68: We`re Gonna Get Email
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how r America pretty good how are you have a bit of a cold and want to
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complain now i've i've been half sick for about three weeks it's one of those
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annoying things that everybody has we're like there's no one day where it's
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really bad you guys feel kind of shitty for like three weeks right and the whole
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family is gone so hopefully I won't be too sniffly gross on the show and take a
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little and take a little cold medicine doesn't doesn't sound like cold
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medicines I usually take it and I can man I have never done this before we're
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attempting a sort of a double-double and deficit ever actually gonna split into
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two opposite things I really do want to talk to you about this week but I also
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thought you know with all the big deal that got made out of the max thirtieth
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anniversary that I you know whoever had fun we could talk about that but maybe
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you're I don't know maybe you're the best person to talk about that with
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because you're a relatively you know you weren't longtime Mac user
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I'm only 31 Syracuse and I started talking about that though I worry that
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it would be like six episodes will then there you go
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and if it's gonna take him two weeks to prepare for that we could do like a 90
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minute episode just done resin it you don't even remember resident there was
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somebody did eventually make a Windows program with that same name that I think
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the same thing but I i kno of it I use the Windows version but who cares but
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yeah I dunno gateway drug
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it was a gateway drug to hacking your system you know and and
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it was the equivalent at the time of waco be showing the package contents of
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a nap and going in and you know like so for example if you wanted to change the
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toolbar icons in any app you can show package contents on the adopt . app
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bundle find the resources in there and they're just image files replace them
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with the image files of your choice and then the next time you launch the app if
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you did it right you'll have your own custom toolbar icons or something like
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that in in the classic Mac you didn't have a bundle in the file system
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resources where it was the whole thing where there were two forks to a file and
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the resource for was where well Redknapp would have all of its like icons and
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stuff like that
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see that was back in the days when Apple could actually do creative things with
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how the file system worked where they didn't have to worry that much about
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Windows compatibility cuz it was compatible anyway and there was a lot of
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network transfer going on and there is now that they can't do anything like
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that now they can't you know they they have to keep their file system as simple
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and stupid as least common denominator gonna find out there in the world which
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includes server file systems network file systems Windows compact flash cards
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all that stuff and that they had like they can't do that kind of
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experimentation we're like they have they have they have at their senate
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attributed now but those are but you can see how about those reported as a
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real-life example of why they can't do much else with that
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and I remember it was when it when did you get your first I came in in 2004 as
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I I just graduated from college I got my first jobs was a little bit of money and
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I need a new computer cause my my PCs were agent quickly and I had never owned
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a laptop before that except for like one awful when I bought off ebay for like a
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hundred bucks that lasted a summer but I never really under every laptop and I
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don't remember there is there is a story that still exists I think called
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Microcenter chain of computer sales stores and yes I in Columbus that was
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like the best place to go to my friends and I would go there like every weekend
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is like look around and maybe like by some CDRs or something maybe
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occasionally some kind of cheap peripheral but nothing really major and
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we know he stopped and little Mack room is the max had a look at an enclosed
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glass area like when you go into going to Best Buy doesn't like the Bose room
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like that but for them for like you know they gotta keep the max isolated over
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here so they don't get the rest the computer sick and so we go in there and
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we've played this game like art fair to figure something out on the Mac so we'd
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we'd all sit down and one on her and stable who can figure out how to open
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the CD ROM Drive and like two and we'd be sitting there like staring at the
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computer pushing various buns no one figures out how to open the CD ROM Drive
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in like the guy comes over obviously like we were just some jerky teenagers
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in there with his big side like it's the button on the keyboard anyway so I
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always knew max from from that really you know I i've really know anyone who
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had won and the ones that that they were growing up work terrible his they were
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all like you know the mid-nineties maksud nobody liked I wouldn't say that
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I still like them it's it's really that I I think it gets over stayed in and so
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how bad the nineties max work I think the problem is that
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there were definitely some performance to price issues where where and that's
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where this whole it's it's stuck with Apple ever since that Apple is computers
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are overpriced you're paying for the brand etcetera etcetera and if you just
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ran benchmarks it was you know like two grand Mac was almost certainly going to
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be slower than it to Grand PC probably slower than like $1500 PC and maybe get
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a price is wrong because God computers used to be so expensive
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oh yeah I mean my first computer in 1994 was $2,500 and pretty pretty mid-range
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it wasn't like a super high and it was pretty mid-range PC I think more or less
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we have now in the nineties was that that the Mac loss in needed to be such a
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lot better than the commodity when tell machines of the day and it no longer was
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it was better it was certainly still more elegant there in terms of the way
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the OS was designed conceptually not at the low level you know the way the
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webpage could lock up your whole system i mean that was terrible I mean that's
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really where that that's one of the that's the other problem they probably
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had a hardware got slow and the OS was I get a GED level outdated and it mattered
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to users even you know that that the geeky stuff was so outdated because it
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affected the real world performance you know it so you don't have to understand
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cars at all to understand that when you get gas it should go faster and if you
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hit gas in your car just turned off which is sort of like with the Mac had
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it you know I don't necessarily think that's exclusive to the Mac though i
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mean the the mid and late nineties
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actually a pretty terrible time for PCs as well i mean that that was a time when
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you know Ram was still very scarce and expensive hard drives of course we're
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very very slow at the same time this was when browsing the web is really becoming
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a big thing and so you had this this pretty resource-intensive common task
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for the first time in awhile you know games it was pushed to have a little bit
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you know games
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ok I'm pretty much anything in their settings but your web browser like
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browsing the web you can't turn that down and make it less intensive and and
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that was you know the webbrowser moving very quickly you're getting things like
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inline images JavaScript tables frames all this new stuff that was making
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rendering the page
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much more complicated and take much more memory and so when memory was still very
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scarce than you have the operating systems being you know really pushing
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this is like in the PCR this is Windows 98 Windows 95 these were not good
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operating systems by any means and and certainly not very advanced it like they
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were still very rudimentary with how to manage their memory what they could
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tolerate how they used hardware there was not a lot of video acceleration so
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lots more things are falling on these very slow CPUs and so there's all this
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all this drain being put on the system's multitasking was getting more and more
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common as more people are getting more comfortable with computers they were
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able to more on so they were pushing the RAM even further I mean pretty much
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anything you would do on a PC in the nineties the hard drive will be grinding
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away trying to take everything back into RAM from whatever you were done recently
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as they were just never enough RAM and harddrive lighter always blinking on 90
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species like the sound of computing in the nineties was that like grinding hard
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drive access sound that was it
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modem you ever get because that was the first time where you have unlimited
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dial-up 444 instead of having to pay only three dollars an hour so it was it
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was a pretty bad time for all computers really have it was exciting that we are
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making progress
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us on the internet and stuff to do with the computers but it took the hardware a
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long time to get a lot of headroom and and like any other thousands we got that
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rammed are really cheap CPUs got his big boom when I am disturbed really
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competing with Intel in a meaningful way it was really great for awhile there I
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the other thing that struck me with all the thirty-year original Mac nostalgia
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is is and it's a cliche to some degree to just you know obsess over how just
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how you know the the whole thing like you know that everybody's cell phone has
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more computing power than the entire Apollo project of NASA sixties you know
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a single life from his badge more computing power than every computer nasa
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something like that I don't know but it really is true and you think back to the
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you know specially the eighties but even then nineties just how ridiculously
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resource-constrained the machines were compared to today so chris says Panozzo
