245: ‘40 Hours a Day of Murder’ With Rene Ritchie
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I feel like you're on a roll.
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- Oh, thank you.
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- But you had a really good video the other day.
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I don't have it in the notes yet, but I will.
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On this analytics situation in the App Store.
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We're just jumping right in, no small talk today.
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- Yeah, absolutely.
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- But this analytic situation in the App Store
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and with these apps being discovered,
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it's like everything with Facebook.
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It's an unrolling scandal.
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Like it's not like never ending.
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Never ending, we learn one thing after another.
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But basically the Wall Street Journal had a story last week
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that really escalated this where they did some research
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on a bunch of apps that take by nature of the app.
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They take very personal information.
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These are things like menstrual cycle,
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calendar trackers for women.
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What are some of the other examples?
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- Real estate apps.
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- Real estate apps.
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- Houses you wanted to buy, yeah, there's a range of them.
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- And yeah, so it's like financial information
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and stuff like that.
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And they got security experts and they, I guess,
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hooked these things up to like something to look
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at the network traffic coming in and out of the phones.
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And these apps all, like as soon as you'd enter
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this information, you put your weight in.
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And as soon as you do it, it goes right to Facebook.
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And my favorite part is right after the article,
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Will Straphek, you know, @Chronic on Twitter,
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who's just absolutely fantastic on information security.
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He got involved and started decompiling
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a bunch of other ones and finding like,
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some of them were sending Google how often you had sex,
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whether it was protected or not,
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whether you were trying to conceive or not.
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- Right, which people are entering into these apps
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voluntarily because they're doing it for purposes of,
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know, like the period trackers, you know, whether it's it, you know, even if even women
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who aren't trying to get pregnant might be tracking their period for for health related
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purposes that was even wait, it didn't even roll out the second you put the information
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and it was sent to Facebook or Google or flurry or a company like that. Yeah, it's really
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strange. And you know, and there have been stories for a while about other other such
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things where retailers have been tracking people in the real world. Yeah. And Target
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can figure out or to name one example that if you buy a x, y, and z, there's an 85% chance that you
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just found out you're pregnant. And some of it's obvious, duh. It's like prenatal vitamins or
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something like that. But then, just other things, there's just weird connections where
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skin lotion or something like that, but they can make these connections and then start
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sending you if you're on their mailing list, start sending you spam, mailing you spam for baby stuff.
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Just weird. And a lot of times the companies, they'll always say, "Oh, it's anonymized." But
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unless you're doing sort of like what Apple does with unique tokens that expire immediately in
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differential, unless you're going that extra mile, anonymizing data doesn't do anything. It has been
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proven trivial for these companies to get even just one single data point to tie you into these
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profiles or shadow profiles if you don't use their services and then they know exactly
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who that data is coming from.
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Yeah, yeah, that's exactly right. Right. So yeah, the claims that this is anonymous, that
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they're just sending, oh yeah, it's just a person who's telling us exactly, you know,
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how much they weigh and what they've eaten today. You know, it doesn't hold much water
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to say that it's anonymized because they can connect this in other ways.
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Yeah, absolutely.
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And so anyway, you had a video about this on your channel and I thought one of the really
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interesting segments of it was you pulled up an old, well obviously old at this point,
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but I think it was from 2011, Steve Jobs at the All Things D conference talking about
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a scandal at the time that I had since forgotten, the Flurry Analytics thing. Can you describe
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Yeah, so what happened was this article came out saying that Apple was working on new iPhones,
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of course, and on tablet devices. And it was based on developers using Flurry Analytics
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and people inside Apple using those apps
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and the information on the device is being reported.
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But what's delightful on stage is like you get,
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Jobs has asked about it.
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And he just starts saying like, we learned about this
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and we were pissed off.
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You know, there was still, and he's just so angry
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that Apple immediately changed the App Store regulations
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to forbid these kinds of analytics.
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And it was immediately, you know, it bothered him
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because he's big about surprise and delight.
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And it basically betrayed
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what Apple's upcoming product roadmap was.
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And it seems like that is not at all dissimilar
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to what these apps, they're not doing it
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for devices anymore, but they're doing it for the customers.
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- And there was, yeah, and there, it was like,
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so we, you know, all this, this company came out,
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they had, they had, they used the analytics to figure out
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there was like a new iPad coming out, you know,
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'cause they could tell from, you know,
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the code running in the analytics, you know, framework,
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you know, would probe the system and say,
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oh yeah, this is iPhone or iPad model, you know,
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comma one or whatever was a new iPad and you know he said we looked at these apps
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and it turned out that they were all using this flurry analytics and we were
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like what the hell is that yeah yeah he was mad yeah well and it's an
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interesting kind of mad because he's aware that he's on stage and you know
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who can even imagine how you know what his reaction was inside Apple when he
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wasn't on camera wasn't on stage when he found out that this is what was going on
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But it was an interesting anecdote, a really good pull.
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I had forgotten about it and I feel like it really,
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you know, I don't know, it really hit me in the video
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because it really shows how this has been going on
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for a while, that Apple sort of has a blind spot to it
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because they don't collect it, right?
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Like, and I feel like that what Jobs is saying, you know,
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maybe they shouldn't have been surprised that--
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- Well, he says that they're naive.
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That was the exact word to use. Yeah. So there you go, you know, right out of the horse's
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mouth. I mean, no, no, no bones about it, right? Yeah, I feel like that. As much as
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you would like to think, well, they're Apple, you know, woke up, and they got their handle
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on it. But it's for everything we've seen in the last few years, especially the last
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couple of months with these stories from TechCrunch and now the Wall Street Journal, that it's,
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I don't know if you want to ever want to say Apple is still naive about this stuff, but
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it's clearly spiraled out of their control in some ways.
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Yeah. And what's hard too is that there are a lot of edge cases. For example, there was
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a brouhaha about apps uploading your contact information, which is sometimes good, sometimes
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bad because there are apps like you want to be able to download a third party address
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book app if you know one of our really creative friends were to make one that's way better
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than the system app. And you'd have to grant it access to the universal contacts database
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for it to do anything important to you.
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The same way like if you use Tweetbot,
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you have to give it access to your Twitter profile.
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But then there are other apps
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that wanna spam your Twitter followers
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or other apps that wanna just steal all your contacts.
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And once you grant permission,
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there has to be some way for Apple to then follow up
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and hold them accountable
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for what they do with that information.
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- Did you see, I put it in the show notes
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that our friends at Objective Development,
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that they're the makers of a bunch of great Mac utilities
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like Launch Bar and they have a long standing utility called Little Snitch, which is a utility
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you install, then basically monitors every app you're running and notifies you when they
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make a network connection. And yes, you can say, Okay, well, this is, you know, obviously,
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I want you to allow my email client to connect to the server to get my email and send email
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and you can say it don't, you know, I don't want to be noted, you know, you can dial down
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the filters so that you're not getting pinged about everything because there's all sorts
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of stuff on your Mac that you know is making network connections, but it's a way to bring
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your attention to bits of network networking that you perhaps weren't aware of.
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And they have something, I hadn't seen this, but they tweeted this at me, something called
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the Internet Access Policy.
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And there...
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It looks great.
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pitching it as like the equivalent of a privacy policy.
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Yeah, here's in their own words, while the latter describes in
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clear text, which personal data is processed, stored and passed
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on the internet access policy describes in machine readable
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form, which internet connections a program creates and for what
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purpose? Yeah, it sounds great. Super plain language. I really,
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really would like to see more developers get behind this. I'd
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like to see Apple get behind something like this?
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I would… So I would like… On the first level, I would love for there just to be laws.
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Like, there should really be laws protecting us. Data theft should be treated no differently
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than any other kind of theft. And if any… Like I said in the video, if any startup CEO
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or developer even thinks about stealing this kind of information, they should wake up in
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a cold sweat screaming, apologizing, and pulling out the code because they'll do real jail
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time. But, you know, that kind of stuff takes a long time. So in the meantime, if Will can
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find this stuff Apple should implement higher will or implement somebody to do this kind
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of stuff internally. And they should require right on that page where it says, you know,
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the compatibility for your app, that the age restrictions for your app should have this
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is the personal data that we collect. And this is who we share it with. And if developers
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think that's going to stop you from downloading, then they should reevaluate their business
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model because they shouldn't put anything on there that they're not proud of. There
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was something I should correct an episode or two ago, one of these ongoing scandals
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was about the framework, at least one, I don't know, I think it was a TechCrunch story, but
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basically that there's popular frameworks that apps use that record your screen activity,
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ostensibly for the purposes of like AB testing and, you know, there's certainly good uses
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for that sort of thing, like if you want to track what, see how people who first download
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your app go through the initial first run and what they tap on where they stop if if
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33% of the people stop at a certain point and never really come back to the app that's
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good to know maybe want to revisit that the problem is that they're doing this these apps
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are doing this without any kind of permission yeah they're just they're just collecting
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the data and sending it I misspoke on the show and said that it I was under the impression
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that it was just sending like sort of data, you know, the tap on this position, this button
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was pressed, the screen was open for 20 seconds, that it wasn't like a movie, but I've been
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Yeah, it is a movie.
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That they're just that that what gets sent back to the developer, could you just hit
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the play button and they can just watch you as though they were recording your screen,
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you know, as though as though you were taking a movie, you know, they can see everything
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you did in there.
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And I asked about this if you agree to it fine and and and what you were agreeing to
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It was told you in very plain language not some kind of inscrutable
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8-point type
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5,000 word thing that you know, everybody is going to skip past
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Yeah, and I asked about this too because almost all the apps that were caught doing this were like banking apps or big
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hospitality companies and it seemed weird because they every time you'd use those apps is making a server call and they know what you're hitting
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And when you're hitting it, but was explained to me that they're just too
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I don't know if lazy is the right word
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But they they were looking for an easy way to package that and there are people that offered
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Easy way so instead of them having to pull their server logs and like get hire someone to parse it for them and make it
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Usable they just threw in these frameworks that were that we're making it easy for them
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And it was good to see a bunch of developers say, you know
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I would we would never use these our job doesn't need to be easy
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It needs to be done with respect for our customers and we can do this without using those sketchy frameworks
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It's just ridiculous how it just goes on and on and on
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Really do Facebook Facebook just said that they don't think they don't allow their developers to take anything without your permission
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Google refused to comment and just point at people at the policy
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it's just such a pervasive and I
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actually misused the word in a post on daring fireball a couple days ago and then decided that
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I wanted to use pervasive but I used perverted and then I kept it when I edited it and made it pervasive and perverted it
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Really is a perverted. Yeah attitude on
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Privacy like I and I really
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Feel like I'm I've been naive about this to a certain extent like I've kind of known that it's going on
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But the more that comes out the more I'm I find myself I think of myself as cynical and I don't really trust
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I've long-standing opposition to a lot of the ad tech
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Industry this whole idea of tech tracking and and personalizing advertising
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and even being a cynic on this front and being involved and supporting myself through advertising and and
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in a very purposeful way avoiding
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the privacy, you know, my whole career has been based on trying to
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Do ad supported publishing and podcasting in a way that is a hundred percent respectful of reader and listener
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privacy. Even as a cynic, I find myself almost staggered by the depths of it and the this sort
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of default mentality, both from Facebook and Google, maybe lump Amazon in with them too, as
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the gorilla, Titanic companies that are collecting these dossiers on people to all of the the little
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fish, just the individual apps from, you know, 50. I mean, how many banks have apps in the
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App Store? Hundreds, I'm sure. Probably thousands from, you know, around the world. How many
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of those apps are sending weird shit to the banks about what people are doing in the apps?
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Like, yeah, why?
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And one of the worst parts is, you know, Google has a business like Facebook and data harvesting
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and a business like Apple and running an app marketplace.
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And it's very hard to imagine Google
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doing what's best for customers and what's
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best for Google at the same time.
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They're almost divided against themselves.
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And when Will was looking at the apps for Google,
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it was way harder to try to figure out
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what they were doing than the apps from iOS.
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You know, when Brent and Dave Whiskas and I
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were making Vesper a notes app, and we
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were going to do our own sync, we were very cognizant
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that we have no idea what people are putting in their notes. We don't want to know. We
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want to set this up in a way where we can't know. There was no view that we had where
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we could look at the notes, the notes restored, encrypted on the server. But it's just a
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silly little notes app that we were selling for four bucks, but we figured who knows?
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People could write anything and everything in a notes app.
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So the most important thing in their lives could be that note.
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we take it, you know, let's, let's, let's be very deliberate every step of the way.
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I can't help but think like, if you were working on a team that was making a period tracker for
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women, you have to recognize instantly that this is super private information. This is super personal,
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you know, hard to get more personal than a woman's health. Yeah. You would just think every step of
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the way let's not screw up like that's what we were thinking with Vesper is how you know let's
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let's follow you know all the best practices we can let's be cautious I mean and I say we be Brent
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really was the one who designed and built the sync service but we were all on board with okay Brent
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take your time and you know do this in a very cautious deliberately err on the side of you know
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let's make sure this is as solid as possible that's just thinking about mistakes bugs like oh my god
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we screwed up and we expose personal information through blank accidentally were horrified.
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Let's do you know, let's fix it. Let's tell everybody. Let's know, you know, let's get
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in front of this, whatever. That's the mentality you would just like to think that everybody
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has. But on the other hand, here's these companies that it's not mistakes, it's purposeful. It's
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let's include this Facebook analytic package in that's going to instantly send all of this
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data to Facebook, like the mentality behind that doing that, clearly on purpose, right?
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You don't accidentally include a Facebook analytics framework in your app and have it
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wired up to, you know, the data. It's, I really feel like it is hard to overstate the, the
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outrage that we collectively should have. And like you said, that our lawmakers across
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the globe should have about getting on top of this.
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And frankly, again, it's hard to expect Google to do anything because they're conflicted
00:17:31
◼
►
on this, but Apple, if you talk to the Face ID team, for example, it wasn't like, "Let's
00:17:36
◼
►
make Face ID and then we'll figure out how to make it private."
00:17:38
◼
►
It's like you are not allowed to make Face ID unless every step along the way has been
00:17:43
◼
►
carefully considered for preserving privacy.
00:17:45
◼
►
And that's not just Face ID, that's everything that they build.
00:17:48
◼
►
And the same thing needs to be applied to the App Store, especially because, again,
00:17:52
◼
►
I don't think Google's going to do it.
00:17:54
◼
►
And if Apple's making this their top-down, front-facing, most important feature, then
00:17:59
◼
►
they've got to do that throughout their stack.
00:18:02
◼
►
It's the way everything is monetized, too.
00:18:05
◼
►
The way that these apps are all free and it's...
00:18:09
◼
►
And I know there's...
00:18:10
◼
►
Free is in your data.
00:18:12
◼
►
The Tim Cook line that he loves a lot, which is,
00:18:15
◼
►
if you're not the paying customer, you're the,
00:18:19
◼
►
what's that, I'm? (laughs)
00:18:21
◼
►
- You're the product, yeah. - You're the product, right.
00:18:24
◼
►
And there's truth to that.
00:18:25
◼
►
And I realize it doesn't apply in every way.
00:18:28
◼
►
But there is a problem with expecting all this stuff
00:18:31
◼
►
to be free, and that they're selling,
00:18:33
◼
►
you're exchanging your privacy instead of your money
00:18:36
◼
►
for these products and services.
00:18:38
◼
►
And I think that people are starting to catch on to this.
00:18:42
◼
►
And I really feel like the industry has spent,
00:18:46
◼
►
it's not just like an app era thing,
00:18:48
◼
►
it's really an internet era thing.
00:18:50
◼
►
It goes to the whole use of the web
00:18:55
◼
►
and how many websites have been free
00:18:56
◼
►
and the tracking goes back to the origins
00:18:59
◼
►
of ads on the internet.
00:19:03
◼
►
And famously, you know, people don't like to pay for digital stuff, right? People, you know,
00:19:10
◼
►
famously, you know, they'll spend $1,100 on a phone and then balk at spending $2 on a game
00:19:19
◼
►
for the phone. But I feel like people are starting to wake up to the fact that this stuff isn't
00:19:26
◼
►
really free, that there's something being lost in the exchange here, and that the, the,
00:19:32
◼
►
the extraordinary just lack of respect that these companies have for customer privacy
00:19:40
◼
►
is really starting to burst out of the "oh that's just inside baseball" and break into
00:19:49
◼
►
the mainstream conversation about how we live our lives in this ever more digital world.
00:19:54
◼
►
Yeah, I think that's absolutely true. And again, humans just psychologically,
00:20:00
◼
►
evolutionarily speaking, we are tuned to think about the present and not the future. And
00:20:04
◼
►
almost all the time we will mortgage our future for the present. And these are so good at doing
00:20:09
◼
►
that because you think, oh, it's free. You don't see data the way you see time, the way you see
00:20:13
◼
►
money. You don't feel it leaving your wallet. And everybody is data rich. It's a great equalizer.
00:20:18
◼
►
Different people have different kinds of money, different amounts of time, different amounts of
00:20:21
◼
►
money. But we all have invaluable data for these companies and they will happily take as much as
00:20:28
◼
►
we will give in exchange for what we think are free products but are really front ends
00:20:32
◼
►
for data harvesting services.
00:20:33
◼
►
You know, I use this analogy all the time that we wouldn't tolerate in the real world
00:20:39
◼
►
what we tolerate online, you know, like where you go shopping for a pair of boots in a store
00:20:47
◼
►
and then all of a sudden every tab in your browser has ads for brown boots. We wouldn't
00:20:54
◼
►
tolerate it in the real world. If you went into a shoe store in the real world and looked
00:20:59
◼
►
at a pair of boots, can thought about them and thought, you know what? I'm not going
00:21:01
◼
►
to buy these and you walk down the street. If somebody from the store followed you or
00:21:05
◼
►
somebody from a boot company followed you and started asking you, you know, Hey, how
00:21:10
◼
►
about these boots? How about that? How about we go into Macy's and, you know, look for
00:21:14
◼
►
boots. Macy's has a sale on boots. You'd be so creeped out. It would, you know, you'd
00:21:21
◼
►
be, you know, you'd object, you know, you would be like, you wouldn't just tolerate
00:21:27
◼
►
it, right? You'd freak out in a way. And yet that's how everything happens online.
00:21:33
◼
►
Yeah. If any of this stuff was made manifest, I think we talked about this last time. If
00:21:37
◼
►
you were forced to see all your nudie pics and all your personal health data go into
00:21:42
◼
►
a literal representation of these servers, you'd be aghast, but it's all invisible to
00:21:46
◼
►
you. There's no real, there's no perceived cost.
00:21:48
◼
►
- Yeah, it's really, I don't know.
00:21:51
◼
►
Where do you think this is going with Facebook?
00:21:55
◼
►
And on the app store?
00:21:56
◼
►
I think you agree with me,
00:21:58
◼
►
but I'm curious to hear your thoughts.
00:22:01
◼
►
I feel like, okay, Apple actually is on the right in this,
00:22:06
◼
►
that they really do,
00:22:09
◼
►
they really do want to protect customers' privacy,
00:22:15
◼
►
and they really don't wanna collect this stuff themselves.
00:22:18
◼
►
But I think at least even though they're not doing it
00:22:22
◼
►
and they're not condoning it,
00:22:24
◼
►
it's happening in apps that are going through their store.
00:22:28
◼
►
And so I do feel like they bear
00:22:30
◼
►
a certain responsibility for this and for addressing it.
00:22:35
◼
►
- Yeah, absolutely.
00:22:37
◼
►
Again, I think it's a triple phase approach.
00:22:39
◼
►
I think ultimately there has to be regulation.
00:22:41
◼
►
Until there's regulation, it defaults down to the platforms,
00:22:44
◼
►
Microsoft, Apple, and Google.
00:22:46
◼
►
and again, pointing out that Google's conflicted on this.
00:22:49
◼
►
What I would love Apple to do is to require
00:22:52
◼
►
the privacy disclosure to be on the product page
00:22:54
◼
►
and then to do exactly what Will does
00:22:56
◼
►
and sniff the products to make sure
00:22:57
◼
►
that what they're disclosing is the same
00:23:00
◼
►
as what's on the page.
00:23:01
◼
►
And if it's not, they reject them.
00:23:03
◼
►
And if it's malicious, they do what they've done
00:23:05
◼
►
with other violators, and that is delete
00:23:07
◼
►
their developer accounts.
00:23:08
◼
►
And that will create an environment
00:23:10
◼
►
where this sort of behavior,
00:23:11
◼
►
like this sort of behavior, we become normalized to it.
00:23:13
◼
►
Like it just seems like it's what everybody does.
00:23:15
◼
►
is desensitizing because there's a new scandal every day.
00:23:19
◼
►
And the only way to stop that is to start doing things
00:23:21
◼
►
that are severe, things that force you to wake up
00:23:23
◼
►
and pay attention.
00:23:25
◼
►
And I feel like if Apple,
00:23:26
◼
►
Apple's the only one in any position to do this
00:23:28
◼
►
because I'm not really sure what the state
00:23:30
◼
►
of the Windows market is right now.
00:23:32
◼
►
And Google probably will never do this,
00:23:34
◼
►
at least not if Apple doesn't do it first.
00:23:36
◼
►
But they're in a real position to set the same standard
00:23:38
◼
►
for these apps that they're setting
00:23:39
◼
►
for themselves internally.
00:23:41
◼
►
And then things like what you pointed out
00:23:43
◼
►
with the little Snitch company to help developers
00:23:45
◼
►
who are doing this get the recognition that they deserve
00:23:48
◼
►
and to get our confidence as customers.
00:23:50
◼
►
And until those things happen,
00:23:52
◼
►
companies are gonna keep doing this because it's easy.
00:23:54
◼
►
They get bribed and extorted by the Googles
00:23:58
◼
►
and the Facebooks to include this stuff
00:24:00
◼
►
and they get benefits from doing it.
00:24:02
◼
►
It feeds both their laziness and their finances,
00:24:06
◼
►
so they're gonna keep doing it until someone stops them.
00:24:09
◼
►
- Yeah, but I really do feel like Apple has to,
00:24:12
◼
►
and they need to act quicker than legislation
00:24:15
◼
►
is going to happen.
00:24:16
◼
►
They can't just stand behind and say,
00:24:17
◼
►
well, this stuff is legal.
00:24:19
◼
►
I'm not quite sure what that is,
00:24:23
◼
►
but I think you're right though,
00:24:23
◼
►
that part of it would be having,
00:24:26
◼
►
taking like what Straphec does
00:24:29
◼
►
and make it part of the review process.
00:24:34
◼
►
It's probably not simple enough.
00:24:37
◼
►
I mean, with some of this stuff like the screen recording,
00:24:40
◼
►
once the story broke. Because there's a known list of these analytics frameworks that supply
00:24:49
◼
►
it, they could automate the process of looking through all the thousands and thousands of
00:24:56
◼
►
apps in the App Store and finding apps that have these frameworks. And a lot of these
00:25:02
◼
►
apps got like, the developers got like, "Hey, you've got three days to remove X, Y, and
00:25:07
◼
►
Z from your app or it's going to be taken out of the App Store. So, you know, they obviously
00:25:13
◼
►
have that capability. It's kind of cool that they could do that, but it's not enough.
