. So if you enable ADP, which I think is, you know,
01:43:28
◼
►
there's plus pros and cons,
01:43:30
◼
►
but it's could be very good as just an extra level of privacy and security.
01:43:33
◼
►
Then you are not excluded from using iCloud.com for data for those newly
01:43:38
◼
►
protected categories, which is cool.
01:43:41
◼
►
But counterintuitive.
01:43:43
◼
►
Yeah. And, and you could also, I don't, did you notice this little,
01:43:45
◼
►
there's like a little switch too.
01:43:47
◼
►
You can also now if you choose whether or not you have ADP and turned on,
01:43:51
◼
►
you can separately choose in, in iOS six, let's do all the numbers, right?
01:43:55
◼
►
It's Mac, MacOS 13.4, 13.1 Ventura,
01:43:59
◼
►
Iowa's 16.2 iPad was 16.2.
01:44:02
◼
►
So you have an option for ADP in the U S or you're at any of those versions
01:44:07
◼
►
You can now disable iCloud.com access for your account.
01:44:11
◼
►
And that's separate from ADP.
01:44:14
◼
►
Yeah. It's a little subtle thing. I noticed it. I was like, wait, what is this?
01:44:17
◼
►
And it's so you can have the normal encryption where some of your stuff is
01:44:20
◼
►
encrypted at rest and some end to end like it is for almost everybody today.
01:44:24
◼
►
And you're like,
01:44:25
◼
►
I don't want to expose a phishing risk or any other risk to iCloud.com so I'm
01:44:30
◼
►
just going to turn that off. And if you turn it off, you can turn it back on.
01:44:33
◼
►
But if you can only do that from devices, you can't do it from a website.
01:44:36
◼
►
So it's a, it's a different security choice, but it's an interesting one.
01:44:40
◼
►
Yeah. It doesn't disable any sinking either.
01:44:43
◼
►
And the one thing I can think of that that would do is it puts your device
01:44:48
◼
►
security in front of everything, right? So all of your Apple devices have,
01:44:52
◼
►
you know, face ID or a passcode or your Mac has a password and touch ID,
01:44:57
◼
►
but there's no way to get into anything without getting into the device first.
01:45:03
◼
►
Whereas iCloud,
01:45:05
◼
►
you can use a Apple ID and a password and then a phone number.
01:45:10
◼
►
You can have use your backup because Apple is still letting you do backup SMS
01:45:14
◼
►
and automated voice calls. So if somebody were to, I mean, it's, you know,
01:45:17
◼
►
it's a lot of steps, but if someone were to hijack a SIM, for instance,
01:45:21
◼
►
at a cell phone company,
01:45:22
◼
►
then they'd still,
01:45:23
◼
►
they might be able to crack your iCloud through iCloud.com access.
01:45:27
◼
►
But with this method, someone could,
01:45:30
◼
►
I mean, they could log into certain services without a device because they can
01:45:35
◼
►
still use an SMS method, but it wouldn't provide them the same amount of control.
01:45:38
◼
►
Yeah. I think that, you know,
01:45:40
◼
►
for most people I certainly have,
01:45:41
◼
►
I'm going to leave iCloud.com access for me on and I think for most people
01:45:46
◼
►
that's right, but you can, you know,
01:45:47
◼
►
it's not too hard to squint your eyes and see how it's more secure to just turn
01:45:51
◼
►
that off if you're genuinely paranoid or if you actually suspect that you're
01:45:56
◼
►
more likely to be attacked.
01:45:59
◼
►
Apple's now doing this tiered thing. You've got lockdown mode at the top.
01:46:02
◼
►
You've got the new iMessage feature that'll roll out this year that warns you of
01:46:06
◼
►
potential that there are people have intercepted or they have sniffers in the
01:46:09
◼
►
middle of an iMessage conversation.
01:46:11
◼
►
There's iMessage out of band confirmation for identity coming in 2023.
01:46:15
◼
►
That's the top. Then you have ADP below that.
01:46:18
◼
►
And then below that is iCloud.com access on or off.
01:46:22
◼
►
And below that is fundamental at rest device based security with some elements
01:46:27
◼
►
for iCloud syncing being end to end encrypted besides those data parts.
01:46:30
◼
►
So it's a good, good layer of cake that's been built now.
01:46:33
◼
►
It still makes me laugh thinking back to the original iPhone and it was just
01:46:39
◼
►
slide to unlock. Yes. Oh, wait, no password. No passcode, right?
01:46:44
◼
►
Well, you could set a password, I believe, right? But it wasn't,
01:46:47
◼
►
it wasn't part of the golden. This is the way,
01:46:50
◼
►
this is the way we intend you to use the device.
01:46:53
◼
►
And I certainly didn't have a passcode on my iPhone for a couple of years.
01:46:56
◼
►
No, cause slide to unlock was way too cool. It was. And then,
01:47:01
◼
►
but once you slid to unlock, you just had all my email, had all your messages.
01:47:05
◼
►
Sure. All right.
01:47:07
◼
►
Let me take a break here and thank our third and final sponsor of the day.
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Just go to squarespace.com/talkshow. Last on my list was,
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well, let me talk about this.
01:49:05
◼
►
I want to talk a little bit about Twitter and Mastodon because I know people are
01:49:09
◼
►
tired of talking about Twitter and Musk. I'm tired of it too, but it's so,
01:49:12
◼
►
it's fascinating. Here, parlaying off our security discussion.
01:49:18
◼
►
So I've been a Twitter blue subscriber for most of the year.
01:49:22
◼
►
I think it came out earlier in 2022 is a $3 a month product that I pay happily
01:49:27
◼
►
paid for to get the top articles feature.
01:49:30
◼
►
I like the being able to have 30 seconds to revert your thing before it went
01:49:37
◼
►
I forgot that that was, I did not realize that was a Twitter blue feature,
01:49:41
◼
►
even though, so it's like,
01:49:43
◼
►
I still do most of my Twitter use from tweet bot,
01:49:47
◼
►
so I don't in the third party doesn't have it,
01:49:49
◼
►
but I use the first party app enough that I, you know,
01:49:53
◼
►
I've seen that feature editing tweets is only a Twitter blue feature.
01:49:58
◼
►
The top articles feature is it's like nuzzle used to be,
01:50:01
◼
►
but basically it's a very simple concept. And, and to me,
01:50:06
◼
►
Twitter is at its best when its features are very easily explained.
01:50:11
◼
►
But the basic idea is all the people who you follow you,
01:50:15
◼
►
the people you've chosen to follow it. If,
01:50:18
◼
►
if a number of the people you follow have all tweeted links to the same article
01:50:23
◼
►
that becomes one of the top articles of the day.
01:50:27
◼
►
And you can just go to this page or tab in the app and just see
01:50:31
◼
►
the articles across the web that are the most linked
01:50:37
◼
►
to by the people you choose to follow on Twitter.
01:50:40
◼
►
And then they have a second tab,
01:50:41
◼
►
which is sort of the second order version of that,
01:50:46
◼
►
where the people who you follow,
01:50:49
◼
►
who they follow their top articles.
01:50:52
◼
►
And they had Twitter had that relationship with paywall publication. Yeah.
01:50:56
◼
►
So many things you could read through Twitter blue. Yeah.
01:50:59
◼
►
You would have needed a subscription. So yeah,
01:51:01
◼
►
it was my favorite thing since nuzzle also is the closest thing.
01:51:03
◼
►
And nuzzle to me was a little bit better at
01:51:07
◼
►
populating the list and nuzzle.
01:51:12
◼
►
One reason for me as a news junkie is that with nuzzle, you could set it to like,
01:51:16
◼
►
three hours instead of 24 hours.
01:51:18
◼
►
Twitter's version is a little bit simpler and it's just,
01:51:21
◼
►
you don't get that kind of granularity,
01:51:23
◼
►
but more than made up for the fact that Twitter,
01:51:27
◼
►
unlike nuzzle has these partnership deals with a lot of websites where you can
01:51:32
◼
►
burst through paywalls and read,
01:51:34
◼
►
read these articles without being a subscriber. Great feature.