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zike Apple employee number eight think something like that is ridiculously low
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employee number and has been employed at Apple continuously ever since this is
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the only one who's been employed continuously yes it's all about the only
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problem is I was officially I believe is always been an Apple employee well
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that's kind of shake but was has you know he's like you know this job title
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is why was you know I don't know if we can get into an Apple building
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yeah I think Espinoza is the only person who's actually like worked non-stop on
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real projects ever since we need almost ridiculous that anybody including him as
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I mean it's preposterous he was like he was 16 years old or something like that
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when he started he got like so like if he if he does stayed even like a
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reasonable retirement age you know sixties or something like that he'll
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he'll have been there like an impossible to break record time because he started
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when he was 16 yeah that's that's pretty crazy lol me at this point like why
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leave you know if he's made it this far I think that's why the i think is he
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loves it you know I think that he really you know he just lives and breathes you
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know I don't know him that well I've met him a few times only to be too BC you
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know but you know it's the impression you get from in from the stories that
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have been published from the old days is you know he's your prototypical Apple
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engineer you know sort of person who loves obsessing over making something
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really nice and you know going the extra mile to do it anyway he tweeted though
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something to the effect of you know the original Mac the 1984 matter we're
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celebrating the 30th anniversary had a hundred and twenty eight kilobytes of
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RAM and so that's not even enough I think he said like it would be enough to
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fit to find her icons from the Mac OS 10.9 and and gagged from my contractor
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is like a good fit any they're bigger than that now you couldn't even fit a
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single icon in the RAM on an original Mac the entire operating system
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everything
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was everything using an app you know launching a nap and using the app and
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having documents open and all the contents from the documents are and all
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of that was less memory than the Finder uses just throwing icon yeah I mean like
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when we so when I think of my podcast I have to have this giant set of shell
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script that I use to are as much as possible and if the final files encoded
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on the command line with the lame encoder and there's a limit of hundred
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and twenty eight kilobyte or how big the artwork files can be and that's
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surprisingly hard to hit like I had a really crappy quality down to just
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barely fit this one image that isn't even a complex barely fit as one image
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into the amount of entire RAM the first Mac it's just ridiculous and then even
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you know the next and Moore's law applied in all sorts of ways you know
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from Mike probably like the NEX maybe not quite two decades but least the next
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15 years like from 1984 through around 2,000 where processor speeds doubles
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every 18 months hard drives Dumbledore wasn't even hard drives originally was
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floppies but you know your storage space doubled pretty quickly ran like what's
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what's a typical configured with four RAM doubled every couple years but even
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at that pace like the first Mac iPhone was 1991 when I went to college and it
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was a Mac LCD with four megs of RAM and a 40 gig hard drive
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I swear in hindsight like half of my time using a machine was spent trying to
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manage that forty megabytes of hard drive space like figure out what I could
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believe what I would move to floppies and how I'd label the floppies so I
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could you know her back to the whatever it was again it was all I ever did we
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see everything and anything like this for PCs was we had a thing called disc
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dubler yeah where they just like basically does it was a compression on
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the disc that there were all sorts of things like that and they were always
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like you always hear stories of people losing everything because messed up and
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I couldn't read it I of course bought it and installed it I think I bought it may
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be a pirate I don't know but pretty sure I bought it because it seemed like it
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was so important that I really I wanted to be sure is getting a legit copy of
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course I ran it and it was true it did maybe it wasn't quite double but it was
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very very close to the effective volume of eighty megabytes and it just felt so
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spacious and I never I never had a catastrophic problem with it but I knew
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that there are other people who did and in hindsight I wanna go back and just
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strangle myself nineteen or twenty year old self who did it because it seems
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like the dumbest possible thing you could ever install and that was also
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most people I mean you think today nobody has backups it was way worse you
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could you write another 40 make hard drive to serve as I could clone of some
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sort of my dry wood was like wasn't even possible as I used 2004 terabyte
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external drive today for a hundred and fifty bucks
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was there were an external drives there wasn't four terabytes they would
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certainly 150 but it wasn't even your only option was to copy the keys that
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was it that was the only realistic option that any consumer I mean you know
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businesses and servers were probably have tape drives that point but but
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consumers wouldn't you know your only option was pleased as a college student
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in the first half of the nineties I actually sweated the price of floppy
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disks yeah right and I knew enough I was I was smart enough to know that didn't
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matter too much what you know
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paying for name-brand floppies will you know floppies in general suck period you
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know you're asking for trouble if your only copy of data was on a flight B C
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you can you can get more for your money but just by noname brand floppies and I
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don't think it was you know I don't think you're really any worse for it but
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it just by like 10 packs of a man on a typical you know like a typical college
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student I was spent most of college like knowing which ATM machines I could use
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to take $10 out instead of 20 because they re at 1700
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spin off lucky exactly go out but I and and then like when when company started
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giving out poppies for like promotions I mean people mock and still to this day
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aol for handing out floppy disks like like cotton candy it was great because
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then you could take a min for Madame in and use them for yourself and I needed
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or sometimes you have to actually punched a hole in the corner of 22
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market is writable right right I remember that we're going to take over
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00:17:47
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always present it was only to get to take over the whole something appealing
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masking tape of course great idea putting that into it just destroyed but
[TS]
00:17:56
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yes of course we all do that used to be this is so ridiculous the Mac I think it
[TS]
00:18:03
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was even so and system 7 when I had my formatting a floppy disk I think even
[TS]
00:18:11
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find her copies was system model when you're covering something to a floppy
[TS]
00:18:18
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it was you had to wait everything had to wait even if you had a couple apps open
[TS]
00:18:22
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he would wait even just to switch to another appt until the Copy Wizard yeah
[TS]
00:18:27
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I mean I denied my first few years of computing run Windows 3.1 and and I
[TS]
00:18:32
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don't think it was it wasn't quite that bad I think you could technically switch
[TS]
00:18:36
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apps but everything else be so slow you would you wouldn't really want to
[TS]
00:18:40
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yeah I mean it was computing was so incredibly prehistoric if so rudimentary
[TS]
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back then and really we've come a long way I mean you know I used to always
[TS]
00:18:53
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wonder you know I would think like 10 years ago what back when I was in in the
[TS]
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nineties before ahead internet access at all I had a computer for like three
[TS]
00:19:04
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years before ever having a nexus what the heck did I do all day on a guy I
[TS]
00:19:09
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remember spending hours on it but once you have the internet and in like you
[TS]
00:19:15
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know if the internet goes out at your house and you know so sleepy for
[TS]
00:19:18
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smartphones are you didn't just have an easy backup if the internet goes out of
[TS]
00:19:21
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this computer like this is useless and looking back I was out there like what
[TS]
00:19:28
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the heck do I do all day but you know when you think a little more critically
[TS]
00:19:31
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actually I wasn't doing that much everything just took forever yeah that's
[TS]
00:19:36
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true that is very true everything to God Almighty I feel like if you if you time
[TS]
00:19:42
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travel back to that infuriate you wouldn't like having a
[TS]
00:19:47
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it would take my take months and maybe never to get acclimated everything and
[TS]
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everything in his tiny kind of 14 inch CRT monitor there was and it was really
[TS]
00:19:58
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nice at the time I mean just and we've come so long and now I'm bitching about
[TS]
00:20:03
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my 30 inch monitor not being high resolution enough original manhattan
[TS]
00:20:08
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dine in style and it was by some measures really really nice for the time
[TS]
00:20:13
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because
[TS]
00:20:14
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it because it was black and white square pixels instead of rectangular pixels
[TS]
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which is actually what a lot of sorties in the eighties used it was like lines
[TS]
00:20:26
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were thinner and pixels are smaller and everything was crisper than on the
[TS]
00:20:31
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displays we're used to before it but nine inches dangles tiny I mean you're
[TS]
00:20:37
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talking smaller other night Petsmart and iPad is something that you said that you
[TS]
00:20:46
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know arms like a lot of people look back and you know we've seen a lot of this
[TS]
00:20:54
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with a Mac anniversary but but not as much as I would expect a lot of people
[TS]
00:20:58
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look back on previous eras of of technology or living in 2000 out
[TS]
00:21:04
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everything was so great and reliable and simple back then and I've never had that
[TS]
00:21:09