00:25:19
◼
►
They don't want to get into a situation of whack-a-mole where, okay, now we know we have
00:25:23
◼
►
to change the name of the framework and hide it from the App Store review team. They don't
00:25:31
◼
►
want to go down that path. I think the thing that they can monitor is actually looking
00:25:35
◼
►
at the network calls that are going out of the app
00:25:38
◼
►
and where they're going.
00:25:39
◼
►
There's no way to hide that.
00:25:40
◼
►
I mean, they can't necessarily see within them
00:25:42
◼
►
'cause hopefully all those calls are using SSL
00:25:45
◼
►
so they're encrypted, but they can at least see
00:25:47
◼
►
which servers are being notified.
00:25:49
◼
►
- Yeah, which is what Will did.
00:25:50
◼
►
He pulled out like the Google Analytics data.
00:25:52
◼
►
There was that case of Uber saying,
00:25:54
◼
►
"Don't do this if you're in the vicinity of Cupertino,"
00:25:56
◼
►
but they still got caught.
00:25:57
◼
►
And to me, that would be the malicious part
00:25:59
◼
►
that just gets your account deleted.
00:26:03
◼
►
I mean, obviously the rules are different when you're Uber.
00:26:05
◼
►
And this drives some people crazy because they feel like Facebook and Google and Uber
00:26:09
◼
►
get special treatment.
00:26:10
◼
►
And they do the same way.
00:26:11
◼
►
Like America will respond to China differently than it will respond to some very small country.
00:26:19
◼
►
And a lot of people use and depend on these services.
00:26:22
◼
►
And in essence, you have the web.
00:26:23
◼
►
So like if you ever wanted to get rid of the Facebook app, people could still log into
00:26:26
◼
►
Facebook on Safari.
00:26:28
◼
►
So I think it has to go beyond just looking at it from the punitive sense.
00:26:32
◼
►
It has to be really fixing this problem.
00:26:34
◼
►
- Problem. - Yeah.
00:26:35
◼
►
Well, it's an ongoing saga.
00:26:39
◼
►
All right, let me take a break
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And really stylish, very cool, lots of stuff to choose from.
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It's not like, oh, this feels nice soft.
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And it turns out, one of the ways
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they did this by making their fabric
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great stuff. All right, here's something I've been thinking about. So, um, and I don't think
00:28:57
◼
►
I've talked about it on the show. And if I have, I've blacked out and forgotten it. There
00:29:03
◼
►
is an apple privacy related the elephant in the room. And it ties into Apple's services
00:29:14
◼
►
narrative and that look at our services revenue is growing, growing, growing. And, and the
00:29:22
◼
►
basic gist is hey, of these big five companies,
00:29:26
◼
►
especially Google and Facebook, maybe lump Amazon in,
00:29:31
◼
►
these guys are doing sketchy stuff with your privacy.
00:29:33
◼
►
We're not, we're Apple, we're not doing it.
00:29:36
◼
►
The elephant in the room is the money
00:29:38
◼
►
that Apple gets from Google
00:29:41
◼
►
for making Google search the default in Safari
00:29:45
◼
►
across the Mac and let's face it, in particular, iOS.
00:29:50
◼
►
Um, it's, uh, I think it's Goldman Sachs who did some work on this and estimated it at
00:29:58
◼
►
like 8 billion for 2018. Um, and I think that they estimate that it might go up to like
00:30:05
◼
►
12 billion for 2019. Um, that's a lot of money and it's a fairly high, it's a lot of money
00:30:13
◼
►
period, right? We're talking $12 billion. That's, I mean, that's by anybody's standards,
00:30:17
◼
►
and Apple and Google, that's a lot of money.
00:30:19
◼
►
It's also a big chunk of Apple's services revenue.
00:30:25
◼
►
Like a big chunk of Apple's services revenue is,
00:30:28
◼
►
and I'm not gonna say they don't have to do anything,
00:30:33
◼
►
but effectively, yeah, just keeping Google
00:30:35
◼
►
as the default search engine in Safari.
00:30:38
◼
►
So all of this stuff with Apple Music and with iCloud
00:30:43
◼
►
and with their upcoming video service,
00:30:46
◼
►
with their supposedly upcoming subscription news service
00:30:50
◼
►
and anything else that would be filed under the,
00:30:54
◼
►
look at all these new initiatives we have
00:30:56
◼
►
to increase services revenue.
00:30:57
◼
►
A big chunk of the money just comes from making Google
00:30:59
◼
►
the default search engine.
00:31:02
◼
►
And the privacy angle on this is,
00:31:05
◼
►
how can we say that Google has problems,
00:31:09
◼
►
you know, is a problematic company
00:31:10
◼
►
in terms of respecting people's privacy
00:31:14
◼
►
while Apple is pocketing $10 billion a year.
00:31:19
◼
►
Like where do they think that money is coming from?
00:31:21
◼
►
- Yeah, yeah, no, I did a video on this too,
00:31:26
◼
►
but there was a whole bunch of things
00:31:27
◼
►
that people say that, you know,
00:31:29
◼
►
like there's the China situation
00:31:30
◼
►
and there's just several of these.
00:31:32
◼
►
And the one that you cannot justify is Google.
00:31:36
◼
►
Now I've used DuckDuckGo because of the issues
00:31:39
◼
►
I have with Google and it's simply not as good.
00:31:41
◼
►
And that's Apple's overall point
00:31:42
◼
►
is that Google is the best search engine.
00:31:45
◼
►
But once, you know, if Apple just chose it
00:31:46
◼
►
and wasn't getting paid for it,
00:31:47
◼
►
that's an easy position to defend.
00:31:49
◼
►
Google is the best search engine still.
00:31:51
◼
►
We understand there's problems with it,
00:31:52
◼
►
but we believe it's the best for our customers.
00:31:54
◼
►
So we're using it, there's no money changing hands.
00:31:57
◼
►
The minute the money changes hands,
00:31:58
◼
►
then it's impossible to say
00:32:00
◼
►
whether it's the best or not anymore.
00:32:02
◼
►
If I had my druthers, there would be a box that pops up
00:32:05
◼
►
because you can change it.
00:32:07
◼
►
It's not like it's the only search engine.
00:32:08
◼
►
You can go into Safari settings and choose DuckDuckGo
00:32:11
◼
►
or Yahoo or Microsoft.
00:32:12
◼
►
I don't know why they're still in there, but you can.
00:32:15
◼
►
But if I had my draw, there's the first time,
00:32:17
◼
►
the first run experience for Safari would pop up,
00:32:20
◼
►
which search engine do you wanna use?
00:32:21
◼
►
And if people tap on Google because they prefer the results
00:32:24
◼
►
and they understand what comes with them, that's great.
00:32:28
◼
►
If they have concerns, they can tap DuckDuckGo,
00:32:30
◼
►
and that's great too.
00:32:31
◼
►
And maybe people who work at Microsoft could tap on Bing,
00:32:34
◼
►
but whatever, you'd have a conscious user decision to do it.
00:32:38
◼
►
And Google could even pay them a bounty
00:32:40
◼
►
for every person who taps on Google
00:32:41
◼
►
if they really wanted to.
00:32:42
◼
►
But to me, that sort of,
00:32:44
◼
►
once you make privacy your distinguishing feature,
00:32:46
◼
►
you've set the bar much higher.
00:32:48
◼
►
Because I think Firefox famously gets almost all their money
00:32:51
◼
►
from Google as well, which is super ironic,
00:32:53
◼
►
giving Firefox the statements.
00:32:54
◼
►
And Apple previously would say,
00:32:56
◼
►
"Yeah, we use Google as a default,
00:32:57
◼
►
"but we do everything we can to deny them information
00:32:59
◼
►
"with do not track and with providing garbage input
00:33:02
◼
►
"into the machine tracking,
00:33:04
◼
►
"and by killing all the social plugins
00:33:06
◼
►
"and killing the ads."
00:33:07
◼
►
And that might be true.
00:33:09
◼
►
still taking all the money. And they do some stuff that I would think Google would prefer
00:33:18
◼
►
they didn't like when you in you're in Safari and you start typing in the magic, you know,
00:33:25
◼
►
search or URL field. They have sometimes depending on what what you type suggested results that
00:33:34
◼
►
aren't from your search engine provider, you know, that Apple
00:33:37
◼
►
is somehow guessing what it is, you know, it's like the top
00:33:40
◼
►
items, sometimes, you know, Siri, I guess they call them
00:33:44
◼
►
Siri suggestions, right. But for the most part, you know, a lot
00:33:51
◼
►
of the stuff that goes through that field goes through Google.
00:33:55
◼
►
Yeah. And it's, you know, it must be if there's so many
00:33:59
◼
►
negotiations that I would love to be a fly on the wall for it.
00:34:01
◼
►
That is one that must be fascinating to me because Apple's obviously, I mean, if we take
00:34:08
◼
►
Goldman Sachs' numbers, and I think I would probably wager that if they're not spot on,
00:34:14
◼
►
they're close enough, you know, that it was somewhere between 8 to 12 billion 2018 and
00:34:21
◼
►
They're obviously getting a lot of money from Google.
00:34:24
◼
►
But on the other hand, Google is coming at this from a very strong position of strength
00:34:28
◼
►
in terms of what are you going to do?
00:34:30
◼
►
Are you really going to make being the default search engine?
00:34:34
◼
►
Are you really going to make DuckDuckGo the default search engine?
00:34:38
◼
►
So there it would be worth a lot more.
00:34:42
◼
►
I think about this.
00:34:43
◼
►
If it's worth roughly 10 billion a year now, imagine what it would be worth in a world
00:34:49
◼
►
where there were two or three search engines that were arguably of equal quality competitive.
00:34:58
◼
►
What if Bing results really were indistinguishable from Google search results?
00:35:05
◼
►
I suspect, I don't know, but and I suppose that they could prepare for this in advance.
00:35:11
◼
►
It wouldn't be sprung on them at the last moment.
00:35:14
◼
►
But I would wager heavily that Apple couldn't make like flip a switch tomorrow and make
00:35:20
◼
►
DuckDuckGo the default search engine that DuckDuckGo wouldn't be able to handle that
00:35:24
◼
►
sudden increase in traffic.
00:35:27
◼
►
And you can't really do that. This is part of Google's strength in negotiating too, is
00:35:33
◼
►
with so many hundreds of millions of iOS users. I mean, what does Apple estimate as the user
00:35:41
◼
►
base? Is it up to a billion yet? I think it's a billion devices, maybe not a billion people,
00:35:48
◼
►
but it's hundreds of millions of people clearly. In some way, I'm not going to say can't. Can't
00:35:53
◼
►
is obviously they could, but it would be very difficult to change the default on people
00:36:00
◼
►
just when they upgrade the OS, right? When you upgrade to iOS, I guess it'll be 14 this
00:36:08
◼
►
year or is it 13?
00:36:09
◼
►
I even did it intentionally. I switched to DuckDuckDoh and the first time I used it,
00:36:15
◼
►
I didn't recognize the search page results. It's just been very confusing.
00:36:21
◼
►
And there's an awful lot of people and it's really gets to the, you know, people aren't
00:36:27
◼
►
supposed to be technical experts. That's the whole, you know, Apple way of, of, you know,
00:36:33
◼
►
that's been Apple's motto from the get go. But Google's role, Google searches role on
00:36:41
◼
►
the internet is if you know how the web works and you, you know, you know how to build a
00:36:48
◼
►
website and you basically know you don't have to be able to write a search engine but if
00:36:53
◼
►
you basically know it's just a simple form you type words you hit the button and then
00:36:59
◼
►
it goes to the server and the server takes that query and makes its best guess as to
00:37:05
◼
►
what it is you're looking for. You know you realize there is no anybody could make a search
00:37:10
◼
►
engine there are dozens and dozens of search engines before Google really grew to prominence
00:37:15
◼
►
there, you know, there was no dominant search engine. There were a handful. I was always
00:37:20
◼
►
an Alta Vista man. Alta Vista was my go to. Yeah. You know, but but most people don't
00:37:33
◼
►
don't realize that like they see Google as the internet, right? You know, there's the
00:37:38
◼
►
famous stories about that the way people would get to Facebook is they go to Google and type
00:37:44
◼
►
Facebook login and hit go. The Google search field is effectively like a command line interface
00:37:54
◼
►
to the internet. And unlike the old command lines of Unix terminal and DOS where everything
00:38:03
◼
►
is super fragile and you can make terrible mistakes or you have to type the name of the
00:38:08
◼
►
precise, you know, make one character mistake. You know, it's wonderfully user friendly in
00:38:14
◼
►
that you can make all sorts of spelling mistakes and not even use spaces and somehow it figures
00:38:20
◼
►
out what you want anyway. And it just works. And they're at the top of your results is
00:38:25
◼
►
exactly what you're looking for. It I think even if people understood, if you could somehow
00:38:33
◼
►
sit everybody down across the world and give them a 15-minute lecture on what is a search
00:38:39
◼
►
engine and how do you change your default search engine and make them understand this.
00:38:45
◼
►
People would still be angry if the default was switched just by upgrading to iOS 13 or
00:38:50
◼
►
whatever, let alone the fact that they wouldn't understand. They would be like, "What the
00:38:55
◼
►
hell is this?" All right? So it's a tough position. I don't know that Apple… Again,
00:39:02
◼
►
I'm not again not gonna say can't but it would be very difficult for them to
00:39:06
◼
►
Not have Google as their default search engine in Safari even if they wanted to
00:39:10
◼
►
But nobody's forcing them to pocket money from it
00:39:15
◼
►
Yeah, I mean we say that it's 12 billion dollars and they offered me 12 billion dollars to use Google right? It's certainly
00:39:21
◼
►
Well, and it reminds me of an argument that I often have with people about sports where people will argue sports fans will will argue
00:39:30
◼
►
That such-and-such player, you know, it's gonna sign a 30 million dollar a year contract and they say well nobody deserves
00:39:36
◼
►
No, that's too much money. These plate these players are greedy. Why in the world, you know, do you need that much money?
00:39:41
◼
►
Well if the players weren't making the money that they're making
00:39:45
◼
►
It's not like they're gonna lower
00:39:49
◼
►
The ticket prices in the stadiums and arenas and it's not like they're gonna lower the price of the commercials. They're selling
00:39:57
◼
►
During the telecasts which let's face is where most of the money in pro sports comes from
00:40:01
◼
►
They're not going to lower the price of those ads that they see
00:40:05
◼
►
courtside or ring, you know along the along the ring rink of the the
00:40:10
◼
►
You know the hockey arena
00:40:13
◼
►
All of that stuff
00:40:15
◼
►
It's just gonna stay with the owners of the teams
00:40:17
◼
►
Right if they're not the less they pay the players the more it's gonna stay with the owners of the teams and is that really?
00:40:22
◼
►
What you want as a sports fan?
00:40:23
◼
►
You know the rise in sports salaries going to players is actually a good thing, you know historically 40 50 years ago
00:40:31
◼
►
It's almost criminal how underpaid players were in professional sports at least in the United States
00:40:35
◼
►
You know that owners of bait the baseball teams collectively conspired
00:40:40
◼
►
To under pay their players and and not allow them free agency
00:40:45
◼
►
I mean all of this stuff is actually relatively new to pro sports
00:40:49
◼
►
anyway along those same lines if
00:40:52
◼
►
Apple weren't taking ten billion dollars a year from Google for
00:40:56
◼
►
Google's being the default search engine and just did it for free to keep their hands clean that money would be in Google's pockets
00:41:05
◼
►
You know, it's a tax or taxing
00:41:07
◼
►
But I really feel like this is something that gook
00:41:12
◼
►
It's getting untenable for Apple to keep taking this pro privacy stance without addressing this publicly
00:41:19
◼
►
Yeah, it will it will always be used against them until it's addressed I
00:41:22
◼
►
Really do wonder I know I
00:41:26
◼
►
Get you duck duck go I didn't write about it, but I actually visited them recently because
00:41:33
◼
►
The one cool thing that's happened recently is that
00:41:38
◼
►
duck duck go and Apple have partnered on
00:41:41
◼
►
Maps and yeah duck duck go now uses Apple Maps as its
00:41:48
◼
►
it's mapping data. So it shows you Apple Maps when you search for a location all around
00:41:56
◼
►
the world. And it's way, it's a huge upgrade for DuckDuckGo. They were using like open
00:42:04
◼
►
something maps beforehand because DuckDuckGo has, they're not just more private than Google
00:42:11
◼
►
or Bing or something like that. Like privacy is actually fundamental to DuckDuckGo's mission.
00:42:17
◼
►
actually a higher priority for them than search, you know, result accuracy. So they, they, they
00:42:24
◼
►
don't show or distribute any third party code. Like when you visit DuckDuckGo, there are no none
00:42:33
◼
►
of the ads that they do have come from third parties, and inject any kind of JavaScript or
00:42:38
◼
►
something like that, from a from any server other than theirs. That's a problem. They had to work
00:42:45
◼
►
with Apple to get this map thing to work as the maps obviously aren't just static images,
00:42:49
◼
►
there is a lot of code involved. But effectively, it all gets proxied through DuckDuckGo servers.
00:42:59
◼
►
So you go to DuckDuckGo as a user in Safari, and you type your query, and the query goes to DuckDuckGo.
00:43:05
◼
►
And if it's a location related query, or the results involve location stuff, DuckDuckGo on
00:43:12
◼
►
their server talks to maps.apple.com and gets everything it needs and it goes to DuckDuckGo
00:43:18
◼
►
and then DuckDuckGo delivers it to you. So maps.apple.com never sees your IP address,
00:43:24
◼
►
never talks to you directly. And you don't have to know this. Nobody, no regular person just using
00:43:31
◼
►
DuckDuckGo would know this. But that's how seriously they take your privacy. It's a really
00:43:36
◼
►
cool thing. And it really is the sort of thing that gives DuckDuckGo, they're too small of
00:43:45
◼
►
a company, I forget how many employees they have, it's somewhere like around 60 around
00:43:49
◼
►
the world. That's the total size of the company. They, but effectively now they have a multi
00:43:58
◼
►
billion dollar partner, helping them with maps, which is truly fascinating. And Apple
00:44:06
◼
►
is motivated to make its maps better. This is an area where clearly they are at best
00:44:13
◼
►
in second place to Google. They have terrific motivation in various ways to make their maps
00:44:23
◼
►
better and not just, you know, let's spend a year or two making our maps better and then forget it.
00:44:30
◼
►
This is something that the company obviously has to be committed to on an ongoing basis
00:44:34
◼
►
in perpetuity from now until the end of maps being the useful thing, right? And DuckDuckGo,
00:44:41
◼
►
as Apple Maps continues to improve and as directions and whatever else you get from Apple
00:44:46
◼
►
maps, the data on the maps, the base of interesting locations, where stores are. One of Apple's
00:44:58
◼
►
recent initiatives is where are all the stores and retailers inside airport terminals? As
00:45:05
◼
►
that stuff improves, DuckDuckGo just gets it all for free, effectively. I thought that's
00:45:12
◼
►
pretty interesting.
00:45:13
◼
►
There's a bunch of people who just every time we talk about this say Apple should buy
00:45:16
◼
►
DuckDuckDuck, make it the default search engine and invest heavily in it.
00:45:20
◼
►
This is where you've read my mind, this is where I'm going is yes, that this comes
00:45:25
◼
►
out and I've thought about that.
00:45:28
◼
►
I have thought about that a lot.
00:45:30
◼
►
I'm sure that people at Apple have thought about it but I don't think it's as simple.
00:45:41
◼
►
I don't think it's a very simple decision.
00:45:43
◼
►
I think there's a lot of very complex ramifications.
00:45:46
◼
►
I think it's tempting to think of it simply
00:45:49
◼
►
because surely Apple could write a check
00:45:54
◼
►
that DuckDuckGo is big enough that DuckDuckGo would say yes.
00:46:02
◼
►
I really doubt it would even be
00:46:07
◼
►
if Apple decided they wanted to go that route.
00:46:09
◼
►
I don't even know that it would be a long negotiation.
00:46:11
◼
►
I suppose it's possible that DuckDuckGo values its independence and maybe that number is
00:46:21
◼
►
higher than it would be if they were looking to sell, which I know that they're not.
00:46:30
◼
►
But surely Apple could, it wouldn't take too long for them to add enough zeros at the end.
00:46:34
◼
►
Yes, I was just thinking the same thing.
00:46:36
◼
►
I just saw the check getting longer.
00:46:39
◼
►
write a check. And then you know, instead of like crossing out the first number and
00:46:43
◼
►
making that one big, they just add add another zero at the end. And like, what about now?
00:46:50
◼
►
So I don't think that part of it would be complicated. I think though, that it would
00:47:00
◼
►
be comp, I think that there's a certain at a certain angle, I think Apple enjoys not
00:47:06
◼
►
owning a search engine, you know, and, and think about all the controversies that pop
00:47:10
◼
►
up all the time where, I mean, a recent one is this vaccination stuff where anti vaccination
00:47:21
◼
►
propaganda comes up in it at the top of these search results, either in search engines or
00:47:28
◼
►
Facebook, I think was just busted for promoting, you know, you search on Facebook for vaccination
00:47:34
◼
►
stuff and it's all anti vaccination stuff. And part of it is the fact that I just read
00:47:43
◼
►
a story that the pro vaccination doctors and experts have sort of given up because they
00:47:48
◼
►
were their stuff was getting buried anyway, and it's settled science anyway. So they really
00:47:53
◼
►
isn't there shouldn't be there isn't really much new stuff to write about. Apple by it
00:47:59
◼
►
by not having a search engine, they avoid that. I mean, and there's all you know, you
00:48:02
◼
►
name it. We could spend an hour listing controversial topics and
00:48:07
◼
►
yes, absolutely. And where they fall in search results. And by
00:48:11
◼
►
not YouTube has gone through two weeks of utter chaos over the
00:48:15
◼
►
very topic. Right lately. Right, right. YouTube. Yes, absolutely.
00:48:21
◼
►
It's almost in disarray. Yeah. You know, both in terms of
00:48:26
◼
►
algorithmic. Well, the algorithmic recommendations is at
00:48:31
◼
►
the heart of it. But a big part of it too is the unmoderated comments and the subject
00:48:35
◼
►
of the comments. And so on the one hand, I think Apple likes not owning a search engine.
00:48:47
◼
►
I also think they like making $10 billion a year from Google. And it would be very,
00:48:57
◼
►
You know, and this is where I see this as a sort of unspoken conflict of interest on
00:49:02
◼
►
Apple's part on privacy is let's say they do buy DuckDuckGo, and they just rename it
00:49:08
◼
►
Apple search. And they maintain all of these private, you know, make it as private as they
00:49:13
◼
►
can. And let's even further stipulate that they improve the search results to the point
00:49:23
◼
►
where it's on par with Google search results,
00:49:28
◼
►
that people are as satisfied with it as in general
00:49:31
◼
►
as they are with Google search.
00:49:33
◼
►
I really doubt that Apple would be able to make
00:49:36
◼
►
10 to $15 billion a year
00:49:40
◼
►
without changing their privacy, right?