01:51:38
◼
►
I went through this thing. It seems like this is,
01:51:41
◼
►
I don't know if it's Apple's fault or Twitter's fault, but I,
01:51:44
◼
►
I paid for it through the iOS app.
01:51:46
◼
►
So it was going through my iCloud or iTunes account, whatever you want to call
01:51:50
◼
►
it to 99 a month. And I don't know,
01:51:54
◼
►
earlier in December I started getting some kind of error.
01:51:59
◼
►
It was inconsistent and it was something,
01:52:01
◼
►
something that my payment method had expired and it didn't
01:52:05
◼
►
make any sense to me because I knew that my iCloud,
01:52:09
◼
►
I knew that my iTunes credit card was not expired.
01:52:13
◼
►
It's the credit card I have on my iCloud account is, or iTunes account,
01:52:17
◼
►
whatever you want to call it.
01:52:18
◼
►
It's actually an Apple card and I know that the expiration date is,
01:52:22
◼
►
I don't know, a year or two in the future,
01:52:24
◼
►
but if any card is going to give me a proper warning when it
01:52:29
◼
►
expires, it's an Apple card. Right. Uh,
01:52:32
◼
►
but I think what really happened is that now that under Elon Musk,
01:52:37
◼
►
the new Twitter blue, which includes verification check Mark,
01:52:42
◼
►
which I, I have, but I didn't even ask for,
01:52:45
◼
►
and I honestly don't care about, I honestly,
01:52:48
◼
►
you could take away the blue check Mark on my at Gruber account and I really
01:52:52
◼
►
don't care. That's not why I'm, I want to pay for it.
01:52:55
◼
►
But I think what happened is now that the new version of Twitter blue is
01:53:00
◼
►
If you pay Twitter directly on their website and $11 a month through the app
01:53:05
◼
►
to account for the 30% cut that Apple takes. And for a while,
01:53:10
◼
►
it seemed like maybe they'd grandfathered in those of us who'd been paying $3 a
01:53:15
◼
►
month. But I think they, I think they wanted, I think they messily very,
01:53:20
◼
►
can you believe it under Elon Musk that something was slapdash and haphazard
01:53:25
◼
►
and not entirely, but I think that basically they,
01:53:30
◼
►
they wanted to cut all of us off who were paying $3 a month and make us pay
01:53:34
◼
►
eight or $11 a month.
01:53:36
◼
►
But the error message was about the payment credentials being expired,
01:53:41
◼
►
which they probably just dumped all the tokens,
01:53:44
◼
►
the receipt tokens from their database and let it just error out to annoy people
01:53:48
◼
►
like us. I, I let mine lapse before that a little bit before that.
01:53:53
◼
►
Well, I'm so,
01:53:54
◼
►
but I'm so keen on the top articles feature that I wanted to resubscribe.
01:53:59
◼
►
I was like, okay, I'll resubscribe. I don't know if you saw this.
01:54:02
◼
►
I tweeted it the other day, but they won't let me, they won't let me sign up.
01:54:07
◼
►
I want to give Twitter $11 a month cause I'd actually would rather pay for it
01:54:11
◼
►
through iTunes and no better control, better control. I'll pay,
01:54:15
◼
►
I'll pay three more dollars a month knowing that I can cancel at any time
01:54:20
◼
►
through iTunes than to, especially at this point,
01:54:23
◼
►
trust Twitter with my credit card and a recurring subscription.
01:54:26
◼
►
I would like to pay $11 a month to them for this and they won't let me
01:54:31
◼
►
because the phone number I have associated with my Twitter account is from an
01:54:36
◼
►
unsupported carrier. And now what that means now,
01:54:39
◼
►
the carrier in question is Google voice. Oh, Oh now,
01:54:44
◼
►
and I tweeted about it and people are like, well,
01:54:46
◼
►
that's like a security thing cause lots of scammers sign up for Google voices
01:54:49
◼
►
free. You get a phone number for free and crying out.
01:54:53
◼
►
But the reason I use a Google voice account,
01:54:56
◼
►
I use this Google voice account for any,
01:55:00
◼
►
pretty much anything that only supports SMS as a second factor,
01:55:05
◼
►
which is actually not very secure and not, not, you know,
01:55:08
◼
►
yeah. Cause you can get the codes via email, right? Well, and you can also log in.
01:55:12
◼
►
And I, and I do think carriers, you know,
01:55:15
◼
►
especially the big ones like Verizon and AT&T and T-Mobile have,
01:55:20
◼
►
I think it certainly anecdotally,
01:55:23
◼
►
it seems like SIM hijacking is less of a thing that they've, you know,
01:55:28
◼
►
but I still don't trust I'm on Verizon. I've been on Verizon for a while.
01:55:32
◼
►
I trust Google with my main Google account security way more than I
01:55:37
◼
►
trust Verizon and way more than I trust somebody. I think,
01:55:41
◼
►
I honestly don't see how it's feasible that somebody could hijack my Google
01:55:46
◼
►
And whereas I don't necessarily trust that somebody who specifically wanted to
01:55:51
◼
►
target me, John Gruber, the daring fireball guy who has, you know,
01:55:56
◼
►
300,000 followers on Twitter, somebody could go into a Verizon store and say,
01:56:01
◼
►
I'm John Gruber and I, you know, this is my phone number and you know,
01:56:04
◼
►
it's not that hard to get my personal cell phone number. I lost my, you know,
01:56:08
◼
►
I need a new SIM card.
01:56:09
◼
►
I trust Google more than I trust Verizon with that even though I more or less
01:56:13
◼
►
trust Verizon, but I,
01:56:14
◼
►
All the carriers put ID, the possibility,
01:56:18
◼
►
but not requirement for an ID code to protect that.
01:56:20
◼
►
And so if you don't have an ID code set on your, your wireless account,
01:56:25
◼
►
then that's possible. Although they're having stories of people,
01:56:27
◼
►
also social engineering around the requirement for an ID.
01:56:31
◼
►
But I think that's why the incidents has gone down. It's also cause you know,
01:56:34
◼
►
Bitcoin is worth less. So people have less interest in hacking most people.
01:56:38
◼
►
But I think the ID thing was enough of a deterrent that it became less low
01:56:42
◼
►
hanging fruit. But I think also if you went in with a,
01:56:44
◼
►
someone went in with a faked bill and a faked ID and said they were John Gruber
01:56:49
◼
►
and had your phone number, they might still be able to talk somebody into it.
01:56:51
◼
►
That's not, not implausible.
01:56:54
◼
►
I just feel safer with my Google account. I do, you know,
01:56:57
◼
►
I have lots of complaints about Google's overall customer experience,
01:56:59
◼
►
but I think Google's account security is top notch. And if you have to,
01:57:03
◼
►
if I have to use SMS as a second factor,
01:57:06
◼
►
I always use my Google voice account if possible.
01:57:09
◼
►
And I do have my Google voice account set up to forward all text
01:57:14
◼
►
messages to my main email. So
01:57:18
◼
►
when I do, when, when they do text me, quote unquote,
01:57:23
◼
►
text me a, a six digit code,
01:57:26
◼
►
all I have to do is look at my email and it's right there. And you know,
01:57:31
◼
►
it's just as easy as checking it from an SMS message, super frustrating.
01:57:35
◼
►
And it's so funny because it's one of the times where I've run into the,
01:57:39
◼
►
and I hate to, I tried never to use the word fan boy,
01:57:43
◼
►
but I can't think of a better term. The,
01:57:45
◼
►
the Elon Musk fan boys who took the, well,
01:57:49
◼
►
of course they don't allow Google voice. It's, you know,
01:57:52
◼
►
it's keeps the scammers out. Well then how come I use my Google voice number,
01:57:57
◼
►
with everything else with no problem and I'm not hacked.