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kind of nostalgia I don't care at all about old computers old technology I
[TS]
00:21:14
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look back on it with like flight contempt like I can't believe these
[TS]
00:21:20
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things suck in ways X Y and Z like I like when a couple years ago
[TS]
00:21:26
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all these all these sites like mixtape started in a bunch of us I came up to
[TS]
00:21:30
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like to use the cassette tape the audio cassette tape as some kind of like hip
[TS]
00:21:36
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metaphor for music
[TS]
00:21:38
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activity of some sort or sharing and I hated cassette tapes they were terrible
[TS]
00:21:43
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but there it was a terrible terrible medium in every possible way I don't
[TS]
00:21:48
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want to relive those days ever
[TS]
00:21:50
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floppy disk same thing floppy disks were awful in every possible way even at the
[TS]
00:21:55
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time everyone knew they were awful now everyone knows they're awful in 10 more
[TS]
00:22:00
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arcades gonna like Federer shiz floppy disk into the code is so cool so analog
[TS]
00:22:04
◼
►
kind of like it's gonna be a thing somebody tweeted today got my start
[TS]
00:22:11
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retweeted I was I got hurt in it so it showed up like six times in my replies
[TS]
00:22:16
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but it was a comic somebody drew
[TS]
00:22:18
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you wear an adult was showing a child a floppy disk and the child says cool you
[TS]
00:22:24
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made a 3d model of the save icon I guess the other thing though that really
[TS]
00:22:34
◼
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stands out and I and I think it's why this thirtieth anniversary of the Mac
[TS]
00:22:39
◼
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thing resonated so strongly is that the technology was so bad
[TS]
00:22:45
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everything was slow and everything was so constrained that like you said in
[TS]
00:22:49
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some ways it's not a lot of nostalgia we're at we're like you might want if
[TS]
00:22:53
◼
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you're into wristwatches buying like dented one from the sixties like 50 year
[TS]
00:22:58
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old watches they're still great time pieces right there still today just
[TS]
00:23:02
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great in like an old car maybe a little bit less so in terms of a lot of the
[TS]
00:23:08
◼
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details but there's a reason people still collect old cars like my my
[TS]
00:23:13
◼
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father-in-law had the seventy-seven Corvette and they they retired they
[TS]
00:23:18
◼
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moved upstate and we had in our garage for a few months trying to sell it and I
[TS]
00:23:23
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had to move it a few times and he came out a few times when the driver to
[TS]
00:23:26
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various places and there's appeal for a lot of people of classic cars and I was
[TS]
00:23:31
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like oh my god this thing is a death trap and it has no features the heat
[TS]
00:23:36
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►
sucks it doesn't run that reliably like oh my god what like why would anybody
[TS]
00:23:40
◼
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want this even that I have I have no nostalgia for that maybe you have a good
[TS]
00:23:50
◼
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point there may be it may be old cars are more like old computers were you
[TS]
00:23:54
◼
►
think the Bears in this town but then when you actually get into it it's it's
[TS]
00:23:58
◼
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actually like unpleasant I had a friend who was in the old cars and he like an
[TS]
00:24:02
◼
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old Ford Falcon and when we drive around it
[TS]
00:24:04
◼
►
its first you think it's pretty cool but then you get out and like you realize
[TS]
00:24:08
◼
►
you smell like gasoline it might give myself cancer but yeah I'm here and
[TS]
00:24:18
◼
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you're sitting there in like this
[TS]
00:24:19
◼
►
aluminum can of it's like everything so thin and small compared to modern giant
[TS]
00:24:24
◼
►
boat cars it's it's
[TS]
00:24:29
◼
►
it it's not as good as you remember why I bought when I was when I was growing
[TS]
00:24:34
◼
►
up I was always a single guy and then when the Saturn came out I couldn't
[TS]
00:24:39
◼
►
afford it was $400 that was a ton for console in like 95014 came out and said
[TS]
00:24:45
◼
►
I never got a Saturn and then later like at the end of college years later when
[TS]
00:24:50
◼
►
they were really dirt cheap on ebay I'm finally got my Saturn this is gonna be
[TS]
00:24:53
◼
►
great I bias Adam of the few games and it's just terrible I get such a major
[TS]
00:24:59
◼
►
disappointment and part of that is because the Saturn sucked and so did not
[TS]
00:25:06
◼
►
know who I am part let the Saturn sucks the other part of it was like you know
[TS]
00:25:10
◼
►
it was looking back on this old era of technology where I was hoping it would
[TS]
00:25:15
◼
►
be amazing in modern times in by modern context it wasn't even close I was to be
[TS]
00:25:21
◼
►
a cig I wonder how much of that it's it's obvious topic but the whole
[TS]
00:25:29
◼
►
nintendo's should make iOS games at least somehow get involved with these
[TS]
00:25:34
◼
►
devices are nicer to be so bright and then that he intended guys you know tell
[TS]
00:25:40
◼
►
you how you're wrong
[TS]
00:25:42
◼
►
to the understanding me but I wonder I wonder I never really thought about it
[TS]
00:25:47
◼
►
but the fact that in the end that like any s era and I guess what was the one
[TS]
00:25:53
◼
►
that was more the rival to the Genesis wasn't the NES was it wasn't the worst
[TS]
00:25:57
◼
►
kind of overlap the time many yes
[TS]
00:26:00
◼
►
yet it the Genesis came out a few a couple years before the Super Nintendo
[TS]
00:26:04
◼
►
there was a period of time with the with the NES Nintendo came out and did a few
[TS]
00:26:10
◼
►
things better than it was it was kind of weirdly overlap I was a Genesis Genesis
[TS]
00:26:14
◼
►
yeah me too but that was like that was my first experience of like being a
[TS]
00:26:19
◼
►
fanboy you know like man I like I bought this thing is my cousins but this thing
[TS]
00:26:24
◼
►
and I like them so I bought the same one they bought and I'm thinking I'm cool
[TS]
00:26:28
◼
►
and then like Street Fighter two comes out on Super Nintendo only minimally
[TS]
00:26:32
◼
►
had to defend myself so much yeah it was it was a terrible time anyway the thing
[TS]
00:26:41
◼
►
that really stinks sorry about the original Mac in hindsight is how clearly
[TS]
00:26:47
◼
►
that team that made it got it
[TS]
00:26:50
◼
►
whereby it is still guide Apple to this day which is a complete capitulation if
[TS]
00:27:00
◼
►
you're going to say you know that this metaphor is how the user's prevented
[TS]
00:27:05
◼
►
with the system with this computer
[TS]
00:27:07
◼
►
make it complete right there was no you know like in the early years of windows
[TS]
00:27:12
◼
►
were you booted you really rebooting and das remember used to type win the launch
[TS]
00:27:16
◼
►
Windows that there was nothing like that there was no command line right the
[TS]
00:27:21
◼
►
first thing you saw when you needed the machine up in 1984 which is in in this
[TS]
00:27:26
◼
►
blew people away is instead of seeing like terminal text on the screen as you
[TS]
00:27:31
◼
►
saw a smiling Mac you saw a picture of the computer itself smiling at you while
[TS]
00:27:36
◼
►
you know why you waited four minutes for it to boot up that they totally got it
[TS]
00:27:43
◼
►
and and it's amazing given those ridiculous constraints a hundred and
[TS]
00:27:50
◼
►
twenty eight kilobytes of ran into the only storage being floppy disk write a
[TS]
00:27:58
◼
►
nearly 800 K floppy disks they weren't even double density high density
[TS]
00:28:02
◼
►
whatever they were called it's amazing how much of the stuff they did is still
[TS]
00:28:06
◼
►
around on the Mac today right
[TS]
00:28:09
◼
►
Apple menu top left File Edit View window I think there is a window switch
[TS]
00:28:16
◼
►
between us but it's like the basic idea in the basic idea of how the menu bar
[TS]
00:28:20
◼
►
works you know they got it in 1984 I think you know part of the reason why
[TS]
00:28:26
◼
►
they were able to do that to have this kind of cohesion and and attention to
[TS]
00:28:30
◼
►
detail that is nice polished 1.0 which I'm sure you know of course it wasn't
[TS]
00:28:34
◼
►
perfect but it was it was yes you're right it was a very cohesive nice
[TS]
00:28:41
◼
►
package together
[TS]
00:28:43
◼
►
ur and part of the reason that was possible
[TS]
00:28:46
◼
►
is because at the time the problem set for what a personal computer had to do
[TS]
00:28:50
◼
►
was very very small and and and of course they added a lot to that list
[TS]
00:28:56
◼
►
with with this product but whatever it was it was still a very young simple
[TS]
00:29:01
◼
►
industry and I think you can look at a very clear parallel with the first
[TS]
00:29:05
◼
►
iPhone where they had a hundred and twenty eight megabytes of memory and
[TS]
00:29:09
◼
►
cram everything possible into that nobody thought was possible and you know
[TS]
00:29:14
◼
►
the first iPhone it also added a bunch of things to what phones were expected
[TS]
00:29:20
◼
►
to do but it entered a very young market still a market that Apple was able to to
[TS]
00:29:26
◼
►
help reshape and really drive that reshaping especially at first and so but
[TS]
00:29:32
◼
►
the only reason they were able to do that is because the problem set of
[TS]
00:29:36
◼
►
things smartphones had to do in 2007 was very small and very young and very
[TS]
00:29:41
◼
►
simple relative to where it is today so we're never gonna see another desktop or
[TS]
00:29:45
◼
►
phone operating system or or major new hardware platform that launches with
[TS]
00:29:51
◼
►
that amount of cohesion again these industries are to mature in a league
[TS]
00:29:55
◼
►
we're never going to see that again I do that's a pretty good analogy I think you
[TS]
00:30:00
◼
►
know the original Mac to the original iPhone and then 128 numbers just happy
[TS]
00:30:04
◼
►
coincidence but in both cases the idea and and the the conceptual design of the
[TS]
00:30:12
◼
►
user experience was years ahead of the hardware being capable of truly
[TS]
00:30:17
◼
►
fulfilling it I think the Mac was a lot further behind you know it took a lot
[TS]
00:30:25
◼
►
longer for the hardware to truly catch up with the Mac but even then I think by
[TS]
00:30:29
◼
►
the late eighties it kind of caught up but
[TS]
00:30:32
◼
►
with the iPhone I would say I don't know probably with the iPhone four Runner I
[TS]
00:30:41
◼
►
would say the 3G S with was the first great iPhone and the first two were
[TS]
00:30:48
◼
►
really not bad they they they were they couldn't do as much by by the end of the
[TS]
00:30:54
◼
►
3G you're starting to feel like you know I could really use a faster CPU hear ya
[TS]
00:30:57
◼
►
the 3G S and three Jess's what went to 256 right around I think I think it did
[TS]
00:31:05
◼
►
at least made at least had a much better now it definitely went more RAM yeah ok
[TS]
00:31:09
◼
►
so it had more room at a much faster CPU and that was a massive improvement I
[TS]
00:31:14
◼
►
mean that I would say the three Jess was like was really the first truly awesome
[TS]
00:31:19
◼
►
easy iPhone the didn't have a major performances that the 424 wasn't as
[TS]
00:31:25
◼
►
great as you remember in practice Lee number how how slow the camera was too
[TS]
00:31:30
◼
►
long and after shutters and especially late seem like overtime with software
[TS]
00:31:35
◼
►
update to keep getting worse yet the iPhone 4 camera was very very slow the
[TS]
00:31:41
◼
►
home button had tons of failures and flaws antennagate was was a minor
[TS]
00:31:46
◼
►
problem for some people the proximity sensor was a big problem for a lot of
[TS]
00:31:50
◼
►
people there like the iPhone 4 which is funny cause all the crap forgot for the
[TS]
00:31:55
◼
►
antennagate thing when the proximity sensor and the slow camera and the dying
[TS]
00:32:00
◼
►
home buns were actually way worse I agree with all of that I just thinking
[TS]
00:32:06
◼
►
more in terms of that it's always seemed to me that once the four came out that
[TS]
00:32:11
◼
►
iOS was always sort of it heart it wanted a Retina screen that it was it
[TS]
00:32:16
◼
►
you know that they technically couldn't do it in 2007 but that it it really felt
[TS]
00:32:23
◼
►
like finally the iPhone as a resolution it always because they were so
[TS]
00:32:27
◼
►
just because of the devices are small there was always just like that the time
[TS]
00:32:32
◼
►
rendered in the status bar it was it's so tiny that on the retina devices it's
[TS]
00:32:37
◼
►
really kind of hard to read if you know it's like you kind of have to it helps
[TS]
00:32:42
◼
►
Aug usually have a good idea basically what time it is but you know telling an
[TS]
00:32:46
◼
►
eight across from a zero or something like that it was super super smudgy
[TS]
00:32:51
◼
►
because it was so tiny yeah I guess I don't know why I think I was thinking
[TS]
00:32:57
◼
►
more in terms though to avoid just RAM and CPU speed you know the one thing
[TS]
00:33:02
◼
►
that really stood out to me in hindsight after you know you're too later when we
[TS]
00:33:05
◼
►
had faster iPhones was if I took my old original iPhone out on the wifi not but
[TS]
00:33:11
◼
►
wifi and loaded a web page how long it took to render the page because it
[TS]
00:33:16
◼
►
wasn't the networking it was the actual computation of rendering of you know the
[TS]
00:33:23
◼
►
front page of the New York Times and it would take like 20 30 seconds still way
[TS]
00:33:28
◼
►
better than browsing in the nineties right but it was sort of a throwback to
[TS]
00:33:32
◼
►
that where you are you know you know you gotta forgot how just how complex it is
[TS]
00:33:39
◼
►
surrender a web page on how we used to you know even when you were developing
[TS]
00:33:42
◼
►
websites locally where you weren't even waiting on the network at all that it
[TS]
00:33:46
◼
►
would a relatively complex complex page took a lot of time to render and even
[TS]
00:33:53
◼
►
that we didn't get past that even on desktops until maybe 2006 I mean that
[TS]
00:34:00
◼
►
was like there was a while when I i mean on my first Mac that the PowerBook g4 04
[TS]
00:34:05
◼
►
I remember having to load the Newegg website was very complex layout tons of
[TS]
00:34:11
◼
►
element on the page that like certain sites ahead very complex layouts would
[TS]
00:34:16
◼
►
slow the browser to a crawl writers and they would they would take they would
[TS]
00:34:21
◼
►
even take like no ten fifteen seconds of like beach balling to render page a very
[TS]
00:34:26
◼
►
common page / tonight because it was like graphically rich intensive but just
[TS]
00:34:30
◼
►
because you know it had so many comments
[TS]
00:34:33
◼
►
and it was rendered hierarchically you know with threatening that it it just
[TS]
00:34:38
◼
►
choked as it as it went down the parse tree I mean if you think about it and
[TS]
00:34:43
◼
►
parsing isn't even the problem the problem is is the incredible amount of
[TS]
00:34:48
◼
►
dynamic layout and flexibility you can achieve now with CSS if you think about
[TS]
00:34:54
◼
►
