187: On the Edge
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The show is tweeting.
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Upload the GIF.
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(classical music)
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Welcome to Connected from Relay FM.
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This is episode 187.
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It's brought to you this week by Squarespace,
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Pingdom, and Freshbooks.
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I'm your host, Steven Hackett,
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and I am joined by my cohost.
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In cohost slot number one, I have Federico Vittucci.
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Hello Federico.
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Hi Steven, how are you?
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I am good, and loaded into co-hosts.
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I demand zero, I demand number zero, please.
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Slot number 1A, Myke Early.
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Okay, that'll do.
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Did you get the reference?
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No, I did, 'cause Steve Jobs wanted to be.
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Steve Jobs reference?
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I thought it was like some kind of binary joke
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that were like zero and one,
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and Steven is the owner of the computer
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and owns the code, because he's the, you know.
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- Codemaster, that's what they call them.
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- Yes, it's the Codemaster, Steven.
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Please save us from this and do follow up.
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Steven, please.
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- Before that, we have to have story time with Uncle Steven.
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So the reference, I won't explain the reference
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because if you're the KC of that reference,
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it's just fine, I can't help you.
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But that comes up again when they introduced
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the 20th anniversary Mac.
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They did it at the end of this keynote.
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Steve Jobs had just been hired back as an advisor.
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and it was like the worst keynote ever and they give,
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Apple gives a 20th anniversary Mac to Steve Jobs
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and to Wozniak and the guy, the presenter,
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who's like some random person at Apple, makes the joke.
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He's like, oh, you know, Woz, your TAM is serial number one,
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but we made Steve Jobs serial number zero.
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And it's like said with like contempt, it's super awkward.
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I will see if I can find a link to it,
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But just trust me that it happened and it's weird.
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Anyways, OK, follow up.
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This has actually given me an idea.
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Federico, have you ever seen The Pirates of Silicon Valley?
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Oh, yeah, I love the movie.
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Because that's where it comes from.
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I was thinking that, you know, maybe a member special,
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we could watch that this year.
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What do you think about that?
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That'd be good.
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That could be fun, right?
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That's right.
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It's going in my document.
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So look out for that in August.
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See you in August.
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Thanks to our sponsors this week. No, no, no, we can't leave yet. We have follow-up
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to do. Oh, woof. Okay, after the follow-up we can go, right? Yeah, okay, fine. We're
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going to start with iOS 11.3. After being in beta for what felt like about eight years,
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it finally shipped. Yeah. Yeah, they started working on this in 2010. That's a long time
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ago. It's just funny that they were working on it for eight years and they didn't ship
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to the major features, right? It's funny. It's funny that that happens.
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Well, I mean, a company at this scale, Myke, you've got to understand.
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I think it's the organizational structure, because they're like, what is it? They're
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in like pillars? I can't remember it.
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Do you know some employee-only internal names, Myke? I know that you love those internal
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Yeah, I do. But I can't talk about them right now, because I'll give away my source. What
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is happening?
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I've lost control of follow-up.
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deep memes now we're like this deep into like just apple reporting memes this is what happens
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if you let us if you let us wrestle the controller follow-up with okay so federico 11.3 is out it did
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not include airplay 2 it did not include iMessage and the iCloud syncing thing uh what did it include
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So we have... do you remember it was before the holidays when everybody was upset about
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the battery and the iPhone shutting down? Well now there's the setting that Apple promised,
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you can go into the settings battery screen and see the battery health of your device.
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This is the weirdest screen I have ever seen on any Apple product of all time.
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Yeah, there's a button that it's not a button but it works like one.
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I know, it's like a fake button. It's very strange, it's really weird. It's like, oh,
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you compress peak performance capability but nothing happens. It's really weird.
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Yeah. So, also, I don't think, I mean, of course the media doesn't care about this story
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anymore. Apple promised the fix, the fix is here. And I guess people are still, you know,
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going into, rushing into the Apple retail stores to get their phones checked out. I
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think it's good news that everybody can now go into settings and confirm that
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you know what the status of the battery is. We have ARKit 1.5 with some of the
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most important feature requests from developers, vertical surface recognition
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so ARKit can now recognize walls and other objects of different shapes.
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The resolution has increased and there is camera autofocus.
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Have you played with any apps that are using this new stuff?
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Not yet. Which made me think about whether the developer, you know, attention around this as sort of,
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you know, it's quieter now. Everybody was sending me demos and betas of ARKit stuff
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back in August and early September. I don't know, I guess maybe developers need more time or...
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I don't know, I saw some numbers. I think it was Sensor Tower, the analytics firm,
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about the total downloads of ARKit apps so far.
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Something like 13 million downloads
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of ARKit enabled apps on iOS.
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Which it sounds like a big number, but it really isn't.
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Because first of all, it's not total apps, of course,
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it's total downloads.
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And when you consider how many people have access
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to the apps, or how many people have
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the latest generation iPhones,
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or iPads that support ARKit,
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13 million in like, what is that?
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six, seven months. - Six months, six months.
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- It's really not a big number, so I don't know.
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ARKit 1.5, and we have new Animoji.
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You can be a dragon, you can be a lion,
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you can be a bear, you can be a skull.
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Is that all?
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I think it's all that we got.
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And along with 11.3 also comes
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the related HomePod software update,
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which according to some people,
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namely MrRambo on Twitter and 9to5Mac,
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It's the HomePod OS, it's called Audio OS internally,
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if you look into the code strings and stuff,
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but to the user, it's not shown, it's just--
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- Is it Audio OS or Audio OS?
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- Oh, I see what you mean.
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I'm not sure, I think it's Audio OS.
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- It's gotta be, right?
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Like, I would be so disappointed if they called it Audio OS.
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'Cause it just like audios, which is also kind of funny.
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- Yeah, I don't think it's two Os, I think it's just one--
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Interesting.
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- I'm very pleased to tell you that all the issues
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with SiriKit that I was having before,
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that the HomePod was telling me that apps were not installed
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where actually they were, those have all been fixed.
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And I've been talking to both to John and Ryan
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at Mac Stories and also with some readers.
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Everybody who was having these problems
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with the HomePod and SiriKit before,
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they all appear to be fixed now,
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that the HomePod is finally able to see
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that you actually have apps installed on your device
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and those apps have been authorized for SiriKit usage.
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So that at least is a good fix.
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But then again, we don't have a stereo pairing,
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we don't have AirPlay 2,
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we don't have messages in the cloud,
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and those are supposedly coming with 11.4,
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which is now in beta, but it's not here
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and it will be probably available in June.
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I don't know.
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- Well, they said it, right?
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The education event.
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They said that some would like the ClassKit stuff
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is June with 11.4.
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- Yeah, so I suppose it will be launching in June.
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I wondered if maybe Apple could do something like 11.4
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comes out in May,
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but you get to download the Schoolwork app
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that contains ClassKit as a separate download later in June?
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Well, let me just say, let me just say, right, like, if you released new iPads, you might
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need a software release.
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That's also true.
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That's also true.
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So like, if, you know, here we go, I'm going to roll out with the conspiracy theories now.
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Just saying, just saying though, I mean, if you have a new iPad.
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I'm just saying, like, if you had one, right, you might need an operating system update
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around the same time. So there we go. This is not in the follow-up section, but I want
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to talk about that for a second. So we did have iPad Pros last year at WWDC, along with
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iMacs and a bunch of notebooks, and the iMac Pro of course came like six months later.
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Apple has not been in the habit of hardware releases at WWDC for a long time, and really
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last year was really a different, like a break from their normal tradition of really not
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having much hardware if any at WWDC do we just all think now that they're gonna
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have hardware every June like I'm not convinced that we're not gonna wait to
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the fall again I don't think that it is like a definite that it's gonna happen
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every June but I just think that enough things are happening which would
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indicate to me that the iPad pros are coming in June one of the main reasons
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that I believe this now is because the Apple pencil is supported on the
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cheapest iPad that for them to continue to want to sell iPad pros they need to
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widen the gap between those two products again so you know like the pencil has
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always been a pro feature well now it's not so they want to try and make sure
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that the gap is wider again for the iPads and it makes sense to do that
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sooner rather than later so that's why I think if we're gonna get it happens in
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June I also think we're just not gonna get iPad yeah in September anymore
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because it's not important enough and there's no point in taking time away
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from the iPhone keynote like you may as well do them on a different schedule I
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don't think that it is beneficial particularly to hold them until September
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if they don't need to it also gets rid of the weird awkwardness of like will
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they or won't they have an October event you know for a long time they had both
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and they didn't and a lot of times that second fall event was like iPads and
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like other stuff some Mac stuff that was kind of just like grab bag and very
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rarely did the October event have like a nice thread all the way through it so
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yeah I mean I don't I think it's definitely possible I'm not saying it's
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not I just think that it's interesting they've done it once and now we kind of
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take it for granted but anyways yeah I mean also if you're gonna have iOS 12
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with no iPad specific features of the WWDC giving pro users a new iPad is a
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good way to sort of calm those concerns down, to say, "Well, you have no new features, but
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hey, look, you got a new iPad with Face ID and a new design and no home button." So everybody's
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still kind of happy, even though the software is still basically the same.
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So we talked about the education event. Was that only a week ago? It seems like that event
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was a year ago.
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It was actually in 2012. They did it in New York. They introduced textbooks.
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There were a couple of bits of follow up.
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I wanted to point people to an episode of Simple Beep,
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which is a podcast I've talked about before.