00:49:48
◼
►
Like the whole reason Google make that it's so,
00:49:50
◼
►
Google search is so valuable,
00:49:51
◼
►
make so much money that Google's willing to spend $10 billion a year just to make it the
00:49:55
◼
►
default in these in one browser. Apple would, let's face it would have to forgo a chunk
00:50:06
◼
►
of that revenue. I mean, presumably they could have some kind of ads, but it wouldn't be
00:50:09
◼
►
ad the ads wouldn't be as lucrative as Google's.
00:50:11
◼
►
It's the developer ads from the App Store. But no, there's this anecdote about when Google
00:50:16
◼
►
started and Larry and Sergey were adamant that it would have no ads because
00:50:21
◼
►
when the minute you introduce ads it would fundamentally corrupt the very
00:50:25
◼
►
nature of the search engine they wanted to be this very pure very scientific
00:50:29
◼
►
very egalitarian very proper thing but then the dot-com bubble burst and their
00:50:33
◼
►
VCs because a minute you take VCs you are no longer in charge of your destiny
00:50:38
◼
►
their VCs said you have to monetize and so they turned on ads and ads are like
00:50:44
◼
►
ultimate power that never really leads to corruption because you are no you are
00:50:47
◼
►
no longer making a product to serve the customer you're now making a product to
00:50:50
◼
►
serve the advertiser or the monetization engine and I don't you know Apple would
00:50:54
◼
►
have to spend almost all that money as a giveaway just to provide a service for
00:51:00
◼
►
users with very little upside to it and Apple is Apple is good at spending money
00:51:05
◼
►
on accessibility they're good at spending money on several things that
00:51:07
◼
►
they get no return from and Tim Cook is famously because angry Tim is my
00:51:11
◼
►
favorite has famously stood up and said we don't give a damn about the ROI. But when
00:51:15
◼
►
you start operating services at scale, which would be like iMessage on the web or for Android
00:51:20
◼
►
or FaceTime on the web or for Android or a search engine, all of these things, and it
00:51:25
◼
►
doesn't fit into Apple's existing business model, they would either have to do it at
00:51:28
◼
►
a loss and there's only so many of those things they could do at a loss or they'd have to
00:51:31
◼
►
start doing what big companies do to support that and that would make them just like Facebook
00:51:36
◼
►
DuckDuckGo does make money and they have ads, but they do it in a way that is completely
00:51:42
◼
►
respectful of your privacy and doesn't track you.
00:51:48
◼
►
I've spoken to them about it.
00:51:53
◼
►
They didn't tell me exactly how much money they make and how much they make per search
00:51:57
◼
►
or something like that because it's obviously confidential information, competitive.
00:52:04
◼
►
be willing to bet though that they make less money per search than Google makes per search,
00:52:09
◼
►
that it's less lucrative. So Apple could—
00:52:11
◼
►
**Matt Stauffer:** Because Google, they're literally bidding—they've put people in
00:52:13
◼
►
a situation to bid on those ads.
00:52:15
◼
►
**Ezra Klein:** Right. That's a tough position for Apple to be in. And I think it's easier
00:52:21
◼
►
for Apple to say, "We don't want to own our own search engine because that's not
00:52:24
◼
►
our area of expertise and we don't want to be responsible for it," whatever. But
00:52:29
◼
►
it's hard not to also think that they also enjoy their current relationship where their
00:52:35
◼
►
hands are clean, but they still get now $12 billion a year from Google doing things that
00:52:42
◼
►
they themselves are condemning privacy-wise.
00:52:44
◼
►
And being pragmatically, this isn't new. A lot of people will just say, "Oh, Tim Cook
00:52:47
◼
►
is greedy." This relationship has been going on. Even famously, when Steve Jobs was at
00:52:51
◼
►
war with Google, it didn't change the default search engine in iOS. And at this point, like
00:52:57
◼
►
Like you said, when you change it, not only does it affect every user, but if you suddenly
00:53:00
◼
►
remove that income from Apple's services division, that's a whole different story
00:53:04
◼
►
on Wall Street as well.
00:53:06
◼
►
Yeah, yeah, that's exactly, you know, that they've, if anything, that's the other
00:53:11
◼
►
thing that I feel a little uncomfortable looking at, you know, where's, where, you know,
00:53:17
◼
►
the state of Apple today and where they're going.
00:53:22
◼
►
not just that I care about privacy, it's that I see this as a conflict, you know, that there's
00:53:28
◼
►
tension inside Apple where they're promoting this services narrative to Wall Street as this is the
00:53:34
◼
►
area of growth, you know, yes, or, I mean, Apple hasn't admit Apple hasn't said categorically,
00:53:40
◼
►
iPhone unit sales are never going to grow again. But, you know, the truth is, they probably aren't
00:53:48
◼
►
They probably have we probably have seen peak iPhone in terms of unit sales
00:53:51
◼
►
you know and pushing services but look we have significant growth and lots of headroom in this
00:54:00
◼
►
services area but where this huge chunk of it comes from just making Google search the default
00:54:07
◼
►
search engine really would make it hard for them to change that at all. And you start having all
00:54:12
◼
►
these things like when you sold computers you had to deal with resellers and when you sold phones
00:54:16
◼
►
You have to deal with carriers. And when you sold music and TV, you have to deal with the
00:54:19
◼
►
entertainment industry. But now you have to deal with medical regulation to be into health. You
00:54:23
◼
►
have to deal with the organizations that govern financial stuff. When you get into Apple pay and
00:54:28
◼
►
Apple credit cards and all these other things, and you start adding all these services businesses,
00:54:32
◼
►
you start having to deal with not only the regulatory bodies, but all the companies that
00:54:36
◼
►
are entrenched in those sectors. And it is messy. And, you know, yeah. And it's fun to, to think
00:54:43
◼
►
about in the what if Well, what else could Apple do? Right? And they do, like I said, they do some
00:54:47
◼
►
things where they have these serious suggested results that don't go through Google. But let's
00:54:51
◼
►
face it, one of the things Google is interested in is not just keeping track of your search results,
00:54:57
◼
►
but having you logged in to Google so that when you go to Google search, your your Google profile
00:55:03
◼
►
is already there. And you can switch to you know, you can go to other Google properties in your
00:55:07
◼
►
there. That obvious, you know, when you're logged into Google, and I try to log out of
00:55:13
◼
►
Google all the time, and I still often find myself like, Oh, I've been logged in for days,
00:55:17
◼
►
like, you know, I don't know that it's nefarious on Google, you log into your Gmail, then all
00:55:22
◼
►
of a sudden, you're automatically logged into maps into YouTube and a bunch of other apps
00:55:26
◼
►
as well. And that's for me is often where it happens is I do, I will log in to use Gmail,
00:55:31
◼
►
and it's just easier to do it in a regular tab than to make a private tab or I guess
00:55:37
◼
►
what I've tried to do recently is I don't really use Chrome much for anything. And I've
00:55:42
◼
►
kind of got my Safari content blocking setup down where I don't need to use Chrome because
00:55:49
◼
►
stuff I've got a nice setup where I there are very few websites I find that break in
00:55:54
◼
►
Safari because I've got content blockers or something and I have to go to Chrome or something
00:55:58
◼
►
like that. So I tend to just use Chrome just for using Google stuff. But anyway, one thing
00:56:04
◼
►
that Apple could obviously do would be to have some kind of okay, you know, we'll keep
00:56:09
◼
►
Google as the default search engine, but we'll also add a default behavior that will just
00:56:14
◼
►
erase cookies from Google every four hours. So you're, you know, unless you you know,
00:56:21
◼
►
you can go into settings Safari search and, you know, toggle a simple checkmark to say,
00:56:28
◼
►
well, I guess they're not checkmarks anymore. What do we call? What do we call checkmarks
00:56:33
◼
►
on iOS. Those little…
00:56:34
◼
►
I just, I still call them check marks. I don't know if there's… I'm sure we'll get
00:56:37
◼
►
an email now that we…
00:56:38
◼
►
On/off. I guess we should call them on/off switches.
00:56:42
◼
►
Right. Well, they're not radio.
00:56:46
◼
►
Toggles. Well, the thing that's effectively a check box. You could turn it on, but it's
00:56:49
◼
►
going to be off by default and it will, you know, it'll just keep you logged out of
00:56:54
◼
►
Google even after you log in after, I don't know, two hours or four hours or something
00:57:00
◼
►
like that. I'm pretty sure if Apple did that, that would, A, that would probably, they'd
00:57:07
◼
►
have to, that would have to be part of a new negotiation. I would be fairly certain that
00:57:12
◼
►
Google is smart enough that they've, the letter of their contract with Google, with Apple,
00:57:17
◼
►
for making Google the search engine, you know, as it exists right now, I'd be very surprised
00:57:24
◼
►
if it doesn't preclude something like that.
00:57:26
◼
►
The scarier thing is for Google to say fine. We don't need you to help us put right
00:57:30
◼
►
It's funny because I try to use Google in Chrome too and because our company a mobile nations and I'm where they we use Google
00:57:39
◼
►
accounts and I try not to stay logged in but I have to to use my work stuff and then it keeps saying you need
00:57:45
◼
►
To sign into sync and I do I don't want to sign it to sync
00:57:48
◼
►
So every time I refuse it takes me out of my mobile nations account and gives me this fake
00:57:53
◼
►
cupcake Renee avatar that I don't know what it is and I can't get out of it until I
00:57:57
◼
►
Close everything and relog back into my account and they just do all these little things to make your life more miserable when you're not logged
00:58:05
◼
►
All right, let me take a break here
00:58:08
◼
►
I think our next sponsor longtime sponsor of the show one of my favorite companies on the internet fracture
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Dear listener of the talk show. I'm willing to bet you have already taken at least one photo with your phone today
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Maybe it's the first maybe maybe you're listening on your morning commute and you can say hi John you're wrong. I haven't
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But then I'll bet you will take at least one photo with your phone today. We all do right
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How many days go by where you don't take at least one photo?
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I take them all the time our phone full with thousands of photos every year and we share them online
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We post them to Instagram
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know, you've talked my ear off about fracture on your podcast so many times. And then I
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01:01:31
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What else is on the agenda today?
01:01:32
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►
I had so many.
01:01:34
◼
►
Oh, so much.
01:01:36
◼
►
How about the shot on iPhone challenge?
01:01:41
◼
►
Apple announced the winners yesterday.
01:01:43
◼
►
A lot of iPhone XS Max and a lot of Americans.
01:01:47
◼
►
Yeah, I was wrong.
01:01:48
◼
►
I said I would eat my hat if at least one winner didn't come from China.
01:01:52
◼
►
There were no winners from China.
01:01:53
◼
►
I was a judge from China, which is interesting because I think that there would have been
01:01:56
◼
►
It's just given the size of the market. Yeah, I just linked to this before we started recording the show. I
01:02:02
◼
►
Love the winners. I'm not surprised that they're great. I mean, I think it's one of the
01:02:08
◼
►
Not just a great Apple ad campaign
01:02:12
◼
►
I think it's been one of the best ad campaigns in recent years is the shot on iPhone ad campaign and I feel like it's it's
01:02:20
◼
►
Campaign in so many ways because it makes good photographs make for good billboards, right?
01:02:26
◼
►
It is a thing that real people really do with their phones. I don't know if there's any single
01:02:34
◼
►
thing people do on their phone that more people do on their phones than take photographs, right?
01:02:39
◼
►
I mean, you know, I'm sure listening--
01:02:42
◼
►
You text and take photos and you text your photos.
01:02:44
◼
►
Right. And you listen to music, right? I mean, and podcasts. I mean,
01:02:51
◼
►
we wouldn't have had so many arguments about headphone jacks if that wasn't part of it.
01:02:55
◼
►
it. And you know, and they obviously did. iPhone camera is technically great. It is
01:03:03
◼
►
amazing. You know, it's not just the iPhone, just modern high end cell phone cameras are
01:03:09
◼
►
just tremendous. So I'm not surprised that these winners are good, but I really I really
01:03:15
◼
►
do like them. I love this one comment from Judge Austin man. Yeah, where he just says
01:03:21
◼
►
it's just this one picture from Nikita, Yerush in Belarus shot with an iPhone 7, which is
01:03:28
◼
►
pretty cool. That's the one thing I would have bet more than that somebody a winner
01:03:34
◼
►
would be from China would be that at least some of the winners would be on older iPhones
01:03:38
◼
►
because I and again, I don't think that they cook the books for it. But I, you know, I
01:03:44
◼
►
just know and you see it in the ad campaigns to that it's not just, oh, look what you can
01:03:49
◼
►
shoot with the latest and greatest $1200 iPhone tennis max it is hey the iPhone 7 from three
01:03:58
◼
►
years ago is still a tremendous camera. Anyway, she did announcement for the concert for the
01:04:02
◼
►
contest. They had success photos. Yeah, a couple of them. Yep. Anyway, Nikita's photo,
01:04:08
◼
►
which is is also one of my favorites is of a tennis court. Like an orange tennis court.
01:04:14
◼
►
Maybe that's clay, I don't know.
01:04:15
◼
►
Yeah, I think so.
01:04:17
◼
►
With the net and a line and a crack in the clay, and it's just a super simple photo.
01:04:27
◼
►
And I just love Austin Mann's comment.
01:04:29
◼
►
I love how accessible this image is.
01:04:30
◼
►
You don't have to travel to Iceland to capture something beautiful.
01:04:33
◼
►
It's right under your nose.
01:04:36
◼
►
And I think that's so true because that's what I love about these iPhone.
01:04:40
◼
►
I'm a long time avid amateur photographer. And I love looking at truly great photos from
01:04:48
◼
►
truly great photographers because it's, you know, it's inspiring. It makes me want to up
01:04:52
◼
►
my photography game. And one of the things that I think is so fascinating about seeing
01:04:59
◼
►
pro photographers like Austin Mann, you know, who's, who's, if the name rings a bell, Austin
01:05:06
◼
►
man is—last few years has been doing reviews of new iPhone cameras by taking them to exotic
01:05:15
◼
►
locations around the world like Africa. He was the one year he was with a bunch of silverback
01:05:20
◼
►
gorillas and I forget where else he's been.
01:05:23
◼
►
Jared Polin An incredibly talented photographer.
01:05:24
◼
►
Pete Turner Super talented photographer and a very nice
01:05:27
◼
►
guy. I met him—
01:05:28
◼
►
Jared Polin Yeah, he's amazing.
01:05:29
◼
►
Pete Turner —after the last iPhone event. And, you know, we've corresponded by email
01:05:34
◼
►
for years too, but I met him in person
01:05:37
◼
►
and he's super, super generous
01:05:38
◼
►
and really is a super great enthusiast
01:05:41
◼
►
about like helping people up their photography game
01:05:45
◼
►
with phones, but one of the things that's amazing
01:05:47
◼
►
looking at the images coming from a pro photographer
01:05:50
◼
►
like that is you just have no excuse about equipment.
01:05:53
◼
►
Like you can't say, well, he is using a $5,000 SLR.
01:05:58
◼
►
- And I love how he gives like feedback too,
01:06:00
◼
►
'cause he's like, I love this new Smart HDR thing,
01:06:03
◼
►
would you make it an impossible for me to take silhouettes
01:06:05
◼
►
and it's part of my artistic repertoire.
01:06:07
◼
►
So can we figure this out?
01:06:08
◼
►
- Right, that's actually very true.
01:06:11
◼
►
And a couple of these photos are taken in exotic locations,
01:06:17
◼
►
but most of them aren't.
01:06:18
◼
►
And that really is inspiring too, but it really is true.
01:06:21
◼
►
There's not much, somebody who's an expert photographer
01:06:25
◼
►
can use a quote unquote pro app like Halide,
01:06:33
◼
►
which is a great, great iPhone camera app. And you can shoot raw instead of JPEG. And then by
01:06:39
◼
►
shooting raw, you can get more in post than you could with the JPEG. And if you truly understand
01:06:50
◼
►
what the effect that different shutter speeds have on an image or exposure times,
01:06:56
◼
►
or ISO or whatever, there's some things you can adjust in some of these apps.
01:07:02
◼
►
But for the most part, though, the pros, they might know more about that, but they're not
01:07:06
◼
►
really using any kind of even software tools that aren't accessible to everybody.
01:07:10
◼
►
So like the inspiration level on these is super high to me.
01:07:15
◼
►
As opposed to say, like, a National Geographic photo contest, where they really are shot from
01:07:25
◼
►
like the four corners of the globe. I was also like, just surprised that Apple didn't pan,
01:07:31
◼
►
Like the it this isn't an apple pandering because there's no like oh look
01:07:34
◼
►
This is using the new depth effect from our iPhone 10 are you know, like there's not a single portrait there?
01:07:40
◼
►
They're not the usual Oh a picture of a pet picture of a face someone sitting on a corner, you know
01:07:46
◼
►
If they really went for different looking stuff. Well, it's funny you would bring that up. I actually noticed looking at the winners that
01:07:55
◼
►
promotionally Apple has spent a lot of time last two years talking about the portrait effect, which is about
01:08:00
◼
►
blurring the background artificially, you know, through, you know, to create though, the look,
01:08:08
◼
►
the quote unquote Boca effect of a shallow depth of field where the subject is in focus and the
01:08:14
◼
►
background is out of focus and it's a lot of... Why did you bokeh Jacob? Why did you bokeh Jacob?
01:08:18
◼
►
I mean, it's everywhere. It is. That's a funny ad. It's great. It's terrific. Yeah. That's,
01:08:24
◼
►
if you haven't seen it, it's a couple of, I think it's, I think they're all women. It's a bunch of
01:08:29
◼
►
moms are talking and one mom is taking a photo of the other mom's child and it's a portrait
01:08:34
◼
►
photo and the other woman's child is in the background and she's like, "Why did you
01:08:41
◼
►
Boca my child?" And she says, "I would never Boca, Jeff."
01:08:44
◼
►
Why do you hate Jacob? What kind of person does that?
01:08:48
◼
►
It's really funny though to see that. I just never expected—I've known the word Boca
01:08:53
◼
►
for a long time as, like I said, as an amateur photo enthusiast. I never expected to see
01:08:58
◼
►
it in a mainstream ad, you know, on primetime TV, but it's entered into vernacular. I actually
01:09:08
◼
►
think it's interesting how many of these winning images actually have the opposite.
01:09:12
◼
►
They have a truly infinite depth of field, you know, that there's a foreground subject
01:09:19
◼
►
and a background that are both in focus. Here's this one. There's one of the winning photos
01:09:26
◼
►
by Elizabeth Skarratt here in the US.
01:09:27
◼
►
just looking at it now. Yeah, with an iPhone eight plus. So it's another older phone. But
01:09:32
◼
►
it's a portrait of I guess her daughter up close to the camera with is that El Capitan
01:09:39
◼
►
in the background?
01:09:40
◼
►
It might be I'm not good with the mountains. I don't know there's mountains behind her
01:09:43
◼
►
and let's just say it's a happy time. Right. But it's you know, the mountain is in focus,
01:09:48
◼
►
the clouds, you know, literally 10s of miles away are in focus. And of course, the girl
01:09:54
◼
►
little girl is in perfect focus, including individual strands of her hair. Yeah, I would
01:10:00
◼
►
say that it's funny how many of these winners actually have a really deep depth of field.
01:10:05
◼
►
And she uses contrast against the trees and the brightness of the grass to make the separation,
01:10:10
◼
►
not the blur effect.
01:10:11
◼
►
Yeah, it's a really good photo. And again, really hard to believe it's taken with a cell
01:10:17
◼
►
phone. Really, it's inspiring.
01:10:23
◼
►
They had a bunch of photographer judges, but they also had like Phil Schiller, Kayan Drance,
01:10:27
◼
►
Sebastian Marinou-Mes.
01:10:28
◼
►
They had a bunch of Apple, like people from the Apple marketing and the camera teams judging.
01:10:33
◼
►
So you had a wide range.
01:10:34
◼
►
If that's a name that might ring a bell.
01:10:36
◼
►
She was actually on stage for the first time at the introduction of the iPhone, this year's
01:10:43
◼
►
iPhones in September.
01:10:45
◼
►
The A12 segment.
01:10:47
◼
►
She, yeah, she had the segment, which was really, I think one of the toughest parts
01:10:51
◼
►
was explaining how does the A12 AI stuff make photography better, which could easily have
01:11:01
◼
►
gotten out into the weeds and instead was a really succinct, "Oh, okay, I get it.
01:11:07
◼
►
We're making better images, not just through lenses and sensors. It really is billions.
01:11:14
◼
►
It's like billions of computational decisions made for each shot instantaneously as you shoot
01:11:21
◼
►
it. It was a really good segment.
01:11:22
◼
►
And I know people have said this before, but it's worth pointing out, I've spoken to
01:11:24
◼
►
a lot of companies where the marketing people are essentially salespeople. They're like
01:11:28
◼
►
a used car salesman and they have no idea how the technology works or anything behind
01:11:32
◼
►
it. They just want you to buy it. And Apple's team is very different. Most of them have
01:11:36
◼
►
engineering degrees. They all are incredibly smart and they know how it works literally
01:11:40
◼
►
down to the silicon. And you see that when they do present on stage. And also, Sebastian,
01:11:45
◼
►
if people don't know Sebastian, he's been doing State of the Union for the last couple
01:11:48
◼
►
Also very, very smart.
01:11:50
◼
►
He runs the camera team now.
01:11:52
◼
►
Used to be vice president of software at QNX previously.
01:11:54
◼
►
These are all real serious people.
01:11:57
◼
►
Yeah, yeah. I think my favorite, here's, I picked my favorite.
01:12:00
◼
►
I'm going to ask you yours. They're all good.
01:12:02
◼
►
My favorite though is Darren Sohs.
01:12:04
◼
►
He's from Singapore.
01:12:06
◼
►
And it's a reflection of like a, I'm guessing like an apartment building.
01:12:09
◼
►
It's hard to say. Some kind of high rise.
01:12:11
◼
►
In a puddle.
01:12:13
◼
►
And it, I don't know what, I don't know.
01:12:16
◼
►
- You know, it's so, it's very obvious, I think,
01:12:19
◼
►
is it Phil Schiller?
01:12:20
◼
►
Yeah, Phil Schiller's comments on this one.
01:12:21
◼
►
He was one of the judges.
01:12:23
◼
►
It's a reflection that looks like a painting.
01:12:24
◼
►
I mean, and it's the best way to say it.
01:12:27
◼
►
But it looks so much like a painting, it's stunning.
01:12:30
◼
►
And I think that, I think it would be a great photo anyway,
01:12:32
◼
►
but there's a bird that's captured in the sky
01:12:35
◼
►
that in like just the perfect location
01:12:38
◼
►
that really makes it.
01:12:40
◼
►
It's just, it's such a compelling image.
01:12:44
◼
►
and just great color and that's probably my favorite.
01:12:46
◼
►
- When you look at it every time,
01:12:47
◼
►
you see the building and you look again,
01:12:49
◼
►
you notice the puddle and you look again,
01:12:50
◼
►
you notice the different, like the layers of the puddle.
01:12:52
◼
►
It's just so many depths to it, so much depths to it.
01:12:55
◼
►
- Yeah, what's your favorite?