what like on a computer science level what has to happen to render pay these
[TS]
00:35:02
◼
►
days and it is crazy how much computation goes into that because of
[TS]
00:35:08
◼
►
how advanced our Web languages are how advanced CSS and HTML are now and
[TS]
00:35:13
◼
►
JavaScript which throws everything for a liberal everything changes call time in
[TS]
00:35:17
◼
►
its its crazy how complicated modern websites are to render and our hardware
[TS]
00:35:22
◼
►
now does it so quickly it like we are in such a great Asia computer now where we
[TS]
00:35:28
◼
►
pretty much only ever waiting on the network I agree with them and I feel
[TS]
00:35:34
◼
►
like that somewhere along the line that's where I iOS devices of sort of
[TS]
00:35:37
◼
►
caught up maybe they're not quite there yet but they're very close and and and
[TS]
00:35:44
◼
►
once we once the whole industry has mostly completed the transition to SSDs
[TS]
00:35:48
◼
►
in PCs I think that will that will kinda close that door for a long time that the
[TS]
00:35:55
◼
►
kind of local performance bad days did you notice as his DS are thousands of
[TS]
00:36:01
◼
►
times faster than hard drives and and in the ways that matter like and random
[TS]
00:36:04
◼
►
random access which is hard drives kept getting faster over the years but it was
[TS]
00:36:09
◼
►
mostly in sequential transfers it wasn't really in a random access nearly as much
[TS]
00:36:13
◼
►
and that's what matters a lot more and it doesn't matter you can't they don't
[TS]
00:36:16
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go to sleep or stop spinning and then you have to wait for the spin back up
[TS]
00:36:19
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exactly exactly so yeah I I think the SSD turned into the last the last major
[TS]
00:36:26
◼
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league modern computer performance bottleneck in sight right now and yeah
[TS]
00:36:31
◼
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I'm sure in India five or 10 years something that we think is commonplace
[TS]
00:36:35
◼
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today will seem completely archaic and slow but I think the SSD turn this is
[TS]
00:36:40
◼
►
going to carry us for a long time
[TS]
00:36:42
◼
►
me take a break into our first sponsor
[TS]
00:36:45
◼
►
and that's our good friends at lynda.com ly and da dot com lynda.com they've been
[TS]
00:36:53
◼
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around forever and they have fantastic library of like self teaching courses
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00:37:00
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for computer stuff for design stuff in with coverage ranging from beginner
[TS]
00:37:07
◼
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level to advance their videos include animations and diagrams it easy to find
[TS]
00:37:13
◼
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what you need what you're interested in what you're looking to learn and when
[TS]
00:37:18
◼
►
you do they just have top quality content over 2,000 high-quality video
[TS]
00:37:26
◼
►
courses right now and you think well there's two thousand of them a bunch of
[TS]
00:37:29
◼
►
them probably junk now it all like it's the fact that they've been doing it for
[TS]
00:37:33
◼
►
so long that this big library of content and they have so many experts but
[TS]
00:37:36
◼
►
everything is made to really high standards
[TS]
00:37:40
◼
►
examples that might interest listeners of the show they have iOS developer
[TS]
00:37:44
◼
►
courses you next for Mac OS 10 users like so if you're out there and you've
[TS]
00:37:49
◼
►
always wanted to learn more about the stuff you can do in terminal they have
[TS]
00:37:52
◼
►
great content with that objective see similar to iOS developer been more just
[TS]
00:37:58
◼
►
how do you learn the language and for the flip side from or design oriented
[TS]
00:38:04
◼
►
stuff user experience design techniques for iOS great stuff like that they have
[TS]
00:38:10
◼
►
web development courses everything parole John Siracusa asp.net PHP MySQL
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00:38:20
◼
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JavaScript and everybody's using javascript these days
[TS]
00:38:24
◼
►
pure design stuff Creative Cloud right Photoshop si CE InDesign Cece Premier
[TS]
00:38:30
◼
►
Pro After Effects all of that they've got courses in all of this stuff
[TS]
00:38:35
◼
►
what do you do you go there you pay one low price $25 a month and you get access
[TS]
00:38:42
◼
►
to the entire unlimited library computer your tablet or mobile device
[TS]
00:38:50
◼
►
super high quality stuff total opposite of homemade stuff you find on youtube
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00:38:56
◼
►
really easy to follow
[TS]
00:38:58
◼
►
really easy to learn its just great stuff I have a great deal for you that
[TS]
00:39:03
◼
►
they're offering to listeners of the show
[TS]
00:39:05
◼
►
here's what you do go to lynda.com / the talk-show ly nba.com / talk show and you
[TS]
00:39:16
◼
►
get a seven day free trial so you could go there use that code you can start
[TS]
00:39:22
◼
►
watching videos that they have for seven days free of charge
[TS]
00:39:26
◼
►
see just how good they are and I would bet that you will sign up attended a
[TS]
00:39:32
◼
►
period so my thanks to lynda.com go check them out and and learn some stuff
[TS]
00:39:39
◼
►
actually there earlier this evening I they they sponsor our show as well and
[TS]
00:39:44
◼
►
so I went to check it out and they was watching this great day on on logic and
[TS]
00:39:50
◼
►
editing the podcast and managing the dynamics compressors and everything it
[TS]
00:39:54
◼
►
was really really good I was I was you know they had like the diagrams and the
[TS]
00:39:58
◼
►
animations in the graphs everything I was very impressed
[TS]
00:40:01
◼
►
talk about like someone has been a they've been around long I remember the
[TS]
00:40:05
◼
►
lynda.com booth at Macworld New York Macworld Expo New York twice a year
[TS]
00:40:15
◼
►
the lynda.com booth was just want just absolutely packed with because it was
[TS]
00:40:21
◼
►
like the late nineties and everybody was a graphic designer
[TS]
00:40:26
◼
►
you know realize they had to learn how to do web design to stay relevant in the
[TS]
00:40:30
◼
►
industry and it was just like gangbusters business of New York
[TS]
00:40:35
◼
►
designers who went to Macworld buying her stuff brake stuff at me in in a few
[TS]
00:40:44
◼
►
more years when PHP finally stops being useful to me on on the web and I have to
[TS]
00:40:49
◼
►
learn anything else I've never done as much as always been sort of hobby for me
[TS]
00:40:58
◼
►
but I wrote my own link shortener the DAF for when you look at during fall
[TS]
00:41:09
◼
►
fireball Twitter account the DAF four-dot us' URLs are all my own little
[TS]
00:41:17
◼
►
homemade system and bring Simmons was asking me about it yesterday and it made
[TS]
00:41:24
◼
►
me think about it and it's one of those things where I forget when I wrote it
[TS]
00:41:27
◼
►
must be like 2008 2009 couple of years now it's quite a few mostly just runs
[TS]
00:41:34
◼
►
but when I wrote it and there's a whole bunch of people like everything I read
[TS]
00:41:38
◼
►
it sort of Goldberg contraption between movable type in this other stand-alone
[TS]
00:41:42
◼
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thing but at da four-dot USA it's just a little standalone web service that
[TS]
00:41:47
◼
►
doesn't actually create a short URLs it just redirects them to the right URL
[TS]
00:41:52
◼
►
adaran fireball done
[TS]
00:41:53
◼
►
and at the time I thought I wanted to learn Ruby has at least curious about
[TS]
00:41:57
◼
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Ruby and so I realize rails was overkill for what should be a simple couple
[TS]
00:42:03
◼
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hundred line thing total and those and other free markets a lot smaller and get
[TS]
00:42:11
◼
►
my model of how programming works better called sinatra
[TS]
00:42:14
◼
►
sinatra that's for Ruby yeah I have heard of it I I assumed it was Python
[TS]
00:42:21
◼
►
but yeah you can tell how how in touch I am with any of these things which is
[TS]
00:42:25
◼
►
really sad I really should know more you know and it's like a simple little thing
[TS]
00:42:29
◼
►
where you you you know you run your little sinatra programming to rate these
[TS]
00:42:32
◼
►
handlers to take the URLs that pattern match the URLs and then whenever it
[TS]
00:42:38
◼
►
matches one of your patterns it then it dispatches to where you tell it to go
[TS]
00:42:42
◼
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and I had a good enough time doing it and I thought you know it worked well
[TS]
00:42:48
◼
►
enough but then it's like I never did anything else in Sinatra or Ruby and now
[TS]
00:42:53
◼
►
it's like if I wanted to go back and do something with it like I have to start
[TS]
00:42:57
◼
►
all over from scratch I have 50 memory of how it actually works
[TS]
00:43:02
◼
►
right now we're in we're in this kind of terrible adolescent period between major
[TS]
00:43:08
◼
►
web language areas where you know like three or four years ago I would have
[TS]
00:43:14
◼
►
said yeah use PHP Python Ruby no problem you know and I'd say probably use Python
[TS]
00:43:20
◼
►
first Ruby second PHP third and has a PhD program and they were all very
[TS]
00:43:27
◼
►
mature very stable very easy to use nothing na most important they were
[TS]
00:43:32
◼
►
boring you could you could set it up and not have to worry that like the bleeding
[TS]
00:43:37
◼
►
edge beta version of the server that you set it up with is out of date in two
[TS]
00:43:41
◼
►
weeks and you know you set it up with the intention of touching every four
[TS]
00:43:44
◼
►
years and so that's kind of incompatible with that but now if you if you would
[TS]
00:43:50
◼
►
learn when those languages today it's kind of like well you know that kinda
[TS]
00:43:54
◼
►
like learning C++ today that you can do it and there are jobs out there for it
[TS]
00:43:58
◼
►
but you're kind of learning the past and you know that that might get a date
[TS]
00:44:03
◼
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pretty soon
[TS]
00:44:04
◼
►
and so now I call the new cool stuff like node and some of the other cool
[TS]
00:44:09
◼
►
stuff going on it you could tell this is the next generation progressing as as we
[TS]
00:44:16
◼
►
speak and you could tell I in five years
[TS]
00:44:21
◼
►
telling people in all likelihood yes you should learn node and is now it really
[TS]
00:44:25
◼
►
easy and stable jobs for it makes me feel ya I'd like but between now and
[TS]
00:44:32
◼
►
then it's like that it's all these new things are still very very young their
[TS]
00:44:36
◼
►
tools a very young they're running the stupid beta everything and it changes
[TS]
00:44:39
◼
►
every two weeks and there's new frameworks as a billion frameworks to
[TS]
00:44:43
◼
►
choose from you don't know which ones gonna quote win a format war like you
[TS]
00:44:46
◼
►
don't know what you should be investing your time and and and and you could you
[TS]
00:44:51
◼
►
know it's it's easy to say especially especially for the younger programmers
[TS]
00:44:56
◼
►
like if you're just going to college so it's easy to learn all of them who cares
[TS]
00:44:59
◼
►
but there is a lot of value in mastering something and like learning the deaths
[TS]
00:45:04
◼
►
every detail of a language in a framework to really be very advanced in
[TS]
00:45:10
◼
►
that thing and so right now if you want to start down that path of mastering
[TS]
00:45:14
◼
►
something there is no clear choice of what that should be I think it's
[TS]
00:45:19
◼
►
interesting to that web programming has changed a lot more in a shorter period
[TS]
00:45:27
◼
►
of time than native desktop and then my desktop I mean PC or mobile but native
[TS]
00:45:33
◼
►
app development because native apps in the old days be written in C or an
[TS]
00:45:40
◼
►
American was passing out but Pascal Morency words you know conceptually very
[TS]
00:45:45
◼
►
very similar where you could speak one you'd at least understand the code of
[TS]
00:45:48
◼
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the other
[TS]
00:45:49
◼
►
ur and then when everything went object oriented C++ one out and people rode on
[TS]
00:45:57
◼
►
a Mac power plant was the C++ framework that a lot of apps use it was funny
[TS]
00:46:07
◼
►
because it can even come from Apple it came from third-party Metro works that
[TS]
00:46:11
◼
►
made the top compiler which is tells you it's another sign of how bad a shape
[TS]
00:46:14
◼
►
apples in the nineties where they sort of lost control of the to torture by on
[TS]
00:46:22
◼
►
merits you know that they got beaten out by Bio Products third-party product that
[TS]
00:46:26
◼
►
was just better than what they had in the wind 16 and when I don't know when
[TS]
00:46:31
◼
►
sixteen was object oriented but when 32 is a lot of C++ right yeah it's it's
[TS]
00:46:39
◼
►
weird windows that would only see I was in C++ it was CEO AP I have always been
[TS]
00:46:45
◼
►
kind of a disaster because Microsoft would always come out like every three
[TS]
00:46:50
◼
►
years they would change what the new cool thing is that you're supposed to
[TS]
00:46:53
◼
►
use but then they themselves are never use it and so was it and I kept changing
[TS]
00:46:59
◼
►
because no one ever caught on and it was always a disaster and then you know
[TS]
00:47:03
◼
►
there's job which never got bitten on the Mac but I don't know how much
[TS]
00:47:07
◼
►
windows software was written on may be commercially not much but in the
[TS]
00:47:10
◼
►
enterprise certainly a lot i think i think is is and always has been WAY
[TS]
00:47:17
◼
►
bigger on servers then anywhere and desktop and mobile sources I mean back
[TS]
00:47:23
◼
►
in the early days of terrible cell phones the the java mobile stuff and
[TS]
00:47:28
◼
►
brew which i think was based on job that was that had some foothold but not
[TS]
00:47:34
◼
►
strong you know and and next steps / Coco you know is not that it's unchanged
[TS]
00:47:41
◼
►
since 1989 but it's still Objective C and the language has added features over
[TS]
00:47:47
◼
►
time but
[TS]
00:47:48
◼
►
whatever ass like it to be too BC when I mean like an old-school next developer I
[TS]
00:47:53
◼
►
have asked them you know if you time travel back to like your nineteen ninety
[TS]
00:47:58
◼
►
self who was writing then brand-new next platform and showed them code from an
[TS]
00:48:05
◼
►
iPhone app would would it be four million be there always say yes
[TS]
00:48:08
◼
►
there'd be a couple of things it be like a head-scratcher but for the most part
[TS]
00:48:12
◼
►
it would be like wow this is really cool them you know futures trade on this
[TS]
00:48:15
◼
►
platform that it it was clearly the same sort of Philosophy in mind set to the
[TS]
00:48:20
◼
►
API's to fight that whereas web programming has changed so much I mean I
[TS]
00:48:26
◼
►
remember writing my first CGI program I wrote in C
[TS]
00:48:30
◼
►
compiling CGI's in late 1995 and then pearl was really took off just because
[TS]
00:48:36
◼
►
you don't have to compile code you could just save a text file and execute but it
[TS]
00:48:42
◼
►
went from CGI PHP which was wildly different maybe not linguistically but
[TS]
00:48:47
◼
►
conceptually it was read of actual executable code in the pages that they
[TS]
00:48:52
◼
►
had just died I think it's undergone you know told all totally unfamiliar to what
[TS]
00:49:01
◼
►
you knew before changes every 34 years I think part of it and certainly you know
[TS]
00:49:09
◼
►
you're you're right but you know you can have your PHP programmer and you look at
[TS]
00:49:13
◼
►
Python Ruby you can pretty much figure out what's going on like it's not it's
[TS]
00:49:18
◼
►
not so radically different it's just different function names a few different
[TS]
00:49:22
◼
►
syntax things a few different capabilities but not massively so
[TS]
00:49:27
◼
►
especially pipe yet
[TS]
00:49:30
◼
►
famously I mean it's even like part of the design behind it is that it's
[TS]
00:49:34
◼
►
supposed to look like
[TS]
00:49:36
◼
►
pseudocode exactly but if you you know I think I think we're where things are
[TS]
00:49:42
◼
►