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They talk about Apple history stuff.
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They did a really cool episode
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about Apple's history in education.
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So we talked a little bit about this,
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how they gave a bunch of Apple IIs away
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to California schools.
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I learned a ton of stuff.
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In the '90s, Apple had some crazy education initiatives
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where they were trying to build first-party software,
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and they had two releases,
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and then just disbanded the team,
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all sorts of different programs.
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It was eye-opening.
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I didn't really realize a lot of the specifics.
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So there'll be a link to that in the show notes.
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If you wanna get into that, it's a good place to start.
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But we also have some follow-up about Logitech's name.
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I don't know who put this in the show notes.
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One of you wanna take this?
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- Yeah, this came to us from Toto,
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'cause we were talking about Logitech last week, right?
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known as Logi in Europe. Apparently in Japan, they're called LogiCool, which is really
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good because they're both logical and LogiCool. It's great. That should be their name everywhere.
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I think that's great. I think it's a very good name and I appreciate finding that out.
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If Logitech called anything different in your country, please write in for my new regular
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Yeah, in the Vatican, in the Vatican they're called the Logitruth. So that's something
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that I heard from a few friends. I feel like that's going in places that I
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don't understand and I really want to move away from. So, we were talking about LTE Apple
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watches not expanding outside of the US and the UK and like the original countries. Turns
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out... And then we cause it to happen.
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There's the reverse curse. The LTE Apple Watch is coming to Thailand on April 5th.
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And we also had someone write into us, I'm not sure if we're able to say who, so I haven't
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included their name, but they know who they are, that they said that they'd had some conversations
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with some networks in places in Europe. And apparently the reason that we're not seeing
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the LTE Apple Watch expand very quickly is because there is network technology which is required to
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be in place for something like the LTE Apple Watch 2 exist. I expect it's probably something
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to do with that phone number thing, right? You know, where it has like the phone number
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crossover or whatever. So it seems like the reason that we're not seeing this expand very quickly is
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because of slow network adoption and we all know how badly that can go. So maybe it's going to be
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quite a while until this expands widely. Sorry, Federico. Did we complete the follow-up?
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Yeah, I think so.
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Are we done now?
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Yeah, you can go.
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I'm going to talk about Squarespace and we'll see you next week.
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So there was a Bloomberg report earlier on this week about the possibility of Apple moving
00:15:59
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to Arm Max in 2020. Stephen, can you tell us what's going on?
00:16:04
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Yeah, so this is something that's kind of been low-level background for a long time.
00:16:10
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You have to go back to the show notes to find the first time we talked about Arm Max, but
00:16:14
◼
►
It was years ago, I'm sure.
00:16:16
◼
►
But this story from Gherman and Ian King
00:16:21
◼
►
over on Bloomberg,
00:16:22
◼
►
we're kind of putting some of the pieces together
00:16:25
◼
►
that Apple is very much in the work
00:16:30
◼
►
of building individually shipping Macs with ARM processors
00:16:35
◼
►
instead of Intel processors.
00:16:37
◼
►
They talk a lot about the iMac Pro
00:16:40
◼
►
and the Touch Bar MacBook Pros
00:16:42
◼
►
that have ARM chips in them now.
00:16:45
◼
►
So like my iMac Pro has what Apple calls the T2 chip,
00:16:48
◼
►
and that's not a processor in the sense that,
00:16:51
◼
►
you know, if I export an audio file,
00:16:53
◼
►
the T2 is not like doing work to make that happen,
00:16:57
◼
►
but the T2 is sort of a helper,
00:16:58
◼
►
it's a little buddy, a little processor buddy,
00:17:00
◼
►
who is in charge of things like the speakers
00:17:03
◼
►
and the FaceTime camera and the SSDs,
00:17:07
◼
►
and it's sort of a management tool
00:17:10
◼
►
as opposed to like an outright processor.
00:17:13
◼
►
And that seems to be what will be the case
00:17:15
◼
►
with the upcoming Mac Pro as well,
00:17:17
◼
►
according to this article.
00:17:18
◼
►
But that is just a stepping stone to Apple
00:17:21
◼
►
replacing the Intel Core, you know,
00:17:24
◼
►
i3, i5, i7, Xeon, with something arm-based
00:17:29
◼
►
that they are developing in-house.
00:17:31
◼
►
And of course, Apple doesn't fab those chips,
00:17:33
◼
►
they outsource the fabrication to other companies,
00:17:36
◼
►
but it's an Apple design with Apple technology in it.
00:17:40
◼
►
And, you know, I don't know if it's because
00:17:43
◼
►
there's also talk about like the software thing,
00:17:46
◼
►
but this kind of all feels inevitable when we get into that.
00:17:49
◼
►
But the software story is important here too.
00:17:51
◼
►
So this kind of, in this article,
00:17:53
◼
►
is a little hand in hand with Project Marzipan,
00:17:56
◼
►
which we've talked about before,
00:17:57
◼
►
which is what Apple's expected to do this summer,
00:18:00
◼
►
giving developers tools and a pathway
00:18:03
◼
►
to take an iOS app or iOS code base
00:18:08
◼
►
and compile an app for the Mac
00:18:11
◼
►
with some sort of shared layer,
00:18:13
◼
►
some sort of bridge between the two.
00:18:15
◼
►
We don't really know what that looks like yet,
00:18:17
◼
►
but that, I think in this,
00:18:19
◼
►
I think these two stories are related
00:18:21
◼
►
in ways that we can explore.
00:18:22
◼
►
So that's kind of the story.
00:18:23
◼
►
Intel dropped like 9% of its stock price after this.
00:18:27
◼
►
- Which is really weird, right?
00:18:29
◼
►
Like, because what are they like,
00:18:30
◼
►
what did it say, they're like 5%
00:18:32
◼
►
of their overall business or something?
00:18:34
◼
►
- Yeah, so 5% of Intel's business is the Mac,
00:18:38
◼
►
which I mean, makes sense, right?
00:18:39
◼
►
The Mac doesn't sell very well compared to the rest
00:18:42
◼
►
of the PC industry numbers-wise.
00:18:44
◼
►
But I think it drops so much because Apple,
00:18:46
◼
►
even though it's a rather small amount of Intel's business,
00:18:49
◼
►
I think it's a really like,
00:18:50
◼
►
from a public perception side,
00:18:54
◼
►
it's a very important part of Intel's business.
00:18:56
◼
►
- I guess it could also be a sign of the times, right?
00:19:00
◼
►
- Yes, because this, there's an article on The Verge,
00:19:03
◼
►
I think the headline was something like,
00:19:06
◼
►
Apple's moving on from Intel
00:19:08
◼
►
'cause Intel's not moving anywhere.
00:19:10
◼
►
Intel has struggled over the last five to 10 years
00:19:15
◼
►
to really make meaningful progress in some areas.
00:19:18
◼
►
And part of that is that we are just--
00:19:20
◼
►
- And they really, really stumbled on smartphone chips,
00:19:23
◼
►
didn't they?
00:19:24
◼
►
They were really far behind. - Totally.
00:19:25
◼
►
They totally missed the mobile, the whole scene there.
00:19:30
◼
►
They don't really have anything
00:19:32
◼
►
that makes sense to put inside an iPhone.
00:19:33
◼
►
And you see some Intel-powered Android phones,
00:19:35
◼
►
and they of course are making modems
00:19:38
◼
►
and other pieces to the puzzle,
00:19:40
◼
►
but Intel stuck with the desktop probably too long.
00:19:44
◼
►
And I don't think they're doomed,
00:19:46
◼
►
but I think that they're behind what others are doing,
00:19:48
◼
►
because ARM is such a good solution
00:19:50
◼
►
for these mobile devices,
00:19:52
◼
►
and Intel just can't compete with that yet.
00:19:54
◼
►
So I think you're right.
00:19:57
◼
►
I think that's more about what this is about,
00:19:58
◼
►
with their stock price, that, oh, right,
00:20:01
◼
►
they did miss the boat.
00:20:02
◼
►
And I would imagine, like, if we had a world
00:20:06
◼
►
where Intel was ready for what happened in 2007,
00:20:11
◼
►
they had a processor that Apple could have put
00:20:13
◼
►
in the original iPhone, this would be
00:20:15
◼
►
a very different story, but that's not the case.
00:20:17
◼
►
And now Apple is in this position where
00:20:20
◼
►
the majority of their computers they sell
00:20:22
◼
►
are iPhones and iPads, and they have ARM processors in them.
00:20:27
◼
►
And then the however many million,
00:20:30
◼
►
handful of million a quarter Macs they sell run a totally different
00:20:35
◼
►
processor, different platform and I think Apple wants to do something about
00:20:40
◼
►
that and I think there's lots of benefits to it. So Steven let me ask you
00:20:43
◼
►
a question. So obviously this isn't the first time that Apple has made a
00:20:47
◼
►
transition with the Macintosh right? They went from a power PC to Intel back when
00:20:53
◼
►
I bought my first Mac with the iMac. They went from the G5 to the what was it
00:20:59
◼
►
core duo or something what was that chip was it called the core yeah the first intel chip
00:21:03
◼
►
apple used was the core duo very quickly turned over to the core 2 duo um and fun time with
00:21:08
◼
►
local steven fun time with local steven sounds like something else you don't want to do that
00:21:12
◼
►
like you just you have to avoid that at all costs they did also sell one core solo a mac mini that
00:21:19
◼
►
was i think actually slower than the g4 it replaced or like it wasn't remarkably fast like it was a
00:21:26
◼
►
terrible. Anyways, Core Duo is what they went with for the iMac and the MacBook Pro.