01:12:57
◼
►
- I like, I don't know if it's Dina or Dinah Al-Fasi
01:13:00
◼
►
from Israel and she just got this perfect frame
01:13:03
◼
►
of like this desolate sidewalk with a little tiny leaf
01:13:06
◼
►
in the corner, but then this perfect heart-shaped puddle,
01:13:08
◼
►
which is this deep blue and a person walking,
01:13:11
◼
►
Again, everything is just perfectly framed in that instant
01:13:15
◼
►
with like the world behind them, but you're not part of it.
01:13:17
◼
►
But maybe if you follow them, you could be.
01:13:20
◼
►
And it's just like, it's mystery and evocative
01:13:22
◼
►
at the same time, mysterious and evocative.
01:13:25
◼
►
- Yeah, I'm also, it's like--
01:13:28
◼
►
- iPhone 10, by the way.
01:13:29
◼
►
- iPhone 10.
01:13:30
◼
►
It's fascinating too, because until I noticed the leaf,
01:13:36
◼
►
I was even unsure of the scale.
01:13:39
◼
►
I kind of thought it was a relatively small puddle, but I wasn't sure. I don't know, it's
01:13:45
◼
►
a great image too. They're all, you know, unsurprising. And then you realize the person
01:13:48
◼
►
walking is upside down to make them look right side up in the puddle. And, you know, it's,
01:13:52
◼
►
again, many layers of perception. Yeah, it's really cool. And I'm shocked, the 10 best photos
01:14:01
◼
►
in this very highly promoted iPhone photo contest are all amazing images. But they really are. And
01:14:08
◼
►
And it's super, super inspiring knowing
01:14:10
◼
►
that I'm walking around every waking moment of my life
01:14:14
◼
►
with a camera as good or better than what was used
01:14:18
◼
►
to take every one of these images.
01:14:21
◼
►
So thank you for making me feel like a terrible,
01:14:24
◼
►
incompetent photographer Apple.
01:14:27
◼
►
- Yeah, and what I love about it still is that,
01:14:29
◼
►
like, you know, people argue about which camera is the best,
01:14:31
◼
►
but you really, for just taking a camera out of your pocket
01:14:34
◼
►
and taking a shot and not having to worry about the app
01:14:36
◼
►
taking forever to launch or figuring out
01:14:38
◼
►
which of 19 different AI modes you want to engage for.
01:14:41
◼
►
Just take it out of your pocket, take a shot,
01:14:43
◼
►
and odds are you're gonna get a really useful photo.
01:14:46
◼
►
- Yeah, absolutely.
01:14:47
◼
►
It's, I don't know, it's a,
01:14:51
◼
►
for as depressing as our opening segment was
01:14:53
◼
►
on the state of privacy in the industry,
01:14:55
◼
►
it's, it's, it's super exciting to me
01:14:59
◼
►
how amazing the cameras we have with us at all times are,
01:15:05
◼
►
you know, including video. All right, next segment. How about we talk about folding phones?
01:15:13
◼
►
Yeah, sure. So we have two folding phones now. We had, I think I spoke about it with
01:15:19
◼
►
Glenn Fleishman in last week's episode, the Samsung Galaxy Fold. Very intriguingly named.
01:15:28
◼
►
And the people who brought you the Samsung Galaxy Circle in previous years.
01:15:34
◼
►
This was introduced at Samsung's "unpacked" event like a week and a half ago in San Francisco
01:15:42
◼
►
at the Bill Graham Civic Auditorium.
01:15:47
◼
►
And now this week at the—what's the name of the show in Barcelona?
01:15:50
◼
►
Michael Scott Mobile World Congress, MWC.
01:15:52
◼
►
Dave Asprey MWC, Mobile World Congress is a big—every
01:15:58
◼
►
other than Samsung and Apple introduced their phones at MWC. Huawei unveiled their Mate
01:16:07
◼
►
X. Is it the Mate X or Mate 10? It's spelled with a mate.
01:16:11
◼
►
Jon Sorrentino It's the Mate X. Yeah, it's hard. It's
01:16:12
◼
►
hard to use, but yeah, it's the Mate X.
01:16:14
◼
►
Dave Asprey All right, their folding phone. But before
01:16:17
◼
►
I get to them, let me actually take a moment here on the side. Here's something I didn't
01:16:22
◼
►
know. I think I forget if this was on the show or something I wrote about. I think it
01:16:26
◼
►
was when I wrote about Samsung's phone and I had a little parenthetical wondering why
01:16:31
◼
►
the hell do they call everything the galaxy whatever because it's just adding an extra
01:16:35
◼
►
word every single thing they unveiled Samsung unveiled is the Samsung Galaxy blank. The
01:16:41
◼
►
phones are the galaxy s 10 and s 10 plus the earbuds are the Samsung Galaxy buds. I think
01:16:49
◼
►
they're calling them. Yeah, why not just the Samsung buds? Why not? Why do they insert
01:16:53
◼
►
galaxy into all of it. And one answer I got from people is that Samsung is such a bizarre
01:17:01
◼
►
conglomerate that they make washing machines and refrigerators and all of these other various
01:17:10
◼
►
things that the galaxy thing is a way to say this is our computer stuff. I don't know.
01:17:17
◼
►
I wouldn't be surprised if they come out with a galaxy refrigerator, frankly.
01:17:20
◼
►
It's a bunch of different companies that all license the name Samsung and are owned
01:17:25
◼
►
to a certain percentage by the Samsung company, I believe.
01:17:28
◼
►
Not completely owned all the time, but partially owned at least.
01:17:32
◼
►
The more interesting angle, and this is news to me, is that in Japan, Korean brands are
01:17:41
◼
►
so frowned upon and looked upon with such disdain, and at least Samsung in particular,
01:17:46
◼
►
Samsung doesn't use the Samsung brand in Japan. When you buy a Samsung phone in Japan,
01:17:53
◼
►
it's just called like the Galaxy S10, and it doesn't say Samsung on the back,
01:17:57
◼
►
so it's like a different SKU. It doesn't have that Samsung logo on it.
01:18:01
◼
►
Like Datsun before Nissan.
01:18:04
◼
►
Yeah, it's really wild. A couple of readers and listeners or whatever, you know, but
01:18:09
◼
►
who live in Japan sent me pictures and stuff of like… And the other thing too is Japan is
01:18:15
◼
►
Japan is still a very carrier-centric dominated country. Probably not that different in the
01:18:22
◼
►
US. In Europe, there's a lot of places where your carrier is just an afterthought and people
01:18:28
◼
►
just pop in SIMs and nobody even really…people change carriers a lot freer and buy their
01:18:35
◼
►
phones independent of their carrier service. But Japan, it's still very dominated by
01:18:40
◼
►
carriers. But you know, somebody had a photo, I forget which one of the Japanese maybe Docomo,
01:18:46
◼
►
I think, but one of their stores. And like the Samsung kiosk doesn't say Samsung anywhere. It's
01:18:51
◼
►
just all galaxy. So they use that galaxy brand so that they don't have to say Samsung. I really was
01:18:59
◼
►
blown away by it. So it's kind of bizarre because I've always been hung up on the weird way that
01:19:04
◼
►
Samsung loves to put their logo so big. It's not even a good logo. I mean, it's just billions on
01:19:10
◼
►
putting it everywhere.
01:19:12
◼
►
- Right, and that of all the things I always used to say,
01:19:14
◼
►
they copied so much from the iPhone,
01:19:16
◼
►
and the one thing they couldn't bring themselves to copy
01:19:19
◼
►
was the humility of not putting your logo
01:19:21
◼
►
on the front of the phone.
01:19:23
◼
►
Like they kept that Samsung thing on the front of the phone
01:19:25
◼
►
until they ran out of chance.
01:19:26
◼
►
- Until there was no more front on the phone.
01:19:29
◼
►
- Right, until there was no more front.
01:19:31
◼
►
And then they started putting it on the back,
01:19:33
◼
►
but not in Japan.
01:19:34
◼
►
In Japan, it's Galaxy.
01:19:35
◼
►
So there's my aside on that.
01:19:37
◼
►
So I guess that means they're stuck
01:19:39
◼
►
and the rest of the world calling everything Samsung Galaxy, blah, blah, blah.
01:19:47
◼
►
Anyway, we got the Huawei Mate X and we've got the Samsung Galaxy Fold and it's fascinating
01:19:55
◼
►
one two punch because they literally fold the opposite way.
01:20:00
◼
►
They're actually, you know, fundamentally in an Audi TM, fundamentally the same basic
01:20:07
◼
►
a cell phone sized smartphone that unfolds to a squarish tablet size device. But because
01:20:16
◼
►
the ones in any and ones in Audi, it's two very different takes on it. Neither one of
01:20:22
◼
►
them is practically priced. The Samsung Galaxy Fold starts at $1980 and I think the Mate
01:20:32
◼
►
is 2300 euros, which I did the calculation at least as of a day or two ago. That was
01:20:39
◼
►
Chuck Liddell Yeah, which you can't get it. You'll have
01:20:42
◼
►
to import it because you can't buy it in the U.S.
01:20:44
◼
►
Dave Asprey Right, because Huawei has a very strange
01:20:48
◼
►
relationship with the United States. It's funny being the iPhone enthusiast and now
01:20:58
◼
►
being the one laughing at the prices of other people's phones.
01:21:03
◼
►
At least it's not Samsung expensive is everything every Apple person can say now.
01:21:08
◼
►
Yeah. And you know, but clearly it would be different though, if the Samsung Galaxy S
01:21:13
◼
►
10 were $2,000 because clearly the S 10 and S 10 plus and the S 10 E those three phones
01:21:19
◼
►
are the ones that are meant to they are Samsung's flagship phones for 2019. This folding thing
01:21:27
◼
►
is not meant to sell in huge quantities.
01:21:31
◼
►
- No, that's part of the reason why it's priced out
01:21:32
◼
►
because it's a small batch and they have to
01:21:35
◼
►
sort of spread out the cost of running it
01:21:37
◼
►
amongst the units.
01:21:38
◼
►
And early adopters will pay a lot
01:21:40
◼
►
because they're early adopters.
01:21:41
◼
►
- I wonder, you know, I mean it certainly is a,
01:21:45
◼
►
there's no mistaking it as a new phone, right?
01:21:47
◼
►
I mean, it is definite, you know,
01:21:51
◼
►
if you want somebody, if you want people to know
01:21:53
◼
►
that you have a very expensive new phone,
01:21:56
◼
►
that these are the ones to get.
01:21:58
◼
►
- Let me just unfold my phone and give you that answer.
01:22:02
◼
►
- I personally, I'm intrigued enough
01:22:06
◼
►
that it's a topic on the show and I've linked to them both
01:22:09
◼
►
and I'm following along, but I'm also convinced
01:22:12
◼
►
that neither one of these really should be considered
01:22:16
◼
►
more than a shipping prototype.
01:22:18
◼
►
- I should have mentioned there was a third one there
01:22:20
◼
►
that got much less attention, LG,
01:22:21
◼
►
because they hadn't made a folding phone.
01:22:24
◼
►
They made a case with a second display
01:22:26
◼
►
that you put your phone in and then it essentially becomes a folding phone. And the case is really
01:22:30
◼
►
expensive because it has that second display in it.
01:22:33
◼
►
Dave Asprey But then there must be a gap or something,
01:22:35
◼
►
Jon Streeter Yes. There's like a hinge in the middle.
01:22:38
◼
►
Dave Asprey Hmm.
01:22:39
◼
►
Jon Streeter So it's two discrete screens.
01:22:41
◼
►
Dave Asprey You know, it raises some questions. So with
01:22:45
◼
►
Samsung's AnyDesign, where the folding display folds in and on itself, and then you have,
01:22:53
◼
►
They put an extra display, therefore on the outside,
01:22:57
◼
►
so there'd be something you can see
01:22:58
◼
►
while the phone is folded.
01:22:59
◼
►
- And a small one with these huge,
01:23:01
◼
►
like inch and a half bezels on top and bottom too.
01:23:04
◼
►
- Absolutely huge.
01:23:05
◼
►
I mean, almost hard to believe chin and forehead bezels.
01:23:08
◼
►
Like not like, oh my God, we're back to the old--
01:23:10
◼
►
- Like Frankenstein's monster chin and forehead bezels.
01:23:12
◼
►
- Right, not like the old iPhones
01:23:15
◼
►
before the iPhone 10 chin and forehead.
01:23:18
◼
►
We're talking way, way bigger.
01:23:20
◼
►
Like unlike anything you've ever seen.
01:23:22
◼
►
You know, you know it it
01:23:24
◼
►
It's probably the lowest
01:23:27
◼
►
You know, what's the term the screen?
01:23:29
◼
►
Screen to bezel ratio. It's got to be the highest since like
01:23:37
◼
►
I can't tell if it's like
01:23:38
◼
►
components forced them to do that because it was just they just couldn't bury them under the screen or they thought it was so
01:23:43
◼
►
Thick they needed to make the screen fall smaller for you to be able to use it one
01:23:46
◼
►
I don't know what the what that was which wouldn't dictated the other well and how much of it's just price that you know
01:23:51
◼
►
- Yeah. - The bigger the display.
01:23:52
◼
►
I mean, clearly the idea with the Samsung One
01:23:55
◼
►
of their concept is that that small outer display
01:24:00
◼
►
in folded mode is really only meant
01:24:03
◼
►
for very quick casual use.
01:24:05
◼
►
In other words, you know, oh, you have a notification,
01:24:08
◼
►
who's it from? - Yeah.
01:24:09
◼
►
- Oh, my phone, somebody's calling me, who is it?
01:24:11
◼
►
- I'm walking around, I can't stop and open it,
01:24:15
◼
►
I just wanna get a couple quick things done.
01:24:17
◼
►
- Yeah, I don't even know if the camera works in that mode.
01:24:21
◼
►
Like I don't even know if you know.
01:24:23
◼
►
- Yeah, there's a whole series of cameras.
01:24:25
◼
►
That's the other thing is it's got a whole series
01:24:26
◼
►
of cameras on the back and then they have the biggest notch.
01:24:28
◼
►
Like it's so big, it's like a pirate patch
01:24:30
◼
►
on the inside for a whole bunch of internal cameras too.
01:24:33
◼
►
- It's clearly the idea though is that anytime
01:24:37
◼
►
you're actually doing anything,
01:24:38
◼
►
you're going to take the phone and open it up and unfold it.
01:24:42
◼
►
But at a fundamental level,
01:24:45
◼
►
I think that the Huawei Audi design is better
01:24:50
◼
►
because there is no extra screen, right?
01:24:53
◼
►
It's just one screen and you only use half of it
01:24:56
◼
►
when you're in phone mode.
01:24:58
◼
►
You know, it seems less wasteful.
01:25:01
◼
►
It's inelegant to have an extra screen.
01:25:03
◼
►
- Yeah, it's more efficient but less protected
01:25:06
◼
►
because now that plastic screen,
01:25:08
◼
►
'cause there's no folding Gorilla Glass yet,
01:25:10
◼
►
is just always exposed to the outside world.
01:25:13
◼
►
- In theory, you know,
01:25:16
◼
►
and I understand why nobody's really pulled this off
01:25:19
◼
►
and I understand why Apple hasn't done it, you know, but in theory, it's wasteful that
01:25:23
◼
►
we even have front facing cameras. I mean, in theory, it would be nice if there was some
01:25:27
◼
►
way that you could have one camera and then have it rotate. So that whether you know,
01:25:32
◼
►
you're facing the phone, you know, taking a picture of yourself or taking the picture
01:25:36
◼
►
away from the phone, it would be the same camera. You know, and in the same way, it's
01:25:41
◼
►
wasteful to have a second display that you only use when the phone is in a secondary
01:25:45
◼
►
I get it though that you know, they wanted to have it fold in and of itself. I don't know
01:25:51
◼
►
Yeah, they wanted to make a book and Huawei is as that that it has one camera system and it sort of does a pass
01:25:55
◼
►
Through when you want to take, you know selfies or else's well and yeah
01:25:59
◼
►
I wasn't sure how they did that
01:26:02
◼
►
neither of these seems super compelling to me though, and
01:26:06
◼
►
There's a clearly a crease on the the Huawei one like though
01:26:13
◼
►
You think like how do you how would you do this would not have it some kind of crease and it the answer is well
01:26:18
◼
►
You don't there. It's not there is no magic way that this
01:26:22
◼
►
You know, maybe someday we'll get there, you know, but as of now there is, you know
01:26:26
◼
►
There's definitely a crease in the middle that's on day one. Like these are the demo units
01:26:30
◼
►
You don't like it's hard to imagine what it's gonna look like a month two months a year in all right
01:26:34
◼
►
Yeah, well, there's a real durability question with both. Yeah
01:26:37
◼
►
Because especially with the wall way with where the main display is on the outside at all times
01:26:43
◼
►
And yeah, I don't know what percentage of people use their phone with no case. I suspect
01:26:50
◼
►
it's you know, I've talked about before I would guess it's a 10% or fewer
01:26:55
◼
►
And if you put a screen protector on does that crease now as well? I mean like the whole thing. How would you do it?
01:27:00
◼
►
Yeah, how would you do a screen protector?
01:27:02
◼
►
And even you know and I tend not to use a case so I'm you know
01:27:07
◼
►
I'm in that group that mostly but I I'm also always as somebody who doesn't use a case very
01:27:13
◼
►
hagdens in a which side of my phone is a display and which is not and if I'm ever setting it down on a
01:27:19
◼
►
Surface I tend to set it with the display up, you know
01:27:24
◼
►
So that yeah doesn't get scratched by something that might be on the table or surface
01:27:27
◼
►
How do you do that when both sides are display, you know, there is no lucky side to drop it on or to get a scratch
01:27:37
◼
►
Yep, and combine that with the fact that both of these because glass isn't yet
01:27:41
◼
►
flexible they're both plastic screens not glass and
01:27:46
◼
►
possibly therefore
01:27:49
◼
►
More scratchable. Oh, absolutely. Definitely more scratchable. You have to put it in an iPod sock the minute you close it, right?
01:27:55
◼
►
It's you know, how do you so I?
01:27:57
◼
►
Don't know. I'm not sure the foldable phones will ever be a thing for for some reason some including durability and
01:28:05
◼
►
The fact that people want to put them in cases, you know, and if people want to put their seven hundred and fifty dollar
01:28:11
◼
►
phones in a kit protective case
01:28:14
◼
►
Which is a total sensible totally sensible thing to do and way to think about it
01:28:18
◼
►
You know, maybe I'm the idiot for not putting my phones in cases most of the time
01:28:22
◼
►
I'll tell you what if it's two thousand dollars
01:28:25
◼
►
It's only going to increase their desire to put it in a case and if the design of the phone is that well
01:28:29
◼
►
You can't put it in a case because the whole gimmick is it unfolds?
01:28:32
◼
►
I'm not sure that appeals to a lot of people and I don't know how you get around that
01:28:36
◼
►
How do you design a phone that can fold whether it's an innie or an outie and still be able to put it in a protective?
01:28:43
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Yeah, absolutely
01:28:44
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I mean to me this I
01:28:45
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Remember when I was at CES and they introduced the galaxy note for the first time and they put it on every table in this
01:28:50
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room that we went into and we all picked them up and
01:28:52
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Looked at them and the screens were horrible because no one really had good screen tech
01:28:56
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I mean there's one of the reasons Apple made the people you know
01:28:59
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And one of the reasons Apple made the phone smaller
01:29:00
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was so you could hit it.
01:29:02
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But also that was literally the biggest size
01:29:04
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they could make the screen back then
01:29:05
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to a quality standard that they were found acceptable.
01:29:07
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But Samsung's like, they just stretched it out
01:29:09
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and it did not look good.
01:29:10
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And that whole phone was deeply compromised.
01:29:13
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But flash forward a few years
01:29:14
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and we have really good big phones now.
01:29:17
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And that's a much easier problem set to solve for
01:29:19
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than the foldable phones.
01:29:21
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So I love the idea.
01:29:22
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I love the idea of having one thing that's my phone
01:29:25
◼
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that can open up into a tablet.
01:29:26
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I think it's a brilliant idea.
01:29:29
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It has not been realized yet to say it like easily,
01:29:33
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but, and if it can never be realized well,
01:29:35
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I will never buy one of them, but I hold out hope.
01:29:38
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You know, Apple, I heard about Apple experimenting
01:29:40
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with the stuff, I think back in the iPhone 4S days,
01:29:43
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and obviously they're not happy with anything
01:29:45
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'cause they haven't shipped anything yet.
01:29:46
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They have the resources and smarts
01:29:49
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to basically prototype anything that they want
01:29:52
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as often as they want.
01:29:53
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So my guess is, you know, that they don't find
01:29:55
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this technology acceptable yet either.
01:29:57
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I don't know if they ever will,
01:29:59
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but it is a compelling idea to have that one thing
01:30:02
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that you can just like, almost like the Star Trek thing.
01:30:04
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It's just a very,
01:30:06
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people have been folding wallets and books for millennia.
01:30:08
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It's something we're very used to.
01:30:10
◼
►
- Well, to me, the canonical sci-fi prototype for this
01:30:15
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►
are the devices in Westworld.
01:30:19
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►
I mentioned this last week with Glenn,
01:30:21
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but Westworld has these,
01:30:26
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- What's the name of the company?
01:30:27
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- I don't know.
01:30:30
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- Basic idea of Westworld for those who aren't familiar
01:30:32
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is that it's like at some point, unnamed point
01:30:35
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in the somewhat near future,
01:30:37
◼
►
there's a theme park you can go to where it's,
01:30:40
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►
you're just, you get put into a cowboy outfit and you're,
01:30:44
◼
►
you know, it's like the real, the wild West come to life
01:30:48
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►
and you just get to be a...
01:30:50
◼
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- It's an old Michael Crichton movie
01:30:52
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►
that they remade for TV.
01:30:53
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- Right, and it's really good.
01:30:54
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►
It's on HBO.
01:30:55
◼
►
I really enjoy it tremendously, but the employees of the theme park use these tablet computers
01:31:02
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that fold to be like cell phone size and are completely usable, folded or unfolded.
01:31:09
◼
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So you can put it in a pocket, fold it, take it out and use it if you just want to use
01:31:13
◼
►
it, but then you can unfold it.
01:31:15
◼
►
And they're maybe like the thickness of a credit card.
01:31:19
◼
►
So they're very, very thin.
01:31:22
◼
►
You know, just, you know, that, that, that future dream of just having a device that
01:31:29
◼
►
is just a screen, no thicker than the screen, and everything is just in there.
01:31:36
◼
►
And they look great.
01:31:37
◼
►
It's they do a great job with the user interface.
01:31:39
◼
►
I guess there's anything I would gripe about it seems to me like they make the user interface
01:31:44
◼
►
Yeah, I think that if you actually saw that much information density, and a device, it
01:31:49
◼
►
be untouchable. It wouldn't be unsuited to touch, but it's the sort of thing where it makes it look
01:31:55
◼
►
more sci-fi-y to have more information on. So I would bet that they're fully aware that it's
01:32:02
◼
►
actually unusable for touch information density, but looks cooler. So therefore, they went with
01:32:10
◼
►
that direction. But anyway, they fold and unfold exactly the way, in theory, one would want their
01:32:18
◼
►
phone to fold and unfold. So you can get a tablet size computer whenever you need it
01:32:23
◼
►
and use a phone size thing when you don't.