very clearly going partly out of just advancement and partly out of harbor
[TS]
00:49:46
◼
►
necessity where things are very clearly going as concurrency and all the modern
[TS]
00:49:52
◼
►
languages we have for web programming so far the easiest the big established ones
[TS]
00:49:57
◼
►
have not been great deal with concurrency and its way worse in PHP
[TS]
00:50:02
◼
►
others so and I said I fully admit that it because it's based PC basically says
[TS]
00:50:07
◼
►
what's concurrency we don't support that but when you're designing a language for
[TS]
00:50:13
◼
►
a hardware environment where processor speeds have pretty much stopped getting
[TS]
00:50:20
◼
►
faster you know that they're making incremental improvements but it's no
[TS]
00:50:23
◼
►
longer a doubling in single core performance not even close right I mean
[TS]
00:50:27
◼
►
look at the Mac Pro believe we've improved the encore performance and my
[TS]
00:50:30
◼
►
10% in three years and it's terrible so and he's like the best CPU has to offer
[TS]
00:50:36
◼
►
so you know the design of a language changes dramatically once concurrency at
[TS]
00:50:44
◼
►
the hardware level is a big thing that has to be considered from the beginning
[TS]
00:50:48
◼
►
and not just something you can add weight or something something that only
[TS]
00:50:50
◼
►
the advances have to do this and this is not something that every a pass to do
[TS]
00:50:53
◼
►
and apples on a very good job adding it to the desktop and mobile stuff with
[TS]
00:51:00
◼
►
with the GCD it's been awesome he said he is a fantastic API and there's
[TS]
00:51:05
◼
►
there's still some some room to to go on that in regards to getting Coco apps
[TS]
00:51:12
◼
►
making making them make better use of multiple threads multiple cores but she
[TS]
00:51:19
◼
►
goes a long way it's really good
[TS]
00:51:21
◼
►
whereas in the web world we're still in the very early days of the transition
[TS]
00:51:25
◼
►
very very early and most of all I'm just don't do it well and so that's going to
[TS]
00:51:29
◼
►
be the thing where when you make a major shift like for me to learn something
[TS]
00:51:35
◼
►
that's not PHP that's what's gonna do it it's not some syntactical sugar that
[TS]
00:51:39
◼
►
ruby has they don't care about its gonna be great concurrent his support and you
[TS]
00:51:44
◼
►
can have to sign language like that with that in mind from beginning yeah it's I
[TS]
00:51:51
◼
►
think it's fundamentally just that there's a deer solving a different
[TS]
00:51:54
◼
►
problem that need the prob the native code is always had the dark their eyes
[TS]
00:51:58
◼
►
on the right price which is getting this thing to run as well as possible on this
[TS]
00:52:02
◼
►
machine for this user right
[TS]
00:52:06
◼
►
whereas the problem that web software is trying to solve is very different and
[TS]
00:52:10
◼
►
it's not just concurrency in the sense of that's the way it tells you know that
[TS]
00:52:15
◼
►
if you want to take advantage of gotta be able to go across quarters because
[TS]
00:52:21
◼
►
the you know the clock like you said the clock speed isn't getting faster and
[TS]
00:52:24
◼
►
more but really it's like that you wanna wrap if it gets popular to be able to
[TS]
00:52:29
◼
►
handle the most people with the least hardware exactly and yeah hardware is
[TS]
00:52:36
◼
►
very cheap these days but when you start talking about quote web-scale things get
[TS]
00:52:42
◼
►
expensive pretty quickly if you have if you have an app on the App Store that
[TS]
00:52:46
◼
►
gets you know couple downloads a day you're not gonna notice on your servers
[TS]
00:52:50
◼
►
any kind of major cause problems but if you if you run something that gets
[TS]
00:52:54
◼
►
popular then you're gonna start having to spend thousands of dollars a month on
[TS]
00:52:59
◼
►
servers and that's going to add up quickly answered this stuff really
[TS]
00:53:03
◼
►
starts to matter actually you're probably thinking about recently on with
[TS]
00:53:11
◼
►
what I was an iPhone app you might have that my stuff soon yeah I don't even
[TS]
00:53:17
◼
►
want to be secretive about it but but I just don't want to speak on behalf of
[TS]
00:53:24
◼
►
bread but yeah definitely we've given a lot of thought in terms of how how
[TS]
00:53:30
◼
►
that's going to work I'm a changed everything especially before I'm facing
[TS]
00:53:35
◼
►
the costly because I haven't launched this thing yet and I have no clue what
[TS]
00:53:41
◼
►
might cause you're gonna be I have absolutely no clue I have a server
[TS]
00:53:45
◼
►
running for like six months in a test environment but I have no idea when they
[TS]
00:53:50
◼
►
release it how popular is going to be and what is going to actually use on the
[TS]
00:53:54
◼
►
servers but it's going to matter a lot and and you have you have installed a so
[TS]
00:53:59
◼
►
far so you know with Vesper you know when we have sex many users probably you
[TS]
00:54:05
◼
►
know X percent of them are going to enable sync in the first place and then
[TS]
00:54:08
◼
►
we can kind of expect this this fall you well here's a good example of what we
[TS]
00:54:12
◼
►
don't know just a simple question
[TS]
00:54:15
◼
►
is what how many how many notes that Vesper users use have photos attached
[TS]
00:54:21
◼
►
because that's actually going to depending on the answer to that would
[TS]
00:54:25
◼
►
significantly increase our storage right because the neck the notes that are
[TS]
00:54:31
◼
►
mostly text even if if let's just say for example we came out with a Mac
[TS]
00:54:37
◼
►
version where you would be even more easily be able to type longer notes text
[TS]
00:54:43
◼
►
is written it compresses so its taxes not going to be a storage problem but
[TS]
00:54:49
◼
►
photos could be you know because a photo is at least a megabyte or so just try to
[TS]
00:54:57
◼
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ballpark number could be a huge difference depending you know if that's
[TS]
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where users store a lot of photos we don't know you know me by now once we
[TS]
00:55:06
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have sinking yeah and you know there's also there is no other bottlenecks are
[TS]
00:55:13
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going to be you know like I've written this entire sink method that I have no
[TS]
00:55:22
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idea if it's a terrible idea or not like I think I think it's reasonably decent
[TS]
00:55:26
◼
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but I can point to like it like the main section but you know I feel alot of
[TS]
00:55:31
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database records to make this happened and maybe that's gonna bite me it's I
[TS]
00:55:35
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don't know it is a very different development cycle is Brent's doing all
[TS]
00:55:42
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the development and it's it's funny because it's just a we've been talking
[TS]
00:55:46
◼
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about like writing actual iPhone brent was doing what he's been doing for the
[TS]
00:55:51
◼
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last twelve thirteen years or so which is writing you know Coco code and you
[TS]
00:55:58
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know obviously the API's on I was seven or a lot different than the API's for
[TS]
00:56:02
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Mac OS 10 points to whatever was out when
[TS]
00:56:06
◼
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Newswires shipped but it's a he feels like he's on it on that degree he's on a
[TS]
00:56:12
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continuum and he's doing the same thing but just staying on the leading edge
[TS]
00:56:15
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over and over again whereas the the backend code for the sync server is like
[TS]
00:56:21
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nothing he's ever written before not that he hasn't written back in code
[TS]
00:56:25
◼
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before it's just that it changes often oh yeah and and again I can not be able
[TS]
00:56:31
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to predict what kind of usage and what kind of low to my kind of cost you're
[TS]
00:56:36
◼
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gonna see from that makes it very very stressful and when you launch it you
[TS]
00:56:45
◼
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know it possible if you have to buy your own hardware it's even worse where you
[TS]
00:56:50
◼
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know you might launch with one server and and realize you need five or you
[TS]
00:56:55
◼
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might lunch with five and realize you need half of one and nobody likes your
[TS]
00:57:00
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app so it's very very hardly the stuff is launching launching a modern AB /
[TS]
00:57:08
◼
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service and I think that line is is pretty safely blurred these days it's
[TS]
00:57:13
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way more complicated than just making one that has to run on one kind of phone
[TS]
00:57:19
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and I said yeah and it's a mystery to because you're writing native code for a
[TS]
00:57:27
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device as you go you get to a certain point there still like a scaffolding
[TS]
00:57:31
◼
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period where like there's nothing to even see and then it got to a point
[TS]
00:57:35
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where brent could share with me and Dave and we could try it and then I got a
[TS]
00:57:40
◼
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daily basis we could you know critique certain things we could ignore certain
[TS]
00:57:45
◼
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things that we knew where he just hadn't gotten to yet but you can kind of see it
[TS]
00:57:49
◼
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coming together and you know you know as it progresses you see what this is
[TS]
00:57:53
◼
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definitely going to work this is gonna work that's not gonna work look this
[TS]
00:57:56
◼
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idea we had to do this for you swipe left or right it doesn't it at this time
[TS]
00:58:01
◼
►
it's confusing and then you backed out whereas when you're wondering about
[TS]
00:58:05
◼
►
scale you know you don't know until you unleash the hounds
[TS]
00:58:10
◼
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thats I'm it's like we have to have this fixed 10 minutes ago like you there's no
[TS]
00:58:15
◼
►
time like once you launch if you're having a scheduling problem especially
[TS]
00:58:18
◼
►
if your problem is you to scale up if that's your problem then you don't have
[TS]
00:58:24
◼
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a lot of time to like a let's rewrite this entire sync engine to work this
[TS]
00:58:29
◼
►
completely different way or let's swap out this entire back and component
[TS]
00:58:33
◼
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because it turns out you know we need to use a three-year ready to get off s3 or
[TS]
00:58:37
◼
►
something like that you know there's these big decisions are much harder to
[TS]
00:58:41
◼
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do after you've launched but you don't know that you have to do until after
[TS]
00:58:44
◼
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you've launched its kinda screwed either way you can have to deal with this
[TS]
00:58:48
◼
►
launch might be bumpy I'm facing never actually ship over guys how close you
[TS]
00:58:55
◼
►
gettin I'm almost ready for a beta I am i I was going through this every talk
[TS]
00:59:02
◼
►
solicitor emailing right now please don't I yeah I have my god I've had so
[TS]
00:59:10
◼
►
many and it's very it's very flattering million requests
[TS]
00:59:13
◼
►
problem is I have a hundred UDID sluts writing project for your own devices
[TS]
00:59:19
◼
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yeah and so yeah like I I'm probably not gonna make the beta and you know if I
[TS]
00:59:25
◼
►
want to do a beta before it actually shifted in the store you know if
[TS]
00:59:29
◼
►
everyone do that for press people have to leave room for them so there goes
[TS]
00:59:34
◼
►
like another 10 slots and we ran out of a branch we we forget what we're going
[TS]
00:59:40
◼
►
to do but we it's almost like I like what I said like when I had a LCD with a
[TS]
00:59:44
◼
►
40 megabyte hard drive and I spend half my time
[TS]
00:59:46
◼
►
clear things up like us trying to clear up device IDs like you delete them and
[TS]
00:59:53
◼
►
they actually got deleted a year later right where you can only do your trash
[TS]
00:59:58
◼
►
once a year
[TS]
01:00:00
◼
►
think carefully the early wanna do it now I don't think people realize that
[TS]
01:00:05
◼
►
but it is crazy every I think a lot of people know there's a hundred device
[TS]
01:00:08
◼
►
limit to developer beta you do know device IDs I don't know a lot of people
[TS]
01:00:14
◼
►
realize though that only gets reset 12 year
[TS]
01:00:17
◼
►
yeah and and it's the rules of Canada it's very unclear least used to be it's
[TS]
01:00:23
◼
►
very unclear as to when that what happened to a well I'll get I get
[TS]
01:00:28
◼
►
another you know sixty devices back sometime around this two-month period I
[TS]
01:00:34
◼
►
forget exactly what data will happen on there's nowhere to see that and it's far
[TS]
01:00:38
◼
►
better now but but it's still if you if you delete a device that doesn't make
[TS]
01:00:43
◼
►
room for somebody else it might in the future
[TS]
01:00:46
◼
►
at the moment it doesn't use device it's it's remark
[TS]
01:00:50
◼
►
it's a real problem and it's like something that like iOS developers
[TS]
01:00:53
◼
►
amongst themselves never shut up about because it never it's never ending his
[TS]
01:01:00
◼
►
iPad count Count across the limit
[TS]
01:01:04
◼
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and most people who beta test at least at least the ones we have are people who
[TS]
01:01:09
◼
►
are just like me and you get a new iPhone every year every time there's a
[TS]
01:01:13
◼
►
new iPhone or iPad launch at this massive pile of emails from test flight
[TS]
01:01:16
◼
►
saying all these people to leave the device was implanted device and you get
[TS]
01:01:19
◼
►
an update your records and Bernama slots some more right hand so much easier like
[TS]
01:01:24
◼
►
forever development of ingesting why don't why doesn't apple just tired to
[TS]
01:01:29
◼
►
Apple IDs say a hundred Apple IDs instead of a hundred rate that would be
[TS]
01:01:34
◼
►
amazing that alone would would would get me to shut up about it because it would
[TS]
01:01:39
◼
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solve the problem
[TS]
01:01:41
◼
►
totally effectively you get it really more like a limit of 40 people if
[TS]
01:01:49
◼
►
they're if most of them are gonna get a new iPhone every year and then if you're
[TS]
01:01:52
◼
►
going to do universal with iPhone and iPad you're talking about sort of like
[TS]
01:01:55
◼
►
25 30 at the tops if they're gonna go through both an iPad and iPhone and
[TS]
01:02:01
◼
►
maybe a new iPhone let alone you know me I go through I have two new iPads and no
[TS]
01:02:06
◼
►
one knew I patty year and the new iPhone
[TS]
01:02:10
◼
►
even even for the test I'm beta testing an app now for iPad and my primary iPad
[TS]
01:02:16
◼
►
is a mini so I gave him that you the idea that I got the app me you know I
[TS]
01:02:21
◼
►
actually would like more screen space for this app I wish I could test it on
[TS]
01:02:24
◼
►
my wife's error but I can't go out and give them that you dat and I'm not going
[TS]
01:02:29
◼
►
to the bathroom so please burn another one so you know but like I like none of
[TS]
01:02:34
◼
►