01:58:01
◼
►
And I, to me, it's just, it's just a sign of slips,
01:58:06
◼
►
slipshottedness at, at Twitter. Very frustrating to me.
01:58:10
◼
►
You know, John,
01:58:10
◼
►
I didn't see your tweet cause I haven't been using Twitter since November 20th.
01:58:13
◼
►
That's I ain't going,
01:58:14
◼
►
I ain't going back unless there's some big changes over there. And you know me,
01:58:18
◼
►
I have like Twitter poisoning. Like you could,
01:58:20
◼
►
you could take a blood sample from me and I'm above 0.08 Twitter percentage at
01:58:24
◼
►
any given Twitter C or something.
01:58:26
◼
►
We're active alcohol content and I just, I just, you know,
01:58:29
◼
►
I just said I can't be on this service. I mean,
01:58:32
◼
►
I left Facebook when I felt like they were enabling genocide and I left a couple
01:58:36
◼
►
of years ago. I was like, that's it. And I miss people.
01:58:39
◼
►
I miss Twitter as a social mechanism and,
01:58:42
◼
►
but I'm benefiting from the fact that there's a land of refugees that's polite
01:58:46
◼
►
and kind and every everything is chirping birds and rainbows for this minute.
01:58:50
◼
►
And the mastodon and the Fediverse have been pretty good.
01:58:53
◼
►
And I'll give you one stat, which is, I had almost 29,000 followers on Twitter,
01:58:57
◼
►
which I have no idea why because my Twitter handle has never really been
01:59:01
◼
►
associated with any media property. So it is all organic. Like somehow,
01:59:05
◼
►
I feel like I've amassed it by putting peas in a pile on a table until they get
01:59:10
◼
►
rid of that pile. It gets really big one at a time. But I was like, this is great.
01:59:13
◼
►
You know, so when I do a project or something, I can announce it.
01:59:15
◼
►
And I get a little uptake from Twitter. It's been great for Kickstarter. It's,
01:59:19
◼
►
it's always like I'm looking for a place for good conversation to learn about
01:59:22
◼
►
things, to hear voices I don't hear otherwise,
01:59:24
◼
►
to hear some major political and intellectual figures discuss stuff where they're
01:59:29
◼
►
talking more freely and, you know, and for, you know, to,
01:59:32
◼
►
to talk to colleagues and friends and so forth. Right. So, and, but,
01:59:35
◼
►
but also projects have always been an important part of it.
01:59:37
◼
►
So now over at at Mastodon after, I don't know,
01:59:40
◼
►
six months of being a pretty good user over there and scraping my Twitter feeds
01:59:44
◼
►
to follow people on Mastodon. I have over 7,000 followers on Mastodon,
01:59:49
◼
►
or about 25%. And for me, that's a lot because they're,
01:59:52
◼
►
A, they're all real people. It's not bots and it's not random.
01:59:55
◼
►
People are making a much more intentional effort to follow people. And so the,
01:59:58
◼
►
so there's great conversation there.
02:00:00
◼
►
And I really enjoying this burgeoning community and worried at what point it
02:00:04
◼
►
becomes untenable or moderation becomes an issue or balkanization or other
02:00:09
◼
►
But the real test will be the next time I launch a project and does anything
02:00:13
◼
►
happen? Do I launch something there? And on Twitter,
02:00:15
◼
►
it would have been like a third of the,
02:00:16
◼
►
of the purchases or interest or whatever come from Twitter.
02:00:21
◼
►
And with Mastodon it's like, you know, one person out of a thousand or something.
02:00:24
◼
►
Does a project fail because I'm not on Twitter anymore? So that, you know,
02:00:28
◼
►
that's like my professional concern,
02:00:31
◼
►
but personally I'm really enjoying being in a mellower place right now.
02:00:34
◼
►
For the record, I just looked it up, Glenn, your Twitter account,
02:00:39
◼
►
which is I guess you, we could call it hibernating, right?
02:00:42
◼
►
It's exactly which, and again, the Darth, I don't pass judgment.
02:00:47
◼
►
I really don't on anybody who deleted their Twitter account, you know?
02:00:52
◼
►
No, I, but if you asked my advice personally, I would say,
02:00:58
◼
►
just stop using it and let your old tweets stay there for,
02:01:02
◼
►
Oh, that's what I'm doing. Yeah, I totally agree. I don't want to,
02:01:06
◼
►
Elon could be a temporary phenomenon and I don't want to give up on Twitter
02:01:11
◼
►
because it's been valued professionally, personally, intellectually, artistically.
02:01:15
◼
►
It's been an incredible thing over its lifetime for me.
02:01:18
◼
►
And so I don't want to give up on Twitter as a thing.
02:01:22
◼
►
So people are talking about deleting it and what's been good is over a Mastodon,
02:01:25
◼
►
if somebody says, Oh, I'm deleting my Twitter. People are like, don't do it.
02:01:27
◼
►
Just put a thing, tell people where to find you and leave it in Amber.
02:01:32
◼
►
Make it read only for yourself. But if you delete it,
02:01:34
◼
►
then your handle frees up and your history is lost. And you know, you're not,
02:01:38
◼
►
you're not helping Elon by keeping an active account that you're not using if
02:01:42
◼
►
that's your concern,
02:01:43
◼
►
but you're helping yourself by making sure you're not giving up your identity
02:01:47
◼
►
and your, and what you've said and all the rest of it.
02:01:49
◼
►
Yeah. And as much as most of us has spent most of the last 16 years,
02:01:53
◼
►
more or less dicking or just, just screwing around on Twitter.
02:01:57
◼
►
Some of our tweets are worth referencing, you know, and it's good to keep up.
02:02:02
◼
►
Again, no, if, if you're, you know, I, I, I keep saying,
02:02:06
◼
►
I'm not passing judgment. I guess I am mildly where I would,
02:02:09
◼
►
I would prefer people to leave their Twitter accounts up and just stop using
02:02:14
◼
►
them. But I do, I,
02:02:15
◼
►
I'm not mad at you if you deleted your account because I get it,
02:02:18
◼
►
but I was going to make fun of you for how many tweets you posted.
02:02:23
◼
►
I looked it up and the Glen F Twitter account finished, or, you know,
02:02:27
◼
►
if it is finished, at least on hiatus with 117,447
02:02:33
◼
►
No, sorry. Sorry, John. There's a missing piece,
02:02:35
◼
►
which is I deleted all my tweets from before 2018.
02:02:37
◼
►
Oh, then no wonder it makes sense.
02:02:40
◼
►
Yeah. There's like a half a million. And the reason was people were, yeah,
02:02:43
◼
►
so I'm honest about that. I've posted times.
02:02:46
◼
►
I first did below it before 2018 and later before 2019 because I used to use
02:02:51
◼
►
Twitter more like IRC, right? Especially the early days.
02:02:54
◼
►
And then there was that you remember there's an extended point where anything
02:02:57
◼
►
you said was being used, was being harvested by,
02:03:00
◼
►
and especially with gamer gate and other stuff. There was a point where I'm like,
02:03:04
◼
►
I am just going to get rid of it because otherwise I have to go through a half a
02:03:08
◼
►
million tweets and figure out if there's something that can be misconstrued or,
02:03:11
◼
►
you know, this is what happened to not to defend.
02:03:13
◼
►
I don't want to read open bean dad gate, but that's what happened to John Roderick.
02:03:17
◼
►
It's not that John Roderick was starving his child.
02:03:20
◼
►
He was telling a funny story and people went, Oh, this guy's a terrible father.
02:03:24
◼
►
Let's make him the main character today and went insane. And it was, you know,
02:03:27
◼
►
he's a storyteller. A but B people went back to find old bad tweets.
02:03:32
◼
►
And what they found was he said things sarcastically that out of context sounded
02:03:36
◼
►
like he was horrible and he's, he's not a horrible person. I don't, you know,
02:03:40
◼
►
I mean, we all know people in comedies, a Seattleite,
02:03:42
◼
►
it's he said things that maybe were too in a particular way.