01:32:25
◼
►
Yeah, if Xiaomi had this, they haven't actually shown the phone off yet, but their CEO was using
01:32:30
◼
►
a phone that was a tablet and you fold both the left and the right side in behind it and
01:32:35
◼
►
that becomes your phone. So they're always experimenting with all sorts of crazy stuff.
01:32:38
◼
►
It is an interesting idea. Would you are these things, are they phones that unfold or are they
01:32:44
◼
►
tablets that fold up. It also speaks to the problems these companies are dealing with
01:32:52
◼
►
where Android is a lot better for phones than it is for tablets. I think even Android proponents
01:33:01
◼
►
would agree with that, that Android, however much you might like it as your phone operating
01:33:07
◼
►
system, it's never really done a great job on tablets. Even Google seems to acknowledge
01:33:13
◼
►
that by moving more towards Chrome as the OS for their tablet-sized devices than Android.
01:33:21
◼
►
But if Android isn't good at being a tablet, then what's the point of having a phone that
01:33:24
◼
►
opens up to tablet size?
01:33:26
◼
►
Yeah, yeah, absolutely.
01:33:28
◼
►
You know, in theory, iOS would be a lot better at this than Android.
01:33:33
◼
►
I was thinking about it too because you have the size classes already, so you just have
01:33:37
◼
►
a regular size class.
01:33:39
◼
►
When it opens up, it takes on—sorry, you have the compact size class that opens up,
01:33:43
◼
►
a regular size class with the same kind of mechanics that you have in iOS and iPad apps
01:33:47
◼
►
and you already have all those universal binaries. So their software story at least is I think much
01:33:51
◼
►
cleaner at this point. Yeah. I don't know. I don't think either of these are going to be. I don't
01:33:56
◼
►
think we're. My question is will they be popular enough that you'll actually maybe see one this
01:34:01
◼
►
year? Like will somebody, will I get an email from somebody by the end of year and say hey I actually
01:34:05
◼
►
saw somebody with the Galaxy Fold you know at the mall and wherever Peoria. I don't know. Like I
01:34:12
◼
►
Like I don't even know if these things are realistic,
01:34:15
◼
►
real products enough that we're even going to see them,
01:34:17
◼
►
let alone be using them.
01:34:19
◼
►
- Yeah, I think right now, again, these are like,
01:34:23
◼
►
unlike Apple, Apple keeps their prototypes
01:34:25
◼
►
and their shame internal.
01:34:26
◼
►
These companies are very happy to sort of put them in public
01:34:29
◼
►
and I think it benefits Apple too,
01:34:30
◼
►
because, you know, Apple got to watch 10 years of smartphones
01:34:33
◼
►
of Blackberries and Poms and Windows Mobile
01:34:35
◼
►
and figure out what problems they had
01:34:36
◼
►
and how Apple could solve them.
01:34:37
◼
►
Same thing with tablet PC,
01:34:39
◼
►
same thing with the different watch brands
01:34:41
◼
►
this everyone's gonna watch these they'll have the same discussions that
01:34:44
◼
►
we have and if you can solve a problem you can make a better product then
01:34:48
◼
►
they'll go and if they're just flawed by nature then and there'll be no go
01:34:51
◼
►
well like the idea of flexible displays is fascinating because we've you know
01:34:57
◼
►
from the CRT until very until very recently displays were anything but
01:35:03
◼
►
flexible they were completely inflexible typically would would crack very easily
01:35:08
◼
►
easily if you tried to flex them.
01:35:13
◼
►
What Apple's take on this, and one of the first ways that these flexible OLEDs have
01:35:19
◼
►
been used in Samsung's case is to fold a little bit of the screen over the side of
01:35:24
◼
►
the display.
01:35:27
◼
►
And they had some weird UI experiments where they would show notifications in that area,
01:35:34
◼
►
of like, what do they call them, chyrons, chyrons, like on TV, you know, like a little
01:35:39
◼
►
ticker tape thing at the bottom of CNN or MSNBC or ESPN.
01:35:42
◼
►
Jared Ranerelle It was like putting a little colored note sticker
01:35:45
◼
►
on the outside of your book.
01:35:46
◼
►
Dave Asprey I've never found that very compelling.
01:35:49
◼
►
It kind of looks cool because it's literally edge to edge and there's no bezel at all
01:35:55
◼
►
on the side.
01:35:56
◼
►
So it looks good in a product photograph, but I've never understood the point of having
01:36:01
◼
►
it because you can't hold the phone without covering up that part of it. Apple obviously
01:36:06
◼
►
isn't impressed with that design. But the one area where Apple has used flexible displays
01:36:12
◼
►
so far is in the iPhone X and now the XS and XS Max where they use the flexible nature
01:36:18
◼
►
of the OLED to curve the display at the—I think it's just the top and bottom.
01:36:25
◼
►
Yeah under but you don't it's only to make they're using the the the flexible nature of OLED
01:36:31
◼
►
to make the iPhone 10 and
01:36:34
◼
►
10s displays go, you know from the top to bottom with no chin or forehead or minimal minimal bezel
01:36:42
◼
►
That's the same as it is on the sides. The flexible part is completely hidden from view so you don't see it as flex
01:36:48
◼
►
It's just that's the implementation detail of how they made it get look like it goes all the way from the top and bottom
01:36:55
◼
►
So I think that's plugging into the module underneath it forcing a chin it can go it's right on the bottom of it
01:37:00
◼
►
It goes underneath it not therefore hiding the chin there
01:37:02
◼
►
Well, we're leaving it with the possibility making the chin area right 90 well over 99% of all iPhone 10
01:37:08
◼
►
Owners have no idea that they're using a display that is flexed under the bottom and top
01:37:14
◼
►
Because it doesn't look like it at all. Like yeah, totally
01:37:17
◼
►
It's it's fascinating and such a difference to me that Apple, you know is using this expensive
01:37:23
◼
►
state-of-the-art flexible screen technology in a way that completely hides the fact that it's flexible at all
01:37:29
◼
►
Well, I think implementation detail right but that to me is so super appley
01:37:33
◼
►
Whereas whereas like the initial Samsung thing was look at this. It's flexible
01:37:38
◼
►
Look, it bends around the side like it couldn't be more in your face that hey, this is a flexible display
01:37:43
◼
►
It goes back to that old Steve Jobs
01:37:45
◼
►
Speech when he said we never want to look at a technology and figure out how to use it
01:37:50
◼
►
that we wanna figure out a product
01:37:51
◼
►
and then find the technology that enables it.
01:37:53
◼
►
- I have a-- - And they wanted--
01:37:55
◼
►
- Yep, it's such a great quote, yeah.
01:37:57
◼
►
- Yeah, yeah, like they never looked at NFC and said,
01:38:00
◼
►
"Hey, we oughta put this radio in."
01:38:01
◼
►
They're like, "We need Apple Pay, what component?"
01:38:03
◼
►
It's not a chipset, it's a feature set for them.
01:38:06
◼
►
- I had a friend who, until recently, worked at Apple
01:38:09
◼
►
and his remark upon seeing the,
01:38:12
◼
►
I think the first of the, I think it was the Samsung one,
01:38:15
◼
►
he goes, "That's a total," he just said the same thing,
01:38:18
◼
►
That's a total Steve Jobs, that's a technology, not a product.
01:38:23
◼
►
Somebody at Samsung was like, "Look, we could do this."
01:38:26
◼
►
And then they said, "Okay, build a phone that does that."
01:38:28
◼
►
Whereas nobody would really think, "Hey, let's build a display with a big crease
01:38:32
◼
►
in the middle."
01:38:33
◼
►
Well, I went to CES this year and I saw the Fruit Roll-Up TV from LG.
01:38:37
◼
►
And at first I thought, "This is a brilliant idea because it'll just roll up to whatever
01:38:41
◼
►
aspect ratio of the content you want to watch.
01:38:43
◼
►
Like if it's a 16 by 9 show, it'll go to 16 by 9.
01:38:46
◼
►
but if you're watching Lawrence of Arabia,
01:38:49
◼
►
it'll give you like this,
01:38:50
◼
►
no, you'll never have to worry about bars or anything again.
01:38:53
◼
►
And they're like, nope, it's got two modes,
01:38:55
◼
►
partially up for alarm clock, all the way up for TV.
01:38:59
◼
►
Like, well, then why use the technology?
01:39:01
◼
►
- Well, I didn't think about,
01:39:04
◼
►
that one I'm a little bit more,
01:39:06
◼
►
I was actually gonna bring that up.
01:39:07
◼
►
I actually feel like that LG rollable TV,
01:39:13
◼
►
It's interesting to me if the nature of the room you want to put it in is such that you
01:39:19
◼
►
don't want a TV up all the time.
01:39:22
◼
►
I don't know what that is.
01:39:25
◼
►
I'm not a hide-the-TV person.
01:39:28
◼
►
I'm a—look, I don't know.
01:39:30
◼
►
Maybe—I don't know.
01:39:32
◼
►
If you had a penthouse overlooking the city and you didn't want it to obstruct your view
01:39:35
◼
►
until you wanted to watch the game.
01:39:39
◼
►
And one time many years ago, I got an upgrade at Bellagio in Vegas and got a room that had
01:39:46
◼
►
a TV at the foot of the bed.
01:39:49
◼
►
And you hit a button and it would rise out.
01:39:53
◼
►
And apparently Oprah Winfrey has had one of these for a long time.
01:39:55
◼
►
My wife was very excited about that.
01:39:58
◼
►
It's very cool.
01:39:59
◼
►
- It really, it required a TV size box
01:40:04
◼
►
at the foot of the bed because it would,
01:40:09
◼
►
you know, the TV didn't,
01:40:11
◼
►
there was a TV that was there all the time.
01:40:13
◼
►
It just would go into this box and then you'd hit a button
01:40:16
◼
►
and it would pop out of the box so you could see it.
01:40:19
◼
►
In a case like that, the LG thing would be way more elegant,
01:40:23
◼
►
you know, where it folds up into a little tiny box.
01:40:26
◼
►
It doesn't have to, you know.
01:40:29
◼
►
I don't know.
01:40:30
◼
►
I'm sure we'll see it.
01:40:31
◼
►
And I'm seeing them in advertising contexts
01:40:34
◼
►
all over the place, that there's foldable displays
01:40:37
◼
►
that people are putting up along the sides of buildings
01:40:39
◼
►
and stuff like that.
01:40:40
◼
►
I mean, it's clearly the future.
01:40:41
◼
►
- Well, the rumor is, yes, you went in there,
01:40:43
◼
►
the displays just curved up every side.
01:40:45
◼
►
Like you even saw that in the Samsung event.
01:40:47
◼
►
It looked like almost like a Celtic cross.
01:40:48
◼
►
They had the displays folded around.
01:40:51
◼
►
- Yeah, I think the initial uses that make a lot of sense
01:40:56
◼
►
are in industrial—maybe that's the wrong word—installations, like lobby, if you're
01:41:04
◼
►
going to use a display, big displays to decorate the lobby of your fancy new hotel, using flexible
01:41:11
◼
►
displays would be way cooler. If you have circular columns in your building, it would
01:41:19
◼
►
be kind of amazing to make a seamless display that wraps around the column in a, you know,
01:41:26
◼
►
in a cylinder, a cylindrical display. There's all sorts of ways that flexible displays could
01:41:30
◼
►
look cool, but I think in consumer technology, we haven't seen anything yet that's really
01:41:36
◼
►
Yeah, no, agreed.
01:41:37
◼
►
And again, it is an interesting difference with Apple where Apple isn't going to show
01:41:42
◼
►
a cruddy flexible phone that they don't want anybody to actually buy yet, just so
01:41:46
◼
►
they can say first.
01:41:47
◼
►
Yeah, yeah, they never first is not on their in their vocabulary, right?
01:41:51
◼
►
you could almost see it at Samsung's event that it's like the the
01:41:55
◼
►
consumer technology equivalent of being in the YouTube comments and writing first and
01:42:01
◼
►
Huawei did the same thing first and like we just saw the Samsung one last week, but okay, right?
01:42:06
◼
►
It was a royale flex pie at CES, which was just horrible
01:42:09
◼
►
I mean, they're all making these now which was also funny because there are a bunch of people who said only Samsung could make this
01:42:14
◼
►
There's they're so far ahead. They've got years and years of lead. No one else can make this fold and then it's like eight of them
01:42:19
◼
►
Yeah, I saw that I saw that there was a note speaking of Goldman Sachs where Goldman Sachs had a note saying that you know
01:42:28
◼
►
I think it was overblown the reaction. I think you actually read the note
01:42:32
◼
►
It was just if you know, and I think that if that needs to be in all caps
01:42:40
◼
►
and italics if
01:42:43
◼
►
foldable phones become a thing Samsung might have a leg up a serious leg up on Apple because Samsung
01:42:48
◼
►
produces their own screen technology and Apple is a
01:42:51
◼
►
Buyer of screen technology made by others and I think that's actually a valid point. I think that you know
01:42:58
◼
►
We see that now with the iPhone 10 and 10s that Samsung just charges them a fortune for those displays
01:43:03
◼
►
Right, and I don't at this point. Nobody else can make them. Nobody else is making a no lead that meets apples
01:43:09
◼
►
exacting demands for
01:43:12
◼
►
You know color accuracy and etc. Etc. It is interesting now
01:43:16
◼
►
There's you know, and and you see it with Samsung's devices and they're in a weird place, but to some degrees it's interesting that
01:43:22
◼
►
Samsung's really the only other company that that can say that they follow the Tim Cook mantra of owning and controlling the core
01:43:31
◼
►
technologies of their devices, I mean Samsung can do their own
01:43:35
◼
►
CPUs and they do make their own displays
01:43:39
◼
►
I mean Huawei is like that they make the key run processor
01:43:42
◼
►
They even make the cell phone towers that it runs off of but they're just not gonna be sold
01:43:46
◼
►
All right, let me take a break and thank our third
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◼
►
Final sponsor of the episode it is our good friends at
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Squarespace I talked about Squarespace
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At least every other episode they are one of the most long-running sponsors of this show
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The reason why is because people keep signing up to build new websites or update old websites and move them to a new platform on
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It's really a great service and it does everything you need a web hosting provider
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that scale from everything from phones to big desktop displays responsibly.
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it look like a cookie cutter site like, "Oh, that's another Squarespace site using the blank template
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or something like that." You visit sites every single day, I guarantee it, that are built on
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on Squarespace and you have no idea because Squarespace is so popular and it's so customizable
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and so easy to make it your own and put your own brand for your company or yourself or
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whatever it is you're making a website for and just beautiful and everything from you
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want to have a blog you want to have a podcast you want to do something you want to have
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a store where you sell stuff and do e-commerce all of that stuff is all built in to the Squarespace
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platform. And you just do it all from designing the site to checking the analytics and seeing
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who's visiting your site and what parts of the site people are using to actually updating
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the site and posting things like blog entries or adding items to your store. All of it.
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You do it all through Squarespace. Check them out next time you need to build a website
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or next time you take an old website and want to update it to a new platform. Where do you
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Go to Squarespace calm and remember this code talk show at checkout when you do buy after you use up your free free
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That's the code talk show. No the just talk show
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Go to Squarespace calm talk show and you can get started today
01:46:19
◼
►
What else is on our agenda Renee
01:46:26
◼
►
God secret lives of Facebook moderators in America. This is a great story
01:46:30
◼
►
I still haven't linked to it from during fireball because it was it really a great story by Casey Newton at
01:46:39
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Really what probably the most compelling thing I've read all week
01:46:43
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Talking about this company
01:46:47
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That is sort of like a contractor for Facebook to do moderation here in the US. So it's not Facebook employees
01:46:55
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It's what's the name of this company here?
01:47:00
◼
►
C o g and I see a NT they have an office and I guess somewhere in Arizona and people come in you get this job and
01:47:07
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It sounds it's almost dystopian I mean maybe I should take out the word almost it's it's dystopian and
01:47:17
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Apparently that is not like like one of the bragging points that they make is that it's you know
01:47:24
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know, they have windows and it's like a nice, it's not some dank basement. So maybe
01:47:30
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that aspect of it isn't, isn't this topic, dystopian, I forget the word. But in terms
01:47:39
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of what it's like to work there, it is, it's like you check in, you have to leave
01:47:45
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your phone, you can't have any paper or pencils because they don't want people like
01:47:52
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down the names of the people involved in the things that they're doing. They micromanage
01:48:00
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your bathroom breaks, and you're expected to go through hundreds of disputed, flagged
01:48:08
◼
►
things on Facebook every day, whether it's identifying whether somebody's
01:48:16
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rant is racist or whether there's a, you know, somebody posts, they post just the worst stuff
01:48:22
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you can imagine. Videos of people being killed by drones in the Middle East and, and obviously,
01:48:32
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I'm sure tons of pornographic stuff. And you just have to go through hundreds of these things and
01:48:41
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they get in big trouble if you're, you know, they audit, you know, a couple of dozen of your
01:48:49
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everybody's things a week. And if yours don't match up with what they expect them to, you get
01:48:55
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in trouble. There's not much money in this. It seems like whether they only pay like $28,000
01:49:00
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a year for a full-time employee. And it really seems—
01:49:04
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Yeah, they pay nothing and they just totally—and it sounds like these people are being
01:49:07
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Destroyed like emotionally psychically in every way possible right because for 40 hours a week every week
01:49:14
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They are just looking at nothing but the worst. I mean that's you know, the stuff that's innocuous isn't isn't getting flagged for moderation
01:49:22
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so it's just 40 hours a day of
01:49:24
◼
►
Evaluating the worst stuff posted to Facebook. Yeah, let's talk about one woman in the beginning who's just watching people getting murdered
01:49:32
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Yeah. Yeah, and she had like a panic attack and and yeah, you know it
01:49:37
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You know, who can blame her? I mean, it's, you know, people aren't—most people aren't
01:49:45
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hooked up to consume stuff like that.
01:49:47
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Yeah, it's literally soul-crushing.
01:49:49
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Yeah, it's like snuff films and stuff. It's really crazy. Facebook.
01:49:56
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►
Yeah, player of the year. Well, you've mentioned this before. It's just like they—it's
01:50:05
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It's not a company that normal people work at, it's just not.
01:50:08
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- One of the things that was raised,
01:50:12
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I mean, and one of the things that's a little
01:50:15
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morally questionable is the relationship Facebook has
01:50:20
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with these moderation companies like this,
01:50:21
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that they're keeping this at arm's reach
01:50:24
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and they're not making them full-time,
01:50:26
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they're not making them Facebook employees,
01:50:27
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they're employees of a company called Cognizant
01:50:29
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and they have a contract with Facebook.
01:50:31
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To me, there's a lack of ownership there,
01:50:35
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that they should be full-time Facebook employees.
01:50:39
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This is Facebook's problem.
01:50:40
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This is the nature of their platform.
01:50:43
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Farming this out to another company is,
01:50:48
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there's a certain lack of,
01:50:52
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I'm not surprised that that's how they do it,
01:50:54
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but it seems like it's brushing it aside.
01:50:59
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Like this is something that they should know.
01:51:01
◼
►
- To be clear, there was an expose a couple weeks ago
01:51:03
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►
about contract workers in Silicon Valley,
01:51:06
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►
and it was Apple and Google and all the big companies.
01:51:09
◼
►
And they were just, none of them were treated as well
01:51:11
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►
as employees would be treated.
01:51:12
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►
They were all micromanaged.
01:51:13
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►
They all hated their jobs.
01:51:15
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►
And it's just not a good culture.
01:51:16
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►
And it seems to be endemic in the area.
01:51:20
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►
But when you're dealing with material like this,
01:51:22
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►
it seems to be especially, like verifying addresses
01:51:25
◼
►
for Apple or Google onto a Maps app,
01:51:27
◼
►
that's probably really boring work.
01:51:29
◼
►
But these people are again watching the absolute worst
01:51:31
◼
►
of humanity over and over again for nothing.
01:51:35
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►
- Yeah, or not much.
01:51:37
◼
►
And it helps obscure things like, you know,
01:51:40
◼
►
what's the average salary of an employee at Facebook?
01:51:44
◼
►
When all of these people making, here it is,
01:51:46
◼
►
$28,800 per year to evaluate this.
01:51:51
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►
And there's, you know, I don't know,
01:51:52
◼
►
hundreds, thousands of these people?
01:51:54
◼
►
Their low wages aren't bringing down
01:51:58
◼
►
the company-wide average salary employee at Facebook.
01:52:02
◼
►
You know, I saw some people in response to this saying,
01:52:06
◼
►
you know, and that, and they're right.
01:52:10
◼
►
I'm not disagreeing at all.
01:52:11
◼
►
That the problem is that these, this shows that,
01:52:14
◼
►
at least especially here in the US,
01:52:16
◼
►
that like mental health care isn't part of a lot of,
01:52:21
◼
►
even if you have health insurance,
01:52:24
◼
►
getting treated for the emotional problems
01:52:28
◼
►
that might develop doing a job like this
01:52:30
◼
►
should be part of your healthcare.
01:52:33
◼
►
I don't disagree with that all, I agree with it, sure.
01:52:36
◼
►
But I feel like reading this article
01:52:39
◼
►
and coming away with the primary take
01:52:42
◼
►
that hey, something's busted in our,
01:52:44
◼
►
another aspect of our healthcare system that's busted
01:52:47
◼
►
is that these people aren't getting the mental healthcare
01:52:49
◼
►
they need after dealing with this job.
01:52:51
◼
►
I think you're whistling past the primary problem,
01:52:53
◼
►
which is that this platform is assessable.
01:52:56
◼
►
And that they're, you know, I don't know what the answer is.
01:53:01
◼
►
You know, it obviously disband Facebook and shut it down
01:53:05
◼
►
isn't going to happen, but let's let everybody
01:53:08
◼
►
on the planet post whatever they want
01:53:10
◼
►
and share it to like-minded individuals
01:53:13
◼
►
is fundamentally a broken idea.
01:53:15
◼
►
You know, to me, the fundamental idea of Facebook is broken.
01:53:21
◼
►
Like this is not a good idea, you know, and we're seeing it, you know, and I don't know
01:53:26
◼
►
what the answer is, but, and I'm not surprised in the least bit that it, that keeping it
01:53:32
◼
►
moderated to the degree that it is moderated requires tremendous man hours to identify
01:53:39
◼
►
and flag this stuff.
01:53:41
◼
►
And even so, they still are obviously struggling with the accuracy rate.
01:53:47
◼
►
You know, the article goes into the fact that these odd, you know, somebody, people from
01:53:50
◼
►
Facebook who actually are Facebook employees do these audits.
01:53:55
◼
►
And you know, the goal is to have a 95% success rate.
01:54:00
◼
►
In other words, that, you know, if you're having this job as a moderator, 19 out of
01:54:05
◼
►
20 times your assessment of this is acceptable, it should stay up or this is unacceptable,
01:54:12
◼
►
should take it down should agree with the person at Facebook. I'm not surprised at
01:54:18
◼
►
all that this is human driven on both ends, not algorithmically driven. I don't, you
01:54:26
◼
►
know, AI just isn't there yet to do this. I mean, I'm sure there's some stuff that
01:54:29
◼
►
AI can flag, just like the way that spam, email spam filters are largely, you know,
01:54:36
◼
►
almost entirely driven by software. Obviously, some stuff, like in the way that email can
01:54:42
◼
►
be filtered algorithmically can work, but deciding whether the content of a video is
01:54:47
◼
►
acceptable requires humans. It just doesn't scale.