00:21:29
◼
►
So they've done this transition once before and I'm sure like as everyone's
00:21:33
◼
►
thinking about this and as we continue to talk about it I guess at a more
00:21:37
◼
►
frequent pace over the next couple of years right as the pieces start to fall
00:21:40
◼
►
into place this will probably be brought up a lot because this is that we there
00:21:46
◼
►
is some precedence for it but my thinking and I wonder what you think of
00:21:49
◼
►
it was that that transition went really well you know they have Rosetta and
00:21:55
◼
►
everything went over and then everyone I think was better off at the end of it.
00:21:58
◼
►
We had fast computers and the software moved along.
00:22:01
◼
►
But it isn't 2005 anymore.
00:22:04
◼
►
And I would assume that if this happens and Apple transitions from Intel to ARM
00:22:13
◼
►
and there is significant development work required, you know, to like replace
00:22:18
◼
►
parts of your code base, that it will probably be worse than the 2005 switchover
00:22:24
◼
►
because I would expect a lot more applications
00:22:27
◼
►
would be left behind now than there was in the previous one.
00:22:32
◼
►
- Yeah, that's something I've really been thinking
00:22:34
◼
►
a lot about, and Jason's now actually just published
00:22:37
◼
►
on Macworld, I think today an article about the,
00:22:40
◼
►
actually the last two Mac processor transitions,
00:22:43
◼
►
'cause they transferred to the PowerPC
00:22:45
◼
►
and then away from it later.
00:22:47
◼
►
It's a good article, you should go read it.
00:22:49
◼
►
I think there's a couple things to unpack here.
00:22:51
◼
►
One was the reason Apple moved to Intel,
00:22:55
◼
►
and you touched on it, that at the end of the day,
00:22:57
◼
►
we had Macs that were noticeably faster and more capable.
00:23:02
◼
►
They ran cooler, which Apple's big thing
00:23:04
◼
►
was like performance per watt,
00:23:07
◼
►
which like isn't really a thing.
00:23:09
◼
►
Like they put it on like a bar graph,
00:23:10
◼
►
like a Bezos chart, it's like what are you doing?
00:23:13
◼
►
But the idea was I get this much performance,
00:23:15
◼
►
but I have to burn this much heat.
00:23:16
◼
►
and it made things like a G5 PowerBook impossible.
00:23:21
◼
►
But Apple looked at Intel and the Intel chips
00:23:25
◼
►
were better suited for what Apple wanted to build,
00:23:28
◼
►
and so they moved.
00:23:28
◼
►
And that was really IBM's fault at the PowerPC.
00:23:32
◼
►
They couldn't get it cool, they couldn't get it small,
00:23:34
◼
►
and in a sense it was a dead-end road map
00:23:37
◼
►
for what Apple wanted to do.
00:23:40
◼
►
I don't think that's the case this time.
00:23:43
◼
►
Yes, Intel has slowed down.
00:23:45
◼
►
Yes, there have been issues with their mobile strategy,
00:23:50
◼
►
and yes, there have been security issues
00:23:51
◼
►
with things like Meltdown and Spectre.
00:23:54
◼
►
But just this week even, Intel, excuse me,
00:23:58
◼
►
have released new chips, including an i9.
00:24:02
◼
►
The i7 is six core, hopefully we see that in an iMac
00:24:04
◼
►
and a MacBook Pro this summer.
00:24:06
◼
►
But Intel is still moving forward.
00:24:08
◼
►
I don't think Apple's at a place
00:24:09
◼
►
where they want to build something
00:24:12
◼
►
and Intel has nothing for them.
00:24:14
◼
►
I think if you look at the MacBook,
00:24:15
◼
►
Maybe that's as close as you get where like,
00:24:17
◼
►
I bet Apple wishes it was faster,
00:24:18
◼
►
but they wanted to be fanless,
00:24:20
◼
►
so they put up with the Core M.
00:24:22
◼
►
But I don't think this is a situation
00:24:24
◼
►
where Intel doesn't have to have anything,
00:24:27
◼
►
can't offer Apple anything.
00:24:29
◼
►
I think what this is about instead
00:24:32
◼
►
is that Apple wants to have a more complete control
00:24:36
◼
►
over its ecosystem.
00:24:39
◼
►
I don't think it's about releasing like Macs
00:24:41
◼
►
on a more regular basis.
00:24:42
◼
►
If they do this, I still expect we'll see
00:24:44
◼
►
every 12 to 18 months.
00:24:46
◼
►
I just, I don't see Apple revving these things all the time.
00:24:49
◼
►
In fact, a lot of the times where Apple takes its time
00:24:53
◼
►
is 'cause they skip Intel generations.
00:24:55
◼
►
That very famously happened with the Mac Pro.
00:24:57
◼
►
So anyways, to your actual question
00:25:00
◼
►
is of how they handle the transition,
00:25:03
◼
►
I think that reasoning is something to factor in,
00:25:06
◼
►
that they felt like they had to do it last time
00:25:08
◼
►
and they worked really hard
00:25:10
◼
►
to make it as easy as possible.
00:25:13
◼
►
developers did have to recompile, but there was Rosetta,
00:25:16
◼
►
which would allow you to run a PowerPC app
00:25:18
◼
►
on an Intel machine, and the speed difference
00:25:20
◼
►
between the two was so great.
00:25:22
◼
►
Rosetta apps ran more or less as fast as you were used to.
00:25:26
◼
►
Maybe more complex apps were a touch slower,
00:25:28
◼
►
but they were all totally usable.
00:25:30
◼
►
We all were using Photoshop and Microsoft Word
00:25:32
◼
►
and stuff in Rosetta, and no one cared, it was fine.
00:25:34
◼
►
Can Apple's ARM chips be that much faster
00:25:37
◼
►
than a current MacBook Pro so they can emulate it
00:25:40
◼
►
and it be fast enough?
00:25:42
◼
►
I don't know the answer to that.
00:25:43
◼
►
I know that what we have seen in benchmarking so far
00:25:46
◼
►
shows that the iPad Pro in particular
00:25:49
◼
►
is as fast as a Mac,
00:25:51
◼
►
as faster than a MacBook and about as fast, I believe,
00:25:53
◼
►
as like a entry-level MacBook Pro.
00:25:56
◼
►
But they can't catch up with, you know,
00:25:59
◼
►
the high-end MacBook Pro,
00:26:00
◼
►
let alone the iMac Pro or the Mac Pro.
00:26:02
◼
►
So I think that's one thing that's different is that
00:26:05
◼
►
I don't, unless Apple's got stuff in the works
00:26:09
◼
►
that we haven't seen yet,
00:26:10
◼
►
which is totally, I believe,
00:26:11
◼
►
They can't match the performance of Intel yet.
00:26:14
◼
►
So you're gonna ask developers and customers
00:26:18
◼
►
to move something that may be just as equally as fast
00:26:22
◼
►
or a little bit faster.
00:26:24
◼
►
In theory, it would have much better battery life,
00:26:26
◼
►
but that performance gain is not a carrot this time,
00:26:30
◼
►
I don't think.
00:26:33
◼
►
The last big difference is that, like you said,
00:26:36
◼
►
it's not 2005 anymore.
00:26:38
◼
►
Remember, 2005, the only things Apple sold
00:26:41
◼
►
for the Mac and the iPod.
00:26:43
◼
►
And so Apple transitioned their most important product,
00:26:47
◼
►
and they did a really good job of it.
00:26:52
◼
►
Like you said, now the Mac is not Apple's
00:26:55
◼
►
most important product, and it's not the biggest,
00:26:58
◼
►
it's not the one that makes the most money.
00:27:00
◼
►
And so I think there is fear amongst certain populations
00:27:04
◼
►
within the Mac universe that Apple would drop the ball
00:27:07
◼
►
in this transition because they just don't care,
00:27:09
◼
►
the Mac's not as important.
00:27:11
◼
►
I would push back on that and say that Apple,
00:27:13
◼
►
if Apple does one thing really well,
00:27:15
◼
►
and they do lots of things really well,
00:27:17
◼
►
Apple does a lot of stuff great,
00:27:20
◼
►
one thing that they do exceedingly well
00:27:22
◼
►
is big platform transitions.
00:27:24
◼
►
So we went from OS9 to OS10,
00:27:28
◼
►
Carbon made that possible in a way that,
00:27:31
◼
►
in hindsight, is breathtaking.
00:27:33
◼
►
They did PowerPC to Intel well.
00:27:34
◼
►
They've done 32-bit to 64-bit seamlessly,
00:27:38
◼
►
both on the Mac and on the iOS side.
00:27:41
◼
►
You can buy an iPhone 5S with a 64-bit processor,
00:27:43
◼
►
and all your stuff just worked.
00:27:45
◼
►
They've done this a lot.
00:27:47
◼
►
And so I, until I'm proven wrong, I don't think I will be,
00:27:52
◼
►
this is totally within Apple's power
00:27:55
◼
►
and within their best interest to make this go smoothly.
00:27:58
◼
►
If they blow this, the Mac is in way worse shape
00:28:03
◼
►
than it is now.
00:28:04
◼
►
And I just don't think they're gonna do it.
00:28:06
◼
►
I have concerns about this transition
00:28:08
◼
►
what it can be product-wise,
00:28:09
◼
►
and certain things we would lose on the Mac,
00:28:11
◼
►
like the ability to run Windows and that sort of thing
00:28:14
◼
►
if they can't emulate x86 processes.