this is the best testing could be none of this is set up for good quality easy
[TS]
01:02:40
◼
►
interaction at all it's it's all incredibly rudimentary and hostile and
[TS]
01:02:48
◼
►
it's a lot of ways and iOS development has gotten better over the years in
[TS]
01:02:52
◼
►
terms of managing some of that stuff and stuff but the limit the device limited
[TS]
01:02:59
◼
►
hasn't changed at all and it's it's more of a problem now than it was when it
[TS]
01:03:03
◼
►
happened because
[TS]
01:03:05
◼
►
because of the iPad and I think it's totally reasonable that you do you know
[TS]
01:03:10
◼
►
if if a tester has both an iPad air in an iPad Mini you'd want them using both
[TS]
01:03:15
◼
►
to make sure everything you know is sized comfortably for both you know if
[TS]
01:03:19
◼
►
it's a really good tester make them on an iPad 3 be able to run only on the
[TS]
01:03:25
◼
►
edge case devices that might show different problems when he ran on
[TS]
01:03:29
◼
►
written the device and I read the device you know if you if you're gonna have
[TS]
01:03:33
◼
►
somebody actively testing beyond just like I let me try out the app can I want
[TS]
01:03:37
◼
►
to be cool and get it get it in time you want them to test it on many different
[TS]
01:03:42
◼
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devices
[TS]
01:03:43
◼
►
me take a break here and thank are stuck up second sponsor what a great service
[TS]
01:03:50
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this is back place love these guys
[TS]
01:03:53
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unlimited on throttled back up for your Mac $5 have an iOS app that lets you
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01:04:02
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access and share any of your files that have been backed up for new Mac you can
[TS]
01:04:06
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restore one file at a time if there's one thing that's gone bad corrupted or
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01:04:11
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you've erased adore you
[TS]
01:04:13
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edited such a machine doesn't get it back you can restore one follow time or
[TS]
01:04:22
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you could restore everything you can use the Website access your files back blaze
[TS]
01:04:30
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was founded and this is super key to the thing it was founded by Acts Apple
[TS]
01:04:35
◼
►
engineers it's not some kind of like Windows service and then there's also a
[TS]
01:04:38
◼
►
Mac Lion and it all feels kind of weird and gross it looks and feels like
[TS]
01:04:43
◼
►
something that should have you know arguably maybe even should come from
[TS]
01:04:46
◼
►
Apple it's so good and it feels totally right front only native on mac including
[TS]
01:04:53
◼
►
maverick support there's no add-ons there's no gimmicks is no additional
[TS]
01:04:58
◼
►
charges it's not a good thing where you go there and there's something for $5 a
[TS]
01:05:03
◼
►
month but to make it work the way you want it to you really ought to pay $25 a
[TS]
01:05:07
◼
►
month or something like that
[TS]
01:05:08
◼
►
know you pay $5 per month
[TS]
01:05:11
◼
►
you get unlimited backup we were just talking earlier about how people
[TS]
01:05:16
◼
►
couldn't back up in the old this but there's so many people who don't back up
[TS]
01:05:20
◼
►
now if you're not using something that backs up your whole tribe you're not
[TS]
01:05:23
◼
►
your whole match your not because it eventually your drives gonna
[TS]
01:05:29
◼
►
$5 a month you will sleep so much better knowing that you've got back please
[TS]
01:05:34
◼
►
backing up all your data it's like the best $5 a month you can spend what do
[TS]
01:05:40
◼
►
you do find out more I you know how do they know you're coming here is the
[TS]
01:05:44
◼
►
track willing www.pakheaven.com / daring fire opal it's not the talk show its def
[TS]
01:05:54
◼
►
/ during fireball at a link that they're tying into a decade or something like
[TS]
01:06:02
◼
►
that or during fireball sponsorship use that URL and don't know you're coming
[TS]
01:06:09
◼
►
from the show and if you haven't tried it yet you're not I can recommend this
[TS]
01:06:14
◼
►
service
[TS]
01:06:15
◼
►
wholeheartedly I wish I could buy it for all of you because it makes the world a
[TS]
01:06:20
◼
►
better place when iMac is being backed up to back please get some much needed
[TS]
01:06:28
◼
►
maybe I do get a lot of people gonna take you up on the way no serious about
[TS]
01:06:35
◼
►
buying $45 a month by yourself it's so cheap that ridiculous I would I i mean
[TS]
01:06:43
◼
►
that sincerely not just because they're sponsoring
[TS]
01:06:46
◼
►
the show I i $5 a month for back please
[TS]
01:06:49
◼
►
is is easily the best I can imagine how you get more for your money for $5 I
[TS]
01:06:54
◼
►
can't imagine it's great you know and I I've used for years my computer computer
[TS]
01:07:01
◼
►
I have many I think I have three terabytes of total data in there between
[TS]
01:07:06
◼
►
our computers it's like terabytes and you know you have time machine locally
[TS]
01:07:12
◼
►
and definitely do that for that we have like you know fast whole drive recovery
[TS]
01:07:16
◼
►
time machine locally and then the other
[TS]
01:07:19
◼
►
the question as well machine my only backup then what happens if either
[TS]
01:07:25
◼
►
there's some bug and I gets corrupted or I'm sure everyone has ever used time
[TS]
01:07:31
◼
►
machine has had a problem where sometimes Time Machine kind of flakes
[TS]
01:07:34
◼
►
out and decides that it can backup your disc anymore they keep saying that the
[TS]
01:07:37
◼
►
space even though it does the solution often is your time machine drive and
[TS]
01:07:43
◼
►
start over but then you create this window during which you have a backup
[TS]
01:07:46
◼
►
and like what if your hard drive dies during that window then you're screwed
[TS]
01:07:50
◼
►
Ryan Murphy's Law will tell you that your machine is a lot more likely to die
[TS]
01:07:55
◼
►
in that way you know your hard drive like well yeah you're all of a sudden
[TS]
01:07:59
◼
►
you're your hard drive it's been gently used every day are now asking it to read
[TS]
01:08:03
◼
►
its entire content straight through so that's gonna have a lot of activity and
[TS]
01:08:07
◼
►
maybe that will accelerate and there's the whole off-site issue right now
[TS]
01:08:10
◼
►
you've got a backup that is not in your house and that means your house gets
[TS]
01:08:14
◼
►
robbed there's a fire power surge right I years ago we had a previous apartment
[TS]
01:08:20
◼
►
we had a bedroom where there was like a water leak above the ceiling and a big
[TS]
01:08:25
◼
►
part of the ceiling
[TS]
01:08:26
◼
►
you know fell through and water came dripping down and there were many
[TS]
01:08:31
◼
►
computers underneath but first thing I thought when I saw it when you know we
[TS]
01:08:35
◼
►
realize what happened is
[TS]
01:08:37
◼
►
it was a perfectly logical place to put a desk and a computer in that better if
[TS]
01:08:42
◼
►
we just didn't have the computer computers in their room but if we had
[TS]
01:08:45
◼
►
put computers in that room it would have been right over the where the computer
[TS]
01:08:48
◼
►
when I mean if you have a combination of a local drive for fast easy recovered a
[TS]
01:08:54
◼
►
time machine and then a cloud backup service that that's a fantastic
[TS]
01:08:58
◼
►
combination look pretty much any condition and I have tried multiple
[TS]
01:09:03
◼
►
cloud backup services and back plz of the one that I keep it off site is key
[TS]
01:09:09
◼
►
because that's that's what makes you sleep makes me sleep where they could
[TS]
01:09:15
◼
►
happen you know
[TS]
01:09:16
◼
►
forget your keys are locked out of your house while back please you could just
[TS]
01:09:21
◼
►
moved to a new house burn down the old one
[TS]
01:09:25
◼
►
what else is going on well as in the news
[TS]
01:09:32
◼
►
earnings crap but I don't care do you
[TS]
01:09:35
◼
►
really starting to bore me feel like because they've gotten bigger it's
[TS]
01:09:41
◼
►
learning stuff is boring and it's worth I took a look and just to make sure
[TS]
01:09:46
◼
►
there weren't any surprises and there weren't so you know I'm pretty much done
[TS]
01:09:52
◼
►
why I think the earnings earnings were briefly newsworthy during that like two
[TS]
01:09:59
◼
►
or three year period where they were growing insanely right
[TS]
01:10:02
◼
►
years ago yeah it really was because it was just phenomenal twenty-something
[TS]
01:10:06
◼
►
thirty-something right forty-something percent growth in recent years in there
[TS]
01:10:10
◼
►
were there was like 50 percent year over your iPhone chairs cell growth but even
[TS]
01:10:18
◼
►
then even during those years where the earnings numbers themselves works were
[TS]
01:10:22
◼
►
very exciting even then the resulting news of that happening was like you know
[TS]
01:10:27
◼
►
be great news
[TS]
01:10:28
◼
►
like it really wasn't that interesting only the top Apple watchers really give
[TS]
01:10:33
◼
►
a crap about that over the top finance people really give a crap about that
[TS]
01:10:36
◼
►
even during the exciting finance times now we're entering a period where
[TS]
01:10:40
◼
►
Apple's fans are much less interesting because they're just you aren't having
[TS]
01:10:43
◼
►
those massive respect anymore now it's more incremental and and so it's even
[TS]
01:10:49
◼
►
less exciting to people just following the news
[TS]
01:10:52
◼
►
yeah I think so too I guess there's a little bit of news they came out it's
[TS]
01:10:57
◼
►
that Apple at least to some degree confirmed that the five Si was a little
[TS]
01:11:04
◼
►
bit of a disappointment and that the 5s was a little bit more popular than they
[TS]
01:11:08
◼
►
expected that they they're they're predicted mix was a little bit more
[TS]
01:11:15
◼
►
balance and that the actual demand was a lot heavier in favor of the 5s right
[TS]
01:11:20
◼
►
that it's like the news there is this phone that none of you care about turns
[TS]
01:11:26
◼
►
out no one else really care that much about either well but the thing is I
[TS]
01:11:31
◼
►
don't think it's worth writing off the five see at all and I think I saw some
[TS]
01:11:34
◼
►
people on Twitter saying it's clearly a flop etcetera etcetera to me and it's
[TS]
01:11:39
◼
►
not a flood warning it's all yeah it is it is boring and it's all written from
[TS]
01:11:44
◼
►
the perspective that it's it's more of a change that really is from previous
[TS]
01:11:50
◼
►
years where they sold the last year's top of the line iPhone and $100 less cuz
[TS]
01:11:57
◼
►
that's what it is it's the iPhone $500 less but it also has a different has a
[TS]
01:12:02
◼
►
plastic case instead of a mental case but it you know it every every other way
[TS]
01:12:07
◼
►
it's exactly an iPhone which is exactly what Apple has done ever since the 3G s
[TS]
01:12:15
◼
►
when did you first start moving them down when I believe it was 3G s right
[TS]
01:12:19
◼
►
that we came out three just became a three just came out they kept the 3G
[TS]
01:12:24
◼
►
well did they keep the 3G
[TS]
01:12:26
◼
►
was one of them was you the 3G or 3G s but ever since they've done that and I
[TS]
01:12:31
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think the mix has always been you know in the quarter of the new iPhone comes
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01:12:37
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out heavily in favor of the new because all of the enthusiasts who want a new
[TS]
01:12:41
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iPhone when its new get it then
[TS]
01:12:44
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if you're going to get a new iPhone it doesn't make any sense to buy it other
[TS]
01:12:47
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than if you really care about the the device it doesn't make any sense to buy
[TS]
01:12:52
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it except when it first comes out because you know you're gonna get a new
[TS]
01:12:57
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one every year white why wait and then the next three quarters after that the
[TS]
01:13:03
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balance comes down you know and and that's measured by active set average
[TS]
01:13:09
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selling price the average selling prices always way higher in the quarter when
[TS]
01:13:14
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the new one comes out and then it goes down the next three until the next one
[TS]
01:13:18
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comes so the next three quarters or when the five see is supposed to sell better
[TS]
01:13:22
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because that's when the people buying iPhones or more you know just people
[TS]
01:13:28
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regular people whose I guess I'll buy an iPhone I think the most interesting part
[TS]
01:13:33
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of the most since I think we can get from the five see probably not selling
[TS]
01:13:40
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any better than the previous quote old iPhones is that people weren't really
[TS]
01:13:46
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fooled like the five see seem like an attempt by Apple to make the old iPhone
[TS]
01:13:51
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cooler than just it being the old iPhone and it they tried to you know put the
[TS]
01:13:59
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iPhone a new suit and call another new model when in reality the public was not
[TS]
01:14:04
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fooled the public knew that this is not really the new one the public knew what
[TS]
01:14:08
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the new one was way beyond nerves this went this you know this when it's in
[TS]
01:14:14
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regular people regular people knew that the new iPhone had the fingerprint
[TS]
01:14:18
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sensor and was this cool new still metal one and this plastic one was not the new
[TS]
01:14:23
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iPhone and so they weren't fooled ik wasn't it continued selling as a
[TS]
01:14:30
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lower-end model but very few people I think bought one as you know thinking
[TS]
01:14:37
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they're getting the new
[TS]
01:14:40
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clearly some people were remember somebody telling me that they were in
[TS]
01:14:44
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like a coffee shop in there that guy in front of them waiting in line
[TS]
01:14:47
◼
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guy was like telling a girl who was standing next to he had a five see and
[TS]
01:14:52
◼
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he was like yeah don't be a dummy its exact same thing and $100 cheaper you
[TS]
01:14:57
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know he was acting like he was like attacking you know he's actually wrong
[TS]
01:15:01
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it is $100 cheaper but it's not the exact same
[TS]
01:15:05
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and and you know i i think we nerds tend to assume that regular buyers are less
[TS]
01:15:13
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savvy than they really are and you know there's there are people like that
[TS]
01:15:17
◼
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certainly but I think the numbers speak for themselves that at least in the
[TS]
01:15:22
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relatively high end market that all iPhone sittin relative to all phones
[TS]
01:15:26
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globally you know this is still a fairly high end segments within a high-end