01:54:51
◼
►
Steve: The scale is impossible to understand how much content goes into these platforms,
01:54:56
◼
►
Facebook, YouTube, all of these every second, not just every day, but every second it's
01:55:01
◼
►
unmanageable let alone in total.
01:55:03
◼
►
Dave: You know, and it comes back, you mentioned that YouTube is, to name the other giant in
01:55:09
◼
►
YouTube is in the midst of a couple of controversies.
01:55:13
◼
►
But the one that I saw last week was one involving,
01:55:18
◼
►
effectively, pedophiles who are looking at videos
01:55:22
◼
►
of mostly young girls.
01:55:25
◼
►
And the algorithmic angle on this,
01:55:29
◼
►
'cause I don't think it would take off,
01:55:30
◼
►
is that once you get into this rabbit hole of these videos,
01:55:34
◼
►
all of your suggested videos over on the right-hand side
01:55:37
◼
►
YouTube are more of them. Yeah. And it's awful, awful, awful, awful stuff. But part of it,
01:55:45
◼
►
you know, part of it is the algorithm, not flagging it, you know, being smart enough,
01:55:50
◼
►
the algorithm is smart enough to, to stitch these videos together and say, okay, if you
01:55:54
◼
►
like this, you'll like that. And they're right. Or correct, I should say, you know, in that
01:56:00
◼
►
these are related videos from the same people. But it's obviously wrong in the moral sense
01:56:05
◼
►
that these things should ever be allowed to propagate. And quite frankly, it ultimately
01:56:12
◼
►
gets to the bottom line of unmoderated comments are never end well on the internet. You know,
01:56:22
◼
►
and it's awful to say it. And I realized that from a philosophical standpoint, and the democratization
01:56:27
◼
►
of, you know, free speech, in theory, it's great that the internet allows everybody to
01:56:33
◼
►
have a voice. But in practice, there's enough awful people in the world that having an unmoderated
01:56:39
◼
►
forum, it never ends well. Well, you also remember the early days of the internet,
01:56:44
◼
►
I used to run my own PHP Nuke and WordPress and movable type installations, and there would always
01:56:49
◼
►
be a vulnerability where there were porn links put in or spam links put in or malware links put in,
01:56:54
◼
►
just on an automated basis. And I would end up destroying the comment system just because I
01:56:58
◼
►
couldn't keep up that I was getting a trivial amount of comments.
01:57:01
◼
►
Yeah. I mean, one rule of thumb is that anything that can be abused will be
01:57:06
◼
►
abused. Yes. You know, and it's inevitable, you know, so letters to the
01:57:11
◼
►
editor in your local printed newspaper never had spam because there was no
01:57:17
◼
►
there. And I really doubt that there was much spam ever sent to the newspapers
01:57:21
◼
►
because you know, it's not going to get printed, right? There's somebody who's
01:57:24
◼
►
reading these letters and deciding, here's six letters about our recent news coverage
01:57:29
◼
►
and current events that show different perspectives and interesting points. Here's our six letters
01:57:36
◼
►
of the day. It's all human curated, so there was never any impetus to abuse it.
01:57:42
◼
►
Where it has to be delusional, not opportunistic to descend in nonsense.
01:57:46
◼
►
Right. Whereas we've created an automated system where anybody can fill out this text
01:57:51
◼
►
area for him and hit a button and whatever you typed in the field is going to show up
01:57:55
◼
►
at the bottom of this post. Did not take long for that to be to be taken advantage of. What
01:58:03
◼
►
was the six apart thing? Trackbacks? Yeah. Which weren't comments. It was like, it was
01:58:12
◼
►
never that they would put the link to what you blogged about it in me. I never supported
01:58:17
◼
►
it at Daring Fireball along the lines of why I never had comments at Daring Fireball is
01:58:23
◼
►
I just never wanted to—I saw the problem all along and never—and again, it's like
01:58:28
◼
►
many things in life, there are trade-offs where if you don't have comments, you don't
01:58:32
◼
►
get the good comments either, and sometimes the comments are the best thing or somebody
01:58:36
◼
►
could make a point that it was better than the post itself.
01:58:40
◼
►
Like Asimko's comments are terrific, but I have no idea what he goes through in order
01:58:45
◼
►
to maintain that quality.
01:58:46
◼
►
Right. Well, it's close to a great day, right? Yeah
01:58:49
◼
►
but track bats were track backs were like an automated way of linking an article or one post to another and saying like oh
01:58:57
◼
►
Renee posted about the
01:59:00
◼
►
Galaxy fold and I'm responding to his post and I put a track back in and then somehow there would be a link to my
01:59:07
◼
►
Post at the bottom of your post because I sent the track back. Well, it didn't take long for those to be abused
01:59:12
◼
►
They were all scraper. Yeah, like people just scraped your content. We're all in your talk backs, right?
01:59:16
◼
►
It wasn't, you know, it was, you needed to write like a script to do it because it was
01:59:21
◼
►
like a little simple API call. It wasn't just typing in a text area and hitting a button,
01:59:26
◼
►
but it was easily automated and of course it was. Here's my question. What is the point
01:59:32
◼
►
of YouTube comments?
01:59:34
◼
►
Well, I guess there's a couple reasons why they do it. It's the same reasons that there've
01:59:39
◼
►
always been comments on the web. One is to provide an open forum for discussion of the
01:59:43
◼
►
content. The other one is that when there are comments and people argue in them, you
01:59:46
◼
►
get way more page views because people come back,
01:59:48
◼
►
not just to see the content again,
01:59:49
◼
►
but to see what the discussion around the content is.
01:59:52
◼
►
And if they get into arguments,
01:59:53
◼
►
they come back again and again and again.
01:59:56
◼
►
- Do your videos get a lot of comment?
01:59:59
◼
►
- They get, yeah, I mean, like they get way more comments
02:00:02
◼
►
than I've seen in blogs or Twitter or anything a long time
02:00:05
◼
►
because YouTube has an incredible, and it's good and bad.
02:00:07
◼
►
Like there are horrible comments that I delete.
02:00:11
◼
►
Like I don't delete, you know, anyone arguing with me,
02:00:13
◼
►
but there are like some gross things
02:00:15
◼
►
that get posted in there, so I get rid of that.
02:00:17
◼
►
But there are tons of comments on a lot of them, yeah.
02:00:20
◼
►
- Yeah, that is the one thing about YouTube comments
02:00:22
◼
►
is I never look, I'm so anti-comment that I don't even look.
02:00:27
◼
►
Like I watch a fair amount,
02:00:30
◼
►
well, probably by most people's standards,
02:00:31
◼
►
I watch very little YouTube,
02:00:33
◼
►
but I think I watch a fair amount of YouTube.
02:00:36
◼
►
I never even look at the comments.
02:00:38
◼
►
I mean, the only time I ever think about it
02:00:39
◼
►
is at the end of all these videos from serious YouTubers
02:00:44
◼
►
where they always say, if you like this video,
02:00:46
◼
►
hit the thumbs up button or whatever,
02:00:48
◼
►
and subscribe and leave a comment or whatever.
02:00:51
◼
►
I hear them talking about it at the end of the video
02:00:54
◼
►
as I'm about to close the tab, but I never actually look.
02:00:57
◼
►
But when I do, when it occurs to me to look,
02:01:01
◼
►
I'm often blown away by how many comments there are.
02:01:03
◼
►
Like there are, holy crap, there's a lot of comments.
02:01:07
◼
►
Like when you look at somebody's video
02:01:09
◼
►
and it supposedly has 800,000 views,
02:01:14
◼
►
and you're like, "Hmm, that's a lot of views."
02:01:16
◼
►
But then you look at the comments
02:01:18
◼
►
and you see how many there are.
02:01:19
◼
►
It's like 1,200 comments or something,
02:01:20
◼
►
and you're like, "Well, maybe there are 800,000 views
02:01:23
◼
►
if 1,200 people commented on it."
02:01:25
◼
►
- The scale of YouTube is,
02:01:27
◼
►
when I started getting into it,
02:01:29
◼
►
and then you look at someone like Shane Dawson
02:01:31
◼
►
who's been making videos for a while,
02:01:32
◼
►
but now will put up a 145-minute conspiracy theory video
02:01:35
◼
►
and it gets 20 to 40 million views.
02:01:38
◼
►
or Desposito I think just hit six billion views.
02:01:41
◼
►
It just dwarfs I think anything else that's been built
02:01:44
◼
►
on like a content platform on the internet.
02:01:46
◼
►
- Yeah, at a technical level it is amazing.
02:01:49
◼
►
And it's kind of interesting in a historical idea,
02:01:54
◼
►
I forget what Google paid for YouTube,
02:01:56
◼
►
but it's one of those, I think it was like a billion dollars
02:02:00
◼
►
whatever it was, it's like up there with Facebook
02:02:05
◼
►
buying Instagram, I just called them face gram.
02:02:08
◼
►
That would be a good way to rebrand.
02:02:10
◼
►
Facebook buying Instagram for a billion dollars,
02:02:13
◼
►
or you would have to, the next reunification with Apple
02:02:18
◼
►
for a couple hundred million dollars
02:02:20
◼
►
has obviously turned out to be a great deal.
02:02:22
◼
►
You'd have to, but like what would have happened to YouTube?
02:02:25
◼
►
It's hard to imagine a future where,
02:02:28
◼
►
a world where YouTube isn't part of Google, right?
02:02:31
◼
►
Like who else could have bought them
02:02:33
◼
►
and scaled them to be where they are?
02:02:37
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, there's a possibility
02:02:38
◼
►
they could have become their own Google,
02:02:39
◼
►
that just their growth would have been so well managed
02:02:41
◼
►
that they would have become a company
02:02:42
◼
►
like a Google or a Facebook.
02:02:44
◼
►
And that's always like Snap never sold
02:02:46
◼
►
because they want it to be the next Google
02:02:48
◼
►
and who knows if that'll maybe not work out for them now.
02:02:52
◼
►
That's sort of the two choices you have.
02:02:54
◼
►
Google never sold, they were offered many times,
02:02:56
◼
►
they never sold either.
02:02:58
◼
►
- Yeah, I think that that's the most likely
02:03:00
◼
►
alternate universe is one where YouTube stuck independent
02:03:03
◼
►
and became one of the big six companies.
02:03:07
◼
►
'Cause I just can't imagine who else could've done this
02:03:11
◼
►
or would've tolerated it, right?
02:03:13
◼
►
Like, you have to have a certain mindset to have a,
02:03:18
◼
►
we'll let people post whatever video they want.
02:03:22
◼
►
- I mean, it's kind of crazy.
02:03:26
◼
►
- Yeah, no, it really is.
02:03:28
◼
►
And again, just like Facebook, it's like an impossible problem.
02:03:33
◼
►
It really is.
02:03:34
◼
►
And it's, you know, again, it's trade-offs, you know,
02:03:39
◼
►
there were a lot of problems with the world of print
02:03:43
◼
►
and, you know, mass media prior to the internet
02:03:47
◼
►
where a lot of voices were locked out of the conversation.
02:03:52
◼
►
And part of the reason why our society
02:03:55
◼
►
was so much less tolerant than it is now,
02:03:58
◼
►
not that we've, you know,
02:03:59
◼
►
gotten rid of our problems with intolerance
02:04:03
◼
►
as evidenced by many of today's headlines.
02:04:06
◼
►
But the world is certainly inarguably a more tolerant place
02:04:10
◼
►
than it used to be in the internet
02:04:12
◼
►
and the providing voices and the allowing of publications
02:04:16
◼
►
that with other perspectives certainly is a great thing
02:04:21
◼
►
but it's trade-offs because it's also allowed people
02:04:25
◼
►
who never would have gotten more of a crowd
02:04:28
◼
►
than what they could assemble raving at a street corner
02:04:32
◼
►
with a megaphone to have a very large audience.
02:04:37
◼
►
- Well, I mean, the problem with YouTube and Facebook,
02:04:39
◼
►
their strength is their weakness,
02:04:41
◼
►
so they are incredible recommendation engines.
02:04:44
◼
►
So for example, if I listen to your post WWDC podcast,
02:04:48
◼
►
there's no sidebar that recommends Snell's post WWDC podcast,
02:04:52
◼
►
the connected guys, there's just no way for me
02:04:54
◼
►
to listen to more of the same thing.
02:04:56
◼
►
I can listen to more of your stuff,
02:04:57
◼
►
but not other people's takes.
02:04:58
◼
►
Same thing if I read an article on Daring Fireball,
02:05:00
◼
►
I don't also get, you know, Dalrymple's take
02:05:02
◼
►
and Marco's take, but with YouTube videos
02:05:05
◼
►
and with Facebook, they see what you want
02:05:07
◼
►
and they give you more of it.
02:05:08
◼
►
And that amplifies content.
02:05:09
◼
►
Like you can get unbelievable.
02:05:11
◼
►
Suddenly you could look up and your content's got a million,
02:05:13
◼
►
two million views out of nowhere,
02:05:15
◼
►
but also you're being shown conspiracy theory videos
02:05:18
◼
►
and real, real dumb stuff right along with it.
02:05:21
◼
►
So it amplifies both the good and the bad
02:05:22
◼
►
to an unbelievable degree.
02:05:25
◼
►
I completely agree.
02:05:29
◼
►
Well, lightning round.
02:05:31
◼
►
A few other things before we wrap up.
02:05:33
◼
►
There was this weird bug, well, maybe it's a bug.
02:05:36
◼
►
I don't know what the hell this story is,
02:05:38
◼
►
where Google's home speakers,
02:05:42
◼
►
some point in the last week,
02:05:43
◼
►
started showing a thing for Apple Music,
02:05:46
◼
►
and everybody thought it was like,
02:05:49
◼
►
"Oh, they prematurely launched this before it was ready."
02:05:52
◼
►
'Cause, you know, I mean, it's nowhere near,
02:05:56
◼
►
it wouldn't be as surprising as the initial news
02:05:58
◼
►
that Apple Music is available on Amazon's Echo ones
02:06:03
◼
►
from earlier this year was.
02:06:04
◼
►
But now that that's out,
02:06:05
◼
►
well, if they're gonna do it on Echo,
02:06:07
◼
►
if they could work out the terms with Google,
02:06:09
◼
►
presumably they would and will do it on Google too,
02:06:11
◼
►
but now they're saying it was just a bug.
02:06:14
◼
►
But it's a very strange bug.
02:06:16
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, it works.
02:06:17
◼
►
It's been available for Android since launch.
02:06:19
◼
►
It doesn't surprise me.
02:06:20
◼
►
Apple's whole thing is that they want people
02:06:22
◼
►
who have family subscriptions
02:06:23
◼
►
to be able to listen to it everywhere
02:06:24
◼
►
because it makes it more valuable.
02:06:26
◼
►
And they realize that there's a whole bunch of diversity
02:06:28
◼
►
in people's homes and ecosystems.
02:06:30
◼
►
So I wouldn't be surprised if it comes out.
02:06:32
◼
►
I don't tend to take Google statements
02:06:33
◼
►
on face value anyway.
02:06:34
◼
►
- But then it, you know,
02:06:36
◼
►
and I don't blame Apple for it, you know.
02:06:41
◼
►
I think it kind of makes sense with the services push,
02:06:44
◼
►
you know, and I don't think, I do think,
02:06:47
◼
►
I think the HomePod is in many ways a misunderstood product
02:06:51
◼
►
because it isn't meant to compete with $70
02:06:56
◼
►
Echo and Google dots or whatever they call theirs.
02:07:01
◼
►
It really is, you know, the best way to understand it is to listen to the way Apple describes
02:07:05
◼
►
it and it really is supposed to be a nice $350 speaker system.
02:07:10
◼
►
And the fact that it uses Siri as the interface is an implementation detail.
02:07:15
◼
►
I mean, yes, you can use it for stuff.
02:07:17
◼
►
I use it to turn off lights and raise the shades and lower the shades.
02:07:20
◼
►
I do use it that way, but Apple knew at $350 that it was, even in the best case scenario,
02:07:30
◼
►
not going to outsell $50 little hockey puck things.
02:07:36
◼
►
They don't have one.
02:07:37
◼
►
You've seen this before.
02:07:38
◼
►
They're very candid.
02:07:39
◼
►
It really was meant to be you have an empty room.
02:07:41
◼
►
You want to drop one thing in that you can put almost anywhere and will sound great in
02:07:45
◼
►
almost anywhere that you're in the room, and that's the problem it solves.
02:07:49
◼
►
Siri is just the only way you control it because it's a speaker.
02:07:52
◼
►
I can't help but think though that this bug wasn't really that like somebody, some rogue
02:07:57
◼
►
individual at Google somehow put the Apple Music icon in there and just mocked it up.
02:08:04
◼
►
Like, here's what it would look like if we had Apple Music and then accidentally shipped
02:08:08
◼
►
it. Presumably, it is either a done deal and is coming and unannounced, or they're in the
02:08:14
◼
►
midst of it far enough along that they're working on it and it was a mistake that it showed.
02:08:20
◼
►
Yeah, that's what it feels like.
02:08:23
◼
►
Yeah. And, you know, again, it makes sense that, you know, they want Apple Music everywhere you
02:08:28
◼
►
listen to music. They're writing iTunes for Tizen, John. This is their service's story.
02:08:35
◼
►
So that brings me to the upcoming rumored event a month from now, supposedly, this leaked in
02:08:43
◼
►
advance. And of course, media partners are the leakiest companies. How in the world did Apple's
02:08:50
◼
►
supposed Monday, March 25th event at the Steve Jobs Theater, how did it leak so far in advance?
02:08:56
◼
►
Well, because they're talking, if it's true, they are talking to magazines and newspapers
02:09:04
◼
►
about a subscription Apple News Service, and they are talking to various TV movie type companies
02:09:11
◼
►
about, I guess, about, you know, some kind of subscription TV service, video service.
02:09:18
◼
►
- Including which celebrities would be on stage, you know, that's the secret,
02:09:22
◼
►
that's not gonna stay. - Right. I'm interested in what you think about it. And I'm guessing that if
02:09:31
◼
►
this is true, that this would be an event where if there are any products to announce, it might be
02:09:38
◼
►
there's a lot of smoke enough smoke that there's probably a fire to the fact that there's going to be some kind of reef
02:09:44
◼
►
You know refresh to the air pods lineup
02:09:51
◼
►
Case that charges. Yeah
02:09:53
◼
►
I'm just gonna say wirelessly but I
02:09:56
◼
►
Really inductively ductively because it's not really wireless if it doesn't go over the air, but the wireless charging case also a
02:10:05
◼
►
The air pods might come in black
02:10:07
◼
►
Which is interesting and I think would prove very popular
02:10:11
◼
►
but it's kind of interesting because they went with the we've got one set of earbuds and they're white and you're gonna like it for
02:10:19
◼
►
a long time while they were wired and used used that for a very
02:10:24
◼
►
Successful ad campaign they were iconic
02:10:29
◼
►
I write like what the ads made them, you know emphasize the iconic nature of Apple's white earbuds
02:10:35
◼
►
You remember those illest, you know, very, very colorful ads where the, you know, very
02:10:41
◼
►
colorful, vibrant colors of people dancing, listening to music with these white earbuds
02:10:46
◼
►
and wires coming out and they didn't even need to show the iPod.
02:10:50
◼
►
And if anyone was wearing white earbuds, it didn't matter if they were Apple and not
02:10:53
◼
►
you just assumed that they were listening to an iPod.
02:10:56
◼
►
And so, you know, it famously today, you know, there's AirPods are very, very popular product.
02:11:02
◼
►
They're, you know, subjective memes, you know, people think you're rich if you have AirPods,
02:11:08
◼
►
but they're so popular now and they're very, again, iconic, you know, and, and for however
02:11:12
◼
►
much guff that people gave them and thought that they looked goofy when they came out,
02:11:16
◼
►
which I never understood.
02:11:17
◼
►
I even wrote about this on During Fireball.
02:11:18
◼
►
I don't understand why people thought AirPods looked weird because they looked exactly like
02:11:22
◼
►
Apple's wireless wired AirPods without the wires.
02:11:27
◼
►
It is, I understand why people felt a little self-conscious.
02:11:34
◼
►
I felt self-conscious when I first started wearing AirPods.
02:11:36
◼
►
I like those big old Bluetooth headsets, right?
02:11:41
◼
►
Not because I thought I looked goofy, but because this is so weird, right?
02:11:45
◼
►
After years and years of wearing wired AirPods, it felt so weird to put them in and not have
02:11:51
◼
►
anything holding them in place.
02:11:53
◼
►
Like it's, you know, you'd like to think that they designed them not to fall out of your
02:11:58
◼
►
ears, but it sure looks like they would fall out of your ears.
02:12:01
◼
►
It turns out for most people with most ears, they don't, which is amazing.
02:12:06
◼
►
But when you, that's what made me conscious.
02:12:08
◼
►
Now, maybe not self-conscious, but it just seemed to me like when I first had AirPods,
02:12:12
◼
►
I felt I never, I was thinking about them all the time.
02:12:15
◼
►
Cause I'm like, don't fall out, don't fall out, don't fall out.
02:12:18
◼
►
And then eventually, you know, you get used to it and they become the new normal.
02:12:21
◼
►
But anyway, switching to black or offering black, I guess they're not going to switch
02:12:24
◼
►
but offering black as an option takes away a little bit of that iconic nature.
02:12:30
◼
►
I mean, we are in the age of fashion, especially with wearables.
02:12:32
◼
►
We saw that with the watch where different casings and different bands.
02:12:36
◼
►
My only thing because when john pachowski, Mr. will friend john pachowski broke the rumor
02:12:40
◼
►
about the event.
02:12:41
◼
►
He said very specifically that he heard there were not going to be air pods and there was
02:12:45
◼
►
not going to be an iPad mini.
02:12:46
◼
►
He didn't say there was not going to be the iPad 10.2 inch refresh for the lower end
02:12:51
◼
►
but it's odd that they would have one, but not the,
02:12:54
◼
►
like it seems to me that if you're going to show off news,
02:12:56
◼
►
it'd be great to show it off on a new iPad.
02:13:00
◼
►
- It just seems like a good fit.
02:13:00
◼
►
And if you're going to show off television,
02:13:02
◼
►
it'd be good to show that off on new products as well.
02:13:05
◼
►
And like the daily was the only event I could think of
02:13:07
◼
►
where Apple actually showed,
02:13:08
◼
►
and that was a very small, very specific event.
02:13:12
◼
►
But just a services event would be something very different.
02:13:15
◼
►
And they have so much
02:13:16
◼
►
expectational debt around any Apple event.
02:13:19
◼
►
We're used to like marches where we saw the first MacBook where we they had a launch for the Apple watch
02:13:24
◼
►
They'll the launch for the iPhone SE the 9.7 inch iPad
02:13:28
◼
►
There's just so many iconic products that have come out in March
02:13:30
◼
►
Never mind going back a few years to like the eye the iPad itself
02:13:35
◼
►
That I think people will just assume there's gonna be a lot of that stuff there and it'll be hard for them to just not
02:13:40
◼
►
Do hardware at the show?