02:03:46
◼
►
If you read them sounded more negative than they were,
02:03:48
◼
►
but they're absolutely in keeping with this sort of sarcastic tone.
02:03:52
◼
►
So if you read them in sequence, you'd be like, Oh, this is a joke. I get it.
02:03:55
◼
►
That's funny. He's making fun of those people. So at some point I'm like,
02:03:58
◼
►
I do not need to spend the rest of my life dealing with things that I said in an
02:04:02
◼
►
unguarded fashion. So I'm just going to delete them all. So I probably had,
02:04:06
◼
►
like I said, at least half a million tweets that aren't on that number.
02:04:09
◼
►
So this, that, thank God, because I looked it up my, my,
02:04:13
◼
►
my account with, and I've never, I've never done a mass deletion.
02:04:17
◼
►
I'm at 85,048 tweets. And I was like, wait, I'm in the ballpark of Glenn.
02:04:21
◼
►
Why am I making fun of him? Yeah. All right.
02:04:24
◼
►
No, I did a fundraiser for Planned Parenthood when I hit 500,000 and raised a few
02:04:27
◼
►
thousand dollars from somebody. And I let someone, I was like,
02:04:30
◼
►
you can be my 500,000th tweet. Tell me what to tell to tweet.
02:04:34
◼
►
And then I think they didn't or something, but they still did any of the money.
02:04:37
◼
►
So that was, that was, there was a point when I hit that number.
02:04:39
◼
►
I've been, I signed up for Mastodon in 2018.
02:04:43
◼
►
I've been talking about it the last few episodes of the show,
02:04:45
◼
►
but the more I'm using it,
02:04:48
◼
►
the more happy I am with it.
02:04:50
◼
►
And the more I'm like my skepticism is fading away and all the better.
02:04:55
◼
►
The ivory beta, right?
02:04:57
◼
►
I do have the ivory beta from TapBots.
02:05:00
◼
►
I mean, I just got in recently and I,
02:05:03
◼
►
I've been using different Mastodon clients like Mammoth and the Mastodon,
02:05:07
◼
►
the branded one and the, you know, and the website interface and all that.
02:05:10
◼
►
And I got ivory and I was like, Oh yeah. I mean, no, those are terrible.
02:05:14
◼
►
They weren't really meant for this kind of volume. And,
02:05:16
◼
►
and there's all kinds of things that, you know,
02:05:19
◼
►
Mastodon is evolving super rapidly. It's open source. There's people, you know,
02:05:22
◼
►
working on checking in a bazillion new features and ideas and improving things.
02:05:26
◼
►
So it's going to evolve super fast,
02:05:28
◼
►
but these apps evolve less rapidly than the code base. So that said,
02:05:32
◼
►
I started using ivory and I'm like, Oh yeah,
02:05:35
◼
►
this is the warm hot tub that I've been looking for instead of the ice cold
02:05:40
◼
►
I do not mean to, I, and I get it.
02:05:42
◼
►
I don't know if they've filled up the entire 10,000 test flight
02:05:47
◼
►
capability yet, but I know that when TapBots opened it up,
02:05:51
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I think it was a couple of days before Christmas,
02:05:53
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they opened up like another thousand slots and they said when they were going to
02:05:57
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do it. And I think the thousand slots seriously went like 15 seconds. Yeah.
02:06:01
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►
I think they have multiple, I don't know if they can permission.
02:06:04
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►
I think they have multiple 10,000 slot things are doing something and they,
02:06:09
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►
I think it was 10,014. No, that must not be right. It must be a thousand,
02:06:13
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►
but it, you know, it's an out, it's a 0.1 alpha folks. It's not, it's, well,
02:06:18
◼
►
they're doing it, but they're, they're,
02:06:19
◼
►
they're rapidly progressing towards something that I think that they can ship as
02:06:22
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►
a 1.0. It's very, I think it's surprisingly close. And I,
02:06:26
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and I think, you know, I,
02:06:30
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maybe I'll have the TapBot guys on.
02:06:32
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►
I would actually be enjoyable for me to talk about this with them.
02:06:34
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►
But I think though that years ago they abstracted
02:06:39
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►
out the Twitter specific-ness of Tweetbots in the app.
02:06:43
◼
►
Remember app.net, which was ahead of the app.net. I did too.
02:06:47
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►
And it was ahead of its time,
02:06:49
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►
but in anticipation of app.net possibly becoming a thing,
02:06:53
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Tweetbots architecture was sort of abstracted away from being,
02:06:59
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►
assuming that it was Twitter specific.
02:07:02
◼
►
And that obviously was to their benefit to prepare for making a
02:07:07
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►
Mastodon client. They can't,
02:07:09
◼
►
my understanding of the Twitter PI rules is that
02:07:14
◼
►
any third party Twitter client,
02:07:17
◼
►
and everybody knows from years ago that Twitter has gotten as of 2018,
02:07:22
◼
►
kind of funny about third party clients. And I, I'm still not,
02:07:26
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►
even with Elon Musk,
02:07:27
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►
I'm not entirely convinced that they're going to,
02:07:30
◼
►
I wouldn't be surprised if by the time this episode airs, if you know,
02:07:33
◼
►
somebody kicks the plug out of the wall on the API server, right?
02:07:37
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►
But I, they can't,
02:07:39
◼
►
the rules of the Twitter API for third party clients is that you're not allowed
02:07:44
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►
to integrate with others competing services.
02:07:47
◼
►
So a Tweetbot or Twitterrific can't build in
02:07:52
◼
►
Mastodon support in the same app because that's a vice.
02:07:55
◼
►
So they have to make a separate app as opposed to the
02:08:00
◼
►
actual Fediverse of Mastodon and anything else that uses these open
02:08:05
◼
►
protocols, right? Which, you know, Mastodon is truly in the spirit of the open web.
02:08:10
◼
►
And if there's or like Matt and Reese's micro dot blog,
02:08:14
◼
►
which is not Mastodon, but which uses and talks to the same API's.
02:08:19
◼
►
So micro dot blog, if you're logged in,
02:08:21
◼
►
you can follow people on a Mastodon site and get them into your micro dot blog
02:08:27
◼
►
I saw a chart the other day. Someone's like, look,
02:08:29
◼
►
if you want to know what the Fediverse is,
02:08:30
◼
►
and reason reason some of us keep harping on about it is, you know,
02:08:33
◼
►
the Fediverse is not Mastodon,
02:08:34
◼
►
but by that we don't just mean that there's something like Mastodon is too
02:08:38
◼
►
limiting or it's a name of a project. They said,
02:08:41
◼
►
here's what it really looks like.
02:08:42
◼
►
And they posted one of those things that are usually horrifying because they're
02:08:45
◼
►
like, here's what the the ad services universe looks like.
02:08:48
◼
►
And there's 4,700 companies occupying niches. Instead,
02:08:52
◼
►
this was like 50 projects all kind of,
02:08:55
◼
►
and they're all open source and some may have commercial aspect,
02:08:58
◼
►
but they're all, you know,
02:08:59
◼
►
they're all basically people trying to make this thing happen in different ways.
02:09:02
◼
►
And so, you know, Matt and Reese's microblog.org is in there and microblog,
02:09:05
◼
►
I'm sorry, I just said this thing wrong. Anyway,
02:09:07
◼
►
my commitment and recess thing is in there and Mastodon, but then they were like,
02:09:10
◼
►
again, like 48 other things, not all of which were about microblogging.
02:09:14
◼
►
Some are different aspects of services interaction and how they all kind of fit.
02:09:18
◼
►
And I was like, Oh, this is,
02:09:20
◼
►
this is going to be exciting because we haven't even scratched the surface of a
02:09:24
◼
►
mass usage in any one of those areas.