00:28:16
◼
►
- Well, they could use ARM Windows, right?
00:28:19
◼
►
There isn't ARM Windows.
00:28:20
◼
►
- They could.
00:28:22
◼
►
And you know, maybe that'd be enough for some people, but--
00:28:24
◼
►
- That might be part of, like, yeah,
00:28:26
◼
►
that might be part of why they would be able to do this now,
00:28:29
◼
►
because Microsoft is going down that route anyway, right?
00:28:32
◼
►
So it's like, well, there is,
00:28:33
◼
►
whilst it won't be as good, 'cause not, again,
00:28:35
◼
►
like the same problems that Apple might have,
00:28:38
◼
►
where Windows developers won't move their stuff across,
00:28:40
◼
►
at least they could say, well, it's not on us,
00:28:42
◼
►
that's on Microsoft to deal with, like we're still operating.
00:28:44
◼
►
- Yeah, maybe.
00:28:45
◼
►
- Honestly, my concern, actually, before I get on to that,
00:28:49
◼
►
you said, I don't think it's gonna happen.
00:28:52
◼
►
What did you mean?
00:28:53
◼
►
Do you mean like you don't think that ARM Macs will happen
00:28:56
◼
►
or you don't think that Apple
00:28:57
◼
►
will not provide a good solution?
00:29:00
◼
►
- Oh, I think this is definitely happening.
00:29:01
◼
►
This feels inevitable to me.
00:29:03
◼
►
I don't think they're gonna let us down.
00:29:05
◼
►
I truly believe that they will do everything
00:29:08
◼
►
in their power to make this as smooth as possible
00:29:11
◼
►
for consumers and for developers.
00:29:14
◼
►
What's different this time is they may not have
00:29:15
◼
►
the carrot and stick problem they had last time
00:29:17
◼
►
because the G5 was a dead end and everyone wanted
00:29:21
◼
►
a MacBook Pro that was three or four times faster
00:29:23
◼
►
than their PowerBooks.
00:29:24
◼
►
- Yeah, like they have to be able to provide
00:29:27
◼
►
some really good reasons, right?
00:29:31
◼
►
- Because all it really feels like is,
00:29:32
◼
►
we want to control it and maybe give people better battery life. Like I don't
00:29:37
◼
►
know how much of a, like to a developer, like you've, I guess you've got to try
00:29:43
◼
►
and be able to say like we're gonna make your life easier in some way, right? Like
00:29:46
◼
►
oh we're gonna make your applications better or give you more? Because this
00:29:50
◼
►
really feels to me, right, like I'm not trying to like, like obviously I sit in
00:29:55
◼
►
the iOS camp quite heavily and I'm not trying to like throw stones or whatever
00:29:59
◼
►
but handled poorly, this could kill the Mac.
00:30:03
◼
►
I think it's way riskier than it was in 2005.
00:30:06
◼
►
- Like, if Adobe are like, nah,
00:30:08
◼
►
we're just not gonna do that.
00:30:11
◼
►
And you know, big partners like that
00:30:13
◼
►
get advance notice of these things, right?
00:30:15
◼
►
I don't think Microsoft found out at WDC 2005
00:30:19
◼
►
that they had to recompile for Intel.
00:30:21
◼
►
But you're right, it is riskier
00:30:24
◼
►
because that carrot and stick aren't there.
00:30:26
◼
►
And I think part of the carrot could be
00:30:30
◼
►
the Project Marzipan stuff that if they go
00:30:34
◼
►
to iOS developers this summer and say,
00:30:35
◼
►
hey look, if you do this work, you can run on Mac OS.
00:30:40
◼
►
And my guess is that if the next year
00:30:45
◼
►
or in two years they say, hey, the MacBook now
00:30:48
◼
►
is an ARM processor and BT dubs,
00:30:51
◼
►
if you Project Marzipan'd your app a year and a half ago
00:30:54
◼
►
or two years ago, it just works.
00:30:56
◼
►
You know, like, that's the very logical building blocks
00:31:00
◼
►
Apple puts in their development tools, right?
00:31:02
◼
►
Like, remember, years ago we saw,
00:31:04
◼
►
oh, I can easily resize my app.
00:31:06
◼
►
I wonder why we would need to do that.
00:31:08
◼
►
And then we had big phones,
00:31:09
◼
►
and then we had iPads with slide over.
00:31:10
◼
►
Like, Apple builds these things brick by brick,
00:31:13
◼
►
and I think Project Marzipan is probably
00:31:17
◼
►
an early brick in that process to get developers
00:31:21
◼
►
to have apps that run on everything.
00:31:23
◼
►
Now, are developers incentivized to do that?
00:31:27
◼
►
I don't know.
00:31:28
◼
►
I think that's a big question that needs to be answered
00:31:30
◼
►
because the Mac is,
00:31:32
◼
►
the Mac is in one sense,
00:31:34
◼
►
I believe in raw numbers bigger than it's ever been,
00:31:37
◼
►
but relatively speaking to the iPhone and iPad,
00:31:40
◼
►
it is small.
00:31:42
◼
►
- Because it doesn't matter how big the Mac,
00:31:44
◼
►
well, to some people it will matter
00:31:46
◼
►
how big the Mac install base is
00:31:48
◼
►
if you are a development company
00:31:49
◼
►
and all you do is the Mac.
00:31:50
◼
►
But if you are starting a development company now, I mean you're targeting iOS, right?
00:31:56
◼
►
Because of how many more people there are.
00:31:59
◼
►
I just wanted to check something.
00:32:01
◼
►
Federico, you're playing a long calm with us right now because you said you were going
00:32:05
◼
►
to go and you hadn't said anything.
00:32:06
◼
►
No, I've been listening.
00:32:07
◼
►
I've been…
00:32:08
◼
►
Okay, I wanted to just check that you were still here.
00:32:11
◼
►
Right, there's something that I want to say.
00:32:14
◼
►
I know, but I think we're going to hold that for a minute because I see what's in
00:32:18
◼
►
our document here and this is a whole separate discussion.
00:32:20
◼
►
Because I want to talk about marzipan before we get into your discussion.
00:32:25
◼
►
Because marzipan, which is the idea of one shared platform,
00:32:32
◼
►
like that has to come first, right?
00:32:34
◼
►
Because if you can create this one shared platform,
00:32:38
◼
►
you might get people into the habit of developing one app for all platforms
00:32:43
◼
►
and then they're making huge changes to their Mac app,
00:32:46
◼
►
which might then be easier to switch over to Arm, right?
00:32:48
◼
►
Like it feels like it would be a multi-step process, right?
00:32:52
◼
►
That you have an iOS app, now make it more like the Mac.
00:32:55
◼
►
Oh, and then when we transition to Arm,
00:32:57
◼
►
remember we made you do all that stuff
00:32:59
◼
►
to bring your app over to the Mac?
00:33:01
◼
►
Well now all you need to do is this,
00:33:04
◼
►
and then you can transition over to Arm, right?
00:33:06
◼
►
And all of this stuff may have started with Swift
00:33:08
◼
►
or something, right?
00:33:09
◼
►
Like you could maybe eventually draw a line
00:33:11
◼
►
that gets you through to Arm.
00:33:15
◼
►
But the thing about Mazepan is they also have to really sell the benefits there.
00:33:23
◼
►
And I guess I will ask you Federico, do you think that there is like a really strong,
00:33:29
◼
►
like theoretical selling point to say to someone who has a Mac app and an iOS app, make your
00:33:38
◼
►
current Mac app more like your iOS app?
00:33:41
◼
►
I think it depends how it's sold to that developer.
00:33:46
◼
►
This is what it's all about, right?
00:33:48
◼
►
Like this and the arm, like how they sell it.
00:33:51
◼
►
The idea of now you get the amazing opportunity of wasting hours into making your app more
00:33:59
◼
►
like an iPhone app and you get no visible, you know, big profit in return.
00:34:05
◼
►
That doesn't sound like a compelling message to me.
00:34:07
◼
►
If they're gonna do this, and I believe there's a bunch of strong arguments as to why they
00:34:12
◼
►
should do this, I think there has to be an underlying message of you get to target a
00:34:22
◼
►
bigger audience, so people using different form factors, iPhones, tablets, desktop computers
00:34:30
◼
►
of different sizes. And you can make your app more modern on the Mac without giving
00:34:38
◼
►
up all the things that are great about Mac OS. And you get to bring some of that power
00:34:42
◼
►
back to iOS. I've been struggling to understand what, first of all, what the rumor is all
00:34:48
◼
►
about. Is it just about UI? Is it about, you know, deeper sort of controls? I struggle
00:34:57
◼
►
to imagine that it's just about, well, now there you go. You can make your Mac app ditch
00:35:02
◼
►
the title bar and ditch the standard windowing controls and you can implement buttons that
00:35:08
◼
►
are just like underlined text. I don't think it's about that. I think it's a bigger idea
00:35:13
◼
►
of, at least that's what I'm hoping for, of it's a shared environment. It's a shared tool
00:35:22
◼
►
chain where you... it's not about writing your application once and writing it everywhere
00:35:30
◼
►
because that idea of "write it once, run everywhere" as negative connotations. I don't think it's
00:35:35
◼
►
about that. I think it's about bringing consistency to what ultimately should be the Apple platform.