02:13:43
◼
►
Yeah, but what that hardware will be I don't know I think you know a new regular iPad would be interesting and it would be
02:13:51
◼
►
Yeah, you know cuz I get last year's was about a year ago. So yeah, that's interesting to think that the
02:13:57
◼
►
Entry model iPad is on an annual refresh rate that they're not
02:14:02
◼
►
Letting that sit. That's just the
02:14:05
◼
►
$350 one we don't you know our heart and soul is only in the iPad pros the expensive ones
02:14:11
◼
►
With the latest and greatest technology would be interesting if you know and who knows, you know, I'm for education
02:14:16
◼
►
I mean, this is when you want to sell the education iPad, right?
02:14:19
◼
►
Air pods would be interesting
02:14:22
◼
►
presumably I I can't help but think that if they are going to unveil air pods which have a
02:14:27
◼
►
Wireless charging case that they would also finally have
02:14:32
◼
►
Dare I say it the air power?
02:14:38
◼
►
I knew the new and functional air power. I can't help it. You know, I just don't see how they talk about
02:14:43
◼
►
Wireless even if they charge on a standard Qi charger
02:14:47
◼
►
Which I know I'm not sure that the air pods case will like if it charges wirelessly it might charge wirelessly only with the air
02:14:55
◼
►
Power, I don't think we have an answer to that
02:14:57
◼
►
Well, the rumor is that the this year's iPhone is gonna do bilateral inductive charging
02:15:02
◼
►
Which is what the Samsung phone and I forget I think the Huawei already do that where you turn them upside down and it's terrible
02:15:07
◼
►
It's terrible for phones. It's like 1% after 15 minutes. It shuts off but like with the Galaxy buds
02:15:13
◼
►
They've shown this with having small like air pods just putting on the back of your phone
02:15:17
◼
►
It's a realistic charging mechanism and that means it would have to be very similar to what Apple what to what she is already doing
02:15:24
◼
►
Well, who knows but I you know, that might be a product that ships in this
02:15:28
◼
►
March event that would be and you watch bands could get those every March, right? Right, right, and I don't want to wait till June
02:15:36
◼
►
on my presumption that if there's a March 25th Apple event, the next time we hear from
02:15:42
◼
►
Apple will be the WWDC keynote in early June. Yeah. So I would guess the spring assortment
02:15:49
◼
►
of watch straps will be, would be unveiled at this event. I don't know if it would
02:15:54
◼
►
Well, like a press release too. I mean, yeah, that's right. Cause sometimes they just
02:15:56
◼
►
a press release or you see them on apple.com around the same time.
02:15:59
◼
►
Right. I hope they bring back the nylon straps. Have I said this to you before? God, I'm
02:16:04
◼
►
Yeah, I still can't believe that they let that they that they're all gone
02:16:08
◼
►
I mean, it's really odd. Somebody just wrote to me some reader just wrote to me and was like
02:16:12
◼
►
Just professing their love for the nylon watch straps and
02:16:18
◼
►
Asking me if I had any insight into where they went and I said no none and they're my favorite, too
02:16:25
◼
►
I can only presume that they just weren't selling that well because if they were selling
02:16:30
◼
►
Great. Why in the world would they have taken them off the market?
02:16:33
◼
►
And I mean everyone seems to like just so many people just wear the sport band and the sport loop are incredibly popular
02:16:39
◼
►
So it could just be that there was no room in between them
02:16:42
◼
►
Yeah, maybe anymore, but I don't like the sport loop for multiple reasons. I don't like the double
02:16:47
◼
►
The doubling on the one side and I'm just yeah, not really a velcro person. I people wear them like sweatpants
02:16:53
◼
►
They're like, no, I like the sweatpants watch. No, I know I'm you know, but I think that's part of even without even
02:16:59
◼
►
touching the world of third-party Apple watch straps, which is huge, you know, just within
02:17:04
◼
►
staying within the Apple branded ones. I really do think it's fundamental to the success of the
02:17:11
◼
►
platform that you've got this variety of looks and feels, you know, it's such an intimate,
02:17:19
◼
►
a watch is such an intimate thing and because it really is touching your skin all the time.
02:17:25
◼
►
having a strap that you think both feels good, fits right, and looks cool is super,
02:17:30
◼
►
super important. And having a variety is the only way to do that. But my favorite is the nylon strap.
02:17:37
◼
►
Justin: Yeah. Yeah. No, I wish it comes back to you.
02:17:41
◼
►
Pete: Yeah, I don't know. But I guess that's coming. Anything else? I don't expect any Mac hardware.
02:17:46
◼
►
Justin; It feels like iMac spec bumps should be in another press release at some point.
02:17:52
◼
►
Yeah, if not do anything radical they should just drop the yeah, the coffee lake and I forget what the Xeon is on now
02:17:58
◼
►
All right, but I don't really think I don't see how they can do anything with the display. They're already at
02:18:03
◼
►
5k they already have
02:18:05
◼
►
The high dynamic range whatever you call it
02:18:08
◼
►
Yeah, the DCI p3 right? They already have that, you know, so it's
02:18:13
◼
►
If they're not going to change the size, I don't you know, I don't know what else there is, you know
02:18:19
◼
►
It's truly, you know, what I expect the next iMacs to be is a true speed bump where they're just hair
02:18:25
◼
►
They look exactly the same, but they're faster
02:18:27
◼
►
Eventually, we all want that redesign where it's similar to what they're rumoring for the pro display where it's like a 6k
02:18:32
◼
►
Mini LED panel with face ID buried in it. All right, and then you know
02:18:37
◼
►
Everyone will refresh at that point, but it's not like it's ready yet, right?
02:18:41
◼
►
Yeah, and I think I'm guessing that they'll do that standalone display first
02:18:46
◼
►
But yeah, and I you know, I don't think the Mac Pro is coming at a March media event
02:18:51
◼
►
and even even putting aside the
02:18:53
◼
►
German rumor from last week that that it might be coming at WWDC
02:18:58
◼
►
Which I think is crazy because I think if it doesn't come at WWDC
02:19:01
◼
►
We've got to start questioning what the hell is going on with with that
02:19:04
◼
►
If I was Apple like just given some of the delays
02:19:06
◼
►
I I would be like I know a lot of it would love them just to show it off and say it's coming in December like
02:19:11
◼
►
They did with the iMac Pro two years ago, but just with the delays
02:19:15
◼
►
I think they should be conservative in what they tease for the next little while. Well, yeah, but it's I mean
02:19:22
◼
►
I guess if they're not going to show it at WWDC
02:19:25
◼
►
They'll just leak they have to if they're not going to show it at WWDC
02:19:29
◼
►
That would be something they would have to leak to somebody and get the word out
02:19:33
◼
►
Because if there's no word at all about the Mac Pro before the keynote
02:19:38
◼
►
there's going to be thousands and thousands of developers who are watching us so that watching the
02:19:45
◼
►
WWDC keynote with yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Shut up about that. Give me the macbook. Give me the macbook
02:19:49
◼
►
Give me that and then it's like Tim Cook says thanks. Have a great week
02:19:53
◼
►
WWDC people are gonna be what?
02:19:56
◼
►
Well, I mean there's so many problems with the expectations here too
02:20:00
◼
►
Because when when Apple said modular everyone in their own mind interpreted that differently some people thinking it's a new cheese grater
02:20:06
◼
►
Some people thinking that is something you can just plug cards into
02:20:08
◼
►
It was a rumor and I'm blanking on where it was where it's gonna be
02:20:11
◼
►
almost like a red camera where you'll have a brain module like a Mac Mini or maybe able to stack other Lego bricks on it and
02:20:17
◼
►
Those are all fundamentally different products, right? It's it doesn't yeah, it's
02:20:22
◼
►
It's one of those words that everybody yeah, you're right
02:20:26
◼
►
Everybody takes the word modular and they think modular in the way. I want it to be much. Yes
02:20:30
◼
►
Well, and I was saying to this I think it was with Glenn on the last episode where there's an awful lot of people
02:20:41
◼
►
who when a year ago, Pansarino got the,
02:20:46
◼
►
here's our update on Mac Pro, it's not a 2018 thing.
02:20:52
◼
►
But we, and gave him the interesting look
02:20:56
◼
►
at the pro musicians and video editors
02:21:01
◼
►
that Apple's hired full time to work
02:21:03
◼
►
hand in hand with the teams making their pro editing software
02:21:08
◼
►
for Final Cut Pro X and Logic.
02:21:13
◼
►
Really, really interesting story of the pros,
02:21:17
◼
►
actual pros working hand in hand with the development team
02:21:20
◼
►
and presumably also helping to inform the design
02:21:23
◼
►
of the pro hardware.
02:21:24
◼
►
But the thing that I know a lot of people,
02:21:29
◼
►
I've heard this from people,
02:21:30
◼
►
is that there are a lot of people who given the,
02:21:36
◼
►
I don't think the back goal is too strong a word for the trashcan Mac Pro, or at least the mistake
02:21:41
◼
►
that the trashcan Mac Pro turned out to be. There's an awful lot of people who were like,
02:21:46
◼
►
"Just make a big tower with lots of space in it. How hard can it be? There's 10,000 companies doing
02:21:53
◼
►
that for Windows and just do that. Just make a big tower with lots of space." And I think that when
02:21:59
◼
►
Apple was like, "Hey, this is going to take us into 2019," there's a lot of people who were worried
02:22:05
◼
►
about the Mac Pro because they're like, well, if they were just going to make, if they were
02:22:09
◼
►
going to do what I want them to do, which is just make a big tower, they'd be done.
02:22:12
◼
►
Modern cheese grater. Yeah.
02:22:13
◼
►
Right. They'd be done already. And so therefore they're doing something else and whatever else
02:22:18
◼
►
they're doing, it's going to be bad. And I don't think I, I'm just intrigued, honestly. I'm,
02:22:25
◼
►
you know, cause I'm probably not in the market for the Mac Pro. I'd be surprised if I were,
02:22:31
◼
►
but I'm sure curious what it is they've come up with that isn't just a big tower.
02:22:37
◼
►
Anyway though, I don't think that's a March thing while we're speculating on the March event. I
02:22:43
◼
►
think it's a WWDC thing. And I also, I don't expect MacBook Pros yet. I don't think that
02:22:50
◼
►
they would announce them at this event anyway, but yeah. Agreed. And then our poor old 12 inch Mac
02:22:57
◼
►
book is desperately in need of a revision, but I don't.
02:23:01
◼
►
And that has been a March thing, but would it be again is the question.
02:23:05
◼
►
I think it shifted to WWDC two years ago.
02:23:07
◼
►
Yeah. And if it's just a speed bump, maybe, but then what do they do? Do they show it?
02:23:11
◼
►
How do you show it? Is it just a press release? I don't know. I mean, it's obviously overdue
02:23:16
◼
►
and it's obviously a product that would sure go great with the much rumored move to in-house
02:23:24
◼
►
ARM chips, but that's obviously not just going to drop at the March event.
02:23:27
◼
►
Yeah. Yeah. Everyone wants that computer with an ARM chip and again, face ID.
02:23:31
◼
►
Everyone's got their mind set on that, honey.
02:23:34
◼
►
Yeah. And then, so the other thing that Gurman teased was a, well, no, it wasn't Gurman. It was
02:23:41
◼
►
Ming-Chi Kuo, who had the idea of a 16 or 16 and a half inch MacBook Pro with an all new design,
02:23:50
◼
►
Which leads me to my last topic, which is—this popped into my radar last night on Twitter,
02:23:55
◼
►
where Joanna Stern was tweeting with somebody on Twitter, but she, as an owner of a weeks-old new
02:24:02
◼
►
MacBook Air, was already having trouble with the keyboard, with letters getting stuck. And I forget
02:24:07
◼
►
who she was tweeting with. I'll put a link in the show notes, I swear. But then, you know, and it
02:24:12
◼
►
And it just prompted a depressingly large number of people with the latest revision
02:24:20
◼
►
of these keyboards with the membrane underneath them, who are saying, "Yeah, my E key gets
02:24:24
◼
►
stuck," or "Blank gets stuck," "Mine's my spacebar."
02:24:28
◼
►
Apple has mine because the spacebar was stuck, et cetera, et cetera.
02:24:34
◼
►
So I can't help but think, as much as I like the new MacBook Pro in my testing and I didn't
02:24:39
◼
►
have any problem with the keys. It sure seems like that this, whatever they've done for
02:24:47
◼
►
the third generation has not solved the problem. And at this point, I think we're looking
02:24:51
◼
►
at this is truly unacceptable.
02:24:53
◼
►
Yeah, I've had the same like I've gone through, I forget how many now seven of them
02:24:57
◼
►
and I've had one key on one of them, the control key give me problems, but I just popped
02:25:02
◼
►
it off and cleaned it and it was fine. And I had a key fail on my 2014 MacBook Pro and
02:25:08
◼
►
to take that in and they replaced it like they would do with a modern one.
02:25:11
◼
►
But for me it's the same thing.
02:25:13
◼
►
I love the new keyboard.
02:25:14
◼
►
I like it way better than the old one, but the fact that so many people don't like it,
02:25:17
◼
►
to me when you have one manufacturer, it's different if you're like Windows and Dell
02:25:20
◼
►
and HP and everybody makes Lenovo.
02:25:22
◼
►
They all have different computers because you can have your choice.
02:25:25
◼
►
If you don't like one keyboard, buy another manufacturer.
02:25:26
◼
►
It's not a problem.
02:25:27
◼
►
But Apple is the only one who makes Mac OS laptops, so they can't afford to have anything
02:25:33
◼
►
that's divisive, whether it's mechanically or just tactically divisive.
02:25:38
◼
►
And I'll echo everybody who says, "Just put the damn iMac keyboard into the MacBook
02:25:43
◼
►
and call it a day."
02:25:44
◼
►
That was my takeaway.
02:25:46
◼
►
And I've been using it a lot.
02:25:48
◼
►
I've settled on my favorite iPad keyboard setup.
02:25:51
◼
►
My favorite iPad keyboard setup is the Apple Magic keyboard in the Studio Neat Canopy folding
02:25:59
◼
►
case, which I almost never even fold up.
02:26:01
◼
►
I just leave it open and it's just a place to put it.
02:26:05
◼
►
And I, for my use, because I don't do too much writing on the iPad and I like to hold
02:26:10
◼
►
the iPad naked without a heavy case on it so that the Apple keyboard cover is sort of
02:26:17
◼
►
And I, the mag, you know, it's not hard to get it off the magnet, but it's not easy as
02:26:23
◼
►
opposed to just using this canopy where it just doesn't snap in or anything.
02:26:27
◼
►
You just lift it in, lift it out, lift it in, lift it out.
02:26:29
◼
►
And it's a great keyboard.
02:26:30
◼
►
is an amazing keyboard. Yep. It's terrific. It is super super it is. I'm blown away at
02:26:36
◼
►
how much nicer a keyboard it is than the old magic keyboard the one that had like the took
02:26:40
◼
►
double A batteries and yeah, on the side like it's just better than both the old MacBook
02:26:45
◼
►
Pro and the new MacBook. It's really it and it could be you know, you can see how it this
02:26:50
◼
►
could be a laptop keyboard. Yeah. Oh my god. So they have that it's even worse that they
02:26:56
◼
►
they have this amazing keyboard that the company is making and they're not using it. But at
02:27:01
◼
►
this point, the thought that occurred to me last night on Twitter after reading this thread
02:27:06
◼
►
on Twitter and seeing that there's enough—nobody ever complained about stuck keys. I'm not
02:27:11
◼
►
saying that nobody's keys got stuck on older MacBooks. It happens. You know, keyboards
02:27:17
◼
►
Steve McLaughlin Yeah, it happened to me.
02:27:18
◼
►
Dave Asprey But there's clearly, clearly a problem with
02:27:20
◼
►
this butterfly design that the third generation hasn't solved where it's way more prevalent
02:27:24
◼
►
than it should be, and they're just not dependable.
02:27:27
◼
►
And it's a part of the MacBook that has to be dependable.
02:27:30
◼
►
Like, nobody is buying a MacBook
02:27:33
◼
►
who doesn't need the keyboard to be reliable.
02:27:36
◼
►
It's just fundamental to the product.
02:27:39
◼
►
And the thought that occurred to me
02:27:41
◼
►
is that this, to me, is where Apple misses Steve Jobs.
02:27:46
◼
►
I think, and again, it's dangerous territory going into the,
02:27:50
◼
►
it would be different if Steve Jobs were still there.
02:27:53
◼
►
But I'm more comfortable about it lately because I really feel like we've got enough distance
02:27:58
◼
►
from when he died, that it's no longer like an open wound.
02:28:04
◼
►
But the conventional wisdom seems to be Apple is going to miss Steve Jobs or is never going
02:28:09
◼
►
to be the same because Steve Jobs was the only person who could lead them to create
02:28:14
◼
►
amazing new products.
02:28:18
◼
►
You don't get things like the iPod and the iPhone
02:28:21
◼
►
and the iPad without Steve Jobs.
02:28:23
◼
►
And that's what Apple's all about.
02:28:26
◼
►
And I don't think that's true.
02:28:27
◼
►
And I feel like the watch is proof of that.
02:28:32
◼
►
AirPods are proof of that.
02:28:33
◼
►
They've had new products that are terrific
02:28:37
◼
►
in the last few years.
02:28:39
◼
►
To me, where I think they miss Steve Jobs
02:28:44
◼
►
isn't in the creation of great new things,
02:28:46
◼
►
it's in addressing problems.
02:28:49
◼
►
Among the dozens of ways
02:28:53
◼
►
that he was a terrific CEO of Apple,
02:28:57
◼
►
I feel like what he did when things went wrong
02:29:00
◼
►
and his ability to accept it and embrace it
02:29:05
◼
►
and say, "Yes, this is terrible, we need to fix it."
02:29:08
◼
►
Famously, there was a story about MobileMe when it launched.
02:29:14
◼
►
And he held a town hall meeting,
02:29:17
◼
►
I forget how long after it launched,
02:29:19
◼
►
but the gist of it was, you know,
02:29:20
◼
►
there's maybe 150 people could fit in there.
02:29:22
◼
►
There's a hundred people in that Apple town hall.
02:29:25
◼
►
And he said, he's up on stage and he says,
02:29:28
◼
►
let's talk about MobileMe.
02:29:29
◼
►
What is MobileMe supposed to do?
02:29:31
◼
►
And I don't know, one or two people in the audience
02:29:34
◼
►
would give their answer.
02:29:36
◼
►
And somebody gave an answer that was sufficient.
02:29:38
◼
►
You know, like, yes, here's a brief description
02:29:40
◼
►
of what MobileMe is supposed to be and do.
02:29:42
◼
►
and he goes, "Well, why the hell doesn't it do that?"
02:29:46
◼
►
- And, you know, intervening, you know,
02:29:50
◼
►
the Apple's got, in my opinion,
02:29:52
◼
►
Apple has gotten its act together on iCloud.
02:29:55
◼
►
And I know that, you know, all of a sudden
02:29:58
◼
►
there's a couple hundred people listening to his podcasts
02:30:00
◼
►
who are like, "Well, my contacts still don't sing."
02:30:02
◼
►
I'm not saying it's perfect,
02:30:03
◼
►
but it's really a lot different than it was,
02:30:06
◼
►
certainly from the MobileMe era, in terms of reliability.
02:30:08
◼
►
- One of the things that, like,
02:30:09
◼
►
one of the things I think he doesn't get enough credit for
02:30:11
◼
►
is that he was an incredibly strong auteur.
02:30:13
◼
►
He was very opinionated.
02:30:14
◼
►
But when you look at like, he did not want iTunes on Windows
02:30:17
◼
►
but he trusted his team and let them do it.
02:30:19
◼
►
Threatening them if it didn't work.
02:30:21
◼
►
Same with iPad mini, did not want an iPad mini,
02:30:23
◼
►
trusted his team, said it's your fault if you blow it.
02:30:25
◼
►
Let them do it.
02:30:26
◼
►
He loved that G4 Cube.
02:30:28
◼
►
It was unacceptable, so he canceled that thing.
02:30:30
◼
►
Like it did not last on the market for five years,
02:30:33
◼
►
you know, just collecting dust.
02:30:35
◼
►
He killed that thing.
02:30:37
◼
►
And that's the part of it I think is absolutely true.
02:30:39
◼
►
Like you can just imagine him picking up that keyboard
02:30:42
◼
►
and throwing it across the lab
02:30:44
◼
►
and saying, why is it still getting stuck?
02:30:45
◼
►
This is unacceptable, fix this,
02:30:47
◼
►
not next year, two years, whatever the roadmap is,
02:30:49
◼
►
fix this today.
02:30:50
◼
►
- There's another story.
02:30:51
◼
►
It was Adam Leschinsky, who I think still writes at Fortune,
02:30:55
◼
►
but he had a book out a couple of years ago.
02:30:58
◼
►
Unfortunately, I will get it in the show notes.
02:31:01
◼
►
But one of the stories in his book was about,
02:31:08
◼
►
Apparently every time I guess there's not that many VPs at Apple, but every time somebody would get promoted to VP
02:31:13
◼
►
Steve Jobs had a spiel that he would give them and it was like the parable of the janitor and the vice president and
02:31:22
◼
►
this I'll paraphrase here, but I'll put a link where the
02:31:27
◼
►
passage from his book is and you can read it but just if it is
02:31:30
◼
►
You're getting promoted to a vice president you meet with Steve Jobs and he says look
02:31:36
◼
►
Here's what the difference between a janitor and a vice president. Let's say I'm here in my office
02:31:41
◼
►
and I notice my trash hasn't been getting emptied and my waste basket is now overflowing. And I go
02:31:47
◼
►
to the janitor who's supposed to be emptying my waste bucket every day and I say, "Hey,
02:31:52
◼
►
I noticed my trash isn't getting emptied. What's going on?" And the janitor might say, "Well,
02:31:58
◼
►
the locks were changed on your office door and I don't have a key anymore so I couldn't get in."
02:32:04
◼
►
That's a reasonable explanation and from the janitor, it's a legitimate explanation
02:32:09
◼
►
for why my trash isn't getting emptied and we'll have to figure out something, get
02:32:14
◼
►
the guy a new key or whatever.
02:32:16
◼
►
He goes, "When you're vice president, you no longer get excuses.
02:32:21
◼
►
There is no excuse.
02:32:22
◼
►
You need to empty the trash and if you can't get in, you need to figure it out and fix
02:32:28
◼
►
Which in turn reminds me of the story of Scott Forstall in the iPhone team when the one—at
02:32:33
◼
►
point during the development—remember the story where during the original development
02:32:37
◼
►
of the iPhone, somebody, some woman on the team, there was an argument, tempers were
02:32:42
◼
►
flaring, and she slammed the door to her office, and it broke the lock or the latch, and she
02:32:47
◼
►
couldn't get out.
02:32:48
◼
►
And did you ever hear this story?
02:32:51
◼
►
I think it was in Ken Kishenda's book.
02:32:54
◼
►
Oh, maybe then, yeah.
02:32:57
◼
►
And they're on a deadline, and she's locked in there, and they've got work to do.
02:33:03
◼
►
And so, first of all, somebody had a baseball bat and first of all, just took a baseball
02:33:06
◼
►
bat and just bashed her door in to get her out.