[TS]
01:15:32
◼
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segment overall people were not fooled in a major way
[TS]
01:15:35
◼
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overall people still know what the new iPhone is and they still want the new
[TS]
01:15:41
◼
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one if they if they ever wanted to do in the past days they still want what's
[TS]
01:15:45
◼
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really the new one this time and you know and if they were people who bought
[TS]
01:15:50
◼
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the five see more and people who buy the five see probably would have also bought
[TS]
01:15:56
◼
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the five if they kept at around you know as the old phone this year when asked if
[TS]
01:16:03
◼
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he'd lean and mean to me the most is the numbers don't really mattered that the
[TS]
01:16:06
◼
►
dollar's don't matter that much you know revenues a little profits were flat as
[TS]
01:16:14
◼
►
margins are down a little bit
[TS]
01:16:16
◼
►
but still you know compared to all of its competitors are would-be competitors
[TS]
01:16:21
◼
►
way higher margins think now that Samsung had kind of a weak quarter that
[TS]
01:16:28
◼
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all the analysts are going to have to make small phones no I don't think so we
[TS]
01:16:35
◼
►
should save that I did save them for the next show a big screen phone because I
[TS]
01:16:42
◼
►
think that's a long topic but I don't think the endless gonna say that I think
[TS]
01:16:47
◼
►
that everybody has it in their head that Apple needs to make a big phone but yet
[TS]
01:16:53
◼
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never it never has occurred and they've never said it to me now that you know
[TS]
01:16:57
◼
►
Samsung had a bomb quarter but all the other Android makers who have been
[TS]
01:17:01
◼
►
losing money nobody's ever said well why don't they do you know make a phone like
[TS]
01:17:05
◼
►
the iPhone since the iPhone is the most profitable and best single best-selling
[TS]
01:17:11
◼
►
smartphone on the market do you think Samsung can innovate any more
[TS]
01:17:15
◼
►
information is dead I don't know how bad was there quarter I didn't see the
[TS]
01:17:25
◼
►
details of it I was I mean I don't think it was like a single-digit percentage
[TS]
01:17:30
◼
►
decline or something like that it wasn't it wasn't like a major problem but it
[TS]
01:17:34
◼
►
was like it was their first down quarter in years
[TS]
01:17:37
◼
►
you know and I don't know just it's funny i mean i i always I don't take the
[TS]
01:17:42
◼
►
news about Samsung and Apple too seriously because it's to me it's just
[TS]
01:17:47
◼
►
humorous it watching everybody fall over themselves trying to make terrible you
[TS]
01:17:53
◼
►
know fake analyst predictions and watching everyone try to be an analyst
[TS]
01:17:56
◼
►
and watching even half of the real analysts make terrible predictions and
[TS]
01:18:02
◼
►
transl company I mean this is like this is like half your business writers like
[TS]
01:18:06
◼
►
telling you know seeing all these people who think they know what these big tech
[TS]
01:18:12
◼
►
companies should do because they're reading the same news everybody else
[TS]
01:18:16
◼
►
the basic problem though is it Samsung and Apple of both run into its with
[TS]
01:18:20
◼
►
phones is that
[TS]
01:18:22
◼
►
not that we've run out of that they've run out of new customers but they're
[TS]
01:18:26
◼
►
getting pretty close to running out where there's not this huge untapped
[TS]
01:18:31
◼
►
market of people who a might be interested in a 56 $700 smartphone and
[TS]
01:18:39
◼
►
be actually have five six hundred dollars to spend on a smartphone right
[TS]
01:18:47
◼
►
its peak oil it's like we've we're we're slowing down the rate at which these
[TS]
01:18:52
◼
►
companies can find new customers that are profitable and and you know and they
[TS]
01:18:58
◼
►
can reach with good economics and good products you know there's always gonna
[TS]
01:19:02
◼
►
be this is massive amount of people in the world who are very willing to buy
[TS]
01:19:07
◼
►
these phones if they can pay a lot less for them because they can't pay more and
[TS]
01:19:11
◼
►
that's always going to exist but you know you're not going to see these
[TS]
01:19:15
◼
►
massive profit rises from companies try to address market that have very very
[TS]
01:19:19
◼
►
thin margins and and you know big volumes no profit that's always gonna be
[TS]
01:19:24
◼
►
a challenge and so I think we've reached a peak brick smartphone customers if
[TS]
01:19:30
◼
►
that makes any sense at all
[TS]
01:19:31
◼
►
yeah and not again it's like you said with peak oil where oil production still
[TS]
01:19:36
◼
►
goes up but it's like it's like it it's hard enough to reach it that it's the
[TS]
01:19:42
◼
►
go-go days are over
[TS]
01:19:44
◼
►
exact there's no way to get double-digit especially high double-digit growth
[TS]
01:19:49
◼
►
anymore cuz its people too many of Mari have the phones are into Europe's great
[TS]
01:19:56
◼
►
cycles other thing I saw mentioned
[TS]
01:19:58
◼
►
was that you S iPhone sales were actually down year over year it was it
[TS]
01:20:04
◼
►
was made up the the overall six or seven percent growth was made up outside the
[TS]
01:20:09
◼
►
us- and that Tim Cook attributed it to carrier changes which is more or less
[TS]
01:20:15
◼
►
basically that all the major us' carriers now make you wait the full 24
[TS]
01:20:20
◼
►
months of your contract before they'll up after you upgrade pricing yet that
[TS]
01:20:27
◼
►
has to her
[TS]
01:20:29
◼
►
yeah but like i think is that now but now that they're all there it'll it'll
[TS]
01:20:34
◼
►
work out going forward because everybody's on the same cycle and
[TS]
01:20:38
◼
►
they'll be upgrading every two years although I'm not sure that that actually
[TS]
01:20:42
◼
►
makes sense because if I think the argument against that was that people
[TS]
01:20:44
◼
►
used to a lot of people more people were upgrading quicker than 24 months whether
[TS]
01:20:51
◼
►
it was every 12 months when the phones came out or like eighteen months or
[TS]
01:20:55
◼
►
something like that I think at least in the USA for a while the average was 18
[TS]
01:21:01
◼
►
months has a lot of people would upgrade early cuz you do you get either a half
[TS]
01:21:04
◼
►
or full subsidy even at eighteen months they would just cannot tell you they
[TS]
01:21:08
◼
►
would never happen to you yet because they want to keep going but you can get
[TS]
01:21:12
◼
►
an earlier a lot of people also lose or break or dropped her phone in the toilet
[TS]
01:21:16
◼
►
and so they have to get new ones
[TS]
01:21:17
◼
►
earlier and so you know a lot of times the policies would allow a bit of a
[TS]
01:21:22
◼
►
discount before then and yet now the cares of tighten those down so the
[TS]
01:21:26
◼
►
average used to be 18 months and now I'm going to get its gonna go up by a few
[TS]
01:21:30
◼
►
yeah I think definitely but that's only with no citations there's evidence that
[TS]
01:21:38
◼
►
could be completely wrong could have been thirteen months it could have been
[TS]
01:21:40
◼
►
just like in Ohio or something I have no idea I keep my notes as well yeah I
[TS]
01:21:46
◼
►
think the average selling price for an iPhone this past quarter was $637 in the
[TS]
01:21:52
◼
►
average selling price for an iPad was somewhere else
[TS]
01:21:56
◼
►
which is interesting in the context of the show I did last week with multiple
[TS]
01:22:01
◼
►
we're talking about iPad camera and how it's everybody's you know not everybody
[TS]
01:22:08
◼
►
but so many people are using their iPads as as a major camera or their their
[TS]
01:22:13
◼
►
favorite camera you know that's the kid that's what they take out on vacation to
[TS]
01:22:17
◼
►
take snapshots and that I wish I hope that Apple can somehow managed to get
[TS]
01:22:24
◼
►
the top of the line camera from the iPhone into the iPad either this year or
[TS]
01:22:30
◼
►
next year but maybe they can't because only the iPhone which sells at a
[TS]
01:22:38
◼
►
significantly higher price right if it's 402 637 that's like one point over 1.5
[TS]
01:22:48
◼
►
times the average price so there's a lot more room in the average price of an
[TS]
01:22:54
◼
►
iPhone especially the high-end models which are above the average selling
[TS]
01:22:58
◼
►
price the five that there's a lot more room to put a leading-edge technology
[TS]
01:23:05
◼
►
camera in there then on the iPad oh yeah and in you know the difference in these
[TS]
01:23:10
◼
►
sensors it might be like either $25 or $45 for the camera thing but you know
[TS]
01:23:17
◼
►
you would think they should just put that in the iPad cuz they have all their
[TS]
01:23:20
◼
►
room but you know all these component differences at up pretty quickly and
[TS]
01:23:25
◼
►
disorder affecting that margin number and you'll see any didn't didn't the
[TS]
01:23:31
◼
►
stock take a hit from today's results of any 8 percent of the time but now that
[TS]
01:23:36
◼
►
we're recording who knows it could be right could be more could be less but
[TS]
01:23:40
◼
►
you know the there's a lot of pressure from the finance side of things to keep
[TS]
01:23:45
◼
►
that percentage margin that that gross margin percentage of what is it like 37
[TS]
01:23:50
◼
►
percent or something like that I don't even know finance stuff but there's a
[TS]
01:23:54
◼
►
lot of pressure to keep that where it is or get it bigger and this quarter went
[TS]
01:23:59
◼
►
down slightly and I bet that's gonna hurt a little bit and you know Apple has
[TS]
01:24:04
◼
►
to Apple's kinda squeeze on all sides of this kind of stuff they
[TS]
01:24:08
◼
►
their shareholders and the board probably want them to keep that number
[TS]
01:24:13
◼
►
pretty healthy but the whole rest of the market is saying we want things cheaper
[TS]
01:24:17
◼
►
we want things better there's all this competition has making things cheaper
[TS]
01:24:20
◼
►
and better in a lot of cases and so they're really kind of squeeze on both
[TS]
01:24:24
◼
►
sides there and it's it's it's tough position with that like I think there I
[TS]
01:24:28
◼
►
think you're always gonna see Apple struggling to hit that balance optimally
[TS]
01:24:32
◼
►
and we're not going to like what they have to do to hit or the financial
[TS]
01:24:36
◼
►
market like that to do it right and i think that there was you know what gives
[TS]
01:24:42
◼
►
me hope is the way that the iPad Mini went redmond this year rather than next
[TS]
01:24:49
◼
►
year which is what I had expected a year ago and that it you know it's totally
[TS]
01:24:53
◼
►
caught up its on the 87 it's you know what it's like five percent under clock
[TS]
01:24:58
◼
►
compared to the air but you know for all intents and purposes they're the exact
[TS]
01:25:05
◼
►
same iPad just two different sized screens display and that to me is really
[TS]
01:25:10
◼
►
impressive and that's the sort of same efficiency that that if I'm right or if
[TS]
01:25:18
◼
►
my wishes correct that they can get like maybe next year
[TS]
01:25:23
◼
►
get the iPads to use the same camera as the iPhone sex or whatever they're gonna
[TS]
01:25:29
◼
►
call it would be the same type of movie would be a pleasant surprise but I don't
[TS]
01:25:33
◼
►
think it's something that people should hold their breath for the issue of
[TS]
01:25:39
◼
►
darkness where your physical room concerns also with especially with the
[TS]
01:25:44
◼
►
many actually I think isn't the air filter them any way they're probably
[TS]
01:25:49
◼
►
closed so yeah there's there's also depth concerns because you know one of
[TS]
01:25:55
◼
►
the ways to make one of the easiest ways to make camera's bigger is to make a
[TS]
01:25:59
◼
►
larger sensor which is larger optics which has to be further away exactly i
[TS]
01:26:05
◼
►
mean there's there's some tricks you can pull a distance but not many and not
[TS]
01:26:10
◼
►
many that won't hurt the image quality noticeably and so there's
[TS]
01:26:13
◼
►
there's always going to be a battle between device thickness and camera
[TS]
01:26:16
◼
►
quality but you also have a discussion for I wonder if I wonder if you went out
[TS]
01:26:21
◼
►
and and just went to like a carrier does it question and never thought about this
[TS]
01:26:25
◼
►
before any dues went to like Verizon store and looked at every Android and
[TS]
01:26:33
◼
►
and Windows Phone smartphone that they're selling how many of them have
[TS]
01:26:38
◼
►
like a bomb for the camera at a lot of it it's got to be most has to be his
[TS]
01:26:45
◼
►
only one time she always have a bump of some kind whether it's just for the
[TS]
01:26:49
◼
►
camera lens and it's sort of like oh or it's like half the back of it is it
[TS]
01:26:55
◼
►
different than the other
[TS]
01:26:56
◼
►
yeah it's that's been as far as I mean we're the two worst people on the road
[TS]
01:27:04
◼
►
talk about this but as far as I know that's been like standard Android for
[TS]
01:27:09
◼
►
years now
[TS]
01:27:10
◼
►
pretty sure I saw an Android phone once I'm seeing someone to an AT&T store two
[TS]
01:27:16
◼
►
years ago let me do the third sponsor yeah another repeat sponsor another
[TS]
01:27:23
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01:27:31
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01:28:08
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extra large you're saying that you know I have I ever give you my rant on
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01:28:15
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fahrenheit vs celsius I think I did on a talk show once but I'll get that extra
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01:28:20
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01:28:38
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sponsored to show before I got six of them in my office right now my wife Paul
[TS]
01:28:43
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Paul and Amy my wife had to say they had were doing their talk show their podcast
[TS]
01:28:51
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before they had fractures a sponsor and they did a thing where they were sending
[TS]
01:28:54
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each other gimmick fractures they were sending each other like jo Kwon's back
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01:28:59
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and forth for each episode of the fracture sponsored them so we have
[TS]
01:29:02
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fractures all over the house they all look great and it was a big hit for our
[TS]
01:29:07
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family Christmas cuz it was a go to gift you know where to get someone getting
[TS]
01:29:12
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president someone in the family
[TS]
01:29:14
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fracture looks amazing and I just can't say enough how different it looks it's
[TS]
01:29:22
◼
►
it's like it's the weirdest the fact that they say they print the photos
[TS]
01:29:27
◼
►
directly on glass didn't make any sense to me until I got one and that it
[TS]
01:29:30
◼
►
exactly what it looks like
[TS]
01:29:32
◼
►
looks way core and somehow different then a print under glass really cool
[TS]
01:29:39
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thing go to their website the website is fracture me.com just spell out the word
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01:29:47
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01:29:49
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use that coupon code the talk show and trust me it's a really better than
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[TS]
01:30:00
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I expected it to be an expected to be pretty good but it's really really cool
[TS]
01:30:03
◼
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way to print robust yeah i sat on my show to get these funds were measured 21
[TS]
01:30:08
◼
►
years I came up with for them is that they're they're small sized its square
[TS]
01:30:12
◼
►