00:35:41
◼
►
Because right now we are in this weird dichotomy of writing apps for macOS and writing apps
00:35:50
◼
►
for iOS, where even the simplest thing like how you want to specify a color in your code,
00:35:57
◼
►
it's different on the Mac and it's different in iOS. You got what's it called? NSColor
00:36:01
◼
►
and UIColor. And those are like two separate things. And I'm probably getting this wrong
00:36:06
◼
►
but the basic details are the fault. The way that it works is this. You have different
00:36:11
◼
►
APIs that are slightly inconsistent and that's just more work for developers. Why do developers,
00:36:18
◼
►
If I have an idea for an application that works on the iPhone, works on the iPad, and
00:36:22
◼
►
works on the Mac, why should I have to learn two slightly different vocabularies?
00:36:29
◼
►
It's like I want to live in a country that, you know, that contains all kinds of people,
00:36:36
◼
►
and yet if I want to live in this country I have to learn both Italian and Spanish,
00:36:41
◼
►
which are arguably really similar but also are two different languages.
00:36:44
◼
►
And that's like being a Mac developer today.
00:36:47
◼
►
If you want to have an iOS app or if you're an iOS developer and want to bring your app
00:36:51
◼
►
to the Mac, you got to learn a slightly different language that's even more confusing because
00:36:56
◼
►
it's kind of similar but also different.
00:36:58
◼
►
And that's just a waste of time.
00:37:00
◼
►
So what's the compelling message to developers?
00:37:03
◼
►
And I feel like the message should be now you get to be on all of our platforms and
00:37:10
◼
►
you don't waste time remembering all these tiny differences
00:37:14
◼
►
and you can make more money
00:37:15
◼
►
because that's ultimately what developers should aim for,
00:37:18
◼
►
making money, being profitable and making good software
00:37:22
◼
►
all while saving time.
00:37:24
◼
►
'Cause the more I think about this,
00:37:26
◼
►
the more I keep coming to the conclusion
00:37:28
◼
►
that it should be Marzipan.
00:37:30
◼
►
It's not just about the joke of,
00:37:32
◼
►
oh great, now I get to run Instagram on my Mac.
00:37:36
◼
►
I mean, Instagram cannot even do an iPad version.
00:37:39
◼
►
So that's the joke. But the idea should be there's one Apple platform and now you get
00:37:47
◼
►
to make apps for every device. Which of course leads us into a bigger discussion.
00:37:54
◼
►
Yeah, because I have a question that I will ask, but we won't answer it until after the
00:37:59
◼
►
break. The question is, why bother porting macOS to ARM? Why not just create a brand
00:38:06
◼
►
new operating system?
00:38:23
◼
►
all important buy now button, how would you know that you probably wouldn't know until it was too
00:38:29
◼
►
late because you'd have to wait for somebody to tell you? That's why you need Pingdom. They give
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you the peace of mind that you need. Pingdom will let you know the moment your site goes down in
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00:39:24
◼
►
So let me break down my question a little bit more, open up a little more.
00:39:29
◼
►
Okay. This isn't just about the fact that they're going to kill Mac OS. It's also about
00:39:36
◼
►
you've got to make iOS better. It needs to be more powerful, especially if you're going to say to
00:39:42
◼
►
people, "make this one app to run everywhere." Currently, that is not going to work, right?
00:39:48
◼
►
because the sheer capabilities of these machines are vastly different. The Mac can do so much
00:39:55
◼
►
more in some instances and the operating system is way more open, that building an application
00:40:02
◼
►
to run on both places wouldn't necessarily always work. So if everything is eventually just going
00:40:09
◼
►
to be on ARM, then why not just merge the product lines? Why not do that?
00:40:15
◼
►
Okay, so I've been thinking about this a lot, and let me reply to your question with another
00:40:21
◼
►
question, which is actually like more of an idea. And try to keep an open mind, and try
00:40:27
◼
►
not to think about, you know, the immediate consequences, but try to think about the long
00:40:34
◼
►
term. At least today we're not saying that the Mac should go away. At least today we're
00:40:39
◼
►
- Exactly, so, but let me ask you this.
00:40:42
◼
►
Long-term, big picture,
00:40:44
◼
►
why does Apple need to make two operating systems?
00:40:48
◼
►
And I feel like, I mean, it's such an obvious question.
00:40:53
◼
►
Why does Apple make two OSes?
00:40:55
◼
►
Do they ever need to maintain forever?
00:40:58
◼
►
So for eternity, some people think
00:41:00
◼
►
that Apple should continue making
00:41:02
◼
►
two separate operating systems.
00:41:05
◼
►
Why is that?
00:41:07
◼
►
And I feel like maybe this entire discussion boils down to the fact that a lot of people
00:41:19
◼
►
are stuck in this concept of the Mac is the Mac and iOS needs to be light.
00:41:27
◼
►
This is something that a lot of people have said over the years and that a lot of people
00:41:30
◼
►
continue saying that iOS needs to remain light for the Mac to be the Mac. And now, I understand
00:41:39
◼
►
that there's a nostalgic aspect to this, and I understand that the Mac currently, at the moment,
00:41:45
◼
►
if you want to do certain tasks, you need to use a Mac. And that I totally understand, and I totally
00:41:51
◼
►
under... I mean, I'm using a Mac right now because it does something that I cannot do on iOS.
00:41:57
◼
►
But then again, I'm thinking long term. 10 years from now, 15, 20. Just think of a larger number
00:42:04
◼
►
than tomorrow. Does Apple need to make two operating systems? Are we really, as computer
00:42:13
◼
►
users, as people who use technology, do we seriously think that 20 years from now, so in 2040
00:42:20
◼
►
or something, are we going to use two operating systems? Or is the future moving to a place where
00:42:26
◼
►
where we use the same OS that changes depending on where we are.
00:42:35
◼
►
Because the more I think about it, the more I think we're going to a future where technology
00:42:42
◼
►
is everywhere, of course.
00:42:44
◼
►
We're seeing this today.
00:42:45
◼
►
It's on our wrist, it's around our home, it's on our desk and in our hands.
00:42:50
◼
►
Does it make sense to keep splitting the operating systems into multiple units?
00:42:55
◼
►
Or does it make more sense to have one platform that is intelligent and that adapts to the
00:43:05
◼
►
device we're using?
00:43:07
◼
►
And so my question is, is Apple the kind of company that forever is going to say, "No,
00:43:14
◼
►
no, iOS needs to remain light because the Mac is the Mac and the Macintosh is forever."
00:43:20
◼
►
Or are they gonna try and say, well, the future is, you know, it's gonna be different than
00:43:26
◼
►
what we had in mind in the 80s. People do not necessarily work at their desks anymore.
00:43:34
◼
►
People are mobile, you know, they appear to be liking this mobile device kind of thing
00:43:39
◼
►
that we sort of invented. And maybe, just maybe, there should be one Apple platform
00:43:46
◼
►
that is consistent and that, for instance,
00:43:49
◼
►
things like Siri is consistent everywhere,
00:43:53
◼
►
and your smart home controls are also available
00:43:57
◼
►
in a laptop form factor.
00:43:59
◼
►
But the OS is, the platform is the same,
00:44:04
◼
►
but what it does on the screen,
00:44:06
◼
►
what you see on the screen changes depending
00:44:08
◼
►
on what's comfortable, on what makes sense.
00:44:11
◼
►
So for example, you would have Windows on a big screen,
00:44:14
◼
►
and you would have lots of keyboard shortcuts because you're working at a desk. Of course,
00:44:19
◼
►
you wouldn't have Windows on a phone, you wouldn't have keyboard shortcuts on a phone,
00:44:23
◼
►
and you wouldn't even have that kind of UI on a watch because it wouldn't make sense because
00:44:28
◼
►
the watch is super tiny. And the more I think about it, the more, you know, this entire Apple
00:44:33
◼
►
making their own chips discussion, all the details, I don't want to say that they don't matter, but
00:44:41
◼
►
I think we should first figure out what's the end goal.
00:44:45
◼
►
Do we really think that in the future we're going to have, you know, old Federico and
00:44:50
◼
►
old John Gruber saying the Mac needs to be the Mac and now iOS has to be more powerful?
00:44:55
◼
►
Or are we going to have one Apple platform that is intelligent enough to change what
00:45:01
◼
►
it does depending on the computer that you're using?
00:45:05
◼
►
And I struggle to imagine a future where Apple is making multiple operating systems because,
00:45:10
◼
►
I don't know, because the community wants them to keep making the Mac OS and iOS.
00:45:15
◼
►
I think there should be one Apple OS, one Apple platform
00:45:21
◼
►
that does different things depending on what you're using at the moment.
00:45:25
◼
►
Honestly, I can't imagine a world in which these two things end up being true
00:45:33
◼
►
and that that doesn't happen, right?
00:45:35
◼
►
That like, Marzipan and ARM, if those two things happen,
00:45:39
◼
►
I can't see how we don't get to that point with one operating system.
00:45:46
◼
►
It just seems like a foregone conclusion to me.
00:45:49
◼
►
You could get into... exactly.
00:45:53
◼
►
Even getting into the specifics of...
00:45:58
◼
►
I could ask you, "Okay, so now we agree that it makes more sense to have one single Apple
00:46:03
◼
►
OS, one single Apple platform.
00:46:07
◼
►
Does it make sense to think of the laptop and the tablet as two different things?
00:46:14
◼
►
Because if you follow these arguments, you could say the laptop is basically a screen
00:46:19
◼
►
with a keyboard attached and a trackpad.