02:09:27
◼
►
So this could actually cause a blossoming of all of these related Fediverse
02:09:30
◼
►
things that we haven't even, you know,
02:09:32
◼
►
haven't even risen to consciousness because we're not switching over from a
02:09:35
◼
►
failing or faltering, whatever you want to call it, you know,
02:09:38
◼
►
major social network. They have all different purposes.
02:09:41
◼
►
Yeah. The note that I jotted to myself a day or two ago in anticipation of
02:09:46
◼
►
talking to you about it is that what's occurred to me,
02:09:48
◼
►
the more I'm using ivory and Mastodon and less
02:09:53
◼
►
using tweet bot and Twitter is that Mastodon
02:09:57
◼
►
just has the feeling of being a frontier. And,
02:10:03
◼
►
and I'm suddenly recalling now deep in middle age,
02:10:07
◼
►
how comfortable I am on the frontier of, of,
02:10:11
◼
►
of new things like this. Right. Yeah. You know,
02:10:14
◼
►
and going all the way back to getting on the internet
02:10:19
◼
►
at the very beginning in the days when usenet was the thing,
02:10:23
◼
►
you know, it, I didn't,
02:10:25
◼
►
the whole thing seems so new that it didn't even occur to me to think of it as a
02:10:30
◼
►
frontier because it was so obviously a frontier and BBSs, right.
02:10:34
◼
►
Which weren't really connected to the internet, but it,
02:10:37
◼
►
it all felt new and exciting and,
02:10:40
◼
►
and things were happening where it's like, Oh man, all of a sudden,
02:10:45
◼
►
four modem is actually something I can afford.
02:10:48
◼
►
And now I can download binaries at a reasonable speed from the BBS.
02:10:53
◼
►
And it doesn't take, you know,
02:10:55
◼
►
four hours to just download an app or a game or something that somebody shared.
02:11:00
◼
►
And just the, I don't know,
02:11:02
◼
►
it's exciting and fun to be somewhere where it's fluid
02:11:08
◼
►
and new and changing and evolving rapidly.
02:11:13
◼
►
And so far, everybody is just,
02:11:18
◼
►
it, it, it's just a good community spirit.
02:11:21
◼
►
Yeah. I, it's, it's not, I mean,
02:11:23
◼
►
it's resistant to a certain kind of jerk or
02:11:28
◼
►
troll. It's not immune to it obviously because of the instant based distribution.
02:11:32
◼
►
And because moderators,
02:11:34
◼
►
because they're not beholden to shareholders or other interests,
02:11:37
◼
►
they're sort of beholden to the users that they host or to nobody.
02:11:41
◼
►
They can make these independent decisions.
02:11:43
◼
►
And that's the fear of balkanization is moderation is a hard problem.
02:11:47
◼
►
It's very hard at scale. It's very easy to piss people off.
02:11:51
◼
►
And it's also extremely easy to take positions that are at odds with,
02:11:56
◼
►
some or most of the people on the instance you're running. So that's,
02:11:59
◼
►
I know that's a big fear if you read, you know,
02:12:00
◼
►
you read tech dirt like I do, I'm sure. And Mike Masnick just, I mean,
02:12:03
◼
►
he and his colleagues there write tremendously good things about why moderation
02:12:08
◼
►
scale is difficult and their fears about that relative to Mastodon plus some
02:12:13
◼
►
liability issues. EFF has written a great roundup of things.
02:12:16
◼
►
EFF about if you're a Mastodon, I'm saying EFF anyway, there's a,
02:12:20
◼
►
there's a good article floating around now. I'm being erratic about if you're,
02:12:24
◼
►
if you're a Mastodon host,
02:12:26
◼
►
what it means for you in terms of making sure you comply with the MCA.
02:12:29
◼
►
If you run an instance that is and have other people on it,
02:12:32
◼
►
like how you comply with the MCA rules and which are relatively easy to comply
02:12:36
◼
►
with. But if you don't, you could wind up in a pickle if somebody, you know,
02:12:40
◼
►
wanted to post something that could be problematic and someone can't reach you
02:12:44
◼
►
and so forth. So there are some risks, but I think, you know, this is,
02:12:49
◼
►
you've seen this, I'm sure the last week or so there's been a quote,
02:12:52
◼
►
tweet turmoil raging on Mastodon because Mastodon does not offer a quote,
02:12:57
◼
►
tweet function, a quote, toot function or whatever we're going to call it.
02:13:00
◼
►
This was my next topic. My, my final thing to ask you about. So explain,
02:13:06
◼
►
explain to people who aren't sure what the controversy is.
02:13:08
◼
►
So, so on Twitter, when Twitter news quote tweeting,
02:13:11
◼
►
before quote tweet existed as a thing on Twitter, people did it vernacularly.
02:13:15
◼
►
You would copy a URL and you'd say, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah,
02:13:17
◼
►
my opinion and paste it in, or you just paste in the URL sometimes. I mean,
02:13:21
◼
►
I had a, sorry, there was a retweet feature for a long time. So retweet,
02:13:25
◼
►
you just select it.
02:13:26
◼
►
But if you wanted to comment on or add an image or do anything,
02:13:29
◼
►
you would just make a new message and paste in the Twitter URL.
02:13:32
◼
►
And depending on your client or whatever,
02:13:34
◼
►
it would show the previous URL in line.
02:13:36
◼
►
Then Twitter created that as an actual feature.
02:13:38
◼
►
So you could quote tweet and it would sort of structurally support it.
02:13:42
◼
►
But it was designed in such a way that even people who like, you couldn't,
02:13:45
◼
►
you couldn't quote, tweet restricted accounts,
02:13:47
◼
►
but there were other ways in which like if you were blocked from seeing somebody,
02:13:50
◼
►
you could see there a quoted tweet version of it and there were abuse vectors
02:13:55
◼
►
and so forth. There's a, the huge debate raging is,
02:13:58
◼
►
so Mastodon has not been designed with a quote tweet feature.
02:14:01
◼
►
And that's partly because, you know,
02:14:03
◼
►
each Mastodon message is essentially hosted on the instance on which you're
02:14:08
◼
►
located. And there's like 4,000 Mastodon instances now,
02:14:11
◼
►
at least or last time I checked. So, you know, when you're retweeting something,
02:14:15
◼
►
it's all centralized. When you're re-masted, you're re,
02:14:18
◼
►
you're re boosting something or whatever you would call it in the Mastodon world.
02:14:21
◼
►
It's a question of how they gets drawn in and, and structured.
02:14:24
◼
►
So there's apparently some code in the Mastodon project that would enable a form
02:14:29
◼
►
of re boosting and it's not rolled out. And there's a structural issue,
02:14:33
◼
►
which is that some people maintain that retweeting is a very,
02:14:37
◼
►
or sort of quote tweeting, I should say specifically has,
02:14:40
◼
►
is an easy way to brigade people and people who are,
02:14:42
◼
►
and so it's not like it's exclusively by any means used for that purpose,
02:14:46
◼
►
but people feel like it's a very easy way to point a lot of people at somebody
02:14:50
◼
►
who said something and create main characters of the day. Like the main,
02:14:54
◼
►
you know, quote Ryan Broderick of Garbage Day, I love his stuff.
02:14:58
◼
►
He's got a podcast, Content Minds. And, and when he talks about Twitter,
02:15:02
◼
►
the main character of the day or the internet's main, you know,
02:15:05
◼
►
main character, whatever, that is a flaw of Twitter, not a feature, right?
02:15:09
◼
►
We shouldn't have a Bean Dab. We shouldn't have a Has She Landed,
02:15:11
◼
►
Has Justine Landed yet?
02:15:12
◼
►
Like all these things typically target people with the wrong kind of attention.
02:15:16
◼
►
It's rarely solitary. It's almost always an exaggerated character, whatever.
02:15:21
◼
►
So Mastodon is not designed with that feature yet. It's possible to add it.
02:15:25
◼
►
It could be added.