to five inches by 5 inches are there is a rectangle version that if things for
[TS]
01:30:15
◼
►
by six something like that and their small size is great for app icons and so
[TS]
01:30:21
◼
►
I have on my wall my office this row of three app icons of the apps I've worked
[TS]
01:30:27
◼
►
on Instapaper the magazine and overcast all in a row hang up my law kind of like
[TS]
01:30:33
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►
a trophy / motivation row for me because you know that the square size 12 bucks
[TS]
01:30:39
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reason these things fantastic and it before the discount so desperate idea if
[TS]
01:30:44
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it works it works so well you should I mean you know that's it square if they
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01:30:47
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don't they don't cut corners for you although they do have a custom option
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01:30:50
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look into but but you know these things look great and it was a good great way
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01:30:56
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to bring your bring your work into the physical world for once if they did cut
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01:31:00
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the corners at a rate cut the dough to retain the machine Seven Corners change
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01:31:06
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so don't don't cut corners
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01:31:09
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second Apple thing to do to change that shape but just to be a dick to everyone
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01:31:13
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is fantastic let me give you my rent subsidies for sure
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01:31:21
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fahrenheit I I won't argue in favor of Imperial measures whatever you want to
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01:31:26
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call them in general the the you know in general the metric system is superior
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01:31:32
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because of the logical you know everything's scale bothered
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01:31:37
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but fahrenheit I will argue for and fahrenheit is a scale of 0 to 100 0 and
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01:31:47
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it's all based on temperature like a weather temperature zero degrees
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01:31:51
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Fahrenheit is freezing your fuckin ass off its like the most you get a human
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01:31:56
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being can typical human can bear outside and a hundred is unbearably hot 02 a
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01:32:04
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hundred super ass called super ass hot set Celsius scale of 0 is freezing point
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of water and hundreds boiling
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01:32:15
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gives you ship who gives a shit about what temperature water boils at when
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01:32:21
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you're talking about the weather fahrenheit makes so much more sense in
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01:32:24
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Celsius degree burns and was doing the show is doing a show at Dannon and
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01:32:31
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Danone I got my rant about this when do you always say boy you're gonna get
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01:32:35
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email I'll tell you what we got email so you got email cuz everybody outside tus
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01:32:39
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rate I'm telling you you're wrong
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01:32:42
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celsius is well and they're both not based on absolute zero and so I feel
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01:32:50
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like you know 44 expressing the temperature of the weather of the air I
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01:32:54
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agree I think fahrenheit makes more sense and you know it's not it's not
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01:32:58
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that 0 it it's not that you're gonna die below 0 or die above a hundred
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01:33:03
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fahrenheit you just you know you will see these extremes in your life if you
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01:33:08
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live somewhere normal but you know you you don't really want to be there
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01:33:12
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you want to be inside with with the climate control at that point whereas
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01:33:18
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celsius yet like zero is kind of cold and a hundred is you're dead right and
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01:33:23
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you died a long time ago actually had so it felt like negative 3 Celsius
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01:33:29
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negatives 3 Celsius is a few degrees below water freezing so it's you know
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01:33:35
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it's must be I don't know I'm not gonna look this up but it must be sleep what
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01:33:39
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we would call something in the high twenties fahrenheit probably
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01:33:42
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or somewhere in the twenties so that's cold but it's not crazy cold it's not
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01:33:48
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like a walk my dog and 00 yeah you're not gonna get hurt outside and that when
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01:33:53
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it's negative three fahrenheit you're gonna get hurt you you you might get
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01:33:57
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frostbite oh yeah come in below 10 I don't really go outside when its above a
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01:34:06
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hundred degrees Fahrenheit you got a you know like all your grandfather and make
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01:34:10
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sure that he's still alive because I feel like you know because neither of
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01:34:18
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them were based on absolute zero they both have this kind of arbitrary 0.14%
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01:34:24
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you can say well it's a lot easier when working with computers and science
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01:34:32
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teacher at the Metro stuff because of their nice evenly divisible increments
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01:34:36
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and stuff like that but temperature it seems like the only true temperature
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01:34:41
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measuring the teacher to work with Abby Calvin and if you're gonna like if
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01:34:43
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you're arguing for the sake of well celsius is better for science or
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01:34:47
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something not really I Calvin would be the the one that would be there for
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01:34:52
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science and computation
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01:34:54
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you want the 10 actually is zero in a meaningful way
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01:34:58
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and you know not basing his weird arbitrary midsection of of actual
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01:35:02
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temperatures so I would say celsius 'as is equally stupid as fahrenheit I don't
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01:35:09
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I wouldn't see either of them are necessarily overall better I would say
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01:35:12
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celsius he was stupid now fahrenheit is brilliant fahrenheit is a perfect scale
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01:35:17
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for human temperate weather temperatures air temperatures cause you act yeah
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01:35:21
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actually I can see the effort here for the temperature of the weather air yeah
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01:35:26
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I agree fahrenheit makes more sense there twenty degrees Celsius in
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01:35:31
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Fahrenheit what is that lets see 23 Celsius
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01:35:35
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like 50 or something right 66 ranges in at 68 and then 29 degrees Fahrenheit or
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01:35:43
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29 degrees Celsius in Fahrenheit is 84 that's totally different it's so whether
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01:35:50
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you're talking two totally different days whereas in Fahrenheit you could say
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01:35:54
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well what's it like today well it's in the seventies then you know what i mean
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01:35:58
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it means of beautiful and it doesn't matter if it's 7278 two beautiful day if
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01:36:06
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you know it's between 22 and 27 other this is of course why when you and I
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01:36:14
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travel internationally probably set the thermostat some ridiculous temperature I
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01:36:21
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i I don't know if it's because it's called the Intercontinental or if it was
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01:36:28
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just that the gas before me happened to do it and that made up the room I
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01:36:33
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remember one time for WBC it stayed at the InterContinental in San Francisco I
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01:36:36
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came in the room and it check the thermostat and it was twenty something
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01:36:41
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and I thought you know debonair world traveler that I am well that's fine and
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01:36:48
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you know stash my bag and went out
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01:36:52
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had some dinner and had a couple drinks got back to the room ready to sleep
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01:36:56
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ready to get a good night's rest for the WBC keno the next morning and woke up
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01:37:02
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with like the night sweats and I was like something bad that I drink too much
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01:37:07
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i dont wanna do that before the keynote and that's why I gotta go get some water
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01:37:12
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and then I go and check the thermostat and I find the button and then I'm blind
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01:37:18
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in the night cause I don't know my contact center find my glasses checked
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01:37:21
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the thermostat and I like find the button that convert Celsius to
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01:37:25
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Fahrenheit and it's it's dipshit who had the room before me had it set to like 77
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01:37:30
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degrees Fahrenheit see normally I would say oh man that sucks I feel so bad for
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01:37:38
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however when you did wake up from that horrible sleep at 9:30 in the morning
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01:37:43
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you probably walked right past me in the quinoline where I had been since six in
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01:37:47
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the morning so I don't feel bad for you at all I think I remember seeing you
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01:37:51
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might recall that we call a show right let's do it let's call it show she's an
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01:37:59
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hour and 40 minutes on just one show I hadn't stopped
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