00:46:23
◼
►
I think the laptops and tablets are very close, but I think that there does need to be a distinction
00:46:29
◼
►
between bigger devices that go on desks.
00:46:32
◼
►
I think that they have to be more different, I think.
00:46:37
◼
►
I think that is important.
00:46:39
◼
►
But how do you get there?
00:46:40
◼
►
Well, you get there if you make something
00:46:42
◼
►
like, assuming it is Marzipan, which
00:46:44
◼
►
is this intelligent shared UI framework that
00:46:48
◼
►
knows that as device size class is built in,
00:46:53
◼
►
and that is able to say, where am I running at the moment?
00:46:57
◼
►
what does it make sense for me as an app to do right now? I think we are limiting ourselves
00:47:07
◼
►
if we think of the Mac is the Mac and the iPad is the iPad and the phone is the phone
00:47:12
◼
►
and this idea of Apple is making this mobile OS for people who don't have big requirements
00:47:22
◼
►
and also they make the Mac OS, which is for more sophisticated users.
00:47:26
◼
►
This sort of closed mindset, I don't think it gets us anywhere, honestly.
00:47:33
◼
►
And saying this, I don't think... Also, I should point out that saying that Apple...
00:47:39
◼
►
I'm not saying that Apple should abandon Mac OS.
00:47:41
◼
►
I'm saying also that they should ditch iOS altogether and make just one.
00:47:48
◼
►
because the line, because this argument can be applied...
00:47:51
◼
►
This is not a platform war.
00:47:54
◼
►
This is about like if you...
00:47:57
◼
►
to make something that truly will work on both platforms
00:48:01
◼
►
running into the future, it has to start again.
00:48:07
◼
►
Which is Apple OS, right?
00:48:08
◼
►
Like it's the thing that I've been joking about for a while.
00:48:12
◼
►
But like, I do think one day would happen, which is this one thing.
00:48:16
◼
►
I have noticed now at this point,
00:48:18
◼
►
Steven has been very quiet.
00:48:20
◼
►
Just thinking.
00:48:24
◼
►
A, I buy into what you are saying, that Apple having two OSes in the long term doesn't make a lot of strategic sense.
00:48:34
◼
►
If they can build something that truly adapts to where it runs, like you said, that's the key.
00:48:39
◼
►
And when I think about that, I think about Microsoft, a company that has Windows on the desktop, has had it for decades.
00:48:46
◼
►
and tried putting it on the phone and they blew it.
00:48:50
◼
►
But they are seeing success on tablets and convertibles
00:48:56
◼
►
and two-in-ones and that sort of stuff
00:48:58
◼
►
because they have finally gotten Windows to a point
00:49:00
◼
►
where it works with a touchscreen and a mobile context
00:49:04
◼
►
and with a 27-inch desktop or ultra-widescreen desktop
00:49:08
◼
►
with a custom PC under the desk.
00:49:12
◼
►
They have successfully, more successfully than anybody else
00:49:16
◼
►
built something that can span that range and I just I find that interesting that they've
00:49:21
◼
►
done it and Apple is still on the two of us camp.
00:49:25
◼
►
It's interesting that you said about they blew it right because I mean I mean I don't
00:49:29
◼
►
know it's just memories but my memory tells me that like people really liked what was
00:49:35
◼
►
it called Metro it was Windows something or other but it was that businesses were just
00:49:39
◼
►
not willing to adopt it because it was too much change.
00:49:44
◼
►
I mean we could get into why Windows Zone failed. It failed I think because ultimately
00:49:50
◼
►
we can probably only have two mobile OSes.
00:49:52
◼
►
Oh no, I don't mean mobile, I mean what they did on the desktop, right? Like when they
00:49:56
◼
►
brought that design language to the desktop with like whatever Windows it was, maybe 8.
00:50:00
◼
►
8 brought there the metro style.
00:50:03
◼
►
But it ended up getting reversed for 10 because, in a lot of places, because it just...
00:50:08
◼
►
- It did, but if you look at the way that it works now,
00:50:12
◼
►
Windows does work differently on a desktop
00:50:15
◼
►
than it does on a convertible.
00:50:18
◼
►
I mean, the Windows 8 stuff, it was too divorced,
00:50:21
◼
►
and now they've sort of blended it with a start menu,
00:50:23
◼
►
kind of looks like Windows 8, anyways.
00:50:25
◼
►
I think they're getting there.
00:50:26
◼
►
- But yeah, I agree, they are close.
00:50:28
◼
►
Like, they are getting way closer
00:50:29
◼
►
to having this unified platform.
00:50:32
◼
►
- Yeah, I think that's really interesting to see,
00:50:35
◼
►
because they did miss the boat on the mobile thing.
00:50:39
◼
►
Where I struggle to see how this plays out,
00:50:43
◼
►
so there's three scenarios, right?
00:50:46
◼
►
There's one, Myke, that you talk about
00:50:48
◼
►
of a new third OS built from the ground up for everything.
00:50:52
◼
►
There's the scenario which isn't going to happen
00:50:56
◼
►
where Mac OS takes over everything and iOS fades away,
00:51:00
◼
►
which is just not gonna happen.
00:51:01
◼
►
- That doesn't make sense, right?
00:51:03
◼
►
It's too much legacy, right?
00:51:04
◼
►
- It's too old and it's too set in its ways.
00:51:07
◼
►
And then there's the other one,
00:51:09
◼
►
which is iOS assumes the Mac.
00:51:12
◼
►
And what Project Marzipan and RMAX are really about
00:51:15
◼
►
is making the Mac much more iOS-like.
00:51:18
◼
►
And I'm not talking about when they put
00:51:19
◼
►
the stupid linen everywhere.
00:51:21
◼
►
I'm talking about fundamentally structurally like iOS.
00:51:26
◼
►
And I don't know which one,
00:51:29
◼
►
well I know which one isn't happening,
00:51:31
◼
►
but you can see a world where Apple
00:51:33
◼
►
would basically pick the Microsoft route and say,
00:51:36
◼
►
"Okay, we have, our dominant OS is iOS,
00:51:39
◼
►
"it's secure, it's fast, it's flexible,
00:51:43
◼
►
"and we're going to kind of slowly override the Mac
00:51:47
◼
►
"with iOS and out the other end--"
00:51:50
◼
►
- That's just a bad idea, right?
00:51:52
◼
►
Like, that's terrible.
00:51:53
◼
►
- I think it is, I think it is.
00:51:55
◼
►
I think the right answer is,
00:51:57
◼
►
for now, we're going to make it easier on developers
00:52:01
◼
►
to run their stuff everywhere,
00:52:03
◼
►
and we're gonna make Mac hardware that, you know,
00:52:06
◼
►
has all the benefits of ARM processors that's super fast
00:52:09
◼
►
and the battery life is insane
00:52:11
◼
►
and we can get rid of fans everywhere
00:52:13
◼
►
and I don't know what we do with the Mac Pro yet,
00:52:16
◼
►
so I'm just gonna gloss over it.
00:52:17
◼
►
- For years, James Thompson has had this joke
00:52:20
◼
►
that he said about like that the next Mac Pro
00:52:22
◼
►
would be 64 ARM processors in like a box.
00:52:26
◼
►
We're getting closer to that, I think,
00:52:28
◼
►
which is kind of funny. - Just massively
00:52:30
◼
►
multi-processor machines. - Yeah.
00:52:32
◼
►
And this is a transition, right?
00:52:33
◼
►
The iMac Pro and Mac Pro will be the last to go.
00:52:35
◼
►
They'll be on Intel longer than anything.
00:52:37
◼
►
But in the meantime, you're building this third,
00:52:41
◼
►
what Myke dubbed Apple OS.
00:52:43
◼
►
And I think that's the right answer,
00:52:45
◼
►
but I also think it's by far the most risky answer
00:52:49
◼
►
because iOS is so extremely successful
00:52:54
◼
►
that if you are going to replace it,
00:52:57
◼
►
even over time and in chunks with something new,
00:53:01
◼
►
that is bold.
00:53:03
◼
►
And Apple, again, talking about transitions,
00:53:05
◼
►
Apple does big, bold things, and generally they pay off,
00:53:09
◼
►
but it has gotta be perfect.
00:53:12
◼
►
It's gotta be, you know, how do I move,
00:53:15
◼
►
how many apps are in the app store now?
00:53:17
◼
►
Like, let's just say 40 million, 40 billion?
00:53:20
◼
►
Let's say 40 billion apps.
00:53:21
◼
►
You gotta move 40 billion apps.
00:53:24
◼
►
- You really went for that, didn't you?
00:53:26
◼
►
It's like 40 apps, no wait, hang on,
00:53:28
◼
►
there's four trillion apps in the app store.
00:53:30
◼
►
- Yeah, you have to move 40 trillion apps to,
00:53:35
◼
►
not only to run on Jason and Federico's mythical
00:53:39
◼
►
laptop iPad, which they should totally make,
00:53:42
◼
►
but also run on a new OS with new frameworks.
00:53:44
◼
►
That's a lot of work.
00:53:47
◼
►
And you gotta have the carrots and the sticks in order,
00:53:50
◼
►
and you have to make it make sense
00:53:52
◼
►
from a consumer perspective.
00:53:53
◼
►
You have to make it sense from people like me,
00:53:55
◼
►
who I make my living on the most powerful Mac you can buy,
00:53:59
◼
►
because it's the only machine that will do it for me.
00:54:01
◼
►
It's gotta make sense to me.