02:15:25
◼
►
And the raging debate is whether Mastodon is failing as a service,
02:15:31
◼
►
even though it's still, you know,
02:15:32
◼
►
just getting all this usage is a few years old because it isn't offering quote
02:15:35
◼
►
tweeting and whether there's a backlash where people are like,
02:15:38
◼
►
we never want to add it or it has to be in such a way that an instance could
02:15:43
◼
►
turn it off so that somebody at another instance couldn't quote tweet someone an
02:15:47
◼
►
instance that had it disabled or it should be disabled on a message by message
02:15:51
◼
►
basis. So I think this is, the great part is this is vibrant,
02:15:54
◼
►
excellent discussion about abuse vectors and whether this could cause problems.
02:15:58
◼
►
And the downside is like, Oh God,
02:16:00
◼
►
we have our first like conversation that takes over the whole timeline.
02:16:03
◼
►
So I've been muting people selectively for like three days, right?
02:16:07
◼
►
This is built in muting and features Mastodon was designed with muting and
02:16:10
◼
►
blocking features that are really good. And I'm like,
02:16:12
◼
►
if people are going on and on about quote tweeting, I'm like,
02:16:15
◼
►
I'm going to mute them for three days and see if the fever passes because I
02:16:18
◼
►
don't care about it enough that I want every other message of my timeline to be
02:16:22
◼
►
talking about quote tweet. So at some level Mastodon has survived,
02:16:26
◼
►
has succeeded in becoming a mass medium because everyone is talking about the
02:16:30
◼
►
same thing. Yeah, it's,
02:16:33
◼
►
I'm of the opinion that don't think quote tweeting is
02:16:37
◼
►
inherently problematic as a vector for,
02:16:41
◼
►
as you said, brigading.
02:16:42
◼
►
But I appreciate the fact
02:16:47
◼
►
that the Mastodon at a community level is being,
02:16:52
◼
►
the community is evolving from a conservative
02:16:57
◼
►
viewpoint on those issues. So I,
02:17:00
◼
►
I think that quote tweeting should be a Mastodon feature.
02:17:04
◼
►
I think it's too useful.
02:17:05
◼
►
I think the idea that it's inherently problematic in terms of the way
02:17:10
◼
►
that it can lead to pile-ons and dunking is overstayed,
02:17:14
◼
►
but I appreciate that they're,
02:17:16
◼
►
they're going from a let's be careful viewpoint going forward.
02:17:20
◼
►
And the reason though, I think it's futile to not have it
02:17:24
◼
►
is it's that, that line from Jurassic park,
02:17:30
◼
►
you know, that life will find a way, you know, like, like,
02:17:33
◼
►
like with the idea that, Oh, we're only going to have female dinosaurs.
02:17:37
◼
►
So therefore there will be no breeding out in the wild and, ah, you know,
02:17:40
◼
►
life finds a way something's going to happen and people find a way. Right.
02:17:45
◼
►
And it's the way that Twitter itself evolved, where even,
02:17:48
◼
►
even mentions at,
02:17:50
◼
►
at username mentions were a, a,
02:17:54
◼
►
an idiom that the users on Twitter came up with that did nothing
02:17:59
◼
►
in the API APIs. They weren't even hot links, you know, originally,
02:18:03
◼
►
it was just became a convention that Twitter users had,
02:18:07
◼
►
where I would say at Glen F and say something in response to a
02:18:12
◼
►
tweet of yours.
02:18:13
◼
►
And then the third party clients would pick up on those things through a search
02:18:18
◼
►
just for the string. It wasn't a magical feature.
02:18:21
◼
►
And retweeting started like that all sorts of almost everything on Twitter,
02:18:27
◼
►
yeah. Hashtags is probably the,
02:18:30
◼
►
maybe the best example where it wasn't a built-in feature of Twitter at all.
02:18:35
◼
►
It was just, well,
02:18:36
◼
►
here's something that you can do because it's just text in a tweet,
02:18:40
◼
►
just use the pound sign and put a string,
02:18:44
◼
►
a unique string of characters that is human readable after it.
02:18:47
◼
►
And then third party clients could do it. So without quote, tweeting,
02:18:52
◼
►
Mastodon clients would evolve to do it anyway. And I saw,
02:18:56
◼
►
I even saw in the discussion people are having where there's clients that are
02:19:00
◼
►
talking about doing things.
02:19:01
◼
►
And I think there's already people outside of the actual client software who
02:19:06
◼
►
ginned up their own solutions with scripting or shortcuts,
02:19:10
◼
►
where you take a screenshot of the tweet,
02:19:13
◼
►
you want to quote tweet and a link to
02:19:17
◼
►
the, or not tweet, but to whatever they call them, right?
02:19:21
◼
►
A Mastodon post, take a screenshot of it,
02:19:24
◼
►
get the URL that points to the original and then pre-populate a new
02:19:28
◼
►
post from your account with the URL to the original and a screenshot of the
02:19:33
◼
►
original. And then you can do your quote,
02:19:36
◼
►
tweeting and it's effectively a quote, you know,
02:19:38
◼
►
people are going to find a way to quote, tweet,
02:19:40
◼
►
whether it's a built-in function or not, but if they make it a built-in function,
02:19:44
◼
►
then they can do things like what you mentioned, where you could say,
02:19:49
◼
►
I would like to make this tweet unquote tweetable, because I don't,
02:19:53
◼
►
I don't want to hear from people about it.
02:19:54
◼
►
I realize that what I'm about to say people might think is controversial because
02:19:58
◼
►
you know, whatever the issue is, or I, you know, or you just don't want,
02:20:01
◼
►
you just don't want to be bothered with it. You could just say,
02:20:04
◼
►
make this one unquote tweetable,
02:20:06
◼
►
but as long as quote tweeting is a built-in feature,
02:20:09
◼
►
then there's not going to be any demand to build those work around features to
02:20:13
◼
►
get around it.
02:20:14
◼
►
I totally agree.
02:20:15
◼
►
And you saw Twitter even evolve where they were like,
02:20:17
◼
►
you could set who can reply to this tweet,
02:20:20
◼
►
which I thought was a great feature and underutilized. So, I mean,
02:20:23
◼
►
I love the idea. I love the idea that there's that massed on is coming out.
02:20:27
◼
►
I think structurally they're coming at it from a position of having learned from
02:20:31
◼
►
gamer gate and learn from Twitter and learn from mass abuse attacks.
02:20:34
◼
►
So the system as a whole seems to be designed for least harm
02:20:39
◼
►
as its starting point.
02:20:41
◼
►
And so anything that's added has to be fit within that framework. And so if,
02:20:45
◼
►
maybe there's going to be six months of conversation about quote boosting or
02:20:48
◼
►
whatever, or maybe there'll be three weeks of it, but when it rolls out,
02:20:52
◼
►
I'm much more confident with it that it'll be a consensus driven thing that has
02:20:56
◼
►
more options. So like, even when you post a message in massed on,
02:21:00
◼
►
there's the quote, the content warning link,
02:21:02
◼
►
which some people just treat like a subject line, which is also fine.
02:21:05
◼
►
Some people ignore, there's a lot of debates about how that gets used. You know,
02:21:08
◼
►
should it be used to warn about racism or is racism something we should talk
02:21:11
◼
►
about openly without content warnings? You know, this is an interesting debate.
02:21:15
◼
►
It's good one to have. It's good one to expose.
02:21:17
◼
►
There's the sort of four levels of post visibility.
02:21:20
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You can post something that doesn't get indexed or isn't listed.
02:21:24
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And there's like a lot of really,
02:21:26
◼
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or even you add an image and it presents you with this ability to even in the
02:21:31
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native, you know, the, the website based client, the web app,
02:21:33
◼
►
you can click and extract text through OCR from the image you've uploaded.
02:21:38
◼
►
So if you're posting a screenshot and I've been trying to really obsessively put
02:21:42
◼
►
at least some text into every image I post because it's a cultural norm among
02:21:47
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►
the early Western adopters.