02:33:09
◼
►
Yeah. Right. But they weren't going to wait. It's like, you know what I mean? But it's
02:33:12
◼
►
almost like, it's like forestall almost exemplified what Jobs is talking about and that, you know,
02:33:19
◼
►
they needed her to be, you know, they needed her that night to do work and she locked in
02:33:23
◼
►
a room and not going to wait for like building services to come just take a baseball bat
02:33:27
◼
►
and tell her to stand away from the door and bash the doorknob in. Yeah. Anyway, my thinking
02:33:33
◼
►
on that is that there's some VP who's ultimately responsible for this keyboard. And to me,
02:33:39
◼
►
the time for excuses is over. And I again, I am not presumptive enough to say call for
02:33:46
◼
►
somebody to be fired. I mean, it's, you know, I but I and I, so I don't take this lightly.
02:33:53
◼
►
But to me, this is to the point where maybe somebody should be fired. Like, I think it's
02:33:57
◼
►
that serious? And where does the buck stop? And my fear is that in the post Steve Jobs
02:34:05
◼
►
Apple, this keyboard, MacBook keyboard thing is it off on its own. And the people who are
02:34:15
◼
►
deciding how to fix it and what to do going forward are the same people who designed it
02:34:20
◼
►
in the and approved it in the first place.
02:34:22
◼
►
Well, they have fired people in the recent past for stuff like, like not for the keyboard,
02:34:29
◼
►
but for issues that involve products being late and not being delivered on time or problems
02:34:33
◼
►
with the products.
02:34:34
◼
►
Like some of the people who were in charge of those two years ago, three years ago, were
02:34:37
◼
►
no longer there.
02:34:38
◼
►
They're just, it's just not very public.
02:34:41
◼
►
So I'm, this is just particularly bewildering because it's been so like the sentiment around
02:34:46
◼
►
it is so toxic.
02:34:48
◼
►
You just have all these like people like Joanna, people like Casey Neistat, people who get
02:34:51
◼
►
get a ton of attention. Casey Johnston railing on it all the time and nothing, you know,
02:34:56
◼
►
and they did that, you know, maybe you can see, Oh, we're going to fix it with a membrane,
02:34:59
◼
►
but it just, it's, it's, it doesn't get fixed. And that is not really like, to your point,
02:35:04
◼
►
that's not really how things got done. It's, it's doing reputational harm to the MacBook
02:35:09
◼
►
brand. And it is, it's truly this, in my opinion, the second most important brand at the company
02:35:16
◼
►
behind the phone. I mean, you can argue it would be a fine argument to make to say iPad
02:35:21
◼
►
is more important than MacBook, but it's at least close. But in terms of, you know, units
02:35:26
◼
►
that they sell a lot more iPads, but in terms of revenue, they sell more MacBooks.
02:35:30
◼
►
Like they didn't leave that antenna busted for three years on the iPhone four that was fixed by
02:35:35
◼
►
the time it was on Verizon. Right? It was Yeah, it didn't even take a year. Yeah, it was already
02:35:40
◼
►
fixed in the in the iPhone six, like, you know, they fixed this structural integrity of that by
02:35:45
◼
►
iPhone 6s, you know, all these things fixed.
02:35:50
◼
►
It's, I feel like that revision last summer with the, okay, here's our third generation,
02:35:58
◼
►
we've added a membrane.
02:36:00
◼
►
Officially, they're only saying that the membrane makes it quieter.
02:36:04
◼
►
Honestly, I mean, that was for legal reasons.
02:36:08
◼
►
Well, I think for many reasons, but I think legal among them.
02:36:12
◼
►
but unofficially was also intended to prevent, what do you call it? Egress? Prevent particles
02:36:18
◼
►
from getting in there and causing problems, causing keys to get stuck or malfunction.
02:36:23
◼
►
I guess a lot of people are having a problem with the space bar where it doesn't get
02:36:26
◼
►
stuck but they hit the space bar and you get two spaces instead of one, which I guess isn't
02:36:32
◼
►
as bad a problem, but again, it's awful. You just expect, I've been using, I've
02:36:37
◼
►
a MacBook Pro here that it's a 2014 that I've used thousands of times since 2014.
02:36:46
◼
►
To the best of my knowledge, I've never once hit the space bar and had two spaces appear.
02:36:52
◼
►
Seriously, how many times have I used the space? Have I typed a space on this MacBook
02:36:57
◼
►
Pro? It's like one of those job interview puzzles like, "Hmm, what's a good estimate?"
02:37:05
◼
►
If I write a couple thousand words a day, every word is separated by a space, right?
02:37:13
◼
►
So thousands of words, thousands of days, right? Easily millions, right? It sounds ridiculous.
02:37:22
◼
►
You think, well, you've typed millions of spaces? But if I type thousands of words a
02:37:26
◼
►
day over several thousand days, you know, and this has been almost four and a half years,
02:37:32
◼
►
I don't think it's ridiculous to think I've typed a million or two spaces with
02:37:37
◼
►
this keyboard.
02:37:39
◼
►
To my knowledge, I can't recall one time, not even one in a million, where I've gotten
02:37:44
◼
►
That's how—and that's not crazy.
02:37:46
◼
►
It's not like, "Oh, only Apple made keyboards where you hit the space a million times in
02:37:50
◼
►
a row and get one space."
02:37:52
◼
►
I mean, that's pretty common on quality laptops from any brand.
02:37:55
◼
►
I really think that this is causing irreparable—not irreparable, but serious reputational harm
02:38:02
◼
►
MacBook brand that will outlast the keyboards. Like even they're at the point now where they
02:38:06
◼
►
can fix it and it's still going to be in people's minds that MacBooks aren't don't have reliable
02:38:11
◼
►
keyboards. Yeah, they'll wonder every time they buy one where there's going to be reliable or not,
02:38:15
◼
►
which is the last thing you want them wondering. Right. And on the other side of the same surface,
02:38:21
◼
►
the track pads are so amazingly good. Like, yes, it's, you know, the new trackpad that doesn't use
02:38:29
◼
►
the diving board mechanism, you know, where it's all virtual clicking and it feels like
02:38:34
◼
►
real clicking and it's equally clickable at the top and the bottom and there made it nice and big.
02:38:39
◼
►
You know, that's right in the MacBook brand, you know, best trackpads in the industry. That's part
02:38:47
◼
►
of the MacBook brand best keyboards in the industry should be too. And instead, it's arguably
02:38:52
◼
►
the worst keyboards in the industry. I think it's got to happen. It's hard to believe the two and
02:38:58
◼
►
- The two things came from the same engineering division.
02:39:00
◼
►
- And I can't help but think,
02:39:02
◼
►
it's almost like Apple's in a bad spot where,
02:39:05
◼
►
like the MacBook Airs just came out, you know,
02:39:08
◼
►
and they're not, you know,
02:39:10
◼
►
they can either stick with this keyboard design
02:39:14
◼
►
and have all the, you know,
02:39:16
◼
►
suffer the continuing degradation of the brand
02:39:19
◼
►
and the confidence people have in these products,
02:39:21
◼
►
or they can fix it with a new keyboard design,
02:39:24
◼
►
which means they're upgrading, updating the hardware,
02:39:27
◼
►
sooner than they had expected to, you know, and at a cost to the company, you know, that
02:39:33
◼
►
they expect to get X number of years out of a design.
02:39:37
◼
►
Yeah, no, and it's, it seems like we'll see with this, so the 16 inch MacBook Pro is supposed
02:39:45
◼
►
to be sort of like a 17 inch screen put into a 15 inch chassis, sort of like what we had
02:39:50
◼
►
with the iPhone and the iPad Pro and a complete redesign. So this, it's, it's kind of weird.
02:39:56
◼
►
We didn't see this with the MacBook Air,
02:39:58
◼
►
but that looks like it's using the exact same process
02:40:01
◼
►
as the previous ones.
02:40:02
◼
►
If this is a new design and they stick
02:40:04
◼
►
with the same keyboard, it's gonna be flabbergasting.
02:40:07
◼
►
- What do you think?
02:40:08
◼
►
So do you think if it's true that they're coming out
02:40:10
◼
►
with a 16 or whatever inch MacBook Pro,
02:40:15
◼
►
do you think it's like effectively the 15 inch footprint
02:40:19
◼
►
but with more of an edge to edge display?
02:40:20
◼
►
Not a return of the lunch tray 17 inch footprint?
02:40:25
◼
►
the destroyer, the battleship.
02:40:27
◼
►
- Which again, my wife was a huge fan of.
02:40:30
◼
►
She read this rumor.
02:40:31
◼
►
I didn't even tell her
02:40:32
◼
►
'cause I didn't wanna get her hopes up
02:40:33
◼
►
and somehow she found it on her own.
02:40:35
◼
►
I think a friend of the show, Paul Kefasis,
02:40:37
◼
►
told her in a text message
02:40:38
◼
►
and now she's all hepped up about it.
02:40:40
◼
►
But I told her, I was like,
02:40:41
◼
►
"I don't think it's gonna be that."
02:40:44
◼
►
I mean, you can get the 15-inch MacBook
02:40:46
◼
►
and it'll have a bigger display,
02:40:47
◼
►
but I don't think you're getting the big iMac,
02:40:51
◼
►
17-inch iMac in a laptop that we had before.
02:40:55
◼
►
I used to joke, where's my iMac, my iMacbook Pro?
02:41:00
◼
►
But really, there's so many technologies
02:41:02
◼
►
that Apple hasn't brought down to the MacBook line,
02:41:04
◼
►
including the new design language, which
02:41:06
◼
►
is the iPhone 10, and this year's-- sorry,
02:41:08
◼
►
last year's iPad Pro, that it's sort of really easy
02:41:10
◼
►
to see where those cues would make sense on a MacBook Pro.
02:41:14
◼
►
And we look at the LG Gram.
02:41:17
◼
►
The LG Gram is a 17-inch laptop that
02:41:18
◼
►
looks like something from the future,
02:41:20
◼
►
and that's where the industry is moving.
02:41:22
◼
►
Yeah, I don't know.
02:41:23
◼
►
And then Jackie Chang, who's now working,
02:41:27
◼
►
she used to be at Ars Technica,
02:41:28
◼
►
then she was at Wirecutter,
02:41:30
◼
►
and now she's at, I forget which radio station,
02:41:33
◼
►
she's at a classical radio station in New York
02:41:35
◼
►
as their editorial director.
02:41:36
◼
►
Sorry, Jackie, I don't remember the radio station.
02:41:39
◼
►
But she mentioned that at her new job,
02:41:42
◼
►
they got her a new 13-inch MacBook Air
02:41:45
◼
►
that she's, you know, work provided, so she's using it.
02:41:47
◼
►
But like, for her, it's replacing
02:41:50
◼
►
like a 2013 MacBook Air that she owned.
02:41:53
◼
►
And that the only real thing she notices that's better is the retina display, which is obvious.
02:41:57
◼
►
And it's a big, you know, it's a big thing to put an asterisk next to I mean, it's obviously
02:42:00
◼
►
a nicer display.
02:42:02
◼
►
But like I tweeted to her, I was like, and conversely, like in 2013, when you got a MacBook
02:42:07
◼
►
Air, if you were replacing a then five year old 2008 MacBook of some sort, you're like
02:42:13
◼
►
amazed in a lot of ways.
02:42:16
◼
►
Like there's like, wow, this is so much faster.
02:42:17
◼
►
And it's so much thinner, and it's so much lighter, and the display is better and the
02:42:21
◼
►
trackpad is better, you know.
02:42:22
◼
►
the list goes on and on. There's a certain lack of wow in a new MacBook today compared
02:42:32
◼
►
to five years ago.
02:42:33
◼
►
And that MacBook Air, not the first one. The second one, it redefined all laptops for half
02:42:40
◼
►
a decade. They became the model for the Ultrabooks. And no one else has done that yet. It's
02:42:44
◼
►
not just an Apple thing. There are very advanced laptops that are very nice. There are gaming
02:42:49
◼
►
laptops that have like all sorts of neon keys, but there's nothing that's been industry transformative.
02:42:53
◼
►
I think that's again similar to like, because people like to make things about Apple, but
02:42:57
◼
►
when you look at the phone market, the same things are true for Apple that are for Samsung
02:43:00
◼
►
and Huawei and everybody. We've just reached a point where this stuff has been home. It's
02:43:05
◼
►
like the old Excel thing. Excel looks like Lotus because that's what the job it has to
02:43:09
◼
►
do. And we've reached that point where we've chiseled away almost everything unnecessary
02:43:14
◼
►
and you can play around with it. You can give it fancy casings and light ups and things
02:43:17
◼
►
like that, but they're just so good at doing that job. Unless someone has a really new
02:43:21
◼
►
way, like the MacBook Air was a really new way of making these computers, unibody was
02:43:26
◼
►
a huge shift. It's hard to see what that next huge leap forward is unless it is something
02:43:30
◼
►
like the iPad Pro or the Surface or these transformables.
02:43:34
◼
►
Dave Asprey Yeah. I don't know. So anyway, bottom line,
02:43:38
◼
►
I don't expect MacBooks at March, but maybe. I don't know. Probably not pros, but maybe
02:43:45
◼
►
an updated 12-inch but nothing, I don't expect, radical. And the keyboard saga will go on.
02:43:54
◼
►
Anything else you wanted to talk about before we cut off for the week?
02:43:58
◼
►
No, I mean, I think we hit all the big nails on there.
02:44:02
◼
►
Let me ask you this. I'm so curious about you and your continued drive into being a YouTuber. And
02:44:08
◼
►
like I said, I'm really enjoying it. I think, you know, it's just that you want to get better
02:44:13
◼
►
at something do it like yeah you've always been good at the videos but since you've like doubled
02:44:19
◼
►
down on vector and the the your youtube channel when did you when did that start was that like
02:44:25
◼
►
a year ago almost literally a year ago the year it was the home pod review was my first video
02:44:30
◼
►
it's you've gotten so much better you know like your recent videos all right i mean i've been
02:44:37
◼
►
into them and i've enjoyed i enjoyed your home pod review you know it's not like you were bad
02:44:40
◼
►
and now you're good, but you've clearly gotten a style down to the show.
02:44:45
◼
►
And I'm just curious how long, how much time that consumes of your week?
02:44:53
◼
►
Almost all my time right now because I have this weird affliction where when I blogged
02:44:59
◼
►
I had to blog continuously and when I made podcasts I wanted to do it daily and now I'm
02:45:03
◼
►
trying to do YouTube videos daily and they take so much more time than a podcast because
02:45:09
◼
►
of a lot of the editing and b-roll and you have to be visual and audio and all these
02:45:13
◼
►
things but it feels like it's the only way to get good to me.
02:45:17
◼
►
I'm not good at being good otherwise.
02:45:19
◼
►
I learn everything by doing it.
02:45:22
◼
►
So I wake up and I film a video and I spend most of the rest of the day editing it and
02:45:26
◼
►
then I post it the next morning or in the evening if it's more urgent.
02:45:30
◼
►
And what's your current setup?
02:45:33
◼
►
How are you reading the script?
02:45:34
◼
►
Do you have a teleprompter type thing?
02:45:36
◼
►
Like do you use an iPad?
02:45:39
◼
►
I didn't initially and then people told me I spoke way too quickly.
02:45:43
◼
►
And so I got Joe Chaplinsky, a friend of the show, he does podcasts.
02:45:49
◼
►
He's in Whiskus' band.
02:45:51
◼
►
amazing they do a teleprompter plus plus app and I set it like a speed that was uncomfortably
02:45:55
◼
►
slow for me so I would force myself to slow down and it's working and I have a combination
02:46:02
◼
►
of things in there and notes and bullet points that I want to make sure I hit.
02:46:06
◼
►
And what's that an iPad app?
02:46:08
◼
►
Yeah it's an iPad app and you can run it off your iPhone so I can I sometimes I often have
02:46:11
◼
►
a friend with me helping me do all do everything but I can put it next to my next to me on
02:46:16
◼
►
when I'm reading and then just go up and down on the iPhone and that'll adjust the iPad.
02:46:21
◼
►
And what camera are you using?
02:46:22
◼
►
I'm using the Panasonic GH5 just because it was well regarded. I know a lot of people like
02:46:28
◼
►
the Sony's, but I like the fact that I can turn it around and see myself in the viewfinder.
02:46:33
◼
►
Well, I'm really enjoying it and I'm not surprised in the least
02:46:38
◼
►
find out that it's taking you all day every day to do it because it really does show.
02:46:45
◼
►
Thank you. That is the thing. That's one of the other things I've heard is that in the growth of this and I hate the word
02:46:50
◼
►
Influencer that's whole influence everything. But yeah, there's obviously a lot of people who you know who are
02:46:57
◼
►
As an independent content producer myself I
02:47:01
◼
►
the YouTube thing is
02:47:04
◼
►
Farfield from what I've done or a field maybe not far afield. Yeah, but I'm impressed
02:47:12
◼
►
By the success people are having and I'm not surprised because you know TV was so popular, you know in the last millennium
02:47:19
◼
►
Our century it's no surprise that these this, you know making these little eight minute ish
02:47:25
◼
►
things in this century has proven to be a
02:47:28
◼
►
million million viewer
02:47:31
◼
►
popular for a lot of people
02:47:34
◼
►
But I keep reading that it it is super super consuming because the way you know
02:47:41
◼
►
the algorithm works, the algorithms work at YouTube, getting popular is great, but to
02:47:50
◼
►
stay popular, you really need to keep pumping out the videos. The quality demands don't
02:47:57
◼
►
go down in terms of tightness of editing and camera work, et cetera, et cetera.
02:48:03
◼
►
I mean, that's true to some extent. The interesting thing for me is if you look at
02:48:08
◼
►
Like Shane Dawson, who's hugely popular, or CGP Grey, mutual friend, they don't release
02:48:13
◼
►
a lot of videos, but when they do, they're like absolute events, and they get just ungodly
02:48:19
◼
►
amounts of attention.
02:48:21
◼
►
For me, it's just that I'm still not good enough at filming that I can capture the story
02:48:26
◼
►
in the camera, so I do a lot of work in the edit, which means I can't hand it off to anybody
02:48:31
◼
►
else to do for me.
02:48:32
◼
►
And I'm not sure I would anyway.
02:48:34
◼
►
I've had podcasts edited for a long time.
02:48:35
◼
►
Jim Metzendorf does a great job with that for me.
02:48:38
◼
►
But with the video, I'm still telling the story in the edit
02:48:41
◼
►
and that's what takes so long for me.
02:48:43
◼
►
- I enjoy, I also enjoy,
02:48:44
◼
►
and I think you're getting clever at it,
02:48:46
◼
►
is your integration of the sponsor reads into the script.
02:48:50
◼
►
- Oh, thank you.
02:48:51
◼
►
- Where, and it's almost, it's like you're,
02:48:54
◼
►
I don't think you'll take it the wrong way.
02:48:57
◼
►
You're sort of cornball, you like a pun, you know?
02:49:00
◼
►
You do like a pun.
02:49:02
◼
►
And so sometimes the way you work it in,
02:49:04
◼
►
It's supposed to be a little corny
02:49:06
◼
►
in the way that you work it in,
02:49:07
◼
►
but it's not abrupt like the Skillshare one
02:49:10
◼
►
in the most recent one that I watched.
02:49:13
◼
►
It was just super funny, I thought, and very clever.
02:49:16
◼
►
In a world where people are blocking,
02:49:25
◼
►
using software to block ads,
02:49:26
◼
►
like to me, and it's near and dear to my heart
02:49:28
◼
►
as the person doing a podcast
02:49:30
◼
►
with these sponsorship things is,
02:49:32
◼
►
How do you make ads that not only people don't want to block, but they actually want to listen
02:49:37
◼
►
Yeah, well, I mean, you're also a huge inspiration for that because I don't turn on Google Analytics.
02:49:42
◼
►
I don't turn on Google.
02:49:43
◼
►
It's not even set up on the account.
02:49:45
◼
►
There's no overlay ads.
02:49:47
◼
►
There's no pre-roll, mid-roll, post-roll.
02:49:49
◼
►
You're never getting interrupted with that.
02:49:51
◼
►
And I use the strict sponsorship model, and I want it to not feel—I want it to be as
02:49:57
◼
►
an enjoyable experience as possible.
02:50:00
◼
►
And so I try to like be tongue in cheek with it.
02:50:02
◼
►
And then I try to keep it as short as possible
02:50:04
◼
►
because videos are nowhere nearly as long as podcasts.
02:50:07
◼
►
And I don't want to spend a lot of your time on the sponsor.
02:50:10
◼
►
So I try to get in and out and make it relevant
02:50:12
◼
►
to the video.
02:50:13
◼
►
- No, it is, the podcasts are the anti, or not podcasts,
02:50:16
◼
►
YouTube videos are the anti-podcasts where,
02:50:18
◼
►
here we are approaching hour three,
02:50:20
◼
►
or do we just cross hour three?
02:50:23
◼
►
You know, and your videos are, you know,
02:50:25
◼
►
sorry that the video is seven minutes long.
02:50:28
◼
►
didn't have enough time to make it six minutes. It's like that Mark Twain line about writing
02:50:33
◼
►
a long letter. It just takes more work to make the point in six minutes, but it's even
02:50:39
◼
►
better if you do. And that includes it.
02:50:42
◼
►
I told you this before. It's one of my favorite stories in recent years in terms of the way
02:50:47
◼
►
that little kids' minds think. And it stuck with me. Somebody on Twitter was blown away.
02:50:54
◼
►
like our age, you know, had a little girl and her and her friends all call advertisements skip ads.
02:51:00
◼
►
Yeah. And that's all ads, whether they actually are like YouTube ads with a skip ad button,
02:51:08
◼
►
they just call them skip ads. Because that's what they that's what the label says skip ad.
02:51:12
◼
►
And really, you know, that's but it also clearly shows their mentality of them that these,
02:51:19
◼
►
These are things you skip, which is, you know, not conducive to continuing to have them.
02:51:25
◼
►
Absolutely. Anyway, keep up the good work. I really think it's great. And it's, you know,
02:51:31
◼
►
it's been a very, you know, and I can only assume you're going strong. It's not like, you know,
02:51:35
◼
►
you're in it for a year, but it's you're in, you're more invested in it than ever. Right?
02:51:39
◼
►
Yeah. And I might, I might end up being totally terrible at it. We'll see. But so far,
02:51:43
◼
►
I'm just gonna keep working at it. Yeah. Well, it shows and I really enjoy it.
02:51:48
◼
►
everybody else. You can read the rest of Renee's work of course at iMore.com and he's @ReneeRitchie
02:51:54
◼
►
on Twitter and then the YouTube channel is Vector. You can just probably just go to YouTube and
02:52:00
◼
►
search for it. My thanks to our sponsors this week. Let's see if I can do it off the top of
02:52:06
◼
►
my head. We have Squarespace where you can go to build a website. Fracture. Fracture, of course,
02:52:13
◼
►
where you can go to print your pictures. And then our new sponsor, first time sponsor of the show,
02:52:17
◼
►
Marine layer where you can go to get super super soft t-shirts and sweatshirts made out of trees
02:52:23
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My thanks to them. Thanks for name