00:54:02
◼
►
Apple has to check all those boxes.
00:54:04
◼
►
I don't know about y'all,
00:54:07
◼
►
but for some reason this Bloomberg article
00:54:10
◼
►
and this story about Marzipan,
00:54:13
◼
►
I really feel like we're on the edge of this starting.
00:54:15
◼
►
I believe that we are on the edge
00:54:18
◼
►
of seeing this change start.
00:54:19
◼
►
It's gonna be slow.
00:54:21
◼
►
The Intel transition they did in a year and a half.
00:54:23
◼
►
They announced it in June of 2005.
00:54:26
◼
►
In January 2006, they shipped the MacBook and the iMac
00:54:30
◼
►
with core two duo chips.
00:54:32
◼
►
And by the next June or July, they were done.
00:54:36
◼
►
They had shipped the Mac Pro and the Xserve with Intel
00:54:40
◼
►
like a year later, and they were finished.
00:54:42
◼
►
And Rosetta hung on for a couple versions of Mac OS.
00:54:45
◼
►
And then, yes, we did lose some apps,
00:54:47
◼
►
but they were probably already dying or already dead.
00:54:51
◼
►
And within a couple of years, people just forgot about it.
00:54:55
◼
►
you had a MacBook and things worked.
00:54:57
◼
►
This, I don't think is that,
00:54:59
◼
►
because you're talking about an OS transition,
00:55:02
◼
►
a framework transition, a processor transition,
00:55:05
◼
►
and hopefully a form factor transition
00:55:09
◼
►
where they do embrace two-in-ones
00:55:10
◼
►
and convertibles and iPad laptops.
00:55:12
◼
►
Like, that's a lot of stuff, guys,
00:55:14
◼
►
but I really feel like we are on the edge
00:55:17
◼
►
of whatever step one is.
00:55:19
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, I think it's pretty,
00:55:23
◼
►
We cannot agree that history has a tendency to repeat itself.
00:55:28
◼
►
And ten years from now, when Apple is doing a big keynote about this crazy new product
00:55:35
◼
►
that they're launching, what's the OS that they're gonna say the new one is based upon?
00:55:42
◼
►
They're not gonna say, "We're making Apple OS or Universal OS, whatever it's called,
00:55:47
◼
►
and it's based on Mac OS X."
00:55:49
◼
►
No, it's gonna be iOS.
00:55:50
◼
►
It's gonna be based on iOS.
00:55:52
◼
►
like the iPhone in 2007 was based on Mac OS X. I think the answer is of course it's gonna
00:55:58
◼
►
be based on iOS. The problem is a lot of people fear that kind of change. A lot of people
00:56:04
◼
►
fear that they're gonna lose what they love about the Mac. And I don't think Apple doesn't
00:56:14
◼
►
know what makes the Mac great, what makes the Mac loved by so many people. I think that
00:56:23
◼
►
they have been struggling with allocating resources and time and attention and, you
00:56:29
◼
►
know, to Mac OS as a separate thing because it's so obvious that, you know, billions of
00:56:36
◼
►
people maybe, let's just say hundreds of millions, are using mobile devices, are using another
00:56:43
◼
►
And any other company would say, "No, I mean, sure, we still make the Mac, okay, but devote
00:56:49
◼
►
more time and more money to the other guys, to iOS."
00:56:54
◼
►
So those who are saying, "Oh, Apple should keep making Mac OS forever as a separate thing,"
00:57:01
◼
►
they're just making themselves a disservice, really.
00:57:06
◼
►
Because that, you know, we have tried that, Apple has tried that, and obviously, clearly,
00:57:12
◼
►
not worked out and we need to try something else. And something else at this point is
00:57:19
◼
►
we only have one answer and that answer is it needs to be based on iOS. And whether it's
00:57:25
◼
►
iOS coming to the Mac or an entirely new thing, that ultimately doesn't matter in the sense
00:57:32
◼
►
that as long as Apple knows what makes the Mac great, sure. I don't think saying that
00:57:41
◼
►
Apple is gonna bring iOS to the Mac or saying Apple is gonna make a new platform altogether.
00:57:47
◼
►
I don't think that necessarily means Apple will forget about Windows and the dock and
00:57:53
◼
►
keyboard shortcuts and the menu bar. I think Apple knows what makes their desktop computer
00:57:58
◼
►
platform great, but the current approach has not worked because the Mac, I mean, everybody
00:58:03
◼
►
can see that it's languished essentially. And I don't want to say that it's going nowhere,
00:58:09
◼
►
the innovation pace is considerably slower than iOS.
00:58:14
◼
►
That's obvious, everybody can see that.
00:58:18
◼
►
And so maybe it's time to try something else.
00:58:20
◼
►
- I think you're right there.
00:58:21
◼
►
You know, and part of this too is the idea
00:58:23
◼
►
that the Mac has slowed down in development.
00:58:27
◼
►
It's not making the leaps and bounds it once did.
00:58:29
◼
►
Part of it is just, it's a really mature operating system.
00:58:31
◼
►
They shipped it in 2001, but the stuff under the hood
00:58:36
◼
►
is even more mature than that.
00:58:38
◼
►
it was birthed as Mac OS X in 2001
00:58:42
◼
►
as a pretty well-rounded OS.
00:58:44
◼
►
They've added a lot of stuff to make it a lot better,
00:58:46
◼
►
but it came into this world with its head on its shoulders.
00:58:51
◼
►
In the intervening 17 years,
00:58:56
◼
►
you kinda check all the boxes,
00:58:58
◼
►
and you get into a position where
00:59:02
◼
►
there's not that much low-hanging fruit left.
00:59:04
◼
►
I think iOS is, at least on the iPhone,
00:59:06
◼
►
is nearing that point too.
00:59:08
◼
►
the iPad, there's lots of stuff they could do.
00:59:10
◼
►
I look at that and I think, yeah, the Mac is mature,
00:59:14
◼
►
it's stable, I like that it's not making these big leaps
00:59:18
◼
►
and bounds anymore because it works the way I want it to.
00:59:21
◼
►
So they gotta preserve all that stuff.
00:59:25
◼
►
Or they have to be willing to look at Mac users and say,
00:59:29
◼
►
you know what, you might not like this for a while.
00:59:31
◼
►
Or it might not be for you.
00:59:34
◼
►
If this happens, and we come out of the other side of this
00:59:37
◼
►
five years and it doesn't work for some people, Apple's got to be okay with that.
00:59:44
◼
►
And that'll be interesting to see how they handle that because the Mac user base is so
00:59:48
◼
►
broad and diverse that they've, as well as the iOS user base, even broader and even more
00:59:55
◼
►
diverse, they've got to meet, you know, a set percentage of those needs or they don't
01:00:00
◼
►
have a company anymore.
01:00:01
◼
►
So I guess we'll see how it goes.
01:00:03
◼
►
All right, should we take a break?
01:00:06
◼
►
Do we feel good?
01:00:08
◼
►
I feel good.
01:00:09
◼
►
I don't know.
01:00:10
◼
►
I think Steven feels good too.
01:00:11
◼
►
It doesn't sound upset.
01:00:12
◼
►
I'm not upset.
01:00:13
◼
►
I'm, I'm, you know, it's all theoretical now.
01:00:17
◼
►
Ask me in June.
01:00:18
◼
►
But also this went much, much better than I was expecting, Michael.
01:00:25
◼
►
I'm happy about that.
01:00:27
◼
►
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01:02:03
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►
So Apple have hired a guy with the name John,
01:02:09
◼
►
wow, Giannandrea, Giannandrea?
01:02:12
◼
►
Is that how we're gonna go with that?
01:02:13
◼
►
- I went with Giannandrea on subnet
01:02:16
◼
►
and no one has emailed me yet to tell me I got it wrong.
01:02:19
◼
►
- Okay, Giannandrea is pretty good.
01:02:21
◼
►
Federico, do you have a better pronunciation for us?
01:02:23
◼
►
- This is an Italian name.
01:02:25
◼
►
- I figured.
01:02:26
◼
►
The Italian version would be John Andrea.
01:02:29
◼
►
That's how you do it. - John Andrea, okay.
01:02:31
◼
►
- Yes. - I like that.
01:02:32
◼
►
We can go with that, okay, so.
01:02:34
◼
►
- I'm gonna call him Johnny G.
01:02:36
◼
►
- Johnny G? - Johnny G.
01:02:37
◼
►
- Johnny G was Google's chief of search
01:02:40
◼
►
and artificial intelligence.
01:02:42
◼
►
That's AI for anyone who's not keeping score.
01:02:45
◼
►
- Oh, that's what it stands for.
01:02:46
◼
►
- That's what it means.
01:02:48
◼
►
- Seriously, so it's not almost impossible?
01:02:51
◼
►
- Man, you machine learned the heck out of that.
01:02:53
◼
►
- It actually is almost impossible.
01:02:56
◼
►
Apple have said that Jen Andrea will run Apple's Machine Learning and AI strategy, and he will
01:03:07
◼
►
be one of the 16 executives that report directly to Timmy C. In an email to Apple employees,
01:03:15
◼
►
Cook said, "Our technology must be infused with the values we all hold dear. John shares
01:03:22
◼
►
our commitment to privacy and our thoughtful approach as we make computers even smarter
01:03:27
◼
►
and more personal."
01:03:29
◼
►
Gennadreia was, what he did at Google was help them push AI throughout all of their
01:03:34
◼
►
products and he's been there for eight years. I think he departed on Monday and everyone
01:03:39
◼
►
was like, "Whoa, there's this guy on the market now!" But it turns out that Apple
01:03:44
◼
►
had hired him.