02:21:49
◼
►
But I also think I like to do anything in which accessibility is incorporated by
02:21:53
◼
►
design. I want to support and uphold it. And it also, I think it makes you,
02:21:57
◼
►
I think it makes things better for everyone if you use accessibility features.
02:22:02
◼
►
So yeah, I mean, I think the community as it stands,
02:22:05
◼
►
even with millions of people onboarding has still vibrant but not seemingly
02:22:09
◼
►
horrible debates about the direction of it,
02:22:11
◼
►
but the direction will be set by people involved in an open source project that
02:22:15
◼
►
is, you know, it's got aspects of, you know, some people making decisions,
02:22:19
◼
►
but also a lot of consensus driven thing. And what's not underlying it is a,
02:22:23
◼
►
we have to increase engagement. We need more people posting every day.
02:22:26
◼
►
We need to squeeze more ads in. I don't think we've had anything like that.
02:22:30
◼
►
Maybe ever. That's really been driven in entirely by community needs,
02:22:34
◼
►
except maybe usenet. I mean, that's the last thing that's really like this,
02:22:37
◼
►
isn't it? Yeah, I think so. And I, you know,
02:22:39
◼
►
I was just reading how usenet is still a thing and you know, it, in fact,
02:22:44
◼
►
it's growing in some ways. I mean, it, it, I don't know.
02:22:48
◼
►
It's just a Mastodon is so clearly of the spirit of the open web.
02:22:52
◼
►
And it, it thrilling to me to see it take off.
02:22:56
◼
►
And I'm happy to say that my skepticism,
02:22:59
◼
►
my initial skepticism that it was going to be able to work or scale, um,
02:23:04
◼
►
it, you know, is wrong. I've never, I'm,
02:23:06
◼
►
it's one of those things where I'm happy to be wrong about,
02:23:08
◼
►
I hope it stays that way. I kind of feel,
02:23:11
◼
►
and this is one of those things that I hope doesn't sound elitist,
02:23:14
◼
►
but I kind of feel is fundamentally true that maybe having a
02:23:18
◼
►
slightly higher bar to sign up and get
02:23:23
◼
►
started compared to Twitter is for the better for,
02:23:28
◼
►
for those of us who are happy to step over that bar,
02:23:31
◼
►
that one service for
02:23:34
◼
►
300 million people like Twitter is, is two, you know,
02:23:40
◼
►
it's actually not good to be on a platform with 300 million other people.
02:23:44
◼
►
Well, someone could start an unfederated Mastodon that was instance that was,
02:23:48
◼
►
or not unfederated, but it could be loosely federated. Someone could have a,
02:23:51
◼
►
you know, not only fans, that's the porn thing. I'm sorry. What's the,
02:23:53
◼
►
what's the celebrity things, right? There's some celebrity services,
02:23:57
◼
►
but they could not, what's the one where you call in people,
02:24:00
◼
►
you can get a custom message, a custom video from somebody. Oh, what is that?
02:24:04
◼
►
Oh, that's a different kind of custom video. It's something I forgot,
02:24:09
◼
►
but that kind of thing, you know,
02:24:10
◼
►
someone could set up a Mastodon instance that's meant for a lot of people as very
02:24:15
◼
►
easy onboarding and it's designed to be a distributor of news and celebrity
02:24:20
◼
►
information and the celebrities all go there to post stuff because it's safe and
02:24:23
◼
►
maybe it's federated, but it's federated unit or actually,
02:24:26
◼
►
so celebrities tweets go out, but people are members of it,
02:24:29
◼
►
aren't federated out to the rest.
02:24:30
◼
►
So you could have 10 million people on a,
02:24:33
◼
►
on a server someplace doing mostly read only where,
02:24:36
◼
►
which is what most Twitter usage, I mean, of 300 million users on Twitter, you know,
02:24:40
◼
►
you've seen those big head long tail curves,
02:24:41
◼
►
a tiny fraction posts more than like a message a year.
02:24:44
◼
►
And most people use it in most people use Twitter in a way that you and I have
02:24:49
◼
►
no, you know, most people it's a reading mechanism.
02:24:52
◼
►
It's a reading medium with very little conversation and Mastodon is very much a
02:24:57
◼
►
conversation medium and the early people are very much talking.
02:25:00
◼
►
So that could evolve too for sure.
02:25:02
◼
►
Cameo is what you're thinking.
02:25:04
◼
►
Cameo. Thank you. Yeah.
02:25:06
◼
►
I was very, I was very, I have not paid for a cameos from anybody,
02:25:10
◼
►
but when Rudy Giuliani was on, I was very,
02:25:12
◼
►
I was very tempted to get, get, get,
02:25:15
◼
►
get some Rudy messages to a bunch of my friends.
02:25:17
◼
►
You don't want to get a Danny DeVito message for your birthday. Are you sure?
02:25:20
◼
►
No, I want to say I want to send other people, Rudy Giuliani.
02:25:23
◼
►
Oh, that's interesting.
02:25:24
◼
►
But anyway, that's about it for me. Tell me about shift happens. And I,
02:25:28
◼
►
you got this in the show notes. So tell me about this.
02:25:30
◼
►
Oh, I just were like, oh, this is a, this is a book.
02:25:33
◼
►
Marching Wishery is is the author of this this tome,
02:25:36
◼
►
it's 1200 page two volume book set with a third extra
02:25:41
◼
►
volume that he started working on in 2016.
02:25:44
◼
►
It's about the history of keyboards from typewriters to like the present day.
02:25:48
◼
►
Boring. I have no interest whatsoever. Keep me away from this.
02:25:53
◼
►
Nobody listings a show has any interest in keyboards or typewriters.
02:25:57
◼
►
Absolutely aware of it. And yeah, it is, it's going to be catnip for a lot of people.
02:26:01
◼
►
But so marching started on this in 2016 is kind of a outgrowth of some
02:26:06
◼
►
essays he's writing at medium. And then he wandered in by accident.
02:26:10
◼
►
He was on the wrong day in the wrong place and he wandered into a museum that
02:26:14
◼
►
should have been closed in Spain and then did not speak the language.
02:26:19
◼
►
People there were speaking Catalan. It doesn't speak Spanish or Catalan.
02:26:22
◼
►
And he got finally got pushed upstairs and it was the most glorious collection
02:26:26
◼
►
of typewriters in the world just about.
02:26:28
◼
►
And this led him on this journey to write this book.
02:26:30
◼
►
And so a couple of years after that, I'd been, I'd met him on Twitter and I'm like,
02:26:34
◼
►
Hey, you got an editor for this book? Cause I I'm literally looking at this.
02:26:37
◼
►
Sounds great, whatever. So for, for five years plus,
02:26:41
◼
►
I've been involved with him on this editing and development journey and he's
02:26:45
◼
►
been at it for seven and it's going to be great.
02:26:47
◼
►
We're going to go to Kickstarter in February and he's got a site up at
02:26:51
◼
►
shifthappens.site just launched literally today while we're recording this.
02:26:56
◼
►
We're just getting it finished. And John, let me tell you,
02:26:58
◼
►
getting a book printed like this is a Kickstarter project and then we'll do
02:27:01
◼
►
pre-orders after if we reach the goal and it'll ship in like August,
02:27:04
◼
►
September of this year.
02:27:06
◼
►
Like the book is pretty close and we kind of need to go over the top.
02:27:08
◼
►
But it started like almost 400,000 words.
02:27:12
◼
►
We got it down to under 300,000. There are so many great stories in this thing.
02:27:16
◼
►
We're like, all right, so a year ago we've been getting printing bids.
02:27:19
◼
►
We're sort of going onto it and then everything went out of control, right?
02:27:23
◼
►
Everyone's experienced this,
02:27:24
◼
►
but like shipping containers from China went up to like $25,000 up from like
02:27:29
◼
►
5,000 and paper prices go through the roof and inflation is whatever.
02:27:32
◼
►
This is before Russia invades Ukraine, right? And we're like, God,
02:27:36
◼
►
you're going to have to delay this a year because the supply chain is so crazy.
02:27:38
◼
►
I'm not sure if we, if we raise the money in February or March, 2022,
02:27:42
◼
►
if we could ship it in the same calendar year and you know,
02:27:45
◼
►
from both holiday sales issues and tax reasons,
02:27:48
◼
►
you kind of want your revenue and your expense to be in the same calendar year.
02:27:52
◼
►
If you're a cash based business, which most businesses are anyhow.
02:27:56
◼
►
So that's the Ukraine invades or Ukraine is invaded and so forth.
02:27:59
◼
►
But at one point in this last year, a few months ago, we're like, okay,
02:28:02
◼
►
so if we order the paper from this factory in Gmund, Germany on,
02:28:06
◼
►
on Lake Gmund, the Gmundze,
02:28:09
◼
►
then we'll get it shipped over land into a container and then have it loaded on
02:28:15
◼
►
boats and shipped to Maine where we need to, we were,
02:28:19
◼
►
we were really going to order like tens of thousands of pounds of paper from
02:28:24
◼
►
Germany and have it shipped over the Atlantic at one point.
02:28:26
◼
►
And fortunately we were able to find a very good domestic U S paper that was
02:28:31
◼
►
close enough, but holy cow, it has been hilarious logistics part.
02:28:36
◼
►
So we finally have like a printer, we have a paper, we have a bid that works.
02:28:40
◼
►
we've just got a press test with images printed to test profiles and they're
02:28:47
◼
►
using stochastic screening, which is the new hotness. Everyone does this now.
02:28:51
◼
►
Half tone screening is, is a thing of the past, John.
02:28:55
◼
►
Does it make you feel old? Yes.
02:28:56
◼
►
Stochastic screening is so amazing. I mean, it's been in use for years,
02:29:01
◼
►
but it's gotten better and better. And we got some samples a year ago.
02:29:04
◼
►
This one press up in Canada was like, first they were, they said, Oh,
02:29:07
◼
►
we print such and such. I'm like, Oh, I have a bunch of those.
02:29:09
◼
►
Cause I like that. And second,
02:29:11
◼
►
they send a samples and I'm looking under a loop at like 10 X magnification and
02:29:15
◼
►
I'm like, this cannot be, they're, they're printing green, but this is CMYK.
02:29:19
◼
►
Why does it look so good in the alignment? The registration is so perfect.
02:29:23
◼
►
So with stochastic screening, it's, you know, it's like dithering.
02:29:26
◼
►
It's like really good algorithmic dithering,
02:29:29
◼
►
but at a level where you're like at thousands of an inch dots, it's like,
02:29:34
◼
►
you know, the finest, almost finest laser writer or a laser output dots. Right?
02:29:38
◼
►
So when you have fine type,
02:29:40
◼
►
like you have the letters in a shop window or letters on a, on a,
02:29:44
◼
►
someone's typing a letter and you have a picture of a typewriter, you can zoom,
02:29:47
◼
►
and this is half tone.
02:29:48
◼
►
You can zoom in and you can actually read the words on the typewrited letter
02:29:53
◼
►
and like an image that's like three by three inches.
02:29:56
◼
►
And the typewriter is a fraction of that. So the screening is,
02:29:59
◼
►
this is not limited to the printer we're using, but it is like,
02:30:03
◼
►
it is like a digital revolution in the sense of like when we went from, you know,
02:30:07
◼
►
wax and knives to, to desktop publishing and,
02:30:11
◼
►
and early desktop publishing was sort of crummy, but it was fine. It was good.
02:30:14
◼
►
It was good enough.
02:30:15
◼
►
Stochastic screening is such a leap for me as someone I co-wrote some of the
02:30:20
◼
►
editions of real world scanning and half tones, as you may recall.
02:30:24
◼
►
We had a little bit about stochastic screening in the second and third editions.
02:30:27
◼
►
And I'm like, Oh my God, it is. It's like, you're not, you're not like, Oh,
02:30:31
◼
►
are we going to get a moiré? And Oh,
02:30:32
◼
►
are they using open rosettes at a 90 degree? And you're like,
02:30:35
◼
►
you just send the images with the profile to the printer.
02:30:38
◼
►
And we got them back in printed form off the press. They did one signature.
02:30:42
◼
►
So 16 pages aside and folded it for us to look at.
02:30:45
◼
►
And we're going to use these as we'll be sending some of these out to people and,
02:30:49
◼
►
and you look at it and you're like,
02:30:50
◼
►
this looks as good as it looks on screen because you're not dealing the half tone
02:30:54
◼
►
dots. It's not that they're super fine. They just don't exist. Anyway,
02:30:58
◼
►
it's one of the most it's, so it's, I'm excited about it with this book.
02:31:01
◼
►
It's not like a,
02:31:02
◼
►
it's not super new so people who've been getting stuff printed listing this will
02:31:05
◼
►
be like, Glenn has lost his mind.
02:31:07
◼
►
I was using stochastic screening 10 years ago and it was great then,
02:31:10
◼
►
but it's exciting to be involved with a project.
02:31:12
◼
►
Well, I think every time you're on the show,
02:31:14
◼
►
some of the people think you lost your mind, Glenn. Well, that's for sure.
02:31:16
◼
►
Well, you know that I'm going to order the damn thing and you know, I'll be,
02:31:20
◼
►
I'll be up for a Kickstarter link come February. But in the meantime,
02:31:25
◼
►
people can go to shift shift. Don't forget the F that's right.
02:31:29
◼
►
Shift happens dot site and get the, get the preview. But I,
02:31:33
◼
►
this is a great, I just a great story. Oh, sorry. Oh, well,
02:31:35
◼
►
I just suspect that there's a lot of people listening who are going to be
02:31:39
◼
►
I think, yeah, I think there's a, we think we know our audience and it doesn't,
02:31:43
◼
►
the book doesn't pander, but like at the last minute, just a few weeks ago,
02:31:46
◼
►
I get an email from Marcin and he's like,
02:31:48
◼
►
I just discovered a Nobel prize winning physicist got obsessed about using lasers
02:31:53
◼
►
to erase typos off typewriters. And I'm like, what?
02:31:56
◼
►
And so he had a rewrite a chapter about, it's just,
02:32:00
◼
►
the story is insane. But the great part is he's like,
02:32:03
◼
►
I want to get a picture of this thing. And we're like, well,
02:32:05
◼
►
can we get the picture? Like, well, what if we contact?
02:32:08
◼
►
So he was able to go to the institution that had the documents,
02:32:11
◼
►
get original materials. So he's doing, you know, real research.
02:32:15
◼
►
But in another case there was some photo he was trying to get and I'm like,
02:32:18
◼
►
well, that guy's dead. But you know,
02:32:20
◼
►
maybe this person who knew him is the estate is the, it's the,
02:32:23
◼
►
we call it the executor of his estate.
02:32:25
◼
►
So Marcin's like he emails that guy and that person puts him in touch with the
02:32:28
◼
►
fellow's daughter and gets permission to use this wonderful photo in the book
02:32:32
◼
►
that we otherwise wouldn't have been able to use.
02:32:34
◼
►
But it's that kind of process where like, you're just, he's,
02:32:37
◼
►
he's going to have some stuff in there that's never been seen before,
02:32:39
◼
►
but there's also these, just these stories where you're like,
02:32:42
◼
►
this couldn't have happened. Like, no,
02:32:44
◼
►
this is a real thing related to typewriters or a keyboard and it's,
02:32:47
◼
►
it's a hoot.
02:32:48
◼
►
Well, I look forward to it. I thank you for your time.
02:32:51
◼
►
I hope you have a good rest of the holiday week. Let me,
02:32:54
◼
►
Happy new year. Yeah. Let me give a shout out here to our sponsors. One last,
02:32:59
◼
►
one last message here. We've got the Squarespace where you can make a next move,
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02:33:21
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credit. Thanks, Glenn. Happy new year. Thank you. Happy new year to you.