01:03:47
◼
►
So at a time when Apple is being kind of really heavily criticized for the intelligence of
01:03:53
◼
►
Siri, this is a pretty strong public statement, right? To show that they kind of maybe understand
01:03:59
◼
►
that and they want to hire some big guns to help them fix it. Like publicity-wise it looks
01:04:05
◼
►
good, right?
01:04:07
◼
►
It looks great, especially because what are the chances? The chances that the New York
01:04:13
◼
►
Times reports on this with a, with a quote from an internal email and that quote happens
01:04:19
◼
►
to be about privacy. Imagine that the Google guy goes to Apple and the Times as a, you
01:04:26
◼
►
know, but it looks great and it's a, it's a, honestly like a major gap for Apple. You
01:04:32
◼
►
know, it's not like you just got some random dude from some college and that guy had written
01:04:39
◼
►
a paper about AI and it's a brain, you know, it's not like a random person.
01:04:45
◼
►
So some dude, he is the head of the company that does this better than anybody else.
01:04:50
◼
►
Yes. And now he's working for Apple. I guess my, I don't want to say concern, but my question
01:04:57
◼
►
is the cultural fit within Apple. Because if this person is used to approaching these
01:05:05
◼
►
problems in a certain way. Like, okay, now I need to work with, you know, X millions
01:05:11
◼
►
of data points about customer data. And it goes to Timmy C and it's like, so can you
01:05:17
◼
►
give me access to that sweet, sweet iCloud email database? It's like, no, you cannot
01:05:23
◼
►
get access to emails. It's like, okay, now we have a problem here. So that's the, that's
01:05:29
◼
►
That's the more pessimistic viewpoint. The optimistic one, which is the one that I like
01:05:35
◼
►
to believe, is that this person knows what they're getting into, and Apple knows what
01:05:41
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this person wants to do. It's not like Apple saw this guy on the market. It's like, "Quick,
01:05:48
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quick! We must hire this person, even though we don't know how they work and what ideas
01:05:54
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They've had conversations to make sure that their ideas match up beforehand. It will still
01:05:59
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be a shock to him in places, I bet, though. When, like, you're just so used to a thing,
01:06:04
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and it's like, "Oh, huh, okay, well, we need to find a more interesting way to solve that
01:06:11
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Yeah, and it's interesting because it's the fact that he reports directly to Tim Cook
01:06:17
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and not to, say, Eddie Q.
01:06:19
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Or Federighi.
01:06:22
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for Federighi really. It's the prestige of saying, "I'm the executive in charge of AI
01:06:30
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and privacy and all this stuff, these really complex problems, and I report directly to
01:06:35
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the CEO, not to the guy in charge of iOS and macOS." It puts him in a position of power
01:06:43
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that I don't think we've seen at this point so far, even with Core ML and what Apple has
01:06:48
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been doing with machine learning. We didn't have an SVP for AI at Apple, and now we do,
01:06:56
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and I think that's important. So here's my question. Who runs Siri?
01:07:05
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I think this job is bigger than just Siri. The quote is about across all of our products,
01:07:11
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and I think Siri is just one element. It's the public-facing element of it, but they're
01:07:17
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doing machine learning in the smart keyboard and they're doing it in photo
01:07:21
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matching and like I think Siri may fall under him at some point like maybe
01:07:27
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there's some stuff that we're not seeing below the surface but I think this I
01:07:32
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think this job that old Johnny G just inherited or just created really out of
01:07:36
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thin air is it's bigger than just Siri I think there's a lot more to it than just
01:07:40
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that I think that it is at least good that Apple considered AI and machine
01:07:46
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learning important enough to create an executive position.
01:07:51
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Right. Like, you know, there are so many people that were big
01:07:56
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and other companies got acquired or whatever, and they ended up
01:08:00
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just falling in somewhere, right, into some mid management position.
01:08:04
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But this is like, no, no, like this is a, you know, executive of
01:08:09
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role that we're doing here, which is that that's interesting to me,
01:08:12
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right, because it shows that, you know, as you're saying, like
01:08:16
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all of these things touch all parts of the OS, but it all still is under
01:08:20
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Federighi right now, right? Like it's still part of the OS, which he runs.
01:08:24
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But this is like another part of that, right?
01:08:27
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Like this is like, OK, now you have this guy who oversees all of this stuff.
01:08:31
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I wonder how it works, right?
01:08:33
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With the way that Apple's seeming structure seems to work.
01:08:37
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It seems like an interesting way of doing it, but
01:08:40
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nevertheless, still important.
01:08:42
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And it's almost like it's graduating from
01:08:45
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a feature to an entire division. That's my feeling. It's not more like an afterthought,
01:08:52
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like, "Yeah, by the way, we got AI in iMessage." It's like, no, AI is a core product of our
01:09:02
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operating systems and devices, and we have a person in charge, and they have a team and
01:09:06
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all that, and Siri is in an implementation of that. And that's at least my idea.
01:09:13
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I'm on Apple's executive page right now and I really, really like that everybody is arranged
01:09:20
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alphabetically except Tim. He's number one and then everybody else is alphabetically
01:09:26
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He's number zero.
01:09:27
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Yeah, he's number zero. He's Tim O'Cook but they hide the O. The O is non-visual.
01:09:34
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This is, I mean, you know, I think that this can only be a good thing. I really hope that
01:09:39
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►
that it is an actual sign of desire to change,
01:09:43
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►
but then the other part of it is,
01:09:45
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have they been working on it really hard before we got there?
01:09:49
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Because let's say that like,
01:09:52
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it's, let's just imagine everything is continuing to be run
01:09:56
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the same way that it's been run
01:09:57
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►
for the last couple of years, right?
01:09:59
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►
And that they're making that level of investment.
01:10:01
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►
That means we're still multiple,
01:10:03
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►
like a very long time away from significant change.
01:10:05
◼
►
- Yeah, I think that's true.
01:10:07
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►
I mean, this stuff takes time
01:10:08
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►
even with an annual release cycle of the OS, you know, you've got to build a new
01:10:13
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►
team and a new division like if like what Federico is saying is correct. So
01:10:17
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►
this isn't gonna be like in June they radically have improved all their stuff.
01:10:21
◼
►
I think this is a long-term move but I still I'm still encouraged by it. It is a
01:10:26
◼
►
good sign. Like it is a very good sign. I'm keen to see what comes out of it. Do
01:10:34
◼
►
Do you have anything else on this or anything else at all today?
01:10:38
◼
►
I feel good.
01:10:46
◼
►
Let's wrap it up.
01:10:48
◼
►
Alright, let's wrap it up.
01:10:49
◼
►
So that is our episode.
01:10:50
◼
►
If you want to find...
01:10:51
◼
►
Let's follow up, Dun.
01:10:52
◼
►
Follow up's done, right?
01:10:53
◼
►
We said we were going to finish off the follow up.
01:10:54
◼
►
It sounds like we should begin with topic one now.
01:10:58
◼
►
Okay, let's do this.
01:11:00
◼
►
So Federico Vittucci wrote an article on Mac stories, extolling the death of the Macintosh.
01:11:06
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►
Federico, would you like to talk about this?
01:11:09
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►
Yes, the Mac is gone. Go home. You're all using computers wrong.
01:11:14
◼
►
Breaking. Mac's gone.
01:11:16
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►
Tip, attack meme.
01:11:19
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►
That's awkward for your website name.
01:11:22
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►
It's just called stories.net now.
01:11:25
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►
That's a great name.
01:11:27
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►
Taking the Mac out of Mac stories.
01:11:28
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►
Can I buy stories.net?
01:11:32
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►
Apple stories.
01:11:34
◼
►
You've got to get some domains.
01:11:35
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►
I have one of those if you want one, by the way.
01:11:39
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►
IOS stories.net.
01:11:40
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►
Stories.net has got a sad landing page.
01:11:43
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►
Of course it does.
01:11:44
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►
No one's using that.
01:11:46
◼
►
Anyways, if you want to find links to what we talked about,
01:11:50
◼
►
head over to the website, relay.fm/connected/187.
01:11:55
◼
►
You can also find them in your podcast app of choice,
01:11:58
◼
►
Of course, if you're on that webpage,
01:12:00
◼
►
you can do a couple things.
01:12:01
◼
►
You can send us an email.
01:12:03
◼
►
You can find links there to where we are on Twitter.
01:12:07
◼
►
You can find Myke, there's I-M-Y-K-E,
01:12:10
◼
►
and Myke is the host of a whole bunch of shows
01:12:12
◼
►
here on Relay FM.
01:12:13
◼
►
You can check those out at relay.fm/shows.
01:12:16
◼
►
You can follow Federico at Vitiici, V-I-T-I-C-C-I,
01:12:20
◼
►
and as just talked about,
01:12:22
◼
►
he is the editor-in-chief of MacStories.net.
01:12:26
◼
►
You can find me as ismh and I write at 512 pixels net we all have other shows on the network
01:12:31
◼
►
Let's go to go check those out
01:12:33
◼
►
Thanks to our sponsors this week Squarespace Pingdom and Freshbooks. They made all this possible and until
01:12:39
◼
►
until next week
01:12:41
◼
►
Say goodbye gentlemen. Are you there cheap?
01:12:43
◼
►
But what do I say?
01:12:46
◼
►
You say cheerio. Okay, so I'm sorry cheerio